Globalstar (GSAT)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $56.88 | Market Cap: $7.2 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Integrated Telecommunication Services
Globalstar (GSAT)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $56.88Market Cap: $7.2 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Integrated Telecommunication Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 300%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 108% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 18x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 430x |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.1% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 139% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Future of Freight. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more. | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 69% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.2% | |
| Key risksGSAT key risks include [1] its extreme customer concentration and over-dependence on Apple and [2] its precarious financial health, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 300%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 108% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.1% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Future of Freight. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 18x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 430x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 139% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 69% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.2% |
| Key risksGSAT key risks include [1] its extreme customer concentration and over-dependence on Apple and [2] its precarious financial health, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
GSAT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points that could explain a significant positive movement in Globalstar (GSAT) stock:
1. Expanded Apple Partnership and Substantial Investment: Apple significantly expanded its partnership with Globalstar in November 2024, committing a substantial investment of $1.5 billion. This includes prepayments of up to $1.1 billion for services and a $400 million, 20% equity interest in a Globalstar LLC, which will oversee a new satellite system. The agreement facilitates the expansion of satellite messaging services beyond emergency features to include iMessage and text messages via satellite for iOS 18 users. This partnership also funds the development and launch of a new third-generation satellite constellation (C-3 system) consisting of 48 additional satellites and expanded ground infrastructure.
2. Strong Financial Performance and Upward Guidance Revisions: Globalstar reported robust financial results throughout 2024. In the second quarter of 2024, the company announced record revenue and a 20% increase in Adjusted EBITDA, prompting an upward revision of its full-year 2024 revenue guidance. The third quarter of 2024 continued this trend with a 25% increase in total revenue and a 34% rise in Adjusted EBITDA, leading to a further increase in full-year 2024 revenue guidance. For the full year 2024, total revenue increased 12% to a record $250.3 million, surpassing the high end of guidance, with a record annual service revenue for Commercial IoT and a 16% increase in Adjusted EBITDA. The company anticipates total revenue to double to $500 million in the first full year of service over the extended Mobile Satellite Services (MSS) network.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GSAT Return | -35% | 243% | 15% | 46% | 7% | 105% | 719% |
| Peers Return | -1% | 1% | -14% | -11% | 40% | 174% | 192% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GSAT Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 52% | 47% | 48% | 38% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GSAT Max Drawdown | -50% | 0% | -17% | -34% | -47% | -43% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -17% | -36% | -45% | -45% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: IRDM, VSAT, SATS, KVHI, ASTS. See GSAT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GSAT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -67.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 208.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 885 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -55.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 124.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 295 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -87.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 713.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 791 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -99.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 9686.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to SATS, TDS, GOGO, SHEN, ELWT
In The Past
Globalstar's stock fell -67.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/8/2021. A -67.5% loss requires a 208.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GSAT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.0% | -5.0% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.5% | -1.5% | -3.9% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.3% | 1.3% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -28.9% | -28.9% | -29.8% |
| 12312022 | GSAT | Globalstar | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -18.8% | 45.9% | -34.4% |
| 12312021 | GSAT | Globalstar | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 14.7% | -17.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.0% | -5.0% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.5% | -1.5% | -3.9% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.3% | 1.3% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -28.9% | -28.9% | -29.8% |
| 12312022 | GSAT | Globalstar | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -18.8% | 45.9% | -34.4% |
| 12312021 | GSAT | Globalstar | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 14.7% | -17.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Globalstar
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 44.54 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.6 |
| Rev LTM | 567 |
| Op Inc LTM | -32 |
| FCF LTM | 77 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -221 |
| CFO LTM | 384 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 344 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -2.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 0.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -3.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.6 |
| P/S | 1.8 |
| P/EBIT | 3.3 |
| P/E | -8.3 |
| P/CFO | 5.3 |
| Total Yield | -6.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.2% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 29.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 89.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 124.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 91.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 27.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 76.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 117.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 9.5% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 4.6% | 30.9% | 41.4% |
| 8/7/2025 | 13.1% | 7.0% | 50.7% |
| 5/8/2025 | -12.9% | -7.6% | 5.0% |
| 2/27/2025 | 0.1% | 4.0% | -1.3% |
| 11/7/2024 | 7.0% | 2.2% | 14.1% |
| 8/8/2024 | 10.1% | 11.0% | 14.7% |
| 5/8/2024 | -5.5% | -3.1% | -14.8% |
| 2/28/2024 | -16.7% | -23.6% | -21.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 10 | 14 |
| # Negative | 12 | 13 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 6.2% | 8.3% | 19.7% |
| Median Negative | -6.8% | -7.0% | -17.3% |
| Max Positive | 14.3% | 30.9% | 62.8% |
| Max Negative | -16.7% | -23.6% | -27.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |