Sirius XM (SIRI)
Market Price (12/26/2025): $20.67 | Market Cap: $7.0 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Movies & Entertainment
Sirius XM (SIRI)
Market Price (12/26/2025): $20.67Market Cap: $7.0 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Movies & Entertainment
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 20%, Dividend Yield is 5.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 15%, FCF Yield is 18% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -107%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -145% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 144% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.6% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% | Key risksSIRI key risks include [1] a declining subscriber base as its core satellite model faces obsolescence, Show more. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Music Streaming. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 20%, Dividend Yield is 5.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 15%, FCF Yield is 18% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Music Streaming. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -107%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -145% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 144% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.6% |
| Key risksSIRI key risks include [1] a declining subscriber base as its core satellite model faces obsolescence, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Declining Revenue and Subscriber Losses. Sirius XM has experienced a trend of declining revenue, which is projected to continue into 2025, alongside an anticipated loss of self-pay subscribers. The company reported a 0.6% year-over-year decline in Q3 2025 revenue.
2. Intense Competition from Streaming Services. Sirius XM faces significant competition, notably from streaming platforms like Spotify, which reported substantial earnings growth in Q3 2025, contrasting with Sirius XM's performance and potentially indicating market share erosion.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -6.5% change in SIRI stock from 9/25/2025 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a -6.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 9252025 | 12252025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 22.10 | 20.67 | -6.48% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8565.00 | 8553.00 | -0.14% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.87 | 0.81 | -6.63% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 338.00 | 337.00 | 0.30% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -6.48% |
Market Drivers
9/25/2025 to 12/25/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SIRI | -6.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.9% | 25.9% |
| Sector (XLC) | 0.9% | 26.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -5.8% change in SIRI stock from 6/26/2025 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a -5.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 6262025 | 12252025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.95 | 20.67 | -5.83% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8605.00 | 8553.00 | -0.60% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.86 | 0.81 | -5.82% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 339.00 | 337.00 | 0.59% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -5.83% |
Market Drivers
6/26/2025 to 12/25/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SIRI | -5.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.1% | 28.4% |
| Sector (XLC) | 11.3% | 23.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -7.3% change in SIRI stock from 12/25/2024 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a -5.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 12252024 | 12252025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 22.30 | 20.67 | -7.31% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8799.00 | 8553.00 | -2.80% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.86 | 0.81 | -5.20% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 339.00 | 337.00 | 0.59% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -7.31% |
Market Drivers
12/25/2024 to 12/25/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SIRI | -7.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.8% | 47.6% |
| Sector (XLC) | 20.1% | 48.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -63.0% change in SIRI stock from 12/26/2022 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a -62.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12262022 | 12252025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 55.88 | 20.67 | -63.01% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 9000.00 | 8553.00 | -4.97% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.97% | 11.61% | -10.46% |
| P/E Multiple | 18.67 | 7.01 | -62.43% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 390.00 | 337.00 | 13.59% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -63.69% |
Market Drivers
12/26/2023 to 12/25/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SIRI | -61.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.3% | 36.4% |
| Sector (XLC) | 65.3% | 30.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SIRI Return | -10% | 1% | -3% | -4% | -59% | -5% | -68% |
| Peers Return | 3% | 248% | -8% | -28% | -11% | -12% | 84% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 115% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SIRI Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 58% | 42% | 33% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 47% | 35% | 40% | 47% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SIRI Max Drawdown | -38% | -9% | -6% | -41% | -63% | -14% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -57% | -6% | -20% | -39% | -28% | -28% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: OMC, NXST, SBGI, AMC, UONE. See SIRI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SIRI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -50.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 101.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,217 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,508 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -98.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 7445.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,457 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to OMC, NXST, SBGI, AMC, UONE
In The Past
Sirius XM's stock fell -50.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/20/2023. A -50.3% loss requires a 101.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Sirius XM:
- Netflix for Audio: Think of it as a Netflix for audio entertainment, offering a wide variety of exclusive music, talk, news, and sports channels for a monthly subscription.
- Premium Cable Radio: It's like a premium, ad-free version of traditional radio, or a specialized cable TV package, but for your ears – bundling exclusive channels across music, sports, news, and talk.
- Upgraded Spotify/Pandora: Imagine a paid, upgraded version of Spotify or Pandora that includes exclusive live radio, major sports broadcasts, and popular talk shows you can't find anywhere else.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Satellite Radio Subscription Service: A subscription-based audio entertainment service offering a wide variety of music, talk, news, sports, and comedy channels delivered via satellite.
- Pandora Music and Podcast Streaming: A personalized internet radio and on-demand music and podcast streaming service.
- Connected Vehicle Services: A suite of automotive services providing features such as navigation, emergency assistance, security, and remote vehicle control integrated into vehicles.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Sirius XM (SIRI) - Major Customers
Sirius XM primarily sells its subscription-based satellite radio and audio entertainment services directly to individual consumers, not to other companies for their own use. Therefore, its major customers are individuals.
The company serves the following categories of individual customers:
- In-Car Subscribers: These are individuals who subscribe to Sirius XM primarily for access to its audio content in their vehicles via satellite radio. New and used vehicles often come equipped with Sirius XM radios and trial subscriptions, after which the individual consumer becomes a paying subscriber.
- Streaming-Only Subscribers: This category includes individuals who subscribe to Sirius XM's streaming services (which may include the SiriusXM app and Pandora Premium) for access on mobile devices, computers, and smart speakers, often without an accompanying in-car satellite radio subscription.
- Bundled Subscribers (In-Car + Streaming): Many customers opt for packages that provide access to Sirius XM content both in their vehicles via satellite radio and through streaming platforms on various devices.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Maxar Technologies
- The Boeing Company (BA)
- SpaceX
- Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
- Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)
- Universal Music Group N.V. (UMGNF)
- Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG)
- Sony Group Corporation (SONY)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Jennifer Witz, Chief Executive Officer
Jennifer Witz became Chief Executive Officer of SiriusXM in January 2021. She joined SiriusXM in 2002 and held various senior financial and operating roles, including President of Sales, Marketing and Operations, Executive Vice President and Chief Marketing Officer, and Senior Vice President, Finance. Before joining SiriusXM, she held senior financial and operating roles at global media company Viacom Inc. and Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer (MGM). She began her career in the Investment Banking division of Kidder, Peabody & Co Inc.
Thomas D. Barry, Chief Financial Officer
Thomas D. Barry was appointed Chief Financial Officer for SiriusXM in April 2023. He joined SiriusXM in 2009 and served as Senior Vice President and Controller, and Chief Accounting Officer. During his tenure, he played a key role in the post-merger integration of Sirius and XM and subsequent acquisitions, including Pandora and the Connected Vehicle Business. Prior to SiriusXM, Mr. Barry held finance leadership roles at Reader's Digest Inc., Xerox Engineering Systems, and Avon Products Inc.
Scott Greenstein, President and Chief Content Officer
Scott Greenstein joined SiriusXM in 2004 and serves as President and Chief Content Officer, responsible for programming development and content strategy across all platforms. He has led the expansion of SiriusXM's programming lineup and manages Pandora's original programming team and SiriusXM's podcasting studios. Before joining SiriusXM, he was Chairman of USA Films and Co-President of October Films. He also served as Chief Executive Officer of The Greenstein Group, a media and entertainment consulting firm, and held senior positions at Miramax Films and Viacom Inc.
Rich Baer, Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary
Rich Baer was appointed Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary for SiriusXM, effective March 3, 2025. In this role, he oversees legal, ethics, privacy, and governmental affairs. Most recently, he served as Chief Legal Officer of Airbnb. His previous experience includes serving as Chief Legal Officer of Liberty Media, UnitedHealth Group, and Qwest Communications International. Mr. Baer began his career as a homicide prosecutor in Brooklyn, New York.
Wayne Thorsen, Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer
Wayne Thorsen is the Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer for SiriusXM. He oversees SiriusXM's product and technology functions, commercial activities, business development (including automotive and streaming distribution arrangements), subscriber acquisition, and corporate strategy.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The public company Sirius XM (SIRI) faces several key risks to its business model, primarily stemming from evolving consumer preferences, a highly competitive market, and its financial structure.
- Declining Subscriber Base and Intense Competition: Sirius XM has experienced a consistent decline in its self-pay subscriber numbers across both its SiriusXM and Pandora segments. For instance, in Q2 2024, the company reported a loss of 100,000 self-pay subscribers, and its subscriber base has contracted for years, with a net loss of 68,000 from Q1 to Q2 2025. This trend is driven by an increasingly crowded audio entertainment landscape, where streaming giants like Spotify, Apple Music, and Amazon Music offer alternative and often on-demand content, drawing away younger listeners. The company's satellite division, which generates a significant portion of its revenue, is grappling with obsolescence as consumers shift to streaming and ad-supported models.
- High Debt Load: Sirius XM carries a substantial debt load, which poses a significant financial risk. At the end of March 2025, the company had approximately $10.5 billion in debt. This high leverage can reduce the company's financial flexibility and makes it particularly vulnerable to rising interest rates, which would increase borrowing costs and potentially impact profitability.
- Reliance on the Automotive Industry and Associated Risks: A considerable portion of Sirius XM's business relies on its partnerships with automakers to pre-install satellite radios in new vehicles and acquire subscribers. This reliance exposes the company to risks within the automotive sector, such as global supply chain disruptions like the semiconductor chip shortage, which has forced automakers to reduce or halt production, consequently impacting Sirius XM's subscriber acquisition efforts. Additionally, the company's connected vehicle services, which are active in over 12 million vehicles, have faced cybersecurity vulnerabilities. There have also been reports of unwanted SiriusXM pop-up ads appearing on in-car infotainment systems, raising safety concerns and potentially degrading the customer experience.
AI Analysis | Feedback
One clear emerging threat to Sirius XM (SIRI) is the increasing integration of internet-connected infotainment systems in new vehicles, coupled with the widespread adoption of Apple CarPlay and Android Auto.
These systems provide seamless access to a multitude of audio streaming services like Spotify, Apple Music, Amazon Music, and various podcast platforms directly through the car's dashboard. This reduces the unique "in-car" advantage historically held by satellite radio, as consumers can easily access their preferred audio content, often from services they already subscribe to (or use for free), without needing a separate Sirius XM subscription. This trend threatens Sirius XM's ability to convert trial users into long-term subscribers and retain existing ones, as the value proposition of a dedicated satellite radio service diminishes when alternatives are so readily available and integrated into the primary vehicle interface.
Another clear emerging threat is the massive investment and growth in the podcast ecosystem by major tech companies, particularly Spotify and Amazon. These platforms are acquiring exclusive content, signing high-profile creators, and developing sophisticated discovery tools. This directly competes with Sirius XM's core offering of exclusive talk, news, and entertainment programming, as listeners increasingly turn to a vast and growing library of free or subscription-based podcasts for their spoken-word audio needs. This trend impacts Sirius XM's ability to attract and retain subscribers who value unique audio content, as compelling alternatives become widely available on other platforms.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Sirius XM (SIRI) offers a range of audio entertainment services, including satellite radio, streaming audio (music and podcasts), and connected vehicle services. The addressable markets for these main products and services are primarily focused on North America, particularly the U.S.
Satellite Radio
- The global automotive satellite radio market, in which SiriusXM operates in the U.S. and Canada, was valued at approximately USD 30.61 billion in 2024. This market is projected to reach USD 56.1 billion by 2035, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.66% from 2025 to 2035.
- In the U.S., roughly 115 million of the 280 million cars on the road today are equipped with satellite receivers.
Audio Streaming (Music and Podcasts)
- The U.S. audio streaming market is anticipated to grow at a significant CAGR of 15.4% from 2025 to 2030.
- Music Streaming: The U.S. music streaming market size was estimated at USD 11.05 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 23.69 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 13.40%. Globally, the music streaming market size was valued at USD 51.89 billion in 2025 and is set to exceed USD 206.3 billion by 2035. North America is expected to account for over 34% of this market by 2035.
- Podcasting: The podcasting market in the United States generated revenue of USD 8,393.5 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 25,776.8 million by 2030, exhibiting a CAGR of 19.8% from 2025 to 2030. North America is projected to have the largest number of podcast listeners globally, with 149.4 million listeners in 2024. The global podcasting market size was estimated at USD 30.72 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 131.13 billion by 2030.
Connected Car Services
- The connected car market in the United States is expected to generate revenue of US$ 4,872.0 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 11.2% from 2025 to 2030.
- Another estimate indicates the U.S. connected car market size was valued at USD 23,743.2 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 1,23,987.9 million by 2033, demonstrating a CAGR of 20.16% during 2025-2033.
- The global connected vehicle services market was valued at USD 21 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach USD 57 billion by 2034.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Sirius XM (SIRI) is focusing on several strategic initiatives to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, emphasizing core subscriber growth, expanded offerings, and the burgeoning advertising market.
- Enhancing and Expanding the Core Automotive Subscriber Segment: Sirius XM is prioritizing its strong in-vehicle subscriber base, aiming to increase retention and capture additional growth opportunities within this segment. The company is shifting marketing and other resources to focus on core revenue-generating segments, with expectations for the in-car business to improve through new acquisition initiatives.
- Introduction of New Pricing and Packaging Options: To broaden its appeal and subscriber funnel, Sirius XM is expanding its offerings, including a free ad-supported tier and a premium interactive bundle available both in-car and in-app. The launch of "SiriusXM Play," a low-cost, ad-supported plan, is a key part of this strategy, aiming to attract price-sensitive customers and fill out a "good, better, best" pricing approach. These new subscription models and "SiriusXM Free Access" are designed to boost the subscriber base and advertising revenue.
- Growth in Advertising Revenue, Particularly from Podcasting: Sirius XM is actively investing in technology and partnerships to strengthen its advertising business. The company has seen significant growth in podcast ad revenue, increasing nearly 50% year-over-year, driven by strategic talent deals and expanding digital content. This focus on a growing ad-supported business is a key component of its overall strategy.
- Operational Efficiencies and Cost Discipline: Although not a direct revenue driver, Sirius XM is committed to "accelerating efficiency throughout the organization" and targeting "robust margins, free cash flow generation." The company expects to achieve approximately $200 million in gross cost savings annually across operating costs and capital spending, which can free up resources for investment in growth areas and improve overall financial performance.
- Unlocking Value from Spectrum Assets: Sirius XM's CEO, Jennifer Witz, has indicated that the company is "actively exploring ways to unlock the long-term strategic value of our spectrum assets." While specific details are still emerging, this initiative could potentially lead to new revenue streams or strategic partnerships, contributing to future value creation.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Sirius XM's Board authorized a $1.166 billion common stock repurchase program on September 9, 2024, which represents the remaining available amount under a previous $18 billion program that commenced in December 2012.
- Actual share repurchases amounted to $647 million in 2022 and $274 million in 2023.
- For the nine months ended September 30, 2025, cumulative repurchases totaled $96 million, with $1.070 billion remaining available under the current authorization.
Share Issuance
- The completion of the Liberty Media transaction in September 2024 resulted in a net reduction of approximately 12% of Sirius XM's outstanding shares.
- As of September 30, 2025, there were 337 million shares issued and outstanding, a decrease from 339 million shares at December 31, 2024, reflecting net share reductions.
Inbound Investments
- Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway increased its stake in Sirius XM in the first quarter of 2025, growing its ownership to nearly 35% of the company, valued at approximately $2.7 billion.
- Berkshire Hathaway began actively purchasing SIRI stock in early 2024.
Outbound Investments
- SiriusXM acquired Team Coco in May 2022, which provides radio podcast, live event, and merchandise services.
- In 2022, SiriusXM purchased Conan O'Brien's digital media assets, including his podcast "Conan O'Brien Needs a Friend," for $150 million.
- SiriusXM completed the acquisition of Stitcher in October 2020 and acquired Simplecast, a podcast management platform, in June 2020.
Capital Expenditures
- Non-satellite capital expenditures are expected to be at the low end of the $450-500 million range in 2025, with a projected reduction to approximately $400 million in 2026.
- Satellite capital expenditures are anticipated to decline from around $200 million in 2025 to nearly zero by 2028, with approximately $41 million spent on satellite construction in Q2 2025.
- The primary focus of capital expenditures includes reducing satellite infrastructure costs, maintaining existing infrastructure, and investing in enhanced in-car experiences and off-platform monetization.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to SIRI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -4.5% | -4.5% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -2.7% | -2.7% | -5.1% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.5% | 4.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -26.1% | -26.1% | -29.8% |
| 08312024 | SIRI | Sirius XM | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -29.2% | -29.0% | -43.4% |
| 02292024 | SIRI | Sirius XM | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -25.0% | -46.4% | -54.9% |
| 08312023 | SIRI | Sirius XM | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.5% | -23.1% | -41.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Sirius XM
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 17.94 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.6 |
| Rev LTM | 5,008 |
| Op Inc LTM | 690 |
| FCF LTM | 597 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 538 |
| CFO LTM | 700 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 656 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | -8.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -2.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.6 |
| P/S | 0.6 |
| P/EBIT | 3.5 |
| P/E | 3.3 |
| P/CFO | 3.7 |
| Total Yield | 7.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 14.3% |
| D/E | 2.7 |
| Net D/E | 2.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -5.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | -46.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -8.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -23.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -128.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $20.67 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 7.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/10/2024 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -20.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $21.38 | $21.75 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -3.3% | -4.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 36.5% | 39.6% |
| Downside Capture | 56.32 | 103.86 |
| Upside Capture | 12.21 | 81.23 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 25.8% | 47.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.01 | 0.81 | 0.86 | 1.12 | 1.03 | 1.05 |
| Up Beta | 1.35 | 1.81 | 1.53 | 1.42 | 0.90 | 0.84 |
| Down Beta | 0.84 | 1.83 | 1.39 | 1.21 | 1.05 | 1.04 |
| Up Capture | 17% | -15% | 10% | 75% | 92% | 68% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 74 | 142 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 19 | 28 | 66 | 126 | 347 |
| Down Capture | 137% | 41% | 77% | 119% | 117% | 108% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 22 | 33 | 58 | 119 | 382 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of SIRI With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIRI | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 5.4% | 22.6% | 19.2% | 71.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | -10.1% |
| Annualized Volatility | 41.1% | 18.5% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.23 | 0.96 | 0.78 | 2.69 | 0.36 | 0.18 | -0.12 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 47.1% | 47.1% | 3.4% | 13.4% | 46.1% | 13.5% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLC, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of SIRI With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIRI | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -18.5% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 32.7% |
| Annualized Volatility | 44.7% | 20.9% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.7% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.31 | 0.53 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.51 | 0.17 | 0.60 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 25.3% | 31.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 29.1% | 9.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLC, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of SIRI With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIRI | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -5.3% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 69.3% |
| Annualized Volatility | 37.1% | 22.6% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.04 | 0.54 | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.31 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 37.6% | 43.8% | 5.2% | 15.0% | 38.2% | 10.0% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLC, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | 10.1% | 5.1% | -1.2% |
| 7/31/2025 | -7.9% | -8.5% | 3.2% |
| 5/1/2025 | -9.0% | -1.3% | 2.5% |
| 1/30/2025 | 5.8% | 18.1% | 11.9% |
| 10/31/2024 | -2.7% | -3.3% | -0.6% |
| 8/1/2024 | -6.4% | -9.9% | -4.7% |
| 4/30/2024 | -7.3% | 0.3% | -12.8% |
| 2/1/2024 | 2.8% | -0.4% | -15.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 12 | 10 |
| # Negative | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% |
| Median Negative | -6.4% | -3.3% | -5.7% |
| Max Positive | 10.1% | 18.1% | 13.0% |
| Max Negative | -9.6% | -14.3% | -27.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1302025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4302024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2012024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10312023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2022023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.
