Omnicom (OMC)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $82.8 | Market Cap: $16.0 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Advertising
Omnicom (OMC)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $82.8Market Cap: $16.0 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Advertising
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.8%, FCF Yield is 11% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -52% | Key risksOMC key risks include [1] a high concentration of revenue, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Advertising, Social Media & Creator Economy, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.8%, FCF Yield is 11% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Advertising, Social Media & Creator Economy, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -52% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16% |
| Key risksOMC key risks include [1] a high concentration of revenue, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
OMC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Omnicom announced a 14% increase in its quarterly dividend, raising it to $0.80 per share, which boosted the annual payout to $3.20 per share. This news was a significant catalyst for stock appreciation in December 2025, contributing to a daily jump of 3.1% and a previous day's gain of 4.5%.
2. Multiple analyst firms reiterated positive ratings and raised price targets for Omnicom. Citi maintained a "Buy" rating with a $103 price target, and UBS raised its price target to $108 following the company's merger with IPG. Morgan Stanley also resumed coverage with an "Equalweight" rating and an $88 price target, noting the enhanced scale post-merger.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OMC Return | -20% | 22% | 16% | 10% | 2% | -4% | 23% |
| Peers Return | 6% | 97% | -15% | 16% | 7% | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OMC Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 54% | 67% | 42% | 56% | 54% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OMC Max Drawdown | -42% | -2% | -14% | -9% | -2% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -42% | -5% | -30% | -17% | -14% | -22% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: IPG, ACN, IBM, STGW. See OMC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | OMC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -31.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 231 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 176 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -25.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,555 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -59.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 146.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,541 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to ANGI, PSQH, SURG, EVON, KASH
In The Past
Omnicom's stock fell -31.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2022. A -31.2% loss requires a 45.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to OMC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.0% | -5.0% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.5% | -1.5% | -3.9% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.3% | 1.3% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -28.9% | -28.9% | -29.8% |
| 07312020 | OMC | Omnicom | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.7% | 41.1% | -13.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.0% | -5.0% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.5% | -1.5% | -3.9% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.3% | 1.3% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -28.9% | -28.9% | -29.8% |
| 07312020 | OMC | Omnicom | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.7% | 41.1% | -13.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Omnicom
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 178.22 |
| Mkt Cap | 16.0 |
| Rev LTM | 16,065 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,141 |
| FCF LTM | 1,668 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,297 |
| CFO LTM | 1,826 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,411 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 10.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 16.0 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/EBIT | 10.1 |
| P/E | 20.4 |
| P/CFO | 9.4 |
| Total Yield | 7.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.3% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 9.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 11.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 14.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -12.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 13.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 10.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 1.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -24.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -60.8% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/21/2025 | 3.2% | -2.3% | -8.5% |
| 7/15/2025 | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% |
| 4/15/2025 | -7.3% | -4.7% | -0.7% |
| 2/4/2025 | -2.3% | -5.2% | -4.9% |
| 10/15/2024 | 1.4% | -2.9% | -0.7% |
| 7/16/2024 | -4.0% | -3.2% | -0.9% |
| 4/16/2024 | 1.6% | 3.6% | 7.4% |
| 2/6/2024 | -3.0% | -4.3% | 4.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| # Negative | 12 | 14 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 3.6% | 3.5% | 8.0% |
| Median Negative | -4.1% | -3.6% | -3.3% |
| Max Positive | 14.2% | 9.5% | 25.8% |
| Max Negative | -10.4% | -15.6% | -18.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10222025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7162025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4162025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2052025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10162024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7172024 | null 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4172024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2072024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10182023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7192023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4192023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2082023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10192022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7202022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4202022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2092022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |