Roblox (RBLX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $91.51 | Market Cap: $63.8 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Home Entertainment
Roblox (RBLX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $91.51Market Cap: $63.8 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Interactive Home Entertainment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.1 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -25% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 22x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 70x |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 50% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 112% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, Social Media & Creator Economy, Digital & Alternative Assets, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.2% |
| Short seller reportHindenburg Research report on 10/8/2024. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 50% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, Social Media & Creator Economy, Digital & Alternative Assets, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Show more. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.1 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -25% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 22x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 70x |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 112% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.2% |
| Short seller reportHindenburg Research report on 10/8/2024. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RBLX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate 26.1% movement in Roblox (RBLX) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Disappointing Q3 2025 Revenue and Cautious 2026 Outlook. Roblox reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 30, 2025, with revenue of $1.36 billion, falling below analysts' expectations of $1.64 billion. Despite beating EPS and bookings estimates, the company's "cautious commentary regarding 2026 bookings and margins" led to "near-term pressure on the stock." Management indicated that margins were not expected to improve year-over-year in the fourth quarter of 2025 and a modest decline was anticipated heading into 2026 due to increased investments.
2. Slowdown in Bookings Growth. An analyst from M Science highlighted a slowdown in Roblox's bookings growth on October 6, 2025, contributing to an 8% drop in RBLX shares that day. Specifically, bookings growth in the U.S. market reportedly slowed to the low 30% range year-over-year in September, a decrease from mid-to-high 40% in August and mid-to-high 50% in July. This deceleration raised concerns among investors about the company's growth momentum.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RBLX Return | - | - | -72% | 61% | 27% | 62% | -9% |
| Peers Return | 26% | -6% | -43% | 33% | 8% | 25% | 22% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RBLX Win Rate | - | 56% | 25% | 58% | 58% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 33% | 48% | 27% | 65% | 54% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RBLX Max Drawdown | - | - | -78% | -11% | -33% | -11% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -9% | -12% | -49% | -8% | -20% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EA, TTWO, GVSE, RBLX, PLTK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RBLX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -82.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 480.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1178 days | 464 days |
Compare to EA, TTWO, GVSE, RBLX, PLTK
In The Past
Roblox's stock fell -82.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -82.8% loss requires a 480.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Why Roblox Stock Jumped 90%? | |||
| Would You Still Hold Roblox Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | Return | ||
| Is 24.8% Fall In Roblox (RBLX) Stock A Buying Opportunity? | Actionable | ||
| Is 24.8% Fall In Roblox (RBLX) Stock A Buying Opportunity? | Actionable | ||
| Is 22.3% Fall In Roblox (RBLX) Stock A Buying Opportunity? | Actionable | ||
| Wait For A Dip To Buy Roblox Stock | Buy or Fear | ||
| RBLX Surges 16% In A Single Month: Where Does It Rank Among Competitors? | |||
| Why Roblox Stock Moved: RBLX Stock Has Gained 224% Since 2022 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Price To Sales Multiple (P/S) | |||
| RBLX Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Roblox (RBLX) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| How Roblox Stock Gained 90% | November 12th, 2025 | ||
| Roblox Stock Dropped 15% – Have You Assessed the Risk | November 8th, 2025 | ||
| Roblox Stock To $73? | November 5th, 2025 | ||
| Roblox Stock To $72? | November 5th, 2025 | ||
| Roblox Stock To $73? | November 4th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RBLX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Roblox
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 147.66 |
| Mkt Cap | 48.0 |
| Rev LTM | 5,342 |
| Op Inc LTM | -19 |
| FCF LTM | 756 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 495 |
| CFO LTM | 904 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 676 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 19.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 0.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 48.0 |
| P/S | 7.3 |
| P/EBIT | -3.7 |
| P/E | 2.3 |
| P/CFO | 48.6 |
| Total Yield | 0.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 11.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 26.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 90.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 3.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -10.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 13.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 28.7% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2182025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8102022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5112022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |