Tearsheet

Array Digital Infrastructure (AD)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $50.28 | Market Cap: $4.3 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Integrated Telecommunication Services

Array Digital Infrastructure (AD)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $50.28
Market Cap: $4.3 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Integrated Telecommunication Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 91%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -25%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 279x
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.8%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more.
  Key risks
AD key risks include [1] execution risk in its strategic pivot to an infrastructure model, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 91%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -25%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 279x
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.8%
8 Key risks
AD key risks include [1] execution risk in its strategic pivot to an infrastructure model, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Array Digital Infrastructure reported a significant revenue shortfall in its Q3 2025 earnings. The company's revenue of $47.12 million for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, fell substantially short of the anticipated $483.83 million and represented a 94.9% decline from the previous quarter.

2. The market reacted negatively to the Q3 2025 earnings report despite an EPS beat. Following the announcement of Q3 2025 results on November 7, 2025, Array Digital Infrastructure's stock experienced a -3.71% change, indicating investor concern over the considerable revenue miss.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AD Return-15%3%-34%99%51%-20%39%
Peers Return15%32%-30%10%2%-7%12%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AD Win Rate25%42%33%50%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate53%70%37%58%53%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AD Max Drawdown-30%-7%-38%-32%-22%-29% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-12%-40%-21%-16%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMT, CCI, SBAC, EQIX, DLR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventADS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-64.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven179.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven74 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-30.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven44.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven155 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-46.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven87.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1677 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-72.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven264.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to T, ATNI, ELWT, VZ, BCE


In The Past

Array Digital Infrastructure's stock fell -64.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/11/2021. A -64.2% loss requires a 179.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Array Digital Infrastructure (AD)

Better Bets than Array Digital Infrastructure (AD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.0%-5.0%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.5%-1.5%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.3%1.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.9%-28.9%-29.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.0%-5.0%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.5%-1.5%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.3%1.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.9%-28.9%-29.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Array Digital Infrastructure

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ADAMTCCISBACEQIXDLRMedian
NameArray Di.American.Crown Ca.SBA Comm.Equinix Digital . 
Mkt Price50.50178.5188.25190.99748.21148.37163.44
Mkt Cap4.483.638.420.573.350.644.5
Rev LTM5,54710,4556,4202,7899,0585,9146,167
Op Inc LTM3044,8522,2111,5741,8648741,719
FCF LTM-1543,6911,8431,080-1142,4631,461
FCF 3Y Avg993,3621,9791,1541482,0151,567
CFO LTM5245,2363,0641,2973,7482,4632,763
CFO 3Y Avg7775,0783,0321,3853,3312,0152,524

Growth & Margins

ADAMTCCISBACEQIXDLRMedian
NameArray Di.American.Crown Ca.SBA Comm.Equinix Digital . 
Rev Chg LTM91.1%4.2%28.0%4.8%5.4%7.7%6.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg19.6%0.1%0.6%3.2%8.5%9.1%5.9%
Rev Chg Q83.1%7.7%-4.3%9.7%5.2%10.2%8.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.4%1.9%-0.7%2.4%1.3%2.5%1.6%
Op Mgn LTM5.5%46.4%34.4%56.4%20.6%14.8%27.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.0%41.7%38.0%50.3%18.8%13.8%28.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%0.0%-0.4%-1.1%0.3%0.2%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM9.5%50.1%47.7%46.5%41.4%41.6%44.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg21.2%50.5%50.0%50.9%38.9%35.9%44.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-2.8%35.3%28.7%38.7%-1.3%41.6%32.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.6%33.3%33.6%42.4%1.9%35.9%33.5%

Valuation

ADAMTCCISBACEQIXDLRMedian
NameArray Di.American.Crown Ca.SBA Comm.Equinix Digital . 
Mkt Cap4.483.638.420.573.350.644.5
P/S0.88.66.57.48.510.08.0
P/EBIT9.019.1-14.114.545.031.516.8
P/E278.430.7-9.124.271.742.236.4
P/CFO8.217.213.716.020.524.016.6
Total Yield0.4%6.7%-5.5%6.4%3.8%2.4%3.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.5%5.5%2.2%2.4%0.0%2.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.5%3.7%4.4%5.1%0.2%4.1%3.9%
D/E0.30.50.70.70.30.30.4
Net D/E0.20.50.70.70.20.30.4

Returns

ADAMTCCISBACEQIXDLRMedian
NameArray Di.American.Crown Ca.SBA Comm.Equinix Digital . 
1M Rtn13.6%-1.1%-1.4%-2.4%-3.1%-5.2%-1.9%
3M Rtn1.6%-8.7%-5.8%-3.7%-3.3%-12.6%-4.7%
6M Rtn-16.3%-16.4%-9.1%-15.5%-14.6%-14.7%-15.1%
12M Rtn-17.6%-4.5%-2.2%-6.7%-20.3%-17.3%-12.0%
3Y Rtn150.2%-7.7%-22.8%-28.1%19.3%62.0%5.8%
1M Excs Rtn12.9%-1.8%-2.1%-3.2%-3.8%-5.9%-2.7%
3M Excs Rtn2.3%-8.1%-5.3%-4.8%-5.5%-14.1%-5.4%
6M Excs Rtn-28.7%-28.8%-21.5%-27.9%-27.0%-27.1%-27.5%
12M Excs Rtn-30.9%-17.4%-15.5%-20.1%-31.8%-28.4%-24.3%
3Y Excs Rtn85.0%-77.1%-93.7%-99.1%-51.4%-14.9%-64.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Wireless3,805    
Towers228    
Elimination of intersegment revenues-127    
Equipment sales 1,0441,007970987
Inbound roaming 67110152174
Operating lease income 93   
Other service 172248229211
Retail service 2,7932,7572,6862,650
Total3,9064,1694,1224,0374,022


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Wireless697    
Towers121    
Loss on asset disposals, net2    
Expenses related to strategic alternatives review (included in Selling, general and administrative)-8    
Loss on impairment of licenses-17    
Depreciation, amortization and accretion-656    
Total139    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,345,672
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520253.9%
Average Daily Volume178,595
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.53
Basic Shares Quantity86,251,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/7/2025-2.8%-4.9%3.3%
8/11/20253.7%1.0%-30.9%
5/2/2025-8.4%-8.8%-8.8%
2/21/2025-2.4%-3.0%1.0%
11/1/2024-6.8%4.7%1.9%
7/16/2024-0.5%-6.6%-9.8%
5/3/2024-8.5%23.3%57.4%
2/16/2024-17.4%-22.0%-16.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive61112
# Negative181312
Median Positive11.3%4.7%3.3%
Median Negative-5.0%-8.8%-9.3%
Max Positive92.9%117.5%162.5%
Max Negative-22.4%-25.9%-35.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0HARCZAK HARRY J JR 8182025Sell76.201,960149,3571,476,347Form
1Chambers Douglas WInterim President and CEO8142025Sell75.7793,3007,069,3411,333,552Form