Tearsheet

HF Sinclair (DINO)


Market Price (12/30/2025): $45.97 | Market Cap: $8.6 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

HF Sinclair (DINO)


Market Price (12/30/2025): $45.97
Market Cap: $8.6 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.0%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.9%, FCF Yield is 7.9%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -75%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.2%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
  Key risks
DINO key risks include [1] headwinds on its refining margins from weaker spreads and increased global capacity and [2] regulatory uncertainty threatening the profitability of its renewable diesel operations.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, and Domestic Oil & Gas Refining.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.0%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.9%, FCF Yield is 7.9%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, and Domestic Oil & Gas Refining.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -75%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.2%
5 Key risks
DINO key risks include [1] headwinds on its refining margins from weaker spreads and increased global capacity and [2] regulatory uncertainty threatening the profitability of its renewable diesel operations.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DINO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

During the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 30, 2025, HF Sinclair (DINO) stock experienced a decline of approximately 8.8%. This movement can be attributed to several key factors that emerged towards the latter part of this timeframe, specifically around mid-December 2025, which saw an -8.71% decline between December 10 and December 26, 2025.

1. Bearish Technical Signals and Trend Confirmation: The stock exhibited strong bearish technical signals, with a notable price drop accompanied by increased trading volume, indicating selling pressure. By late December 2025, moving average analysis further confirmed a bearish trend, as the short-term average fell below the long-term average.

2. Significant Collective Insider Selling: Over the preceding year, insiders at HF Sinclair collectively sold approximately $0.28 billion worth of shares across numerous transactions. This substantial volume of insider selling contributed to a negative sentiment, which market algorithms heavily weighted.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -11.6% change in DINO stock from 9/29/2025 to 12/29/2025 was primarily driven by a -12.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
929202512292025Change
Stock Price ($)52.0145.98-11.60%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)26861.0026905.000.16%
P/S Multiple0.360.32-12.50%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)188.11186.500.86%
Cumulative Contribution-11.60%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/29/2025 to 12/29/2025
ReturnCorrelation
DINO-11.6% 
Market (SPY)3.6%30.8%
Sector (XLE)-1.2%65.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 14.2% change in DINO stock from 6/30/2025 to 12/29/2025 was primarily driven by a 17.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
630202512292025Change
Stock Price ($)40.2845.9814.16%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)27923.0026905.00-3.65%
P/S Multiple0.270.3217.23%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)188.49186.501.06%
Cumulative Contribution14.15%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 12/29/2025
ReturnCorrelation
DINO14.2% 
Market (SPY)11.6%28.7%
Sector (XLE)6.1%58.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 41.1% change in DINO stock from 12/29/2024 to 12/29/2025 was primarily driven by a 32.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
1229202412292025Change
Stock Price ($)32.5845.9841.14%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)29739.7426905.00-9.53%
Net Income Margin (%)1.11%1.46%31.98%
P/E Multiple18.7921.8216.13%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)189.84186.501.76%
Cumulative Contribution41.10%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/29/2024 to 12/29/2025
ReturnCorrelation
DINO41.1% 
Market (SPY)16.6%51.8%
Sector (XLE)8.1%72.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 0.5% change in DINO stock from 12/30/2022 to 12/29/2025 was primarily driven by a 415.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1230202212292025Change
Stock Price ($)45.7745.980.47%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)34842.5826905.00-22.78%
Net Income Margin (%)6.59%1.46%-77.83%
P/E Multiple4.2321.82415.42%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)212.39186.5012.19%
Cumulative Contribution-1.03%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/30/2023 to 12/29/2025
ReturnCorrelation
DINO-9.5% 
Market (SPY)47.9%43.9%
Sector (XLE)12.7%68.4%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DINO Return-46%28%62%11%-34%38%11%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%151%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DINO Win Rate25%58%67%50%33%58% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DINO Max Drawdown-65%-2%-10%-26%-37%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/29/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDINOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-66.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven198.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven582 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-53.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-86.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven625.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,363 days1,480 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

HF Sinclair's stock fell -41.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/22/2022. A -41.7% loss requires a 71.5% gain to breakeven.

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About HF Sinclair (DINO)

HF Sinclair Corporation operates as an independent energy company. It produces and markets gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricant products, specialty chemicals, specialty and modified asphalt, and others. The company also owns and operates refineries located in Kansas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming; and markets its refined products principally in the Southwest United States and Rocky Mountains, Pacific Northwest, and in other neighboring Plains states. In addition, it supplies fuels to approximately 1,300 independent Sinclair-branded stations and licenses the use of the Sinclair brand at approximately 300 additional locations, as well as engages in the growing renewables business. Further, the company produces base oils and other specialized lubricants; and provides petroleum product and crude oil transportation, terminalling, storage, and throughput services to the petroleum industry. HF Sinclair Corporation was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for HF Sinclair (DINO):

  • A smaller, North American Marathon Petroleum (MPC), with its own network of Sinclair-branded gas stations.
  • Similar to a more North American-focused Phillips 66 (PSX), specializing in refining, fuel marketing, and specialty lubricants.
  • Primarily a refiner akin to Valero (VLO), but also operates its own network of Sinclair gas stations.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Gasoline: A refined petroleum product primarily used as fuel for internal combustion engines in vehicles.
  • Diesel Fuel: A type of fuel used in diesel engines, commonly for trucks, buses, trains, and power generators.
  • Jet Fuel: A specialized aviation fuel designed for use in aircraft powered by gas-turbine engines.
  • Renewable Diesel: A biofuel chemically identical to petroleum diesel, produced from renewable feedstocks like vegetable oils or animal fats.
  • Lubricants: Substances applied to reduce friction between moving parts in engines and machinery, also providing cooling and cleaning.
  • Specialty Chemicals: Chemicals manufactured for specific, often high-value applications requiring unique properties or functionalities.
  • Asphalt: A sticky, black, highly viscous petroleum product primarily used in road construction, paving, and roofing applications.
  • Pipeline and Terminal Services: Infrastructure services involving the transportation and storage of crude oil and refined products through pipelines and terminal facilities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

HF Sinclair (symbol: DINO) primarily sells its refined products and renewable fuels to other companies rather than directly to individual consumers.

Due to the nature of its business in the refining and marketing of petroleum products, renewable fuels, and lubricants, HF Sinclair serves a broad and diverse customer base, typically selling in wholesale quantities. While specific major customer names are generally not publicly disclosed by the company, its sales channels and customer categories include:

  1. Wholesale Distributors and Marketers: These companies purchase gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and other refined products in bulk from HF Sinclair. They then distribute these products to a wide network of branded and unbranded retail stations (gas stations), smaller commercial accounts, and industrial users across various regions.

  2. Commercial and Industrial End-Users: HF Sinclair supplies fuels, lubricants, and specialty chemicals directly to large commercial and industrial customers. This can include transportation companies (e.g., trucking fleets, airlines for jet fuel, railroads), construction companies (especially for asphalt products), manufacturing facilities, and other businesses that consume significant quantities of petroleum products or their derivatives.

  3. Government and Municipalities: Sales of various fuels and asphalt products may also be made to governmental entities for their vehicle fleets, infrastructure projects, and other operational needs.

Given the highly fragmented nature of the downstream energy market, HF Sinclair's revenue is not typically concentrated in a few specific, identifiable public companies that would be named as "major customers" in their public filings. Instead, their customer base consists of thousands of entities across these various categories.

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Timothy Go - President & Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Go has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of HF Sinclair since March 2022. He was previously President and Chief Operating Officer of HollyFrontier from July 2020 to March 2022. Before joining HF Sinclair, Mr. Go served as Chief Executive Officer of Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. from September 2015 to June 2020. His career also includes various leadership roles at Koch Industries, Inc. and its subsidiary Flint Hills Resources, LP, where he was most recently Vice President of Operations. He spent 18 years in downstream operations at ExxonMobil Corporation.

Atanas H. Atanasov - Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Atanasov has served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of HF Sinclair since September 2022. Prior to HF Sinclair, he was Chief Financial Officer of Lummus Technology LLC from April 2022 to September 2022. He also held the position of Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer of Kraton Corporation, a NYSE-listed specialty chemical company, from May 2019 until its merger in March 2022. Before Kraton, he served as Chief Financial Officer of Empire Petroleum Partners, LLC from February 2016 to May 2019, and as Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer of NGL Energy Partners LP, a NYSE-listed MLP, from May 2013 to February 2016. He also held various finance roles at GE Capital from January 2003 to November 2011.

Valerie Pompa - Executive Vice President, Operations

Ms. Pompa was promoted to Executive Vice President, Operations in April 2023. She has been with HF Sinclair since 2020, serving as Senior Vice President, Refinery Operations. Ms. Pompa brings over 30 years of experience in senior operations roles within the oil and gas industry, including 17 years with Flint Hills Resources, LP.

Steven C. Ledbetter - Executive Vice President, Commercial

Mr. Ledbetter joined HF Sinclair as Executive Vice President, Commercial in April 2023. Before his tenure at HF Sinclair, he spent 24 years with Shell, where he held various management positions, including President and Chief Executive Officer of Jiffy Lube International, and most recently, President and Chief Executive Officer of Shell Midstream Partners GP LLC.

Eric L. Nitcher - Executive Vice President & General Counsel

Mr. Nitcher serves as Executive Vice President and General Counsel for HF Sinclair. He previously served as Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary for HollyFrontier Corporation. He has held various legal roles within the company and its predecessor, including Vice President and General Counsel. Mr. Nitcher was an associate at Jones Day prior to joining HollyFrontier.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

HF Sinclair (symbol: DINO) faces several key risks to its business, primarily stemming from the inherent volatility of the energy sector and evolving regulatory landscapes.

  1. Market Volatility and Refining Margins: The company's financial performance is significantly impacted by fluctuating crude oil, renewable feedstock, and refined product prices, as well as the spread between them. Refining is HF Sinclair's largest and most volatile segment, facing headwinds from weaker margins and increased global refining capacity. This market dynamic can lead to unpredictable earnings and challenges in long-term planning.
  2. Regulatory and Environmental Risks: As an energy company, HF Sinclair operates in a heavily regulated environment and is exposed to substantial costs and liabilities associated with complying with environmental, health, and safety laws. Increasing scrutiny on climate change and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions could lead to stricter regulations, potentially raising operating costs and reducing demand for its products. Regulatory uncertainty in the renewables sector also poses a significant risk to the profitability of its renewable diesel operations.
  3. Geopolitical Instability and Economic Conditions: HF Sinclair is exposed to risks from global hostilities, such as shipping disruptions in the Red Sea and ongoing conflicts, which can disrupt crude oil supplies and refined product markets, leading to financial market instability. Furthermore, general economic conditions, including slowdowns, recessions, and periods of increased or prolonged inflation, can affect operating costs and consumer demand for energy products.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The accelerating adoption of electric vehicles and other alternative-powered transportation methods, leading to a structural decline in demand for gasoline and diesel fuels, which constitute the primary products from HF Sinclair's conventional refining operations.

The rapid increase in renewable diesel production capacity across the industry, risking an oversupply that could lead to significant margin compression and reduced profitability for HF Sinclair's investments in this growing segment.

AI Analysis | Feedback

HF Sinclair (symbol: DINO) operates across several key segments, manufacturing and selling a range of energy products. The addressable markets for their main products and services are primarily within the United States and North America.

Refining (Gasoline, Diesel Fuel, Jet Fuel)

HF Sinclair’s refining segment produces gasoline, diesel fuel, and jet fuel.

  • The U.S. oil and gas refining industry market size was valued at approximately USD 468.44 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 600.80 billion by 2033.
  • Another estimate places the U.S. petroleum refining market size at USD 793.3 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 1,168.3 billion by 2032.
  • The North American refining market size was estimated at USD 700.58 billion in 2024, with the U.S. holding a significant share of USD 552.76 billion in 2024.

Renewable Diesel

HF Sinclair is also involved in the production of renewable diesel.

  • The North America biofuels market, which includes renewable diesel, generated approximately USD 33.15 billion in revenue in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 70.95 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 11.5%.
  • More specifically, the North America biofuel market was valued at USD 52.3 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach USD 174.6 billion by 2034.
  • The U.S. renewable energy market was valued at USD 269 billion in 2022 and estimated at USD 127.59 billion in 2025.

Lubricants and Specialty Products

The company manufactures and markets specialty lubricant products, specialty chemicals, and base oils under various brands.

  • The U.S. lubricants market size was valued at USD 41.71 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 51.03 billion by 2033, at a CAGR of 2.4%.
  • Other estimates for the U.S. lubricant market size include USD 29.1 billion in 2024, reaching USD 36.7 billion by 2032, and USD 22.86 billion in 2024, expected to reach USD 28.91 billion by 2032.
  • HF Sinclair produces base oils and other specialized lubricants in the U.S., Canada, and the Netherlands, exporting to over 80 countries.

Asphalt and Heavy Products

HF Sinclair produces and markets specialty and modified asphalt.

  • The U.S. asphalt market size was approximately USD 32.6 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 52.9 million by 2032.
  • Another projection for the U.S. market indicates it will reach USD 70.72 million by 2027.
  • Globally, the asphalt market size reached USD 259.1 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 397.2 million by 2033.

Midstream Services

HF Sinclair provides petroleum product and crude oil transportation, terminalling, storage, and throughput services.

  • The North America oil and gas market, which encompasses such services, is valued at USD 1,700 billion.

Marketing and Distribution

The company markets refined products, supplying fuels to Sinclair branded stations.

  • The North America Fuel Station Market was valued at USD 32.38 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 40.28 billion by 2030.

AI Analysis | Feedback

HF Sinclair (symbol: DINO) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market trends:

  1. Optimized Refining Operations and Favorable Market Conditions: HF Sinclair anticipates favorable refining fundamentals through 2026, propelled by increasing demand for distillates and limited new refining capacity. The company is also optimistic about future demand, particularly in the West Coast markets. Additionally, improved operational efficiency, evidenced by achieving a record low operating expense of $7.12 per throughput barrel in Q3 2025, enhances profitability which supports revenue.

  2. Expansion of Branded Marketing Network: The company is strategically growing its Marketing segment by expanding its network of Sinclair branded stores. HF Sinclair added 146 branded sites through Q3 2025 and has plans for over 130 additional sites with signed contracts to come online within the next 6-12 months, providing a consistent sales channel with margin uplift for its produced fuels.

  3. Strategic Midstream Infrastructure Expansion: HF Sinclair is implementing a multi-phased expansion of its midstream refined products footprint. These projects aim to address supply and demand imbalances in key Western U.S. markets by increasing supply capacity by up to 150,000 barrels per day. New infrastructure projects are targeting capacity increases by 2028.

  4. Growth and Optimization in Renewable Fuels: The Renewables segment presents an opportunity through maturing its low carbon feedstock mix in a changing economic environment. HF Sinclair recognized incremental value from the producers tax credit in Q3 2025 and expects to capture additional value in the fourth quarter of 2025, contributing to segment growth.

  5. New Product Offerings in Lubricants & Specialties: As part of a forward integration strategy, the Lubricants & Specialties segment introduced a Sinclair lubricants product offering in the U.S. This new product line is expected to contribute to revenue growth in this segment.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • HF Sinclair's Board of Directors authorized a new $1 billion share repurchase program in August 2023, replacing a previous $1 billion program from September 2022.
  • The company returned over $1.3 billion to shareholders in 2023, including share repurchases.
  • As of November 3, 2025, approximately $466.3 million has been repurchased under the May 7, 2024, authorized $1 billion share repurchase program.

Share Issuance

  • The merger between HollyFrontier and Sinclair Oil, completed in March 2022, was funded in part by the issuance of approximately 60.2 million shares.
  • HF Sinclair's shares outstanding were 0.192 billion in 2024, a 1.07% increase from 2023.

Outbound Investments

  • HF Sinclair completed the acquisition of all outstanding common units of Holly Energy Partners (HEP) in December 2024, which added pipelines, terminals, and other infrastructure.
  • On November 1, 2021, HF Sinclair acquired the Puget Sound Refinery from Shell for $350 million.
  • The merger with Sinclair Oil on March 14, 2022, brought Sinclair's two refineries, a renewable diesel business, and a branded marketing business under HF Sinclair.

Capital Expenditures

  • HF Sinclair anticipates total capital and turnaround cash spending of $875 million for fiscal year 2025, with $775 million allocated for sustaining capital and $100 million for growth investments.
  • Expected capital expenditures for the full year 2024 were approximately $800 million to $875 million.
  • For 2025, sustaining capital includes $240 million for Refining, $410 million for Turnarounds & Catalysts, and investments in Renewables ($5 million), Lubricants & Specialties ($40 million), Marketing ($30 million), and Midstream ($30 million).

Better Bets than HF Sinclair (DINO)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to DINO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.1%12.1%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
28.1%28.1%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.9%-4.9%-7.1%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for HF Sinclair

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DINOHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameHF Sincl.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price45.9822.7324.33305.7477.79273.7661.89
Mkt Cap8.621.432.4285.5307.74,079.8159.0
Rev LTM26,90555,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM7113,6241,64411,54412,991130,2147,584
FCF LTM6762,80062711,85412,73396,1847,327
FCF 3Y Avg1,4502,9781,40011,75313,879100,5037,366
CFO LTM1,1673,6972,91913,48313,744108,5658,590
CFO 3Y Avg1,8763,6723,89613,49814,736111,5598,697

Growth & Margins

DINOHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameHF Sincl.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM-9.5%3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%5.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-8.2%-3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%2.2%
Rev Chg Q0.6%4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%8.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.2%1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM2.6%6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%12.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.5%7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%11.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.5%-0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM4.3%6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%14.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.1%6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%17.1%
FCF/Rev LTM2.5%5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%11.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.6%5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%12.1%

Valuation

DINOHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameHF Sincl.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap8.621.432.4285.5307.74,079.8159.0
P/S0.30.40.94.45.310.02.7
P/EBIT11.76.619.725.122.431.321.1
P/E21.88.4569.036.129.841.133.0
P/CFO7.35.811.121.222.437.616.1
Total Yield9.0%14.4%2.3%5.0%5.5%2.8%5.2%
Dividend Yield4.4%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg14.7%10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%6.2%
D/E0.40.50.70.20.10.00.3
Net D/E0.20.30.60.20.00.00.2

Returns

DINOHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameHF Sincl.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn-13.1%-5.8%11.9%-0.9%1.1%-1.8%-1.4%
3M Rtn-11.6%-14.5%1.4%9.9%15.6%7.7%4.5%
6M Rtn14.2%-5.0%20.3%5.0%13.5%33.7%13.8%
12M Rtn41.1%-28.7%15.4%40.8%33.9%7.6%24.6%
3Y Rtn0.5%-5.3%65.8%142.1%78.3%113.9%72.0%
1M Excs Rtn-13.4%-5.5%12.3%-0.5%0.9%-2.7%-1.6%
3M Excs Rtn-15.3%-18.1%-2.3%6.2%11.9%4.0%0.9%
6M Excs Rtn2.9%-16.3%9.0%-6.3%2.2%22.4%2.5%
12M Excs Rtn26.1%-43.3%-0.2%25.4%19.0%-7.8%9.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-74.5%-82.8%-10.4%61.9%0.1%27.1%-5.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Refining28,67334,41316,359 15,284
Marketing4,1463,912   
Lubricants & Specialties2,7753,1592,561 2,081
Renewables1,1891,0150  
Midstream584547494 121
Corporate, Other and Eliminations-5,403-4,842-1,025 0
Total31,96438,20518,389 17,487


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Refining1,8703,775451 1,210
Midstream286223224 264
Lubricants & Specialties258296242 -129
Marketing3746   
Corporate, Other and Eliminations-115-106-103 -68
Renewables-133-179-66  
Total2,2034,054749 1,277


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$45.98 
Market Cap ($ Bil)8.6 
First Trading Date12/29/2006 
Distance from 52W High-18.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$51.51$43.25
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-10.7%6.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility29.7%38.0%
Downside Capture72.3952.73
Upside Capture-0.3878.65
Correlation (SPY)30.3%51.8%
DINO Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.340.830.640.731.010.91
Up Beta0.441.101.181.841.121.01
Down Beta3.581.351.271.201.321.10
Up Capture-15%52%26%65%71%36%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days9192867127381
Down Capture-15%58%16%-49%68%96%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days10223457120368

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of DINO With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 DINOSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return41.6%8.9%16.7%65.4%7.5%4.2%-7.3%
Annualized Volatility37.7%24.4%19.4%19.8%15.3%17.0%34.9%
Sharpe Ratio1.000.300.672.430.270.08-0.06
Correlation With Other Assets 72.5%51.7%3.5%53.8%40.6%21.3%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of DINO With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 DINOSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return16.4%22.4%14.8%17.7%11.2%5.1%30.2%
Annualized Volatility39.2%26.7%17.1%15.6%18.7%18.9%48.6%
Sharpe Ratio0.500.770.700.910.480.180.57
Correlation With Other Assets 68.7%34.4%9.0%43.2%25.3%14.5%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of DINO With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 DINOSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return4.4%8.5%15.0%14.6%6.9%5.4%69.0%
Annualized Volatility44.7%29.8%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.260.330.720.820.310.230.89
Correlation With Other Assets 67.3%44.5%-1.4%38.7%34.7%10.6%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,587,892
Short Interest: % Change Since 1130202526.6%
Average Daily Volume3,285,025
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.83
Basic Shares Quantity186,499,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-2.2%-1.8%-0.9%
7/31/20251.2%-0.2%17.6%
5/1/20254.0%8.7%21.8%
2/20/2025-1.1%-8.9%-9.0%
10/31/2024-5.4%3.6%1.5%
8/1/2024-2.7%-11.4%-6.8%
5/8/20243.8%3.7%-0.7%
2/21/2024-1.4%-0.3%4.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive767
# Negative787
Median Positive2.8%9.3%15.4%
Median Negative-2.2%-2.1%-6.8%
Max Positive4.0%13.7%36.0%
Max Negative-5.6%-11.4%-18.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q (09/30/2025)
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q (06/30/2025)
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q (03/31/2025)
12/31/202402/20/202510-K (12/31/2024)
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q (09/30/2024)
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q (06/30/2024)
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q (03/31/2024)
12/31/202302/21/202410-K (12/31/2023)
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q (09/30/2023)
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q (06/30/2023)
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q (03/31/2023)
12/31/202202/28/202310-K (12/31/2022)
09/30/202211/07/202210-Q (09/30/2022)
06/30/202208/08/202210-Q (06/30/2022)
03/31/202205/09/202210-Q (03/31/2022)
12/31/202102/23/202210-K (12/31/2021)