Omnicom (OMC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $71.03 | Market Cap: $13.8 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Advertising
Omnicom (OMC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $71.03Market Cap: $13.8 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Advertising
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Advertising, Social Media & Creator Economy, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, Show more. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.27, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Advertising, Social Media & Creator Economy, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.27, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
OMC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Omnicom's Third Quarter 2025 Reported Earnings Decline: Despite beating analyst expectations for adjusted earnings per share and revenue, Omnicom's reported operating income decreased by 11.7% to $530.1 million in Q3 2025 compared to the prior year, and net income fell by 11.6% to $341.3 million. This decline in reported GAAP metrics, influenced by merger-related costs, likely contributed to investor concern.
2. Completion of the Interpublic Group Acquisition: Omnicom completed its acquisition of The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. on November 26, 2025. While strategically aimed at creating the world's leading marketing and sales company with significant cost synergies, the immediate integration challenges and uncertainties inherent in such a large-scale merger likely weighed on investor sentiment.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OMC Return | -20% | 22% | 16% | 10% | 2% | -13% | 10% |
| Peers Return | 19% | 177% | 51% | -14% | -40% | -32% | 75% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OMC Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 22% | 30% | 58% | 42% | 36% | 37% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OMC Max Drawdown | -42% | -2% | -14% | -9% | -2% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -11% | -29% | -43% | -59% | -66% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ANGI, PSQH, SURG, EVON, KASH. See OMC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | OMC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -31.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 231 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 176 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -25.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1555 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -59.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 146.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1541 days | 1480 days |
Compare to ANGI, PSQH, SURG, EVON, KASH
In The Past
Omnicom's stock fell -31.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2022. A -31.2% loss requires a 45.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| How Does Omnicom Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | |||
| How Low Can Omnicom Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| Omnicom vs Interactive Brokers: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Better Bet Than OMC Stock: Pay Less Than Omnicom To Get More From IBKR, JEF | |||
| OMC Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Omnicom vs. Large Cap Stocks: Which Is A Better Investment? | Investment Theme Comparisons | ||
| Omnicom Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 6.2% in 2024 and 12.7% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average) | |||
| Omnicom (OMC) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Omnicom (OMC) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Omnicom (OMC) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Omnicom Stock Hits Key Support – Buying Opportunity? | November 26th, 2025 | ||
| How Does Omnicom Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | November 26th, 2025 | ||
| S&P 500 Movers | Winners: KEYS, BLDR, ALB | Losers: AMD, SJM, OMC | November 25th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to OMC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| 07312020 | OMC | Omnicom | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.7% | 41.1% | -13.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| 07312020 | OMC | Omnicom | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.7% | 41.1% | -13.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Omnicom
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Financials
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Valuation
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Returns
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Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10222025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7162025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4162025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2052025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10162024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7172024 | null 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4172024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2072024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10182023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7192023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4192023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2082023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10192022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7202022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4202022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2092022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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