Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.8%, FCF Yield is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -52%
Key risks
OMC key risks include [1] a high concentration of revenue, Show more.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Advertising, Social Media & Creator Economy, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.8%, FCF Yield is 11%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Advertising, Social Media & Creator Economy, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -52%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
6 Key risks
OMC key risks include [1] a high concentration of revenue, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OMC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Omnicom announced a 14% increase in its quarterly dividend, raising it to $0.80 per share, which boosted the annual payout to $3.20 per share. This news was a significant catalyst for stock appreciation in December 2025, contributing to a daily jump of 3.1% and a previous day's gain of 4.5%.

2. Multiple analyst firms reiterated positive ratings and raised price targets for Omnicom. Citi maintained a "Buy" rating with a $103 price target, and UBS raised its price target to $108 following the company's merger with IPG. Morgan Stanley also resumed coverage with an "Equalweight" rating and an $88 price target, noting the enhanced scale post-merger.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OMC Return-20%22%16%10%2%-4%23%
Peers Return6%97%-15%16%7%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OMC Win Rate42%50%58%58%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate54%67%42%56%54%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OMC Max Drawdown-42%-2%-14%-9%-2%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-42%-5%-30%-17%-14%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: IPG, ACN, IBM, STGW. See OMC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOMCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-31.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven231 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven176 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,555 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-59.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven146.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,541 days1,480 days

Compare to ANGI, PSQH, SURG, EVON, KASH


In The Past

Omnicom's stock fell -31.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2022. A -31.2% loss requires a 45.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Omnicom (OMC)

Better Bets than Omnicom (OMC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OMC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.0%-5.0%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.5%-1.5%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.3%1.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.9%-28.9%-29.8%
OMC_7312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy07312020OMCOmnicomDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
18.7%41.1%-13.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.0%-5.0%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.5%-1.5%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.3%1.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.9%-28.9%-29.8%
OMC_7312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy07312020OMCOmnicomDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
18.7%41.1%-13.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Omnicom

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OMCIPGACNIBMSTGWMedian
NameOmnicom Interpub.AccentureInternat.Stagwell  
Mkt Price82.70-273.74303.325.31178.22
Mkt Cap16.09.0170.5283.31.416.0
Rev LTM16,06510,34569,67365,4022,89016,065
Op Inc LTM2,1411,45010,22611,5441462,141
FCF LTM1,66884010,87411,8541531,668
FCF 3Y Avg1,2977909,49511,7531171,297
CFO LTM1,82695911,47413,4832431,826
CFO 3Y Avg1,41194810,04313,4981761,411

Growth & Margins

OMCIPGACNIBMSTGWMedian
NameOmnicom Interpub.AccentureInternat.Stagwell  
Rev Chg LTM4.1%-5.2%7.4%4.5%6.8%4.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.0%-1.3%4.2%2.6%3.7%3.7%
Rev Chg Q4.0%-6.4%7.3%9.1%4.5%4.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.0%-1.6%1.7%2.1%1.1%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM13.3%14.0%14.7%17.7%5.1%14.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg14.1%13.5%14.4%16.4%5.2%14.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%0.6%-0.7%0.6%0.6%0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM11.4%9.3%16.5%20.6%8.4%11.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.1%8.9%15.1%21.4%6.4%9.1%
FCF/Rev LTM10.4%8.1%15.6%18.1%5.3%10.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.4%7.4%14.3%18.6%4.3%8.4%

Valuation

OMCIPGACNIBMSTGWMedian
NameOmnicom Interpub.AccentureInternat.Stagwell  
Mkt Cap16.09.0170.5283.31.416.0
P/S1.00.92.24.00.51.0
P/EBIT7.29.714.623.210.110.1
P/E11.820.420.033.373.220.4
P/CFO8.79.413.419.55.99.4
Total Yield11.9%10.4%7.4%5.4%1.4%7.4%
Dividend Yield3.5%5.5%2.4%2.4%0.0%2.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.6%7.3%5.2%6.4%14.4%7.3%
D/E0.40.50.10.31.30.4
Net D/E0.20.3-0.00.21.20.2

Returns

OMCIPGACNIBMSTGWMedian
NameOmnicom Interpub.AccentureInternat.Stagwell  
1M Rtn13.2%-13.4%2.1%5.6%9.4%
3M Rtn8.0%-14.2%17.7%1.9%11.1%
6M Rtn20.2%--9.6%8.4%23.5%14.3%
12M Rtn-3.7%--21.8%35.9%-25.7%-12.8%
3Y Rtn18.3%-9.1%141.5%-21.4%13.7%
1M Excs Rtn12.5%-12.7%1.3%4.8%8.7%
3M Excs Rtn7.4%-13.7%13.7%-1.2%10.5%
6M Excs Rtn7.8%--22.0%-4.0%11.1%1.9%
12M Excs Rtn-16.3%--33.2%23.7%-38.2%-24.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-51.8%--69.8%58.4%-94.7%-60.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment14,69214,28914,28913,17114,954
Total14,69214,28914,28913,17114,954


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity30,206,990
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520255.1%
Average Daily Volume5,498,594
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.49
Basic Shares Quantity193,800,000
Short % of Basic Shares15.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/21/20253.2%-2.3%-8.5%
7/15/20254.6%6.3%8.0%
4/15/2025-7.3%-4.7%-0.7%
2/4/2025-2.3%-5.2%-4.9%
10/15/20241.4%-2.9%-0.7%
7/16/2024-4.0%-3.2%-0.9%
4/16/20241.6%3.6%7.4%
2/6/2024-3.0%-4.3%4.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1089
# Negative121413
Median Positive3.6%3.5%8.0%
Median Negative-4.1%-3.6%-3.3%
Max Positive14.2%9.5%25.8%
Max Negative-10.4%-15.6%-18.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251022202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025716202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025416202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024205202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241016202410-Q 9/30/2024
63020247172024null 6/30/2024
3312024417202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023207202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231018202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023719202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023419202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022208202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221019202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022720202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022420202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021209202210-K 12/31/2021