Cinemark (CNK)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $23.2 | Market Cap: $2.6 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Movies & Entertainment
Cinemark (CNK)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $23.2Market Cap: $2.6 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Movies & Entertainment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.5%, FCF Yield is 8.7% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 78% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.0% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Travel & Leisure Tech. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.5%, FCF Yield is 8.7% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Travel & Leisure Tech. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 78% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.0% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CNK Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining why Cinemark (CNK) stock moved by approximately -11% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:
1. Mixed Q3 2025 Earnings Results: Cinemark reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 5, 2025, which presented a mixed performance. While the company's revenue of $857.5 million modestly exceeded analyst consensus estimates, its diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.40 fell below expectations, with analyst estimates ranging from $0.44 to $0.47. This shortfall in profitability, despite a revenue beat, likely contributed to investor concern.
2. Decline in Global Attendance: During Q3 2025, Cinemark experienced a 10% year-over-year decrease in global attendance, welcoming 54.2 million guests. This decline was attributed by management to a lighter film release slate compared to the exceptionally strong lineup of the previous year, impacting overall revenue, which fell 7% year-over-year.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CNK Return | -48% | -7% | -46% | 63% | 120% | -18% | -23% |
| Peers Return | 31% | -1% | -43% | 1% | 53% | 54% | 76% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CNK Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 33% | 58% | 75% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 39% | 33% | 23% | 31% | 37% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CNK Max Drawdown | -80% | -20% | -48% | -3% | -5% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -23% | -25% | -47% | -21% | -17% | -3% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LYV, CURI, ANGX, DCR, INHI. See CNK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CNK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -67.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 209.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 587 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -80.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 417.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1715 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -27.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -65.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 186.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 801 days | 1480 days |
Compare to LYV, CURI, ANGX, DCR, INHI
In The Past
Cinemark's stock fell -67.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -67.7% loss requires a 209.2% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CNK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| 12312023 | CNK | Cinemark | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 53.4% | 119.8% | -5.3% |
| 09302022 | CNK | Cinemark | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 22.1% | 51.5% | -31.0% |
| 03312020 | CNK | Cinemark | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -3.3% | 100.3% | -22.9% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| 12312023 | CNK | Cinemark | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 53.4% | 119.8% | -5.3% |
| 09302022 | CNK | Cinemark | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 22.1% | 51.5% | -31.0% |
| 03312020 | CNK | Cinemark | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -3.3% | 100.3% | -22.9% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Cinemark
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 13.72 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.6 |
| Rev LTM | 1,670 |
| Op Inc LTM | 180 |
| FCF LTM | 144 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 272 |
| CFO LTM | 227 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 422 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 32.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 7.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -3.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.6 |
| P/S | 1.5 |
| P/EBIT | 9.3 |
| P/E | 20.5 |
| P/CFO | 15.2 |
| Total Yield | 3.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -11.7% |
| 3M Rtn | -9.6% |
| 6M Rtn | -26.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -1.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 84.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -11.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -15.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -41.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -15.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 25.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2162024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |