Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Energy Security & Supply, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Offshore Oil & Gas Exploration & Production (E&P) Services, Geothermal Energy, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -77%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 117x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 99x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 55x
1   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.3%
2   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.8%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Energy Security & Supply, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Offshore Oil & Gas Exploration & Production (E&P) Services, Geothermal Energy, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -77%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69%
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 117x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 99x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 55x
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.3%
4 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.8%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SDRL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why Seadrill (SDRL) stock likely moved by 2.7% in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Positive Third Quarter 2025 Results and Upgraded Guidance.

Seadrill reported its third quarter 2025 earnings in November 2025, showcasing higher revenues, an upgraded full-year revenue guidance, and narrowed expectations for 2025. This financial update contributed to a positive market reaction, with shares rising by 7.9% in the week leading up to November 17, 2025. 2. Favorable Analyst Sentiment and Valuation.

Around November 2025, analysts considered Seadrill's stock undervalued, with a fair value estimated significantly above its then-current trading price. This optimistic outlook was largely driven by expectations of renewed offshore investment and the company's strategic focus on its high-specification fleet.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SDRL Return---45%-18%-20%-4%
Peers Return-32%18%84%3%-27%4%14%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SDRL Win Rate--100%42%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate25%53%60%33%42%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SDRL Max Drawdown----7%-26%-52% 
Peers Max Drawdown-49%-1%-3%-22%-34%-41% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NE, HP, VAL, RIG, PTEN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSDRLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-23.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven30.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven118 days464 days

Compare to NE, HP, VAL, RIG, PTEN


In The Past

Seadrill's stock fell -23.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/1/2023. A -23.4% loss requires a 30.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Seadrill (SDRL)

Better Bets than Seadrill (SDRL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SDRL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Seadrill

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SDRLNEHPVALRIGPTENMedian
NameSeadrill Noble Helmeric.Valaris Transoce.Patterso. 
Mkt Price32.7733.1230.3160.424.456.2831.54
Mkt Cap2.05.33.04.34.32.43.6
Rev LTM1,3643,4483,4282,4163,8744,8383,438
Op Inc LTM34636312548601-67430
FCF LTM-10639237250482289269
FCF 3Y Avg-249213-641395213
CFO LTM19901505599606880602
CFO 3Y Avg-7226574173961,016657

Growth & Margins

SDRLNEHPVALRIGPTENMedian
NameSeadrill Noble Helmeric.Valaris Transoce.Patterso. 
Rev Chg LTM-9.3%24.3%25.9%6.8%16.9%-16.6%11.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.9%59.6%27.4%-14.6%33.5%27.4%
Rev Chg Q2.5%-0.3%49.2%-7.4%8.4%-13.4%1.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.7%-0.1%11.1%-1.9%2.1%-3.6%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM2.5%18.5%9.1%22.7%15.5%-1.4%12.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg14.3%21.8%14.2%12.6%5.9%4.9%13.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.6%-2.2%-3.0%0.7%2.0%1.4%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM1.4%26.1%14.7%24.8%15.6%18.2%16.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-24.3%22.5%19.3%11.6%22.1%22.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-7.8%11.4%1.1%10.3%12.4%6.0%8.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-8.2%7.5%-2.9%-1.5%8.5%7.5%

Valuation

SDRLNEHPVALRIGPTENMedian
NameSeadrill Noble Helmeric.Valaris Transoce.Patterso. 
Mkt Cap2.05.33.04.34.32.43.6
P/S1.41.30.41.40.80.41.0
P/EBIT117.18.17.54.7-1.2-29.76.1
P/E55.119.8-48.88.6-1.0-14.63.8
P/CFO98.65.03.05.84.92.35.0
Total Yield1.8%8.6%0.7%11.6%-97.8%-3.8%1.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.6%2.8%0.0%0.0%3.1%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.9%6.4%-1.3%2.5%14.0%4.9%
D/E0.30.41.50.32.10.60.5
Net D/E0.10.31.30.11.80.60.4

Returns

SDRLNEHPVALRIGPTENMedian
NameSeadrill Noble Helmeric.Valaris Transoce.Patterso. 
1M Rtn3.2%11.0%13.7%6.0%12.4%-0.5%8.5%
3M Rtn-0.0%16.9%52.4%23.3%48.8%15.4%20.1%
6M Rtn33.9%27.9%88.9%51.5%68.6%15.1%42.7%
12M Rtn-19.0%5.2%-10.0%30.0%0.9%-19.3%-4.6%
3Y Rtn3.7%-0.7%-31.5%-8.8%6.2%-60.2%-4.7%
1M Excs Rtn3.2%11.1%13.7%6.1%12.4%-0.5%8.6%
3M Excs Rtn-5.3%9.6%41.6%14.9%38.2%3.9%12.2%
6M Excs Rtn19.1%13.2%74.1%36.7%53.8%0.4%27.9%
12M Excs Rtn-32.9%-7.0%-22.0%17.3%-12.4%-34.0%-17.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-69.4%-68.0%-101.4%-76.7%-58.1%-131.6%-73.1%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,681,292
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120255.7%
Average Daily Volume729,771
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.79
Basic Shares Quantity62,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares9.2%

Returns Analyses

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
9302024111320246-K 9/30/2024
630202480520246-K 6/30/2024
331202451420246-K 3/31/2024
12312023327202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023112720236-K 9/30/2023
630202381520236-K 6/30/2023
331202352320236-K 3/31/2023
12312020419202320-F 12/31/2020