Noble (NE)


Market Price (10/6/2026): $42.545 | Market Cap: $6.8 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Drilling

Noble (NE)


Market Price (10/6/2026): $42.545
Market Cap: $6.8 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Drilling

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.0%, Dividend Yield is 4.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Energy Security & Supply, US Energy Independence, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Deepwater Offshore Drilling, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -2.1%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.06

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15%

Key risks
NE key risks include [1] operational challenges and margin pressures following its Diamond acquisition, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.0%, Dividend Yield is 4.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Energy Security & Supply, US Energy Independence, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Deepwater Offshore Drilling, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -2.1%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.06
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15%
7 Key risks
NE key risks include [1] operational challenges and margin pressures following its Diamond acquisition, Show more.

NE in ETFs

Weight = NE's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IJR0.30%
VYM0.02%
VB0.07%
SLYG0.33%
IJT0.32%
IWO0.32%
+14 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 10/1/2026

Noble (NE) stock has gained about 15% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Market Outlook for Deepwater and High-Specification Rigs. Investor confidence was bolstered by the improving deepwater market and expectations of rising Tier-1 drillship dayrates in late 2026 and into 2027. Management explicitly stated an expectation for a stronger second half of fiscal 2027. Macroeconomic trends support this, with the global offshore drilling market projected to grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.90% to 6.0% between 2026 and 2033/2034, driven by sustained deepwater exploration investments and increased floating rig utilization. Specifically, South America, a region where Noble operates, is anticipated to experience the fastest growth, expanding at a CAGR of 7.4% from fiscal 2026 to 2033.

2. Robust Backlog and New Contract Awards. Noble secured approximately $200 million in new contract value since its April fleet status report, bringing the total contract backlog to $6.8 billion as of July 27, 2026. These new contracts, including multi-well awards for vessels like the Noble Viking and Noble Claus Bachmann, provide significant revenue visibility and indicate ongoing demand for the company's drilling services despite operational challenges.

Show more
Updated on 10/1/2026

Noble (NE) stock has gained about 15% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Market Outlook for Deepwater and High-Specification Rigs. Investor confidence was bolstered by the improving deepwater market and expectations of rising Tier-1 drillship dayrates in late 2026 and into 2027. Management explicitly stated an expectation for a stronger second half of fiscal 2027. Macroeconomic trends support this, with the global offshore drilling market projected to grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.90% to 6.0% between 2026 and 2033/2034, driven by sustained deepwater exploration investments and increased floating rig utilization. Specifically, South America, a region where Noble operates, is anticipated to experience the fastest growth, expanding at a CAGR of 7.4% from fiscal 2026 to 2033.

2. Robust Backlog and New Contract Awards. Noble secured approximately $200 million in new contract value since its April fleet status report, bringing the total contract backlog to $6.8 billion as of July 27, 2026. These new contracts, including multi-well awards for vessels like the Noble Viking and Noble Claus Bachmann, provide significant revenue visibility and indicate ongoing demand for the company's drilling services despite operational challenges.

3. Capital Structure Optimization and Consistent Shareholder Returns. The company's successful refinancing of legacy Diamond notes is projected to yield approximately $35 million in annual cash benefits through a simplified capital structure. Additionally, Noble maintained its commitment to shareholder returns by declaring a quarterly cash dividend of $0.50 per share for fiscal Q3 2026, payable on September 24, 2026, demonstrating a consistent return of capital program.

4. Q2 2026 Revenue Beat Expectations. Despite a significant miss on adjusted diluted earnings per share for fiscal Q2 2026, reporting $0.01 against an estimated $0.18-$0.19, Noble surpassed Wall Street's revenue expectations. The company reported $720 million in revenue, exceeding estimates of approximately $710.51 million. This top-line strength, alongside a solid Adjusted EBITDA of $212 million and a 30% margin, may have reassured investors regarding the underlying operational performance, suggesting that the earnings shortfall was primarily influenced by a $43 million impact from operational suspensions in Brazil and one-time charges like a $42 million impairment.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 15.3% change in NE stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 77.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)630202610052026Change
Stock Price ($)36.9142.5515.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,1973,068-4.0%
Net Income Margin (%)7.2%4.9%-32.0%
P/E Multiple25.645.477.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)159160-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution15.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2026 to 10/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NE15.3% 
Market (SPY)3.8%-15.7%
Sector (XLE)19.5%64.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -11.4% change in NE stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -26.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)331202610052026Change
Stock Price ($)48.0442.55-11.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,2863,068-6.6%
Net Income Margin (%)6.6%4.9%-26.1%
P/E Multiple35.245.428.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)159160-0.5%
Cumulative Contribution-11.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 10/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NE-11.4% 
Market (SPY)19.4%-9.9%
Sector (XLE)4.3%58.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 57.7% change in NE stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 227.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)930202510052026Change
Stock Price ($)26.9842.5557.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,4513,068-11.1%
Net Income Margin (%)9.0%4.9%-45.6%
P/E Multiple13.945.4227.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)159160-0.5%
Cumulative Contribution57.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 10/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NE57.7% 
Market (SPY)17.3%10.9%
Sector (XLE)45.2%59.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -1.2% change in NE stock from 9/30/2023 to 10/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -55.9% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)930202310052026Change
Stock Price ($)43.0642.55-1.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)�3,0680.0%
Net Income Margin (%)�4.9%0.0%
P/E Multiple�45.40.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)70160-55.9%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2023 to 10/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NE-1.2% 
Market (SPY)87.5%41.1%
Sector (XLE)53.4%67.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NE Return2%50%30%-32%-3%49%95%
Peers Return43%74%1%-29%-3%49%157%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NE Win Rate29%33%50%33%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate53%72%33%42%60%64% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NE Max Drawdown--16%-22%-41%-46%-31% 
Peers Max Drawdown-45%-47%-39%-45%-50%-33% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: RIG, VAL, SDRL, PTEN, NBR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/5/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventNES&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-32.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven47.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven63 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-12.2%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.9%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven542 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-19.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven23.4%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven799 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-18.0%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven21.9%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven110 days31 days

Compare to RIG, VAL, SDRL, PTEN, NBR

In The Past

Noble's stock fell -32.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 47.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventNES&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-32.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven47.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven63 days79 days

Compare to RIG, VAL, SDRL, PTEN, NBR

In The Past

Noble's stock fell -32.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 47.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Noble (NE)

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Noble Corporation (NE) is a prominent offshore drilling contractor that provides essential contract drilling services to the global oil and natural gas industry. The company specializes in deploying its advanced fleet of drilling rigs to explore for and produce hydrocarbons from beneath the world's oceans, playing a crucial role in the upstream segment of the energy sector.

Noble's main products and services revolve around the operation of high-specification drilling units. Its fleet primarily consists of sophisticated drillships, which are capable of ultra-deepwater operations for complex exploration and development projects, and versatile jackup rigs, designed for drilling in various water depths on the continental shelf. These assets, coupled with experienced drilling crews, enable energy companies to efficiently and safely drill wells in challenging offshore environments.

The company's primary customers are a diverse group of major international oil companies, national oil companies, and independent energy producers. Noble operates globally, with its drilling units deployed across key offshore basins around the world, supporting its clients' efforts to discover and develop new oil and gas reserves.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Noble (NE):

  • Like United Rentals (URI), but for massive offshore oil drilling rigs.
  • A specialized Bechtel (the global engineering and construction firm) for deep-sea oil and gas well construction.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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  • Offshore Drilling Services: Noble provides contract drilling services for oil and natural gas exploration and production to a global customer base.
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Major Customers of Noble Corporation (NE)

Noble Corporation (NE) is an offshore drilling contractor that provides contract drilling services to the international oil and gas industry. Its primary customers are major oil and gas exploration and production companies.

Based on its latest regulatory filings, Noble's major customers in 2023 included:

  • ExxonMobil Corporation (NYSE: XOM)
  • APA Corporation (NASDAQ: APA)
  • BP p.l.c. (NYSE: BP)

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Robert W. Eifler, President and Chief Executive Officer Mr. Eifler was named President and Chief Executive Officer of Noble in May 2020. He previously served in various senior commercial and marketing roles within Noble, including Senior Vice President, Commercial, and Senior Vice President, Marketing and Contracts. From November 2013 to March 2015, Mr. Eifler worked for Hercules Offshore, Inc., an offshore driller, as Director, International Marketing. He originally joined Noble in February 2005. Under his leadership as CEO, Noble completed strategic mergers and acquisitions, including Maersk Drilling in 2022 and Diamond Offshore in 2024. Richard B. Barker, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Mr. Barker was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Noble in January 2024, after serving as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer since March 2020. Prior to joining Noble, Mr. Barker held investment banking positions specializing in oilfield services and equipment at Moelis & Company from 2019 to 2020, and at JPMorgan Chase & Co. before 2019. His career in investment banking also included assignments at Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. and Goldman Sachs & Company. Jennie Howard, Senior Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary Ms. Howard was named Senior Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary in April 2023. Before her tenure at Noble, she served as Vice President, Assistant General Counsel, and Assistant Corporate Secretary at Kraton Corporation, a specialty chemicals company, from September 2015 to March 2022. Ms. Howard also worked as a corporate associate with Hunton Andrews Kurth LLP. Rodney Kawaja, Senior Vice President of Operations Mr. Kawaja was appointed Senior Vice President of Operations of Noble in October 2022. He brings over 25 years of experience in offshore rig operations and project management. Previously, he was the Regional Manager – Western Hemisphere, where he oversaw Noble's shore-based and offshore operations across North and South America from August 2014 until becoming Vice President of Operations in October 2020. Mr. Kawaja has held various roles within Noble since joining in 1996, including Operations Manager, Drilling Superintendent, and Project Manager. Blake Denton, Senior Vice President of Marketing and Contracts Mr. Denton was named Senior Vice President of Marketing and Contracts of Noble in October 2022. He previously served as Director of Marketing and Contracts for Noble from January 2017 until March 2020, a role in which he led the company's marketing and contracts efforts for the Middle East and India. Before that, Mr. Denton held positions as Project Director and Project Manager for Noble.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Noble (symbol: NE) primarily revolve around the inherent volatility and capital-intensive nature of the offshore drilling industry, coupled with increasing external pressures.

  1. Cyclical Volatility in Crude Oil and Natural Gas Prices: Noble's financial performance is intrinsically linked to the highly cyclical nature of commodity prices, particularly crude oil and natural gas. Fluctuations in these prices directly influence the capital spending and exploration and production (E&P) budgets of its customers, which are major oil and gas companies. A decline in oil and gas prices can lead customers to reduce or cancel drilling programs, directly impacting Noble's day rates, rig utilization, and overall revenue. The offshore contract drilling industry is characterized by intense price competition and high capital costs, making it particularly vulnerable to market downturns.
  2. High Capital Expenditure Requirements and Debt Load: Operating in a capital-intensive sector, Noble faces significant ongoing capital expenditure demands for maintaining, upgrading, and modernizing its fleet of drilling rigs. The company's post-merger high debt load can strain cash flows, potentially limiting its ability to invest in growth opportunities or navigate industry downturns effectively. Managing this substantial debt, including exploring refinancing opportunities, remains a constant pressure point for the company. The integration of new assets and management of older ones can also lead to increased operating expenses.
  3. Increasing ESG Pressures and Regulatory Scrutiny: Noble is subject to growing pressure from regulators, investors, and rating agencies to demonstrate strong sustainability and environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance. Failure to meet public ESG targets, such as carbon-intensity reduction goals, could negatively impact the company's reputation, restrict its access to capital, and increase compliance costs. Furthermore, navigating divergent stakeholder views on sustainability initiatives across different jurisdictions can introduce legal, political, and reputational complexities, potentially affecting long-term strategic and financial planning.

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The accelerating global energy transition away from fossil fuels, driven by rapid advancements and cost reductions in renewable energy technologies (solar, wind, battery storage), supportive government policies for decarbonization, and increasing investor and public pressure for sustainable energy solutions, poses a clear emerging threat to Noble's core business. While the energy transition is a long-term trend, the speed at which these alternatives are becoming competitive and replacing traditional fossil fuel demand could significantly diminish the future need for offshore drilling services faster than anticipated, thereby eroding Noble's addressable market and demand for its rigs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Noble Corporation (symbol: NE) primarily operates as an offshore drilling contractor, providing contract drilling services to the international oil and gas industry. The company's main products and services revolve around its fleet of mobile offshore drilling units, specifically high-specification floating rigs (drillships and semi-submersibles) and jackup rigs.

The addressable markets for Noble's main products and services are as follows:

  • Global Offshore Drilling Market: The global offshore drilling market size was valued at approximately USD 43.78 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 87.50 billion by 2034, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.87% during the forecast period. Other estimates place the market at USD 42.40 billion in 2025, reaching USD 60.76 billion by 2033 at a CAGR of 4.60%. Another source indicates a market size of USD 31.22 billion in 2025, climbing to USD 41.68 billion by 2031 with a 4.90% CAGR.
    • Regional Market Sizes for Offshore Drilling:
    • Asia Pacific: This region dominated the global market with an approximate share of 41.36% (USD 18.11 billion) in 2025, expected to reach USD 19.67 billion in 2026.
    • North America: Accounted for over 40% of the market share in 2025. The U.S. offshore drilling market is projected to reach an estimated value of USD 3.75 billion by 2032.
    • Middle East & Africa: Captured 22.42% of the global market in 2025, generating USD 9.82 billion in revenue, and is projected to reach USD 10.88 billion in 2026.
    • Europe: The offshore drilling market in Europe is anticipated to reach USD 22.18 billion by 2033 with a CAGR of 8.42%.
  • Global Drillship Market: The global drillship market size is estimated to grow from USD 5.57 billion in 2025 to USD 6.02 billion in 2026 at a CAGR of 7.9%, further expanding to USD 8.08 billion by 2030 at a CAGR of 7.6%. Other reports suggest the global drillship market was valued at USD 3.2 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 7 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 8.5%. Another estimate for the drillships market size in 2025 was USD 3,559.36 million, expected to increase to USD 4,437.41 million by 2032. Drillships contribute significantly to the overall offshore drilling market, holding a 34.3% share in 2025.
  • Global Jackup Rig Market: The global jack-up rigs market size was estimated at USD 16.2 million in 2024 and is projected to grow from USD 17.09 million in 2025 to USD 29.28 million by 2035, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.53%. Other sources indicate the global jack-up rigs market size was valued at USD 3.03 billion in 2024, poised to grow to USD 4.71 billion by 2033 at a CAGR of 5%. Another report valued the global jack-up rig market size at USD 4.0 billion in 2022 and projected it to reach USD 6.8 billion by 2031, with a CAGR of 6.1%.
    • Regional Market Sizes for Jackup Rigs:
    • Asia-Pacific: This region is identified as the largest market for Jackup Rigs, with a market size of USD 7.8 billion. It holds 28% of the global Jack-Up Rig Market.
    • North America: The market size for Jackup Rigs is projected at USD 4.86 billion. The North American Jackup rigs market is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 6.2%. The USA Jack-Up Rig Market represents approximately 18% of global deployment.
    • Europe: The Jackup Rigs market in Europe has a market size of USD 3.24 billion.

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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Noble (NE) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Growing Contract Backlog: Noble has demonstrated consistent growth in its contract backlog, providing strong visibility into future revenue streams. The company's total backlog increased to $7.5 billion at the end of 2025, a significant rise from $6.1 billion a year prior. This includes substantial new contract awards, such as $1.3 billion announced in January 2026 and a $473 million deal with Aker BP in Norway.
  2. Strategic Acquisitions and Fleet Optimization: Noble has actively pursued strategic acquisitions, such as the $1.6 billion acquisition of Diamond Offshore Drilling in June 2024, to expand its operational scale and market presence. Concurrently, the company is optimizing its fleet by divesting non-core assets, like the sale of five jack-up rigs to Borr Drilling, and focusing on high-specification deepwater and ultra-deepwater drilling units that command higher demand and day rates.
  3. Strong Demand for High-Specification Rigs: The offshore drilling market is experiencing robust demand, particularly for high-specification 7th generation drillships and harsh-environment jackups. This demand is fueled by significant deepwater discoveries in regions like Guyana, Brazil, Suriname, Namibia, and Mozambique. While some near-term fluctuations are noted, a substantial increase in deepwater activity and overall rig demand is anticipated from 2027 onwards.
  4. Global Offshore Drilling Market Expansion: The broader offshore drilling market is projected for considerable growth over the next decade. The global offshore drilling market size is forecast to grow from USD 42.86 billion in 2025 to approximately USD 86.09 billion by 2034, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.07%. This expansion is driven by increasing global demand for oil and gas, the depletion of onshore reserves, advancements in drilling technologies, and new deepwater projects initiated worldwide.

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Share Repurchases

  • Noble repurchased 0.7 million shares for $20 million in 2025.
  • In 2024, Noble returned approximately $525 million to shareholders, which included $300 million in share repurchases and $278 million in dividends.
  • Noble announced a second $400 million share repurchase authorization in 2024.

Share Issuance

  • In December 2023, Noble issued 16,507 new A ordinary shares, which included 5,152 from warrant exercises for approximately $57,026.73 and 11,355 to employees for vesting restricted stock units at no cost.
  • Noble issued 45 new A ordinary shares from warrant exercises for approximately $1,040.85 in September 2024.
  • In November 2022, 2,188 new A ordinary shares were issued from warrant exercises, generating proceeds of approximately $35,702.07.

Outbound Investments

  • Noble completed the $1.5 billion acquisition of Diamond Offshore in September 2024, expanding its fleet and increasing its contract backlog by approximately $2.0 billion.
  • In November 2021, Noble acquired Maersk Drilling for $2.0 billion.
  • Noble completed the divestiture of five jackup rigs for $360 million in January 2026, as part of its strategy to optimize its fleet and focus on high-specification floaters.

Capital Expenditures

  • Noble's capital expenditures for 2025 were $500.1 million.
  • For 2026, capital expenditures are projected to be between $590 million and $640 million, including an estimated $160 million project capital for the Noble GreatWhite and approximately $25 million of reimbursable capital.
  • The primary focus of capital expenditures is on high-specification floaters and supporting existing long-term contracts.

Better Bets vs. Noble (NE)

Peer Outperformance in Oil & Gas Drilling

NE has outperformed 67% of its 6 Oil & Gas Drilling peers over 5Y. Oil & Gas Drilling ranks 6th of 7 industries in Energy by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Oil & Gas Drilling constituents that NE has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
25%
of 8 industry peers · 49.2% return
3Y
29%
of 7 industry peers · 2.6% return
5Y
67%
of 6 industry peers · 85.0% return
No Oil & Gas Drilling peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten NE by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Energy sector, ranked by 5Y. Oil & Gas Drilling is NE's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing 11 128.2%149.7%390.4% MPC 671% · PBF 586% · VLO 549%
Integrated Oil & Gas 7 39.9%68.9%223.1% IMO 328% · SU 296% · CVE 239%
Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation 18 24.2%123.4%180.6% INSW 1012% · LPG 887% · TRGP 516%
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services 34 36.2%24.3%93.0% SEI 1009% · FTI 836% · TDW 577%
Coal & Consumable Fuels 14 -19.4%21.7%81.7% EU 973% · CCJ 309% · LEU 278%
Oil & Gas Drilling ← 7 60.3%7.3%60.3% VAL 141% · PDS 110% · NE 85%
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production 51 21.7%7.7%55.4% KGEI 10058% · OBE 6342% · EP 2583%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NERIGVALSDRLPTENNBRMedian
NameNoble Transoce.Valaris Seadrill Patterso.Nabors I. 
Mkt Price42.555.4883.5445.8011.4682.9844.17
Mkt Cap6.86.15.82.84.41.25.1
Rev LTM3,0684,1182,1381,5324,6723,2143,141
Op Inc LTM388915261143-49248255
FCF LTM284904-24-13217840109
FCF 3Y Avg269317-146-36320-4132
CFO LTM882995358-52733702718
CFO 3Y Avg81755037891955613581

Growth & Margins

NERIGVALSDRLPTENNBRMedian
NameNoble Transoce.Valaris Seadrill Patterso.Nabors I. 
Rev Chg LTM-11.1%8.5%-13.2%13.1%-6.9%6.1%-0.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.6%15.6%8.8%9.9%21.0%2.4%11.8%
Rev Chg Q-15.2%-2.2%-12.4%19.1%0.7%-2.2%-2.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-4.0%-0.5%-3.4%4.9%0.2%-0.6%-0.5%
Op Inc Chg LTM-45.7%78.7%-51.0%155.4%64.4%-1.5%31.5%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg1.9%768.7%83.8%42.7%-29.5%1.9%22.3%
Op Mgn LTM12.6%22.2%12.2%9.3%-1.1%7.7%10.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.4%11.7%14.2%11.7%1.0%8.1%11.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.5%-0.1%-4.7%4.1%0.5%-0.3%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM28.7%24.2%16.8%-3.4%15.7%21.9%19.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg26.6%14.0%16.6%5.7%18.8%20.0%17.7%
FCF/Rev LTM9.3%22.0%-1.1%-8.6%3.8%1.2%2.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.5%7.0%-7.6%-3.0%6.2%-0.1%3.0%

Valuation

NERIGVALSDRLPTENNBRMedian
NameNoble Transoce.Valaris Seadrill Patterso.Nabors I. 
Mkt Cap6.86.15.82.84.41.25.1
P/S2.21.52.71.90.90.41.7
P/Op Inc17.56.722.219.9-88.14.812.1
P/EBIT19.0-5.913.135.5-106.01.87.4
P/E45.4-3.76.22,839.6-48.64.85.5
P/CFO7.76.216.2-54.65.91.76.1
Total Yield7.0%-26.9%16.2%0.0%1.1%20.8%4.0%
Dividend Yield4.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%3.1%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.4%8.5%-1.6%-3.9%10.2%-6.5%1.9%
D/E0.30.80.20.30.31.80.3
Net D/E0.20.80.10.10.21.40.2

Returns

NERIGVALSDRLPTENNBRMedian
NameNoble Transoce.Valaris Seadrill Patterso.Nabors I. 
1M Rtn-6.7%-6.3%-3.7%-6.7%-7.7%-8.7%-6.7%
3M Rtn14.9%11.2%13.6%19.4%34.9%8.7%14.3%
6M Rtn-12.2%-16.8%-14.3%-3.0%10.1%0.9%-7.6%
12M Rtn49.2%62.6%60.4%45.1%115.1%94.0%61.5%
3Y Rtn2.6%-28.3%16.5%9.0%4.9%-22.5%3.7%
1M Excs Rtn-9.0%-9.3%-7.2%-8.9%-9.0%-11.1%-9.0%
3M Excs Rtn8.5%5.6%8.4%14.7%22.7%2.7%8.4%
6M Excs Rtn-29.8%-34.3%-31.9%-20.5%-7.4%-16.6%-25.2%
12M Excs Rtn39.4%50.4%50.6%31.0%108.3%86.7%50.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-83.4%-115.3%-71.4%-81.2%-91.4%-115.5%-87.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Contract Drilling Services3,2863,0582,5891,414
Total3,2863,0582,5891,414


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$42.55 
Market Cap ($ Bil)6.8 
First Trading Date06/10/2021 
Distance from 52W High-20.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$43.75$42.37
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-2.7%0.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility42.5%41.9%
Downside Capture-127.0515.45
Upside Capture-32.9158.75
Correlation (SPY)-18.2%10.6%
NE Betas & Captures as of 9/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.23-0.41-0.65-0.340.351.12
Up Beta-1.27-0.640.42-0.97-0.271.11
Down Beta-0.600.67-1.33-0.350.931.75
Up Capture-45%-40%-46%-18%46%38%
Bmk +ve Days6162766132424
Stock +ve Days8203256124364
Down Capture87%-50%-164%11%13%97%
Bmk -ve Days16263760120328
Stock -ve Days14223269125382

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NE
NE55.4%41.9%1.15-
Sector ETF (XLE)46.9%21.9%1.6659.6%
Equity (SPY)16.8%13.0%0.9210.8%
Gold (GLD)7.0%29.6%0.2314.2%
Commodities (DBC)45.9%20.9%1.7140.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.6%13.6%-0.1413.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-30.1%44.3%-0.6814.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NE
NE9.8%41.3%0.39-
Sector ETF (XLE)23.4%25.5%0.8065.3%
Equity (SPY)13.3%17.2%0.5940.6%
Gold (GLD)18.3%18.9%0.7811.0%
Commodities (DBC)10.0%19.6%0.3945.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.9%18.8%-0.0628.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)14.9%52.2%0.4514.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NE
NE6.0%41.3%0.44-
Sector ETF (XLE)10.8%29.6%0.4063.0%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7339.0%
Gold (GLD)11.5%16.4%0.5710.2%
Commodities (DBC)8.4%18.1%0.3843.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.1%20.7%0.1626.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)64.0%66.2%1.0411.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14.7 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 83120261.0%
Average Daily Volume1.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest12.1 days
Basic Shares Quantity159.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares9.2%

Returns Analyses

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/27/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/27/2026-9.1%-6.2%6.4%
4/27/20268.2%2.0%1.0%
2/11/2026-3.4%2.9%6.2%
10/27/2025-1.5%-1.9%0.3%
8/5/20252.1%0.3%9.0%
4/28/20257.0%5.6%19.1%
2/18/2025-0.1%-6.6%-13.8%
11/5/202411.3%10.3%5.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91012
# Negative764
Median Positive6.1%2.6%6.3%
Median Negative-1.9%-5.8%-10.5%
Max Positive11.3%16.0%19.1%
Max Negative-9.1%-15.6%-19.8%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/27/2026-9.1%-6.2%6.4%
4/27/20268.2%2.0%1.0%
2/11/2026-3.4%2.9%6.2%
10/27/2025-1.5%-1.9%0.3%
8/5/20252.1%0.3%9.0%
4/28/20257.0%5.6%19.1%
2/18/2025-0.1%-6.6%-13.8%
11/5/202411.3%10.3%5.1%
7/31/2024-5.5%-15.6%-19.8%
5/6/2024-0.9%1.8%-7.2%
2/22/2024-1.9%-5.3%9.0%
10/31/20235.1%2.2%-0.3%
8/2/20231.9%1.4%2.6%
5/4/20231.1%-2.5%9.5%
2/27/20238.4%16.0%1.6%
11/3/20226.1%11.2%7.4%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91012
# Negative764
Median Positive6.1%2.6%6.3%
Median Negative-1.9%-5.8%-10.5%
Max Positive11.3%16.0%19.1%
Max Negative-9.1%-15.6%-19.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/28/202610-Q
03/31/202604/27/202610-Q
12/31/202502/12/202610-K
09/30/202510/28/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202504/29/202510-Q
12/31/202402/19/202510-K
09/30/202411/06/202410-Q
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202302/23/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202203/09/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/28/202610-Q
03/31/202604/27/202610-Q
12/31/202502/12/202610-K
09/30/202510/28/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202504/29/202510-Q
12/31/202402/19/202510-K
09/30/202411/06/202410-Q
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202302/23/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202203/09/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 10/4/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/27/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 RevenueReported2.80 Bil2.85 Bil2.90 Bil-1.7% LoweredGuidance: 2.90 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported850.00 Mil887.50 Mil925.00 Mil-9.4% LoweredGuidance: 980.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital ExpendituresReported615.00 Mil640.00 Mil665.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 640.00 Mil for 2026


Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/27/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 RevenueReported2.80 Bil2.90 Bil3.00 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 2.90 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported940.00 Mil980.00 Mil1.02 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 980.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital ExpendituresReported615.00 Mil640.00 Mil665.00 Mil4.1% RaisedGuidance: 615.00 Mil for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/11/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Total RevenueReported2.80 Bil2.90 Bil3.00 Bil-10.8% Lower NewGuidance: 3.25 Bil for 2025
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported940.00 Mil980.00 Mil1.02 Bil-11.9% Lower NewGuidance: 1.11 Bil for 2025
2026 Capital ExpendituresReported590.00 Mil615.00 Mil640.00 Mil40.6% Higher NewGuidance: 437.50 Mil for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/27/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Total RevenueReported3.23 Bil3.25 Bil3.27 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 3.25 Bil for 2025
2025 Adjusted EBITDAReported1.10 Bil1.11 Bil1.12 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.11 Bil for 2025
2025 Capital ExpendituresReported425.00 Mil437.50 Mil450.00 Mil2.9% RaisedGuidance: 425.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 6/17/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Eifler, Robert WPresident & CEODirectSell617202645.5150,0002,275,39054,328,476Form
2Hirshberg, Al J DirectSell518202652.625,000263,0881,462,924Form
3Sledge, Charles M DaughterSell513202651.6172437,36470,187Form
4Denton, BlakeSVP, Marketing & ContractsDirectSell507202649.3130,0001,479,3301,475,730Form
5Kawaja, Joey MSVP, OperationsDirectSell507202649.8540,0001,994,2001,997,740Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Eifler, Robert WPresident & CEODirectSell617202645.5150,0002,275,39054,328,476Form
2Hirshberg, Al J DirectSell518202652.625,000263,0881,462,924Form
3Sledge, Charles M DaughterSell513202651.6172437,36470,187Form
4Denton, BlakeSVP, Marketing & ContractsDirectSell507202649.3130,0001,479,3301,475,730Form
5Kawaja, Joey MSVP, OperationsDirectSell507202649.8540,0001,994,2001,997,740Form
6Howard, JennieSVP, Gen. Counsel & Corp. Sec.DirectSell430202651.082,486126,975800,667Form
7Alting, CarolineSVP, Ops. Excellence & SustDirectSell430202652.7515,340809,139430,943Form
8Barker, Richard BEVP and CFODirectSell319202646.63150,0006,994,4947,683,732Form
9Eifler, Robert WPresident & CEODirectSell319202646.62100,0004,661,76457,984,332Form
10Denton, BlakeSVP, Marketing & ContractsDirectSell303202645.1719,334873,3012,706,852Form
11Barker, Richard BEVP and CFODirectSell220202642.9620,000859,20013,522,992Form
12Sledge, Charles M DaughterSell220202644.632,08392,97193,015Form
13Ipsen, MikkelSVP, Human ResourcesDirectSell217202643.563,453150,413516,360Form
14Denton, BlakeSVP, Marketing & ContractsDirectSell217202643.5023,2551,011,5923,447,854Form
15Kawaja, Joey MSVP, OperationsDirectSell217202643.5119,725858,2353,484,020Form
16Howard, JennieSVP, Gen. Counsel & Corp. Sec.DirectSell217202642.006,094255,948762,804Form
17Alting, CarolineSVP, Ops. Excellence & SustDirectSell217202643.604,195182,9021,025,036Form
18Denton, BlakeSVP, Marketing & ContractsDirectSell909202529.7829,729885,3302,477,160Form
19Kawaja, Joey MSVP, OperationsDirectSell905202528.6235,0001,001,7002,245,640Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Oct 6, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Sourcerock Group LLC$180.6 Mil7.6%39TRIM -25.0%13F
Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC$90.3 Mil4.9%43ADD +29.1%13F
Hi-Line Capital Management, LLC$11.2 Mil3.5%32ADD +136.5%13F
Tensile Capital Management LP$19.6 Mil2.8%25TRIM -24.6%13F
Patient Capital Management, LLC$66.1 Mil2.5%38ADD +5.2%13F
Valueworks LLC$5.7 Mil1.5%35TRIM -14.8%13F
Contrarius Group Holdings Ltd$11.2 Mil0.6%47ADD +8.2%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Hi-Line Capital Management, LLC$11.2 Mil3.5%32ADD +136.5%13F
Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC$90.3 Mil4.9%43ADD +29.1%13F
Contrarius Group Holdings Ltd$11.2 Mil0.6%47ADD +8.2%13F
Patient Capital Management, LLC$66.1 Mil2.5%38ADD +5.2%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Canyon Capital Advisors LLC$36.8 Mil4.8%14ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Sourcerock Group LLC$180.6 Mil7.6%39TRIM -25.0%Mar 31, 202613F
Tensile Capital Management LP$19.6 Mil2.8%25TRIM -24.6%Mar 31, 202613F
Valueworks LLC$5.7 Mil1.5%35TRIM -14.8%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Sourcerock Group LLC$180.6 Mil7.6%39TRIM -25.0%13F
Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC$90.3 Mil4.9%43ADD +29.1%13F
Patient Capital Management, LLC$66.1 Mil2.5%38ADD +5.2%13F
Tensile Capital Management LP$19.6 Mil2.8%25TRIM -24.6%13F
Hi-Line Capital Management, LLC$11.2 Mil3.5%32ADD +136.5%13F
Contrarius Group Holdings Ltd$11.2 Mil0.6%47ADD +8.2%13F
Valueworks LLC$5.7 Mil1.5%35TRIM -14.8%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 10/5/2026