Lumen Technologies (LUMN)


Market Price (8/10/2026): $6.25 | Market Cap: $6.3 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Alternative Carriers

Lumen Technologies (LUMN)


Market Price (8/10/2026): $6.25
Market Cap: $6.3 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Alternative Carriers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%, CFO LTM is 5.4 Bil

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 13%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Show more.

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -367 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.1%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 185%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.3%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -21%

Key risks
LUMN key risks include [1] a substantial debt burden causing persistent operating losses, Show more.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%, CFO LTM is 5.4 Bil
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 13%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Show more.
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -367 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.1%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 185%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.3%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -21%
7 Key risks
LUMN key risks include [1] a substantial debt burden causing persistent operating losses, Show more.

LUMN in ETFs

Weight = LUMN's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWM0.21%
IJR0.30%
VB0.09%
NUSC0.45%
VIOV0.43%
IWN0.37%
+13 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/5/2026

Lumen Technologies (LUMN) stock has lost about 30% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Miss and Persistent Revenue Decline. Lumen Technologies reported a substantial loss per share of -$0.47 for fiscal Q1 2026, released on May 5, 2026, significantly missing analysts' consensus estimate of -$0.11 by 327.27%. Although the company beat analysts' EPS and revenue estimates for fiscal Q2 2026 (reported August 4, 2026), total revenue still declined 9.3% year-over-year to $2.81 billion. This continued decline in overall revenue, driven by legacy businesses not fully offset by a 14.1% year-over-year growth in strategic revenue, has likely contributed to sustained investor concern.

2. Continued Unprofitability and Cautious Analyst Sentiment. Despite ongoing transformation efforts, Lumen Technologies remains unprofitable, reporting a loss per share of -$0.07 in fiscal Q2 2026 and forecasting a loss of -$0.57 per share for the full fiscal year 2026. This sustained unprofitability, combined with a predominantly "Hold" rating from most analysts and a recent price target reduction by Goldman Sachs from $8.50 to $7.25 on August 5, 2026, has likely weighed on investor confidence.

Show more
Updated on 8/5/2026

Lumen Technologies (LUMN) stock has lost about 30% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Miss and Persistent Revenue Decline. Lumen Technologies reported a substantial loss per share of -$0.47 for fiscal Q1 2026, released on May 5, 2026, significantly missing analysts' consensus estimate of -$0.11 by 327.27%. Although the company beat analysts' EPS and revenue estimates for fiscal Q2 2026 (reported August 4, 2026), total revenue still declined 9.3% year-over-year to $2.81 billion. This continued decline in overall revenue, driven by legacy businesses not fully offset by a 14.1% year-over-year growth in strategic revenue, has likely contributed to sustained investor concern.

2. Continued Unprofitability and Cautious Analyst Sentiment. Despite ongoing transformation efforts, Lumen Technologies remains unprofitable, reporting a loss per share of -$0.07 in fiscal Q2 2026 and forecasting a loss of -$0.57 per share for the full fiscal year 2026. This sustained unprofitability, combined with a predominantly "Hold" rating from most analysts and a recent price target reduction by Goldman Sachs from $8.50 to $7.25 on August 5, 2026, has likely weighed on investor confidence.

3. Substantial Debt Burden and Transformation-Related Costs. Lumen continues to operate with a significant debt load, totaling over $13 billion as of June 30, 2026. While the company has undertaken debt repayment efforts following divestitures, the ongoing modernization and simplification program incurred $116 million in special items during fiscal Q2 2026. These substantial costs, despite aiming for future annualized savings of $700 million by the end of fiscal year 2026, represent a current drag on financial performance and contribute to investor apprehension regarding the company's long-term financial health.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -29.4% change in LUMN stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -25.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268092026Change
Stock Price ($)8.846.24-29.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12,40211,832-4.6%
P/S Multiple0.70.5-25.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)9961,004-0.8%
Cumulative Contribution-29.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LUMN-29.4% 
Market (SPY)7.6%49.5%
Sector (XLC)-4.5%11.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -29.3% change in LUMN stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -23.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120268092026Change
Stock Price ($)8.826.24-29.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12,69011,832-6.8%
P/S Multiple0.70.5-23.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)9961,004-0.8%
Cumulative Contribution-29.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LUMN-29.3% 
Market (SPY)12.1%48.8%
Sector (XLC)-7.1%18.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 40.2% change in LUMN stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 53.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120258092026Change
Stock Price ($)4.456.2440.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12,82411,832-7.7%
P/S Multiple0.30.553.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)9951,004-1.0%
Cumulative Contribution40.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LUMN40.2% 
Market (SPY)23.4%47.2%
Sector (XLC)4.6%18.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 248.6% change in LUMN stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 398.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120238092026Change
Stock Price ($)1.796.24248.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)16,54011,832-28.5%
P/S Multiple0.10.5398.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)9821,004-2.2%
Cumulative Contribution248.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LUMN248.6% 
Market (SPY)74.9%31.6%
Sector (XLC)66.8%22.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
LUMN Return39%-55%-65%190%46%-24%-30%
Peers Return-7%-14%12%15%-8%-4%-10%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LUMN Win Rate58%25%33%50%50%38% 
Peers Win Rate48%43%60%62%52%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LUMN Max Drawdown-26%-60%-84%-48%-48%-46% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-34%-22%-18%-28%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: T, VZ, CMCSA, CHTR, TMUS. See LUMN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/7/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventLUMNS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-37.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven59.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven128 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-44.6%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven80.6%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven43 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-56.2%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven128.1%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven425 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-33.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven50.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven309 days140 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-16.5%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven19.8%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven210 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-18.6%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.9%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven23 days62 days

Compare to T, VZ, CMCSA, CHTR, TMUS

In The Past

Lumen Technologies's stock fell -37.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 59.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventLUMNS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-37.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven59.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven128 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-44.6%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven80.6%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven43 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-56.2%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven128.1%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven425 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-33.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven50.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven309 days140 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-20.7%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.1%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven85 days1 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-46.1%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven85.4%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven377 days1085 days

Compare to T, VZ, CMCSA, CHTR, TMUS

In The Past

Lumen Technologies's stock fell -37.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 59.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Lumen Technologies (LUMN)

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Lumen Technologies (LUMN) is a facilities-based technology and communications company that leverages its extensive network infrastructure to provide a wide array of integrated products and services. Operating under brands such as Lumen, Quantum Fiber, and CenturyLink, the company serves both business and residential customers across the United States and internationally. Essentially, Lumen is a foundational provider of connectivity and technology solutions critical for today's digital economy.

The company's core offerings are diverse. For its business clients, Lumen delivers comprehensive compute and application services, which include cloud solutions, IT services, unified communication and collaboration tools, data center co-location, and managed security services. It also provides robust IP and data services suching as VPN data networks, Ethernet, and Voice over IP (VoIP). A significant part of Lumen's business involves fiber infrastructure services, offering high-bandwidth optical wavelength networks and unlit optical fiber (dark fiber) to power large-scale network needs.

On the residential front, primarily through its Quantum Fiber and CenturyLink brands, Lumen provides broadband internet access and traditional voice services, catering to millions of subscribers. Beyond these core offerings, the company also offers dedicated private line services, legacy data hosting, and conferencing solutions. Overall, Lumen Technologies focuses on building and maintaining the essential network infrastructure and providing the services that enable businesses to operate efficiently and keep residential customers connected.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Lumen Technologies:

  • A telecom provider similar to AT&T or Verizon, but with a significant focus on its expansive fiber optic network and advanced business communication services.
  • Similar to Zayo Group, known for its fiber infrastructure, but also offering internet and voice services directly to residential and business customers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Compute and Application Services: Lumen provides a suite of solutions including cloud services, IT solutions, unified communications, data center, content delivery, and managed security.
  • IP and Data Services: The company offers various network connectivity solutions such as VPN data networks, Ethernet, internet protocol (IP), and voice over internet protocol (VoIP).
  • Fiber Infrastructure Services: Lumen delivers high-bandwidth optical wavelength networks, unlit optical fiber, and related professional services.
  • Voice and Other Services: This category includes private line services, traditional time division multiplexing (TDM) voice services, legacy data hosting, and conferencing services.
  • Broadband Services: Lumen offers internet connectivity to residential and business customers under brands like Quantum Fiber and CenturyLink.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Lumen Technologies (LUMN) serves a diverse customer base, operating in both Business and Mass Markets segments. While the provided background information details an extensive array of services predominantly aimed at business entities, the company also serves a significant number of residential subscribers. Specific major customer company names for its business segment are not disclosed in the provided background.

Therefore, Lumen Technologies' major customers can be categorized as follows:

Business Segment Customers

  • Enterprises: A wide range of businesses across various industries that utilize Lumen's compute and application services (e.g., cloud, IT solutions, unified communication and collaboration, managed security), IP and data services (e.g., VPN, Ethernet, IP), and voice services.
  • Wholesale and Other Carriers: Other telecommunications companies, internet service providers, and content providers that leverage Lumen's robust fiber infrastructure, high bandwidth optical wavelength networks, and unlit optical fiber.
  • Government and Education: Public sector organizations and educational institutions requiring secure and reliable network connectivity, data services, and other technology solutions.

Mass Markets Segment Customers

  • Residential Broadband Subscribers: Individuals and households subscribing to internet services under brands like Quantum Fiber and CenturyLink, as evidenced by approximately 4.5 million broadband subscribers as of December 31, 2021.
  • Residential Voice and Legacy Service Subscribers: Individual households utilizing traditional time division multiplexing (TDM) voice services and other legacy data hosting services.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Kate Johnson, Chief Executive Officer

Kate Johnson joined Lumen as CEO in 2022. She is a seasoned technology innovator with a proven track record of driving business transformation at Fortune 100 companies. Prior to Lumen, Ms. Johnson held executive leadership roles including President of Microsoft US, Executive Vice President and Corporate Officer at GE Digital, and Senior Vice President for North America Technology and Government Consulting at Oracle. Her career also includes commercial and technology leadership roles at Red Hat, UBS Investment Bank, and Deloitte Consulting. Ms. Johnson holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Electrical Engineering from Lehigh University and an MBA from The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. She has served on the board of directors for UPS since 2020.

Chris Stansbury, President and Chief Financial Officer

Chris Stansbury assumed the additional title of President on March 13, 2026, while continuing to serve as Chief Financial Officer. He was appointed CFO of Lumen Technologies effective April 4, 2022. Mr. Stansbury brings over 30 years of finance leadership experience at multinational corporations. Before joining Lumen, he served as Senior Vice President and CFO of Arrow Electronics, Inc. Prior to Arrow, he was CFO for the Networking Group of Hewlett-Packard. Earlier in his career, he held finance positions of increasing responsibility at PepsiCo. Mr. Stansbury holds a Master of Business Administration degree from the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania and a bachelor's degree from the University of Western Ontario.

Jim Fowler, Executive Vice President, Chief Technology & Product Officer

Jim Fowler was appointed Executive Vice President, Chief Technology & Product Officer, effective January 5, 2026. In this role, he oversees global technology and product strategy, focusing on evolving Lumen's network, digital platforms, and product portfolio. Mr. Fowler previously served as Executive Vice President and Chief Technology Officer at Nationwide Insurance, where he led modernization and digital transformation efforts. His career also includes senior technology roles at General Electric and earlier positions at AT&T and Accenture. He was a member of Lumen's board of directors since 2023, contributing to the company's transformation strategy.

Ashley Haynes-Gaspar, Executive Vice President and Chief Revenue Officer

Ashley Haynes-Gaspar serves as Executive Vice President and Chief Revenue Officer, a role she assumed in January 2024. She joined Lumen as Executive Vice President – Customer Success, Wholesale and International in January 2023. Ms. Haynes-Gaspar focuses on nurturing and growing enterprise customer relationships and leading the company's international and wholesale businesses. Prior to Lumen, she served as Chief Operating Officer overseeing industry and business applications for the U.S. subsidiary of Microsoft. She also held various senior-level positions at GE, including senior CMO roles in global divisions. Ms. Haynes-Gaspar received her undergraduate degree from the University of Florida.

Ana White, Chief People & AI Enablement Officer

Ana White assumed the role of Chief People & AI Enablement Officer on March 17, 2026, taking on expanded responsibility for Lumen's internal AI transformation, aligning workforce readiness, talent development, culture, and ways of working. She previously served as Executive Vice President and Chief People Officer. Ms. White heads up HR and drives the people and culture agenda to increase employee engagement and drive business performance.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Lumen Technologies (LUMN) faces several key risks as it navigates a significant business transformation within a highly competitive industry.

1. High Debt Levels and Financial Strain

Lumen Technologies carries a substantial debt burden, which poses a significant risk to its financial flexibility and ability to invest in growth initiatives. As of December 31, 2025, the company reported approximately $17.353 billion in long-term debt, with total debt against a market capitalization of only $7.7 billion as of October 2025. This high leverage ratio, including a debt-to-equity ratio of 230.7% compared to an S&P 500 average of 21.1% in October 2025, has been a critical concern. While Lumen has actively pursued debt reduction strategies, including divesting its Mass Markets fiber-to-the-home segment to AT&T for $5.75 billion and using proceeds to pay down super-priority bonds, which reduced annual interest expense, the overall debt remains sizable relative to its revenue. The complexity of its debt structure could also affect investor rights. The company's solvency score is a warning sign of potential financial weakness.

2. Declining Legacy Revenues and Execution Risk of Business Transformation

Lumen is undergoing a strategic pivot away from its shrinking legacy services, such as copper-based broadband and older enterprise offerings, towards high-growth areas like fiber infrastructure and AI-oriented connectivity solutions. However, this transformation is challenged by persistent revenue declines in its traditional businesses, which continue to outweigh gains from newer offerings. The company has experienced ongoing revenue challenges, with a three-year average decline of 12.2% compared to 5.4% growth for the S&P 500. There is substantial execution risk in scaling the newer Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) and Network-as-a-Service (NaaS) offerings quickly enough to offset these declines and generate sustainable cash flow. The pathway to materially higher revenues is projected to extend to around 2028, implying several years of continued business pressure and the need for significant capital expenditures to build out and modernize its network infrastructure.

3. Intense Competition and Evolving Market Dynamics

The telecommunications industry is characterized by intense competition and rapid technological advancements, posing a significant risk to Lumen's market position. The company faces direct competition from major telecommunications providers like AT&T and Verizon, as well as indirect competition from cloud providers such as AWS and Microsoft Azure, and specialized fiber providers like Zayo. Competitors challenge Lumen through pricing strategies, innovation, brand strength, and technology. Shifts in customer preferences towards cloud-native and wireless-first solutions, coupled with aggressive competition, could lead to higher churn and price compression, further impacting Lumen's revenue and profitability. The ability to continuously innovate and enhance its service offerings is crucial to maintain market position and prevent customer attrition.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The emergence and rapid expansion of Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) services, offered by major mobile carriers as a direct alternative to traditional wireline broadband, poses a clear threat. FWA leverages existing 5G infrastructure to deliver high-speed internet without the need for extensive fiber deployment to every home, directly competing with Lumen's core broadband subscriber base and potentially disrupting its last-mile connectivity business model for both residential and small business customers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Lumen Technologies (LUMN) operates within several significant addressable markets, encompassing broadband services, enterprise IT services, data center colocation, managed security services, and fiber optic infrastructure. The market sizes for these key products and services vary by region.

Broadband Services

  • The global broadband services market was valued at approximately USD 497.47 billion in 2024. This market is projected to grow to about USD 1062.73 billion by 2033, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.8% from 2025 to 2033.
  • In the United States, the broadband services market generated an estimated revenue of USD 74.03 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 113.83 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 7.5% from 2025 to 2030. Another source indicates the U.S. broadband services market was valued at USD 62.6 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 152.7 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 10.43% from 2024-2032.

Enterprise IT Services

  • The global IT services market was valued at USD 1.85 trillion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 4.23 trillion by 2033, with a CAGR of 9.6% during the forecast period of 2026–2033. Another report estimated the global IT services market size at USD 1.43 trillion in 2025, with a projection to reach USD 2.64 trillion by 2034, at a CAGR of 7.10%.
  • The United States IT services market size was estimated at USD 490.86 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 671.57 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 6.47% from 2025 to 2030. Other estimates place the U.S. IT Services market size at USD 441.71 billion in 2024, anticipated to reach USD 1009.99 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of approximately 7.81% from 2025 to 2035.

Data Center Colocation

  • Globally, the data center colocation market was valued at USD 69.41 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 165.45 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 16.0% from 2025 to 2030. Another estimate valued the global market at USD 72.5 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 185.0 billion by 2033 with a CAGR of 11.0% from 2025-2033.
  • The U.S. data center colocation market size by investment was valued at USD 24.94 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 57.32 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 14.88%. The U.S. market is also projected to grow from USD 38.80 billion in 2025 to USD 65.45 billion by 2030, reflecting an 11.0% CAGR.

Managed Security Services

  • The global managed security services market size was valued at USD 35.17 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 97.09 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 13.5% over the forecast period 2025-2032. Another source estimates the global market size at USD 39.87 billion in 2025, projected to grow to USD 104.66 billion by 2034 with a CAGR of 11.32%.
  • In the United States, the managed security services market size was USD 8.77 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 19.43 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 10.43% over the forecast period of 2025–2032. Another report shows the U.S. market reaching USD 29.7 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 15.9% during 2025-2033.

Fiber Optic Cable and Connectivity

  • The global fiber optic cable market size is forecast to increase by USD 11.28 billion at a CAGR of 13.64% between 2023 and 2028. Another report indicates the global fiber optics market was valued at USD 98.65 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 171.70 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 8.4%.
  • The U.S. fiber-optic cable market was valued at USD 2.9 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 5.3 billion by 2032, driven by a CAGR of 8.3%. The U.S. fiber optics market size reached USD 3.4 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 8.3 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 9.95% during 2026-2034.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Lumen Technologies (LUMN) is focusing on several key drivers to fuel future revenue growth over the next two to three years, primarily by pivoting towards high-demand enterprise solutions and leveraging its extensive fiber network.

  • Expansion of Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) and AI Infrastructure: Lumen is strategically positioning itself as a "trusted network for AI," undertaking significant Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) deals to support the build-out of artificial intelligence infrastructure and data centers. The company has secured nearly $13 billion in total PCF contracts, including an agreement to expand an AI company's fiber network across North America. Lumen plans to expand its intercity fiber network to approximately 58 million miles by 2031, up from 17 million intercity fiber miles at year-end 2025, with $2.5 billion in recent PCF contracts supporting this expansion. This focus on enabling the AI economy is expected to drive substantial growth in high-value digital revenues.
  • Growth of Network-as-a-Service (NaaS) Offerings: The company is seeing increasing adoption of its Network-as-a-Service platform, which has surpassed 2,000 customers. Lumen's NaaS product offerings, such as NaaS internet on-demand and Off-Net services, are expanding the company's addressable market and driving growth in active customers, ports sold, and services sold. This platform aims to provide a programmable network, putting networking on par with compute and storage in the cloud environment.
  • Shift to High-Value Digital Services and Business Segment Revenue Growth: Lumen is undergoing a business transformation focused on driving growth in high-value digital revenues and achieving an inflection point for its Business Segment revenue by 2028. This involves building a programmable network and offering products and services that cater to the evolving digital needs of enterprises, moving away from legacy services. The company is improving its revenue mix, with growth products accounting for a larger percentage of North American enterprise revenue.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • In February 2022, Lumen Technologies announced an equity buyback program authorized for up to $1.5 billion worth of its shares, valid for two years.
  • As of December 31, 2025, quarterly stock buybacks were reported at $0.00.

Share Issuance

  • Lumen Technologies' shares outstanding for 2025 increased by 0.7% to 0.995 billion from 2024.
  • Shares outstanding for 2024 increased by 0.47% to 0.988 billion from 2023.

Outbound Investments

  • Lumen completed the sale of its Mass Markets fiber-to-the-home business, including Quantum Fiber, to AT&T for $5.75 billion in cash in early 2026.
  • Proceeds from the AT&T transaction were used to fully pay off $4.8 billion of super-priority bonds, reducing total debt to under $13 billion.
  • The company is expanding strategic partnerships with technology firms such as Palantir, Meter, Commvault, QTS, and Digital Realty.

Capital Expenditures

  • Lumen projects capital expenditures for 2026 to be between $3.2 billion and $3.4 billion.
  • The sale of its consumer fiber business to AT&T is expected to reduce annual capital expenditures by more than $1 billion.
  • Capital expenditures are primarily focused on expanding its fiber network to support the AI economy, with plans to add 34 million new intercity fiber miles by the end of 2028, aiming for a total of 47 million intercity fiber miles, and nearly $13 billion in total Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) contracts secured.

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Financials

LUMNTVZCMCSACHTRTMUSMedian
NameLumen Te.AT&T Verizon .Comcast Charter .T-Mobile. 
Mkt Price6.2423.7947.0625.36152.57177.1936.21
Mkt Cap6.3165.1196.190.418.3191.7127.7
Rev LTM11,832127,239138,895124,90554,39692,189108,547
Op Inc LTM-36726,22328,53018,31412,94118,53118,422
FCF LTM83717,65420,16017,8174,19616,23616,945
FCF 3Y Avg64119,42217,90015,3403,96913,17814,259
CFO LTM5,36739,89938,79932,51716,47028,83330,675
CFO 3Y Avg4,34339,73237,30830,12515,51225,03927,582

Growth & Margins

LUMNTVZCMCSACHTRTMUSMedian
NameLumen Te.AT&T Verizon .Comcast Charter .T-Mobile. 
Rev Chg LTM-7.7%2.6%1.4%0.6%-1.5%9.7%1.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-8.8%1.6%1.0%1.2%-0.1%5.5%1.1%
Rev Chg Q-9.3%2.3%-0.7%-1.2%-1.7%7.9%-1.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.4%0.6%-0.2%-0.3%-0.4%1.8%-0.2%
Op Inc Chg LTM-189.1%6.4%-3.3%-18.6%-4.4%-4.5%-4.4%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-96.9%2.8%-1.6%-7.0%1.5%15.6%-0.1%
Op Mgn LTM-3.1%20.6%20.5%14.7%23.8%20.1%20.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg1.4%20.2%21.3%17.4%23.9%21.0%20.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.8%0.5%-0.7%-0.6%-0.3%-0.1%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM45.4%31.4%27.9%26.0%30.3%31.3%30.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg34.5%31.9%27.3%24.4%28.3%29.3%28.8%
FCF/Rev LTM7.1%13.9%14.5%14.3%7.7%17.6%14.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.2%15.6%13.1%12.4%7.2%15.4%12.7%

Valuation

LUMNTVZCMCSACHTRTMUSMedian
NameLumen Te.AT&T Verizon .Comcast Charter .T-Mobile. 
Mkt Cap6.3165.1196.190.418.3191.7127.7
P/S0.51.31.40.70.32.11.0
P/Op Inc-17.16.36.94.91.410.35.6
P/EBIT-16.75.06.84.91.510.74.9
P/E-6.17.712.18.13.718.27.9
P/CFO1.24.15.12.81.16.63.5
Total Yield-16.3%17.9%14.2%17.8%26.9%7.8%16.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%4.9%5.9%5.4%0.0%2.3%3.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg15.3%12.3%10.1%13.5%13.4%6.3%12.8%
D/E2.21.01.01.05.30.61.0
Net D/E1.90.91.00.95.20.60.9

Returns

LUMNTVZCMCSACHTRTMUSMedian
NameLumen Te.AT&T Verizon .Comcast Charter .T-Mobile. 
1M Rtn-7.3%12.6%11.7%7.6%16.7%-5.6%9.7%
3M Rtn-26.4%-4.2%1.4%1.2%-1.5%-8.0%-2.8%
6M Rtn-22.6%-10.2%4.9%-17.1%-34.0%-9.3%-13.7%
12M Rtn66.0%-11.3%16.5%-10.6%-40.5%-26.3%-10.9%
3Y Rtn230.2%96.6%74.3%-34.4%-64.4%34.5%54.4%
1M Excs Rtn-10.4%11.7%10.5%5.8%10.7%-5.2%8.1%
3M Excs Rtn-32.0%-10.3%-4.1%-7.8%-10.5%-14.0%-10.4%
6M Excs Rtn-13.9%-24.9%-11.0%-29.8%-45.9%-25.4%-25.2%
12M Excs Rtn43.7%-31.6%-3.6%-34.2%-64.0%-46.8%-32.9%
3Y Excs Rtn176.7%22.3%0.8%-105.0%-135.5%-35.4%-17.3%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Business9,89510,36611,58613,04114,119
Mass Markets2,5072,7422,9714,4375,568
Total12,40213,10814,55717,47819,687


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Business4,5234,6175,2578,5699,358
Mass Markets1,3961,4961,5562,6903,730
Stock-based compensation expense-48-29-52-98-120
Goodwill impairment-6280-10,693-3,2710
Depreciation and amortization-2,749-2,956-2,985-3,239-4,019
Other unallocated expense-3,306-2,668-2,667-4,556-4,664
Total-812460-9,584954,285


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20032002200120001999
Telephone6,7476,9634,6294,7803,249
Other Operations1,14912   
Other Segments  812409273
Wireless  8771,204 
Mobile Communications    1,184
Total7,8966,9756,3196,3934,705


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$6.24 
Market Cap ($ Bil)6.2 
First Trading Date11/05/1987 
Distance from 52W High-47.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$7.52$8.05
DMA Trendindeterminatedown
Distance from DMA-17.0%-22.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility66.1%80.6%
Downside Capture387.52331.89
Upside Capture180.26317.05
Correlation (SPY)49.3%46.1%
LUMN Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.771.862.442.712.972.07
Up Beta4.541.671.723.642.671.83
Down Beta-2.021.591.901.732.532.21
Up Capture78%25%203%279%978%2429%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days8142659124344
Down Capture338%298%305%223%180%111%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days14283665124381

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LUMN
LUMN66.3%80.2%0.97-
Sector ETF (XLC)4.3%14.9%0.0716.9%
Equity (SPY)23.3%12.8%1.3646.1%
Gold (GLD)28.5%28.4%0.879.3%
Commodities (DBC)32.9%19.8%1.32-6.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)14.2%13.8%0.721.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-43.7%43.0%-1.2136.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LUMN
LUMN-10.9%85.7%0.21-
Sector ETF (XLC)7.2%20.9%0.2624.7%
Equity (SPY)13.5%17.2%0.6131.3%
Gold (GLD)18.6%18.6%0.815.0%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%19.6%0.314.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.3%18.9%0.0227.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.0%53.0%0.3615.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LUMN
LUMN-9.6%67.8%0.12-
Sector ETF (XLC)9.2%22.2%0.4727.8%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7333.2%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.2%0.613.9%
Commodities (DBC)7.4%18.0%0.339.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%20.7%0.2028.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.4%66.2%0.9810.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity63.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 63020267.7%
Average Daily Volume11.8 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity1,004.1 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares6.3%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/7/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/4/2026-9.4%  
5/5/20266.3%-6.1%7.3%
2/3/2026-21.6%-8.0%-19.3%
10/30/2025-0.6%5.8%-11.6%
7/31/2025-16.6%-16.9%11.7%
5/1/20257.4%18.2%9.4%
2/4/2025-1.4%-4.2%-0.2%
11/5/202418.5%21.3%-15.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111112
# Negative141312
Median Positive7.3%9.7%11.6%
Median Negative-10.6%-8.0%-14.8%
Max Positive32.6%21.3%28.1%
Max Negative-32.9%-23.1%-42.3%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/4/2026-9.4%  
5/5/20266.3%-6.1%7.3%
2/3/2026-21.6%-8.0%-19.3%
10/30/2025-0.6%5.8%-11.6%
7/31/2025-16.6%-16.9%11.7%
5/1/20257.4%18.2%9.4%
2/4/2025-1.4%-4.2%-0.2%
11/5/202418.5%21.3%-15.0%
8/6/202432.6%0.2%10.0%
4/30/20241.7%9.2%7.6%
2/6/20247.4%20.0%28.1%
10/31/2023-32.9%-11.0%-10.3%
8/1/2023-11.8%-15.8%-23.6%
5/2/2023-2.1%1.3%-16.7%
2/7/2023-20.8%-21.2%-42.3%
11/2/2022-17.7%-10.2%-21.8%
8/3/2022-2.8%-2.3%-7.5%
5/4/20220.8%-0.4%11.6%
2/9/2022-15.5%-23.1%-14.7%
11/3/202112.6%14.5%3.4%
8/3/2021-8.9%-6.1%-2.9%
5/5/20215.2%9.2%17.6%
2/10/2021-7.9%-6.3%14.6%
11/4/20205.5%9.9%22.9%
8/5/20207.3%9.7%11.9%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111112
# Negative141312
Median Positive7.3%9.7%11.6%
Median Negative-10.6%-8.0%-14.8%
Max Positive32.6%21.3%28.1%
Max Negative-32.9%-23.1%-42.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/04/202610-Q
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202502/20/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/20/202510-K
09/30/202411/05/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
12/31/202302/22/202410-K
09/30/202310/31/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/23/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/04/202610-Q
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202502/20/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/20/202510-K
09/30/202411/05/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
12/31/202302/22/202410-K
09/30/202310/31/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/23/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q
03/31/202205/04/202210-Q
12/31/202102/24/202210-K
09/30/202111/03/202110-Q
06/30/202108/04/202110-Q
03/31/202105/06/202110-Q
12/31/202002/25/202110-K
09/30/202011/05/202010-Q
06/30/202008/06/202010-Q
03/31/202005/07/202010-Q
12/31/201902/28/202010-K
09/30/201911/07/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/5/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/4/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Adjusted EBITDA excluding Special Items3.10 Bil3.20 Bil3.30 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 3.20 Bil for 2026
2026 Free Cash Flow excluding Special Items1.90 Bil2.00 Bil2.10 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 2.00 Bil for 2026
2026 Net Cash Interest650.00 Mil700.00 Mil750.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 700.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital Expenditures excluding Special Items3.20 Bil3.30 Bil3.40 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 3.30 Bil for 2026
2026 Cash Income Taxes (Refunded)-450.00 Mil-400.00 Mil-350.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: -400.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Income tax expense45.00 Mil122.50 Mil200.00 Mil   
2026 Total other expense, net1.10 Bil1.20 Bil1.30 Bil   
2026 Depreciation and amortization expense2.60 Bil2.70 Bil2.80 Bil   
2026 Stock-based compensation expense60.00 Mil70.00 Mil80.00 Mil   

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Adjusted EBITDA3.10 Bil3.20 Bil3.30 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 3.20 Bil for 2026
2026 Free Cash Flow1.90 Bil2.00 Bil2.10 Bil53.8% RaisedGuidance: 1.30 Bil for 2026
2026 Net Cash Interest650.00 Mil700.00 Mil750.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 700.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital Expenditures3.20 Bil3.30 Bil3.40 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 3.30 Bil for 2026
2026 Cash Income Taxes (Refunded) Paid-450.00 Mil-400.00 Mil-350.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: -400.00 Mil for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/3/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Adjusted EBITDA3.10 Bil3.20 Bil3.30 Bil-3.0% LoweredGuidance: 3.30 Bil for 2025
2026 Free Cash Flow1.20 Bil1.30 Bil1.40 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.30 Bil for 2025
2026 Net Cash Interest650.00 Mil700.00 Mil750.00 Mil-44.0% LoweredGuidance: 1.25 Bil for 2025
2026 Capital Expenditures3.20 Bil3.30 Bil3.40 Bil-21.4% LoweredGuidance: 4.20 Bil for 2025
2026 Cash Income Taxes (Refunded) Paid-450.00 Mil-400.00 Mil-350.00 Mil14.3% LoweredGuidance: -350.00 Mil for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/30/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Adjusted EBITDA3.20 Bil3.30 Bil3.40 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 3.30 Bil for 2025
2025 Free Cash Flow1.20 Bil1.30 Bil1.40 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.30 Bil for 2025
2025 Net Cash Interest1.20 Bil1.25 Bil1.30 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.25 Bil for 2025
2025 Capital Expenditures4.10 Bil4.20 Bil4.30 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 4.20 Bil for 2025
2025 Cash Income Taxes (Refunded) Paid-400.00 Mil-350.00 Mil-300.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: -350.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 8/6/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Johnson, Kathleen EChief Executive OfficerRevocable TrustBuy80620266.13100,000612,680612,680Form
2Linear, Diankha DirectSell22020267.8945,000355,0501,564,027Form
3Johnson, Kathleen EPresident & CEODirectBuy20520266.3578,685499,92554,402,365Form
4Stansbury, ChristopherEVP and CFOspouse as trustee of ARS TrustBuy81520254.4417,00075,4582,374,704Form
5Stansbury, ChristopherEVP and CFOspouse as trustee of RJR TrustBuy81520254.4411,50051,045104,309Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Johnson, Kathleen EChief Executive OfficerRevocable TrustBuy80620266.13100,000612,680612,680Form
2Linear, Diankha DirectSell22020267.8945,000355,0501,564,027Form
3Johnson, Kathleen EPresident & CEODirectBuy20520266.3578,685499,92554,402,365Form
4Stansbury, ChristopherEVP and CFOspouse as trustee of ARS TrustBuy81520254.4417,00075,4582,374,704Form
5Stansbury, ChristopherEVP and CFOspouse as trustee of RJR TrustBuy81520254.4411,50051,045104,309Form
6Stansbury, ChristopherEVP and CFOSRR DSNTBuy81520254.4411,50051,045104,309Form
7Stansbury, ChristopherEVP and CFOspouse as trustee of ARS TrustBuy81520254.2918,00077,2312,222,531Form
8Stansbury, ChristopherEVP and CFOspouse as trustee of RJR TrustBuy81520254.2912,00051,48751,487Form
9Stansbury, ChristopherEVP and CFOSRR DSNTBuy81520254.2912,00051,48751,487Form
10Johnson, Kathleen EPresident & CEODirectBuy80720253.69135,870501,78135,516,347Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 10, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Westerly Capital Management, LLC$15.3 Mil4.7%36ADD +175.0%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Westerly Capital Management, LLC$15.3 Mil4.7%36ADD +175.0%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Palestra Capital Management LLC$86.8 Mil3.1%28Exited13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Westerly Capital Management, LLC$15.3 Mil4.7%36ADD +175.0%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/9/2026