News (NWSA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $25.555 | Market Cap: $14.4 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Publishing
News (NWSA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $25.555Market Cap: $14.4 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Publishing
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Video Streaming, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Video Streaming, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NWSA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the approximate -12.8% movement in News Corp (NWSA) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Weak Q4 Fiscal 2025 Financial Performance: While News Corp's Q4 fiscal 2025 results (reported in early August 2025) topped revenue expectations, sales declined by 13.5% year-on-year, and the company significantly missed free cash flow estimates, with margins also decreasing. This mixed financial performance, particularly the revenue decline and free cash flow miss, likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.
2. Underperformance Compared to Broader Market: News Corp's stock has consistently underperformed the broader market during the period, showing declines of 3% year-to-date and 8.4% over the preceding 52 weeks as of November 10, 2025, compared to gains in the S&P 500 Index and the Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF Fund. This sustained underperformance may have led to a continued downward trend in the stock price.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NWSA Return | 29% | 25% | -18% | 36% | 13% | -7% | 91% |
| Peers Return | 27% | 24% | -22% | 30% | 13% | -4% | 74% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NWSA Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 33% | 83% | 67% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 45% | 43% | 27% | 45% | 42% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NWSA Max Drawdown | -42% | 0% | -32% | -14% | -4% | -13% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -26% | -12% | -30% | -5% | -12% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DIS, NYT, IPG, AXR, TDAY. See NWSA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NWSA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -45.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 84.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 617 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 82.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 131 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -36.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 58.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 693 days | 120 days |
Compare to DIS, NYT, IPG, AXR, TDAY
In The Past
News's stock fell -45.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/11/2021. A -45.9% loss requires a 84.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NWSA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for News
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | - |
| Mkt Cap | 9.0 |
| Rev LTM | 10,345 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,450 |
| FCF LTM | 840 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 790 |
| CFO LTM | 959 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 948 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -5.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | -6.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 9.0 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | 9.7 |
| P/E | 20.4 |
| P/CFO | 9.4 |
| Total Yield | 10.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 5.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.3% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | - |
| 3M Rtn | - |
| 6M Rtn | - |
| 12M Rtn | - |
| 3Y Rtn | - |
| 1M Excs Rtn | - |
| 3M Excs Rtn | - |
| 6M Excs Rtn | - |
| 12M Excs Rtn | - |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | - |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dow Jones | 4,139 | 4,305 | 4,368 | 2,798 | 2,480 |
| Digital Real Estate Services | 3,020 | 2,942 | 2,989 | 3,146 | 2,322 |
| Book Publishing | 2,647 | 2,629 | 2,651 | 2,713 | 2,212 |
| Subscription Video Services | 2,587 | 2,812 | 3,082 | 3,515 | 3,459 |
| News Media | 2,003 | 2,023 | 2,115 | 2,209 | 1,994 |
| Other | 1,858 | 1,783 | 1,528 | 2,039 | 1,497 |
| Investments | 430 | 427 | 488 | 351 | 297 |
| Total | 16,684 | 16,921 | 17,221 | 16,771 | 14,261 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8132024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8152023 | 10-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5122023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2102023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8122022 | 10-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2042022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
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