Tearsheet

Roblox (RBLX)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $81.33 | Market Cap: $56.7 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Home Entertainment

Roblox (RBLX)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $81.33
Market Cap: $56.7 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Interactive Home Entertainment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.1 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -25%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 13x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 42x
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, Social Media & Creator Economy, Digital & Alternative Assets, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Show more.
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 112%
4  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.9%
5  Short seller report
Hindenburg Research report on 10/8/2024.
6  Key risks
RBLX key risks include [1] heightened regulatory and reputational scrutiny over child safety due to its predominantly young user base and [2] an uncertain path to profitability needed to justify its premium valuation.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, Social Media & Creator Economy, Digital & Alternative Assets, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Show more.
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.1 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -25%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 13x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 42x
6 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 112%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.9%
9 Short seller report
Hindenburg Research report on 10/8/2024.
10 Key risks
RBLX key risks include [1] heightened regulatory and reputational scrutiny over child safety due to its predominantly young user base and [2] an uncertain path to profitability needed to justify its premium valuation.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RBLX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Roblox (RBLX) experienced a significant stock decline of -34.2% in the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025. Several key factors contributed to this downward movement, despite the company reporting strong user growth and bookings.

1. Q3 2025 Earnings Report and Future Margin Pressure: Despite beating analyst expectations for bookings and daily active users in Q3 2025, Roblox's stock plunged following its earnings release on October 30, 2025. This negative reaction was primarily driven by concerns over increased capital expenditure (CapEx) guidance for 2025 and warnings of potential operating margin decline in 2026. Roblox significantly raised its fiscal year 2025 CapEx guidance to $468 million, an increase of $158 million, and indicated that infrastructure and safety-related investments would "catch up" with rapid bookings growth, impacting future profitability.

2. Widening Net Losses: While Roblox reported robust revenue growth, its consolidated net loss widened to $257 million in Q3 2025, from $240 million in the prior year. This persistent unprofitability, even with strong top-line growth, raised investor concerns about the company's path to sustained profitability.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RBLX Return-72%61%27%45%
Peers Return9%-44%73%11%40%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RBLX Win Rate56%25%58%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate72%53%32%72%55%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RBLX Max Drawdown-78%-11%-33%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-51%-7%-19%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSFT, TTWO, EA, U, META.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRBLXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-82.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven480.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,178 days464 days

Compare to PLTR, NET, MDB, HUBS, GVSE


In The Past

Roblox's stock fell -82.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -82.8% loss requires a 480.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Roblox (RBLX)

Better Bets than Roblox (RBLX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RBLX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.2%-0.2%-1.4%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.6%-5.6%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.1%-3.1%-5.1%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
2.4%2.4%-5.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.2%-0.2%-1.4%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.6%-5.6%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.1%-3.1%-5.1%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
2.4%2.4%-5.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Roblox

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RBLXMSFTTTWOEAUMETAMedian
NameRoblox MicrosoftTake-Two.Electron.Unity So.Meta Pla. 
Mkt Price81.94485.92247.40203.9246.42658.77225.66
Mkt Cap57.13,611.845.751.019.71,658.154.1
Rev LTM4,464293,8126,2207,2881,804189,4576,754
Op Inc LTM-1,118135,937-4041,247-49681,895421
FCF LTM1,16678,0172031,65339144,8411,410
FCF 3Y Avg59171,302-2021,88422445,0441,237
CFO LTM1,374147,0393581,872414107,5741,623
CFO 3Y Avg863121,384-442,09426885,5131,478

Growth & Margins

RBLXMSFTTTWOEAUMETAMedian
NameRoblox MicrosoftTake-Two.Electron.Unity So.Meta Pla. 
Rev Chg LTM32.7%15.6%14.0%-1.6%-8.2%21.3%14.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg26.5%13.2%13.3%0.1%16.7%17.3%15.0%
Rev Chg Q48.0%18.4%31.1%-9.2%5.4%26.2%22.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM11.0%4.3%7.3%-2.5%1.4%6.0%5.1%
Op Mgn LTM-25.0%46.3%-6.5%17.1%-27.5%43.2%5.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-35.3%44.6%-17.0%18.8%-38.2%37.4%0.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.3%0.6%3.6%-2.7%0.4%-0.8%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM30.8%50.0%5.8%25.7%22.9%56.8%28.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg23.5%47.2%-1.1%28.2%14.2%54.0%25.8%
FCF/Rev LTM26.1%26.6%3.3%22.7%21.7%23.7%23.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg14.7%28.0%-3.9%25.3%12.0%29.0%20.0%

Valuation

RBLXMSFTTTWOEAUMETAMedian
NameRoblox MicrosoftTake-Two.Electron.Unity So.Meta Pla. 
Mkt Cap57.13,611.845.751.019.71,658.154.1
P/S12.812.37.37.010.98.89.8
P/EBIT-61.527.7-11.538.5-49.919.54.0
P/E-59.034.4-11.457.6-45.228.38.5
P/CFO41.624.6127.627.247.615.434.4
Total Yield-1.7%3.6%-8.8%1.9%-2.2%3.8%0.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.7%0.0%0.2%0.0%0.3%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.1%2.3%-0.9%4.9%1.8%3.6%2.0%
D/E0.00.00.10.00.10.00.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.00.00.00.00.00.0

Returns

RBLXMSFTTTWOEAUMETAMedian
NameRoblox MicrosoftTake-Two.Electron.Unity So.Meta Pla. 
1M Rtn-15.8%-0.2%2.9%1.3%18.4%11.7%2.1%
3M Rtn-39.4%-6.0%-1.4%17.9%0.8%-15.2%-3.7%
6M Rtn-19.7%2.1%3.8%35.7%101.2%-3.3%3.0%
12M Rtn39.1%12.0%36.4%38.5%108.5%11.0%37.5%
3Y Rtn197.1%105.8%152.2%72.1%67.4%466.5%129.0%
1M Excs Rtn-18.7%-3.1%-0.0%-1.6%15.5%8.8%-0.8%
3M Excs Rtn-42.2%-7.5%-3.8%15.6%-1.0%-15.9%-5.6%
6M Excs Rtn-34.3%-13.1%-11.0%18.9%85.8%-19.0%-12.1%
12M Excs Rtn20.8%-5.2%20.1%19.4%75.3%-6.3%19.8%
3Y Excs Rtn76.3%22.4%65.0%-4.8%-28.4%374.5%43.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment2,7992,2251,919924
Total2,7992,2251,919924


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment-1,159   
Total-1,159   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15,032,228
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-2.2%
Average Daily Volume8,263,271
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.82
Basic Shares Quantity697,282,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-15.5%-23.6%-29.9%
7/31/202510.3%7.4%1.6%
5/1/20252.9%5.1%29.7%
2/6/2025-11.1%-14.9%-24.2%
10/31/202419.9%22.6%16.2%
8/1/2024-6.4%-12.9%4.9%
5/9/2024-22.1%-15.4%-8.7%
2/7/202410.2%4.2%-1.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111211
# Negative878
Median Positive10.3%7.9%16.2%
Median Negative-18.3%-15.4%-21.1%
Max Positive42.2%40.3%62.1%
Max Negative-26.5%-37.7%-36.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022511202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021