Tearsheet

Core Natural Resources (CNR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $82.75 | Market Cap: $4.3 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Coal & Consumable Fuels

Core Natural Resources (CNR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $82.75
Market Cap: $4.3 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Coal & Consumable Fuels

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 65%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -84 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.3%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Rare Earth Elements, and Resource Efficiency Solutions.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 13x
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.5%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 65%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Rare Earth Elements, and Resource Efficiency Solutions.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -84 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.3%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 13x
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.5%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CNR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Core Natural Resources (symbol: CNR) stock moved during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Analyst Upgrades and Increased Price Targets.

Between October 3 and October 10, 2025, Core Natural Resources' stock surged by 12.45%, notably influenced by Jefferies upgrading the stock from 'Hold' to 'Buy' and increasing its price target from $90 to $125. Additionally, UBS analysts raised their price target for CNR from $89 to $105.5, maintaining a 'Buy' rating. 2. Surge in Thermal Coal Demand and Supportive Government Policies.

The increase in America's thermal coal demand by 15% over the preceding year, coupled with the White House's plans to open 13 million acres of federal lands for coal mining and allocate $625 million to expand coal-based power generation, significantly bolstered investor confidence. Furthermore, the Environmental Protection Agency was instructed to ease regulations on water and air pollution to extend the operational lifespans of coal power plants.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CNR Return-50%215%201%61%7%-27%491%
Peers Return11%49%-10%68%8%-13%132%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CNR Win Rate33%75%58%58%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate58%60%43%58%55%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CNR Max Drawdown-75%-6%-9%-20%-24%-40% 
Peers Max Drawdown-45%-2%-35%-8%-10%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MAS, SSD, UFPI, GFF, APOG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCNRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-42.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven81 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-74.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven297.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven422 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-75.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven300.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven882 days120 days

Compare to MAS, SSD, UFPI, GFF, APOG


In The Past

Core Natural Resources's stock fell -42.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/18/2021. A -42.5% loss requires a 74.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Core Natural Resources (CNR)

Better Bets than Core Natural Resources (CNR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CNR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Core Natural Resources

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CNRMASSSDUFPIGFFAPOGMedian
NameCore Nat.Masco Simpson .UFP Indu.Griffon Apogee E. 
Mkt Price82.6864.62170.8892.7274.5738.1278.62
Mkt Cap4.313.57.15.23.40.84.7
Rev LTM3,6807,5972,3116,4532,5171,3923,099
Op Inc LTM-841,29144739644369420
FCF LTM7684623927229467255
FCF 3Y Avg366935263541338115352
CFO LTM3201,01141954435598387
CFO 3Y Avg5611,137402767398157481

Growth & Margins

CNRMASSSDUFPIGFFAPOGMedian
NameCore Nat.Masco Simpson .UFP Indu.Griffon Apogee E. 
Rev Chg LTM65.4%-3.6%4.3%-3.9%-3.4%1.2%-1.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg26.2%-4.7%3.9%-12.5%-2.4%0.1%-1.2%
Rev Chg Q81.2%-3.3%6.2%-5.4%-5.3%4.6%0.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM13.9%-0.9%1.6%-1.4%-1.3%1.1%0.1%
Op Mgn LTM-2.3%17.0%19.3%6.1%17.6%4.9%11.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg17.2%16.8%20.4%7.8%14.3%8.3%15.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.7%-0.6%-0.3%-0.3%1.2%-1.2%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM8.7%13.3%18.1%8.4%14.1%7.1%11.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg22.1%14.5%18.0%10.9%15.2%11.3%14.8%
FCF/Rev LTM2.1%11.1%10.3%4.2%11.7%4.8%7.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg15.0%11.9%11.8%7.6%12.8%8.2%11.9%

Valuation

CNRMASSSDUFPIGFFAPOGMedian
NameCore Nat.Masco Simpson .UFP Indu.Griffon Apogee E. 
Mkt Cap4.313.57.15.23.40.84.7
P/S1.21.93.00.81.30.71.2
P/EBIT-75.711.615.612.115.312.712.4
P/E-99.217.820.216.346.921.019.0
P/CFO13.514.616.69.79.29.511.6
Total Yield-0.3%7.4%5.6%7.7%3.3%7.1%6.4%
Dividend Yield0.7%1.8%0.7%1.6%1.2%2.4%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.1%6.4%3.9%8.5%12.8%9.7%9.1%
D/E0.10.20.10.10.50.40.2
Net D/E-0.00.20.0-0.10.50.30.1

Returns

CNRMASSSDUFPIGFFAPOGMedian
NameCore Nat.Masco Simpson .UFP Indu.Griffon Apogee E. 
1M Rtn1.4%2.0%-1.6%0.3%-0.4%6.9%0.8%
3M Rtn16.1%-10.2%-8.8%-5.4%-2.9%-9.2%-7.1%
6M Rtn22.5%3.0%7.8%-3.8%8.0%-0.9%5.4%
12M Rtn-34.8%-18.5%-7.0%-30.0%-9.0%-53.4%-24.2%
3Y Rtn15.2%33.4%84.8%15.6%127.9%-16.1%24.5%
1M Excs Rtn1.4%2.0%-1.6%0.3%-0.4%6.9%0.9%
3M Excs Rtn11.6%-17.6%-16.6%-14.7%-11.5%-17.7%-15.6%
6M Excs Rtn7.8%-11.8%-6.9%-18.5%-6.8%-15.6%-9.3%
12M Excs Rtn-49.9%-31.8%-22.2%-44.2%-24.2%-67.2%-38.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-49.0%-36.3%17.6%-52.6%61.8%-89.0%-42.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Pennsylvania Mining Complex (PAMC)2,3032,1511,1898111,308
CONSOL Marine Terminal10679656767
Other, Corporate and Eliminations985071 
Total2,5072,2801,2618791,376


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Pennsylvania Mining Complex (PAMC)1,5821,7561,7741,8651,982
Other, Corporate and Eliminations1,009866691550625
CONSOL Marine Terminal838210910988
Total2,6752,7042,5742,5232,694


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,884,809
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202516.1%
Average Daily Volume994,459
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.90
Basic Shares Quantity51,577,732
Short % of Basic Shares5.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023209202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021211202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Lang Paul AChief Executive Officer5122025Buy66.957,500502,12522,834,101Form
1KOEPPEL HOLLY K 4022025Sell74.974,771357,6821,303,878Form