Nabors Industries (NBR)
Market Price (4/14/2026): $84.54 | Market Cap: $1.2 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Drilling
Nabors Industries (NBR)
Market Price (4/14/2026): $84.54Market Cap: $1.2 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Drilling
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 24%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 20% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and Drilling Automation. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -36%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -101% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 131% Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 109%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 194% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 103% Key risksNBR key risks include [1] a substantial debt position, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 24%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 20% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and Drilling Automation. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -36%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -101% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 131% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 109%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 194% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 103% |
| Key risksNBR key risks include [1] a substantial debt position, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Macroeconomic Tailwinds from Surging Oil Prices.
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly a conflict in Iran impacting the Strait of Hormuz, led to a significant surge in crude oil prices during Q1 2026. Brent crude prices peaked at nearly US$117.27 per barrel by March 9, 2026, marking a 92.56% increase from January, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) saw a 100.41% increase, peaking at US$115.68. This broad market uplift significantly benefited the energy sector, driving increased exploration and production spending which directly impacted drilling service providers like Nabors Industries.
2. Robust Q4 2025 Earnings Beat and Strong Financial Management.
Nabors Industries reported strong fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 12, 2026, with an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.17, significantly exceeding analysts' consensus estimates of -$1.75 by 109.71%. Quarterly revenue also rose 9.0% year-over-year to $798 million. This positive earnings surprise was coupled with substantial debt reduction, as net debt decreased by approximately $554 million since the end of 2024, lowering the company's leverage to its lowest levels since 2005 and reducing projected annual interest expense by about $45 million.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 55.8% change in NBR stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 26.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 54.30 | 84.62 | 55.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,117 | 3,185 | 2.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.1% | 9.0% | 26.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 3.4 | 4.2 | 21.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 14 | 14 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 55.8% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NBR | 55.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 41.8% |
| Sector (XLE) | 27.7% | 45.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 107.0% change in NBR stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 97.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 40.87 | 84.62 | 107.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,031 | 3,185 | 5.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.2 | 0.4 | 97.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 14 | 14 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 107.0% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NBR | 107.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 42.5% |
| Sector (XLE) | 28.9% | 49.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 102.9% change in NBR stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 186.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 41.71 | 84.62 | 102.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,930 | 3,185 | 8.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.4 | 186.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 9 | 14 | -34.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 102.9% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NBR | 102.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 55.9% |
| Sector (XLE) | 25.3% | 69.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -30.6% change in NBR stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -35.6% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 121.91 | 84.62 | -30.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,654 | 3,185 | 20.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 0.4 | -10.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 9 | 14 | -35.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -30.6% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NBR | -30.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 42.1% |
| Sector (XLE) | 51.1% | 69.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NBR Return | 39% | 91% | -47% | -30% | -5% | 48% | 38% |
| Peers Return | 55% | 100% | -17% | -15% | 1% | 49% | 230% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 81% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NBR Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 33% | 42% | 75% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 59% | 63% | 32% | 43% | 55% | 80% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NBR Max Drawdown | -2% | 0% | -50% | -37% | -57% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -4% | 0% | -32% | -24% | -35% | -0% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HP, PTEN, PDS, VAL, SLB. See NBR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/13/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NBR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -61.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 160.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -93.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1521.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 720 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -91.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1066.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -82.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 485.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to HP, PTEN, PDS, VAL, SLB
In The Past
Nabors Industries's stock fell -61.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/18/2022. A -61.5% loss requires a 160.0% gain to breakeven.
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About Nabors Industries (NBR)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Nabors Industries (NBR):
- Caterpillar for oil and gas drilling: Like Caterpillar provides heavy equipment and services for construction and mining, Nabors provides the essential rigs, machinery, and related services to drill for oil and gas.
- Deere & Company for oil and gas drilling: Similar to how Deere provides specialized machinery and increasingly advanced technology for agriculture, Nabors offers high-tech drilling rigs and sophisticated software solutions for the oil and gas industry.
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- Land and Offshore Drilling Services: Provides comprehensive drilling operations for oil and natural gas wells across land and offshore environments.
- Specialized Drilling Services: Offers services including tubular running, wellbore placement, directional drilling, and measurement-while-drilling (MWD).
- Logging-While-Drilling (LWD) Systems and Services: Delivers real-time wellbore logging data and insights during drilling operations.
- REVit System: An automated real-time system designed to mitigate stick-slip during drilling.
- ROCKit System: A directional steering control system for precise wellbore trajectory.
- SmartNAV Platform: A collaborative guidance and advisory platform supporting drilling operations.
- SmartSLIDE System: An advanced directional steering control system for optimized drilling.
- RigCLOUD Platform: Provides tools and infrastructure to integrate applications for real-time operational insight across the rig fleet.
- Drilling Optimization Software: Software solutions aimed at enhancing overall drilling efficiency and performance.
- Drilling Rig Components: Manufactures and sells essential drilling equipment such as top drives, catwalks, wrenches, and drawworks.
- Robotic Systems and Downhole Tools: Produces advanced robotic systems and specialized tools used within the wellbore.
- Equipment Aftermarket Support: Provides sales and services for its installed base of manufactured drilling equipment.
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Major Customers of Nabors Industries (NBR)
Nabors Industries Ltd. primarily sells its drilling and drilling-related services and equipment to other companies in the oil and natural gas sector. Based on the provided background information, its major customers are companies involved in oil and gas exploration and production (E&P).
The specific names of Nabors Industries' major customer companies are not disclosed in the provided background description.
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Anthony G. Petrello, Chairperson, President and Chief Executive Officer
Anthony G. Petrello has served as Chairman of the Board of Nabors Industries Ltd. since June 2012, and as its Chief Executive Officer and President since October 2011. He was first elected to the Nabors Board of Directors in 1991. Before becoming CEO, he served as the company's President and Chief Operating Officer from 1991 to October 2011, and Deputy Chairman since 2003. Prior to joining Nabors in 1991, Mr. Petrello was the Managing Partner of the New York office of the law firm Baker & McKenzie from 1986 to 1991. He holds a J.D. degree from Harvard Law School and B.S. and M.S. degrees in Mathematics from Yale University. Mr. Petrello also serves as a director of Hilcorp Energy Company. He previously served as Chairman, President, CEO & Secretary of Nabors Energy Transition Corp. from 2021 to 2023.
Miguel Rodriguez, Chief Financial Officer
Miguel Rodriguez was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Nabors Industries Ltd. effective October 1, 2025, succeeding William Restrepo. He joined Nabors in February 2019 as Senior Vice President for Operations Finance. Prior to joining Nabors, Mr. Rodriguez spent over 25 years with SLB (formerly Schlumberger) in various senior financial positions requiring strong corporate finance, treasury, tax, and financial management skills, with postings in the United States, Latin America, and Russia. His roles at SLB included senior executive positions in Corporate Treasury, Group Controller for Latin America, and worldwide Controller. Mr. Rodriguez holds a Bachelor's degree in Business Administration and is a CPA, both from Universidad Católica Andrés Bello (UCAB) in Venezuela.
Siggi Meissner, President, Global Drilling and Energy Transition
Siggi Meissner serves as the President of Global Drilling Operations & Engineering at Nabors Industries Ltd. He is also listed as President, Global Drilling and Energy Transition.
Mark Andrews, Vice President and Corporate Secretary
Mark Andrews serves as Vice President and Corporate Secretary of Nabors Industries Ltd. He has also been listed as Vice President and General Manager of Nabors Global Holdings Ltd.
Michael Csizmadia, General Counsel and Chief Compliance Officer
Michael Csizmadia serves as General Counsel and Chief Compliance Officer at Nabors Industries Ltd. He is also a Senior Vice President.
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```htmlNabors Industries Ltd. (NYSE: NBR) faces several key risks to its business, primarily driven by the cyclical nature of the oil and natural gas industry and the company's financial structure.
Key Risks
- Fluctuations in Oil and Natural Gas Prices and Declining Drilling Activity: The primary risk to Nabors Industries is the volatility in oil and natural gas prices, which directly impacts drilling activity, revenues, cash flows, and overall profitability. A sustained decrease in commodity prices reduces the incentive for exploration, development, and production activities, leading to lower demand for Nabors' drilling and drilling-related services. The U.S. drilling market, a significant operational area for Nabors, has experienced a decline in activity and daily rig margins due to increased costs and operational inefficiencies, further exacerbating this risk.
- High Debt Load and Limited Financial Flexibility: Nabors Industries carries a substantial long-term debt burden, reported at approximately $2.5 billion as of December 31, 2025, and $2.7 billion as of June 30, 2025. This high leverage limits the company's financial flexibility, increases interest expenses, and makes it vulnerable to changes in interest rates and broader credit market conditions. Persistent net losses, despite efforts to improve cash flow, highlight the challenges in managing this debt and affect the company's ability to reinvest in growth or strengthen its balance sheet.
- Customer Concentration and Intense Competition: The company faces significant customer concentration risk, with Saudi Aramco accounting for a substantial portion of its consolidated operating revenues (30% in 2025, 31% in 2024, and 26% in both 2023 and 2022). The loss of this or other major customers, or the renegotiation or termination of drilling contracts on short notice or without early termination payments, could materially harm Nabors' business, financial condition, and results of operations. Additionally, Nabors operates in a highly competitive industry characterized by excess drilling capacity, which can adversely affect market share, utilization rates, and pricing.
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Nabors Industries (symbol: NBR) operates in several segments of the oil and natural gas industry. The addressable markets for its main products and services, segmented by region, are detailed below:Global Markets
- Global Oil and Gas Wells Drilling Services Market: The market for global oil and gas wells drilling services was valued at approximately USD 160.88 billion in 2025.
- Global Offshore Drilling Market: The global offshore drilling market was valued at about USD 43.78 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 47.73 billion in 2026. Other sources indicate a 2024 value of USD 39.865 million or USD 39.61 billion.
- Global Land Drilling Rig Market: This market, which includes the manufacturing and sale of drilling equipment, was valued at USD 45.19 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 47.08 billion in 2026.
- Global Oilfield Services Market: The broader global oilfield services market, which encompasses drilling and drilling-related services, was valued at USD 270.53 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 290.8 billion in 2026.
U.S. Markets
- U.S. Oil Field Drilling Services Market: This market was valued at USD 71.0 billion in 2025 and is projected to be USD 67.0 billion in 2026.
- United States Offshore Drilling Market: The market size for offshore drilling in the United States was valued at USD 2.48 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 4.13 billion by 2033.
Canada Markets
- Canada Oil & Gas Field Services Market: The market size for oil and gas field services in Canada, which includes drilling services, was USD 47.8 billion in 2025 and USD 48.4 billion in 2026. Another source indicates a value of USD 10 billion based on historical analysis.
- Canada Underbalanced Drilling Market: This specialized drilling service market generated USD 190.1 million in revenue in 2024.
International Markets (Offshore Drilling by Region)
- Asia Pacific Offshore Drilling Market: This region's offshore drilling market was valued at USD 8,999 million (approximately USD 9.0 billion) in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 11,033 million by 2030. Asia Pacific held the largest share of the global offshore drilling market at 44.73% in 2024.
- Middle East & Africa Offshore Drilling Market: This market captured 22.42% of the global market in 2025, generating USD 9.82 billion in revenue, and is projected to reach USD 10.88 billion in 2026.
- Latin America Offshore Drilling Market: In 2025, Latin America generated USD 3.82 billion, contributing 8.72% to global market revenue, and is projected to grow to USD 4.21 billion in 2026.
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Nabors Industries (NYSE: NBR) is positioned for future revenue growth over the next two to three years, driven by several strategic initiatives and market trends:
-
International Drilling Expansion: The company anticipates continued growth in its international drilling operations, particularly in the Middle East (including Saudi Arabia and Kuwait), Asia Pacific, and Latin America (Argentina). This expansion is supported by new rig deployments and reactivations, often secured through long-term contracts, which are expected to increase the international rig count.
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Growth in Drilling Solutions and Rig Technologies: Nabors expects its Drilling Solutions and Rig Technologies segments to significantly increase their contributions to revenue. Drilling Solutions is highlighted for its high-margin services, while Rig Technologies benefits from third-party sales of high-margin rig components, rentals, and spare parts.
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Synergies from Acquisitions, notably Parker Wellbore: The acquisition of Parker Wellbore is a key driver, projected to enhance adjusted EBITDA through synergies and an expanded portfolio of services and products.
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Advancements in Technology and Drilling Automation: Nabors is leveraging its advanced technology solutions, including drilling automation platforms like REVit, ROCKit, SmartNAV, SmartSLIDE, and RigCLOUD, as well as new rig technologies such as the PACE-X Ultra. These innovations are expected to drive demand by offering enhanced efficiency, performance, and contributing to margin expansion.
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Newbuild Programs: The company's newbuild programs, such as the SANAD joint venture, especially in Saudi Arabia, are anticipated to contribute to future revenue growth through long-term contracts and increased rig deployments. These programs involve significant capital expenditures and are expected to generate substantial EBITDA.
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Share Repurchases
- Nabors Industries completed a share repurchase program in 2025, retiring 14,012,000 shares for US$121.27 million under its 2015 authorization.
Share Issuance
- In March 2025, Nabors acquired Parker Drilling Company for cash plus 4.8 million shares.
- The number of common shares outstanding increased from 9,331,097 in aggregate as of October 31, 2021, to 10,764,937 in aggregate as of December 31, 2024. By February 6, 2026, the aggregate number of common shares outstanding reached 15,834,469.
Outbound Investments
- In March 2025, Nabors acquired Parker Drilling Company for cash plus 4.8 million shares, with the deal valued at approximately $180.6 million. This acquisition expanded Nabors' Drilling Solutions business by adding Quail Tools, a casing running contractor, and a fleet of ten drilling rigs.
- Nabors sold its Quail Tools, LLC subsidiary to Superior Energy Services for $625 million, which included $375 million in cash at closing and a $250 million seller financing note that was fully prepaid.
- Nabors has invested in venture opportunities focused on carbon reduction, including alternative energy sources such as geothermal, hydrogen, energy storage, carbon capture, and emissions monitoring. Specific investments include a business combination with Vast Solar Pty. Ltd. in December 2023 and an investment in GA Drilling, an ultra-deep geothermal drilling technology innovator, in March 2022.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for the full year 2025 totaled $695 million, which included $274 million allocated for SANAD newbuilds.
- For the full year 2026, Nabors projects capital expenditures to be in the range of $730 million to $760 million, with $360 million to $380 million specifically for SANAD newbuilds.
- The primary focus of these capital expenditures is on rig enhancements and new construction, particularly within the SANAD newbuild program.
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Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 68.27 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.0 |
| Rev LTM | 4,086 |
| Op Inc LTM | 263 |
| FCF LTM | 203 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 257 |
| CFO LTM | 693 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 686 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 14.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.0 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | 1.6 |
| P/E | 4.2 |
| P/CFO | 6.3 |
| Total Yield | 6.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 35.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 80.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 106.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 8.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 33.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 75.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 65.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -59.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $84.62 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/28/1991 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -5.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $77.71 | $52.81 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 8.9% | 60.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 48.7% | 64.7% |
| Downside Capture | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Upside Capture | 345.02 | 219.20 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 35.8% | 35.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.22 | 1.74 | 1.59 | 1.92 | 2.18 | 1.74 |
| Up Beta | 2.36 | 0.09 | 2.00 | 1.54 | 1.76 | 1.70 |
| Down Beta | -0.03 | 1.59 | 1.75 | 2.23 | 3.24 | 2.41 |
| Up Capture | 407% | 452% | 386% | 459% | 402% | 177% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 24 | 37 | 69 | 135 | 360 |
| Down Capture | 35% | 66% | -9% | 88% | 130% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 18 | 26 | 57 | 116 | 389 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NBR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBR | 157.0% | 66.6% | 1.70 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 42.4% | 20.9% | 1.59 | 60.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 18.7% | 13.7% | 1.06 | 41.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 53.7% | 27.6% | 1.55 | 1.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 25.2% | 16.2% | 1.37 | 42.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.8% | 14.0% | 0.76 | 22.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -11.7% | 43.0% | -0.17 | 18.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NBR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBR | -1.9% | 67.8% | 0.26 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 22.8% | 26.1% | 0.78 | 73.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 39.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.8% | 17.8% | 1.01 | 13.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.7% | 18.8% | 0.51 | 54.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.7% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 28.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.6% | 56.6% | 0.30 | 17.5% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NBR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBR | -14.1% | 82.1% | 0.19 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 10.9% | 29.5% | 0.41 | 65.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.9% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 39.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.2% | 15.9% | 0.74 | 5.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.8% | 17.6% | 0.42 | 48.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 28.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.5% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 11.7% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 1/15/2026 | 0.3% | 5.0% | 16.2% |
| 10/28/2025 | 10.2% | 9.8% | 5.7% |
| 7/29/2025 | 2.2% | 1.6% | 8.2% |
| 4/29/2025 | -7.0% | -8.7% | -8.5% |
| 2/13/2025 | -5.0% | -13.0% | -11.7% |
| 10/22/2024 | -1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| 7/17/2024 | 4.3% | -5.2% | -3.1% |
| 4/25/2024 | 1.3% | -7.7% | -4.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 12 | 11 |
| # Negative | 9 | 11 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 4.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% |
| Median Negative | -5.0% | -8.7% | -11.0% |
| Max Positive | 22.4% | 30.7% | 427.9% |
| Max Negative | -13.1% | -16.8% | -27.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/13/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/13/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/26/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/12/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/28/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/09/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/02/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/11/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Lower 48 average rig count | 64 | 64.5 | 65 | 11.2% | Higher New | Actual: 58 for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Lower 48 daily adjusted gross margin | 1320000.0% | 1.5% | Higher New | Actual: 1300000.0% for Q4 2025 | |||
| Q1 2026 Alaska and Gulf of America combined adjusted EBITDA | 16.00 Mil | 16.50 Mil | 17.00 Mil | -34.0% | Lower New | Actual: 25.00 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 International average rig count | 91 | 91.5 | 92 | 0.6% | Higher New | Actual: 91 for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 International daily adjusted gross margin | 1750000.0% | 1755000.0% | 1760000.0% | -3.3% | Lower New | Actual: 1815000.0% for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Drilling Solutions Adjusted EBITDA | 39.00 Mil | 0 | Same New | Actual: 39.00 Mil for Q4 2025 | |||
| Q1 2026 Rig Technologies Adjusted EBITDA | 2.00 Mil | -63.6% | Lower New | Actual: 5.50 Mil for Q4 2025 | |||
| Q1 2026 Capital Expenditures | 170.00 Mil | 175.00 Mil | 180.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Lower 48 average rig count | 61 | 62.5 | 64 | ||||
| 2026 Lower 48 daily adjusted gross margin | 1300000.0% | 1320000.0% | 1340000.0% | ||||
| 2026 Alaska and Gulf of America combined adjusted EBITDA | 55.00 Mil | 57.50 Mil | 60.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 International average rig count | 96 | 97 | 98 | ||||
| 2026 International daily adjusted gross margin | 1850000.0% | ||||||
| 2026 Drilling Solutions Adjusted EBITDA | 160.00 Mil | 165.00 Mil | 170.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Rig Technologies Adjusted EBITDA | 22.00 Mil | 23.50 Mil | 25.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 730.00 Mil | 745.00 Mil | 760.00 Mil | 302.7% | Higher New | Actual: 185.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/28/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Lower 48 average rig count | 57 | 58 | 59 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 58 for Q3 2025 | |
| Q4 2025 Lower 48 daily adjusted gross margin | 1300000.0% | -2.3% | -300 | Lowered | Guidance: 1330000.0% for Q3 2025 | ||
| Q4 2025 Alaska and Gulf of America combined adjusted EBITDA | 25.00 Mil | -3.8% | Lowered | Guidance: 26.00 Mil for Q3 2025 | |||
| Q4 2025 International average rig count | 91 | 4.0% | Raised | Guidance: 87.5 for Q3 2025 | |||
| Q4 2025 International daily adjusted gross margin | 1810000.0% | 1815000.0% | 1820000.0% | 1.4% | 250 | Raised | Guidance: 1790000.0% for Q3 2025 |
| Q4 2025 Drilling Solutions Adjusted EBITDA | 39.00 Mil | Higher New | |||||
| Q4 2025 Rig Technologies Adjusted EBITDA | 5.00 Mil | 5.50 Mil | 6.00 Mil | 120.0% | Raised | Guidance: 2.50 Mil for Q3 2025 | |
| 2025 Capital Expenditures | 180.00 Mil | 185.00 Mil | 190.00 Mil | Higher New | |||
| Q4 2025 Adjusted Free Cash Flow | 10.00 Mil | Higher New | |||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Varde, Partners Inc | See footnotes | Sell | 9152025 | 41.04 | 312,378 | 12,819,603 | 57,702,618 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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