Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, Dividend Yield is 3.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.5%, FCF Yield is 8.7%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -74%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.3%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
  Key risks
NE key risks include [1] operational challenges and margin pressures following its Diamond acquisition, Show more.
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Energy Security & Supply, US Energy Independence, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Deepwater Offshore Drilling, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, Dividend Yield is 3.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.5%, FCF Yield is 8.7%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Energy Security & Supply, US Energy Independence, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Deepwater Offshore Drilling, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -74%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.3%
7 Key risks
NE key risks include [1] operational challenges and margin pressures following its Diamond acquisition, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points that likely contributed to Noble Corporation's (NE) stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to today:

1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance and Backlog Growth: Noble Corporation announced its Q3 2025 results, reporting $277 million in operating cash flow and $139 million in free cash flow, alongside an increase in backlog to $7.0 billion due to new contract value. Despite a net loss, these figures suggest underlying operational strength and future revenue visibility.

2. Strategic Divestment of Jackups: On December 8, 2025, Noble announced definitive agreements to sell six jackups for a total of $424 million, a move expected to be immediately accretive to shareholders and bolster the company's balance sheet. This strategic realignment towards a pureplay deepwater and ultra-harsh environment jackup operator was likely viewed positively by investors.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NE Return50%30%-32%-4%
Peers Return1%-29%-9%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NE Win Rate33%33%50%33%58% 
Peers Win Rate72%33%42%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NE Max Drawdown0%-6%-37%-40% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-36%-44% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RIG, VAL, SDRL, PTEN, NBR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-22.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to FTI, WFRD, VAL, HP, PTEN


In The Past

Noble's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/12/2023. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Noble (NE)

Better Bets than Noble (NE)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%4.5%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.5%24.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.1%-7.1%-7.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%4.5%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.5%24.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.1%-7.1%-7.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Noble

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NERIGVALSDRLPTENNBRMedian
NameNoble Transoce.Valaris Seadrill Patterso.Nabors I. 
Mkt Price28.523.9549.6330.485.9550.8029.50
Mkt Cap4.53.83.51.92.30.72.9
Rev LTM3,4483,8742,4161,3644,8383,1173,283
Op Inc LTM63660154834-67265407
FCF LTM392482250-106289-166269
FCF 3Y Avg2491-64-3953434
CFO LTM90160659919880596602
CFO 3Y Avg722396417-1,016622622

Growth & Margins

NERIGVALSDRLPTENNBRMedian
NameNoble Transoce.Valaris Seadrill Patterso.Nabors I. 
Rev Chg LTM24.3%16.9%6.8%-9.3%-16.6%6.5%6.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg59.6%14.6%-13.9%33.5%9.2%14.6%
Rev Chg Q-0.3%8.4%-7.4%2.5%-13.4%11.8%1.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.1%2.1%-1.9%0.7%-3.6%2.9%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM18.5%15.5%22.7%2.5%-1.4%8.5%12.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg21.8%5.9%12.6%14.3%4.9%8.6%10.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.2%2.0%0.7%-1.6%1.4%0.2%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM26.1%15.6%24.8%1.4%18.2%19.1%18.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg24.3%11.6%19.3%-22.1%20.6%20.6%
FCF/Rev LTM11.4%12.4%10.3%-7.8%6.0%-5.3%8.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.2%-1.5%-2.9%-8.5%1.2%1.2%

Valuation

NERIGVALSDRLPTENNBRMedian
NameNoble Transoce.Valaris Seadrill Patterso.Nabors I. 
Mkt Cap4.53.83.51.92.30.72.9
P/S1.30.81.41.40.40.21.0
P/EBIT8.1-1.24.7117.1-29.70.82.7
P/E19.8-1.08.655.1-14.62.65.6
P/CFO5.04.95.898.62.31.05.0
Total Yield8.6%-97.8%11.6%1.8%-3.8%38.6%5.2%
Dividend Yield3.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%3.1%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.9%2.5%-1.3%-14.0%1.6%2.5%
D/E0.42.10.30.30.64.10.5
Net D/E0.31.80.10.10.63.40.4

Returns

NERIGVALSDRLPTENNBRMedian
NameNoble Transoce.Valaris Seadrill Patterso.Nabors I. 
1M Rtn-3.3%-3.2%-11.6%-0.6%4.2%7.2%-1.9%
3M Rtn-4.3%16.2%-5.3%-9.8%10.1%25.4%2.9%
6M Rtn2.0%27.8%8.6%7.1%-5.0%50.4%7.8%
12M Rtn1.4%7.6%15.2%-18.3%-14.6%-15.1%-6.6%
3Y Rtn-5.3%-7.7%-17.6%5.2%-59.0%-64.0%-12.7%
1M Excs Rtn-4.0%-3.9%-12.3%-1.3%3.5%6.5%-2.6%
3M Excs Rtn-4.8%12.8%-7.3%-9.4%7.7%28.1%1.5%
6M Excs Rtn-10.4%15.4%-3.8%-5.3%-17.4%38.0%-4.6%
12M Excs Rtn-11.8%-8.7%2.8%-31.4%-29.9%-33.4%-20.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-73.6%-67.4%-85.0%-63.7%-128.0%-132.3%-79.3%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023
Contract Drilling Services2,5891,333
Reimbursables and other 81
Total2,5891,414


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11,660,955
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520255.3%
Average Daily Volume1,494,738
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.80
Basic Shares Quantity158,834,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/27/2025-1.5%-1.9%0.3%
8/5/20252.1%0.3%9.0%
2/18/2025-0.1%-6.6%-13.8%
11/5/202411.3%10.3%5.1%
7/31/2024-5.5%-15.6%-19.8%
5/6/2024-0.9%1.8%-7.2%
2/22/2024-1.9%-5.3%9.0%
5/4/20231.1%-2.5%9.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive555
# Negative555
Median Positive2.1%1.8%9.0%
Median Negative-1.5%-5.3%-7.2%
Max Positive11.3%10.3%9.5%
Max Negative-5.5%-15.6%-19.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022309202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Hirshberg Al J. 3132025Buy23.005,000115,000669,990Form
1SLEDGE CHARLES M 2242025Buy27.838,992250,2471,067,587Form
2Barker Richard B.EVP and CFO2202025Buy27.948,000223,5208,340,230Form
3Eifler Robert W.President & CEO2202025Buy27.8512,568350,01934,432,765Form