Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, Dividend Yield is 3.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.5%, FCF Yield is 8.7%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.3%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -68%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Energy Security & Supply, US Energy Independence, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Deepwater Offshore Drilling, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, Dividend Yield is 3.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.5%, FCF Yield is 8.7%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Energy Security & Supply, US Energy Independence, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Deepwater Offshore Drilling, Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -68%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the stock movement of Noble (symbol: NE) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Robust Contract Awards and Backlog Growth: Noble consistently announced significant new contract awards throughout the period, bolstering its backlog and providing increased revenue visibility. The company secured approximately $380 million in new contracts by early August, increasing its backlog to $6.9 billion. This was followed by an additional $740 million in new contract value announced with the third-quarter results, expanding the backlog to $7.0 billion. These awards demonstrate strong demand for Noble's drilling services and future revenue potential.

2. Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: On October 27, 2025, Noble reported its third-quarter 2025 results, which included a net loss of $21 million and diluted earnings per share of $0.13. However, the company also reported adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.19 and adjusted EBITDA of $254 million. While the net loss might have initially been a concern, the accompanying strong contract wins likely offset some negative sentiment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NE Return--50%30%-32%5%40%
Peers Return-30%1503%99%20%-9%12%2656%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NE Win Rate-33%33%50%33%60% 
Peers Win Rate22%49%68%43%47%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NE Max Drawdown--0%-6%-37%-40% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-9%-8%-22%-25%-37% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FTI, WFRD, VAL, HP, PTEN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-22.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to FTI, WFRD, VAL, HP, PTEN


In The Past

Noble's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/12/2023. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Noble (NE)

Better Bets than Noble (NE)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Noble

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NEFTIWFRDVALHPPTENMedian
NameNoble TechnipF.Weatherf.Valaris Helmeric.Patterso. 
Mkt Price33.1246.6776.9660.4230.316.2839.89
Mkt Cap5.319.15.54.33.02.44.8
Rev LTM3,4489,7834,9702,4163,4284,8384,143
Op Inc LTM6361,292725548312-67592
FCF LTM3921,54138225037289335
FCF 3Y Avg249913498-64213395322
CFO LTM9011,890657599505880768
CFO 3Y Avg7221,1777424176571,016732

Growth & Margins

NEFTIWFRDVALHPPTENMedian
NameNoble TechnipF.Weatherf.Valaris Helmeric.Patterso. 
Rev Chg LTM24.3%11.2%-10.2%6.8%25.9%-16.6%9.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg59.6%14.5%7.6%-27.4%33.5%27.4%
Rev Chg Q-0.3%12.7%-12.6%-7.4%49.2%-13.4%-3.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.1%3.2%-3.4%-1.9%11.1%-3.6%-1.0%
Op Mgn LTM18.5%13.2%14.6%22.7%9.1%-1.4%13.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg21.8%9.7%15.8%12.6%14.2%4.9%13.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.2%0.8%-0.8%0.7%-3.0%1.4%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM26.1%19.3%13.2%24.8%14.7%18.2%18.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg24.3%13.0%14.3%19.3%22.5%22.1%20.7%
FCF/Rev LTM11.4%15.8%7.7%10.3%1.1%6.0%9.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.2%10.0%9.6%-2.9%7.5%8.5%8.3%

Valuation

NEFTIWFRDVALHPPTENMedian
NameNoble TechnipF.Weatherf.Valaris Helmeric.Patterso. 
Mkt Cap5.319.15.54.33.02.44.8
P/S1.31.71.01.40.40.41.1
P/EBIT8.112.56.74.77.5-29.77.1
P/E19.817.112.18.6-48.8-14.610.4
P/CFO5.08.57.55.83.02.35.4
Total Yield8.6%6.4%9.7%11.6%0.7%-3.8%7.5%
Dividend Yield3.6%0.5%1.5%0.0%2.8%3.1%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.9%7.0%8.4%-1.3%6.4%14.0%6.7%
D/E0.40.10.40.31.50.60.4
Net D/E0.30.00.20.11.30.60.2

Returns

NEFTIWFRDVALHPPTENMedian
NameNoble TechnipF.Weatherf.Valaris Helmeric.Patterso. 
1M Rtn11.0%11.0%2.3%6.0%13.7%-0.5%8.5%
3M Rtn16.9%22.2%23.8%23.3%52.4%15.4%22.7%
6M Rtn27.9%48.1%66.4%51.5%88.9%15.1%49.8%
12M Rtn5.2%49.0%-7.7%30.0%-10.0%-19.3%-1.3%
3Y Rtn-0.7%268.9%83.1%-8.8%-31.5%-60.2%-4.7%
1M Excs Rtn11.1%11.0%2.3%6.1%13.7%-0.5%8.5%
3M Excs Rtn9.6%12.5%17.9%14.9%41.6%3.9%13.7%
6M Excs Rtn13.2%33.4%51.7%36.7%74.1%0.4%35.1%
12M Excs Rtn-7.0%36.1%-18.4%17.3%-22.0%-34.0%-12.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-68.0%220.8%11.0%-76.7%-101.4%-131.6%-72.4%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11,071,788
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-1.5%
Average Daily Volume1,267,671
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.73
Basic Shares Quantity158,834,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022309202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Hirshberg Al J. 3132025Buy23.005,000115,000669,990Form
1SLEDGE CHARLES M 2242025Buy27.838,992250,2471,067,587Form
2Barker Richard B.EVP and CFO2202025Buy27.948,000223,5208,340,230Form
3Eifler Robert W.President & CEO2202025Buy27.8512,568350,01934,432,765Form