Tearsheet

Stubhub (STUB)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $14.0 | Market Cap: $4.4 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Stubhub (STUB)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $14.0
Market Cap: $4.4 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.2 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -68%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Experiential Retail, Show more.
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 164x
2  Key risks
STUB key risks include [1] a UK regulatory investigation into its pricing practices carrying the threat of fines up to 10% of global turnover and [2] multiple US securities class-action lawsuits alleging misleading IPO disclosures.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Experiential Retail, Show more.
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.2 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -68%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 164x
4 Key risks
STUB key risks include [1] a UK regulatory investigation into its pricing practices carrying the threat of fines up to 10% of global turnover and [2] multiple US securities class-action lawsuits alleging misleading IPO disclosures.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

STUB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Initial Public Offering (IPO) in September 2025

StubHub Holdings, Inc. (STUB) became a publicly traded company on the New York Stock Exchange in September 2025, with an initial public offering (IPO) price of approximately $22 per share. This event marked its debut on the stock market, setting the initial valuation and performance benchmark. 2. Significant Post-IPO Stock Decline and First Earnings Report

Following its IPO, StubHub's stock experienced a substantial decline, dropping approximately 50% from its IPO price by December 2025. A key factor in this downturn was its first earnings report as a public company in November 2025, during which the company's shares plunged after it chose not to provide guidance for the current quarter.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
STUB Return
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
STUB Win Rate67% 
Peers Win Rate32% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
STUB Max Drawdown 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: Z, ZIP, CHAI, WSHP, GOOGL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

STUB has limited trading history. Below is the Communication Services sector ETF (XLC) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven602 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-30.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven112 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven326 days120 days

Compare to


In The Past

The Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund's stock fell -47.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/1/2021. A -47.2% loss requires a 89.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Stubhub (STUB)

Better Bets than Stubhub (STUB)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to STUB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.3%-4.3%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.4%-3.4%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.3%-0.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-27.9%-27.9%-29.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.3%-4.3%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.4%-3.4%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.3%-0.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-27.9%-27.9%-29.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Stubhub

Peers to compare with:

Financials

STUBZZIPCHAIWSHPGOOGLMedian
NameStubhub Zillow ZipRecru.Core AI WeShop Alphabet  
Mkt Price13.9968.774.802.29118.11296.7241.38
Mkt Cap5.216.70.4--3,586.211.0
Rev LTM1,8292,483448--385,4772,156
Op Inc LTM-1,243-90-27--124,077-59
FCF LTM61498--73,55278
FCF 3Y Avg-18756--68,998187
CFO LTM3241816--151,424225
CFO 3Y Avg-38766--120,990387

Growth & Margins

STUBZZIPCHAIWSHPGOOGLMedian
NameStubhub Zillow ZipRecru.Core AI WeShop Alphabet  
Rev Chg LTM14.6%15.2%-10.1%--13.4%14.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-7.0%-20.7%--11.0%7.0%
Rev Chg Q7.9%16.4%-1.8%--15.9%11.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%4.0%-0.5%--3.8%2.9%
Op Mgn LTM-68.0%-3.6%-6.1%--32.2%-4.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--8.5%3.6%--29.9%3.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-75.6%1.9%-0.4%---0.5%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM1.7%16.8%3.5%--39.3%10.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-17.8%10.9%--35.3%17.8%
FCF/Rev LTM0.3%6.0%1.8%--19.1%3.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-8.8%9.2%--20.5%9.2%

Valuation

STUBZZIPCHAIWSHPGOOGLMedian
NameStubhub Zillow ZipRecru.Core AI WeShop Alphabet  
Mkt Cap5.216.70.4--3,586.211.0
P/S2.97.50.8--7.65.2
P/EBIT--2,333.9-46.1--19.3-46.1
P/E-4.0-583.5-8.5--23.6-6.2
P/CFO164.144.723.1--19.433.9
Total Yield-25.1%-0.2%-11.8%--4.6%-6.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%--0.3%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.4%5.6%--3.3%3.3%
D/E-0.01.5--0.00.0
Net D/E--0.10.4---0.0-0.0

Returns

STUBZZIPCHAIWSHPGOOGLMedian
NameStubhub Zillow ZipRecru.Core AI WeShop Alphabet  
1M Rtn9.1%0.5%21.5%0.9%198.9%4.2%6.6%
3M Rtn-36.4%-23.9%-8.2%--19.0%-16.0%
6M Rtn-1.8%-4.2%--71.5%1.8%
12M Rtn--14.9%-39.8%--52.4%-14.9%
3Y Rtn-90.8%-71.1%--231.2%90.8%
1M Excs Rtn8.4%-0.2%20.8%0.1%198.2%3.4%5.9%
3M Excs Rtn-33.1%-24.9%-11.8%--16.5%-18.4%
6M Excs Rtn--10.5%-16.6%--59.1%-10.5%
12M Excs Rtn--25.0%-51.4%--45.9%-25.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-25.6%-139.1%--152.0%25.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment1,3681,03767336212
Total1,3681,03767336212


Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity21,270,122
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520251.8%
Average Daily Volume5,896,245
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.61
Basic Shares Quantity311,633,848
Short % of Basic Shares6.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/13/2025-21.0%-45.2%-29.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative111
Median Positive   
Median Negative-21.0%-45.2%-29.5%
Max Positive   
Max Negative-21.0%-45.2%-29.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251114202510-Q 9/30/2025
33120258112025S-1/A 3/31/2025
123120249172025424B4 12/31/2024
33120246242024DRS/A 3/31/2024
123120238222024DRS/A 12/31/2023
1231202211202023DRS/A 12/31/2022
1231202110192022DRS/A 12/31/2021
123120202102022DRS/A 12/31/2020