Tearsheet

Lumen Technologies (LUMN)


Market Price (12/23/2025): $7.85 | Market Cap: $7.8 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Alternative Carriers

Lumen Technologies (LUMN)


Market Price (12/23/2025): $7.85
Market Cap: $7.8 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Alternative Carriers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, CFO LTM is 4.9 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -33%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 201%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 16%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.2%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Show more.
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 80%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -26%
4   Key risks
LUMN key risks include [1] a substantial debt burden causing persistent operating losses, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, CFO LTM is 4.9 Bil
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 16%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -33%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 201%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.2%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 80%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -26%
8 Key risks
LUMN key risks include [1] a substantial debt burden causing persistent operating losses, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LUMN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

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Here are five key points explaining the approximate 56.3% stock movement for Lumen Technologies (LUMN) between August 31, 2025, and December 23, 2025: 1. Aggressive Debt Refinancing and Reduction Initiatives. Lumen Technologies significantly improved its financial flexibility and reduced annual interest costs through a series of debt refinancing transactions throughout 2025. Notably, in September 2025, the company completed a repricing of Level 3 Financing Inc.'s $2.4 billion credit facilities, reducing the interest rate and generating $24 million in annual interest expense savings. Further debt management moves in December 2025 included amending cash tender offers for outstanding second lien notes, which facilitated the purchase of approximately $1.5 billion in notes, demonstrating active balance sheet management and efforts to reshape its secured debt profile. These actions collectively pushed out debt maturities to 2034 and beyond, alleviating near-term liquidity pressures.

2. Strategic Focus on AI-Ready Infrastructure and Digital Transformation. Lumen deepened its commitment to the AI-driven economy by expanding its network capacity and capability to meet the growing demand from hyperscalers like Microsoft. A partnership with Microsoft, announced in July 2024, positioned Lumen to expand its network capacity for AI demand and accelerate its own enterprise-wide digital transformation by migrating workloads to Microsoft Azure. This strategic alignment and investment in AI-ready infrastructure were crucial in positioning Lumen for future growth.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 24.9% change in LUMN stock from 9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 26.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
922202512222025Change
Stock Price ($)6.227.7724.92%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12824.0012690.00-1.04%
P/S Multiple0.480.6126.42%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)994.54996.00-0.15%
Cumulative Contribution24.92%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
LUMN24.9% 
Market (SPY)2.7%43.1%
Sector (XLC)-1.6%19.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 83.3% change in LUMN stock from 6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 88.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
623202512222025Change
Stock Price ($)4.247.7783.25%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)13000.0012690.00-2.38%
P/S Multiple0.320.6188.63%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)991.27996.00-0.48%
Cumulative Contribution83.25%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
LUMN83.3% 
Market (SPY)14.4%43.7%
Sector (XLC)12.7%19.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 31.3% change in LUMN stock from 12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 38.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1222202412222025Change
Stock Price ($)5.927.7731.25%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)13296.0012690.00-4.56%
P/S Multiple0.440.6138.52%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)988.79996.00-0.73%
Cumulative Contribution31.24%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
LUMN31.2% 
Market (SPY)16.9%50.7%
Sector (XLC)20.5%40.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 48.3% change in LUMN stock from 12/23/2022 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 112.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1223202212222025Change
Stock Price ($)5.247.7748.28%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)18525.0012690.00-31.50%
P/S Multiple0.290.61112.81%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1013.12996.001.69%
Cumulative Contribution48.24%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/23/2023 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
LUMN349.1% 
Market (SPY)47.7%29.5%
Sector (XLC)63.9%25.9%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LUMN Return-19%39%-55%-65%190%54%-22%
Peers Return22%-7%-14%12%15%-10%12%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%113%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LUMN Win Rate42%58%25%33%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate57%48%43%60%62%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LUMN Max Drawdown-33%-0%-57%-81%-46%-42% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-13%-30%-11%-10%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: T, VZ, CMCSA, CHTR, TMUS. See LUMN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/22/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLUMNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-93.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1459.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven310 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-64.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven182.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-56.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven127.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to

In The Past

Lumen Technologies's stock fell -93.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/9/2021. A -93.6% loss requires a 1459.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Lumen Technologies (LUMN)

Lumen Technologies, Inc., a facilities-based technology and communications company, provides various integrated products and services under the Lumen, Quantum Fiber, and CenturyLink brands to business and residential customers in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Business and Mass Markets. It offers compute and application services, such as cloud services, IT solutions, unified communication and collaboration solutions, colocation and data center services, content delivery services, and managed security services; and IP and data services, including VPN data network, Ethernet, internet protocol (IP), and voice over internet protocol. The company also provides fiber infrastructure services comprising high bandwidth optical wavelength networks; and unlit optical fiber and related professional services. In addition, it offers voice and other services, including private line services, a direct circuit or channel specifically dedicated for connecting two or more organizational sites; a portfolio of traditional time division multiplexing voice services; and synchronous optical network-based Ethernet, legacy data hosting services, and conferencing services. As of December 31, 2021, the company served approximately 4.5 million broadband subscribers. The company was formerly known as CenturyLink, Inc. and changed its name to Lumen Technologies, Inc. in September 2020. Lumen Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Monroe, Louisiana.

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  • Like **AT&T or Verizon**, but largely for businesses, governments, and other internet companies rather than individual consumers.
  • **Kinder Morgan** for digital data, owning and operating a vast fiber optic network that serves as a backbone for businesses and the internet.

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  • Network Connectivity Services: Provides high-speed internet, private networks (e.g., MPLS, SD-WAN), and dedicated fiber connections for businesses and government clients.
  • Voice and Collaboration Services: Offers Voice over IP (VoIP), traditional voice services, and unified communications as a service (UCaaS) platforms.
  • Security Services: Delivers managed security solutions including Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) mitigation, managed firewalls, and threat detection.
  • Managed Hosting and Cloud Connectivity: Provides colocation, managed hosting, and secure, high-performance connectivity to various public and private cloud environments.

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Lumen Technologies (symbol: LUMN) primarily sells its services to other companies, rather than directly to individuals. However, due to the broad and diversified nature of its client base and the fact that no single customer accounts for more than 10% of its consolidated revenues, Lumen does not disclose specific individual "major customer companies" by name in its public filings. Therefore, instead of listing specific named companies, we can describe the primary categories of organizations that Lumen serves:

  • Enterprise Customers: This segment includes a wide array of large and mid-sized businesses across diverse industries such as financial services, healthcare, retail, manufacturing, technology, and media. These companies rely on Lumen for critical services like network connectivity (fiber, IP VPN), cloud connectivity, managed services, security solutions, and unified communications.
  • Wholesale Customers: This category comprises other telecommunications carriers, internet service providers (ISPs), content providers, and data center operators. Lumen provides these companies with network capacity, dark fiber, transport services, and other infrastructure solutions that they then use to serve their own end customers.
  • Government Customers: Lumen provides secure network services, voice, data, and IT solutions to various federal, state, and local government agencies. This includes mission-critical communications infrastructure and managed services tailored for public sector needs, supporting essential government operations.

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Lumen Technologies relies on several major suppliers for its network infrastructure, equipment, and services. Key suppliers include:

  • Cisco Systems (CSCO)
  • Nokia (NOK)
  • Ciena (CIEN)
  • Corning (GLW)

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Lumen Technologies Management Team

Kate Johnson, President and Chief Executive Officer

Kate Johnson joined Lumen Technologies as President and CEO in November 2022. She is a seasoned technology leader with a background in driving business and digital transformation at Fortune 100 technology companies. Prior to Lumen, she held executive leadership roles including President of Microsoft US (2017-2021), Executive Vice President and Corporate Officer at GE Digital (2013-2017), and Senior Vice President for North America Technology and Government Consulting at Oracle (2007-2013). Her earlier career also included roles at Red Hat, UBS Investment Bank (where she was Managing Director and Division Chief Information Officer of their investment banking division), and Deloitte Consulting. Ms. Johnson earned a Bachelor of Science degree in Electrical Engineering from Lehigh University and a Master of Business Administration (MBA) from the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. She has served on the board of directors for UPS since 2020.

Chris Stansbury, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Chris Stansbury was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Lumen Technologies in April 2022. He brings over 30 years of finance leadership experience from multinational corporations. Before joining Lumen, he served as Senior Vice President and CFO at Arrow Electronics, Inc., where he was responsible for leading the company's global finance organization from 2016 to 2022, having joined in 2014 as Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer. Prior to Arrow, he was CFO for the Networking Group of Hewlett-Packard. Mr. Stansbury also held various finance positions of increasing responsibility at PepsiCo. He holds a Master of Business Administration degree from the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania and a bachelor's degree from the University of Western Ontario.

Ashley Haynes-Gaspar, Chief Revenue Officer

Ashley Haynes-Gaspar serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Revenue Officer at Lumen, where she is responsible for driving revenue growth and overseeing the company's sales strategies. Her background includes leadership roles at Microsoft and GE, where she gained experience in marketing, operations, and customer experience.

Ana White, Executive Vice President and Chief People Officer

Ana White has been an Executive Vice President and the Chief People Officer of Lumen Technologies since July 2023. In this role, she leads global Human Resource teams. Previously, Ms. White served as an Executive Vice President and Chief People Officer for F5 and also led global Human Resource teams at Microsoft.

David Ward, Executive Vice President, Chief Technology Officer

David Ward serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Technology Officer at Lumen. In this role, he is responsible for driving technological innovation and product development for the company.

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Key Risks to Lumen Technologies (LUMN)

Lumen Technologies (LUMN) faces several significant risks to its business, primarily stemming from its substantial debt, the ongoing decline of its legacy services, and the complexities of its strategic transformation. These factors collectively pose challenges to its financial stability and future growth.

The most significant risk to Lumen Technologies is its high debt load and associated financial performance concerns. The company has been contending with a substantial long-term debt, reported at approximately $17.3 billion as of March 2024 and $17.56 billion in long-term debt more recently. This heavy debt burden has been a drag on its credit profile and liquidity, requiring active management through refinancing efforts and asset divestitures aimed at reducing interest costs and extending maturities. Despite these efforts, persistent operating losses and declining revenues continue to raise concerns about the company's profitability and overall financial health.

Secondly, Lumen is significantly impacted by the decline of its legacy products and intense competition within the telecommunications and technology sectors. The company operates in a highly competitive landscape, facing established telecom giants such as AT&T, Verizon, and Comcast, as well as agile cloud service providers like Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure. This intense competition and the rapid pace of technological change necessitate continuous adaptation and investment, while the shift away from traditional wireline services to more advanced offerings often comes with lower operating margins and contributes to revenue decline. Lumen's total revenue declined by 11.5% year-over-year in Q3 2024 to $3.22 billion.

Finally, the company's ongoing strategic transformation and divestiture risks present considerable uncertainty. Lumen is in the process of divesting non-core assets, such as its Mass Markets fiber-to-the-home business, to streamline operations and pivot towards higher-growth enterprise and AI-driven services. While intended to improve the company's financial position and strategic focus, these divestitures are contingent on regulatory approvals and other conditions that may not materialize as anticipated. Furthermore, even if successful, these transactions could lead to unforeseen costs, operational complexities, and potentially reduced cash flows, which could negatively impact credit ratings and broader strategic objectives. The success of this transformation heavily relies on the effective execution of its new strategies and substantial investments in advanced infrastructure, such as Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) solutions.

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The increasing expansion of hyperscale cloud providers (e.g., AWS, Microsoft Azure, Google Cloud) into global network services and direct enterprise connectivity. These providers are building extensive global fiber networks, points of presence, and edge computing facilities, offering direct connection services (e.g., AWS Direct Connect, Azure ExpressRoute, Google Cloud Interconnect) and integrated network-as-a-service functionalities as part of their cloud ecosystems.

This development threatens Lumen by:

  • Disintermediation: As enterprises migrate more applications and data to the cloud, they increasingly procure core networking services and connectivity directly from the hyperscalers, potentially bypassing traditional telecom carriers for crucial segments of their network traffic and management.
  • Shifting Control and Value: Hyperscalers are aiming to own a larger share of the enterprise IT and network spend, moving the control point and strategic value away from traditional network providers like Lumen, even for hybrid and multi-cloud environments.
  • Competitive Pressure: While Lumen partners with hyperscalers, the cloud providers' growing networking capabilities represent a competitive force for certain enterprise connectivity and managed network services that Lumen traditionally provides.

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Lumen Technologies (symbol: LUMN) offers a range of products and services, targeting various addressable markets. The size of these markets, along with their respective regions, is detailed below:

  • Network-as-a-Service (NaaS) / Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF): Lumen is positioned in a serviceable addressable market (SAM) for NaaS across Mid-Market and Large Enterprise channels, estimated to grow from $10-15 billion in 2022 to $25-35 billion by 2027. This market is primarily within North America, considering Lumen's focus on its domestic enterprise and global operations. Additionally, Lumen is targeting a new $15 billion Total Addressable Market (TAM) in cloud networking through initiatives like direct fiber access to cloud providers, which is likely a global market opportunity given the nature of cloud services.
  • Cloud Voice / Unified Communications and Collaboration (UC&C): The total addressable market (TAM) for cloud voice, where Lumen offers its Cloud Communications Platform (LCC), is estimated at $47 billion. This is a global market.
  • Mass Markets Fiber (Quantum Fiber): In 2022, Lumen had approximately 21 million addressable home and small business locations in its 16-state region within the U.S. for its Quantum Fiber service. However, it is important to note that Lumen announced the sale of approximately 95% of its Mass Markets consumer fiber business, including Quantum Fiber, in eleven states to AT&T for $5.75 billion, a deal expected to close in early 2026. Lumen will retain assets serving enterprise and wholesale fiber customers in all geographies, and its existing copper network for consumer customers. Therefore, the addressable market for Lumen in this segment is significantly reduced after the divestiture.
  • Dark Fiber Network Operators: Lumen holds an estimated 17.6% market share in the Dark Fiber Network Operators industry within the U.S.. A specific total market size was not identified in the search results.
  • Security Services (e.g., DDoS, SASE): A relevant U.S. business Telco market for security was estimated at $135 billion in 2023, with a 15% CAGR. While a specific addressable market for Lumen's distinct security offerings was not provided, they operate within this broader market.
  • Edge Cloud & IT Agility and Managed Services: Specific addressable market sizes for these services were not explicitly identified in the provided search results.

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Lumen Technologies (symbol: LUMN) anticipates future revenue growth over the next two to three years will be driven by several strategic initiatives focusing on its enterprise business and advanced network capabilities.

  1. Expansion of Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) and AI-Ready Network Infrastructure: Lumen is prioritizing its enterprise sector, driven by the increasing demand for robust network infrastructure to support artificial intelligence (AI) workloads. The company has secured significant deals for its Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) offering, including $8.5 billion in 2024 with major hyperscalers and an additional $1 billion in new PCF deals recently, bringing the total awarded deal value beyond $10 billion. This expansion is crucial for building the backbone of the AI economy and facilitating hyperscale cloud deployments.

  2. Growth of Network-as-a-Service (NaaS) and Digital Services: Lumen is actively pushing for the adoption of its Network-as-a-Service (NaaS) platform and other digital offerings to drive high-value digital revenue growth. The company aims to generate between $500 million and $600 million in incremental digital revenue by the end of 2028, primarily by scaling its digital ecosystem and accelerating NaaS adoption. Lumen is developing NaaS capabilities to provide more agile and on-demand network solutions.

  3. Strategic Partnerships and the "Connected Ecosystem" Strategy: Lumen is leveraging strategic partnerships to enhance its network capabilities and expand its market reach. Its "Connected Ecosystem" strategy focuses on forming high-impact partnerships, such as those with Google Cloud (April 2025) for dedicated fiber access, Meta (October 2024) to boost AI network capacity, and Palantir. This strategy aims to embed Lumen's network solutions directly into partner marketplaces, accelerating adoption and giving Lumen's connectivity a better position within other companies' cloud and data offerings. The launch of "Internet On-Demand (IOD) off-net" also significantly expands Lumen's addressable market by enabling it to sell digital services even without owning the last-mile connection.

  4. Growth in the "Grow" Product Portfolio (Dark Fiber and IP): Lumen's "Grow" product segment, which includes dark fiber and IP services, is a key driver for its North American enterprise revenue. This segment saw a 10.5% year-over-year increase in revenue in a recent quarter, with "Grow" now comprising 50% of North American enterprise revenue, up from 35.5% three years ago. This shift highlights Lumen's successful pivot away from legacy telecom services towards higher-growth, modern network solutions.

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Share Repurchases

  • Lumen Technologies authorized a share repurchase program of up to $1.5 billion in November 2022, valid for two years.
  • As of July 28, 2023, $200 million of the authorized $1.5 billion share repurchase program had been utilized.
  • A $1.0 billion stock repurchase program was completed on October 5, 2021, involving the repurchase of 80.9 million shares at an average price of $12.36 per share.

Capital Expenditures

  • Lumen's capital expenditures averaged $3.195 billion annually from fiscal years 2020 to 2024, peaking at $3.729 billion in 2020 and reaching a 5-year low of $2.9 billion in 2021.
  • For fiscal year 2024, capital expenditures were $3.23 billion, with an earlier forecast of $3.1 billion to $3.3 billion.
  • The company forecasts capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 to be between $4.1 billion and $4.3 billion, primarily focused on enhancing infrastructure, expanding service capabilities, supporting the AI economy, and executing Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) contracts.

Better Bets than Lumen Technologies (LUMN)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to LUMN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.1%-6.1%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.5%-3.5%-5.1%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
8.7%8.7%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-27.7%-27.7%-29.8%
LUMN_6302024_Short_Squeeze06302024LUMNLumen TechnologiesSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
399.1%298.2%-6.4%
LUMN_12312023_Short_Squeeze12312023LUMNLumen TechnologiesSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-39.9%195.1%-45.8%
LUMN_6302023_Short_Squeeze06302023LUMNLumen TechnologiesSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-19.0%-51.3%-56.6%
LUMN_12312022_Short_Squeeze12312022LUMNLumen TechnologiesSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-56.7%-64.9%-81.2%
LUMN_6302022_Short_Squeeze06302022LUMNLumen TechnologiesSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-50.3%-78.8%-83.3%

Recent Active Movers

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Peer Comparisons for Lumen Technologies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LUMNTVZCMCSACHTRTMUSMedian
NameLumen Te.AT&T Verizon .Comcast Charter .T-Mobile. 
Mkt Price7.7724.3039.9829.26206.02195.7634.62
Mkt Cap7.7173.9169.0108.828.5220.0138.9
Rev LTM12,690124,480137,491124,18455,22285,847105,016
Op Inc LTM17024,21831,67622,50513,53019,40720,956
FCF LTM1,22619,95620,64916,5884,30313,80715,198
FCF 3Y Avg54119,98516,05213,3803,7539,99211,686
CFO LTM4,86440,86038,45531,21015,20126,84529,028
CFO 3Y Avg3,83738,78737,11728,37114,74822,16125,266

Growth & Margins

LUMNTVZCMCSACHTRTMUSMedian
NameLumen Te.AT&T Verizon .Comcast Charter .T-Mobile. 
Rev Chg LTM-4.6%2.0%2.4%2.5%1.0%7.3%2.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-11.6%1.1%0.5%0.7%1.3%2.4%0.9%
Rev Chg Q-4.2%1.6%1.5%2.1%0.6%8.9%1.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.0%0.4%0.4%0.5%0.1%2.1%0.4%
Op Mgn LTM1.3%19.5%23.0%18.1%24.5%22.6%21.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.2%19.9%21.9%18.9%23.6%20.3%20.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.9%-0.4%1.5%-0.6%-0.0%-0.5%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM38.3%32.8%28.0%25.1%27.5%31.3%29.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg28.9%31.6%27.4%23.2%26.9%27.1%27.3%
FCF/Rev LTM9.7%16.0%15.0%13.4%7.8%16.1%14.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.4%16.3%11.8%10.9%6.8%12.2%11.4%

Valuation

LUMNTVZCMCSACHTRTMUSMedian
NameLumen Te.AT&T Verizon .Comcast Charter .T-Mobile. 
Mkt Cap7.7173.9169.0108.828.5220.0138.9
P/S0.61.41.20.90.52.61.1
P/EBIT-8.05.05.23.42.211.54.2
P/E-4.77.88.54.85.418.56.6
P/CFO1.64.34.43.51.98.23.9
Total Yield-21.3%12.8%18.5%25.5%18.5%7.2%15.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%6.8%4.5%0.0%1.8%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.5%13.7%9.5%9.3%8.0%4.4%8.6%
D/E2.30.91.00.93.40.51.0
Net D/E2.00.81.00.83.40.50.9

Returns

LUMNTVZCMCSACHTRTMUSMedian
NameLumen Te.AT&T Verizon .Comcast Charter .T-Mobile. 
1M Rtn2.4%-6.3%-3.0%7.0%1.5%-6.1%-0.8%
3M Rtn24.9%-15.1%-5.8%-6.1%-22.6%-17.1%-10.6%
6M Rtn83.3%-12.0%-2.4%-13.7%-47.5%-13.0%-12.5%
12M Rtn31.2%11.6%7.0%-20.6%-41.4%-9.8%-1.4%
3Y Rtn48.3%57.1%27.4%-8.4%-38.3%44.7%36.0%
1M Excs Rtn-1.3%-10.0%-7.1%4.7%0.6%-11.7%-4.2%
3M Excs Rtn30.6%-18.0%-9.5%-9.8%-26.2%-21.2%-13.9%
6M Excs Rtn67.8%-25.2%-16.0%-28.2%-61.8%-27.0%-26.1%
12M Excs Rtn17.1%-4.2%-10.9%-36.9%-59.6%-27.0%-19.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-33.5%-20.8%-47.0%-83.5%-110.8%-32.0%-40.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Business11,58313,04114,11914,817 
Mass Markets2,9744,4375,5685,895 
Consumer    5,517
Enterprise    5,696
International and Global Accounts    3,476
Small and Medium Business    2,727
Wholesale    4,042
Total14,55717,47819,68720,71221,458


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Business6,0558,5699,4539,899 
Mass Markets1,5172,6904,8765,118 
Stock-based compensation expense-52-98-120-175-162
Depreciation and amortization-2,985-3,239-4,019-4,710-4,829
Other unallocated expense-3,426-4,556-5,905-6,528-7,024
Goodwill impairment-10,693-3,271 -2,642-6,506
Consumer    4,799
Enterprise    3,383
International and Global Accounts    2,295
Small and Medium Business    1,869
Wholesale    3,449
Total-9,584954,285962-2,726


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$7.77 
Market Cap ($ Bil)7.7 
First Trading Date11/05/1987 
Distance from 52W High-34.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$8.54$5.51
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-9.0%40.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility86.8%74.9%
Downside Capture299.20242.87
Upside Capture373.21234.66
Correlation (SPY)45.4%50.7%
LUMN Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.203.043.193.181.901.90
Up Beta2.161.330.480.861.341.43
Down Beta2.002.172.013.572.012.24
Up Capture8%601%820%812%501%1151%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days10243362109336
Down Capture315%280%309%259%152%111%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days10183061136381

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of LUMN With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 LUMNSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return29.7%17.3%14.7%67.3%6.8%-0.5%-16.6%
Annualized Volatility74.5%18.8%19.7%19.3%15.2%17.6%35.4%
Sharpe Ratio0.660.720.572.540.23-0.18-0.25
Correlation With Other Assets 39.9%50.3%-1.1%17.9%22.4%22.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLC, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of LUMN With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 LUMNSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-3.0%12.9%15.0%18.9%11.8%5.1%35.8%
Annualized Volatility83.6%20.9%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.9%
Sharpe Ratio0.300.530.710.980.510.180.63
Correlation With Other Assets 24.0%27.5%2.3%6.8%27.7%9.0%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLC, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of LUMN With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 LUMNSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-5.1%13.0%14.9%14.9%6.7%5.5%69.9%
Annualized Volatility65.6%22.6%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.180.530.710.840.300.230.90
Correlation With Other Assets 28.6%32.9%2.2%12.6%29.8%7.7%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLC, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity56,849,473
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-0.9%
Average Daily Volume12,959,382
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.39
Basic Shares Quantity995,998,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-0.6%5.8%-11.6%
7/31/2025-16.6%-16.9%11.7%
5/1/20257.4%18.2%9.4%
2/4/2025-1.4%-4.2%-0.2%
11/5/202418.5%21.3%-15.0%
8/6/202432.6%0.2%10.0%
4/30/20241.7%9.2%7.6%
2/6/20247.4%20.0%28.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111213
# Negative141312
Median Positive7.4%9.8%11.7%
Median Negative-8.7%-10.2%-14.8%
Max Positive32.6%21.3%28.1%
Max Negative-32.9%-23.1%-42.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021