Magnite (MGNI)
Market Price (4/15/2026): $12.455 | Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Advertising
Magnite (MGNI)
Market Price (4/15/2026): $12.455Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Advertising
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.1%, FCF Yield is 8.5% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -43% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Advertising, Social Media & Creator Economy, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -8.8%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -33% | Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% Key risksMGNI key risks include [1] intense competition from dominant "walled garden" platforms and [2] evolving privacy regulations and the deprecation of third-party cookies that threaten its ad targeting effectiveness. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.1%, FCF Yield is 8.5% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -43% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Advertising, Social Media & Creator Economy, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -8.8%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -33% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Key risksMGNI key risks include [1] intense competition from dominant "walled garden" platforms and [2] evolving privacy regulations and the deprecation of third-party cookies that threaten its ad targeting effectiveness. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Magnite lowered its revenue guidance for the first quarter of 2026, projecting $157.0 million to $161.0 million, which fell below the consensus estimate of $163.8 million. This revised outlook, issued on February 25, 2026, signaled a potential deceleration in advertising demand.
2. The Digital Video and Plus (DV+) segment experienced a 1% year-over-year decline in contribution ex-TAC for Q4 2025, falling short of expectations. This underperformance was attributed to an accelerated shift of advertising budgets from DV+ towards Connected TV (CTV) across agencies, demand-side platforms (DSPs), and brands.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -23.2% change in MGNI stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -69.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 16.23 | 12.46 | -23.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 703 | 714 | 1.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.3% | 20.3% | 145.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 40.0 | 12.4 | -69.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 143 | 144 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -23.2% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MGNI | -23.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 22.2% |
| Sector (XLC) | -1.0% | 43.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -42.8% change in MGNI stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -82.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.78 | 12.46 | -42.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 685 | 714 | 4.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.3% | 20.3% | 221.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 71.5 | 12.4 | -82.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 142 | 144 | -1.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -42.8% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MGNI | -42.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 31.0% |
| Sector (XLC) | -1.2% | 47.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 9.2% change in MGNI stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 494.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.41 | 12.46 | 9.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 668 | 714 | 6.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.4% | 20.3% | 494.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 70.7 | 12.4 | -82.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 141 | 144 | -1.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 9.2% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MGNI | 9.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 51.6% |
| Sector (XLC) | 22.0% | 56.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 34.6% change in MGNI stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 23.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.26 | 12.46 | 34.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 577 | 714 | 23.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.1 | 2.5 | 16.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 134 | 144 | -7.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 34.6% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MGNI | 34.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 43.6% |
| Sector (XLC) | 107.1% | 46.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MGNI Return | -43% | -39% | -12% | 70% | 2% | -26% | -61% |
| Peers Return | -16% | -58% | 70% | 32% | -28% | -19% | -53% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 81% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MGNI Win Rate | 25% | 33% | 58% | 50% | 50% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 33% | 60% | 55% | 52% | 35% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MGNI Max Drawdown | -46% | -67% | -39% | -9% | -43% | -31% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -41% | -63% | -5% | -27% | -51% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PUBM, TTD, ROKU, DV, DSP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/14/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MGNI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -90.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 969.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -68.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 214.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 230 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -83.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 499.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 518 days | 120 days |
Compare to PUBM, TTD, ROKU, DV, DSP
In The Past
Magnite's stock fell -90.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/11/2021. A -90.6% loss requires a 969.2% gain to breakeven.
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About Magnite (MGNI)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Magnite (MGNI):
- The eBay of digital advertising.
- Like the NASDAQ, but for digital ad space.
- Shopify for online publishers selling ad space.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Sell-Side Platform (SSP) Solutions: Magnite provides applications and services for publishers to manage and monetize their digital advertising inventory across CTV channels, applications, websites, and other digital media properties.
- Advertising Inventory Purchase Solutions: Magnite offers applications and services that enable advertisers, agencies, and demand-side platforms to buy digital advertising inventory from publishers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Magnite, Inc. operates an independent sell-side advertising platform and primarily serves other businesses (B2B) within the digital advertising ecosystem. Due to the nature of its platform business, which facilitates numerous transactions for a broad and diverse client base, and the company's publicly stated lack of revenue concentration in any single client, Magnite does not have a few traditional "major customers" that account for a dominant share of its revenue.
However, Magnite works with a wide array of major companies on both the supply (publisher) and demand (buyer) sides of the advertising marketplace. Prominent examples of companies that utilize Magnite's platform for managing and monetizing their advertising inventory or for purchasing digital ad space include:
- Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) - A major media company and publisher of Connected TV (CTV) and digital content, utilizing Magnite for inventory monetization.
- The Walt Disney Company (DIS) - Another leading global media and entertainment company, leveraging Magnite for its advertising initiatives across various properties.
- Roku, Inc. (ROKU) - A prominent streaming platform and media company that uses Magnite to monetize its ad inventory.
- The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) - A leading independent demand-side platform (DSP) that integrates with Magnite to purchase advertising inventory for its clients.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Michael Barrett Chief Executive Officer
Michael Barrett has served as Magnite's Chief Executive Officer since March 2017, a role he also held at Rubicon Project before its merger with Telaria to form Magnite in 2020. Prior to Magnite, he was the President and Chief Executive Officer of Millennial Media, an independent mobile ad technology company that was acquired by AOL/Verizon in October 2015. He also served as Chief Executive Officer of AdMeld, a programmatic supply-side platform, which was acquired by Google in 2011. Barrett's extensive career in digital advertising includes leadership positions at Yahoo! Inc. as Global Chief Revenue Officer and Executive Vice President, as well as senior roles at AOL, Fox Interactive Media, and Disney Online. He also founded Ichabod Farm Ventures LLC, a private investment firm.
David Day Chief Financial Officer
David Day is Magnite's Chief Financial Officer, overseeing the company's financial operations. He previously served as Chief Financial Officer for Rubicon Project before its merger with Telaria to create Magnite. His background includes various financial executive roles in high-growth technology-based advertising companies. Day was the Chief Accounting Officer at ReachLocal, and Vice President of Finance at Spot Runner. He also held the position of Senior Vice President of Finance and Corporate Controller of Overture Services, which originated the paid search advertising model and was later acquired by Yahoo!, where he subsequently served as Senior Vice President of Finance for Yahoo Search Marketing. Day co-founded SignJammer, a startup focused on the out-of-home advertising market.
Katie Evans President, Operations
Katie Evans serves as Magnite's President of Operations.
Adam Soroca Chief Product Officer
Adam Soroca is the Chief Product Officer at Magnite.
Sean Buckley President, Revenue
Sean Buckley holds the title of President of Revenue at Magnite. He is also referred to as Chief Revenue Officer.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Magnite's (MGNI) business operations are primarily rooted in its ongoing legal battle with Google, the intense competition within the digital advertising market, and its susceptibility to broader economic fluctuations affecting advertising demand.
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Regulatory and Legal Risks (Google Lawsuit): Magnite is engaged in high-stakes litigation against Google, alleging anticompetitive practices in the ad tech market. This lawsuit poses a material risk to Magnite's revenue and reputation, and could divert significant management attention and resources. The outcome of this legal challenge could also impact regulatory dynamics and competitive positioning within the industry.
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Intense Market Competition: Magnite operates in a highly competitive digital advertising landscape, facing substantial challenges from larger companies with greater financial, technical, and marketing resources, including major players like Google, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, and Comcast. This intense competition can hinder Magnite's ability to maintain and grow its market share and could reduce future growth.
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Dependence on Advertising Demand and Macroeconomic Challenges: Magnite's revenue is closely tied to the overall demand for digital advertising, which is vulnerable to macroeconomic factors such as economic downturns, inflation, and geopolitical events. Significant reductions in ad spending, particularly within the Connected TV (CTV) market, could negatively impact Magnite's financial stability and growth prospects.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Actions of major technology platforms ("walled gardens") that control significant user data, operating systems, and media properties. These platforms (e.g., Google, Apple, Amazon) are increasingly implementing stricter privacy controls (such as the deprecation of third-party cookies and app tracking transparency initiatives) and expanding their proprietary advertising ecosystems. This trend limits the data available to independent ad tech companies like Magnite for targeting and measurement, and can steer publishers and advertisers toward the platforms' integrated, first-party solutions, thereby diminishing the role and addressable market for independent sell-side platforms.AI Analysis | Feedback
Magnite, Inc. (MGNI) operates within the expansive digital advertising landscape, primarily focusing on programmatic advertising, particularly in the Connected TV (CTV) sector, through its sell-side platform (SSP) services. The addressable markets for Magnite's main products and services are substantial and are projected to grow significantly in the coming years.
Global Programmatic Advertising Market
The global programmatic advertising market was estimated at USD 678.37 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 2,753.03 billion by 2030, demonstrating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22.8% from 2024 to 2030. Another estimate valued the global programmatic advertising market at USD 595.4 billion in 2024, with a projection to grow from USD 716.86 billion in 2025 to USD 3,165.54 billion by 2033, at a CAGR of 20.4% during that period. North America held the largest global market share of 32.6% in 2023 for programmatic advertising.
U.S. Programmatic Connected TV (CTV) Advertising Market
The U.S. programmatic CTV advertising market is a significant growth area for Magnite. CTV programmatic ad spending is projected to reach $33 billion in 2025. The U.S. connected TV advertising market is projected to reach $33.35 billion in 2025, according to eMarketer's forecast. Furthermore, programmatic CTV advertising spending is expected to increase from $24.6 billion in 2023 to $42.4 billion by 2027. Over 90% of CTV display ad spend is transacted programmatically, indicating a major shift in how advertisers are purchasing streaming inventory.
Global Sell-Side Platform (SSP) Market
The global Supply Side Platform (SSP) market, which represents Magnite's core offering, was valued at approximately USD 57.46 billion in 2024. It is projected to grow from USD 65.58 billion in 2025 to USD 245.95 billion by 2035. Another estimate indicates the global SSP market was valued at USD 26.4 billion in 2025, with a projected growth at a CAGR of around 11.8% through 2033, potentially exceeding USD 64.5 billion. North America is the largest market for SSPs, holding approximately 45% of the global market share. This region is expected to expand at an 11.8% CAGR within the forecast period, reaching a market size of USD 16.3 billion by the end of 2033.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Magnite (MGNI) over the next 2-3 years:
- Continued Growth in Connected TV (CTV) Advertising: Magnite's primary growth driver is the expansion of Connected TV (CTV) advertising. The company is prioritizing integrations with tier-1 publishers and streamers to increase its premium CTV inventory. Analysts project the U.S. CTV ad spend to exceed $40 billion by 2027, with programmatic advertising capturing an increasing share, and Magnite is targeting mid-to-high teens CTV revenue growth in the medium term. Magnite's SpringServe platform, a unified ad serving and programmatic supply-side platform, is central to its strong performance in this area.
- Expansion of Direct and Curated Demand Pathways: Magnite expects revenue growth from the broader adoption of its ClearLine platform and curated marketplaces. These initiatives enable agencies and brands to directly purchase publisher CTV inventory, facilitating higher-value direct deals and improving supply path efficiency. ClearLine gained significant traction with agency marketplaces and its adoption is cited as a key growth driver.
- Advancements in Ad Serving Technology and Live Events: Enhancements to Magnite's SpringServe platform, including features like pod-bidding, frequency-aware serving, and tighter Server-Side Ad Insertion (SSAI), are expected to unify ad decisioning across live sports, AVOD, and Free Ad-Supported Streaming TV (FAST) channels. This focus allows Magnite to capitalize on the double-digit year-over-year growth in CTV spend within these categories. The next generation of SpringServe, combining ad server with programmatic SSP capabilities, reached general availability in July 2025.
- International Market Expansion: Magnite is focused on expanding its global footprint, particularly in EMEA and APAC regions. The company aims to capture local CTV demand through partnerships related to Broadcast Video On Demand (BVOD), FAST channels, and device OEM alliances in markets such as the UK, Germany, Australia, Japan, and India.
- Growth in Retail Media and Enhanced Identity/Measurement Solutions: Retail media is emerging as a new revenue stream for Magnite, with the company announcing over 15 commerce media partnerships by the end of Q4 2025. Additionally, Magnite is investing in advancing its identity and measurement capabilities, including clean-room collaborations and commerce/retail media tie-ups, to connect shopper data with CTV demand, further enhancing its data-driven advertising offerings. The company is also exploring the integration of AI to drive platform efficiencies and long-term growth.
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Share Repurchases
- On December 13, 2021, Magnite announced a share repurchase program authorizing the purchase of up to $50 million of its common stock over the subsequent twelve-month period.
- During 2025, Magnite repurchased approximately 5.2 million shares of its common stock for $79.2 million, which included shares withheld upon vesting of RSUs or PSUs.
- On February 23, 2026, the Board of Directors approved a new share repurchase program, authorizing the repurchase of common stock with an aggregate market value of up to $200 million through February 29, 2028.
Outbound Investments
- In February 2021, Magnite acquired SpotX for $1.17 billion in cash and stock, a strategic move to solidify its Connected TV (CTV) leadership.
- In July 2021, Magnite acquired SpringServe for $31 million, integrating critical ad-serving technology into its platform.
- In September 2025, Magnite acquired streamr.ai, an AI-powered platform designed to make CTV advertising accessible to Small and Medium-sized Businesses (SMBs), with the financial terms of the transaction not disclosed.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for the fourth quarter of 2025 were $23 million.
- For the full year 2026, capital expenditures are anticipated to be approximately $60 million, representing a reduction from the prior year.
- The primary focus of capital expenditures has been on supporting the growth of the CTV business and investing in CTV-related features and functionality, including higher cloud and data center costs and increased personnel-related expenses.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
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| 03272026 | META | Meta Platforms | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.8% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| 03062026 | CARG | CarGurus | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.2% | 1.2% | -8.3% |
| 02132026 | YELP | Yelp | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 17.9% | 17.9% | -5.7% |
| 02132026 | TRIP | Tripadvisor | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -3.9% |
| 02062026 | OMC | Omnicom | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.9% | 8.9% | -3.7% |
| 02062026 | MGNI | Magnite | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.2% | 5.2% | -0.8% |
| 08312023 | MGNI | Magnite | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 45.7% | 67.2% | -21.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 11.32 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| Rev LTM | 731 |
| Op Inc LTM | 46 |
| FCF LTM | 162 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 154 |
| CFO LTM | 224 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 196 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 14.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 16.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -1.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 28.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| P/S | 2.3 |
| P/EBIT | 18.2 |
| P/E | 21.7 |
| P/CFO | 7.7 |
| Total Yield | 3.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -9.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -1.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -6.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | -2.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -5.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -39.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -69.5% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $12.46 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/02/2014 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -53.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $12.31 | $17.71 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 1.2% | -29.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 63.1% | 59.5% |
| Downside Capture | 0.98 | 0.80 |
| Upside Capture | 103.90 | 148.68 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 22.0% | 34.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.64 | 1.56 | 1.12 | 1.42 | 1.79 | 1.88 |
| Up Beta | 0.14 | -0.58 | -0.63 | 1.01 | 1.86 | 1.75 |
| Down Beta | -0.17 | 2.06 | 0.83 | 1.83 | 1.99 | 2.13 |
| Up Capture | 35% | 145% | 103% | 47% | 186% | 682% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 22 | 30 | 61 | 130 | 371 |
| Down Capture | 142% | 197% | 196% | 173% | 136% | 112% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 20 | 33 | 62 | 114 | 363 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MGNI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MGNI | 30.1% | 59.4% | 0.67 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 30.1% | 13.9% | 1.65 | 42.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 24.2% | 12.9% | 1.49 | 34.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 53.4% | 27.6% | 1.55 | -6.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 26.8% | 16.2% | 1.47 | 5.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 18.7% | 13.8% | 1.00 | 12.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -6.8% | 42.9% | -0.05 | 21.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MGNI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MGNI | -20.5% | 76.0% | 0.02 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 9.7% | 20.7% | 0.38 | 53.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 50.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.5% | 17.8% | 1.03 | 4.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.7% | 18.8% | 0.51 | 10.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.9% | 18.8% | 0.11 | 37.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 5.8% | 56.5% | 0.32 | 27.4% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MGNI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MGNI | -4.0% | 76.7% | 0.29 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 9.6% | 22.3% | 0.51 | 49.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 43.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.3% | 15.9% | 0.75 | 2.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.8% | 17.6% | 0.42 | 13.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 32.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.7% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 16.3% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/25/2026 | 12.6% | 15.5% | -1.0% |
| 11/5/2025 | -13.1% | -16.9% | -12.8% |
| 8/6/2025 | -3.2% | 1.6% | 10.5% |
| 5/7/2025 | 19.8% | 33.5% | 41.6% |
| 2/26/2025 | -1.8% | -14.1% | -27.0% |
| 11/7/2024 | 0.9% | 23.5% | 24.3% |
| 8/7/2024 | -1.2% | -2.9% | 1.7% |
| 5/8/2024 | 3.7% | 10.1% | 45.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 15 | 15 |
| # Negative | 12 | 9 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 13.7% | 11.0% | 19.7% |
| Median Negative | -5.6% | -16.9% | -19.6% |
| Max Positive | 65.6% | 94.1% | 92.0% |
| Max Negative | -35.1% | -32.4% | -38.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/22/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/04/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/5/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Total Contribution ex-TAC | 191.00 Mil | 193.50 Mil | 196.00 Mil | 18.7% | Higher New | Actual: 163.00 Mil for Q3 2025 | |
| Q4 2025 Contribution ex-TAC attributable to CTV | 87.00 Mil | 88.00 Mil | 89.00 Mil | 22.2% | Higher New | Actual: 72.00 Mil for Q3 2025 | |
| Q4 2025 Contribution ex-TAC attributable to DV+ | 104.00 Mil | 105.50 Mil | 107.00 Mil | 15.9% | Higher New | Actual: 91.00 Mil for Q3 2025 | |
| Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA operating expenses | 112.00 Mil | 113.00 Mil | 114.00 Mil | 2.7% | Higher New | Actual: 110.00 Mil for Q3 2025 | |
| 2025 Total Contribution ex-TAC growth | 10.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 10.0% for 2025 | ||
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA growth | 15.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 15.0% for 2025 | ||
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA margin expansion | 1.8% | 1.8% | Higher New | ||||
| 2026 Total Contribution ex-TAC growth | 11.0% | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA margin | 35.0% | Higher New | |||||
Prior: Q2 2025 Earnings Reported 8/6/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q3 2025 Total Contribution ex-TAC | 161.00 Mil | 163.00 Mil | 165.00 Mil | ||||
| Q3 2025 Contribution ex-TAC attributable to CTV | 71.00 Mil | 72.00 Mil | 73.00 Mil | ||||
| Q3 2025 Contribution ex-TAC attributable to DV+ | 90.00 Mil | 91.00 Mil | 92.00 Mil | ||||
| Q3 2025 Adjusted EBITDA operating expenses | 109.00 Mil | 110.00 Mil | 111.00 Mil | ||||
| 2025 Total Contribution ex-TAC growth | 10.0% | ||||||
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA growth | 15.0% | ||||||
| 2025 Free Cash Flow growth | 19.0% | 19.5% | 20.0% | ||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Soroca, Adam Lee | CHIEF PRODUCT OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 12192025 | 17.00 | 16,656 | 283,152 | 5,543,938 | Form |
| 2 | Buckley, Sean Patrick | President, Revenue | Direct | Sell | 11262025 | 14.50 | 2,213 | 32,088 | 3,899,224 | Form |
| 3 | Spillane, Robert F | Direct | Sell | 11212025 | 14.22 | 12,500 | 177,750 | 766,700 | Form | |
| 4 | Buckley, Sean Patrick | President, Revenue | Direct | Sell | 11182025 | 13.36 | 4,426 | 59,131 | 3,622,230 | Form |
| 5 | Soroca, Adam Lee | CHIEF PRODUCT OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 11182025 | 13.23 | 10,857 | 143,638 | 4,314,488 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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