Tearsheet

Baytex Energy (BTE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.2 | Market Cap: $2.5 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Baytex Energy (BTE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.2
Market Cap: $2.5 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 3.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 23%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 111%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -61%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -14%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 3.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 23%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -61%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 111%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -14%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BTE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period for Baytex Energy (BTE) stock movement is from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. As this period is in the future, it is not possible to provide factual information or reasons for stock movements that have not yet occurred. However, recent news and analyst outlooks regarding Baytex Energy provide insights into factors that could influence its stock price. Here are some key points based on recent information leading up to December 2025: 1. 1. Strategic Asset Divestiture: Baytex Energy announced plans to divest its U.S. Eagle Ford assets, a move aimed at advancing its higher-return Canadian core portfolio. This strategic realignment is expected to reduce debt and amplify opportunities in Canadian oil frontiers, leading to positive sentiment among analysts. 2. 2. Debt Optimization and Financial Flexibility: Related to the asset sale, Baytex Energy commenced a cash tender offer for its 7.375% Senior Notes due 2032 and intends to redeem its 8.500% Senior Notes due 2030. These financial maneuvers are designed to optimize the company's debt structure and enhance its financial flexibility. 3.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BTE Return-64%0%0%542%-21%26%131%
Peers Return-39%91%65%8%-3%-3%93%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BTE Win Rate42%0%0%50%42%60% 
Peers Win Rate37%70%58%57%48%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BTE Max Drawdown-86%0%0%0%-31%-42% 
Peers Max Drawdown-73%-1%0%-14%-12%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: COP, CNQ, EOG, FANG, OXY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBTES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-32.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven48.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-87.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven674.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1060 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-79.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven395.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-75.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven315.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven386 days1480 days

Compare to COP, CNQ, EOG, FANG, OXY


In The Past

Baytex Energy's stock fell -32.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/19/2023. A -32.6% loss requires a 48.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Baytex Energy (BTE)

Better Bets than Baytex Energy (BTE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Fundamental Metrics: ... 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BTE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Baytex Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BTECOPCNQEOGFANGOXYMedian
NameBaytex E.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb.Occident. 
Mkt Price3.2591.8134.13111.51158.3842.4567.13
Mkt Cap2.5114.371.360.345.741.853.0
Rev LTM3,83059,78844,52122,57915,28427,15024,864
Op Inc LTM61612,5499,0227,5395,5845,4576,562
FCF LTM4207,0888,1243,891-1,0944,7764,334
FCF 3Y Avg3988,9108,2845,167-1,9665,7455,456
CFO LTM1,72719,93514,77010,1958,75612,14611,170
CFO 3Y Avg1,58920,72013,87411,4536,73012,36611,909

Growth & Margins

BTECOPCNQEOGFANGOXYMedian
NameBaytex E.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb.Occident. 
Rev Chg LTM-10.0%8.2%8.3%-5.0%60.1%0.1%4.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.2%-6.6%-2.4%-7.6%20.8%-6.8%-4.5%
Rev Chg Q-13.7%15.3%6.4%-2.3%48.2%-5.9%2.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.7%3.4%1.5%-0.6%9.1%-1.5%0.5%
Op Mgn LTM16.1%21.0%20.3%33.4%36.5%20.1%20.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg18.2%24.1%21.9%36.4%46.8%23.4%23.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.4%-1.0%-4.3%-0.8%-1.3%-2.0%-1.3%
CFO/Rev LTM45.1%33.3%33.2%45.2%57.3%44.7%44.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg42.7%35.6%32.8%49.0%62.5%43.1%42.9%
FCF/Rev LTM11.0%11.9%18.2%17.2%-7.2%17.6%14.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.4%15.3%19.6%22.1%-18.6%19.7%17.5%

Valuation

BTECOPCNQEOGFANGOXYMedian
NameBaytex E.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb.Occident. 
Mkt Cap2.5114.371.360.345.741.853.0
P/S0.52.01.52.72.71.51.7
P/EBIT3.58.17.68.36.98.87.8
P/E8.413.310.011.09.917.210.5
P/CFO1.05.94.55.94.73.44.6
Total Yield15.8%10.8%17.1%12.6%12.9%5.8%12.8%
Dividend Yield3.9%3.3%7.1%3.5%2.7%0.0%3.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg17.7%6.9%12.0%7.6%-5.2%11.6%9.6%
D/E1.10.20.30.10.40.60.3
Net D/E1.10.10.30.10.40.50.3

Returns

BTECOPCNQEOGFANGOXYMedian
NameBaytex E.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb.Occident. 
1M Rtn36.6%4.6%6.8%5.6%12.9%3.7%6.2%
3M Rtn45.4%-2.1%10.7%-6.6%12.1%-8.3%4.3%
6M Rtn93.0%8.7%13.4%2.5%15.3%2.4%11.0%
12M Rtn18.2%-10.4%5.1%-12.5%-7.3%-14.0%-8.9%
3Y Rtn557.1%-16.5%31.6%-9.3%23.4%-34.8%7.1%
1M Excs Rtn36.6%4.7%6.8%5.6%12.9%3.8%6.2%
3M Excs Rtn39.4%-8.6%4.9%-12.8%6.4%-14.3%-1.8%
6M Excs Rtn78.2%-6.0%-1.4%-12.2%0.5%-12.3%-3.7%
12M Excs Rtn3.8%-25.9%-7.2%-27.0%-21.8%-27.9%-23.9%
3Y Excs Rtn484.3%-90.4%-39.2%-80.6%-47.9%-107.7%-64.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment3,383    
Heavy oil 1,102561236500
Light oil and condensate 1,4711,0666241,139
Natural gas 1961477598
Natural gas liquids (NGL) 121954169
Total3,3832,8891,8689751,806


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity23,400,714
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-37.7%
Average Daily Volume27,706,583
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity768,317,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025103120256-K 9/30/2025
630202573120256-K 6/30/2025
331202550520256-K 3/31/2025
12312024305202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024103120246-K 9/30/2024
630202472620246-K 6/30/2024
331202451020246-K 3/31/2024
12312023229202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023110220236-K 9/30/2023
630202372820236-K 6/30/2023
331202350920236-K 3/31/2023
12312022224202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022110820226-K 9/30/2022
630202272720226-K 6/30/2022
331202242820226-K 3/31/2022
12312021301202240-F 12/31/2021