Uranium Energy (UEC)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $12.68 | Market Cap: $5.9 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
Uranium Energy (UEC)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $12.68Market Cap: $5.9 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 189% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -90 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -181% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Datacenter Power, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Nuclear Power Generation, Show more. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 117x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null | |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -176%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -187% | |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 308% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.5% | |
| Key risksUEC key risks include [1] full, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 189% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Datacenter Power, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Nuclear Power Generation, Show more. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -90 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -181% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 117x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -176%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -187% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 308% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.5% |
| Key risksUEC key risks include [1] full, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
UEC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the stock movement for Uranium Energy (UEC) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 21, 2025:
1. Increased U.S. Government Support for Domestic Uranium
The U.S. government, particularly under the Trump administration, advanced initiatives to bolster domestic nuclear materials production and enrichment, including advocating for a strategic uranium reserve to buffer against supply disruptions and reduce reliance on Russian imports. In August 2025, Uranium Energy's Sweetwater Uranium Complex was designated for fast-track permitting under the FAST-41 initiative, aiming to expedite its development and integrate in-situ recovery capabilities. This policy shift created a highly favorable operating environment for American uranium producers.
2. Uranium Energy's Strategic Vertical Integration and Production Expansion
Uranium Energy made significant strategic moves, including the acquisition of the Sweetwater Complex in August 2025, positioning it to become the largest dual-feed uranium facility in the U.S.. Furthermore, in September 2025, the company launched the United States Uranium Refining & Conversion Corp (URNC), signaling its move towards becoming America's only vertically integrated uranium company by expanding into refining and conversion. The company also achieved its first production milestone in Wyoming in fiscal year 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| UEC Return | 91% | 90% | 16% | 65% | 5% | 78% | 1198% |
| Peers Return | 61% | 51% | -4% | 808% | -11% | 53% | 2781% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| UEC Win Rate | 42% | 67% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 50% | 37% | 63% | 50% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| UEC Max Drawdown | -58% | -10% | -28% | -39% | -33% | -40% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -52% | -6% | -18% | -14% | -27% | -43% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CCJ, UUUU, URG, EU, NXE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | UEC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -63.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 175.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 213 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -58.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 143.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 39 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -58.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 138.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 401 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -97.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 4215.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 5,530 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to CDE, KALU, CMP, NX, CCJ
In The Past
Uranium Energy's stock fell -63.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/13/2022. A -63.8% loss requires a 175.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to UEC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.2% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.2% | 24.2% | -5.7% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.7% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 27.0% | 27.0% | -0.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.2% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.2% | 24.2% | -5.7% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.7% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 27.0% | 27.0% | -0.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Uranium Energy
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 10.76 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.4 |
| Rev LTM | 47 |
| Op Inc LTM | -76 |
| FCF LTM | -87 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -57 |
| CFO LTM | -51 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -38 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 103.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 69.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | -4.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -155.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -175.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -138.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -84.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -183.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -164.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.4 |
| P/S | 13.6 |
| P/EBIT | -14.0 |
| P/E | -12.7 |
| P/CFO | -22.7 |
| Total Yield | -4.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -4.6% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 13.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 40.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 51.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 188.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 24.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 32.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 141.4% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 12102025 | 10-Q 10/31/2025 |
| 7312025 | 9242025 | 10-K 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6022025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3122025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12052024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9272024 | 10-K 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6102024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3112024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12112023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9292023 | 10-K 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6092023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3132023 | 10-Q 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12192022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9292022 | 10-K 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6142022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3172022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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