Tearsheet

Roblox (RBLX)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $91.51 | Market Cap: $63.8 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Home Entertainment

Roblox (RBLX)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $91.51
Market Cap: $63.8 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Interactive Home Entertainment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.1 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -25%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 22x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 70x
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 50%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 112%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, Social Media & Creator Economy, Digital & Alternative Assets, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Show more.
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.2%
4  Short seller report
Hindenburg Research report on 10/8/2024.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 50%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, Social Media & Creator Economy, Digital & Alternative Assets, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Show more.
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.1 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -25%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 22x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 70x
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 112%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.2%
8 Short seller report
Hindenburg Research report on 10/8/2024.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RBLX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate 26.1% movement in Roblox (RBLX) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Disappointing Q3 2025 Revenue and Cautious 2026 Outlook. Roblox reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 30, 2025, with revenue of $1.36 billion, falling below analysts' expectations of $1.64 billion. Despite beating EPS and bookings estimates, the company's "cautious commentary regarding 2026 bookings and margins" led to "near-term pressure on the stock." Management indicated that margins were not expected to improve year-over-year in the fourth quarter of 2025 and a modest decline was anticipated heading into 2026 due to increased investments.

2. Slowdown in Bookings Growth. An analyst from M Science highlighted a slowdown in Roblox's bookings growth on October 6, 2025, contributing to an 8% drop in RBLX shares that day. Specifically, bookings growth in the U.S. market reportedly slowed to the low 30% range year-over-year in September, a decrease from mid-to-high 40% in August and mid-to-high 50% in July. This deceleration raised concerns among investors about the company's growth momentum.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RBLX Return---72%61%27%62%-9%
Peers Return26%-6%-43%33%8%25%22%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RBLX Win Rate-56%25%58%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate33%48%27%65%54%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RBLX Max Drawdown---78%-11%-33%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-9%-12%-49%-8%-20%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EA, TTWO, GVSE, RBLX, PLTK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRBLXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-82.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven480.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1178 days464 days

Compare to EA, TTWO, GVSE, RBLX, PLTK


In The Past

Roblox's stock fell -82.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -82.8% loss requires a 480.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Roblox (RBLX)

Better Bets than Roblox (RBLX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RBLX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Roblox

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RBLXEATTWOGVSEPLTKMedian
NameRoblox Electron.Take-Two.Gamevers.Playtika  
Mkt Price92.10203.21244.95-4.20147.66
Mkt Cap64.250.845.2-1.548.0
Rev LTM4,4647,2886,220-2,7275,342
Op Inc LTM-1,1181,247-404-366-19
FCF LTM1,1661,653203-346756
FCF 3Y Avg5911,884-202-398495
CFO LTM1,3741,872358-435904
CFO 3Y Avg8632,094-44-488676

Growth & Margins

RBLXEATTWOGVSEPLTKMedian
NameRoblox Electron.Take-Two.Gamevers.Playtika  
Rev Chg LTM32.7%-1.6%14.0%-7.5%10.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg26.5%0.1%13.3%-1.3%7.3%
Rev Chg Q48.0%-9.2%31.1%-8.7%19.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM11.0%-2.5%7.3%-2.0%4.6%
Op Mgn LTM-25.0%17.1%-6.5%-13.4%3.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-35.3%18.8%-17.0%-18.2%0.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.3%-2.7%3.6%--1.3%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM30.8%25.7%5.8%-15.9%20.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg23.5%28.2%-1.1%-18.8%21.1%
FCF/Rev LTM26.1%22.7%3.3%-12.7%17.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg14.7%25.3%-3.9%-15.3%15.0%

Valuation

RBLXEATTWOGVSEPLTKMedian
NameRoblox Electron.Take-Two.Gamevers.Playtika  
Mkt Cap64.250.845.2-1.548.0
P/S21.66.97.7-0.57.3
P/EBIT-103.938.1-12.0-4.6-3.7
P/E-99.757.0-11.9-16.62.3
P/CFO70.326.9133.3-3.348.6
Total Yield-1.0%1.9%-8.4%-11.3%0.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.2%0.0%-5.2%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.1%4.9%-0.9%-16.9%3.0%
D/E0.00.00.1-1.80.1
Net D/E-0.00.00.0-1.30.0

Returns

RBLXEATTWOGVSEPLTKMedian
NameRoblox Electron.Take-Two.Gamevers.Playtika  
1M Rtn-14.5%1.8%-4.2%-13.2%-1.2%
3M Rtn-31.0%21.2%2.5%-20.1%11.3%
6M Rtn1.1%37.2%6.9%--9.0%4.0%
12M Rtn72.1%21.8%30.3%--46.5%26.0%
3Y Rtn171.0%56.1%125.2%--49.7%90.7%
1M Excs Rtn-14.4%1.8%-4.2%-13.2%-1.2%
3M Excs Rtn-34.4%15.7%-3.6%-10.9%3.7%
6M Excs Rtn-13.6%22.4%-7.8%--23.7%-10.7%
12M Excs Rtn70.2%11.2%16.5%--59.1%13.8%
3Y Excs Rtn125.5%-11.7%69.1%--119.8%28.7%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15,362,698
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-10.1%
Average Daily Volume7,576,885
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.03
Basic Shares Quantity697,282,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022511202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021