Tearsheet

Phillips 66 (PSX)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $138.36 | Market Cap: $56.0 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Phillips 66 (PSX)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $138.36
Market Cap: $56.0 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Hydrogen Economy, Advanced Materials, and Electrification of Everything. Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Hydrogen Economy, Advanced Materials, and Electrification of Everything. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PSX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the movement of Phillips 66 (PSX) stock between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025: 1. Strategic Asset Divestment: Phillips 66 completed the sale of a 65% interest in its Germany and Austria retail marketing business for approximately €1.5 billion (about $1.6 billion) in pre-tax proceeds on December 1, 2025. This move was highlighted by the company as strengthening its balance sheet and optimizing its portfolio through the monetization of non-core assets at attractive valuations.

2. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings: The company reported robust operational performance for the third quarter of 2025, with adjusted earnings reaching $1 billion, or $2.52 per share, surpassing analyst estimates of $2.14. This strong performance was primarily driven by higher realized refining margins globally and generated $1.2 billion in operating cash flow.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PSX Return-34%9%50%33%-12%25%58%
Peers Return20%17%70%16%-22%16%148%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PSX Win Rate33%42%75%58%42%80% 
Peers Win Rate42%48%68%53%38%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PSX Max Drawdown-62%-5%0%-11%-14%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-62%-14%-6%-19%-29%-33% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MPC, VLO, NFE, PSX, DINO. See PSX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPSXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-32.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven48.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven46 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven166.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven974 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-36.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven57.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1723 days120 days

Compare to MPC, VLO, NFE, PSX, DINO


In The Past

Phillips 66's stock fell -32.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -32.7% loss requires a 48.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Phillips 66 (PSX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PSX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Phillips 66

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PSXMPCVLONFEDINOMedian
NamePhillips.Marathon.Valero E.New Fort.HF Sincl. 
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Growth & Margins

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NamePhillips.Marathon.Valero E.New Fort.HF Sincl. 
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Valuation

PSXMPCVLONFEDINOMedian
NamePhillips.Marathon.Valero E.New Fort.HF Sincl. 
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Returns

PSXMPCVLONFEDINOMedian
NamePhillips.Marathon.Valero E.New Fort.HF Sincl. 
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Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Midstream29,10730,27315,93215,59615,716
Refining22,43221,58119,95220,40425,150
Marketing and Specialties11,4119,9398,5057,1808,659
Chemicals7,3576,7856,4536,1836,249
Corporate and Other5,1947,8644,7525,3582,946
Total75,50176,44255,59454,72158,720


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,834,526
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202537.7%
Average Daily Volume2,298,697
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.84
Basic Shares Quantity404,508,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025728202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025425202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024429202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021