News (NWSA)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $26.055 | Market Cap: $14.7 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Publishing
News (NWSA)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $26.055Market Cap: $14.7 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Publishing
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.7% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -22% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.6% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | Key risksNWSA key risks include [1] a copyright lawsuit from Brave Software over its AI-driven search summaries and [2] declining revenue from its Realtor.com segment due to a challenging real estate market. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Video Streaming, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.7% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Video Streaming, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -22% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.6% |
| Key risksNWSA key risks include [1] a copyright lawsuit from Brave Software over its AI-driven search summaries and [2] declining revenue from its Realtor.com segment due to a challenging real estate market. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NWSA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
I have searched for information regarding News Corp (NWSA) stock performance and related news from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025. While some search results refer to earnings reports for fiscal year 2025 and Q1 fiscal year 2026, and some stock price data up to December 2025, I did not find specific key points directly attributing an -11.2% stock movement for the precise period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025. The available information suggests positive financial performance for fiscal year 2025 and Q1 fiscal year 2026, and analyst ratings generally show a "Moderate Buy" consensus.
However, I can extract individual data points that show stock price fluctuations within the requested timeframe. For instance, on December 12, 2025, the stock closed at $26.22, and on December 11, 2025, it closed at $26.10. On November 24, 2025, it closed at $25.23, and on November 21, 2025, it closed at $25.69. On August 5, 2025, NWSA was trading at $33.54. Given this, an 11.2% decline from an August 31, 2025 price is plausible, but the specific reasons for this exact percentage decline between the given dates are not explicitly detailed in the provided search results as distinct key points.
Therefore, I cannot precisely highlight 5 key points explaining an 11.2% stock movement for NWSA within the specified period based on the available information. The provided results indicate general positive financial performance, a new stock repurchase program, and ongoing strategic transformations, which would typically support stock prices rather than cause a significant decline.
However, since I must provide key points and apply HTML formatting, and some recent stock price data is available, I will present the most recent stock data and related news, and acknowledge the difficulty in attributing a precise 11.2% decline without explicit explanatory events.
**1. On August 5, 2025, News Corp (NWSA) reported strong fiscal year 2025 fourth quarter and full year results, with full-year revenue increasing by 2% to nearly $8.5 billion and net income from continuing operations surging by 71% to $648 million.**
**2. The company announced a new $1 billion stock repurchase program in July 2025, with an intent to accelerate the pace of buybacks, which typically aims to enhance shareholder value.**
**3. For the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, News Corp reported strong results, with NWSA's Q1 earnings surpassing estimates and revenues increasing year-over-year.**
**4. Despite generally positive financial news, NWSA's stock price experienced fluctuations within the period, with a closing price of $26.22 on December 12, 2025, and a closing price of $25.52 on December 1, 2025.** The stock was trading at $33.54 on August 5, 2025.
**5. Analyst ratings for NWSA in the last 12 months, leading up to December 2025, indicated a "Moderate Buy" consensus with an average price target of $37.95, suggesting a forecasted upside from its trading price.**
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NWSA Return | 29% | 25% | -18% | 36% | 13% | -5% | 95% |
| Peers Return | 62% | 0% | -21% | 35% | 18% | 9% | 126% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NWSA Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 33% | 83% | 67% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 53% | 40% | 57% | 45% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NWSA Max Drawdown | -42% | 0% | -32% | -14% | -4% | -13% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -22% | -35% | -4% | -14% | -12% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FOXA, NYT, TRI, ZG, CSGP. See NWSA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NWSA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -45.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 84.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 617 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 82.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 131 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -36.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 58.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 693 days | 120 days |
Compare to DIS, NYT, IPG, AXR, TDAY
In The Past
News's stock fell -45.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/11/2021. A -45.9% loss requires a 84.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NWSA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.0% | -5.0% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.5% | -1.5% | -3.9% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.3% | 1.3% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -28.9% | -28.9% | -29.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.0% | -5.0% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.5% | -1.5% | -3.9% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.3% | 1.3% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -28.9% | -28.9% | -29.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for News
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 68.52 |
| Mkt Cap | 21.8 |
| Rev LTM | 5,216 |
| Op Inc LTM | 699 |
| FCF LTM | 558 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 449 |
| CFO LTM | 783 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 683 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 11.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 21.8 |
| P/S | 5.3 |
| P/EBIT | 12.9 |
| P/E | 21.2 |
| P/CFO | 22.9 |
| Total Yield | 4.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -17.7% |
| 6M Rtn | -2.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -9.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 71.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -17.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -14.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -21.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 3.0% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dow Jones | 4,139 | 4,305 | 4,368 | 2,798 | 2,480 |
| Digital Real Estate Services | 3,020 | 2,942 | 2,989 | 3,146 | 2,322 |
| Book Publishing | 2,647 | 2,629 | 2,651 | 2,713 | 2,212 |
| Subscription Video Services | 2,587 | 2,812 | 3,082 | 3,515 | 3,459 |
| News Media | 2,003 | 2,023 | 2,115 | 2,209 | 1,994 |
| Other | 1,858 | 1,783 | 1,528 | 2,039 | 1,497 |
| Investments | 430 | 427 | 488 | 351 | 297 |
| Total | 16,684 | 16,921 | 17,221 | 16,771 | 14,261 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| 8/5/2025 | 0.5% | -1.6% | 0.4% |
| 5/8/2025 | -1.5% | -1.2% | -2.5% |
| 2/5/2025 | -1.0% | 2.0% | -2.8% |
| 11/7/2024 | 1.2% | -0.2% | 0.8% |
| 8/8/2024 | 3.6% | 3.0% | -0.7% |
| 5/8/2024 | 2.7% | 7.7% | 12.6% |
| 2/7/2024 | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 16 | 16 | 13 |
| # Negative | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% |
| Median Negative | -1.8% | -1.4% | -6.7% |
| Max Positive | 13.3% | 17.1% | 38.4% |
| Max Negative | -13.3% | -11.9% | -29.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8132024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8152023 | 10-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5122023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2102023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8122022 | 10-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2042022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |