Fox (FOXA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $66.71 | Market Cap: $29.8 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Broadcasting
Fox (FOXA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $66.71Market Cap: $29.8 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Broadcasting
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, Digital Advertising, and Markets & Betting. Themes include Video Streaming, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, Digital Advertising, and Markets & Betting. Themes include Video Streaming, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FOXA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The stock of Fox (FOXA) experienced an approximate 11.3% movement between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025. This period was marked by several significant company announcements and analyst activities. Here are the key points for the stock's movement: 1. 1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Results and Share Repurchase Program. Fox reported stronger-than-expected fiscal first-quarter 2026 results on October 30, 2025, with revenue up 5% year-over-year to $3.74 billion, exceeding analyst estimates of $3.57 billion. Adjusted net income also increased to $686 million, or $1.51 per share, surpassing expectations of $1.08 per share. Concurrently, the company announced a new $1.5 billion accelerated share repurchase program, effective October 31, 2025, which likely boosted investor confidence. 2. 2. Continued Growth in Advertising and Streaming. The Q1 2026 results highlighted sustained digital momentum at Tubi, Fox's ad-supported video-on-demand platform, and stronger pricing in news and sports. Advertising revenue advanced 6% to $1.41 billion, with the NFL driving robust viewership and advertising demand. This growth in key segments contributed positively to the stock performance. 3.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FOXA Return | -20% | 28% | -17% | -1% | 66% | 38% | 94% |
| Peers Return | 17% | 8% | -39% | 25% | 28% | 30% | 59% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FOXA Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 42% | 33% | 67% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 33% | 28% | 42% | 48% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FOXA Max Drawdown | -45% | -1% | -23% | -3% | -3% | -2% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -30% | -13% | -45% | -3% | -11% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NFLX, DIS, LYV, CAST, WBD. See FOXA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FOXA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -36.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 741 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -48.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 94.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 347 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -42.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 73.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1946 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -79.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 380.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1277 days | 1480 days |
Compare to NFLX, DIS, LYV, CAST, WBD
In The Past
Fox's stock fell -36.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2022. A -36.0% loss requires a 56.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FOXA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Fox
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Financials
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2042025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2072024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8112023 | 10-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2082023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8122022 | 10-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2092022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
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