Tearsheet

Lumen Technologies (LUMN)


Market Price (3/7/2026): $6.62 | Market Cap: $6.6 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Alternative Carriers

Lumen Technologies (LUMN)


Market Price (3/7/2026): $6.62
Market Cap: $6.6 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Alternative Carriers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, CFO LTM is 4.7 Bil
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -184 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.5%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.6%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 253%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Show more.
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.7%
3  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -30%
4  Key risks
LUMN key risks include [1] a substantial debt burden causing persistent operating losses, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, CFO LTM is 4.7 Bil
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.6%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Show more.
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -184 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.5%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 253%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.7%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -30%
7 Key risks
LUMN key risks include [1] a substantial debt burden causing persistent operating losses, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Lumen Technologies (LUMN) stock has lost about 20% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Continuing revenue decline despite strategic pivot.

Lumen Technologies reported a year-over-year revenue decrease of 8.7% to $3.04 billion in Q4 2025, which contributed to a full-year 2025 revenue of $12.402 billion, a decline from $13.1 billion in 2024. This ongoing top-line contraction, driven by legacy business erosion, remains a significant concern for analysts as growth products have not yet fully offset these declines.

2. Negative free cash flow in Q4 2025.

The company reported a negative free cash flow of $(765) million in the fourth quarter of 2025, excluding special items, which was a significant decrease compared to $(174) million in the same quarter of the previous year. This was partly attributed to a delayed $400 million tax refund now anticipated in the first half of 2026.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -18.4% change in LUMN stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -16.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020253062026Change
Stock Price ($)8.116.62-18.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12,69012,402-2.3%
P/S Multiple0.60.5-16.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)9969960.0%
Cumulative Contribution-18.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LUMN-18.4% 
Market (SPY)-1.6%45.5%
Sector (XLC)1.8%6.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 33.2% change in LUMN stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 38.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120253062026Change
Stock Price ($)4.976.6233.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12,82412,402-3.3%
P/S Multiple0.40.538.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)995996-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution33.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LUMN33.2% 
Market (SPY)4.5%44.5%
Sector (XLC)5.8%10.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 40.3% change in LUMN stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 49.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820253062026Change
Stock Price ($)4.726.6240.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)13,10812,402-5.4%
P/S Multiple0.40.549.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)990996-0.7%
Cumulative Contribution40.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LUMN40.3% 
Market (SPY)14.2%48.0%
Sector (XLC)16.2%35.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 94.7% change in LUMN stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 174.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820233062026Change
Stock Price ($)3.406.6294.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)17,47812,402-29.0%
P/S Multiple0.20.5174.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)996996-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution94.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LUMN94.7% 
Market (SPY)76.0%29.6%
Sector (XLC)126.0%22.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
LUMN Return39%-55%-65%190%46%-12%-19%
Peers Return-7%-14%12%15%-8%16%9%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-0%82%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LUMN Win Rate58%25%33%50%50%33% 
Peers Win Rate48%43%60%62%52%80% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LUMN Max Drawdown-0%-57%-81%-46%-42%-20% 
Peers Max Drawdown-13%-30%-11%-10%-18%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: T, VZ, CMCSA, CHTR, TMUS. See LUMN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/6/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLUMNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-93.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1459.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven310 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-64.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven182.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-56.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven127.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to T, VZ, CMCSA, CHTR, TMUS

In The Past

Lumen Technologies's stock fell -93.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/9/2021. A -93.6% loss requires a 1459.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Lumen Technologies (LUMN)

Lumen Technologies, Inc., a facilities-based technology and communications company, provides various integrated products and services under the Lumen, Quantum Fiber, and CenturyLink brands to business and residential customers in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Business and Mass Markets. It offers compute and application services, such as cloud services, IT solutions, unified communication and collaboration solutions, colocation and data center services, content delivery services, and managed security services; and IP and data services, including VPN data network, Ethernet, internet protocol (IP), and voice over internet protocol. The company also provides fiber infrastructure services comprising high bandwidth optical wavelength networks; and unlit optical fiber and related professional services. In addition, it offers voice and other services, including private line services, a direct circuit or channel specifically dedicated for connecting two or more organizational sites; a portfolio of traditional time division multiplexing voice services; and synchronous optical network-based Ethernet, legacy data hosting services, and conferencing services. As of December 31, 2021, the company served approximately 4.5 million broadband subscribers. The company was formerly known as CenturyLink, Inc. and changed its name to Lumen Technologies, Inc. in September 2020. Lumen Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Monroe, Louisiana.

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  • Like **AT&T or Verizon**, but largely for businesses, governments, and other internet companies rather than individual consumers.
  • **Kinder Morgan** for digital data, owning and operating a vast fiber optic network that serves as a backbone for businesses and the internet.

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  • Network Connectivity Services: Provides high-speed internet, private networks (e.g., MPLS, SD-WAN), and dedicated fiber connections for businesses and government clients.
  • Voice and Collaboration Services: Offers Voice over IP (VoIP), traditional voice services, and unified communications as a service (UCaaS) platforms.
  • Security Services: Delivers managed security solutions including Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) mitigation, managed firewalls, and threat detection.
  • Managed Hosting and Cloud Connectivity: Provides colocation, managed hosting, and secure, high-performance connectivity to various public and private cloud environments.

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Lumen Technologies (symbol: LUMN) primarily sells its services to other companies, rather than directly to individuals. However, due to the broad and diversified nature of its client base and the fact that no single customer accounts for more than 10% of its consolidated revenues, Lumen does not disclose specific individual "major customer companies" by name in its public filings. Therefore, instead of listing specific named companies, we can describe the primary categories of organizations that Lumen serves:

  • Enterprise Customers: This segment includes a wide array of large and mid-sized businesses across diverse industries such as financial services, healthcare, retail, manufacturing, technology, and media. These companies rely on Lumen for critical services like network connectivity (fiber, IP VPN), cloud connectivity, managed services, security solutions, and unified communications.
  • Wholesale Customers: This category comprises other telecommunications carriers, internet service providers (ISPs), content providers, and data center operators. Lumen provides these companies with network capacity, dark fiber, transport services, and other infrastructure solutions that they then use to serve their own end customers.
  • Government Customers: Lumen provides secure network services, voice, data, and IT solutions to various federal, state, and local government agencies. This includes mission-critical communications infrastructure and managed services tailored for public sector needs, supporting essential government operations.

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Lumen Technologies relies on several major suppliers for its network infrastructure, equipment, and services. Key suppliers include:

  • Cisco Systems (CSCO)
  • Nokia (NOK)
  • Ciena (CIEN)
  • Corning (GLW)

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Lumen Technologies Management Team

Kate Johnson, President and Chief Executive Officer

Kate Johnson joined Lumen Technologies as President and CEO in November 2022. She is a seasoned technology leader with a background in driving business and digital transformation at Fortune 100 technology companies. Prior to Lumen, she held executive leadership roles including President of Microsoft US (2017-2021), Executive Vice President and Corporate Officer at GE Digital (2013-2017), and Senior Vice President for North America Technology and Government Consulting at Oracle (2007-2013). Her earlier career also included roles at Red Hat, UBS Investment Bank (where she was Managing Director and Division Chief Information Officer of their investment banking division), and Deloitte Consulting. Ms. Johnson earned a Bachelor of Science degree in Electrical Engineering from Lehigh University and a Master of Business Administration (MBA) from the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. She has served on the board of directors for UPS since 2020.

Chris Stansbury, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Chris Stansbury was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Lumen Technologies in April 2022. He brings over 30 years of finance leadership experience from multinational corporations. Before joining Lumen, he served as Senior Vice President and CFO at Arrow Electronics, Inc., where he was responsible for leading the company's global finance organization from 2016 to 2022, having joined in 2014 as Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer. Prior to Arrow, he was CFO for the Networking Group of Hewlett-Packard. Mr. Stansbury also held various finance positions of increasing responsibility at PepsiCo. He holds a Master of Business Administration degree from the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania and a bachelor's degree from the University of Western Ontario.

Ashley Haynes-Gaspar, Chief Revenue Officer

Ashley Haynes-Gaspar serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Revenue Officer at Lumen, where she is responsible for driving revenue growth and overseeing the company's sales strategies. Her background includes leadership roles at Microsoft and GE, where she gained experience in marketing, operations, and customer experience.

Ana White, Executive Vice President and Chief People Officer

Ana White has been an Executive Vice President and the Chief People Officer of Lumen Technologies since July 2023. In this role, she leads global Human Resource teams. Previously, Ms. White served as an Executive Vice President and Chief People Officer for F5 and also led global Human Resource teams at Microsoft.

David Ward, Executive Vice President, Chief Technology Officer

David Ward serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Technology Officer at Lumen. In this role, he is responsible for driving technological innovation and product development for the company.

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Key Risks to Lumen Technologies (LUMN)

Lumen Technologies (LUMN) faces several significant risks to its business, primarily stemming from its substantial debt, the ongoing decline of its legacy services, and the complexities of its strategic transformation. These factors collectively pose challenges to its financial stability and future growth.

The most significant risk to Lumen Technologies is its high debt load and associated financial performance concerns. The company has been contending with a substantial long-term debt, reported at approximately $17.3 billion as of March 2024 and $17.56 billion in long-term debt more recently. This heavy debt burden has been a drag on its credit profile and liquidity, requiring active management through refinancing efforts and asset divestitures aimed at reducing interest costs and extending maturities. Despite these efforts, persistent operating losses and declining revenues continue to raise concerns about the company's profitability and overall financial health.

Secondly, Lumen is significantly impacted by the decline of its legacy products and intense competition within the telecommunications and technology sectors. The company operates in a highly competitive landscape, facing established telecom giants such as AT&T, Verizon, and Comcast, as well as agile cloud service providers like Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure. This intense competition and the rapid pace of technological change necessitate continuous adaptation and investment, while the shift away from traditional wireline services to more advanced offerings often comes with lower operating margins and contributes to revenue decline. Lumen's total revenue declined by 11.5% year-over-year in Q3 2024 to $3.22 billion.

Finally, the company's ongoing strategic transformation and divestiture risks present considerable uncertainty. Lumen is in the process of divesting non-core assets, such as its Mass Markets fiber-to-the-home business, to streamline operations and pivot towards higher-growth enterprise and AI-driven services. While intended to improve the company's financial position and strategic focus, these divestitures are contingent on regulatory approvals and other conditions that may not materialize as anticipated. Furthermore, even if successful, these transactions could lead to unforeseen costs, operational complexities, and potentially reduced cash flows, which could negatively impact credit ratings and broader strategic objectives. The success of this transformation heavily relies on the effective execution of its new strategies and substantial investments in advanced infrastructure, such as Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) solutions.

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The increasing expansion of hyperscale cloud providers (e.g., AWS, Microsoft Azure, Google Cloud) into global network services and direct enterprise connectivity. These providers are building extensive global fiber networks, points of presence, and edge computing facilities, offering direct connection services (e.g., AWS Direct Connect, Azure ExpressRoute, Google Cloud Interconnect) and integrated network-as-a-service functionalities as part of their cloud ecosystems.

This development threatens Lumen by:

  • Disintermediation: As enterprises migrate more applications and data to the cloud, they increasingly procure core networking services and connectivity directly from the hyperscalers, potentially bypassing traditional telecom carriers for crucial segments of their network traffic and management.
  • Shifting Control and Value: Hyperscalers are aiming to own a larger share of the enterprise IT and network spend, moving the control point and strategic value away from traditional network providers like Lumen, even for hybrid and multi-cloud environments.
  • Competitive Pressure: While Lumen partners with hyperscalers, the cloud providers' growing networking capabilities represent a competitive force for certain enterprise connectivity and managed network services that Lumen traditionally provides.

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Lumen Technologies (symbol: LUMN) offers a range of products and services, targeting various addressable markets. The size of these markets, along with their respective regions, is detailed below:

  • Network-as-a-Service (NaaS) / Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF): Lumen is positioned in a serviceable addressable market (SAM) for NaaS across Mid-Market and Large Enterprise channels, estimated to grow from $10-15 billion in 2022 to $25-35 billion by 2027. This market is primarily within North America, considering Lumen's focus on its domestic enterprise and global operations. Additionally, Lumen is targeting a new $15 billion Total Addressable Market (TAM) in cloud networking through initiatives like direct fiber access to cloud providers, which is likely a global market opportunity given the nature of cloud services.
  • Cloud Voice / Unified Communications and Collaboration (UC&C): The total addressable market (TAM) for cloud voice, where Lumen offers its Cloud Communications Platform (LCC), is estimated at $47 billion. This is a global market.
  • Mass Markets Fiber (Quantum Fiber): In 2022, Lumen had approximately 21 million addressable home and small business locations in its 16-state region within the U.S. for its Quantum Fiber service. However, it is important to note that Lumen announced the sale of approximately 95% of its Mass Markets consumer fiber business, including Quantum Fiber, in eleven states to AT&T for $5.75 billion, a deal expected to close in early 2026. Lumen will retain assets serving enterprise and wholesale fiber customers in all geographies, and its existing copper network for consumer customers. Therefore, the addressable market for Lumen in this segment is significantly reduced after the divestiture.
  • Dark Fiber Network Operators: Lumen holds an estimated 17.6% market share in the Dark Fiber Network Operators industry within the U.S.. A specific total market size was not identified in the search results.
  • Security Services (e.g., DDoS, SASE): A relevant U.S. business Telco market for security was estimated at $135 billion in 2023, with a 15% CAGR. While a specific addressable market for Lumen's distinct security offerings was not provided, they operate within this broader market.
  • Edge Cloud & IT Agility and Managed Services: Specific addressable market sizes for these services were not explicitly identified in the provided search results.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Lumen Technologies (symbol: LUMN) anticipates future revenue growth over the next two to three years will be driven by several strategic initiatives focusing on its enterprise business and advanced network capabilities.

  1. Expansion of Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) and AI-Ready Network Infrastructure: Lumen is prioritizing its enterprise sector, driven by the increasing demand for robust network infrastructure to support artificial intelligence (AI) workloads. The company has secured significant deals for its Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) offering, including $8.5 billion in 2024 with major hyperscalers and an additional $1 billion in new PCF deals recently, bringing the total awarded deal value beyond $10 billion. This expansion is crucial for building the backbone of the AI economy and facilitating hyperscale cloud deployments.

  2. Growth of Network-as-a-Service (NaaS) and Digital Services: Lumen is actively pushing for the adoption of its Network-as-a-Service (NaaS) platform and other digital offerings to drive high-value digital revenue growth. The company aims to generate between $500 million and $600 million in incremental digital revenue by the end of 2028, primarily by scaling its digital ecosystem and accelerating NaaS adoption. Lumen is developing NaaS capabilities to provide more agile and on-demand network solutions.

  3. Strategic Partnerships and the "Connected Ecosystem" Strategy: Lumen is leveraging strategic partnerships to enhance its network capabilities and expand its market reach. Its "Connected Ecosystem" strategy focuses on forming high-impact partnerships, such as those with Google Cloud (April 2025) for dedicated fiber access, Meta (October 2024) to boost AI network capacity, and Palantir. This strategy aims to embed Lumen's network solutions directly into partner marketplaces, accelerating adoption and giving Lumen's connectivity a better position within other companies' cloud and data offerings. The launch of "Internet On-Demand (IOD) off-net" also significantly expands Lumen's addressable market by enabling it to sell digital services even without owning the last-mile connection.

  4. Growth in the "Grow" Product Portfolio (Dark Fiber and IP): Lumen's "Grow" product segment, which includes dark fiber and IP services, is a key driver for its North American enterprise revenue. This segment saw a 10.5% year-over-year increase in revenue in a recent quarter, with "Grow" now comprising 50% of North American enterprise revenue, up from 35.5% three years ago. This shift highlights Lumen's successful pivot away from legacy telecom services towards higher-growth, modern network solutions.

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Share Repurchases

  • Lumen Technologies authorized a share repurchase program of up to $1.5 billion in November 2022, valid for two years.
  • As of July 28, 2023, $200 million of the authorized $1.5 billion share repurchase program had been utilized.
  • A $1.0 billion stock repurchase program was completed on October 5, 2021, involving the repurchase of 80.9 million shares at an average price of $12.36 per share.

Capital Expenditures

  • Lumen's capital expenditures averaged $3.195 billion annually from fiscal years 2020 to 2024, peaking at $3.729 billion in 2020 and reaching a 5-year low of $2.9 billion in 2021.
  • For fiscal year 2024, capital expenditures were $3.23 billion, with an earlier forecast of $3.1 billion to $3.3 billion.
  • The company forecasts capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 to be between $4.1 billion and $4.3 billion, primarily focused on enhancing infrastructure, expanding service capabilities, supporting the AI economy, and executing Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) contracts.

Better Bets vs. Lumen Technologies (LUMN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

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Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
YELP_2132026_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE02132026YELPYelpDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
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TRIP_2132026_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG02132026TRIPTripadvisorDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
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OMC_2062026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02062026OMCOmnicomDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.1%22.1%-3.7%
MGNI_2062026_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE02062026MGNIMagniteDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
20.6%20.6%-0.8%
RBLX_1302026_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE01302026RBLXRobloxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.4%4.4%-7.9%
LUMN_6302024_Short_Squeeze06302024LUMNLumen TechnologiesSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
399.1%298.2%-6.4%
LUMN_11302023_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K11302023LUMNLumen TechnologiesInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
-2.3%460.3%-24.2%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LUMNTVZCMCSACHTRTMUSMedian
NameLumen Te.AT&T Verizon .Comcast Charter .T-Mobile. 
Mkt Price6.6228.6451.1231.91232.24221.5741.52
Mkt Cap6.6203.3216.2115.829.5246.1159.5
Rev LTM12,402125,648138,191123,70854,77488,309106,008
Op Inc LTM-18425,00029,25920,67113,32418,55719,614
FCF LTM37119,44219,67619,2354,41815,42717,331
FCF 3Y Avg17819,47017,17014,9133,63211,05212,983
CFO LTM4,73840,28437,13733,64316,07727,95030,796
CFO 3Y Avg3,74439,12337,17529,93914,98022,93426,436

Growth & Margins

LUMNTVZCMCSACHTRTMUSMedian
NameLumen Te.AT&T Verizon .Comcast Charter .T-Mobile. 
Rev Chg LTM-5.4%2.7%2.5%-0.0%-0.6%8.5%1.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.7%1.3%0.3%0.6%0.5%3.6%0.5%
Rev Chg Q-8.7%3.6%2.0%1.2%-2.3%11.3%1.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.3%0.9%0.5%0.3%-0.6%2.9%0.4%
Op Mgn LTM-1.5%19.9%21.2%16.7%24.3%21.0%20.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.5%19.9%21.3%18.2%23.8%20.4%20.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.8%0.4%-1.9%-1.3%-0.0%-1.6%-1.4%
CFO/Rev LTM38.2%32.1%26.9%27.2%29.4%31.7%30.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg28.7%31.7%27.4%24.3%27.3%27.6%27.5%
FCF/Rev LTM3.0%15.5%14.2%15.5%8.1%17.5%14.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.6%15.8%12.6%12.1%6.6%13.2%12.4%

Valuation

LUMNTVZCMCSACHTRTMUSMedian
NameLumen Te.AT&T Verizon .Comcast Charter .T-Mobile. 
Mkt Cap6.6203.3216.2115.829.5246.1159.5
P/S0.51.61.60.90.52.81.3
P/EBIT-4.66.07.43.82.413.64.9
P/E-3.89.312.65.85.922.47.6
P/CFO1.45.05.83.41.88.84.2
Total Yield-26.3%10.8%13.3%21.5%16.9%6.1%12.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%5.3%4.2%0.0%1.7%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.8%13.1%10.3%11.3%9.7%5.0%10.0%
D/E2.70.80.80.93.30.50.8
Net D/E2.50.70.80.83.30.50.8

Returns

LUMNTVZCMCSACHTRTMUSMedian
NameLumen Te.AT&T Verizon .Comcast Charter .T-Mobile. 
1M Rtn-0.2%5.2%8.7%4.6%3.6%10.3%4.9%
3M Rtn-19.9%14.6%24.7%25.9%13.2%6.2%13.9%
6M Rtn39.4%-1.0%19.2%2.5%-11.2%-11.5%0.7%
12M Rtn31.6%11.8%23.5%-2.4%-39.4%-14.3%4.7%
3Y Rtn112.9%80.7%65.3%3.7%-35.1%61.3%63.3%
1M Excs Rtn1.9%7.3%10.8%6.7%5.7%12.4%7.0%
3M Excs Rtn-29.2%16.0%29.5%27.0%17.7%8.4%16.9%
6M Excs Rtn29.5%-4.7%16.1%-1.3%-14.2%-14.9%-3.0%
12M Excs Rtn12.9%-1.2%12.1%-15.8%-54.0%-29.6%-8.5%
3Y Excs Rtn34.4%10.6%-7.0%-68.1%-106.5%-7.5%-7.2%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Business10,36611,58313,04114,11914,817
Mass Markets2,7422,9744,4375,5685,895
Total13,10814,55717,47819,68720,712


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Business4,6176,0558,5699,4539,899
Mass Markets1,4961,5172,6904,8765,118
Goodwill impairment0-10,693-3,271 -2,642
Stock-based compensation expense-29-52-98-120-175
Other unallocated expense-2,668-3,426-4,556-5,905-6,528
Depreciation and amortization-2,956-2,985-3,239-4,019-4,710
Total460-9,584954,285962


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$6.62 
Market Cap ($ Bil)6.6 
First Trading Date11/05/1987 
Distance from 52W High-44.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$7.89$6.48
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-16.1%2.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility92.5%82.2%
Downside Capture349.44263.43
Upside Capture254.43248.44
Correlation (SPY)46.4%48.1%
LUMN Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta5.644.724.273.652.052.00
Up Beta15.4111.4510.754.741.581.65
Down Beta0.962.412.562.282.012.18
Up Capture283%419%319%788%703%1570%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days8192962119337
Down Capture482%344%306%258%156%112%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days12213161127381

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LUMN
LUMN29.6%82.2%0.67-
Sector ETF (XLC)16.9%18.6%0.7034.9%
Equity (SPY)16.4%19.2%0.6648.2%
Gold (GLD)77.1%26.1%2.170.6%
Commodities (DBC)19.6%17.1%0.8913.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.1%16.6%0.0125.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-21.4%45.5%-0.3934.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LUMN
LUMN-9.2%84.1%0.22-
Sector ETF (XLC)10.9%20.8%0.4424.2%
Equity (SPY)13.0%17.0%0.6029.6%
Gold (GLD)24.2%17.2%1.143.3%
Commodities (DBC)11.9%19.0%0.516.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%18.8%0.1728.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.5%56.8%0.3513.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LUMN
LUMN-8.5%66.7%0.13-
Sector ETF (XLC)9.7%22.4%0.5228.0%
Equity (SPY)15.0%17.9%0.7232.7%
Gold (GLD)15.1%15.6%0.802.5%
Commodities (DBC)9.0%17.6%0.4311.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.1%20.7%0.2629.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.7%66.8%1.069.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date2132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity49.7 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 13120265.4%
Average Daily Volume20.5 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity996.4 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares5.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/3/2026-21.6%-8.0%-19.3%
10/30/2025-0.6%5.8%-11.6%
7/31/2025-16.6%-16.9%11.7%
5/1/20257.4%18.2%9.4%
2/4/2025-1.4%-4.2%-0.2%
11/5/202418.5%21.3%-15.0%
8/6/202432.6%0.2%10.0%
4/30/20241.7%9.2%7.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101112
# Negative141312
Median Positive7.4%9.7%11.8%
Median Negative-10.3%-8.0%-14.8%
Max Positive32.6%21.3%28.1%
Max Negative-32.9%-23.1%-42.3%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/20/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/20/202510-K
09/30/202411/05/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
12/31/202302/22/202410-K
09/30/202310/31/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/23/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q
03/31/202205/04/202210-Q

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Stansbury, ChristopherEVP and CFOspouse as trustee of ARS TrustBuy81520254.2918,00077,2312,222,531Form
2Stansbury, ChristopherEVP and CFOspouse as trustee of RJR TrustBuy81520254.2912,00051,48751,487Form
3Stansbury, ChristopherEVP and CFOSRR DSNTBuy81520254.2912,00051,48751,487Form
4Stansbury, ChristopherEVP and CFOspouse as trustee of ARS TrustBuy81520254.4417,00075,4582,374,704Form
5Stansbury, ChristopherEVP and CFOspouse as trustee of RJR TrustBuy81520254.4411,50051,045104,309Form