Tearsheet

Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ)


Market Price (2/18/2026): $40.59 | Market Cap: $84.7 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ)


Market Price (2/18/2026): $40.59
Market Cap: $84.7 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 5.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.2%, FCF Yield is 9.6%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.2%, Dist 3Y High is -0.2%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, CFO LTM is 15 Bil, FCF LTM is 8.1 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -8.2%
Key risks
CNQ key risks include [1] heightened exposure to Canadian climate policy and emissions caps due to its significant oil sands assets, Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Sustainable Resource Management, and North American Energy Security. Themes include Carbon Capture & Storage, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 5.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.2%, FCF Yield is 9.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, CFO LTM is 15 Bil, FCF LTM is 8.1 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Sustainable Resource Management, and North American Energy Security. Themes include Carbon Capture & Storage, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.2%, Dist 3Y High is -0.2%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -8.2%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.4%
7 Key risks
CNQ key risks include [1] heightened exposure to Canadian climate policy and emissions caps due to its significant oil sands assets, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ) stock has gained about 30% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results and Production Growth. Canadian Natural Resources announced robust third-quarter 2025 results on November 6, 2025, reporting record quarterly production volumes of approximately 1.62 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (MBOE/d). This marked a significant 19% increase from Q3 2024 levels, driven by both accretive acquisitions and organic growth across its asset base. The company also raised its 2025 corporate production guidance, signaling strong operational performance and a positive outlook for the year.

2. Strategic Acquisitions and Enhanced Asset Base. A key driver for the stock gain was the successful execution of strategic acquisitions that expanded and optimized Canadian Natural's asset portfolio. On November 1, 2025, the company completed the Athabasca Oil Sands Project (AOSP) swap transaction with Shell, resulting in 100% ownership of the Albian oil sands mines. This move added approximately 31,000 barrels per day of zero-decline bitumen production and is expected to unlock operational synergies. Furthermore, Canadian Natural's acquisition of Chevron's Alberta assets in late 2025 further contributed to its production tailwind, integrating high-margin barrels and lowering per-barrel operating costs for 2026.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 28.4% change in CNQ stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 60.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120252172026Change
Stock Price ($)31.6140.5928.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)43,85244,5211.5%
Net Income Margin (%)19.0%14.9%-21.2%
P/E Multiple8.012.760.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2,0932,0880.2%
Cumulative Contribution28.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/17/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CNQ28.4% 
Market (SPY)0.1%8.3%
Sector (XLE)22.0%61.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 31.4% change in CNQ stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 48.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120252172026Change
Stock Price ($)30.8840.5931.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)44,79944,521-0.6%
Net Income Margin (%)16.9%14.9%-11.6%
P/E Multiple8.612.748.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2,1012,0880.6%
Cumulative Contribution31.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/17/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CNQ31.4% 
Market (SPY)8.3%16.6%
Sector (XLE)24.3%65.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 41.0% change in CNQ stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 58.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120252172026Change
Stock Price ($)28.8040.5941.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)41,12444,5218.3%
Net Income Margin (%)18.5%14.9%-19.1%
P/E Multiple8.012.758.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2,1202,0881.5%
Cumulative Contribution41.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/17/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CNQ41.0% 
Market (SPY)14.5%48.8%
Sector (XLE)25.7%77.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 53.0% change in CNQ stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 156.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120232172026Change
Stock Price ($)26.5440.5953.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)48,70844,521-8.6%
Net Income Margin (%)24.5%14.9%-39.1%
P/E Multiple5.012.7156.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2,2372,0887.2%
Cumulative Contribution53.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/17/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CNQ53.0% 
Market (SPY)74.2%39.4%
Sector (XLE)31.2%77.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
CNQ Return84%40%24%-1%16%20%335%
Peers Return96%52%1%1%17%27%351%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-0%82%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CNQ Win Rate67%58%58%42%67%100% 
Peers Win Rate67%62%53%50%67%100% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CNQ Max Drawdown-6%0%-9%-9%-17%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-1%0%-19%-9%-16%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SU, CVE, COP, IMO, OVV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/17/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCNQS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven521 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-75.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven315.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven362 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven893 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-74.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven298.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4,836 days1,480 days

Compare to SU, CVE, COP, IMO, OVV

In The Past

Canadian Natural Resources's stock fell -34.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -34.9% loss requires a 53.6% gain to breakeven.

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About Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ)

Canadian Natural Resources Limited acquires, explores for, develops, produces, markets, and sells crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). The company offers synthetic crude oil (SCO), light and medium crude oil, bitumen (thermal oil), primary heavy crude oil, and Pelican Lake heavy crude oil. Its midstream and refining assets include two crude oil pipeline systems; and a 50% working interest in an 84-megawatt cogeneration plant at Primrose. As of December 31, 2020, the company had total proved crude oil, bitumen, and NGLs reserves were 10,528 million barrels (MMbbl); total proved plus probable crude oil, bitumen, and NGLs reserves were 13,271 MMbbl; proved SCO reserves were 6,998 MMbbl; total proved plus probable SCO reserves were 7,535 MMbbl; proved natural gas reserves were 12,168 billion cubic feet (Bcf); and total proved plus probable natural gas reserves were 20,249 Bcf. It operates primarily in Western Canada; the United Kingdom portion of the North Sea; and Offshore Africa. The company was formerly known as AEX Minerals Corporation and changed its name to Canadian Natural Resources Limited in December 1975. Canadian Natural Resources Limited was incorporated in 1973 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies to describe Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ):

  • Like Canada's version of an ExxonMobil or Chevron, but singularly focused on extracting oil and natural gas from the ground. (This highlights its scale and concentration on upstream production rather than full integration like the supermajors).
  • Like a BHP Billiton or Rio Tinto, but focused on extracting massive oil and natural gas resources instead of metals. (This emphasizes its large-scale, long-life resource extraction business, particularly its extensive oil sands operations).

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Crude Oil: Various grades of conventional and heavy crude oil extracted from their properties.
  • Synthetic Crude Oil (SCO): High-quality crude oil produced by upgrading bitumen from their oil sands mining and in-situ operations.
  • Natural Gas: Raw natural gas processed and sold for energy consumption.
  • Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs): Products like propane, butane, and condensate separated during natural gas and crude oil processing.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Canadian Natural Resources (symbol: CNQ) sells primarily to other companies rather than directly to individuals. As a major producer of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs), its products are commodities sold into wholesale markets.

According to Canadian Natural Resources' public filings, including their Annual Information Form (AIF), the company's sales are highly diversified. They explicitly state that they are not dependent on any single customer or a small group of customers. Therefore, specific names of major customer companies are not publicly disclosed by CNQ. Instead, their customer base comprises a broad range of entities within the following categories:

  • Refiners and Processors: These companies purchase crude oil and NGLs to transform them into a wide array of petroleum products such as gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, lubricants, and petrochemical feedstocks. These can be integrated oil companies or independent refiners operating in North America and internationally.
  • Commodity Marketers and Trading Houses: These firms specialize in buying and selling crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs in wholesale and global markets. They act as intermediaries, facilitating the flow of commodities from producers like CNQ to various end-users or other market participants, often leveraging logistics and market arbitrage.
  • Midstream Companies and Pipeline Operators: Particularly for natural gas and NGLs, these companies often purchase products directly from producers for gathering, processing, and transportation through extensive pipeline networks. They may then sell the processed products to utilities or large industrial consumers.
  • Utilities: For natural gas, CNQ sells to gas distribution utilities in Canada and the United States, which then supply natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial end-users.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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N. Murray Edwards, Executive Chairman

Mr. Edwards is the Executive Chairman of Canadian Natural Resources Limited. He has also served as President of Edco Financial Holdings Ltd.. He is a co-owner of the Calgary Flames. He has been Chairman of Canadian Natural since April 2012.

Scott G. Stauth, President

Scott Stauth was appointed President of Canadian Natural Resources in February 2024, having joined the company in 1997. Prior to becoming President, he held roles as Vice President of Field Operations and Senior Vice President of Operations Field, Facilities & Pipelines. He has also served as Senior Vice President of North American Operations and Chief Operating Officer Oil Sands. Before his promotion to President, he was Chief Operating Officer of Oil Sands. He previously worked as a Director at Oil Sands Safety Association.

Victor C. Darel, Chief Financial Officer and Principal Accounting Officer

Victor Darel is slated to be promoted to Chief Financial Officer and Principal Accounting Officer on April 30, 2025. He is a Chartered Professional Accountant with over 20 years of finance and accounting experience in both public and private sectors. Mr. Darel has been with Canadian Natural for 11 years, with increasing responsibilities, including Senior Vice President, Finance and Principal Accounting Officer.

Jay E. Froc, Chief Operating Officer, Oil Sands

Jay E. Froc is the Chief Operating Officer for Oil Sands at Canadian Natural Resources. He also holds the title of Senior Vice President, Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading.

Robin S. Zabek, Chief Operating Officer, Exploration and Production

Robin S. Zabek serves as the Chief Operating Officer, Exploration and Production for Canadian Natural Resources. He has also held the position of Senior Vice President of Exploitation.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ):
  1. Commodity Price Volatility: Canadian Natural Resources' profitability is heavily dependent on global oil and natural gas prices, which are highly unpredictable. This is consistently identified as the core financial risk and the most significant near-term threat to the business.
  2. Regulatory and Environmental Risks: The company faces significant long-term strategic risks related to regulatory and environmental shifts, particularly Canadian climate policy and emissions caps. Due to CNQ's substantial investment in Canadian oil sands, it is particularly sensitive to potential production caps, higher carbon pricing, and the risk of stranded assets as global decarbonization efforts continue.
  3. Pipeline Expansion Risks and Transportation Constraints: CNQ's growth strategy and ability to efficiently transport its products to high-value markets are reliant on pipeline projects. Delays, cancellations, or cost overruns in these projects could lead to transportation bottlenecks, increased storage expenses, and lower realized prices for its crude oil, impacting cash flow and profitability.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The accelerated global energy transition, characterized by rapidly increasing adoption of renewable energy sources and electric vehicles, poses an emerging threat by potentially leading to a structural decline in long-term demand for fossil fuels, which are Canadian Natural Resources' primary products. This shift, driven by technological advancements, falling costs of renewables, and tightening climate policies, could fundamentally reduce the addressable market for oil and natural gas over time.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ) is a major independent crude oil and natural gas producer with its primary operations in Western Canada, alongside activities in the UK North Sea and offshore Africa. The company's main products include various grades of crude oil (light, medium, heavy, bitumen, and synthetic crude oil), natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs).

Addressable Markets:

  • Crude Oil (including Oil Sands and NGLs) - Canada: Canada is a significant global player in crude oil, holding the world's fourth-largest proven oil reserves, with approximately 163 billion barrels, of which 159 billion barrels are in oil sands. In 2024, Canada's total crude oil production and equivalents reached 298.8 million cubic meters, marking a 4.3% increase from 2023. Canadian crude oil exports averaged 4.20 million barrels per day (MMb/d) in 2024. The value of Canadian crude oil exports was approximately $139 billion in 2023. Specifically, Alberta's oil sands alone account for roughly 158.9 billion barrels of proven reserves. The development of oil sands is projected to contribute over $200 billion annually to Canada's GDP over the next two decades.
  • Natural Gas - Canada: Canada is a top global producer and exporter of natural gas, ranking fifth in production and fourth in exports worldwide. The market size for natural gas distribution in Canada was valued at $16.1 billion in 2024 and is forecast to grow to $17.1 billion in 2025. In 2022, Canada's domestic natural gas sales amounted to 4.32 trillion cubic feet, with an additional 2.94 trillion cubic feet exported. Natural gas exports from Canada were valued at $13 billion in 2023. The Canadian compressed natural gas market, a segment of the broader natural gas market, generated revenues of USD 4,072.7 million in 2024 and is anticipated to reach USD 7,782.3 million by 2030, exhibiting an 11.5% compound annual growth rate from 2025 to 2030.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ) is expected to experience future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years driven by several key factors:

  1. Increased Production Volumes: The company has provided an increased 2025 production guidance, projecting between 1,560,000 and 1,580,000 barrels of oil equivalent (BOEs) per day. Recent reports also indicate record corporate production, including a 19% increase to 1.62 million boe/day in Q3 2025 and 1,582,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day in Q1 2025. This growth is supported by strong operational performance across its segments, such as record oil sands mining and upgrading production, and increased thermal in situ output.
  2. Strategic Asset Acquisitions: CNQ has actively pursued accretive acquisitions that contribute to its production capacity. Notable examples include the acquisition of $6.5 billion worth of assets from Chevron, adding approximately 122,500 barrels per day of production and 1.44 billion barrels of reserves. The Palliser Block acquisition in late June 2025 also contributed an additional 50,000 barrels per day. These acquisitions bolster the company's asset base and contribute directly to higher sales volumes.
  3. Favorable Commodity Price Environment: A sustained period of relatively strong crude oil and natural gas prices is a significant external driver. Analysts anticipate WTI crude prices to potentially remain in the $60-$75 range, which would support robust revenue generation and profitability for CNQ. While subject to market fluctuations, this outlook remains a key component of future revenue expectations.
  4. Enhanced Operational Efficiency and Cost Management: Although not a direct revenue generator, CNQ's continuous focus on operational efficiency and cost management allows for optimized capital allocation and improved margins, which indirectly support revenue growth by enabling more competitive pricing and funding for expansion. The company consistently emphasizes these aspects in its forward guidance.
  5. Exploration of Egress Opportunities: Canadian Natural Resources is actively exploring new egress opportunities for its oil and gas products. This strategy aims to improve market access and potentially secure better pricing, thereby supporting increased sales volumes and revenue aligned with market demands.

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Share Repurchases

  • Canadian Natural Resources announced a Normal Course Issuer Bid (NCIB) to repurchase up to 178.7 million shares (10% of the public float) between March 13, 2025, and March 12, 2026.
  • Under the previous NCIB (March 2024 - March 2025), the company purchased 52.38 million common shares at a weighted average price of $48.35 as of February 28, 2025, out of an authorized 180.46 million shares (adjusted for a 2-for-1 stock split).
  • In 2023, approximately 40.1 million common shares were repurchased for cancellation at a weighted average price of $82.86 per share, totaling $3.3 billion.

Share Issuance

  • The company's weighted average common shares outstanding declined by over 10% from 2,368 million at the end of 2020 to 2,103 million at the end of 2024, and further to 2.08 billion as of September 30, 2025, indicating a net reduction in shares.
  • A two-for-one common share split was effective for shareholders of record as of June 3, 2024.

Outbound Investments

  • In December 2024, Canadian Natural acquired Chevron's assets in Alberta for $6.5 billion, including an additional 20% working interest in the Athabasca Oil Sands Project (AOSP), bringing its total ownership to 90%, and a 70% interest in light crude oil and liquids-rich Duvernay assets.
  • The AOSP acquisition added approximately 62,500 barrels per day (bbl/d) of long-life synthetic crude oil (SCO) production.
  • The Duvernay assets are expected to add approximately 60,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOE/d) in 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • The 2025 operating capital budget is approximately C$6 billion, targeting annual average production growth of 12% over 2024 levels (1,510 MBOE/d to 1,555 MBOE/d). This budget includes approximately C$3.2 billion for conventional exploration and production (E&P) and C$2.815 billion for thermal and oil sands mining and upgrading.
  • The 2024 operating capital program was approximately $5.3 billion, which was $100 million under budget, and was strategically weighted to longer-cycle thermal development projects in the first half and shorter-cycle growth projects in the second half.
  • Capital expenditures are focused on maintaining and increasing production from a diversified asset base, including drilling 361 net wells in 2025, and completing projects like the Horizon Reliability Enhancement Project in 2024 to increase capacity and improve utilization.

Better Bets vs. Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ)

Latest Trefis Analyses

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1Fundamental Metrics: ...06/19/2024
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Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to CNQ.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
TPL_12262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12262025TPLTexas Pacific LandDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
50.3%50.3%-2.1%
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
38.7%38.7%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
31.4%31.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
28.3%28.3%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
55.6%55.6%-0.7%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CNQSUCVECOPIMOOVVMedian
NameCanadian.Suncor E.Cenovus .ConocoPh.Imperial.Ovintiv  
Mkt Price40.5955.0921.58107.94117.4246.0850.59
Mkt Cap84.766.738.6134.459.211.862.9
Rev LTM44,52153,30156,60259,78846,2448,94949,772
Op Inc LTM9,0227,9524,32812,5495,0302,0716,491
FCF LTM8,1248,0362,8247,0884,7831,4845,936
FCF 3Y Avg8,2847,6633,7438,9103,9281,4585,796
CFO LTM14,77013,9437,84919,9356,5793,71810,896
CFO 3Y Avg13,87413,6968,47120,7205,7673,82011,084

Growth & Margins

CNQSUCVECOPIMOOVVMedian
NameCanadian.Suncor E.Cenovus .ConocoPh.Imperial.Ovintiv  
Rev Chg LTM8.3%-2.8%-4.8%8.2%-6.2%-11.7%-3.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.4%-3.4%-6.6%-6.6%-5.6%-10.7%-6.1%
Rev Chg Q6.4%-2.4%-4.5%15.3%-7.5%-11.1%-3.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%-0.6%-1.1%3.4%-2.0%-2.8%-0.9%
Op Mgn LTM20.3%14.9%7.6%21.0%10.9%23.1%17.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg21.9%17.2%9.0%24.1%12.4%25.7%19.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-4.3%-0.3%0.9%-1.0%-1.7%-0.6%-0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM33.2%26.2%13.9%33.3%14.2%41.5%29.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg32.8%25.4%14.8%35.6%12.0%38.4%29.1%
FCF/Rev LTM18.2%15.1%5.0%11.9%10.3%16.6%13.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg19.6%14.2%6.5%15.3%8.2%14.7%14.5%

Valuation

CNQSUCVECOPIMOOVVMedian
NameCanadian.Suncor E.Cenovus .ConocoPh.Imperial.Ovintiv  
Mkt Cap84.766.738.6134.459.211.862.9
P/S1.91.30.72.21.31.31.3
P/EBIT9.68.69.19.211.317.29.4
P/E12.712.712.315.214.850.013.8
P/CFO5.74.84.96.79.03.25.3
Total Yield13.5%12.1%9.8%9.5%9.1%4.6%9.6%
Dividend Yield5.6%4.2%1.7%2.9%2.3%2.6%2.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.1%16.4%12.7%7.2%10.8%13.5%12.4%
D/E0.20.20.30.20.10.50.2
Net D/E0.20.20.20.10.00.50.2

Returns

CNQSUCVECOPIMOOVVMedian
NameCanadian.Suncor E.Cenovus .ConocoPh.Imperial.Ovintiv  
1M Rtn18.2%10.8%19.6%9.9%19.8%16.1%17.1%
3M Rtn20.8%23.1%17.8%20.4%17.1%18.8%19.6%
6M Rtn42.2%46.5%48.1%16.2%43.8%21.4%43.0%
12M Rtn42.0%45.3%46.7%15.1%74.1%7.6%43.7%
3Y Rtn68.7%91.1%30.7%14.0%153.1%15.2%49.7%
1M Excs Rtn20.5%14.0%20.8%10.6%23.4%16.8%18.6%
3M Excs Rtn24.8%26.0%20.8%20.3%21.2%18.1%21.0%
6M Excs Rtn33.5%38.5%40.2%9.1%36.0%12.6%34.7%
12M Excs Rtn28.8%32.0%34.2%3.3%59.6%-2.2%30.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-8.2%24.0%-44.8%-59.2%78.0%-58.3%-26.5%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading42,86542,10241,56741,56742,006
Exploration and Production32,07232,88932,20632,20634,470
Midstream and Refining8569791,3011,3011,418
Head Office162172202202227
Total75,95576,14275,27675,27678,121


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$40.59 
Market Cap ($ Bil)84.7 
First Trading Date07/31/2000 
Distance from 52W High-0.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$34.89$31.83
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA16.3%27.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility31.8%31.6%
Downside Capture-82.4133.82
Upside Capture40.0365.37
Correlation (SPY)2.1%48.7%
CNQ Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.25-0.010.060.310.810.76
Up Beta0.640.32-0.280.030.900.85
Down Beta0.53-0.040.440.720.970.87
Up Capture4%50%49%44%57%33%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days13233566136403
Down Capture-268%-70%-55%-10%61%86%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days7182659115346

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CNQ
CNQ40.9%31.5%1.11-
Sector ETF (XLE)22.9%25.2%0.7877.4%
Equity (SPY)13.0%19.4%0.5148.7%
Gold (GLD)67.2%25.5%1.9917.4%
Commodities (DBC)5.2%16.8%0.1366.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)7.8%16.6%0.2836.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-28.8%44.9%-0.6227.2%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CNQ
CNQ32.6%32.9%0.92-
Sector ETF (XLE)24.1%26.4%0.8282.0%
Equity (SPY)13.3%17.0%0.6242.0%
Gold (GLD)21.3%17.1%1.0222.1%
Commodities (DBC)10.2%18.9%0.4265.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.3%18.8%0.1931.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.2%57.2%0.3616.5%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CNQ
CNQ19.9%40.7%0.59-
Sector ETF (XLE)11.1%29.6%0.4279.7%
Equity (SPY)15.8%17.9%0.7650.1%
Gold (GLD)14.8%15.6%0.799.1%
Commodities (DBC)8.0%17.6%0.3760.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.8%20.7%0.2939.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)68.5%66.7%1.0814.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 115202611.7%
Average Daily Volume8.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity2,087.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/06/20256-K
06/30/202508/07/20256-K
03/31/202505/08/20256-K
12/31/202403/26/202540-F
09/30/202410/31/20246-K
06/30/202408/01/20246-K
03/31/202405/02/20246-K
12/31/202303/20/202440-F
09/30/202311/02/20236-K
06/30/202308/03/20236-K
03/31/202305/04/20236-K
12/31/202203/23/202340-F
09/30/202211/03/20226-K
06/30/202208/04/20226-K
03/31/202205/05/20226-K
12/31/202103/23/202240-F