Stubhub (STUB)


Market Price (9/27/2026): $5.435 | Market Cap: $2.1 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Stubhub (STUB)


Market Price (9/27/2026): $5.435
Market Cap: $2.1 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -14%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 29%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Experiential Retail, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -111%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -151%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.4 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -70%

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 80%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -90%

Key risks
STUB key risks include [1] a UK regulatory investigation into its pricing practices carrying the threat of fines up to 10% of global turnover and [2] multiple US securities class-action lawsuits alleging misleading IPO disclosures.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -14%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 29%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Experiential Retail, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -111%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -151%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.4 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -70%
6 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 80%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -90%
8 Key risks
STUB key risks include [1] a UK regulatory investigation into its pricing practices carrying the threat of fines up to 10% of global turnover and [2] multiple US securities class-action lawsuits alleging misleading IPO disclosures.

STUB in ETFs

Weight = STUB's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWM0.04%
VB0.01%
IWO0.09%
VTWO0.04%
VBR0.02%
SCHA0.01%
+1 more covered ETF

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 9/24/2026

Stubhub (STUB) stock has lost about 45% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

The search for "STUB stock price May 31 2026 close" or "June 1 2026 close" did not yield a direct answer.

However, I have some data points from May 2026 from:
  • May 12, 2026: $7.32
  • May 13, 2026: $7.52 (Q1 earnings release day)
  • May 14, 2026: $8.55
  • May 15, 2026: $8.82
  • May 16, 2026: $9.33


Also, on August 11, 2026, the current price was $8.19. The Q2 results were released on August 12, 2026, and the stock fell 14% on August 13, 2026.If the stock was at $8.19 before the Q2 earnings, and then fell 14%, it would be around $8.19 * (1 - 0.14) = $7.04.

The user states a "lost about 45%". If the current price is about $5.30 (Sep 24, 2026), then the starting price would be around $5.30 / 0.55 = $9.64.

Looking at the May prices, it seems reasonable that the stock was trading higher, possibly around $9-$10 range in late May/early June, especially given the positive Q1 results and before the World Cup issues became fully apparent and before the Q2 earnings miss. The "May 16, 2026, $9.33" is a good proxy.

Let's use a value close to that. If it was around $9.33 on May 16, 2026, and the current price (Sep 24, 2026) is $5.38, the percentage loss would be (($9.33 - $5.38) / $9.33) 100% = (3.95 / 9.33) 100% = 42.33%. This is "about 45%", so the estimate for May 31, 2026, around $9.64 is likely close enough. I will use the actual drop as "approximately 42-45%" to reflect the range given the proxy.

I have 3 strong, quantified points. This meets the 3-5 point limit.I will ensure no disclaimers, warnings, or apologies.I will use the specified HTML tags.I will ensure citations for all sentences referring to search results.I will use fiscal quarters as requested.Insider trading is excluded as no single transaction exceeded $5 million.The tone will be objective.

Here's the final structure:1. Disappointing Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings and Weakened Outlook.

2. FIFA World Cup 2026 Ticketing Debacle and Lawsuits.

Show more
Updated on 9/24/2026

Stubhub (STUB) stock has lost about 45% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

The search for "STUB stock price May 31 2026 close" or "June 1 2026 close" did not yield a direct answer.

However, I have some data points from May 2026 from:
  • May 12, 2026: $7.32
  • May 13, 2026: $7.52 (Q1 earnings release day)
  • May 14, 2026: $8.55
  • May 15, 2026: $8.82
  • May 16, 2026: $9.33


Also, on August 11, 2026, the current price was $8.19. The Q2 results were released on August 12, 2026, and the stock fell 14% on August 13, 2026.If the stock was at $8.19 before the Q2 earnings, and then fell 14%, it would be around $8.19 * (1 - 0.14) = $7.04.

The user states a "lost about 45%". If the current price is about $5.30 (Sep 24, 2026), then the starting price would be around $5.30 / 0.55 = $9.64.

Looking at the May prices, it seems reasonable that the stock was trading higher, possibly around $9-$10 range in late May/early June, especially given the positive Q1 results and before the World Cup issues became fully apparent and before the Q2 earnings miss. The "May 16, 2026, $9.33" is a good proxy.

Let's use a value close to that. If it was around $9.33 on May 16, 2026, and the current price (Sep 24, 2026) is $5.38, the percentage loss would be (($9.33 - $5.38) / $9.33) 100% = (3.95 / 9.33) 100% = 42.33%. This is "about 45%", so the estimate for May 31, 2026, around $9.64 is likely close enough. I will use the actual drop as "approximately 42-45%" to reflect the range given the proxy.

I have 3 strong, quantified points. This meets the 3-5 point limit.I will ensure no disclaimers, warnings, or apologies.I will use the specified HTML tags.I will ensure citations for all sentences referring to search results.I will use fiscal quarters as requested.Insider trading is excluded as no single transaction exceeded $5 million.The tone will be objective.

Here's the final structure:1. Disappointing Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings and Weakened Outlook.

2. FIFA World Cup 2026 Ticketing Debacle and Lawsuits.

3. Material Weaknesses in Internal Controls and High Stock-Based Compensation.

Show less
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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -44.8% change in STUB stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/26/2026 was primarily driven by a -46.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)53120269262026Change
Stock Price ($)9.865.44-44.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,7941,9368.0%
P/S Multiple2.01.1-46.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)359379-5.1%
Cumulative Contribution-44.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2026 to 9/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
STUB-44.8% 
Market (SPY)2.2%26.8%
Sector (XLC)-2.1%20.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -43.2% change in STUB stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/26/2026 was primarily driven by a -46.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820269262026Change
Stock Price ($)9.575.44-43.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,5961,93621.3%
P/S Multiple2.01.1-46.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)329379-13.1%
Cumulative Contribution-43.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 9/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
STUB-43.2% 
Market (SPY)13.0%27.9%
Sector (XLC)-3.8%20.2%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 9/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
STUB  
Market (SPY)20.9%26.7%
Sector (XLC)2.7%22.7%

Fundamental Drivers

null
null

Market Drivers

8/31/2023 to 9/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
STUB  
Market (SPY)77.8%26.7%
Sector (XLC)72.5%22.7%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
STUB Return-----38%-60%-76%
Peers Return35%-47%79%21%6%8%78%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
STUB Win Rate----50%44% 
Peers Win Rate60%31%67%50%48%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%56% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
STUB Max Drawdown------67% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-55%-31%-32%-38%-42% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: Z, ZIP, PAAI, GOOGL, META.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/25/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

STUB has limited trading history. Below is the Communication Services sector ETF (XLC) in its place.

EventXLCS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-17.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven21.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven63 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-38.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven63.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven470 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-30.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven112 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-20.2%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.3%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven109 days105 days

Compare to Z, ZIP, PAAI, GOOGL, META

In The Past

State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -17.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 21.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

STUB has limited trading history. Below is the Communication Services sector ETF (XLC) in its place.

EventXLCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-38.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven63.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven470 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-30.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven112 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-20.2%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.3%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven109 days105 days

Compare to Z, ZIP, PAAI, GOOGL, META

In The Past

State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -17.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 21.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Stubhub (STUB)

StubHub (STUB) operates the largest global secondary ticketing marketplace for live events, connecting fans with sellers of event tickets. The company's mission is to be the premier destination for accessing live events, bringing liquidity, transparency, and trust to what was historically a fragmented and opaque market. Its core business involves facilitating the buying and selling of tickets for a wide range of live events, including sports, concerts, and theater, primarily through its two main brands: StubHub in North America and viagogo internationally.

The company's main service is its technology-enabled marketplace, which offers end-to-end functionality for handling diverse event types and dynamically pricing tickets. StubHub leverages global distribution, robust data intelligence, and trusted brands to optimize outcomes for both buyers and sellers. Its primary customers are passionate fans seeking tickets and individuals or entities looking to efficiently sell their tickets, forming a powerful flywheel effect that generates significant revenue, profit, and cash flow.

StubHub has established a leadership position with durable competitive moats by creating scale and fostering an efficient monetization engine. Looking ahead, the company aims to expand its role beyond secondary sales into original ticket issuance, aspiring to be a comprehensive global marketplace for all ticketing transactions. This strategic vision leverages its existing technology, distribution networks, data capabilities, and strong brands to capture a larger market opportunity across the entire live events ecosystem.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Stubhub:

  • eBay for event tickets.

  • The secondary market equivalent of Ticketmaster.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Online Secondary Ticket Marketplace: An online platform facilitating the buying and selling of secondary market tickets for a wide range of live events and experiences globally, operating under the StubHub and viagogo brands.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Stubhub primarily serves individual customers. Its major customers can be categorized as follows:

  1. Ticket Purchasers (Fans and Event Attendees): These are individuals who use Stubhub's marketplace to find and buy tickets for a wide variety of live events, including concerts, sporting events, theater performances, and other experiences. They are the ultimate consumers seeking access to live entertainment.
  2. Ticket Sellers (Individuals and Small-scale Resellers): These are individuals or smaller entities who utilize Stubhub's platform to list and sell tickets they possess. This includes individuals who may have surplus tickets, can no longer attend an event, or those who engage in professional ticket reselling.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Eric H. Baker, CEO / President

Eric H. Baker is the co-founder of StubHub, which he established in 2000 alongside Jeff Fluhr while attending Stanford Graduate School of Business. After departing StubHub in 2005, Baker founded the competing global ticketing platform viagogo in 2006, expanding into international markets. In 2019, he orchestrated viagogo's $4.05 billion acquisition of StubHub from eBay, subsequently becoming the CEO of the combined entity, StubHub Holdings, Inc. Prior to his entrepreneurial ventures, Baker worked at Bain Capital and McKinsey & Company.

Connie James, Chief Financial Officer

Connie James serves as the Chief Financial Officer of StubHub. In November 2025, she was noted for discussing the company's strategy related to interest earned on delayed refunds and seller payments.

Nayaab Islam, President

Nayaab Islam serves as the President of StubHub, having been named to the position in 2022. Previously, Islam held the title of Head of Product for StubHub.

Art Yegorov, Head of Technology / CTO

Art Yegorov serves as the Head of Technology, and also holds the title of CTO, at StubHub.

Jeff Zwelling, Chief Operating Officer

Jeff Zwelling serves as the Chief Operating Officer of StubHub.

AI Analysis | Feedback

StubHub (STUB) faces several key risks to its business, primarily stemming from its position in the secondary ticketing market. These include stringent regulatory scrutiny, intense competition and potential disintermediation by the primary ticketing market, and a fundamental reliance on the health and popularity of the live events industry.

Key Risks to StubHub's Business

  1. Regulatory Scrutiny and Changes: StubHub operates within a complex and evolving global regulatory landscape, facing extensive exposure to laws concerning data privacy, consumer protection, and ticketing across various jurisdictions. The company is subject to a wave of regulatory actions targeting secondary ticket resale, including proposed legislation for price caps and bans on speculative tickets in regions like California and New York. Regulators, such as the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), are also actively scrutinizing "drip pricing" practices, where additional fees are added late in the transaction process. StubHub has previously faced threats of legal action for allegedly misleading customers regarding ticket validity and availability, indicating an ongoing challenge in meeting consumer protection standards.
  2. Competition and Disintermediation from the Primary Ticketing Market: StubHub encounters intense competition from both primary and other secondary ticketing providers. The company's business model, which historically operates "without controlling the box office or venue access," makes it vulnerable to strategies employed by primary ticket sellers and event organizers. These entities, including major players like Live Nation (Ticketmaster), are increasingly moving into the secondary market or implementing policies that could limit the supply of tickets available to platforms like StubHub or make resales more difficult. StubHub's strategic pivot towards "original issuance ticketing" reflects its effort to mitigate this risk and achieve a more defensible position against competitors and regulators.
  3. Dependence on the Live Events Industry: The core of StubHub's business is heavily dependent on the volume, popularity, and availability of live events, such as sports, concerts, and theater. The company's revenue and profitability are directly tied to consumer demand for tickets to these events. Factors that could disrupt the live events industry, including economic downturns affecting discretionary spending, changes in consumer entertainment preferences, or unforeseen global events like pandemics, would directly reduce the supply of tickets and demand on StubHub's platform, thereby impacting its financial performance. The business also experiences pronounced seasonality linked to major sports and concert tours.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

StubHub operates in the live event ticketing market, primarily focusing on secondary ticketing and expanding into primary ticket sales.

Addressable Market Sizes for StubHub's Main Products and Services:

  • Global Secondary Ticketing Market for Live Events:

    • In 2023, the global secondary tickets market was valued at approximately USD 2.85 billion and is projected to reach USD 6.56 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 9.7% during the forecast period (2024-2032).
    • Other estimates place the global secondary ticketing market at USD 6.58 billion in 2024.
    • Another valuation states the market reached USD 3.41 billion in 2026 and is projected to grow at an 8.74% CAGR to USD 5.19 billion by 2031.
  • North American Secondary Ticketing Market for Live Events:

    • StubHub estimates the secondary ticketing market in North America to be approximately $17.5 billion.
    • North America held the largest share of the global secondary tickets market at 45%. The U.S. alone accounted for approximately 41% of global resale transactions in 2024.
  • Global Primary Ticketing Market for Live Events:

    • The primary issuance market is estimated to be $132 billion in 2024.
    • The global online event ticketing market, which encompasses primary sales, was valued at USD 56.7 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 99.31 billion by 2032.
    • Another estimate for the global online event ticketing market puts its value at USD 63.39 billion in 2024, with a projected growth to USD 117.04 billion by 2034.

AI Analysis | Feedback

StubHub (STUB) anticipates several key drivers to fuel its revenue growth over the next two to three years:

  • International Expansion: StubHub expects faster growth from its international markets, operated under the viagogo brand, which currently represent approximately 15% of its Gross Merchandise Sales (GMS). The company views this overseas business as a major long-term growth runway, aiming to replicate its domestic scale and deepen localization globally.
  • North American Market Growth and Market Share Gains: The company plans to continue increasing its GMS within the North American market, where it holds a significant share, estimated at around 50% of the secondary ticketing market. This involves both overall market expansion and capturing additional market share.
  • Strategic Shift to Product-Led, AI-Enabled Direct Issuance: StubHub is pivoting towards a product-led and AI-enabled supply strategy for direct ticket issuance. This initiative aims to reduce friction for partners and enable scalable self-serve distribution tools, prioritizing long-term, durable, and automated growth over immediate revenue gains in the near term.
  • Improved Marketing Efficiency: The company is focused on refining its marketing efficiency to achieve higher returns while sustaining its market share gains. This optimization of sales and marketing expenses is expected to contribute to overall financial performance.
  • Leveraging Core Resale Marketplace and Consistent Unit Economics: StubHub's core resale marketplace is projected to remain a significant driver, supported by consistent take rates (around 20% of GMS) and strong adjusted gross margins (above 80%). The company expects substantial profit growth from this established segment, demonstrating the structural strength of its business model.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Issuance

  • StubHub Holdings, Inc. completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) on September 17, 2025, raising approximately $800 million by offering 34 million shares at $23.50 per share.
  • The company stated its intention to use the proceeds primarily to reduce debt and for general corporate purposes.
  • In March 2026, an S-8 filing was made for securities to be offered to employees through benefit plans.

Inbound Investments

  • In 2020, Viagogo acquired StubHub from eBay for $4.05 billion, forming the combined entity that eventually went public as StubHub Holdings, Inc.
  • StubHub Holdings is backed by various institutional investors and private equity firms, including Madrone Capital Partners and Bessemer Venture Partners, with Madrone Capital Partners holding 22.1% after the IPO.

Capital Expenditures

  • For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, StubHub Holdings reported approximately $35 million in capital expenditures, derived from $193 million in net cash provided by operating activities and $158 million in Free Cash Flow.
  • These investments are strategically focused on growth initiatives, including a shift to a product-led direct issuance strategy and the launch of an advertising business.

Peer Outperformance in Interactive Media & Services

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Share of Interactive Media & Services constituents that STUB has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
14%
of 43 industry peers · -67.7% return
3Y
—
insufficient peer history
5Y
—
insufficient peer history
null
Median price return by industry across the Communication Services sector, ranked by 5Y. Interactive Media & Services is STUB's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Wireless Telecommunication Services 3 -10.6%24.5%36.2% ECHO 249% · TMUS 36% · SHEN -61%
Publishing 5 11.0%20.4%5.6% NYT 31% · NWSA 23% · SCHL 6%
Integrated Telecommunication Services 23 -7.0%5.9%-24.3% IQST 1489% · TIGO 285% · GSAT 221%
Movies & Entertainment 24 5.6%71.8%-34.8% IMAX 203% · MSGS 118% · BATRA 111%
Alternative Carriers 4 20.2%25.5%-47.7% IRDM 21% · UNIT -43% · LUMN -53%
Advertising 20 -15.8%-7.7%-65.6% APP 305% · EVC 30% · OMC 20%
Interactive Media & Services ← 33 -35.8%-27.7%-68.6% GOOGL 146% · SPOT 119% · META 115%
Broadcasting 15 -15.0%-17.0%-68.7% FOXA 67% · NXST 20% · WBD 18%
Interactive Home Entertainment 8 -50.9%-54.2%-85.9% TTWO 36% · RBLX -42% · PINS -65%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

STUBZZIPPAAIGOOGLMETAMedian
NameStubhub Zillow ZipRecru.Paradium.Alphabet Meta Pla. 
Mkt Price5.4428.433.511.75343.92751.6616.93
Mkt Cap2.16.50.3-4,179.01,911.56.5
Rev LTM1,9362,810452126445,867228,2472,373
Op Inc LTM-1,3515029147,62886,92730
FCF LTM59822015-2153,27340,976409
FCF 3Y Avg38818735-2260,26346,958287
CFO LTM63538822-16185,675130,301512
CFO 3Y Avg40938944-17141,481103,674399

Growth & Margins

STUBZZIPPAAIGOOGLMETAMedian
NameStubhub Zillow ZipRecru.Paradium.Alphabet Meta Pla. 
Rev Chg LTM7.9%17.7%0.4%-12.3%20.1%27.7%12.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-14.1%-16.0%-10.2%15.5%23.8%14.1%
Rev Chg Q33.2%17.9%5.2%-17.9%24.2%28.0%21.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.0%4.3%1.3%-5.9%5.5%6.2%4.9%
Op Inc Chg LTM-1,086.6%137.6%106.1%153.3%21.6%10.4%63.9%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-60.0%-27.1%82.9%25.6%49.8%49.8%
Op Mgn LTM-69.7%1.8%0.3%7.2%33.1%38.1%4.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-17.3%-4.8%1.6%-9.9%31.9%40.5%-1.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM5.2%1.3%2.4%5.6%0.4%-3.1%1.9%
CFO/Rev LTM32.8%13.8%4.9%-12.8%41.6%57.1%23.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg24.3%16.1%8.7%-11.7%36.5%55.6%20.2%
FCF/Rev LTM30.9%7.8%3.3%-16.9%11.9%18.0%9.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg23.1%7.6%6.9%-14.8%16.1%26.4%11.9%

Valuation

STUBZZIPPAAIGOOGLMETAMedian
NameStubhub Zillow ZipRecru.Paradium.Alphabet Meta Pla. 
Mkt Cap2.16.50.3-4,179.01,911.56.5
P/S1.12.30.6-9.48.42.3
P/Op Inc-1.5129.6183.4-28.322.028.3
P/EBIT-1.683.13.8-13.921.313.9
P/E-1.2117.810.2-17.128.117.1
P/CFO3.216.712.9-22.514.714.7
Total Yield-85.8%0.8%9.8%-6.1%3.8%3.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.2%0.3%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.8%5.5%-2.4%3.2%2.8%
D/E0.70.10.9-0.00.10.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.00.3--0.00.0-0.0

Returns

STUBZZIPPAAIGOOGLMETAMedian
NameStubhub Zillow ZipRecru.Paradium.Alphabet Meta Pla. 
1M Rtn-16.9%-19.8%-18.2%80.4%1.0%31.7%-8.0%
3M Rtn-56.1%-8.7%-10.9%80.4%2.0%36.7%-3.4%
6M Rtn-15.1%-29.7%104.1%80.4%25.5%43.2%34.4%
12M Rtn-67.7%-64.2%-23.9%80.4%39.9%1.4%-11.2%
3Y Rtn-75.3%-38.3%-70.4%80.4%166.0%154.9%21.1%
1M Excs Rtn-18.2%-19.5%-19.4%79.5%-0.3%29.7%-9.2%
3M Excs Rtn-61.4%-14.0%-16.2%75.1%-3.3%31.4%-8.7%
6M Excs Rtn-38.8%-51.6%72.3%60.9%3.0%18.0%10.5%
12M Excs Rtn-85.4%-80.7%-40.2%63.8%22.9%-17.5%-28.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-151.2%-116.4%-150.6%4.5%83.7%77.3%-55.9%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single segment1,7451,7711,3681,037673
Total1,7451,7711,3681,037673


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$5.44 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.1 
First Trading Date09/17/2025 
Distance from 52W High-73.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$17.51$18.75
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-68.9%-71.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility64.0%75.9%
Downside Capture502.40316.45
Upside Capture-27.09127.70
Correlation (SPY)28.4%28.4%
STUB Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta3.011.531.081.190.06-0.26
Up Beta4.232.591.971.01-0.200.19
Down Beta2.300.16-0.75-0.210.21-0.11
Up Capture-15%-125%36%106%76%7%
Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
Stock +ve Days7132455107107
Down Capture648%421%225%194%174%97%
Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
Stock -ve Days13273767127127

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with STUB
STUB-68.9%75.9%-1.20-
Sector ETF (XLC)-2.9%15.9%-0.3823.2%
Equity (SPY)17.7%13.0%0.9828.5%
Gold (GLD)14.7%29.3%0.4611.1%
Commodities (DBC)44.3%20.7%1.66-10.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.5%13.6%0.0720.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-25.9%44.8%-0.5428.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with STUB
STUB-24.4%77.0%-1.44-
Sector ETF (XLC)7.4%21.0%0.2722.7%
Equity (SPY)13.3%17.2%0.5926.7%
Gold (GLD)19.2%18.8%0.8310.5%
Commodities (DBC)10.8%19.6%0.43-9.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.9%18.9%-0.0621.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)12.2%52.6%0.4127.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with STUB
STUB-13.0%77.0%-1.44-
Sector ETF (XLC)9.4%22.1%0.4722.7%
Equity (SPY)15.5%17.9%0.7326.7%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.4%0.6110.5%
Commodities (DBC)8.5%18.1%0.38-9.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%20.7%0.1921.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.8%66.2%1.0327.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity26.4 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 83120264.0%
Average Daily Volume5.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity378.7 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares7.0%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 9/14/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/12/2026-10.1%-18.7%-29.4%
5/13/202613.7%33.0%52.4%
3/4/2026-12.4%-25.5%-36.7%
11/13/2025-21.0%-45.2%-29.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111
# Negative333
Median Positive13.7%33.0%52.4%
Median Negative-12.4%-25.5%-29.5%
Max Positive13.7%33.0%52.4%
Max Negative-21.0%-45.2%-36.7%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/12/2026-10.1%-18.7%-29.4%
5/13/202613.7%33.0%52.4%
3/4/2026-12.4%-25.5%-36.7%
11/13/2025-21.0%-45.2%-29.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111
# Negative333
Median Positive13.7%33.0%52.4%
Median Negative-12.4%-25.5%-29.5%
Max Positive13.7%33.0%52.4%
Max Negative-21.0%-45.2%-36.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/13/202610-Q
03/31/202605/14/202610-Q
12/31/202503/05/202610-K
09/30/202511/14/202510-Q
06/30/202509/17/2025424B4
03/31/202508/11/2025S-1/A
06/30/202408/22/2024DRS/A
03/31/202406/24/2024DRS/A
12/31/202211/20/2023DRS/A
12/31/202110/19/2022DRS/A
12/31/202002/10/2022DRS/A
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/13/202610-Q
03/31/202605/14/202610-Q
12/31/202503/05/202610-K
09/30/202511/14/202510-Q
06/30/202509/17/2025424B4
03/31/202508/11/2025S-1/A
06/30/202408/22/2024DRS/A
03/31/202406/24/2024DRS/A
12/31/202211/20/2023DRS/A
12/31/202110/19/2022DRS/A
12/31/202002/10/2022DRS/A

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 9/15/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/12/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 GMSReported10.10 Bil10.20 Bil10.30 Bil2.0% RaisedGuidance: 10.00 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported400.00 Mil410.00 Mil420.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 410.00 Mil for 2026


Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/13/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 GMSReported9.90 Bil10.00 Bil10.10 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 10.00 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported400.00 Mil410.00 Mil420.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 410.00 Mil for 2026

Insider Activity

Updated 9/23/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Islam, NayaabSee RemarksDirectSell92320266.2014,30688,70749,586,911Form
2Islam, NayaabSee RemarksDirectSell90420266.6924,554164,18353,568,305Form
3Islam, NayaabSee RemarksDirectSell90420266.66110,409735,05953,499,448Form
4Streams, MarkSee RemarksDirectSell90420266.39135,589866,5767,835,458Form
5Streams, MarkSee RemarksDirectSell90420266.2329,951186,6618,485,545Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Islam, NayaabSee RemarksDirectSell92320266.2014,30688,70749,586,911Form
2Islam, NayaabSee RemarksDirectSell90420266.6924,554164,18353,568,305Form
3Islam, NayaabSee RemarksDirectSell90420266.66110,409735,05953,499,448Form
4Streams, MarkSee RemarksDirectSell90420266.39135,589866,5767,835,458Form
5Streams, MarkSee RemarksDirectSell90420266.2329,951186,6618,485,545Form
6Streams, MarkSee RemarksDirectSell82820266.882,53017,4069,573,630Form
7Islam, NayaabSee RemarksDirectSell82720266.8685,973589,83555,889,012Form
8Islam, NayaabSee RemarksDirectSell82720266.78219,7361,490,73355,849,081Form
9Streams, MarkSee RemarksDirectSell82520266.8410,17669,6519,541,687Form
10Streams, MarkSee RemarksDirectSell82520266.76150,0001,014,6909,499,000Form
11Streams, MarkSee RemarksDirectSell82520266.936,50045,04510,770,758Form
12Fitzgerald, Scott MichaelPrincipal Accounting OfficerDirectSell82020267.0884,970601,953781,986Form
13James, Constance PChief Financial OfficerDirectSell82020267.06116,644822,9582,468,889Form
14Islam, NayaabSee RemarksDirectSell709202614.012,80039,214118,369,756Form
15Streams, MarkSee RemarksDirectSell709202614.014005,60321,861,813Form
16Streams, MarkSee RemarksDirectSell706202613.0228,531371,40220,321,906Form
17Islam, NayaabSee RemarksDirectSell706202613.0354,801714,183110,185,021Form
18Streams, MarkSee RemarksDirectSell706202613.003,00239,02618,643,729Form
19Islam, NayaabSee RemarksDirectSell706202613.002,09927,287110,624,345Form
20Streams, MarkSee RemarksDirectSell701202613.0318,167236,75118,728,600Form
21Islam, NayaabSee RemarksDirectSell701202613.0325,400330,886110,881,447Form
22Streams, MarkSee RemarksDirectSell701202613.003003,90018,918,926Form
23Islam, NayaabSee RemarksDirectSell701202613.001,30016,900110,981,832Form
24Islam, NayaabSee RemarksDirectSell626202612.0525,080302,141102,862,525Form
25Islam, NayaabSee RemarksDirectSell616202611.3716,720190,05397,338,955Form
26Fitzgerald, Scott MichaelPrincipal Accounting OfficerDirectSell612202610.338678,9602,249,212Form
27Streams, MarkSee RemarksDirectSell51520269.04232,5672,101,54510,066,447Form
28Fitzgerald, Scott MichaelPrincipal Accounting OfficerDirectSell51320267.571,61312,214707,575Form
29Fitzgerald, Scott MichaelPrincipal Accounting OfficerDirectSell41520266.501,61910,518628,488Form
30Fitzgerald, Scott MichaelPrincipal Accounting OfficerDirectSell31220267.6628,387217,547597,462Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Sep 27, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Madrone Advisors, LLC$472.9 Mil46.0%5Hold13F
Deer Management Co. LLC$137.5 Mil22.1%10Hold13F
Entrust Global Partners L L C$30.3 Mil6.6%6New13F
PointState Capital LP$125.6 Mil2.9%44TRIM -18.9%13F
Insight Holdings Group, LLC$21.4 Mil1.5%28Hold13F
Slate Path Capital LP$9.1 Mil0.1%44Hold13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Entrust Global Partners L L C$30.3 Mil6.6%6New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
PointState Capital LP$125.6 Mil2.9%44TRIM -18.9%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Madrone Advisors, LLC$472.9 Mil46.0%5Hold13F
Deer Management Co. LLC$137.5 Mil22.1%10Hold13F
PointState Capital LP$125.6 Mil2.9%44TRIM -18.9%13F
Entrust Global Partners L L C$30.3 Mil6.6%6New13F
Insight Holdings Group, LLC$21.4 Mil1.5%28Hold13F
Slate Path Capital LP$9.1 Mil0.1%44Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/26/2026