Tearsheet

Transocean (RIG)


Market Price (12/24/2025): $4.04 | Market Cap: $3.9 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Drilling

Transocean (RIG)


Market Price (12/24/2025): $4.04
Market Cap: $3.9 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Drilling

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -85%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 139%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 12%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 65%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Energy Supply. Themes include Offshore Hydrocarbon Extraction Technology, and Deepwater Drilling Solutions.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -80%
3   Key risks
RIG key risks include [1] a substantial debt load that limits its financial flexibility and [2] potential contract renegotiations and high rig operating costs that threaten revenue stability.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 12%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Energy Supply. Themes include Offshore Hydrocarbon Extraction Technology, and Deepwater Drilling Solutions.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -85%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 139%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 65%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -80%
8 Key risks
RIG key risks include [1] a substantial debt load that limits its financial flexibility and [2] potential contract renegotiations and high rig operating costs that threaten revenue stability.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RIG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

The stock performance of Transocean (RIG) from August 31, 2025, to December 24, 2025, was influenced by several key developments:

1. Strong Contract Acquisition and Backlog Growth: Transocean secured significant new contracts and exercised options for its ultra-deepwater and harsh-environment drillships, substantially bolstering its backlog. This included an $89 million backlog from exercised options for a drillship and two semisubmersibles in November 2025, a $243 million in deals for ultra-deepwater drillships announced in October 2025, and a $130 million award for an ultra-deepwater drillship in Australia announced in December 2025. As of July 2025, the backlog stood at $7.2 billion, and was reported at $7.9 billion in December 2025, with strong forward coverage for 2025 and 2026. These contracts signal heightened demand for their services and strengthen future revenue prospects.

2. Positive Earnings Performance and Increased Revenue Efficiency: Transocean reported a strong performance in its third quarter 2025 earnings, surpassing market expectations with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.06 against an expected $0.04. Contract drilling revenues increased sequentially to $1.03 billion, driven by improved rig utilization and revenue efficiency, which reached 97.5% in Q3 2025. This financial outperformance and operational reliability contributed to investor confidence.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 13.8% change in RIG stock from 9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 20.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
923202512232025Change
Stock Price ($)3.544.0313.84%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3794.003874.002.11%
P/S Multiple0.831.0020.66%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)888.00961.00-8.22%
Cumulative Contribution13.07%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
RIG13.8% 
Market (SPY)3.7%43.7%
Sector (XLE)-0.2%44.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 49.3% change in RIG stock from 6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 53.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
624202512232025Change
Stock Price ($)2.704.0349.26%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3667.003874.005.64%
P/S Multiple0.651.0053.76%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)883.00961.00-8.83%
Cumulative Contribution48.09%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
RIG49.3% 
Market (SPY)13.7%38.1%
Sector (XLE)5.7%54.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 16.1% change in RIG stock from 12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 16.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
1223202412232025Change
Stock Price ($)3.474.0316.14%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3313.003874.0016.93%
P/S Multiple0.921.008.59%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)879.00961.00-9.33%
Cumulative Contribution15.13%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
RIG16.1% 
Market (SPY)16.7%49.3%
Sector (XLE)8.7%66.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The -13.7% change in RIG stock from 12/24/2022 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -34.6% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
1224202212232025Change
Stock Price ($)4.674.03-13.70%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2590.003874.0049.58%
P/S Multiple1.291.00-22.35%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)714.00961.00-34.59%
Cumulative Contribution-24.03%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2023 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
RIG-36.6% 
Market (SPY)48.4%42.2%
Sector (XLE)10.9%65.7%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RIG Return-66%19%65%39%-41%7%-42%
Peers Return���25%-28%-2%�
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RIG Win Rate50%50%75%42%42%75% 
Peers Win Rate��64%42%33%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RIG Max Drawdown-90%0%-14%-6%-45%-43% 
Peers Max Drawdown���-11%-34%-42% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NE, VAL, SDRL. See RIG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/23/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRIGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-53.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven108 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-90.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven969.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven830 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-75.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven310.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-73.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven282.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to NE, VAL, HP, LBRT, TDW

In The Past

Transocean's stock fell -53.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/2/2021. A -53.5% loss requires a 115.3% gain to breakeven.

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About Transocean (RIG)

Transocean Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides offshore contract drilling services for oil and gas wells worldwide. It contracts its mobile offshore drilling rigs, related equipment, and work crews to drill oil and gas wells. As of February 14, 2022, the company had partial ownership interests in and operated a fleet of 37 mobile offshore drilling units, including 27 ultra-deep water and 10 harsh environment floaters. It serves integrated energy companies, government-owned or government-controlled oil companies, and other independent energy companies. The company was founded in 1926 and is based in Steinhausen, Switzerland.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Transocean (RIG):

  • Maersk for offshore oil drilling. (Maersk operates a massive global fleet of ships to transport goods; Transocean operates a massive global fleet of rigs to extract oil.)
  • Ryder for ultra-deepwater oil rigs. (Ryder leases and manages fleets of specialized trucks; Transocean leases and manages fleets of specialized offshore drilling rigs.)
  • United Rentals for highly specialized, ultra-deepwater oil drilling equipment. (United Rentals provides a wide range of industrial equipment for rent; Transocean essentially provides highly specialized, large-scale drilling equipment with operators for rent/contract.)

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Ultra-deepwater and Deepwater Drilling Services: Transocean provides highly specialized mobile offshore drilling units and crews to explore and develop oil and gas wells in water depths ranging from 1,000 to over 12,000 feet.
  • Harsh Environment Drilling Services: The company offers robust, purpose-built drilling rigs and experienced personnel capable of operating safely and efficiently in extreme weather conditions and challenging offshore environments, such as the North Sea.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Transocean (RIG) Major Customers

Transocean (RIG) is a leading international provider of offshore contract drilling services. Given its business model, Transocean sells primarily to other companies, specifically major oil and gas exploration and production companies. While Transocean's specific contractual customer details are proprietary, its customer base consists of the largest national, international, and independent oil and gas companies that require deepwater and ultra-deepwater drilling services for their exploration and development projects. Here are examples of major companies that are frequent clients for offshore drilling contractors like Transocean, representing the types of entities that constitute Transocean's primary customer base:
  • Exxon Mobil Corporation (Symbol: XOM)
  • Shell plc (Symbol: SHEL)
  • Chevron Corporation (Symbol: CVX)
  • BP p.l.c. (Symbol: BP)
  • TotalEnergies SE (Symbol: TTE)
  • Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. (Petrobras) (Symbol: PBR)
  • Equinor ASA (Symbol: EQNR)

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • NOV Inc. (NOV)
  • Schlumberger (SLB)
  • ABB Ltd (ABB)
  • Kongsberg Gruppen (KOG.OL)

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Keelan Adamson, President and Chief Executive Officer

Keelan Adamson became President and Chief Executive Officer of Transocean in April 2025. He joined Transocean in 1995 and has held various rig management positions in the United Kingdom, Asia, and Africa. Adamson's career with Transocean also includes leadership roles in sales and marketing, and serving as the Managing Director for the company's business in North America, Canada, and Trinidad. Prior to his current role, he served as President and Chief Operating Officer (February 2022 - April 2025), Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer (2018-2022), Senior Vice President, Operations (2017-2018), Senior Vice President, Operations Integrity and HSE (2015-2017), and Vice President, Human Resources (2012-2015). He earned a bachelor's degree in Aeronautical Engineering from The Queens University of Belfast and completed the Advanced Management Program at Harvard Business School.

R. Thaddeus Vayda, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

R. Thaddeus Vayda has served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Transocean since 2024. Before this, he was the Senior Vice President of Corporate Finance and Treasurer at Transocean. Mr. Vayda also held the position of Vice President of Investor Relations and Communications from March 2012 to June 2014.

Jeremy D. Thigpen, Chairman of the Board

Jeremy D. Thigpen became Chairman of the Board of Transocean in 2025. He previously served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Transocean from April 2015 until Keelan Adamson's appointment in April 2025. Prior to joining Transocean, Mr. Thigpen spent 18 years at National Oilwell Varco Inc., where he held several significant leadership roles. These included Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer (2012-2015), President of the Downhole and Pumping Solutions business (2007-2012), and President of the Downhole Tools group (2003-2007). He also served in various management and business development capacities, including Director of Business Development and Special Assistant to the Chairman. Mr. Thigpen earned a Bachelor of Arts degree in Economics and Managerial Studies from Rice University and completed the Program for Management Development at Harvard Business School.

Brady Long, Executive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer

Brady Long is the Executive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer of Transocean. He joined Transocean in 2015. Before his tenure at Transocean, Mr. Long was the Vice President, General Counsel & Secretary at Ensco plc for four years, a role he assumed following the merger of Pride International with Ensco. He also served as Pride International's Vice President, General Counsel & Secretary for two years, having initially joined Pride in 2005 as Assistant General Counsel. Additionally, he served as Pride's Chief Compliance Officer from 2006 to 2009. Before entering the offshore drilling industry, Mr. Long practiced corporate and securities law at Bracewell LLP. He earned a Bachelor of Arts degree from Brigham Young University, a Juris Doctorate from The University of Texas School of Law, and an Executive LLM in Tax from New York University.

Jason Pack, Senior Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer

Jason Pack has served as Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer of Transocean since 2024. Prior to this, he was the Senior Vice President and Chief Audit Executive for Transocean from 2018 to 2024. Mr. Pack also served as Vice President of Internal Audit at National Oilwell Varco, where he held various other roles including Vice President of Finance Drilling and Intervention, Vice President of Finance Africa, and Global Controller Downhole. He was also Senior Controller at NQL Drilling Tools Inc.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Transocean (RIG) include:

  1. High Debt Load and Financial Obligations: Transocean carries a substantial long-term debt, projected to be around $5.9 billion by the end of 2025, which results in significant interest expenses that consume a large portion of operating cash flow. This high leverage limits the company's financial flexibility, making it vulnerable to economic downturns and impacting its ability to invest in growth or weather market slumps.
  2. Cyclicality of the Offshore Drilling Industry and Oil Price Volatility: The offshore drilling sector is highly dependent on fluctuating crude oil prices and the capital expenditure trends of oil and gas companies. Subdued capital expenditure, lack of clear direction from operators, and wavering oil prices can lead to reduced demand for Transocean's drilling services, lower rig utilization rates, and downward pressure on day rates, directly affecting revenue and profitability.
  3. Operational Risks and Contractual Challenges: Transocean faces risks related to contract negotiations, including operators being hesitant to commit to long-term agreements or potentially seeking to repudiate or renegotiate existing contracts, which could significantly impact revenue stability. Additionally, the company faces high operating and maintenance costs for its advanced rigs, leading to margin pressure. Rig downtime due to equipment breakdowns, severe weather, labor issues, or other unforeseen problems can also reduce day rates or suspend operations, affecting profitability.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The global energy transition away from fossil fuels and towards renewable energy sources poses a clear emerging threat. Transocean's primary clients, major international oil and gas companies, are increasingly committing to decarbonization strategies, setting net-zero targets, divesting from hydrocarbon assets, and redirecting capital expenditures towards renewable energy projects. This fundamental shift in the energy landscape is impacting the long-term demand for offshore drilling services, potentially leading to reduced exploration activity, fewer new deepwater drilling contracts, and accelerated decline in demand for existing assets over the coming decades.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable market for Transocean's main products and services, which primarily consist of offshore contract drilling services, can be identified by the global offshore drilling market. Transocean specializes in providing advanced drilling services, including ultra-deepwater and harsh environment drilling, using its fleet of mobile offshore drilling units such as drillships and semi-submersibles.

The global offshore drilling market was valued at approximately USD 40.04 billion in 2024. This market is projected to grow to about USD 43.78 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach approximately USD 69.34 billion by 2032, demonstrating a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.79% during this period. Other estimates place the global offshore drilling market size at USD 39.61 billion in 2024, with a predicted increase to around USD 86.09 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 8.07% from 2025 to 2034. Similarly, another report valued the market at USD 37.35 billion in 2023, poised to grow from USD 40.2 billion in 2024 to USD 69.59 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 7.1%.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Transocean (RIG) is expected to experience future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years driven by several key factors in the offshore drilling market:

  1. Increased Rig Utilization: Improved utilization of Transocean's offshore drilling rigs is a significant driver of revenue growth. The company reported increased contract drilling revenues due to improved rig utilization and revenue efficiency. Furthermore, Transocean's active fleet is highly contracted, with over 97% booked for 2025, demonstrating strong demand.
  2. Higher Day Rates: The offshore drilling market is experiencing upward pressure on day rates, particularly for high-specification ultra-deepwater and harsh environment rigs. As the market is expected to tighten by late 2026 or early 2027, global active ultra-deepwater fleet utilization is projected to approach 90%, which should further result in upward pressure on day rates.
  3. New Contract Wins and Strong Backlog: Transocean continues to secure new contracts and maintain a substantial backlog, providing clear visibility for future revenue. The company's backlog stood at $7.2 billion as of July 2025 and increased to $9.3 billion in October 2024. Rig contracting activity is increasing, with new contracts anticipated in regions such as the U.S. Gulf, Brazil, and Africa.
  4. Growth in Deepwater and Ultra-Deepwater Drilling Activity: The market is projected to see increased capital expenditure and activity in deepwater and ultra-deepwater drilling. Wood Mackenzie's analysis shows deepwater and ultra-deepwater development CapEx rising from $64 billion in 2025 to $79 billion in 2027, a 23% increase. Transocean's fleet, composed of 26 ultra-deepwater floaters and eight harsh environment floaters, is well-positioned to benefit from this trend. The overall offshore drilling market is also expected to grow, with projections reaching approximately $80.64 billion by 2033 from $36.60 billion in 2023.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Transocean has a long-standing Share Repurchase Program approved in 2009 for up to CHF 3.5 billion, which was renewed in 2013.
  • As of Q3 2024, management indicated that share repurchases would be considered once the company reaches a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 3.5 turns.

Share Issuance

  • In September 2025, Transocean announced a public offering to sell 100,000,000 shares, with an option for underwriters to purchase up to an additional 15,000,000 shares.
  • This offering was later upsized to 125 million shares at $3.05 each, generating approximately $381.25 million, primarily intended for debt repayment.
  • The company raised approximately $195 million through share issuances in July and August 2025 and secured an additional $421 million from another equity issuance in September 2025.

Inbound Investments

  • Perestroika, a ten percent owner of Transocean, acquired 4,000,000 registered shares for $12.2 million on September 26, 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for Q2 2024 amounted to $84 million.
  • Expected capital expenditures for the full year 2024 were $250 million, with approximately $115 million allocated to the Deepwater Aquila. An earlier estimate for 2024 CapEx was $195 million.
  • For the full year 2026, capital expenditures are projected to be between $125 million and $135 million, focusing on maintaining and upgrading the specialized fleet.

Better Bets than Transocean (RIG)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to RIG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.5%6.5%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
29.0%29.0%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.3%-4.3%-7.1%
RIG_9302024_Short_Squeeze09302024RIGTransoceanSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-25.4%-26.6%-49.9%
RIG_12312022_Short_Squeeze12312022RIGTransoceanSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
53.7%39.3%-6.4%
RIG_4302021_Short_Squeeze04302021RIGTransoceanSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
9.6%16.8%-14.3%

Recent Active Movers

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Peer Comparisons for Transocean

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RIGNEVALSDRLMedian
NameTransoce.Noble Valaris Seadrill  
Mkt Price4.0328.2449.5932.7930.52
Mkt Cap3.94.53.52.03.7
Rev LTM3,8743,4482,4161,3642,932
Op Inc LTM60163654834574
FCF LTM482392250-106321
FCF 3Y Avg1249-64-1
CFO LTM60690159919602
CFO 3Y Avg396722417-417

Growth & Margins

RIGNEVALSDRLMedian
NameTransoce.Noble Valaris Seadrill  
Rev Chg LTM16.9%24.3%6.8%-9.3%11.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.6%59.6%-13.9%14.6%
Rev Chg Q8.4%-0.3%-7.4%2.5%1.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.1%-0.1%-1.9%0.7%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM15.5%18.5%22.7%2.5%17.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.9%21.8%12.6%14.3%13.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.0%-2.2%0.7%-1.6%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM15.6%26.1%24.8%1.4%20.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.6%24.3%19.3%-19.3%
FCF/Rev LTM12.4%11.4%10.3%-7.8%10.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1.5%8.2%-2.9%--1.5%

Valuation

RIGNEVALSDRLMedian
NameTransoce.Noble Valaris Seadrill  
Mkt Cap3.94.53.52.03.7
P/S1.01.31.51.51.4
P/EBIT-1.68.14.8127.16.5
P/E-1.319.88.859.814.3
P/CFO6.45.05.9107.06.1
Total Yield-75.7%8.6%11.4%1.7%5.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.5%4.9%-1.3%-2.5%
D/E1.60.40.30.30.4
Net D/E1.40.30.10.10.2

Returns

RIGNEVALSDRLMedian
NameTransoce.Noble Valaris Seadrill  
1M Rtn3.6%-4.7%-8.4%8.7%-0.5%
3M Rtn13.8%1.3%-1.8%3.4%2.4%
6M Rtn49.3%7.7%18.6%25.7%22.2%
12M Rtn16.1%4.5%21.0%-8.1%10.3%
3Y Rtn-13.7%-14.7%-25.6%5.2%-14.2%
1M Excs Rtn-1.0%-9.3%-13.1%4.1%-5.2%
3M Excs Rtn6.6%-6.1%-6.5%-2.3%-4.2%
6M Excs Rtn39.2%-5.7%4.6%13.2%8.9%
12M Excs Rtn-4.3%-12.4%3.4%-27.1%-8.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-85.2%-85.6%-97.1%-66.2%-85.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Contract drilling services2,832    
Harsh environment floaters 8678361,0461,069
Ultra-deepwater floaters 1,7081,7202,0941,957
Midwater floaters   1255
Total2,8322,5752,5563,1523,081


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$4.03 
Market Cap ($ Bil)3.9 
First Trading Date05/28/1993 
Distance from 52W High-9.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$3.97$3.14
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA1.6%28.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility57.0%63.4%
Downside Capture198.45146.80
Upside Capture226.87139.61
Correlation (SPY)41.8%49.1%
RIG Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.032.061.971.741.571.45
Up Beta2.891.582.041.291.101.07
Down Beta3.212.632.471.832.432.06
Up Capture275%369%303%303%161%211%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days11264069120360
Down Capture111%107%108%132%126%108%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days6132051122373

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of RIG With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 RIGSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return11.3%9.4%18.8%72.9%9.0%3.7%-11.4%
Annualized Volatility63.1%24.5%19.5%19.2%15.3%17.2%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio0.420.320.762.720.360.05-0.14
Correlation With Other Assets 66.7%49.0%4.4%53.9%32.5%27.1%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of RIG With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 RIGSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return10.1%21.7%14.8%18.9%11.8%4.7%35.5%
Annualized Volatility67.5%26.7%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.9%
Sharpe Ratio0.420.740.700.980.510.160.62
Correlation With Other Assets 66.3%32.1%11.6%51.3%21.0%17.4%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of RIG With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 RIGSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-11.3%7.9%14.8%15.1%6.8%5.4%69.1%
Annualized Volatility75.4%29.8%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.180.320.710.850.310.230.90
Correlation With Other Assets 65.8%40.5%3.9%50.5%28.7%11.1%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity143,632,957
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202515.1%
Average Daily Volume36,686,152
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.92
Basic Shares Quantity961,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares14.9%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/20252.1%1.8%13.6%
8/4/20253.6%3.6%6.4%
2/18/20250.6%-5.7%-9.3%
10/30/20249.0%17.3%10.6%
7/31/2024-5.7%-13.1%-18.1%
4/30/20241.0%9.6%13.0%
2/20/2024-4.5%-2.9%23.5%
10/31/20230.5%-1.8%-3.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141312
# Negative8910
Median Positive4.2%8.2%14.8%
Median Negative-4.7%-6.6%-10.8%
Max Positive20.9%48.6%190.3%
Max Negative-10.8%-16.2%-70.4%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021