Phillips 66 (PSX)


Market Price (10/31/2026): $283.0 | Market Cap: $110.4 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Phillips 66 (PSX)


Market Price (10/31/2026): $283.0
Market Cap: $110.4 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.7%, FCF Yield is 11%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 8.7 Bil

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 15 Bil, FCF LTM is 12 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Hydrogen Economy, Advanced Materials, and Electrification of Everything. Show more.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.9%, Dist 3Y High is -4.9%

Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 112%

Key risks
PSX key risks include [1] lower-than-expected financial performance in its refining segment due to margin compression and operational challenges, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.7%, FCF Yield is 11%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
2 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 8.7 Bil
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 15 Bil, FCF LTM is 12 Bil
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Hydrogen Economy, Advanced Materials, and Electrification of Everything. Show more.
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.9%, Dist 3Y High is -4.9%
7 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 112%
8 Key risks
PSX key risks include [1] lower-than-expected financial performance in its refining segment due to margin compression and operational challenges, Show more.

PSX in ETFs

Weight = PSX's share of each fund

SPY0.17%
VOO0.15%
IVV0.17%
VTI0.14%
ITOT0.15%
IWB0.16%
RSP0.21%
VTV0.39%
+34 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 10/30/2026

Phillips 66 (PSX) stock has gained about 70% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Exceptional Fiscal Q3 2026 Financial Performance Driven by Refining.

Phillips 66 reported adjusted earnings of $14.08 per share for fiscal Q3 2026 (ended September 30, 2026), significantly surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of $11.73 by $2.35. Revenue reached $50.54 billion, exceeding estimates by approximately 12.5%. This robust performance was primarily fueled by a substantial increase in realized refining margins, which surged to $38.00 per barrel in fiscal Q3 2026 from $24.08 per barrel in fiscal Q2 2026. The company also achieved a high crude utilization rate of 98% and a record 41% distillate yield in the quarter.

2. Favorable Macroeconomic Environment Supporting Refining Margins.

The period between July and October 2026 was characterized by a tight global oil supply and a significant deficit in global observed inventories, which were 509 million barrels below pre-war levels by the end of September 2026. Elevated crude prices, with Brent averaging $114 per barrel in September 2026 and reaching $123.10 a barrel by October 27, 2026, contributed to strong crack spreads. Persistent disruptions to global refinery utilization and product exports, including the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, exacerbated product market tightness and supported high refining margins for efficient operators like Phillips 66.

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Updated on 10/30/2026

Phillips 66 (PSX) stock has gained about 70% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Exceptional Fiscal Q3 2026 Financial Performance Driven by Refining.

Phillips 66 reported adjusted earnings of $14.08 per share for fiscal Q3 2026 (ended September 30, 2026), significantly surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of $11.73 by $2.35. Revenue reached $50.54 billion, exceeding estimates by approximately 12.5%. This robust performance was primarily fueled by a substantial increase in realized refining margins, which surged to $38.00 per barrel in fiscal Q3 2026 from $24.08 per barrel in fiscal Q2 2026. The company also achieved a high crude utilization rate of 98% and a record 41% distillate yield in the quarter.

2. Favorable Macroeconomic Environment Supporting Refining Margins.

The period between July and October 2026 was characterized by a tight global oil supply and a significant deficit in global observed inventories, which were 509 million barrels below pre-war levels by the end of September 2026. Elevated crude prices, with Brent averaging $114 per barrel in September 2026 and reaching $123.10 a barrel by October 27, 2026, contributed to strong crack spreads. Persistent disruptions to global refinery utilization and product exports, including the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, exacerbated product market tightness and supported high refining margins for efficient operators like Phillips 66.

3. Strong Shareholder Returns and Accelerated Debt Reduction.

Phillips 66 demonstrated strong financial discipline and commitment to shareholder value by returning $2.8 billion to shareholders in fiscal Q3 2026, comprising $2.3 billion in share repurchases and $504 million in dividends, including a second dividend increase for 2026. Concurrently, the company significantly reduced its total debt by $2.0 billion to $18.5 billion and net debt by $3.8 billion to $12.7 billion in fiscal Q3 2026. This led to achieving its 2027 net debt-to-capital ratio target of 26% ahead of schedule, enhancing investor confidence in the company's financial health.

4. Strategic Operational Excellence and Infrastructure Investments.

The company consistently highlighted its strong operating performance, with consistent high utilization rates across its refining network. Phillips 66 also advanced strategic initiatives aimed at optimizing its asset portfolio and enhancing value creation, particularly through efforts to unlock value across its Central Corridor and strengthen its West Coast advantage. Furthermore, the final investment decision for the Western Gateway Pipeline system signaled ongoing commitment to growth and infrastructure development, contributing to positive market sentiment.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 68.2% change in PSX stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/30/2026 was primarily driven by a 143.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)630202610302026Change
Stock Price ($)168.16282.8368.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)134,486168,19225.1%
Net Income Margin (%)3.1%7.5%143.9%
P/E Multiple16.48.9-45.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4023971.3%
Cumulative Contribution68.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2026 to 10/30/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PSX68.2% 
Market (SPY)1.2%-21.5%
Sector (XLE)31.8%70.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 57.2% change in PSX stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/30/2026 was primarily driven by a 124.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)331202610302026Change
Stock Price ($)179.91282.8357.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)132,376168,19227.1%
Net Income Margin (%)3.3%7.5%124.8%
P/E Multiple16.58.9-45.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4043971.7%
Cumulative Contribution57.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 10/30/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PSX57.2% 
Market (SPY)16.5%-26.9%
Sector (XLE)15.1%76.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 114.1% change in PSX stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/30/2026 was primarily driven by a 478.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)930202510302026Change
Stock Price ($)132.11282.83114.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)132,966168,19226.5%
Net Income Margin (%)1.3%7.5%478.7%
P/E Multiple31.38.9-71.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4073972.5%
Cumulative Contribution114.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 10/30/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PSX114.1% 
Market (SPY)14.4%-11.5%
Sector (XLE)60.3%76.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 159.9% change in PSX stock from 9/30/2023 to 10/30/2026 was primarily driven by a 97.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)930202310302026Change
Stock Price ($)108.83282.83159.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)154,720168,1928.7%
Net Income Margin (%)7.1%7.5%5.8%
P/E Multiple4.58.997.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)45439714.5%
Cumulative Contribution159.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2023 to 10/30/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PSX159.9% 
Market (SPY)82.9%30.4%
Sector (XLE)69.3%77.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
PSX Return9%50%33%-12%18%124%402%
Peers Return47%74%5%-6%24%120%591%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PSX Win Rate42%75%58%42%75%70% 
Peers Win Rate65%68%50%48%67%80% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PSX Max Drawdown-30%-32%-17%-34%-29%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-27%-25%-30%-24%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VLO, MPC, XOM, CVX, DINO. See PSX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/30/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventPSXS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-27.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven91 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-14.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven16.7%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven32 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-52.4%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven109.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven74 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-33.2%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.7%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven305 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-15.1%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.7%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven43 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-31.6%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.3%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven286 days15 days

Compare to VLO, MPC, XOM, CVX, DINO

In The Past

Phillips 66's stock fell -27.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 38.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventPSXS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-27.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven91 days79 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-52.4%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven109.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven74 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-33.2%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.7%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven305 days105 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-31.6%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.3%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven286 days15 days

Compare to VLO, MPC, XOM, CVX, DINO

In The Past

Phillips 66's stock fell -27.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 38.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Phillips 66 (PSX)

Phillips 66 (PSX) is an integrated energy manufacturing and logistics company. At its core, the company refines crude oil and other feedstocks into essential petroleum products like gasolines, distillates, and aviation fuels. These fuels are then marketed and sold primarily across the United States and Europe. Beyond traditional refining, Phillips 66 also manufactures and markets specialized products such as base oils and lubricants.

The company plays a crucial role in the energy supply chain through its Midstream operations, which involve transporting crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). This segment also provides vital storage and terminaling services, and processes NGLs for various markets. Additionally, Phillips 66's Chemicals segment produces a diverse portfolio of petrochemicals, including ethylene, aromatics, and specialty chemicals, serving a wide array of industrial manufacturers.

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  • Think of it as a combination of a major oil refiner (like Valero Energy), a large chemical manufacturer (like Dow Chemical), and an extensive energy pipeline operator (like Kinder Morgan).
  • It's similar to the refining, chemicals, and logistics divisions of an integrated oil giant such as ExxonMobil or Shell, but without the business of drilling for oil and gas.

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  • Crude Oil and Refined Product Midstream Services: These services encompass the transportation, terminaling, and storage of crude oil, other feedstocks, and refined petroleum products.
  • Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs) Services: The company provides comprehensive services including the transportation, storage, fractionation, export, and marketing of natural gas liquids.
  • Natural Gas Midstream Services: This involves the gathering, processing, transportation, and marketing of natural gas.
  • Petrochemicals: Phillips 66 produces and markets a range of chemical products, including ethylene, olefins, aromatics, styrenics, and various specialty chemicals.
  • Refined Petroleum Products: The company refines crude oil into various fuels such as gasolines, distillates, aviation fuels, and renewable fuels.
  • Specialty Lubricants and Base Oils: Phillips 66 manufactures and markets specialty products, including base oils and lubricants.

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Major Customers of Phillips 66 (PSX)

Phillips 66 primarily sells its products and services to other companies (B2B) rather than directly to individual consumers. Given the diversified nature of its operations across Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, and Marketing and Specialties segments, its major customers span various industrial and commercial sectors. The company does not publicly disclose specific major customer names due to the broad and varied nature of its sales relationships. Instead, its customer base can be categorized as follows:

  • Fuel Distributors, Marketers, and Commercial End-Users: This category includes companies that purchase refined petroleum products (such as gasolines, distillates, and aviation fuels) in bulk for distribution to retail stations (both branded and independent), as well as direct commercial and industrial users like airlines, trucking companies, and industrial operations.
  • Petrochemical and Industrial Manufacturers: These are companies across various industries (e.g., plastics, automotive, packaging, construction, agriculture) that purchase Phillips 66's chemical products (like ethylene, olefins, aromatics, styrenics, and specialty chemicals) and base oils as feedstocks and raw materials for their own manufacturing processes.
  • Other Energy Companies: This category encompasses oil and natural gas producers, other refiners, and petrochemical companies that utilize Phillips 66's Midstream services for the transportation, storage, fractionation, and processing of crude oil, natural gas liquids, natural gas, and refined petroleum products.

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Mark Lashier
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Mark Lashier is the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Phillips 66. He has over 30 years of experience in executive leadership roles within the energy and petrochemical industries. Lashier became Chairman and CEO of Phillips 66 in July 2022, following his role as President and CEO. Before joining Phillips 66, he served as President and CEO of Chevron Phillips Chemical Company LLC (CPChem), a joint venture between Phillips 66 and Chevron, from 2017 to 2021. His tenure at CPChem also included leadership positions such as Executive Vice President of Olefins and Polyolefins, Senior Vice President of Specialties, Aromatics and Styrenics, Vice President of Corporate Planning and Development, Project Director for Saudi Arabia, and Regional Manager in Asia. Lashier began his career at Phillips Petroleum as an Associate Research Engineer and holds 13 U.S. patents.

Kevin J. Mitchell
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Kevin J. Mitchell is the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for Phillips 66. He is responsible for investor relations, treasury, financial planning & analysis, accounting, auditing, tax, commercial risk, business transformation, and corporate strategy & development functions. Mitchell brings over 30 years of experience in finance roles within the oil and gas industry. He joined Phillips 66 in September 2014 as Vice President, Investor Relations. Prior to Phillips 66, he held positions at ConocoPhillips, including General Auditor and Vice President, Exploration and Production — Strategy, Administration and Technical Services. Mitchell joined Conoco in 1991, where he gained experience in various finance and accounting roles, such as General Manager of Upstream Finance, Strategy and Planning; Vice President of Finance and Administration for ConocoPhillips Alaska; and Manager of Treasury Services. He is a certified internal auditor and a fellow with the Chartered Institute of Management Accountants. Mitchell also serves on the board of directors for Phillips 66 Partners, Chevron Phillips Chemical Company, and DCP Midstream, LLC.

Don Baldridge
Executive Vice President, Midstream and Chemicals

Don Baldridge is Executive Vice President of Midstream and Chemicals for Phillips 66. He has more than 25 years of experience in areas such as strategy, operations, commercial, and acquisition assessment. Baldridge joined Phillips 66 in 2023 as part of the acquisition of DCP Midstream.

Brian Mandell
Executive Vice President, Marketing and Commercial

Brian Mandell is Executive Vice President of Marketing and Commercial for Phillips 66. He possesses over 30 years of experience across various Marketing, Commercial, and Midstream roles. His previous roles at Phillips 66 include Senior Vice President, Commercial; President, Global Marketing; and Global Trading Lead, Clean Products, Commercial. Before joining Phillips 66 in May 2012, Mandell worked for ConocoPhillips.

Tandra Perkins
Executive Vice President, Chief Digital and Administrative Officer

Tandra Perkins is Executive Vice President, Chief Digital and Administrative Officer for Phillips 66. She has 30 years of professional experience spanning multiple industries, including energy and chemicals, industrial manufacturing, and health care. At Phillips 66, Perkins oversees enabling services that support the enterprise, such as Digital Transformation and IT, Energy Research and Innovation, Procurement, Real Estate and Facilities, Agile Enterprise Services, and Executive Services.

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The public company Phillips 66 (PSX) faces several key risks inherent to the energy manufacturing and logistics industry.

  1. Global Energy Transition and Decarbonization Efforts

    Phillips 66's core business, particularly its Refining and Marketing & Specialties segments, faces a significant long-term risk from the accelerating global energy transition. This includes the potential for declining demand for fossil fuels due to the increasing adoption of electric vehicles (EVs), advancements in renewable energy, and stricter environmental regulations aimed at reducing carbon emissions. This trend could lead to "long-term gasoline demand erosion from EV adoption" and "potential carbon pricing that could raise operating costs and reduce refining margins". The company is adapting by diversifying into lower-carbon fuels like renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel.

  2. Commodity Price Volatility

    The profitability of Phillips 66 is highly sensitive to fluctuations in commodity prices. "Refining margins and commodity prices are subject to significant fluctuations", impacting its Refining, Midstream, Chemicals, and Marketing & Specialties segments. Volatility in crude oil prices (input costs), natural gas prices (feedstock for chemicals and operational fuel), and refined product prices can compress margins and affect earnings across the business. "Crack spread volatility" and "cyclical chemical demand swings" are specific concerns that can affect the company's financial stability.

  3. Regulatory and Environmental Pressures

    Operating in the energy and chemical sectors subjects Phillips 66 to extensive and evolving regulatory and environmental pressures. The company "is subject to stringent environmental regulations and potential litigation related to climate change". Compliance with these regulations can result in increased operational costs, while litigation can lead to financial liabilities and reputational damage. "Evolving environmental policies and regulatory changes pose ongoing threats" to its operations and financial performance.

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The accelerated global transition to renewable energy sources and electric vehicles poses a clear emerging threat by progressively reducing demand for traditional refined petroleum products, aviation fuels, and associated midstream services.

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Phillips 66 (PSX) operates within several significant addressable markets for its main products and services:

  • Refined Petroleum Products: The global refined petroleum products market size was estimated at approximately USD 3.13 trillion in 2025. In the United States, the petroleum refining market was valued at USD 793.3 billion in 2024. These products include gasolines, distillates, aviation fuels, and renewable fuels.
  • Petrochemicals: The global petrochemicals market size was estimated at USD 700.53 billion in 2025. For the United States specifically, the petrochemicals market size was approximately USD 114.44 billion in 2025. This market encompasses products such as ethylene, olefins, aromatics, and styrenics.
  • Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs): The global natural gas liquids market size was estimated at USD 25.19 billion in 2025. In the United States, the natural gas liquid market size was estimated at USD 5.9 billion in 2024. NGLs are transported, stored, fractionated, exported, and marketed by the company.
  • Base Oils: The global base oil market size was valued at USD 44.20 billion in 2025. The U.S. base oil market generated USD 8.7 billion in revenue in 2023.
  • Lubricants: The global lubricants market size was USD 178.14 billion in 2025. The U.S. lubricants market size was valued at USD 41.71 billion in 2024.

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Phillips 66 (PSX) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several strategic initiatives across its segments:

  1. Midstream Segment Expansion and Integration: Phillips 66 is significantly expanding its Midstream operations through strategic acquisitions and organic projects. Key initiatives include increased interest in DCP Midstream and the acquisition of Pinnacle Midstream, with an adjacent processing plant commencing operations in mid-2025. The acquisition of EPIC NGL, completed in January 2025, and expansion projects such as the Dos Picos II NGL fractionator, expected online in Q3 2025, are projected to boost Midstream adjusted EBITDA to $4.5 billion by 2027. The company has allocated $1.1 billion for its Midstream segment, including $700 million for growth projects like the Iron Mesa gas processing plant and the Coastal Bend NGL pipeline expansion. These expansions and integrations are anticipated to increase volumes and diversify earnings, contributing to a targeted $1 billion mid-cycle adjusted EBITDA growth from Midstream and Chemicals by 2027.
  2. Renewable Fuels Production Growth: The company is strategically shifting towards renewable fuels, with its Rodeo Renewable Energy Complex serving as a key growth driver. Projects like "Rodeo Renewed" are focused on new product lines, specifically renewable diesel and other renewable products, which are expected to contribute to top-line revenue as production scales up. The Rodeo renewable energy complex has reached full operating rates, processing approximately 50,000 barrels per day of renewable feedstocks. Additionally, Phillips 66 is investing in renewable energy, as exemplified by its Rodeo Renewable Energy Complex, which includes its first solar project commissioned in 2025.
  3. Optimized Refining Operations and Higher-Value Product Yields: Phillips 66 is enhancing its refining performance by focusing on increased reliability, improved market capture, and cost reduction, alongside an emphasis on higher clean product yields. The company has achieved high utilization rates in its refining segment, reaching 99% in Q3 2024, the highest since 2018. An improved clean product yield, which stands at 87% year-to-date from 84% three years ago, signifies the production of more valuable products from each barrel of crude processed, thereby increasing revenue. Refining capacity increased by about 35,000 barrels per day across the system, and clean product yields reached record levels in 2025, with controllable costs trending toward the $5.50 per barrel target.
  4. Growth in Chemicals Segment: The Chemicals segment is expected to be a contributor to future revenue growth, forming part of the combined Midstream and Chemicals segment's target of $1 billion in mid-cycle adjusted EBITDA growth by 2027. Joint venture petrochemical projects are slated for 2026 startups, which will further enhance integrated operations. Strategic capital investments are being directed towards the Chemicals segment to support these growth initiatives.

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<h3>Capital Allocation Decisions (Last 3-5 Years)</h3> <ul> <li><strong>Share Repurchases</strong></li> <ul> <li>Phillips 66 executed share repurchases of $4.014 billion in 2023 and $3.451 billion in 2024.</li> <li>The company reported $267 million in share buybacks for the quarter ending September 30, 2025.</li> <li>Since July 2022, Phillips 66 has returned over $14 billion to shareholders, which includes share repurchases.</li> </ul> <li><strong>Share Issuance</strong></li> <ul> <li>Phillips 66 has consistently reduced its outstanding shares, with declines of 4.33% in 2023, 6.91% in 2024, and 3.28% in 2025, indicating no significant share issuances during this period.</li> </ul> <li><strong>Outbound Investments</strong></li> <ul> <li>In FY 2025, Phillips 66 completed $3.5 billion in acquisitions (net of cash acquired), which included a $2.2 billion Coastal Bend midstream acquisition.</li> <li>The company acquired an additional 50% interest in WRB Refining LP from Cenovus Energy Inc for $1.4 billion in Q3 2025, gaining full ownership of the Wood River and Borger refineries.</li> <li>Phillips 66's proportionate share of capital spending for its Chevron Phillips Chemical Company LLC (CPChem) joint venture is expected to be $680 million in 2026, funding world-scale petrochemical facilities.</li> </ul> <li><strong>Capital Expenditures</strong></li> <ul> <li>Capital expenditures averaged $1.999 billion annually from 2021 to 2025, peaking at $2.233 billion in 2025.</li> <li>For 2026, Phillips 66 announced a capital budget of $2.4 billion, comprising $1.1 billion for sustaining capital and $1.3 billion for growth capital.</li> <li>The 2026 growth capital is primarily focused on the NGL value chain within the Midstream segment and high-return refining projects, including expanding processing plants and pipelines, and improvements at the Humber refinery.</li> </ul> </ul>

Better Bets vs. Phillips 66 (PSX)

Peer Outperformance in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

PSX has outperformed 50% of its 10 Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it is VLO. Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing ranks 1st of 7 industries in Energy by median 5Y return. That makes it one of the strongest corners of the sector.
Share of Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing constituents that PSX has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
60%
of 10 industry peers · 112.4% return
3Y
70%
of 10 industry peers · 173.7% return
5Y
50%
of 10 industry peers · 353.5% return
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing peers with revenue growth within 4pp of PSX's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
PSX Phillips 66 5.2% 8.9x 112.4%173.7%353.5% —
VLO Valero Energy 1.7% 8.8x 139.9%241.7%503.3% +150pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Energy sector, ranked by 5Y. Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing is PSX's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing ← 11 95.5%132.3%353.5% MPC 654% · VLO 503% · PBF 500%
Integrated Oil & Gas 7 57.0%88.4%211.1% IMO 361% · SU 275% · XOM 246%
Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation 18 48.0%125.0%199.7% INSW 975% · LPG 874% · TRGP 542%
Oil & Gas Drilling 7 77.5%22.8%96.6% VAL 199% · NE 130% · RIG 97%
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services 33 28.1%32.2%81.4% SEI 1004% · FTI 853% · TDW 620%
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production 51 51.0%14.5%60.0% BTE 1005% · PR 320% · CNQ 238%
Coal & Consumable Fuels 14 -31.6%3.7%40.4% CNR 249% · CCJ 221% · UEC 107%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PSXVLOMPCXOMCVXDINOMedian
NamePhillips.Valero E.Marathon.Exxon Mo.Chevron HF Sincl. 
Mkt Price283.00399.00444.73187.10235.54115.20259.27
Mkt Cap112.4113.7128.5781.0464.020.3121.1
Rev LTM168,192153,327153,577361,060208,71134,834160,884
Op Inc LTM12,45717,57511,53438,72325,8184,78815,016
FCF LTM12,35815,07812,89930,55327,0123,19913,988
FCF 3Y Avg5,6358,3438,45730,69620,4181,6458,400
CFO LTM15,02815,95917,12659,72745,3213,75916,542
CFO 3Y Avg7,8739,21711,48156,29937,5622,13510,349

Growth & Margins

PSXVLOMPCXOMCVXDINOMedian
NamePhillips.Valero E.Marathon.Exxon Mo.Chevron HF Sincl. 
Rev Chg LTM27.5%24.6%15.0%9.6%11.2%29.5%19.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.2%1.7%-0.1%-0.0%-0.5%3.1%0.8%
Rev Chg Q46.4%43.3%53.8%44.1%51.4%49.7%48.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM10.5%10.0%13.4%10.8%12.3%11.5%11.1%
Op Inc Chg LTM625.1%469.7%178.3%3.1%64.1%582.1%324.0%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg171.9%121.9%26.6%-12.8%0.0%188.8%74.2%
Op Mgn LTM7.4%11.5%7.5%10.7%12.4%13.7%11.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.7%5.9%5.6%11.4%10.9%5.9%5.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.8%4.3%2.7%1.7%4.0%5.3%3.4%
CFO/Rev LTM8.9%10.4%11.2%16.5%21.7%10.8%11.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg5.0%6.5%7.8%16.4%18.9%6.7%7.2%
FCF/Rev LTM7.3%9.8%8.4%8.5%12.9%9.2%8.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.5%5.8%5.7%8.9%10.2%5.1%5.8%

Valuation

PSXVLOMPCXOMCVXDINOMedian
NamePhillips.Valero E.Marathon.Exxon Mo.Chevron HF Sincl. 
Mkt Cap112.4113.7128.5781.0464.020.3121.1
P/S0.70.70.82.22.20.60.8
P/Op Inc9.06.511.120.218.04.210.1
P/EBIT6.66.39.016.914.54.27.8
P/E8.98.815.023.822.55.712.0
P/CFO7.57.17.513.110.25.47.5
Total Yield13.0%12.6%7.6%6.4%7.4%19.2%10.1%
Dividend Yield1.8%1.2%0.9%2.2%3.0%1.8%1.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.8%11.7%13.1%6.0%6.5%12.1%9.3%
D/E0.20.10.30.10.10.20.1
Net D/E0.10.00.20.00.1-0.00.1

Returns

PSXVLOMPCXOMCVXDINOMedian
NamePhillips.Valero E.Marathon.Exxon Mo.Chevron HF Sincl. 
1M Rtn10.8%2.9%12.5%15.0%15.3%7.3%11.7%
3M Rtn34.4%27.5%40.9%21.1%20.7%26.7%27.1%
6M Rtn62.6%63.0%81.9%24.1%25.8%68.7%62.8%
12M Rtn112.6%139.5%131.1%67.9%59.5%125.5%119.0%
3Y Rtn173.9%241.2%212.0%95.1%83.2%134.7%154.3%
1M Excs Rtn6.1%-3.3%4.8%13.2%12.7%1.2%5.5%
3M Excs Rtn36.1%27.9%43.4%19.6%21.1%28.9%28.4%
6M Excs Rtn55.5%55.9%74.8%17.0%18.7%61.6%55.7%
12M Excs Rtn98.8%126.4%118.6%53.0%45.5%108.0%103.4%
3Y Excs Rtn97.1%156.7%135.3%5.2%-13.7%56.5%76.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Marketing and Specialties (M&S)85,89792,44798,931114,71375,583
Refining74,89984,96492,226110,04175,096
Midstream21,17518,78718,60419,12111,714
Renewable Fuels6,1785,5624,9463,438 
Corporate and Other4750484432
Chemicals000 3
Consolidating Adjustments-55,820-58,657-67,356-77,367 
Intersegment eliminations    -50,952
Total132,376143,153147,399169,990111,476


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20172016201520142013
Corporate and Other2,169-471-498-393-431
Refining1,4043742,5551,7711,747
Marketing and Specialties (M&S)6868911,1871,034894
Chemicals5255839621,137986
Midstream46417874507469
Discontinued Operations 0 70661
Total5,2481,5554,2804,7623,726


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Midstream30,17228,33429,05230,17915,546
Refining19,43519,59921,01321,00920,338
Marketing and Specialties (M&S)10,0599,79910,8349,8128,505
Chemicals7,8997,8427,3576,7856,453
Renewable Fuels3,1973,1422,012715 
Corporate and Other2,9183,8665,2337,9424,752
Total73,68072,58275,50176,44255,594


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$282.83 
Market Cap ($ Bil)112.3 
First Trading Date04/12/2012 
Distance from 52W High-4.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$266.25$197.59
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA6.2%43.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility33.1%32.4%
Downside Capture-214.30-112.49
Upside Capture-27.69-10.11
Correlation (S&P 500)-18.0%-15.1%
PSX Betas & Captures as of 9/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.49-0.69-0.55-0.70-0.250.65
Up Beta-3.25-1.40-0.41-1.17-0.530.78
Down Beta-1.520.640.420.350.611.20
Up Capture12%4%19%-20%-2%14%
Bmk +ve Days6162766132424
Stock +ve Days10213770132403
Down Capture-63%-220%-309%-233%-187%28%
Bmk -ve Days16263760120328
Stock -ve Days12212756120348

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PSX
PSX111.6%32.4%2.34-
Sector ETF (XLE)63.0%22.3%2.1076.8%
Equity (SPY)10.9%12.8%0.52-15.6%
Gold (GLD)-2.0%28.6%-0.08-3.0%
Commodities (DBC)48.2%20.6%1.7944.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)10.2%13.7%0.45-5.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-30.3%43.5%-0.71-6.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PSX
PSX32.6%33.0%0.90-
Sector ETF (XLE)23.4%25.5%0.8079.6%
Equity (SPY)12.2%17.1%0.5333.2%
Gold (GLD)16.2%19.0%0.684.4%
Commodities (DBC)9.2%19.5%0.3548.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.9%18.9%-0.0625.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.8%51.6%0.288.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PSX
PSX17.8%35.7%0.56-
Sector ETF (XLE)11.5%29.6%0.4282.3%
Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7248.8%
Gold (GLD)11.4%16.5%0.560.8%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%18.1%0.3746.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.3%20.7%0.2141.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)61.7%66.2%1.0110.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 930202623.7%
Average Daily Volume2.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity397.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.7%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 10/31/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/20261.9%  
8/5/2026-1.6%9.0%25.0%
4/6/2026-1.5%-9.5%1.7%
2/4/20264.5%6.2%13.3%
10/29/20253.2%1.6%1.8%
7/25/20250.5%-0.6%5.6%
4/25/2025-0.7%-1.2%9.1%
1/31/2025-2.5%-0.0%4.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111117
# Negative13126
Median Positive1.9%1.6%5.6%
Median Negative-2.5%-5.8%-2.8%
Max Positive4.8%9.0%33.8%
Max Negative-5.8%-9.5%-8.5%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/20261.9%  
8/5/2026-1.6%9.0%25.0%
4/6/2026-1.5%-9.5%1.7%
2/4/20264.5%6.2%13.3%
10/29/20253.2%1.6%1.8%
7/25/20250.5%-0.6%5.6%
4/25/2025-0.7%-1.2%9.1%
1/31/2025-2.5%-0.0%4.4%
10/29/2024-4.4%-6.1%5.1%
7/30/20244.8%-6.2%-3.5%
4/26/2024-3.7%-8.5%-8.5%
10/27/20230.8%7.3%8.5%
8/2/2023-2.8%0.5%2.3%
5/3/20231.3%-0.8%-0.7%
1/31/2023-5.8%-7.8%1.8%
11/1/20223.0%1.1%4.9%
7/29/20221.1%-6.1%5.9%
4/29/2022-0.5%8.4%17.8%
1/28/2022-1.8%1.6%-0.8%
10/29/2021-2.6%0.2%-7.9%
8/3/20213.5%-0.6%-2.0%
4/5/2021-1.5%-5.4%1.2%
1/29/2021-5.1%0.7%19.9%
10/30/20201.5%4.8%33.8%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111117
# Negative13126
Median Positive1.9%1.6%5.6%
Median Negative-2.5%-5.8%-2.8%
Max Positive4.8%9.0%33.8%
Max Negative-5.8%-9.5%-8.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202610/28/202610-Q
06/30/202608/05/202610-Q
03/31/202604/29/202610-Q
12/31/202502/20/202610-K
09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
06/30/202507/28/202510-Q
03/31/202504/25/202510-Q
12/31/202402/21/202510-K
09/30/202410/29/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202404/29/202410-Q
12/31/202302/21/202410-K
09/30/202311/03/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/22/202310-K
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202610/28/202610-Q
06/30/202608/05/202610-Q
03/31/202604/29/202610-Q
12/31/202502/20/202610-K
09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
06/30/202507/28/202510-Q
03/31/202504/25/202510-Q
12/31/202402/21/202510-K
09/30/202410/29/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202404/29/202410-Q
12/31/202302/21/202410-K
09/30/202311/03/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/22/202310-K
09/30/202211/09/202210-Q
06/30/202207/29/202210-Q
03/31/202204/29/202210-Q
12/31/202102/18/202210-K
09/30/202110/29/202110-Q
06/30/202108/03/202110-Q
03/31/202104/30/202110-Q
12/31/202002/24/202110-K
09/30/202010/30/202010-Q
06/30/202007/31/202010-Q
03/31/202005/01/202010-Q
12/31/201902/21/202010-K

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 10/29/2026

Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 10/28/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Return of Operating Cash Flow to ShareholdersReported0.50.5    
2027 Coastal Bend Expansion Full Ramp-Up CapacityReported 350    


Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2027 Full OperationsReported      

Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2027 Total Debt TargetReported 17.00 Bil    

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/4/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Capital BudgetReported 2.40 Bil    
2026 Sustaining CapitalReported 1.10 Bil    
2026 Organic Growth CapitalReported 1.3E11%    

Insider Activity

Updated 9/17/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Harbison, Richard GEVP, RefiningDirectSell8132026223.7652,10011,658,1208,747,842Form
2Mandell, BrianExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell8122026215.0030,0006,450,00013,242,907Form
3Mandell, BrianExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell8122026214.023,300706,26613,182,544Form
4Davis, Lisa Ann by TrustSell8112026207.731,515314,7131,194,870Form
5Kluppel, Ann MSVP and ControllerDirectSell8112026212.506,0341,282,2365,397,757Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Harbison, Richard GEVP, RefiningDirectSell8132026223.7652,10011,658,1208,747,842Form
2Mandell, BrianExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell8122026215.0030,0006,450,00013,242,907Form
3Mandell, BrianExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell8122026214.023,300706,26613,182,544Form
4Davis, Lisa Ann by TrustSell8112026207.731,515314,7131,194,870Form
5Kluppel, Ann MSVP and ControllerDirectSell8112026212.506,0341,282,2365,397,757Form
6Kluppel, Ann MSVP and ControllerDirectSell8112026205.001,800369,0005,207,205Form
7Sutherland, Vanessa AllenEVP, GC and SecretaryDirectSell72120262110482.003,5237,435,228,08658,116,342,834Form
8Sutherland, Vanessa AllenEVP, GC and SecretaryDirectSell7212026211.01563118,7986,553,915Form
9Mitchell, Kevin JExec. VP and CFODirectSell7132026190.0311,0212,094,28518,504,050Form
10Mitchell, Kevin JExec. VP and CFODirectSell5122026171.56600102,93616,705,827Form
11Mitchell, Kevin JExec. VP and CFODirectSell5122026170.0029,4004,998,14716,554,407Form
12Meyers, Kevin Omar DirectBuy5072026173.1217530,2972,908,327Form
13Mitchell, Kevin JExec. VP and CFODirectSell4012026190.0715,6292,970,54618,507,896Form
14Meyers, Kevin Omar DirectBuy3172026173.2017530,3102,879,277Form
15Davis, Lisa Ann DirectSell3162026174.373,800662,6171,517,250Form
16Mandell, BrianExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell3162026169.5342,8007,255,75610,442,002Form
17Mitchell, Kevin JExec. VP and CFODirectSell3062026168.2216,8562,835,56916,380,893Form
18Mitchell, Kevin JExec. VP and CFODirectSell3062026165.034,944815,89916,069,776Form
19Baldridge, DonExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell2192026160.007,5001,200,0006,158,080Form
20Sutherland, Vanessa AllenEVP, GC and SecretaryDirectSell2052026150.004,394659,1003,869,850Form
21Mandell, BrianExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell12012025140.0425,5003,571,0207,959,582Form
22Mandell, BrianExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell11202025137.6826,2003,607,1657,825,335Form
23Mitchell, Kevin JExec. VP and CFODirectSell11122025138.0030,0004,140,00012,388,398Form
24Sutherland, Vanessa AllenEVP, GC and SecretaryDirectSell9292025140.004,393615,0204,842,180Form
25Sutherland, Vanessa AllenEVP, GC and SecretaryDirectSell9092025135.004,393593,0555,262,300Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Oct 31, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Elliott Investment Management L.P.$3.5 Bil22.0%19Hold13F
Eldred Rock Partners, LLC$16.7 Mil4.3%31Hold13F
Corigliano Investment Advisers, LLC$5.8 Mil2.3%37New13F
Schwerin Boyle Capital Management Inc$16.7 Mil2.1%47Hold13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Corigliano Investment Advisers, LLC$5.8 Mil2.3%37New13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Elliott Investment Management L.P.$3.5 Bil22.0%19Hold13F
Eldred Rock Partners, LLC$16.7 Mil4.3%31Hold13F
Schwerin Boyle Capital Management Inc$16.7 Mil2.1%47Hold13F
Corigliano Investment Advisers, LLC$5.8 Mil2.3%37New13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 10/30/2026