Tearsheet

Permian Resources (PR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $14.39 | Market Cap: $10.2 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Permian Resources (PR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $14.39
Market Cap: $10.2 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 4.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.5%, FCF Yield is 7.7%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -22%
Key risks
PR key risks include [1] potential liabilities and heightened scrutiny from an alleged major chemical and methane leak at its New Mexico facilities and [2] acute vulnerability to regional issues due to its exclusive operational concentration in the Permian Basin.
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 39%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 69%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, CFO LTM is 3.6 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 4.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.5%, FCF Yield is 7.7%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 39%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 69%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, CFO LTM is 3.6 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -22%
6 Key risks
PR key risks include [1] potential liabilities and heightened scrutiny from an alleged major chemical and methane leak at its New Mexico facilities and [2] acute vulnerability to regional issues due to its exclusive operational concentration in the Permian Basin.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Permian Resources reported strong third quarter 2025 financial and operational results, including a 6% quarter-over-quarter increase in oil production and a 7% increase in total production. The company also achieved a 6% quarter-over-quarter decrease in controllable cash costs per BOE, contributing to positive market sentiment.

2. The company increased its full-year 2025 production guidance for the second time, with a 2% increase in both total and oil production guidance due to continued strong well outperformance and recent acquisitions. This upward revision signaled operational momentum and efficiency.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PR Return-68%299%58%49%11%2%244%
Peers Return-43%113%67%-1%-8%-7%74%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PR Win Rate33%67%58%50%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate35%75%58%53%45%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PR Max Drawdown-95%-1%-11%-9%-5%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-74%-0%0%-17%-16%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FANG, COP, EOG, DVN, OXY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven79.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven99 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-95.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1925.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven337 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-87.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven668.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to BSM, COP, CNQ, EOG, OXY


In The Past

Permian Resources's stock fell -44.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -44.3% loss requires a 79.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Permian Resources (PR)

Better Bets than Permian Resources (PR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.7%8.7%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.4%9.4%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
27.1%27.1%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.0%-3.0%-7.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.7%8.7%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.4%9.4%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
27.1%27.1%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.0%-3.0%-7.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Permian Resources

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PRFANGCOPEOGDVNOXYMedian
NamePermian .Diamondb.ConocoPh.EOG Reso.Devon En.Occident. 
Mkt Price14.36154.0794.96104.7436.9540.6367.80
Mkt Cap10.244.5118.256.723.246.645.6
Rev LTM5,19215,28459,78822,57917,47026,60120,024
Op Inc LTM2,0295,58412,5497,5393,9584,8025,193
FCF LTM707-1,0947,0883,8912,8183,7993,308
FCF 3Y Avg413-1,9668,9105,1671,6775,0463,361
CFO LTM3,5758,75619,93510,1956,84111,2549,476
CFO 3Y Avg2,9526,73020,72011,4536,74411,8739,098

Growth & Margins

PRFANGCOPEOGDVNOXYMedian
NamePermian .Diamondb.ConocoPh.EOG Reso.Devon En.Occident. 
Rev Chg LTM7.6%60.1%8.2%-5.0%11.4%-2.0%7.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg48.7%20.8%-6.6%-7.6%-2.1%-9.6%-4.3%
Rev Chg Q8.7%48.2%15.3%-2.3%7.6%-7.7%8.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.1%9.1%3.4%-0.6%1.8%-2.0%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM39.1%36.5%21.0%33.4%22.7%18.1%28.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg44.1%46.8%24.1%36.4%28.3%21.5%32.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%-1.3%-1.0%-0.8%-1.7%-2.0%-1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM68.9%57.3%33.3%45.2%39.2%42.3%43.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg69.2%62.5%35.6%49.0%41.8%42.8%45.9%
FCF/Rev LTM13.6%-7.2%11.9%17.2%16.1%14.3%13.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.8%-18.6%15.3%22.1%10.2%18.1%12.7%

Valuation

PRFANGCOPEOGDVNOXYMedian
NamePermian .Diamondb.ConocoPh.EOG Reso.Devon En.Occident. 
Mkt Cap10.244.5118.256.723.246.645.6
P/S1.82.72.02.71.31.81.9
P/EBIT5.86.98.18.35.4-6.9
P/E11.29.913.311.08.122.211.1
P/CFO2.64.75.95.93.24.14.4
Total Yield13.6%12.9%10.8%12.6%15.1%4.5%12.8%
Dividend Yield4.7%2.7%3.3%3.5%2.8%0.0%3.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.6%-5.2%6.9%7.6%6.5%-6.5%
D/E0.40.40.20.10.4-0.4
Net D/E0.40.40.10.10.3-0.3

Returns

PRFANGCOPEOGDVNOXYMedian
NamePermian .Diamondb.ConocoPh.EOG Reso.Devon En.Occident. 
1M Rtn6.1%5.3%7.0%-4.3%6.0%-2.0%5.6%
3M Rtn7.0%10.4%2.2%-11.8%5.0%-13.4%3.6%
6M Rtn-0.1%5.0%3.0%-13.9%10.0%-9.4%1.5%
12M Rtn7.3%-1.1%-0.0%-12.0%18.1%-10.8%-0.5%
3Y Rtn83.4%30.0%-4.4%-7.0%-30.6%-31.7%-5.7%
1M Excs Rtn5.4%4.5%6.3%-5.1%5.3%-2.7%4.9%
3M Excs Rtn5.5%9.0%1.2%-12.0%4.9%-15.1%3.0%
6M Excs Rtn-12.4%-7.4%-9.4%-26.2%-2.4%-21.8%-10.9%
12M Excs Rtn-8.9%-14.1%-13.8%-25.6%1.0%-23.9%-14.0%
3Y Excs Rtn10.9%-38.3%-74.0%-73.0%-100.1%-101.7%-73.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Exploration and production of oil and natural gas3,121    
Natural gas liquids (NGL) sales 2321375889
Natural gas sales 2771494745
Oil sales 1,622743476811
Total3,1212,1311,030580944


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity33,440,487
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202514.7%
Average Daily Volume11,924,248
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.80
Basic Shares Quantity712,282,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20255.5%9.7%21.8%
8/6/2025-2.5%-0.9%2.2%
5/7/20259.4%16.1%14.3%
2/25/20252.6%-8.2%4.4%
11/6/20242.7%3.8%1.7%
7/29/20240.1%-9.7%-3.1%
5/7/2024-1.6%-4.1%-10.7%
2/27/20242.0%2.4%13.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131417
# Negative11107
Median Positive5.2%5.5%9.3%
Median Negative-5.5%-7.5%-13.5%
Max Positive15.4%21.6%75.7%
Max Negative-17.5%-18.7%-83.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Shannon Robert ReganEVP, Chief Accounting Officer9042025Sell14.224,74267,4161,305,173Form
1Bell John CharlesEVP, General Counsel9042025Sell14.214,74367,4041,528,685Form
2Quinn William J 3072025Buy12.10250,0003,024,52515,877,897Form
3Quinn William J 3052025Buy13.07500,0006,536,60010,621,047Form
4Shannon Robert ReganEVP, Chief Accounting Officer3052025Sell14.022,73138,292822,602Form