Iridium Communications (IRDM)
Market Price (4/4/2026): $32.92 | Market Cap: $3.4 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Alternative Carriers
Iridium Communications (IRDM)
Market Price (4/4/2026): $32.92Market Cap: $3.4 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Alternative Carriers
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 8.7% Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 27% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Wireless Services, Commercial Space Exploration, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0% Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -109% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is 0.0% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 85% Key risksIRDM key risks include [1] intensifying market competition, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 8.7% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 27% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Wireless Services, Commercial Space Exploration, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -109% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is 0.0% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 85% |
| Key risksIRDM key risks include [1] intensifying market competition, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Q4 2025 Earnings Beat and Positive 2026 Financial Outlook.
Iridium Communications reported Q4 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.24 on February 12, 2026, surpassing analyst consensus estimates of $0.23. This earnings beat was accompanied by a positive financial outlook for 2026, with the company targeting $318 million in pro forma free cash flow and projecting operational EBITDA between $480 million and $490 million, instilling investor confidence in future profitability and growth.
2. Advancements in Next-Generation Satellite Services.
The company generated significant investor optimism through progress in its new technology offerings, notably the ongoing on-air trials for Iridium NTN Direct, aimed at providing direct satellite connectivity to standard smartphones, and the planned launch of NTN Direct chipsets in 2026. Additionally, Iridium launched its Next Generation IoT Platform in February 2026 and is leveraging its 2024 acquisition of Satelles, Inc. to capitalize on demand for secure Positioning, Navigation, and Timing (PNT) systems as alternatives to GPS.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 90.2% change in IRDM stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 106.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 17.28 | 32.86 | 90.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 872 | 872 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 14.4% | 13.1% | -9.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.6 | 30.0 | 106.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 106 | 104 | 1.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 90.2% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| IRDM | 90.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 16.5% |
| Sector (XLC) | -5.1% | 10.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 90.9% change in IRDM stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 83.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 17.22 | 32.86 | 90.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 858 | 872 | 1.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 13.2% | 13.1% | -0.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 16.4 | 30.0 | 83.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 108 | 104 | 3.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 90.9% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| IRDM | 90.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 22.4% |
| Sector (XLC) | -5.3% | 16.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 23.6% change in IRDM stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 12.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 26.58 | 32.86 | 23.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 831 | 872 | 4.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 13.6% | 13.1% | -3.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 26.7 | 30.0 | 12.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 113 | 104 | 8.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 23.6% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| IRDM | 23.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 27.8% |
| Sector (XLC) | 16.9% | 24.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -43.6% change in IRDM stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -96.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 58.31 | 32.86 | -43.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 721 | 872 | 20.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.2% | 13.1% | 984.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 846.5 | 30.0 | -96.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 127 | 104 | 21.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -43.6% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| IRDM | -43.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 25.1% |
| Sector (XLC) | 98.5% | 20.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| IRDM Return | 5% | 24% | -19% | -28% | -39% | 65% | -23% |
| Peers Return | 47% | -33% | 20% | 57% | 219% | 18% | 595% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -4% | 75% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| IRDM Win Rate | 67% | 58% | 58% | 33% | 50% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 38% | 42% | 50% | 42% | 57% | 80% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| IRDM Max Drawdown | -10% | -22% | -30% | -40% | -44% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -17% | -46% | -37% | -50% | -22% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VSAT, GSAT, SATS, TSAT, ASTS. See IRDM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/2/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | IRDM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -47.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 89.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 78.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 244 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -29.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 81 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -31.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,857 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to VSAT, GSAT, SATS, TSAT, ASTS
In The Past
Iridium Communications's stock fell -47.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/21/2023. A -47.2% loss requires a 89.4% gain to breakeven.
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About Iridium Communications (IRDM)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies to describe Iridium Communications (IRDM):
- Verizon for the entire planet, using satellites instead of cell towers.
- Starlink, but focused on global voice, critical data, and IoT for governments and businesses.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) Major Products and Services
- Mobile Satellite Voice & Data Services: Provides global postpaid and prepaid voice and data satellite communication services to various sectors.
- Push-to-Talk Services: Offers a satellite-based communication service similar to a walkie-talkie for group communication.
- Broadband Data Services: Delivers high-speed data connectivity via its satellite network for various applications.
- Internet of Things (IoT) Services: Enables machine-to-machine communication for tracking, monitoring, and data transfer.
- Hosted Payload Services: Allows customers to host their own equipment on Iridium satellites for specialized data applications.
- Satellite Time & Location Services: Provides precise timing and location data utilizing its satellite constellation.
- Satellite Communication Devices: Sells satellite handsets, personal connectivity devices, voice and data modems, and broadband data devices.
- Tracking & Monitoring Solutions: Offers devices and applications for tracking personnel, assets, and supporting specialized communications.
- Government Communications Solutions: Provides secure satellite handsets, netted voice, messaging, and paging services for military and intelligence agencies.
- United States Government Gateway Maintenance: Offers maintenance services for the United States government's dedicated Iridium gateway.
- Engineering & Support Services: Provides technical engineering assistance and ongoing customer support for its products and network.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Iridium Communications Inc. serves a diverse range of major customer categories:
- Governments: This includes the United States and international governments, particularly for military and intelligence agencies, utilizing secure satellite handsets, netted voice/messaging, paging services, and dedicated gateway maintenance.
- Businesses and Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs): These customers use Iridium's services for mobile voice and data, push-to-talk, broadband data, Internet of Things (IoT), personnel and asset tracking, beyond-line-of-sight aircraft communications, and maritime communications applications. Iridium also sells to commercial end-users through a wholesale distribution network of service providers, value-added resellers, and manufacturers.
- Consumers/Individuals: This category includes global consumers and high-value individuals, who use satellite handsets, personal connectivity devices, and specialized communication solutions.
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- Thales (public, symbol TCFPY on OTC Markets as an ADR, or HO.PA on Euronext Paris)
- Leonardo S.p.A. (public, symbol FINMY on OTC Markets as an ADR, or LDO.MI on Borsa Italiana)
- SpaceX (private company)
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Matthew J. Desch, Chief Executive Officer
Matthew J. Desch has served as CEO of Iridium Communications Inc. since 2009, and as CEO of its predecessor, Iridium Holdings LLC, from 2006 to 2009. With over 40 years of experience in the telecommunications industry, he led Iridium through its initial public offering on NASDAQ in 2009 and the launch of its $3 billion next-generation satellite network, Iridium NEXT, which was completed in 2019. Prior to Iridium, Mr. Desch was CEO of Telcordia Technologies, Inc. (now part of Ericsson) from 2002 to 2005, and spent 13 years at Nortel Networks Corporation, including as President of its global wireless networks business. He began his career in software development at AT&T Bell Laboratories.
Vincent J. O'Neill, Chief Financial Officer
Vincent J. O'Neill assumed the role of Chief Financial Officer effective January 1, 2025. He joined Iridium in 2014 and previously served as Senior Vice President, Finance, where he was responsible for treasury, strategic and operational financial planning, and financing activities. Before joining Iridium, Mr. O'Neill held various financial leadership roles with wireless and wireless infrastructure providers, including serving as CFO of Mobilitie, and holding senior finance positions at Sprint Nextel and BT Cellnet (now Telefónica). He is a Chartered Management Accountant.
Suzanne E. McBride, Chief Operations Officer
Suzanne E. McBride has served as Chief Operations Officer since February 2019 and as a director of Iridium since May 2020. She previously served as Chief Operating Officer of OneWeb, Ltd. from October 2018 to January 2019. Prior to that, she was employed by Iridium Satellite LLC from 2007 to 2016, overseeing the launch program for the second-generation constellation as Vice President, Program Management Office and Launch Services. Ms. McBride has over 30 years of experience in the satellite industry, including her work as a senior engineer at Motorola's Satellite Communications Group during the original Iridium satellite constellation's development and launch in the 1990s.
Timothy J. Last, Executive Vice President, Sales and Marketing
Timothy J. Last was appointed Executive Vice President, Sales and Marketing, effective January 1, 2025. He joined Iridium in 2012 and has held roles of increasing responsibility within the sales and marketing organization, including Senior Vice President, Sales, Product Management and Customer Care. Before his time at Iridium, Mr. Last held business development positions at ORBCOMM, Inc. and BT Group.
Scott T. Scheimreif, Executive Vice President, Government Programs
Scott T. Scheimreif serves as the Executive Vice President of Government Programs for Iridium Communications Inc.
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Key Risks to Iridium Communications (IRDM)
Iridium Communications (IRDM) faces several key risks inherent to the satellite communications industry and its operational model:
- Increased Competition and Rapid Technological Evolution: The satellite communications industry is highly competitive, with established players and new entrants like Starlink and OneWeb vying for market share. This intensified competition could lead to reduced margins and limit Iridium's revenue growth. Additionally, the rapid pace of technological innovation in both satellite and terrestrial wireless communications poses a threat. Iridium's current satellite data rates are relatively low compared to traditional cellular communications, and if newer technologies offering higher data rates emerge, the company may experience a reduction in its customer base or be compelled to increase capital expenditures to launch new satellites to remain competitive.
- Limited Ability to Repair Satellite Infrastructure: Iridium operates a constellation of satellites in Low-Earth Orbit, and these satellites have an estimated operational lifetime. A significant risk is the inability to repair satellites in orbit in the event of an incident or malfunction. A major satellite failure could lead to service disruptions, substantial negative investor reaction, and a reduction in the company's market capitalization, as the company relies on the reliability of its design and assembly without in-orbit repair capabilities.
- Cybersecurity Vulnerabilities: Satellite communication systems, including Iridium's, are vulnerable to various cyber threats. These can include signal jamming, spoofing, and direct hacking of satellite systems and ground stations. Exploiting software vulnerabilities in satellites or ground infrastructure could result in loss of communication, manipulation of data, or even unauthorized control of satellites. Given the critical and often sensitive nature of communications (including government and financial data), breaches could lead to significant data integrity and privacy issues, service disruptions, and reputational damage.
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Clear Emerging Threats for Iridium Communications (IRDM):
- Direct-to-device (DtD) satellite connectivity for standard smartphones: Emerging companies such as AST SpaceMobile and Lynk Global are developing and deploying satellite constellations designed to provide cellular connectivity, including messaging, voice, and eventually data, directly to unmodified standard terrestrial smartphones. This technology, already exemplified by Apple's Emergency SOS via Satellite service (which leverages Globalstar's network) and other planned services, poses a significant threat to Iridium's business model, which currently relies on customers purchasing specialized satellite handsets and connectivity devices. If successful and widely adopted, DtD could significantly diminish the demand for Iridium's proprietary hardware and services for basic communication in remote areas.
- Expansion of LEO broadband constellations into mobile and direct-to-cell services: Companies like Starlink are rapidly deploying extensive low Earth orbit (LEO) constellations primarily for high-speed internet. While initially focused on fixed locations, Starlink is aggressively expanding its services to various mobile platforms, including vehicles, maritime vessels, and aircraft. Crucially, Starlink has also announced plans for direct-to-cell connectivity, offering messaging, voice, and eventually data services to standard smartphones through partnerships with major mobile network operators. This expansion could offer competitive broadband data services and increasingly direct-to-phone basic connectivity, potentially eroding parts of Iridium's market share in broadband data, Internet of Things (IoT), and basic voice/messaging services.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Iridium Communications Inc. (symbol: IRDM) operates within several significant addressable markets globally. The estimated sizes for its main products and services are as follows:Global Satellite Communication Services Market
The global satellite communication (SATCOM) market, which includes mobile voice and data communications services, was valued at approximately USD 99.2 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 191.0 billion by 2034, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 7.33% from 2026 to 2034. Another estimate places the market at USD 98.28 billion in 2025, expanding to USD 223.06 billion by 2033 with an 11.0% CAGR from 2026 to 2033. The services segment alone accounted for a 58.6% share of the overall SATCOM market in 2025. Additionally, the global satellite communication market size is poised to reach US$ 92.3 billion in 2024 and is expected to climb to US$ 214.6 billion by 2034, with satellite communication services holding 60% of the market share in 2024.Global Satellite Internet of Things (IoT) Market
The global satellite IoT market, representing Iridium's IoT services, was estimated at USD 1.82 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow significantly to approximately USD 15.77 billion by 2035, at a CAGR of 24.1% from 2026 to 2035. Another report estimates the global satellite IoT market size at USD 1,489.7 million (approximately USD 1.49 billion) in 2024, with a projected increase to USD 7,231.6 million (approximately USD 7.23 billion) by 2033, demonstrating a CAGR of 19.5% from 2025 to 2033. The global satellite IoT subscriber base surpassed 5.8 million in 2024 and is expected to reach 32.5 million units by 2029.Global Satellite Broadband / Internet Market
The global satellite broadband market, covering Iridium's broadband data services, was valued at USD 5.67 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach USD 14.95 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 12.93% over the forecast period of 2025-2032. The global satellite internet market size was estimated at USD 10.4 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 22.6 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 13.9% from 2025 to 2030. Another estimate values the global satellite internet market at USD 11.93 billion in 2025, expected to increase to approximately USD 37.64 billion by 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 13.90% from 2025 to 2034.Global Satellite Push-to-Talk (PTT) Market
The global Satellite Push-to-Talk (PTT) Next Gen market was valued at USD 1.42 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 3.28 billion by 2033, with a robust CAGR of 9.7%. Similarly, the push-to-talk over satellite (PTTOS) market was valued at USD 1.23 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 2.56 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of approximately 9.2% from 2025 to 2033.Global Hosted Payload and Satellite as a Service Market
The global hosted payload leasing market, relevant to Iridium's hosted payload and other data services, reached USD 1.92 billion in 2024 and is expected to expand to an estimated USD 4.68 billion by 2033, reflecting a CAGR of 10.3%. The broader "Satellite as a Service" market, which encompasses hosted payloads, is estimated to be valued at USD 5.3 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 21.5 billion by 2035, with a CAGR of 15.0%. The global satellite payloads market, more generally, was valued at USD 6.28 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 11.74 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 13.2%.AI Analysis | Feedback
Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market expansions:- Continued Growth in Commercial Internet of Things (IoT) Services: Iridium anticipates sustained growth in its commercial IoT sector, fueled by the introduction of new products and the expansion of its partner ecosystem. Commercial IoT revenue has consistently shown strong performance, with double-digit growth and over 30 new IoT products certified in 2025, indicating a broad-based adoption of these services for consumer and commercial applications. This segment is considered a structural pillar for the business's growth.
- Expansion of Government Service Revenue and National Security Initiatives: Increased activity with the U.S. government, including the final step-up in EMSS contracts and involvement in critical projects like the Missile Defense Agency's Shield (Golden Dome) initiative, represents a significant growth driver. The national security segment is viewed as a multi-billion dollar opportunity with potential for further expansion as government programs increasingly adopt commercial solutions.
- Launch and Adoption of New Products and Services: The planned launch of Iridium NTN Direct for global narrowband IoT and new ASIC-enabled Positioning, Navigation, and Timing (PNT) platforms in 2026 are expected to unlock substantial incremental revenue opportunities. These new offerings are projected to contribute more than $200 million in revenue by the end of the decade by targeting new industry sectors and expanding direct-to-device capabilities.
- Strategic Pricing Adjustments for Voice and Data Services: Price increases implemented in mid-2025 for commercial voice and data services have already contributed to service revenue growth and are expected to continue accelerating revenue in the near term.
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Share Repurchases
- Iridium Communications authorized a total of $1.5 billion for share repurchases since the program began in February 2021, with authorizations including $300 million in February 2021, $300 million in March 2022, $400 million in July 2023, and $500 million in September 2024.
- As of September 30, 2025, the company had retired 36.7 million shares for an aggregate purchase price of $1.3 billion since the program's inception.
- Iridium repurchased approximately 6.8 million shares for approximately $185.0 million in 2025.
Share Issuance
- No significant share issuances were identified; instead, the number of outstanding shares has decreased over the last few years due to share repurchases.
Inbound Investments
- M&G PLC acquired 680,857 shares in Iridium Communications during the third quarter (of 2025), valued at approximately $11.575 million.
- ARK Investment acquired 12,200 shares of Iridium in July 2025.
- Institutional investors and hedge funds collectively own 84.36% of the company's stock.
Outbound Investments
- In April 2024, Iridium completed the acquisition of Satelles, Inc., enhancing its solution portfolio with advanced Satellite Time and Location (STL) services, expected to generate over $100 million in annual service revenues by 2030.
- Iridium was awarded a 5-year System Infrastructure Transformation and Hybridization (SITH) contract from the U.S. Space Force on December 2, 2025, with a maximum value of $85.8 million, aimed at modernizing critical ground infrastructure for secure military communications.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were $69.9 million for the full-year 2024.
- For the full-year 2025, capital expenditures were $100.3 million, including $4.6 million in capitalized interest.
- Projected capital expenditures for 2025 were approximately $90 million, primarily focused on investments in 3GPP standards and testing for Iridium's L-band waveform and 5G standards.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03272026 | META | Meta Platforms | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.8% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| 03062026 | CARG | CarGurus | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.2% | 1.2% | -8.3% |
| 02132026 | YELP | Yelp | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 17.9% | 17.9% | -5.7% |
| 02132026 | TRIP | Tripadvisor | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -3.9% |
| 02062026 | OMC | Omnicom | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.9% | 8.9% | -3.7% |
| 01092026 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 44.3% | 44.3% | -4.6% |
| 04302025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -28.9% | 18.1% | -33.5% |
| 10312024 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -17.1% | -33.2% | -40.9% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 65.71 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.6 |
| Rev LTM | 645 |
| Op Inc LTM | -15 |
| FCF LTM | 78 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -104 |
| CFO LTM | 233 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 371 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 1.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 24.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -0.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.6 |
| P/S | 3.2 |
| P/EBIT | 6.6 |
| P/E | -12.7 |
| P/CFO | 6.6 |
| Total Yield | -3.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -6.2% |
| D/E | 0.7 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 13.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 29.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 67.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 312.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 365.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 17.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 36.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 74.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 282.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 399.3% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $32.86 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 3.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/20/2008 | |
| Distance from 52W High | 0.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $23.67 | $21.75 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | up |
| Distance from DMA | 38.8% | 51.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 74.5% | 59.3% |
| Downside Capture | -0.21 | 0.50 |
| Upside Capture | 359.26 | 90.83 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 15.2% | 27.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.47 | 0.73 | 0.90 | 1.05 | 0.84 | 0.77 |
| Up Beta | -3.13 | -0.03 | 0.82 | 0.31 | 0.90 | 0.79 |
| Down Beta | 2.88 | -1.67 | -0.95 | 0.26 | 0.62 | 0.79 |
| Up Capture | 644% | 411% | 456% | 316% | 82% | 21% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 22 | 35 | 65 | 125 | 355 |
| Down Capture | 82% | 37% | 30% | 94% | 99% | 99% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 20 | 28 | 61 | 126 | 393 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with IRDM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IRDM | 23.7% | 59.4% | 0.58 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 16.9% | 18.3% | 0.71 | 24.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.1% | 19.0% | 0.67 | 27.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 50.5% | 28.0% | 1.46 | 10.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 16.2% | 17.7% | 0.77 | 6.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.6% | 16.5% | 0.04 | 30.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -21.5% | 44.0% | -0.42 | 18.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with IRDM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IRDM | -1.7% | 44.3% | 0.10 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 10.1% | 20.7% | 0.40 | 30.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.6% | 17.0% | 0.53 | 34.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.7% | 17.8% | 1.00 | 9.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.8% | 0.51 | 6.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.3% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 32.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.9% | 56.5% | 0.29 | 15.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with IRDM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IRDM | 17.2% | 44.6% | 0.52 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 9.2% | 22.4% | 0.49 | 42.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 45.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.0% | 15.9% | 0.73 | 4.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 15.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 38.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.2% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 11.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/12/2026 | 21.3% | 25.0% | 34.7% |
| 10/23/2025 | -7.5% | -13.9% | -19.4% |
| 7/24/2025 | -22.1% | -23.2% | -25.6% |
| 2/13/2025 | 15.4% | 15.9% | -0.5% |
| 10/17/2024 | 11.2% | -1.4% | -1.8% |
| 7/23/2024 | 7.3% | 11.0% | 4.1% |
| 4/18/2024 | 5.5% | 18.5% | 23.2% |
| 10/19/2023 | -9.1% | -15.6% | -14.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 11 | 11 |
| # Negative | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 5.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% |
| Median Negative | -8.3% | -12.4% | -14.3% |
| Max Positive | 21.3% | 25.0% | 34.7% |
| Max Negative | -22.1% | -23.2% | -25.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/12/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/23/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/24/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/22/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/13/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/17/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/23/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/18/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/15/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/19/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/25/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/20/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/20/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/26/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/19/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Total Service Revenue Growth | 0.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | -66.7% | -2.0% | Lower New | Actual: 3.0% for 2025 |
| 2026 OEBITDA | 480.00 Mil | 485.00 Mil | 490.00 Mil | -2.5% | Lower New | Actual: 497.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2027 Cash Taxes | 10.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 10.00 Mil for 2027 | |||
| 2026 Net Leverage | 3 | -14.3% | Lower New | Actual: 3.5 for 2025 | |||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/23/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Total Service Revenue Growth | 3.0% | -25.0% | -1.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 4.0% for 2025 | ||
| 2025 OEBITDA | 495.00 Mil | 497.50 Mil | 500.00 Mil | 0.5% | Raised | Guidance: 495.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Net Leverage | 3.5 | -12.5% | Lowered | Guidance: 4 for 2026 | |||
| 2027 Cash Taxes | 10.00 Mil | ||||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fitzpatrick, Thomas | Direct | Sell | 11032025 | 18.00 | 20,839 | 375,102 | 4,158,619 | Form | |
| 2 | Desch, Matthew J | CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER | Direct | Buy | 11032025 | 17.33 | 20,000 | 346,600 | 19,531,239 | Form |
| 3 | Fitzpatrick, Thomas | Direct | Sell | 10292025 | 18.00 | 3,331 | 59,958 | 4,656,067 | Form | |
| 4 | Fitzpatrick, Thomas | Direct | Sell | 10292025 | 18.00 | 6,797 | 122,346 | 4,533,721 | Form | |
| 5 | Niehaus, Robert H | Direct | Buy | 10292025 | 17.49 | 30,000 | 524,700 | 5,200,874 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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