Tearsheet

Telephone and Data Systems (TDS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $38.77 | Market Cap: $4.5 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Integrated Telecommunication Services

Telephone and Data Systems (TDS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $38.77
Market Cap: $4.5 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Integrated Telecommunication Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 60%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.3%, Dist 3Y High is -3.3%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.8%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Wireless Services, and Telecom Infrastructure.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 60%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Wireless Services, and Telecom Infrastructure.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.3%, Dist 3Y High is -3.3%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.8%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TDS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -1.8% movement in Telephone and Data Systems (TDS) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Significant Revenue Shortfall in Q3 2025: For the third quarter of 2025, Telephone and Data Systems reported revenue of $308.52 million, which was significantly below the analyst forecast of $1.17 billion. This also represented a year-over-year decline of 3% in total operating revenues.

2. Decline in Broadband Connections: TDS Telecom's residential broadband connections, including Wireline (Incumbent, Expansion, and Total), were below analyst estimates for the third quarter of 2025. For instance, total residential broadband connections reached 562.4 thousand, falling short of the estimated 569.9 thousand.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TDS Return-24%12%-45%86%89%17%90%
Peers Return22%-25%-37%-0%6%-28%-56%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TDS Win Rate33%42%42%33%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate27%15%17%29%38%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TDS Max Drawdown-40%-5%-49%-36%-24%-7% 
Peers Max Drawdown-23%-26%-40%-23%-18%-43% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EGHT, CAMP, SNCR, ELWT, VTEK. See TDS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTDSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-75.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven299.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven505 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-40.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven66.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven424 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1924 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-69.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven227.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to EGHT, CAMP, SNCR, ELWT, VTEK


In The Past

Telephone and Data Systems's stock fell -75.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2021. A -75.0% loss requires a 299.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Telephone and Data Systems (TDS)

Better Bets than Telephone and Data Systems (TDS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TDS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.9%4.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.0%0.0%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.8%6.8%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
2.1%2.1%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-25.1%-25.1%-25.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.9%4.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.0%0.0%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.8%6.8%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
2.1%2.1%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-25.1%-25.1%-25.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Telephone and Data Systems

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TDSEGHTCAMPSNCRELWTVTEKMedian
NameTelephon.8x8 Camp4 Th.Synchron.Elauwit .Vistek  
Mkt Price39.322.043.255.306.65-5.30
Mkt Cap4.60.30.10.1--0.2
Rev LTM6,611721317115-171
Op Inc LTM29115-5430-1-15
FCF LTM-12639-4641-3--3
FCF 3Y Avg-6348-15--15
CFO LTM78254-4655-3-54
CFO 3Y Avg1,03764-32--64

Growth & Margins

TDSEGHTCAMPSNCRELWTVTEKMedian
NameTelephon.8x8 Camp4 Th.Synchron.Elauwit .Vistek  
Rev Chg LTM59.7%0.3%759.1%0.1%--30.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.7%0.4%-7.6%--7.6%
Rev Chg Q-5.8%1.7%--2.2%---2.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.3%0.4%99.1%-0.6%--0.1%
Op Mgn LTM4.4%2.1%-1,785.1%17.3%-9.9%-2.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.3%-0.3%-4.7%--3.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-0.3%1,745.5%0.3%--0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM11.8%7.5%-1,516.8%32.2%-20.2%-7.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg20.8%8.8%-21.7%--20.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.9%5.4%-1,534.8%23.9%-20.2%--1.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.9%6.6%-9.4%--6.6%

Valuation

TDSEGHTCAMPSNCRELWTVTEKMedian
NameTelephon.8x8 Camp4 Th.Synchron.Elauwit .Vistek  
Mkt Cap4.60.30.10.1--0.2
P/S0.70.49.70.4--0.5
P/EBIT8.417.3-0.54.2--6.3
P/E-79.7-49.0-0.6-6.7---27.8
P/CFO5.85.4-0.61.2--3.3
Total Yield0.7%-2.0%-177.1%-15.0%---8.5%
Dividend Yield1.9%0.0%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.2%16.9%-22.9%--16.9%
D/E0.31.30.22.7--0.8
Net D/E0.11.1-1.12.1--0.6

Returns

TDSEGHTCAMPSNCRELWTVTEKMedian
NameTelephon.8x8 Camp4 Th.Synchron.Elauwit .Vistek  
1M Rtn-0.7%9.7%-17.5%-4.8%---2.8%
3M Rtn-3.3%3.0%130.5%-6.5%---0.2%
6M Rtn16.5%16.6%71.1%-23.4%--16.5%
12M Rtn15.0%-33.6%-33.0%-47.6%---33.3%
3Y Rtn317.1%-57.1%--33.8%---33.8%
1M Excs Rtn-0.6%9.7%-17.5%-4.8%---2.7%
3M Excs Rtn-5.6%-1.8%114.2%-8.5%---3.7%
6M Excs Rtn1.8%1.9%56.3%-38.1%--1.8%
12M Excs Rtn2.0%-47.7%-45.7%-59.9%---46.7%
3Y Excs Rtn267.0%-122.8%--105.9%---105.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
United States Cellular Corporation (UScellular) Wireless3,805    
Telephone and Data Systems, Inc (TDS) Telecom1,0281,0201,006976930
All Other revenues230    
United States Cellular Corporation (UScellular) Towers228    
Elimination of intersegment revenues-131    
Corporate, Eliminations and Other 224201212224
United States Cellular Corporation (UScellular) 4,1694,1224,0374,022
Total5,1605,4135,3295,2255,176


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
United States Cellular Corporation (UScellular)10,75011,11910,3419,6818,164
Telephone and Data Systems, Inc (TDS) Telecom2,8643,0562,6452,3592,196
Corporate, Eliminations and Other307375507485421
Total13,92114,55013,49312,52510,781


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,150,749
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-2.4%
Average Daily Volume927,214
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.63
Basic Shares Quantity116,126,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021