Seadrill (SDRL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $32.06 | Market Cap: $2.0 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Drilling
Seadrill (SDRL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $32.06Market Cap: $2.0 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Drilling
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Energy Security & Supply, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Offshore Oil & Gas Exploration & Production (E&P) Services, Geothermal Energy, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -77%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 117x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 99x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 55x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.3% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.8% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Energy Security & Supply, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Offshore Oil & Gas Exploration & Production (E&P) Services, Geothermal Energy, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -77%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 117x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 99x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 55x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.3% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.8% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SDRL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points highlighting why Seadrill (SDRL) stock likely moved by 2.7% in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Positive Third Quarter 2025 Results and Upgraded Guidance.
Seadrill reported its third quarter 2025 earnings in November 2025, showcasing higher revenues, an upgraded full-year revenue guidance, and narrowed expectations for 2025. This financial update contributed to a positive market reaction, with shares rising by 7.9% in the week leading up to November 17, 2025.
2. Favorable Analyst Sentiment and Valuation.
Around November 2025, analysts considered Seadrill's stock undervalued, with a fair value estimated significantly above its then-current trading price. This optimistic outlook was largely driven by expectations of renewed offshore investment and the company's strategic focus on its high-specification fleet.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SDRL Return | - | - | - | 45% | -18% | -20% | -4% |
| Peers Return | -32% | 18% | 84% | 3% | -27% | 4% | 14% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SDRL Win Rate | - | - | 100% | 42% | 33% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 25% | 53% | 60% | 33% | 42% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SDRL Max Drawdown | - | - | - | -7% | -26% | -52% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -49% | -1% | -3% | -22% | -34% | -41% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NE, HP, VAL, RIG, PTEN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SDRL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -23.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 118 days | 464 days |
Compare to NE, HP, VAL, RIG, PTEN
In The Past
Seadrill's stock fell -23.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/1/2023. A -23.4% loss requires a 30.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SDRL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Seadrill
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 31.54 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.6 |
| Rev LTM | 3,438 |
| Op Inc LTM | 430 |
| FCF LTM | 269 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 213 |
| CFO LTM | 602 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 657 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 11.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 27.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.6 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/EBIT | 6.1 |
| P/E | 3.8 |
| P/CFO | 5.0 |
| Total Yield | 1.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 20.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 42.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -4.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | -4.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 12.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 27.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -17.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -73.1% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8052024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5142024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3272024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11272023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8152023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5232023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312020 | 4192023 | 20-F 12/31/2020 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |