Tearsheet

Lumen Technologies (LUMN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $7.63 | Market Cap: $7.6 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Alternative Carriers

Lumen Technologies (LUMN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $7.63
Market Cap: $7.6 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Alternative Carriers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, CFO LTM is 4.9 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -31%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 255%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 20%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.2%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Show more.
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 61%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -31%
4   Key risks
LUMN key risks include [1] a substantial debt burden causing persistent operating losses, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, CFO LTM is 4.9 Bil
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 20%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -31%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 255%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.2%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 61%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -31%
8 Key risks
LUMN key risks include [1] a substantial debt burden causing persistent operating losses, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LUMN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining why Lumen Technologies (LUMN) stock moved by 53.5% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Enhanced AI Strategy and Network Expansion: Lumen Technologies significantly advanced its role as an AI infrastructure provider by developing Wavelength RapidRoutes, which offer connections up to 400G, and by undertaking a considerable network expansion to support AI industry needs, including engaging millions of fiber miles to boost network capacity. This strategic pivot and investment in next-generation networking solutions were perceived positively by investors, contributing to an upward stock movement.

2. Successful Debt Restructuring and Balance Sheet Improvement: The company successfully refinanced and repriced existing debt, which included securing approximately $9 billion of outstanding indebtedness maturing through 2027 and obtaining $1.2 billion in new long-term debt to extend maturities to primarily 2029 and beyond. This financial restructuring significantly eased liquidity pressures, reduced interest costs, and demonstrated a commitment to improving financial stability, thereby bolstering investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LUMN Return-19%39%-55%-65%190%53%-22%
Peers Return22%-7%-14%12%15%-9%13%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LUMN Win Rate42%58%25%33%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate57%48%43%60%62%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LUMN Max Drawdown-33%-0%-57%-81%-46%-42% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-13%-30%-11%-10%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: T, VZ, CMCSA, CHTR, TMUS. See LUMN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLUMNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-93.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1459.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven310 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-64.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven182.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-56.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven127.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to CSCO, ZD, ATEX, LUMN, IRDM


In The Past

Lumen Technologies's stock fell -93.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/9/2021. A -93.6% loss requires a 1459.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Lumen Technologies (LUMN)

Better Bets than Lumen Technologies (LUMN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LUMN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.0%-5.0%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.5%-1.5%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.3%1.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.9%-28.9%-29.8%
LUMN_6302024_Short_Squeeze06302024LUMNLumen TechnologiesSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
399.1%298.2%-6.4%
LUMN_12312023_Short_Squeeze12312023LUMNLumen TechnologiesSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-39.9%195.1%-45.8%
LUMN_6302023_Short_Squeeze06302023LUMNLumen TechnologiesSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-19.0%-51.3%-56.6%
LUMN_12312022_Short_Squeeze12312022LUMNLumen TechnologiesSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-56.7%-64.9%-81.2%
LUMN_6302022_Short_Squeeze06302022LUMNLumen TechnologiesSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-50.3%-78.8%-83.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.0%-5.0%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.5%-1.5%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.3%1.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.9%-28.9%-29.8%
LUMN_6302024_Short_Squeeze06302024LUMNLumen TechnologiesSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
399.1%298.2%-6.4%
LUMN_12312023_Short_Squeeze12312023LUMNLumen TechnologiesSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-39.9%195.1%-45.8%
LUMN_6302023_Short_Squeeze06302023LUMNLumen TechnologiesSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-19.0%-51.3%-56.6%
LUMN_12312022_Short_Squeeze12312022LUMNLumen TechnologiesSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-56.7%-64.9%-81.2%
LUMN_6302022_Short_Squeeze06302022LUMNLumen TechnologiesSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-50.3%-78.8%-83.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Lumen Technologies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LUMNTVZCMCSACHTRTMUSMedian
NameLumen Te.AT&T Verizon .Comcast Charter .T-Mobile. 
Mkt Price7.6324.3640.8830.32209.66199.3835.60
Mkt Cap7.6174.3172.8112.829.0224.1142.8
Rev LTM12,690124,480137,491124,18455,22285,847105,016
Op Inc LTM17024,21831,67622,50513,53019,40720,956
FCF LTM1,22619,95620,64916,5884,30313,80715,198
FCF 3Y Avg54119,98516,05213,3803,7539,99211,686
CFO LTM4,86440,86038,45531,21015,20126,84529,028
CFO 3Y Avg3,83738,78737,11728,37114,74822,16125,266

Growth & Margins

LUMNTVZCMCSACHTRTMUSMedian
NameLumen Te.AT&T Verizon .Comcast Charter .T-Mobile. 
Rev Chg LTM-4.6%2.0%2.4%2.5%1.0%7.3%2.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-11.6%1.1%0.5%0.7%1.3%2.4%0.9%
Rev Chg Q-4.2%1.6%1.5%2.1%0.6%8.9%1.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.0%0.4%0.4%0.5%0.1%2.1%0.4%
Op Mgn LTM1.3%19.5%23.0%18.1%24.5%22.6%21.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.2%19.9%21.9%18.9%23.6%20.3%20.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.9%-0.4%1.5%-0.6%-0.0%-0.5%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM38.3%32.8%28.0%25.1%27.5%31.3%29.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg28.9%31.6%27.4%23.2%26.9%27.1%27.3%
FCF/Rev LTM9.7%16.0%15.0%13.4%7.8%16.1%14.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.4%16.3%11.8%10.9%6.8%12.2%11.4%

Valuation

LUMNTVZCMCSACHTRTMUSMedian
NameLumen Te.AT&T Verizon .Comcast Charter .T-Mobile. 
Mkt Cap7.6174.3172.8112.829.0224.1142.8
P/S0.51.61.40.90.73.11.1
P/EBIT-6.35.85.73.73.014.14.7
P/E-3.79.19.45.17.222.78.2
P/CFO1.34.94.83.72.510.04.3
Total Yield-27.1%11.0%16.8%23.8%13.8%5.9%12.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%6.1%4.2%0.0%1.5%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.5%13.7%9.5%9.3%8.0%4.4%8.6%
D/E2.90.80.90.92.50.40.9
Net D/E2.60.70.90.82.50.40.8

Returns

LUMNTVZCMCSACHTRTMUSMedian
NameLumen Te.AT&T Verizon .Comcast Charter .T-Mobile. 
1M Rtn-5.3%-4.4%-0.3%11.4%3.9%-7.2%-2.3%
3M Rtn36.5%-16.6%-5.9%-5.5%-21.8%-16.3%-11.1%
6M Rtn91.7%-10.1%1.4%-9.7%-44.5%-9.0%-9.4%
12M Rtn27.4%11.5%7.1%-18.9%-43.5%-8.3%-0.6%
3Y Rtn41.0%55.9%34.8%-3.3%-31.2%45.0%37.9%
1M Excs Rtn-6.1%-5.1%-1.1%10.7%3.1%-7.9%-3.1%
3M Excs Rtn31.3%-17.0%-6.1%-4.5%-21.4%-17.5%-11.6%
6M Excs Rtn79.3%-22.5%-11.0%-22.1%-56.8%-21.4%-21.8%
12M Excs Rtn6.1%-3.4%-7.7%-32.3%-55.9%-23.8%-15.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-31.2%-19.0%-36.6%-77.1%-113.9%-23.5%-33.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Business11,58313,04114,11914,817 
Mass Markets2,9744,4375,5685,895 
Consumer    5,517
Enterprise    5,696
International and Global Accounts    3,476
Small and Medium Business    2,727
Wholesale    4,042
Total14,55717,47819,68720,71221,458


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Business6,0558,5699,4539,899 
Mass Markets1,5172,6904,8765,118 
Stock-based compensation expense-52-98-120-175-162
Depreciation and amortization-2,985-3,239-4,019-4,710-4,829
Other unallocated expense-3,426-4,556-5,905-6,528-7,024
Goodwill impairment-10,693-3,271 -2,642-6,506
Consumer    4,799
Enterprise    3,383
International and Global Accounts    2,295
Small and Medium Business    1,869
Wholesale    3,449
Total-9,584954,285962-2,726


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity56,849,473
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-0.9%
Average Daily Volume12,959,382
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.39
Basic Shares Quantity995,998,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-0.6%5.8%-11.6%
7/31/2025-16.6%-16.9%11.7%
5/1/20257.4%18.2%9.4%
2/4/2025-1.4%-4.2%-0.2%
11/5/202418.5%21.3%-15.0%
8/6/202432.6%0.2%10.0%
4/30/20241.7%9.2%7.6%
2/6/20247.4%20.0%28.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111213
# Negative141312
Median Positive7.4%9.8%11.7%
Median Negative-8.7%-10.2%-14.8%
Max Positive32.6%21.3%28.1%
Max Negative-32.9%-23.1%-42.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021