Globalstar (GSAT)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $62.3 | Market Cap: $7.9 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Integrated Telecommunication Services
Globalstar (GSAT)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $62.3Market Cap: $7.9 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Integrated Telecommunication Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 300%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 108% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 30x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 735x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Future of Freight. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more. | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 165%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 121% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% | |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 69% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.8% | |
| Key risksGSAT key risks include [1] its extreme customer concentration and over-dependence on Apple and [2] its precarious financial health, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 300%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 108% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Future of Freight. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 30x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 735x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 165%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 121% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 69% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.8% |
| Key risksGSAT key risks include [1] its extreme customer concentration and over-dependence on Apple and [2] its precarious financial health, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
GSAT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Globalstar (GSAT) stock moved by 108% in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025:
1. Strategic Shift and Enhanced Spectrum Value from Apple and SpaceX Deals.
Globalstar's stock significantly appreciated due to its strategic repositioning as a wholesale capacity provider for Apple's direct-to-device (D2D) network. Additionally, the company's spectrum gained "material" strategic value following a deal involving Echostar and SpaceX, which contributed to the stock more than doubling in the three months leading up to mid-December 2025.
2. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance and Reaffirmed Outlook.
The company reported record revenue for the third quarter of 2025, reaching $73.8 million, which surpassed analyst estimates. This strong performance was primarily driven by higher wholesale capacity services and growth in its Commercial IoT segment. Globalstar also reaffirmed its full-year 2025 financial outlook, projecting revenues between $260 million and $285 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 50%, signaling confidence in its continued momentum.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GSAT Return | -35% | 243% | 15% | 46% | 7% | 89% | 654% |
| Peers Return | -1% | 1% | -14% | -11% | 40% | 164% | 182% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GSAT Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 52% | 47% | 48% | 38% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GSAT Max Drawdown | -50% | 0% | -17% | -34% | -47% | -43% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -17% | -36% | -45% | -45% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: IRDM, VSAT, SATS, KVHI, ASTS. See GSAT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GSAT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -67.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 208.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 885 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -55.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 124.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 295 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -87.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 713.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 791 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -99.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 9686.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
Globalstar's stock fell -67.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/8/2021. A -67.5% loss requires a 208.1% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GSAT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.2% | -0.2% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.6% | -5.6% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -3.1% | -3.1% | -5.1% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.4% | 2.4% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -27.7% | -27.7% | -29.8% |
| 12312022 | GSAT | Globalstar | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -18.8% | 45.9% | -34.4% |
| 12312021 | GSAT | Globalstar | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 14.7% | -17.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.2% | -0.2% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.6% | -5.6% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -3.1% | -3.1% | -5.1% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.4% | 2.4% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -27.7% | -27.7% | -29.8% |
| 12312022 | GSAT | Globalstar | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -18.8% | 45.9% | -34.4% |
| 12312021 | GSAT | Globalstar | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 14.7% | -17.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Globalstar
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 48.03 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.2 |
| Rev LTM | 567 |
| Op Inc LTM | -32 |
| FCF LTM | 77 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -221 |
| CFO LTM | 384 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 344 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -2.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 0.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -3.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.2 |
| P/S | 2.0 |
| P/EBIT | -6.0 |
| P/E | -10.0 |
| P/CFO | 7.1 |
| Total Yield | -5.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -14.8% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 11.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 34.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 113.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 175.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 110.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 27.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 92.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 149.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 19.0% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 4.6% | 30.9% | 41.4% |
| 8/7/2025 | 13.1% | 7.0% | 50.7% |
| 5/8/2025 | -12.9% | -7.6% | 5.0% |
| 2/27/2025 | 0.1% | 4.0% | -1.3% |
| 11/7/2024 | 7.0% | 2.2% | 14.1% |
| 8/8/2024 | 10.1% | 11.0% | 14.7% |
| 5/8/2024 | -5.5% | -3.1% | -14.8% |
| 2/28/2024 | -16.7% | -23.6% | -21.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 10 | 14 |
| # Negative | 12 | 13 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 6.2% | 8.3% | 19.7% |
| Median Negative | -6.8% | -7.0% | -17.3% |
| Max Positive | 14.3% | 30.9% | 62.8% |
| Max Negative | -16.7% | -23.6% | -27.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |