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CarGurus (CARG)

Market Price (5/12/2026): $32.4 | Market Cap: $3.0 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services

CarGurus (CARG)

Market Price (5/12/2026): $32.4
Market Cap: $3.0 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 28%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 8.8%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Online Marketplaces.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -2.3%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.7%

Key risks
CARG key risks include [1] its significant reliance on dealer relationships in a highly competitive market and [2] the persistent underperformance of its Digital Wholesale segment.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 28%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
3 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 8.8%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Online Marketplaces.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -2.3%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.7%
8 Key risks
CARG key risks include [1] its significant reliance on dealer relationships in a highly competitive market and [2] the persistent underperformance of its Digital Wholesale segment.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

CarGurus (CARG) stock has remained largely at the same level since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Q1 2026 Financial Performance Offset by Moderate Guidance and Profit-Taking.

CarGurus reported robust first-quarter 2026 results, with revenue growing 15% year-over-year to $243.6 million, surpassing analyst expectations of $243.23 million. Non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $0.58 also beat the consensus estimate of $0.56. Additionally, non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations increased 17% year-over-year to $80.2 million. However, despite these positive results, the stock experienced a slight dip, falling 1.15% in aftermarket trading on May 8, 2026, closing at $36.98. This suggests that investors may have been looking for stronger guidance or were engaging in profit-taking, as the company reiterated its full-year 2026 revenue growth outlook of 10% to 13% and projected Q2 2026 revenue between $247 million and $252 million.

2. Strategic Investments in AI and International Expansion Leading to Margin Compression.

The company's growth was significantly driven by strategic investments in AI-powered products, such as "Shopper Signals" launched in April 2026, and the integration of the CarGurus app within ChatGPT. International revenue also showed strong momentum, increasing 39% year-over-year in the UK and Canada. These investments, while fostering long-term growth and market leadership, are contributing to a projected compression in non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA margins for the full year 2026, expected to be between 1.5% and 2.5% year-over-year. This planned investment in product development and international expansion tempered some investor enthusiasm, contributing to the stock's stable trend.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 0.0% change in CARG stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/11/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120265112026Change
Stock Price ($)32.4032.390.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)81792513.2%
Net Income Margin (%)18.6%16.1%-13.4%
P/E Multiple20.920.4-2.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)98944.4%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CARG-0.0% 
Market (SPY)3.6%22.8%
Sector (XLC)-3.4%27.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -7.8% change in CARG stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/11/2026 was primarily driven by a -23.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120255112026Change
Stock Price ($)35.1232.39-7.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)81092514.3%
Net Income Margin (%)16.0%16.1%0.5%
P/E Multiple26.820.4-23.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)99945.1%
Cumulative Contribution-7.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CARG-7.8% 
Market (SPY)5.5%26.9%
Sector (XLC)1.3%27.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 15.8% change in CARG stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 513.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)43020255112026Change
Stock Price ($)27.9632.3915.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)79892516.0%
Net Income Margin (%)2.6%16.1%513.1%
P/E Multiple138.420.4-85.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1049410.4%
Cumulative Contribution15.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CARG15.8% 
Market (SPY)30.4%31.2%
Sector (XLC)22.6%31.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 97.0% change in CARG stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 216.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)43020235112026Change
Stock Price ($)16.4432.3997.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,655925-44.1%
Net Income Margin (%)5.1%16.1%216.0%
P/E Multiple23.120.4-11.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1199426.3%
Cumulative Contribution97.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CARG97.0% 
Market (SPY)78.7%47.1%
Sector (XLC)99.4%43.7%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
CARG Return6%-58%72%51%5%-9%10%
Peers Return39%-28%240%59%20%-3%528%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%8%97%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CARG Win Rate58%33%58%58%58%40% 
Peers Win Rate60%40%58%52%57%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%60% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CARG Max Drawdown-27%-65%0%-12%-31%-30% 
Peers Max Drawdown-5%-43%-2%-17%-20%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CVNA, CARS, LAD, AN, PAG. See CARG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/11/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventCARGS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-34.0%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven51.4%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven177 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-11.3%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.8%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven2 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-25.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.3%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven47 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-63.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven171.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven749 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-42.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven73.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven61 days140 days

Compare to CVNA, CARS, LAD, AN, PAG

In The Past

CarGurus's stock fell -34.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 51.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventCARGS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-34.0%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven51.4%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven177 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-25.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.3%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven47 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-63.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven171.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven749 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-42.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven73.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven61 days140 days

Compare to CVNA, CARS, LAD, AN, PAG

In The Past

CarGurus's stock fell -34.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 51.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About CarGurus (CARG)

CarGurus, Inc. operates an online automotive marketplace connecting buyers and sellers of new and used cars in the United States and internationally. The company provides consumers an online automotive marketplace where they can search for new and used car listings from its dealers, as well as sell their car in the United States marketplace. Its marketplace connects dealers to a large audience of informed and engaged consumers. The company operates online marketplaces under the CarGurus brand in Canada and the United Kingdom; and the Autolist and PistonHeads online marketplaces as independent brands in the United States and the United Kingdom. CarGurus, Inc. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for CarGurus (CARG):

  • Zillow for cars

  • An eBay for new and used cars

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Online Automotive Marketplace (for Buyers): A digital platform allowing consumers to search for and explore new and used car listings from various dealers.
  • Private Party Car Selling Service: A service that enables individual consumers to list and sell their personal vehicles directly to buyers.
  • Dealer Marketing and Listing Services: Provides automotive dealers with tools and exposure to list their inventory and connect with potential car buyers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

CarGurus (CARG) primarily serves other companies, specifically **car dealerships**.

These dealerships, which include both new car franchises and independent used car lots, pay CarGurus for subscription services to list their inventory, generate leads, and connect with potential buyers on CarGurus' online marketplaces. Since these are generally local or regional businesses, they are not typically publicly traded companies, and therefore do not have stock symbols.

While consumers also use the platform to search for and buy cars, and in some cases to sell their own cars, the primary revenue stream for CarGurus is derived from the services provided to these automotive dealerships.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Jason Trevisan, Chief Executive Officer

Jason Trevisan joined CarGurus in 2015 as Chief Financial Officer and was appointed Chief Executive Officer in January 2021. Prior to his tenure at CarGurus, he spent twelve years at Polaris Venture Partners, where he became a General Partner in 2010, focusing on growth equity investments and buyouts in the internet, technology, and healthcare sectors. He previously held management positions at aQuantive, which was later acquired by Microsoft, and worked as a consultant at Bain & Company. As CFO of CarGurus, he played a pivotal role in guiding the company through its initial public offering (IPO) in 2017.

Elisa Palazzo, Chief Financial Officer

Elisa Palazzo was appointed Chief Financial Officer of CarGurus, effective December 4, 2023. She brings nearly two decades of experience in operating, investing, and transaction roles, with a focus on consumer and business-to-business marketplaces. Before joining CarGurus, she served as Deputy CFO and Senior Vice President of Finance at Talkspace, an online behavioral health services marketplace. Her involvement with Talkspace began in 2021 as part of Hudson Executive Capital's participation, where she was previously a Managing Director overseeing investments in consumer, online, and digital media companies. Earlier in her career, she held senior technology investment roles at various asset management institutions and worked as an investment banker at Credit Suisse.

Sam Zales, President & Chief Operating Officer

Sam Zales joined CarGurus in 2014 and serves as President and Chief Operating Officer, overseeing the company's revenue, go-to-market functions, and international business. He also leads CarGurus' digital wholesale business, including the CarOffer platform, which the company fully acquired in 2023. Before CarGurus, Zales held executive management positions at several technology companies, including serving as Chief Executive Officer of ClickSquared, Inc., and executive leadership roles at ZoomInfo and Buyerzone.com.

Langley Steinert, Founder & Executive Chairman

Langley Steinert founded CarGurus in 2006 and served as its Chief Executive Officer until January 2021, when he transitioned to the role of Executive Chairman. Prior to establishing CarGurus, he co-founded and was Chairman of TripAdvisor, Inc., an online travel marketplace. His earlier experience includes management roles at Viaweb, which was sold to Yahoo! Inc., Papyrus, and Lotus Development Corp. He is also a co-founder and Chairman of the Board at ApartmentAdvisor.

Ismail Elshareef, Chief Product Officer

Ismail Elshareef joined CarGurus in February 2024 as Chief Product Officer. He brings over 20 years of experience in building, scaling, and re-imagining platforms to address customer and business needs. Before CarGurus, he held the position of Chief Product Officer for OneFootball, where he focused on refining strategy for growth objectives. Prior to that, he served as Chief Product Officer at UpKeep, leading product, engineering, and infrastructure. His career also includes leadership roles at Ticketmaster and Edmunds.com.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to CarGurus' business (NASDAQ: CARG) are primarily centered around its reliance on its dealer network, intense competition in the online automotive marketplace, and vulnerability to macroeconomic fluctuations affecting the automotive industry.

  1. Dependence on Dealer Relationships and Intense Competition: CarGurus generates a substantial portion of its revenue from subscription fees paid by automotive dealers. Any termination of these agreements or consolidation among dealers could materially impact the company's financial performance. Furthermore, CarGurus operates in a highly competitive online automotive marketplace, contending with established players such as AutoTrader.com and Cars.com, as well as new online dealerships and AI-driven search engines. Maintaining its competitive edge necessitates continuous investment in product development and marketing to adapt to industry innovations and evolving consumer expectations.
  2. Sensitivity to Macroeconomic Factors and the Broader Automotive Industry: The automotive industry is inherently sensitive to prevailing economic conditions, including interest rates, inflation, and overall consumer confidence. A downturn in the broader economy or reduced credit availability can directly impact consumer demand for vehicles and dealer inventory levels, subsequently affecting CarGurus' business.
  3. Challenges and Wind-down in the Digital Wholesale Segment (CarOffer): CarGurus' CarOffer business segment has experienced a significant decline in revenue, leading to the company's decision to wind down its CarOffer transactions business. While CarGurus aims to continue providing AI-powered inventory intelligence, this transition is expected to incur expenditures and highlights ongoing challenges within this segment, posing a risk to future revenue and strategic focus.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The emerging trend of automotive manufacturers (OEMs) increasingly shifting towards direct-to-consumer sales, particularly for electric vehicles, poses a clear threat. If OEMs bypass traditional dealerships to sell new cars directly to consumers, it could diminish the role of third-party marketplaces like CarGurus, which primarily connect consumers with dealer inventories. This shift could lead to fewer new car listings from dealerships on CarGurus' platforms and fundamentally alter the automotive retail landscape CarGurus operates within.

AI Analysis | Feedback

CarGurus, Inc. (CARG) operates an online automotive marketplace for new and used cars and offers various software and data products to dealers in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom.

The addressable markets for CarGurus' main products and services in the specified regions are as follows:

  • United States Online Automotive Marketplace (New and Used Cars): The addressable market for new and used car sales in the United States is substantial.
    • The U.S. used car market size was valued at approximately USD 852.80 billion in 2025 and is estimated to grow to USD 871.30 billion in 2026.
    • New vehicle sales in the U.S. are projected to reach 15.8 million units in 2026. With an average new-vehicle retail transaction price expected to be around $44,750 in August 2025, the estimated value of the new car market in 2026 would be approximately $707.05 billion.
  • United States Dealer Software and Data Products: CarGurus is positioned to access an additional addressable market of approximately $4 billion spent by U.S. dealers on software and data products.
  • Canada Used Car Market: The used car market in Canada is projected to reach USD 228,480.3 million by 2030.
  • United Kingdom Online Automotive Marketplace: Specific market size figures for the overall online automotive marketplace or total new and used car market in the United Kingdom were not explicitly available in the provided information.

AI Analysis | Feedback

CarGurus (CARG) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives:

  1. Accelerated Launch and Adoption of AI-Driven Products and Services: CarGurus plans an accelerated pace of introducing new AI-driven products for both dealers and consumers. These innovations, such as PriceVantage (an AI-powered inventory pricing tool), CG Discover (a conversational search tool for shoppers), and Dealership Mode (an app feature tailored for dealer lots), are designed to enhance dealer workflows and consumer decision-making. These new offerings are expected to create significant new revenue streams and increase engagement, with monetized dealer products launched in 2025 projected to grow 15x and achieve eight-figure revenue in 2026.
  2. Continued International Expansion: The company's international business has demonstrated robust growth, with a 27% year-over-year revenue increase in 2025. This growth is attributed to accelerated dealer acquisition, expansion of wallet share, and strong lead generation in these markets. CarGurus maintains a strategic focus on international market acceleration to further fuel revenue.
  3. Growth in Paying Dealers and Increased Quarterly Average Revenue per Subscribing Dealer (QARSD): CarGurus is focused on both expanding its base of paying dealers and increasing the revenue generated from existing dealers. This involves driving subscription upgrades and encouraging broader adoption of its add-on products. In 2025, consolidated QARSD grew 8% year-over-year, indicating success in extracting more value from its dealer network through new initiatives.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • CarGurus authorized a new $250 million share repurchase program in February 2026.
  • The company repurchased approximately $350 million of shares in 2025 under a prior authorization.
  • Approximately 10.6% of shares were retired for $350.01 million under the previous authorization.

Share Issuance

  • In March 2026, the Chief Product Officer was granted 58,574 restricted stock units (RSUs) as an equity award, vesting over time with no cash purchase price.

Outbound Investments

  • CarGurus wound down its CarOffer wholesale business in the fourth quarter of 2025, resulting in $13.3 million in related expenditures.
  • The company is refocusing on its core marketplace and international growth after ceasing CarOffer transactions.

Capital Expenditures

  • In the 12 months prior to February 2026, capital expenditures were -$6.38 million.
  • The company plans to invest in AI, technical development, international expansion, account management, and technology, which is expected to lead to a modest compression in adjusted EBITDA margins for 2026.

Better Bets vs. CarGurus (CARG)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleDate
0DASHBOARDS 
1CarGurus Earnings Notes12/23/2025
2CarGurus Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain?10/17/2025
3After CARG's 11% Climb in a Week, TMUS Looks Like the Stronger Long-Term Play08/18/2025
4How Does CarGurus Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers?08/13/2025
5Better Bet Than CARG Stock: Pay Less Than CarGurus To Get More From MRK, MU 08/12/2025
6CARG Dip Buy Analysis07/10/2025
7CarGurus Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 51.2% in 2024 and 2.8% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average)03/07/2025
8CarGurus (CARG) Operating Cash Flow Comparison02/17/2025
9CarGurus (CARG) Net Income Comparison02/15/2025
10ARTICLES 
11Big Move for UPWK, but Do CARG’s Margins and Growth Give It the Edge?08/26/2025
12Carvana’s Stock To Continue Its Rally?05/13/2021
13Probability Of CarGurus Rising After Falling Nearly 2% Last Week?03/22/2021
14What’s Driving Carvana Stock To New Highs?08/24/2020
15Why CarGurus’ Stock Is Up 30% Over The Last Month11/21/2019
Title
0DASHBOARDS
1CarGurus Earnings Notes
2CarGurus Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain?
3After CARG's 11% Climb in a Week, TMUS Looks Like the Stronger Long-Term Play
4How Does CarGurus Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers?
5Better Bet Than CARG Stock: Pay Less Than CarGurus To Get More From MRK, MU 
6CARG Dip Buy Analysis
7CarGurus Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 51.2% in 2024 and 2.8% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average)
8CarGurus (CARG) Operating Cash Flow Comparison
9CarGurus (CARG) Net Income Comparison
10ARTICLES
11Big Move for UPWK, but Do CARG’s Margins and Growth Give It the Edge?
12Carvana’s Stock To Continue Its Rally?
13Probability Of CarGurus Rising After Falling Nearly 2% Last Week?
14What’s Driving Carvana Stock To New Highs?
15Why CarGurus’ Stock Is Up 30% Over The Last Month

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to CARG.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CMCSA_4242026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04242026CMCSAComcastDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin		-1.9%-1.9%-2.9%
TTD_4022026_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE04022026TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap		7.0%7.0%-8.9%
META_3272026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03272026METAMeta PlatformsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin		16.4%16.4%0.0%
CARG_3062026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V203062026CARGCarGurusInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap		8.3%8.3%-8.3%
YELP_2132026_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE02132026YELPYelpDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap		31.6%31.6%-5.7%
CARG_8312023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield08312023CARGCarGurusDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin		22.3%60.0%-6.1%

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

CARGCVNACARSLADANPAGMedian
NameCarGurus Carvana Cars.com Lithia M.AutoNati.Penske A. 
Mkt Price32.3976.2310.93286.67200.48173.26124.75
Mkt Cap3.054.40.66.77.011.46.8
Rev LTM92522,52272437,72827,49332,06825,008
Op Inc LTM2582,068701,3941,2781,2541,266
FCF LTM269740136-453-104597202
FCF 3Y Avg171862127-247-116735149
CFO LTM297911162-74187899242
CFO 3Y Avg226977151832211,085224

Growth & Margins

CARGCVNACARSLADANPAGMedian
NameCarGurus Carvana Cars.com Lithia M.AutoNati.Penske A. 
Rev Chg LTM16.5%51.7%0.9%2.5%1.9%-0.9%2.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.7%24.1%3.0%10.0%1.1%4.5%3.8%
Rev Chg Q14.8%52.0%0.7%1.0%-2.1%-1.1%0.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.5%10.8%0.2%0.2%-0.5%-0.3%0.2%
Op Inc Chg LTM33.7%65.4%49.2%-9.8%1.5%-8.6%17.6%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg39.3%251.0%5.5%-7.5%-12.2%-4.9%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM27.9%9.2%9.7%3.7%4.6%3.9%6.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg23.9%6.4%8.0%4.3%5.0%4.2%5.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%-0.1%1.4%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM32.1%4.0%22.4%-0.2%0.7%2.8%3.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg27.5%6.6%21.1%0.2%0.8%3.4%5.0%
FCF/Rev LTM29.1%3.3%18.7%-1.2%-0.4%1.9%2.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg20.2%5.9%17.7%-0.7%-0.4%2.3%4.1%

Valuation

CARGCVNACARSLADANPAGMedian
NameCarGurus Carvana Cars.com Lithia M.AutoNati.Penske A. 
Mkt Cap3.054.40.66.77.011.46.8
P/S3.32.40.90.20.30.40.6
P/Op Inc11.826.39.14.85.49.19.1
P/EBIT11.8-151.68.74.05.07.56.3
P/E20.437.823.89.410.212.316.4
P/CFO10.259.74.0-90.937.312.711.5
Total Yield4.9%2.6%4.2%11.4%9.8%10.4%7.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.8%0.0%2.3%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.6%4.6%18.7%-3.7%-1.8%7.2%5.1%
D/E0.10.10.72.41.50.80.8
Net D/E0.00.00.62.31.50.80.7

Returns

CARGCVNACARSLADANPAGMedian
NameCarGurus Carvana Cars.com Lithia M.AutoNati.Penske A. 
1M Rtn-5.2%13.3%12.1%5.2%-0.0%11.0%8.1%
3M Rtn13.6%-7.4%-1.5%-13.1%-4.7%5.0%-3.1%
6M Rtn-8.6%18.3%-5.6%-2.2%3.9%11.0%0.9%
12M Rtn4.2%42.2%4.8%-5.5%11.6%12.4%8.2%
3Y Rtn69.9%3,530.0%-41.8%38.5%52.0%33.9%45.3%
1M Excs Rtn-13.9%4.6%3.4%-3.6%-8.8%2.2%-0.7%
3M Excs Rtn7.2%-13.8%-8.0%-19.5%-11.2%-1.5%-9.6%
6M Excs Rtn-12.5%21.1%-11.7%-11.0%-5.2%3.5%-8.1%
12M Excs Rtn-15.0%2.6%-22.1%-35.6%-19.3%-18.1%-18.7%
3Y Excs Rtn26.4%5,111.2%-118.6%-40.7%-27.6%-43.7%-34.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
U.S. Marketplace674607525454 
Digital Wholesale109258358442 
Other revenue42534436 
Total825919927932 


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$32.39 
Market Cap ($ Bil)3.1 
First Trading Date10/12/2017 
Distance from 52W High-17.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$34.90$34.63
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-7.2%-6.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility44.4%35.0%
Downside Capture0.790.67
Upside Capture192.1897.47
Correlation (SPY)16.0%30.4%
CARG Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.520.060.660.750.881.22
Up Beta-1.21-1.59-1.33-0.150.841.12
Down Beta-3.26-0.230.330.130.891.14
Up Capture46%137%185%146%90%270%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days12263563130393
Down Capture-18%28%132%120%90%107%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days10172961119352

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return		Annualized
Volatility		Sharpe
Ratio		Correlation
with CARG
CARG17.1%37.2%0.50-
Sector ETF (XLC)19.9%13.3%1.1131.8%
Equity (SPY)28.1%12.5%1.7831.3%
Gold (GLD)42.9%26.9%1.30-9.9%
Commodities (DBC)48.6%18.0%2.14-6.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.6%13.5%0.7016.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-22.4%41.7%-0.5022.2%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return		Annualized
Volatility		Sharpe
Ratio		Correlation
with CARG
CARG6.7%50.7%0.31-
Sector ETF (XLC)9.6%20.7%0.3746.4%
Equity (SPY)12.9%17.1%0.5949.1%
Gold (GLD)21.2%17.9%0.962.2%
Commodities (DBC)13.5%19.1%0.587.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.6%18.8%0.0938.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.5%56.0%0.3622.9%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return		Annualized
Volatility		Sharpe
Ratio		Correlation
with CARG
CARG1.7%50.7%0.24-
Sector ETF (XLC)9.6%22.3%0.5048.5%
Equity (SPY)15.0%17.9%0.7249.5%
Gold (GLD)13.4%15.9%0.703.7%
Commodities (DBC)9.5%17.7%0.4514.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.6%20.7%0.2439.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)68.1%66.9%1.0716.4%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7.3 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 415202613.8%
Average Daily Volume0.8 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.8 days
Basic Shares Quantity94.1 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares7.8%

Returns Analyses

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/7/2026-8.9%  
2/19/20263.3%6.2%15.1%
11/6/20250.6%9.3%12.0%
8/7/2025-7.3%1.1%14.4%
5/8/202511.2%17.7%14.6%
2/20/2025-17.1%-18.2%-19.9%
11/7/20244.3%7.6%13.5%
8/8/202420.3%26.0%21.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151516
# Negative1098
Median Positive6.2%8.2%14.0%
Median Negative-7.7%-12.3%-17.2%
Max Positive44.0%35.3%28.3%
Max Negative-25.5%-20.7%-27.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/19/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/20/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202302/26/202410-K
09/30/202311/07/202310-Q
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202203/01/202310-K
09/30/202211/08/202210-Q
06/30/202208/08/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Revenue247.00 Mil249.50 Mil252.00 Mil2.7% RaisedGuidance: 243.00 Mil for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA77.50 Mil81.50 Mil85.50 Mil7.2% RaisedGuidance: 76.00 Mil for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 EPS0.570.60.6410.0% RaisedGuidance: 0.55 for Q1 2026
2026 Revenue Growth10.0%11.5%13.0%00AffirmedGuidance: 11.5% for 2026
2026 Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA margin change-2.5%-2.0%-1.5%00AffirmedGuidance: -2.0% for 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/19/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Revenue240.50 Mil243.00 Mil245.50 Mil1.9% Higher NewGuidance: 238.50 Mil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA72.00 Mil76.00 Mil80.00 Mil-12.6% Lower NewGuidance: 87.00 Mil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Non-GAAP Earnings per Share0.520.550.58-14.1% Lower NewGuidance: 0.64 for Q4 2025
2026 Revenue Growth10.0%11.5%13.0%   
2026 Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA margin change-2.5%-2.0%-1.5%   
2026 Share Repurchases 250.00 Mil    

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value		Value of
Held Shares		Form
1Sarnoff, DafnaChief Marketing OfficerDirectSell406202633.045,445179,9034,439,552Form
2Quinn, Matthew ToddChief Technology OfficerDirectSell406202633.044,341143,4278,131,078Form
3Hanson, Jennifer LaddChief People OfficerDirectSell406202633.0456718,7343,186,113Form
4Hanson, Jennifer LaddChief People OfficerDirectSell402202635.612,49988,9893,496,582Form
5Kaufer, Stephen DirectBuy304202632.5030,7661,000,03410,529,446Form

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