Core Natural Resources (CNR)
Market Price (4/9/2026): $94.61 | Market Cap: $4.8 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
Core Natural Resources (CNR)
Market Price (4/9/2026): $94.61Market Cap: $4.8 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 92% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Rare Earth Elements, and Resource Efficiency Solutions. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -17% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -167 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.0% Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 16x Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.5% Key risksCNR key risks include [1] the failure to realize anticipated post-merger synergies and [2] production shortfalls from operational challenges such as mine delays, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 92% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Rare Earth Elements, and Resource Efficiency Solutions. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -17% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -167 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.0% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 16x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.5% |
| Key risksCNR key risks include [1] the failure to realize anticipated post-merger synergies and [2] production shortfalls from operational challenges such as mine delays, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Strong Analyst Confidence and Increased Price Targets.
Multiple Wall Street analysts have issued "Buy" or "Strong Buy" ratings for Core Natural Resources, with the consensus average price target being approximately $113.75, representing a potential upside of around 20.6% from its price as of April 8, 2026. This positive sentiment is further supported by several analysts raising their price targets in early 2026, such as UBS adjusting its target to $115 from $109 on March 24, 2026.
2. Expected Operational Turnaround and Robust 2026 Outlook.
The company announced the resumption of longwall mining at its Leer South metallurgical mine and consistent productivity at the West Elk mine, both operating at targeted rates entering 2026. Management projects a "significant, value-driving step-change in both operational execution and financial performance" for 2026, with an expected earnings growth of 54.39% for the coming year, from $11.40 to $17.60 per share. Core Natural Resources also guided for 2026 total sales of 85.6–91.4 million tons.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 7.0% change in CNR stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 12.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 88.40 | 94.61 | 7.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,696 | 4,165 | 12.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.2 | 1.2 | -5.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 52 | 51 | 0.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 7.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CNR | 7.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 14.6% |
| Sector (XLE) | 29.8% | 41.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 13.6% change in CNR stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 28.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 83.27 | 94.61 | 13.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,247 | 4,165 | 28.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.3 | 1.2 | -13.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 52 | 51 | 2.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 13.6% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CNR | 13.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 17.6% |
| Sector (XLE) | 31.1% | 33.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 23.4% change in CNR stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 92.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 76.69 | 94.61 | 23.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,164 | 4,165 | 92.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.0 | 1.2 | 10.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 30 | 51 | -42.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 23.4% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CNR | 23.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 21.3% |
| Sector (XLE) | 27.4% | 33.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 67.2% change in CNR stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 82.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 56.60 | 94.61 | 67.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,280 | 4,165 | 82.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.9 | 1.2 | 34.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 35 | 51 | -31.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 67.2% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CNR | 67.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 24.2% |
| Sector (XLE) | 53.5% | 35.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CNR Return | 215% | 201% | 61% | 7% | -17% | 13% | 1430% |
| Peers Return | 276% | 78% | 47% | -19% | 31% | -2% | 915% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -3% | 76% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CNR Win Rate | 75% | 58% | 58% | 42% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 50% | 55% | 40% | 53% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CNR Max Drawdown | -6% | -9% | -20% | -24% | -40% | -7% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -6% | -3% | -25% | -29% | -39% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BTU, AMR, HCC, METC, SXC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/8/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CNR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -42.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 81 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -74.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 297.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 422 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -75.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 300.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 882 days | 120 days |
Compare to BTU, AMR, HCC, METC, SXC
In The Past
Core Natural Resources's stock fell -42.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/18/2021. A -42.5% loss requires a 74.1% gain to breakeven.
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About Core Natural Resources (CNR)
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Based on the company description provided, Cornerstone Building Brands, Inc. (symbol: CNR) sells primarily to other companies within the commercial, residential, and repair and remodel markets. As the background does not specify individual customer company names, its major customers can be categorized as follows:
- Homebuilders and Residential Contractors: These companies purchase products such as windows, patio doors, various types of siding, and other external building materials for new residential construction projects and significant home renovations.
- Commercial Contractors and Developers: Customers in this category acquire metal building systems, metal roofing and wall systems, windows, and other building components for the construction of commercial, industrial, and institutional properties.
- Building Material Distributors and Large Retailers: These entities act as intermediaries, purchasing Cornerstone Building Brands' products in large volumes and then distributing them to a diverse range of smaller contractors, remodelers, and professional builders, often catering to both residential and commercial repair and remodel demands.
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Gunner Smith, Chief Executive Officer
Gunner Smith began serving as Chief Executive Officer for Cornerstone Building Brands on August 11, 2025. Prior to joining Cornerstone Building Brands, Mr. Smith served as president of Roofing at Owens Corning, an $11 billion leading building products manufacturer, a position he held since 2018. He also held roles as vice president of sales, distribution, and home centers, and other sales, marketing, and pricing positions during his 17 years with Owens Corning. Before Owens Corning, he was National Sales Manager at Ply Gem, one of the companies that later formed Cornerstone Building Brands. Earlier in his career, he spent eight years in sales management roles at Elk Corporation. He has been a board member of Howmet Aerospace since 2023. Cornerstone Building Brands was acquired by the private equity firm Clayton Dubilier & Rice in 2022, making it a private equity-backed company.
Christian Storch, Interim Chief Financial Officer
Christian Storch began serving as interim chief financial officer for Cornerstone Building Brands on February 6, 2026. With 25 years of experience in financial leadership, he previously served as chief financial officer at Altra Industrial Motion Corp for nearly 15 years. Before that, he held the positions of vice president and chief financial officer at Standex International Corporation for six years, where he also managed treasury and corporate audit and assurance services. Mr. Storch was also on the board of directors of Standex International from 2004 to 2007. Earlier in his career, he worked as a divisional financial director and corporate controller at Vossloh AG, a publicly held German transport technology company, and as an audit manager at Deloitte & Touche LLP.
Alena Brenner, Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary
Alena Brenner joined Cornerstone Building Brands as Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary on April 5, 2021, overseeing the company's legal, compliance, and risk management functions. Prior to Cornerstone Building Brands, Ms. Brenner served as Vice President and Deputy General Counsel for Ryder System, Inc. Before her work with Ryder, she was the Director of Commercial Law and M&A at the New York headquarters of Anheuser-Busch InBev (AB InBev).
Lisa Domnisch, President, Canadian Business Unit
Lisa Domnisch joined Cornerstone Building Brands as President of its Canadian Business Unit in August 2023. She brings nearly 20 years of strategic leadership experience in product development, business planning, sales and marketing, and operational excellence. Most recently, Ms. Domnisch served as Global Product Leader for DuPont's Water & Protection construction business.
Matthew Ackley, President, Metal Solutions
Matthew Ackley joined Cornerstone Building Brands as President, Engineered Building Systems on April 12, 2021, and was promoted to President, Metal Solutions effective November 11, 2021. He has nearly 20 years of leadership experience in the building materials industry. Most recently, Mr. Ackley served as Vice President, Sales for USG Corporation, where he oversaw its Commercial Ceilings and Corporate Accounts teams, leading strategic planning, sales execution, and revenue and profit growth initiatives.
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The key risks to Cornerstone Building Brands, Inc. (symbol: CNR) are:-
Exposure to Macroeconomic Conditions and Market Cyclicality: Cornerstone Building Brands operates in the construction industry, which is highly sensitive to broader global, national, and regional macroeconomic conditions. Factors such as economic downturns, high interest rates, inflation, and fluctuations in consumer and business confidence can materially and adversely affect the demand for new construction and repair and remodel activities, thereby impacting the company's sales volumes and profitability. The company reported a significant net loss in 2024, partly due to impairment charges sensitive to these macroeconomic and end-market trends.
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Volatile Raw Material Costs and Supply Chain Disruptions: The company faces exposure to volatile raw material costs, including those for steel, aluminum, and vinyl, which are crucial inputs for its diverse range of exterior building products. While Cornerstone Building Brands has historically been able to pass on some of these cost increases to customers, competitive pricing environments in certain segments can lead to margin volatility. Furthermore, supply chain disruptions can impact production and delivery capabilities, affecting overall operational efficiency and profitability.
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High Debt Load and Interest Rate Risk: Cornerstone Building Brands carries a substantial amount of long-term debt. As of Q1 2025, its long-term debt stood at $4.824 billion, with over $4.8 billion in future debt payments reported as of December 31, 2024. A significant increase in interest expenses, driven by higher outstanding borrowings and rising interest rates, poses a considerable risk to the company's profitability and financial health, impacting its ability to manage debt effectively.
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Cornerstone Building Brands, Inc., which designs, engineers, manufactures, markets, and installs external building products, operates in three segments: Windows, Siding, and Commercial. The addressable markets for their main products and services are as follows:
Windows Segment
- The global windows and doors market was valued at approximately USD 209.99 billion in 2024.
- North America accounted for the largest revenue share of 38.60% of the global windows and doors market in 2024, indicating an addressable market of approximately USD 81.1 billion in North America for windows and doors.
- Specifically, the U.S. windows market was valued at USD 13.8 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 19.8 billion by 2033.
Siding Segment
- The global siding market was valued at approximately USD 125.8 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach around USD 203.9 billion by 2034.
- North America represented 19.0% of the global siding market in 2024, indicating an addressable market of approximately USD 23.9 billion for siding in North America.
Commercial Segment (Metal Building Systems, Metal Roofing and Wall Systems, and Coil Coatings)
- For metal building systems (which include metal roofing and wall systems), the U.S. pre-engineered metal building market was projected to be USD 12.98 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 27.10 billion by 2033.
- The North America coil coatings market was valued at USD 1.68 billion in 2025.
- Globally, the coil coatings market was valued at USD 6.44 billion in 2025.
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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Cornerstone Building Brands, Inc. (symbol: CNR) over the next 2-3 years:
- Strategic Acquisitions: Cornerstone Building Brands has a history of leveraging strategic acquisitions to expand its market presence and product portfolio. Recent examples include the acquisitions of Harvey Building Products and Mueller Supply, which have positively influenced sales performance. The 2021 acquisition of Union Corrugating Company also broadened its metal roof offerings for the residential market.
- Disciplined Pricing Actions: The company has effectively utilized pricing strategies to navigate market conditions and contribute to revenue growth. This is evident in favorable pricing actions across all segments in 2021 and the ability to offset volume declines with pricing in 2023. This demonstrates an ongoing capability to manage pricing to enhance revenue.
- Recovery in Residential and Commercial Construction Markets: Cornerstone Building Brands' revenue growth is closely tied to the health of the broader construction industry. The company anticipates a recovery in these markets, expecting to meet demand as market conditions improve and projecting favorable mid-to-long-term growth for the industry. Regulatory and economic factors influencing housing and real estate markets also serve as primary demand drivers.
- Investments in Innovative Product Offerings: The company has allocated capital expenditures toward developing innovative product offerings. These investments are specifically intended to generate profitable growth in the future, indicating a focus on new and improved products to drive sales.
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Capital Allocation Decisions for Cornerstone Building Brands, Inc. (CNR)
Cornerstone Building Brands, Inc., trading under the symbol CNR, underwent a significant capital allocation event by transitioning from a public to a private company in July 2022. This privatization by affiliates of Clayton, Dubilier & Rice (CD&R) profoundly impacted its capital allocation decisions in the last 3-5 years.
Share Repurchases
- The most significant event related to share repurchases was the acquisition of Cornerstone Building Brands by affiliates of Clayton, Dubilier & Rice (CD&R) in July 2022. This all-cash transaction had an enterprise value of approximately $5.8 billion, resulting in public shareholders receiving $24.65 per share and the company becoming privately held.
- Prior to July 2022, no specific company-wide public share repurchase programs with dollar amounts were identified in the available information.
Share Issuance
- As Cornerstone Building Brands became a privately held company in July 2022, there have been no public share issuances since then.
Inbound Investments
- In July 2022, Cornerstone Building Brands was acquired by affiliates of Clayton, Dubilier & Rice (CD&R) in an all-cash transaction with an approximate enterprise value of $5.8 billion. This acquisition made the company privately owned.
Outbound Investments
- In December 2021, Cornerstone Building Brands completed the acquisition of Union Corrugating Company, expanding its offerings in the residential metal roofing market.
- During 2024, the company made strategic acquisitions of Harvey Building Products and Mueller Supply, which contributed to increased sales performance.
Capital Expenditures
- In 2021, capital expenditures for Cornerstone Building Brands were $114.7 million, with approximately 50 percent of this investment directed towards innovative product offerings and process automation.
- Cash used in investing activities increased in 2024, driven by higher capital expenditures and the acquisitions of Harvey and Mueller.
- In December 2025, Cornerstone Building Brands announced a planned investment of $4.9 million to expand its manufacturing campus in Rocky Mount, Virginia, to increase the production of Ply Gem® windows and doors.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to CNR.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03312026 | KGS | Kodiak Gas Services | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | KOS | Kosmos Energy | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 12312025 | AMR | Alpha Metallurgical Resources | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 2.7% | 2.7% | -18.6% |
| 12262025 | TPL | Texas Pacific Land | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 65.2% | 65.2% | -2.1% |
| 12122025 | NOV | NOV | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -6.5% |
| 08312021 | CNR | Cornerstone Building Brands [DELISTED] | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 30.6% | 48.4% | -17.8% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 59.77 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.1 |
| Rev LTM | 1,983 |
| Op Inc LTM | -30 |
| FCF LTM | -32 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 180 |
| CFO LTM | 187 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 479 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -11.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -5.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | -5.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -1.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -0.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.1 |
| P/S | 1.2 |
| P/EBIT | -14.9 |
| P/E | -24.8 |
| P/CFO | 16.8 |
| Total Yield | -1.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -8.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -3.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 81.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 27.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 1.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 61.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -39.3% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High CV Thermal | 2,005 | ||||
| Metallurgical | 113 | ||||
| Core Marine Terminal | 88 | ||||
| Other Revenues | 16 | ||||
| Powder River Basin (PRB) | 0 | ||||
| Elimination of Intersegment Revenues | -57 | ||||
| CONSOL Marine Terminal | 106 | 79 | 65 | 67 | |
| Other, Corporate and Eliminations | 98 | 50 | 7 | 1 | |
| Pennsylvania Mining Complex (PAMC) | 2,303 | 2,151 | 1,189 | 811 | |
| Total | 2,164 | 2,507 | 2,280 | 1,261 | 879 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High CV Thermal | 1,740 | ||||
| Corporate and Other | 911 | ||||
| Metallurgical | 141 | ||||
| Core Marine Terminal | 88 | ||||
| Powder River Basin (PRB) | 0 | ||||
| CONSOL Marine Terminal | 83 | 82 | 109 | 109 | |
| Other, Corporate and Eliminations | 1,009 | 866 | 691 | 550 | |
| Pennsylvania Mining Complex (PAMC) | 1,582 | 1,756 | 1,774 | 1,865 | |
| Total | 2,880 | 2,675 | 2,704 | 2,574 | 2,523 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $94.61 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 4.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/04/2010 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -16.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $95.49 | $84.68 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -0.9% | 11.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 51.1% | 51.3% |
| Downside Capture | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| Upside Capture | 80.80 | 73.51 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 12.3% | 14.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.19 | 0.45 | 0.54 | 0.68 | 0.59 | 0.74 |
| Up Beta | -6.03 | 1.14 | 1.54 | 0.59 | 0.34 | 0.62 |
| Down Beta | 1.81 | 1.15 | 0.65 | 0.78 | 1.01 | 0.86 |
| Up Capture | 186% | 65% | 92% | 105% | 58% | 57% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 14 | 22 | 33 | 65 | 126 | 383 |
| Down Capture | -219% | -37% | -26% | 38% | 48% | 87% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 20 | 30 | 61 | 126 | 365 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CNR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNR | 49.5% | 51.5% | 0.95 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 51.4% | 22.3% | 1.77 | 28.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 28.9% | 17.3% | 1.35 | 14.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 56.6% | 27.9% | 1.61 | 13.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 24.9% | 16.8% | 1.29 | 23.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.8% | 15.6% | 0.63 | 9.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -14.5% | 44.2% | -0.23 | 18.1% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CNR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNR | 60.8% | 56.3% | 1.06 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 23.1% | 26.1% | 0.79 | 46.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.6% | 17.0% | 0.53 | 25.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.3% | 17.8% | 1.03 | 14.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.8% | 18.8% | 0.52 | 38.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.9% | 18.8% | 0.11 | 16.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.0% | 56.5% | 0.29 | 14.8% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CNR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNR | 15.8% | 67.4% | 0.55 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 10.8% | 29.5% | 0.40 | 44.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.9% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 32.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.1% | 15.9% | 0.74 | 7.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 32.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 26.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.4% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 11.8% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/12/2026 | -2.8% | -2.9% | 6.8% |
| 11/6/2025 | 11.5% | 13.4% | 5.5% |
| 8/5/2025 | 2.1% | -1.7% | -6.8% |
| 5/8/2025 | -9.9% | -6.0% | -10.7% |
| 2/20/2025 | 5.4% | -3.1% | -5.5% |
| 11/5/2024 | 5.1% | 20.1% | 15.3% |
| 8/8/2024 | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| 5/7/2024 | 3.6% | 4.2% | 17.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 16 | 15 | 17 |
| # Negative | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 5.7% | 10.7% | 16.1% |
| Median Negative | -4.1% | -6.0% | -10.7% |
| Max Positive | 13.0% | 34.3% | 67.7% |
| Max Negative | -21.6% | -16.9% | -26.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/17/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/20/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/09/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/31/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/10/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/01/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/03/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Sales Volume - Coking | 8.6 | 9 | 9.4 | 18.4% | Higher New | Actual: 7.6 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Sales Volume - High C.V. Thermal | 30 | 31 | 32 | 3.3% | Higher New | Actual: 30 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Sales Volume - Powder River Basin | 47 | 48.5 | 50 | 1.0% | Higher New | Actual: 48 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Metallurgical Cash Cost of Coal Sold per Ton | 88 | 91 | 94 | -4.2% | Lower New | Actual: 95 for 2025 | |
| 2026 High C.V. Thermal Cash Cost of Coal Sold per Ton | 38 | 38.8 | 39.5 | -3.1% | Lower New | Actual: 40 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Powder River Basin Cash Cost of Coal Sold per Ton | 13 | 13.2 | 13.5 | 1.9% | Higher New | Actual: 13 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 325.00 Mil | 350.00 Mil | 375.00 Mil | 27.3% | Higher New | Actual: 275.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Cash Tax Rate | 0.0% | 2.5% | 5.0% | ||||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Leer South Fire Extinguishment and Idle Costs | 15.00 Mil | 20.00 Mil | 25.00 Mil | -20.0% | Lower New | Actual: 25.00 Mil for Q3 2025 | |
| 2025 Sales Volume - Coking | 7.40 Mil | 7.60 Mil | 7.80 Mil | -1.9% | Lowered | Guidance: 7.75 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Sales Volume - High C.V. Thermal | 29.00 Mil | 30.00 Mil | 31.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 30.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Sales Volume - Powder River Basin | 47.00 Mil | 48.00 Mil | 49.00 Mil | 3.2% | Raised | Guidance: 46.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Metallurgical Cash Cost of Coal Sold per Ton | 93 | 95 | 97 | -2.1% | Lowered | Guidance: 97 for 2025 | |
| 2025 High C.V. Thermal Cash Cost of Coal Sold per Ton | 39 | 40 | 41 | 2.6% | Raised | Guidance: 39 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Powder River Basin Cash Cost of Coal Sold per Ton | 12.8 | 13 | 13.2 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 13 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Capital Expenditures | 260.00 Mil | 275.00 Mil | 290.00 Mil | -12.7% | Lowered | Guidance: 315.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rothka, John | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 10102025 | 95.00 | 1,000 | 95,000 | 979,165 | Form |
| 2 | Rothka, John | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 10102025 | 100.00 | 1,000 | 100,000 | 930,700 | Form |
| 3 | Rothka, John | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 10062025 | 90.00 | 2,500 | 225,000 | 1,017,630 | Form |
| 4 | Navarre, Richard A | Direct | Sell | 9262025 | 82.20 | 5,000 | 411,000 | 1,794,426 | Form | |
| 5 | Kriegshauser, Patrick A | Direct | Sell | 9182025 | 77.07 | 3,043 | 234,524 | 1,799,430 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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