Globalstar (GSAT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $64.95 | Market Cap: $8.2 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Integrated Telecommunication Services
Globalstar (GSAT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $64.95Market Cap: $8.2 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Integrated Telecommunication Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 300%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 108% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 18x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 430x |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.1% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 232%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 107% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Future of Freight. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more. | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 69% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.2% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 300%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 108% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.1% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Future of Freight. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 18x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 430x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 232%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 107% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 69% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.2% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
GSAT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results:
Globalstar reported record revenue of $73.8 million for the third quarter of 2025, exceeding analyst estimates by 7.1%. The company also posted a GAAP loss per share of -$0.01, which was better than the -$0.03 analyst consensus. Additionally, adjusted EBITDA reached $37.57 million, beating estimates, and Globalstar reaffirmed its full-year revenue guidance.
2. Advancement of C-3 Satellite System and Ground Infrastructure:
Globalstar continued to make significant progress in the development of its third-generation C-3 satellite system. This included expanding and upgrading its global ground infrastructure, with plans to install up to 90 tracking antennas. The installation of the first 6-meter tracking antenna dedicated to the C-3 system in Texas was completed, and construction commenced at new gateway infrastructure sites in Japan and Canada, with an agreement to double its teleport footprint in Spain.
3. Growth in Wholesale Capacity Services and Commercial IoT:
The record quarterly revenue in Q3 2025 was significantly driven by increased sales in wholesale capacity services and strong performance in Commercial Internet of Things (IoT) equipment. Commercial IoT equipment revenue notably surged by 60% year-over-year, alongside a 6% increase in the average number of Commercial IoT subscribers.
4. Strategic Transaction Speculation:
During the Q3 2025 earnings call, Globalstar's CEO referenced media reports concerning a potential strategic transaction. While no comments were provided, this public acknowledgment of such reports likely acted as a catalyst for investor interest and speculation regarding future corporate developments.
5. Ongoing SpaceX Launch Agreements and Satellite Replenishment:
Globalstar continued to execute its satellite replenishment strategy, including an additional launch services agreement with SpaceX for a Falcon 9 mission scheduled for 2026 to deploy the second set of replacement satellites. Apple is contributing a substantial portion of the costs for these satellites and launches, underscoring strong partnership support for Globalstar's constellation enhancement.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GSAT Return | -35% | 243% | 15% | 46% | 7% | 97% | 686% |
| Peers Return | -4% | 14% | -22% | 18% | 13% | 42% | 62% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GSAT Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 28% | 38% | 32% | 32% | 37% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GSAT Max Drawdown | -50% | 0% | -17% | -34% | -47% | -43% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -36% | -4% | -28% | -22% | -26% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SATS, TDS, GOGO, SHEN, ELWT. See GSAT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GSAT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -67.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 208.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 885 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -55.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 124.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 295 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -87.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 713.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 791 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -99.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 9686.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to SATS, TDS, GOGO, SHEN, ELWT
In The Past
Globalstar's stock fell -67.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/8/2021. A -67.5% loss requires a 208.1% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GSAT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| 12312022 | GSAT | Globalstar | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -18.8% | 45.9% | -34.4% |
| 12312021 | GSAT | Globalstar | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 14.7% | -17.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| 12312022 | GSAT | Globalstar | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -18.8% | 45.9% | -34.4% |
| 12312021 | GSAT | Globalstar | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 14.7% | -17.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Globalstar
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 25.05 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.6 |
| Rev LTM | 585 |
| Op Inc LTM | 5 |
| FCF LTM | -65 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -63 |
| CFO LTM | 232 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 330 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 1.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -6.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -0.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.6 |
| P/S | 1.4 |
| P/EBIT | 8.4 |
| P/E | -79.7 |
| P/CFO | 8.0 |
| Total Yield | -1.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.2% |
| D/E | 0.7 |
| Net D/E | 0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 16.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 15.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 132.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 1.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 2.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 58.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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