NVIDIA (NVDA)


Market Price (8/28/2026): $227.1 | Market Cap: $5.5 TrilInvestor Relations Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

NVIDIA (NVDA)


Market Price (8/28/2026): $227.1
Market Cap: $5.5 Tril
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 83%

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 65%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, CFO LTM is 134 Bil, FCF LTM is 127 Bil

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 119 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Automation & Robotics, Show more.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.2%, Dist 3Y High is -3.2%

Key risks
NVDA key risks include [1] U.S. Show more.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 83%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 65%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, CFO LTM is 134 Bil, FCF LTM is 127 Bil
3 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 119 Bil
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Automation & Robotics, Show more.
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.2%, Dist 3Y High is -3.2%
7 Key risks
NVDA key risks include [1] U.S. Show more.

NVDA in ETFs

Weight = NVDA's share of each fund

SPY7.7%
VOO7.6%
IVV8.0%
VTI6.4%
ITOT7.1%
QQQ8.2%
QQQM8.4%
DIA2.4%
+51 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/27/2026

NVIDIA (NVDA) stock has gained about 15% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Exceptional Financial Performance in Fiscal Q1 and Q2 2027.

NVIDIA reported record-breaking financial results for both fiscal Q1 2027, which ended April 26, 2026, and fiscal Q2 2027, which ended July 26, 2026. For fiscal Q1 2027, the company achieved revenue of $81.6 billion, an 85% year-over-year increase, with Data Center revenue reaching $75.2 billion, up 92% year-over-year. Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter were $1.87, representing a 140% year-over-year increase. Building on this momentum, NVIDIA's fiscal Q2 2027 results further surpassed expectations, with revenue hitting $96.2 billion, a 106% increase from the prior year and 18% sequentially, exceeding Wall Street estimates of $92 billion. The Data Center segment remained the primary growth driver, with revenue of $89.0 billion, up 117% year-over-year and 18% sequentially. Non-GAAP diluted EPS for fiscal Q2 2027 was $2.22, beating analysts' consensus of $2.09 by 6.22%.

2. Robust Demand for AI Infrastructure and Strong Future Guidance.

The company's stock surge was significantly fueled by accelerating demand for AI infrastructure, described by CEO Jensen Huang as the "largest infrastructure expansion in human history." Huang emphasized that AI has reached an "inflection point," generating profitable work and driving computational demand. This robust demand is reflected in NVIDIA's optimistic outlook for fiscal Q3 2027, with projected revenue of $108.0 billion, plus or minus 2%, which is higher than analysts' predictions. Furthermore, CFO Colette Kress anticipated approximately 70% revenue growth for fiscal 2028, noting that actual demand is even higher but is currently constrained by supply chain bottlenecks. The ramping into full production of new AI platforms like NVIDIA Vera, the first CPU built for AI agents, and the Vera Rubin platform underscores the company's continuous innovation to meet this escalating demand.

Show more
Updated on 8/27/2026

NVIDIA (NVDA) stock has gained about 15% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Exceptional Financial Performance in Fiscal Q1 and Q2 2027.

NVIDIA reported record-breaking financial results for both fiscal Q1 2027, which ended April 26, 2026, and fiscal Q2 2027, which ended July 26, 2026. For fiscal Q1 2027, the company achieved revenue of $81.6 billion, an 85% year-over-year increase, with Data Center revenue reaching $75.2 billion, up 92% year-over-year. Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter were $1.87, representing a 140% year-over-year increase. Building on this momentum, NVIDIA's fiscal Q2 2027 results further surpassed expectations, with revenue hitting $96.2 billion, a 106% increase from the prior year and 18% sequentially, exceeding Wall Street estimates of $92 billion. The Data Center segment remained the primary growth driver, with revenue of $89.0 billion, up 117% year-over-year and 18% sequentially. Non-GAAP diluted EPS for fiscal Q2 2027 was $2.22, beating analysts' consensus of $2.09 by 6.22%.

2. Robust Demand for AI Infrastructure and Strong Future Guidance.

The company's stock surge was significantly fueled by accelerating demand for AI infrastructure, described by CEO Jensen Huang as the "largest infrastructure expansion in human history." Huang emphasized that AI has reached an "inflection point," generating profitable work and driving computational demand. This robust demand is reflected in NVIDIA's optimistic outlook for fiscal Q3 2027, with projected revenue of $108.0 billion, plus or minus 2%, which is higher than analysts' predictions. Furthermore, CFO Colette Kress anticipated approximately 70% revenue growth for fiscal 2028, noting that actual demand is even higher but is currently constrained by supply chain bottlenecks. The ramping into full production of new AI platforms like NVIDIA Vera, the first CPU built for AI agents, and the Vera Rubin platform underscores the company's continuous innovation to meet this escalating demand.

3. Strategic Market Positioning and Enhanced Pricing Power.

NVIDIA's dominant position in the AI chip and infrastructure market has enabled it to command significant pricing power and engage in strategic partnerships. The company announced strategic partnerships to mobilize over $500 billion of third-party capital for the buildout of AI infrastructure. Additionally, NVIDIA expanded its collaboration with Amazon Web Services (AWS) to deliver 2 million additional GPUs and next-generation infrastructure for agentic and physical AI. Demonstrating its strong market control, NVIDIA is reportedly increasing prices of servers, including those powered by Vera Rubin and Grace Blackwell chips, by 15%, on top of a 30% price hike in July. These price adjustments are attributed to skyrocketing memory prices and persistent component shortages, indicating NVIDIA's ability to pass on rising costs and maintain healthy gross margins, which were 75.0% in fiscal Q2 2027.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 14.4% change in NVDA stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 40.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020268272026Change
Stock Price ($)199.34227.9814.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)215,938302,96940.3%
Net Income Margin (%)55.6%63.7%14.5%
P/E Multiple40.328.6-29.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)24,30224,1900.5%
Cumulative Contribution14.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NVDA14.4% 
Market (SPY)7.3%65.6%
Sector (XLK)18.3%67.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 19.4% change in NVDA stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 61.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120268272026Change
Stock Price ($)190.90227.9819.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)187,142302,96961.9%
Net Income Margin (%)53.0%63.7%20.1%
P/E Multiple46.828.6-38.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)24,32724,1900.6%
Cumulative Contribution19.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NVDA19.4% 
Market (SPY)11.7%66.7%
Sector (XLK)31.3%71.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 28.3% change in NVDA stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 104.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)73120258272026Change
Stock Price ($)177.63227.9828.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)148,515302,969104.0%
Net Income Margin (%)51.7%63.7%23.2%
P/E Multiple56.528.6-49.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)24,44124,1901.0%
Cumulative Contribution28.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NVDA28.3% 
Market (SPY)23.0%65.1%
Sector (XLK)44.2%72.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 388.8% change in NVDA stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 1070.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)73120238272026Change
Stock Price ($)46.64227.98388.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)25,878302,9691070.8%
Net Income Margin (%)18.5%63.7%243.7%
P/E Multiple240.328.6-88.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)24,70024,1902.1%
Cumulative Contribution388.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NVDA388.8% 
Market (SPY)74.4%66.6%
Sector (XLK)115.5%77.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NVDA Return125%-50%239%171%39%13%1512%
Peers Return45%-42%85%25%41%90%420%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%104%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NVDA Win Rate58%42%75%75%67%62% 
Peers Win Rate62%38%65%53%52%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NVDA Max Drawdown-24%-63%-18%-27%-37%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-51%-22%-40%-41%-37% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AMD, INTC, AVGO, QCOM, MRVL. See NVDA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/27/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventNVDAS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-32.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven47.6%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven60 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-26.7%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven36.4%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven68 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-11.7%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.3%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven11 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-62.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven168.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven215 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-37.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven60.1%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven56 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-55.6%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven125.4%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven417 days105 days

Compare to AMD, INTC, AVGO, QCOM, MRVL

In The Past

NVIDIA's stock fell -32.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 47.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventNVDAS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-32.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven47.6%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven60 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-26.7%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven36.4%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven68 days18 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-62.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven168.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven215 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-37.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven60.1%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven56 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-55.6%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven125.4%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven417 days105 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-21.8%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.8%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven26 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-45.0%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven81.8%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven160 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-83.7%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven514.4%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven2680 days1085 days

Compare to AMD, INTC, AVGO, QCOM, MRVL

In The Past

NVIDIA's stock fell -32.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 47.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About NVIDIA (NVDA)

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is a leading technology company that designs and manufactures graphics processing units (GPUs) and develops sophisticated computing and networking solutions. While initially renowned for revolutionizing PC gaming with its GeForce GPUs, the company has significantly diversified its portfolio. Today, NVIDIA's core business involves creating advanced hardware and software that power everything from immersive gaming experiences and professional visualization to artificial intelligence (AI), high-performance computing (HPC), and autonomous systems.

The company's main products and services are primarily categorized into two segments. Its Graphics segment provides GeForce GPUs for gaming PCs and cloud gaming services like GeForce NOW, alongside Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstations and professional design. This segment also includes software for cloud-based visual computing and its Omniverse platform for 3D design and virtual world development. The Compute & Networking segment offers Data Center platforms for AI and accelerated computing, Mellanox networking solutions, and comprehensive automotive platforms for AI cockpits, autonomous driving, and infotainment systems. Other products include Jetson for robotics and embedded platforms, and NVIDIA AI Enterprise software.

NVIDIA serves a broad global customer base across several key markets, including gaming, professional visualization, data centers, and automotive. Its innovative products and solutions are sold to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), cloud and Internet service providers, automotive manufacturers and their suppliers, system builders, retailers, and various other technology ecosystem participants. Essentially, NVIDIA provides the underlying GPU and accelerated computing technology that enables cutting-edge applications and advancements across a multitude of industries worldwide.

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1. Intel for AI and advanced graphics chips.

2. The electric utility for AI and high-performance computing.

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  • GeForce GPUs: Graphics processing units primarily for gaming and personal computers.
  • GeForce NOW: A cloud-based game streaming service.
  • NVIDIA RTX/Quadro GPUs: Professional-grade graphics processing units for enterprise workstations and creative applications.
  • vGPU Software: Software enabling virtualized graphics and computing in cloud environments.
  • Omniverse Software: A platform for 3D design collaboration and building virtual worlds.
  • Data Center Platforms: Integrated hardware and software systems for AI, high-performance computing (HPC), and accelerated computing in data centers.
  • Mellanox Networking: High-performance networking and interconnect solutions for data centers and supercomputers.
  • Autonomous Driving Solutions: Comprehensive platforms, software, and development agreements for autonomous vehicles and AI-powered automotive cockpits.
  • Jetson Platforms: Compact, high-performance computing platforms for robotics and other embedded AI applications.
  • NVIDIA AI Enterprise: A software suite and framework for accelerating enterprise AI deployment and development.
  • Cryptocurrency Mining Processors (CMPs): Specialized processors designed for efficient cryptocurrency mining.

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NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) primarily sells its products to other companies rather than directly to individuals. The company's customer base includes various enterprise segments as outlined in its description.

Based on the provided background and general market knowledge consistent with NVIDIA's operations, its major customers are found within the categories of Internet and Cloud Service Providers, Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs)/System Builders, and Automotive Manufacturers. While the background description lists categories of customers, the following are prominent examples of major companies within those categories that are widely recognized as significant customers of NVIDIA:

  • Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) - As a major cloud service provider (Azure) and enterprise software vendor, Microsoft utilizes NVIDIA's data center GPUs for AI, HPC, and cloud computing infrastructure.
  • Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) - Through its Amazon Web Services (AWS) division, Amazon is a substantial consumer of NVIDIA's data center GPUs to power its cloud AI, machine learning, and high-performance computing services.
  • Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) - Google Cloud Platform, a subsidiary of Alphabet, also heavily relies on NVIDIA's GPU technology for its AI workloads, data analytics, and various cloud services.
  • Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL) - As a leading OEM and system builder, Dell integrates NVIDIA's GPUs into its servers, workstations, and personal computers, catering to enterprise, professional visualization, and gaming markets.
  • Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBG.DE) - Mercedes-Benz has a strategic partnership with NVIDIA for developing software-defined vehicles and next-generation in-car computing platforms, including AI Cockpit and autonomous driving solutions.

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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM)

SK Hynix Inc. (000660.KS)

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. (005930.KS)

Micron Technology, Inc. (MU)

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Jensen Huang
Founder, President, and Chief Executive Officer

Jensen Huang co-founded NVIDIA in 1993 and has served as its President and CEO since its inception. He previously gained experience in the tech industry, working at Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and LSI Logic Corporation, where he rose to become a division director. Huang earned a bachelor's degree in electrical engineering from Oregon State University and a master's degree in electrical engineering from Stanford University. Under his leadership, NVIDIA navigated early challenges, including near-bankruptcy in the 1990s, and expanded into GPU production, high-performance computing, and artificial intelligence.

Colette Kress
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Colette Kress joined NVIDIA in September 2013 as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, overseeing the company's financial strategy and operations. She has over three decades of experience in senior finance roles within the technology sector. Before NVIDIA, Kress spent three years as Senior Vice President and CFO of Cisco's Business Technology and Operations Finance organization. Prior to that, she worked for 13 years at Microsoft, including four years as CFO of the Server and Tools division, and held various senior corporate planning and finance positions. She began her career at Texas Instruments. Kress holds an MBA from Southern Methodist University and a bachelor's degree in finance from the University of Arizona.

Chris A. Malachowsky
Founder and NVIDIA Fellow

Chris A. Malachowsky is a co-founder of NVIDIA and currently serves as an NVIDIA Fellow. He has held various positions at the company since its founding in 1993, overseeing areas such as IT, operations, and product engineering. Before co-founding NVIDIA, Malachowsky held engineering and technical leadership roles at companies including Hewlett-Packard and Sun Microsystems.

Debora Shoquist
Executive Vice President, Operations

Debora Shoquist serves as the Executive Vice President of Operations at NVIDIA, a role she has held since joining the company in 2007. With over two decades of experience prior to NVIDIA, she managed operations at various companies, including Quantum and Coherent.

Jay Puri
Executive Vice President, Worldwide Field Operations

Jay Puri is the Executive Vice President of Worldwide Field Operations at NVIDIA, responsible for overseeing the company's global business, including sales, partnerships, program management, and support services. Prior to joining NVIDIA in 2005, Puri accumulated over two decades of experience in sales, marketing, and management, including a significant tenure as Senior Vice President of the Asia-Pacific Group at Sun Microsystems, and roles at Hewlett-Packard, Booz Allen, and Texas Instruments.

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The key risks to NVIDIA's business include:

  1. Intensifying Competition from Hyperscalers and Rivals: A significant risk to NVIDIA stems from its largest customers, major hyperscalers such as Google, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta, increasingly developing their own custom artificial intelligence (AI) chips and accelerators (e.g., Google's TPU, Amazon's Inferentia/Tranium, Microsoft's Maia, Meta's MTIA, and Tesla's Dojo D1). This trend aims to reduce their dependence on NVIDIA and optimize hardware for their specific AI workloads, particularly for inference, which could erode NVIDIA's market share and revenue from its critical Data Center segment. Additionally, traditional rivals like Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) with its MI300 series and Intel with its Gaudi accelerators are ramping up competition in the AI chip market.
  2. Geopolitical Tensions and Export Controls: NVIDIA operates in a global market and faces substantial geopolitical risks, especially regarding U.S. government restrictions on selling advanced AI chips to China and other regions. China has historically been a major market for NVIDIA, significantly contributing to its data center revenue. These export controls can directly reduce sales, necessitate product redesigns, create uncertainty for customers, and enable local competitors to gain traction, thereby impacting NVIDIA's growth prospects and operational complexity.
  3. Reliance on the AI Boom and Potential for Decelerating AI Spending: NVIDIA's recent explosive revenue growth has been largely fueled by the high demand for AI infrastructure, particularly for training large AI models. However, the business faces a risk if enterprises or hyperscalers slow down their AI capital expenditures, overbuild their infrastructure, or if the evolution of AI workloads shifts away from NVIDIA's primary offerings (e.g., toward more efficient inference or custom accelerators). The market's extremely high expectations for NVIDIA's continued rapid growth also make the company vulnerable to any perceived deceleration in AI spending or shifts in technological requirements.

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The following are clear emerging threats for NVIDIA:

  • Major cloud service providers and hyperscalers developing their own custom AI accelerators and chips: Companies such as Google (TPUs), Amazon (Inferentia/Trainium), and Microsoft are investing significantly in designing specialized silicon tailored for AI and machine learning workloads within their own data centers. This strategic shift aims to optimize performance, reduce operational costs, and decrease reliance on third-party GPU manufacturers like NVIDIA for critical AI infrastructure.
  • Automotive manufacturers and autonomous driving companies designing their own custom AI and autonomous driving chips: A growing number of prominent automotive companies and autonomous vehicle developers are pursuing in-house development of specialized silicon for advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving capabilities. This trend could reduce the market demand for NVIDIA's automotive AI platforms and solutions.

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Here are the addressable market sizes for NVIDIA's main products and services:

  • Gaming GPUs (GeForce GPUs): The global gaming GPU market size was estimated at USD 87.57 billion in 2025.
  • Professional Visualization (Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs): The global advanced visualization market was valued at US$3.78 billion in 2024.
  • Automotive Platforms (AI Cockpit, Autonomous Driving, ADAS): The global automotive advanced driver assistance system market size was estimated at USD 68.26 billion in 2025.
  • Data Center Platforms and Systems:
    • AI Data Center (including GPU-based compute servers): The global AI Data Center Market size is anticipated to grow from USD 236.44 billion in 2025.
    • High Performance Computing (HPC): The global high performance computing market size was valued at USD 59.33 billion in 2025.
    • Data Center Networking Solutions (Mellanox): The global Data Center Networking Market is projected to grow from USD 55.64 billion in 2025.
  • Omniverse Software (Industrial Metaverse): The global industrial metaverse market size was valued at USD 29.05 billion in 2025.
  • Jetson (Robotics and Embedded Platforms): The global embedded AI market size was valued at USD 11.7 billion in 2025.

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NVIDIA (NVDA) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key areas:

  1. Sustained Demand for Data Center AI Infrastructure: NVIDIA anticipates continued exponential growth in demand for its AI computing power and data center platforms. Hyperscalers, cloud service providers, and enterprises are expected to maintain heavy investments in AI infrastructure, including NVIDIA's GPUs and accelerated computing solutions. The company's Blackwell and upcoming Vera Rubin architectures are key to meeting this demand. NVIDIA's CEO Jensen Huang has projected cumulative revenue from 2025-2027 for AI infrastructure to exceed $1 trillion.
  2. Expansion into Diverse AI Applications and Vertical Markets: Beyond traditional data center applications, NVIDIA expects significant growth from the expansion of AI into new and diverse vertical industries. These include automotive, financial services, healthcare, and robotics. The adoption of generative AI workloads, such as data preparation, large language model (LLM) fine-tuning, and retrieval augmented generation, is increasingly driving enterprise demand.
  3. Growth in the Automotive Segment: The automotive sector is a crucial growth driver, particularly with the increasing adoption of autonomous driving and AI cockpit solutions. Automakers are incorporating NVIDIA's DRIVE platform for software-defined autonomous vehicle fleets. Strategic partnerships with companies like Li Auto, Great Wall Motor, ZEEKR, Xiaomi EV, Hyundai, and Kia underscore this growth.
  4. Continuous Introduction of New Products and Architectural Advancements: NVIDIA's pipeline of new product launches and architectural innovations will be vital for future revenue. This includes new generations of GPUs like the Blackwell Ultra GB300 and B300 series chips, and the forthcoming Vera Rubin AI system, which are designed to offer substantial performance improvements and drive upgrade cycles.
  5. Development and Expansion of Software and Services: Growth in NVIDIA's software and services offerings, such as the NVIDIA AI Enterprise suite and the Omniverse platform, is also an expected revenue driver. These solutions enable various industrial applications, from digital twin creation and simulation in automotive design to broader AI development and deployment for enterprises.

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Share Repurchases

  • In August 2024, NVIDIA's board approved a $50 billion share repurchase authorization.
  • In August 2025, the board authorized an additional $60 billion increase to its share repurchase program, which has no expiration date.
  • NVIDIA's annual share buybacks amounted to $10.039 billion in 2023, $9.533 billion in 2024, and $33.706 billion in 2025.

Share Issuance

  • NVIDIA's annual stock-based compensation for 2023 was $2.709 billion.
  • The company's annual stock-based compensation for 2024 was $3.549 billion.
  • NVIDIA's annual stock-based compensation for 2025 was $4.737 billion.

Outbound Investments

  • NVIDIA committed up to $100 billion to OpenAI in September 2025 for AI infrastructure deployment, structured as 10 separate $10 billion investments, with the first tranche tied to infrastructure deployment goals.
  • The company announced plans to acquire a $5 billion stake in Intel in September 2025, aiming for collaboration on AI processors.
  • NVIDIA entered into an approximately $20 billion agreement with Groq in December 2025, which includes non-exclusive licensing of Groq's AI inference technology, acquisition of key assets, and key personnel joining NVIDIA.

Capital Expenditures

  • NVIDIA's capital expenditures were $1.833 billion in fiscal year 2023, $1.069 billion in fiscal year 2024, and increased to $3.236 billion in fiscal year 2025.
  • Capital expenditures for the fiscal year ending January 2026 peaked at $6.042 billion.
  • The primary focus of these capital expenditures is to support the rapid development of AI infrastructure and data center buildouts to meet the surging demand for its GPUs.

Better Bets vs. NVIDIA (NVDA)

Peer Outperformance in Semiconductors

NVDA has outperformed 96% of its 53 Semiconductors peers over 5Y. Semiconductors ranks 6th of 12 industries in Information Technology by median 5Y return.
Share of Semiconductors constituents that NVDA has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
45%
of 64 industry peers · 25.7% return
3Y
95%
of 58 industry peers · 387.7% return
5Y
96%
of 53 industry peers · 910.6% return
No Semiconductors peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten NVDA by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Information Technology sector, ranked by 5Y. Semiconductors is NVDA's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Electronic Manufacturing Services 9 62.1%179.4%326.9% TTMI 783% · FLEX 739% · JBL 412%
Semiconductor Materials & Equipment 27 144.2%79.6%105.7% AEHR 1103% · AXTI 617% · KLAC 463%
Technology Distributors 9 26.2%58.8%70.3% CLMB 349% · AVT 152% · SNX 116%
Electronic Components 26 57.0%56.4%55.0% CLS 3234% · BELFA 1316% · LPTH 518%
Communications Equipment 36 28.2%100.3%40.0% AAOI 1452% · LITE 1000% · ANET 763%
Semiconductors ← 54 33.1%33.2%26.2% POET 1911% · MU 1196% · NVDA 911%
Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals 21 31.6%76.9%20.8% STX 1039% · SMCI 976% · DELL 965%
Internet Services & Infrastructure 6 22.4%40.3%15.0% DOCN 103% · VRSN 40% · GDDY 31%
Electronic Equipment & Instruments 27 -7.6%7.8%-7.0% PI 181% · ACFN 139% · OSIS 114%
IT Consulting & Other Services 28 -23.9%-6.7%-20.2% CHRN 545558% · APLD 1011% · TSSI 666%
Application Software 123 -18.5%-10.0%-43.4% VIDA 269900% · INLX 5007% · PLTR 623%
Systems Software 69 -9.5%21.7%-52.3% QNC 702% · PAYS 422% · PANW 398%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NVDAAMDINTCAVGOQCOMMRVLMedian
NameNVIDIA Advanced.Intel Broadcom Qualcomm Marvell . 
Mkt Price227.98476.6792.09371.54164.78241.45234.71
Mkt Cap5,514.8777.9470.01,763.7174.2213.0624.0
Rev LTM302,96941,30557,03275,46544,0698,71750,550
Op Inc LTM197,5796,4884,30833,25310,2581,4308,373
FCF LTM127,0068,4032,83132,76210,4161,6629,410
FCF 3Y Avg81,9384,601-6,89924,64011,5351,3938,068
CFO LTM134,36010,08014,93633,62212,4012,05613,668
CFO 3Y Avg86,6865,62412,17825,26612,9031,74412,541

Growth & Margins

NVDAAMDINTCAVGOQCOMMRVLMedian
NameNVIDIA Advanced.Intel Broadcom Qualcomm Marvell . 
Rev Chg LTM83.4%39.5%7.5%32.3%1.9%34.1%33.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg116.5%24.4%1.9%29.3%4.8%16.0%20.2%
Rev Chg Q105.9%50.1%25.4%47.9%-4.0%27.6%37.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM19.5%10.3%6.1%10.5%-0.9%6.4%8.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM105.9%164.5%198.0%55.5%-15.9%3,466.6%135.2%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg206.3%225.5%-214.9%31.7%-0.6%1,056.4%119.0%
Op Mgn LTM65.2%15.7%7.6%44.1%23.3%16.4%19.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg61.7%9.2%0.1%38.4%25.6%2.8%17.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.2%4.1%5.6%2.6%-2.3%0.1%1.9%
CFO/Rev LTM44.3%24.4%26.2%44.6%28.1%23.6%27.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg47.2%16.4%22.0%43.2%31.3%25.8%28.6%
FCF/Rev LTM41.9%20.3%5.0%43.4%23.6%19.1%22.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg44.7%13.3%-12.8%42.2%28.1%20.5%24.3%

Valuation

NVDAAMDINTCAVGOQCOMMRVLMedian
NameNVIDIA Advanced.Intel Broadcom Qualcomm Marvell . 
Mkt Cap5,514.8777.9470.01,763.7174.2213.0624.0
P/S18.218.88.223.44.024.418.5
P/Op Inc27.9119.9109.153.017.0148.981.1
P/EBIT24.0101.1-54.052.514.664.038.2
P/E28.6120.9-41.660.218.884.344.4
P/CFO41.077.231.552.514.0103.646.8
Total Yield3.6%0.8%-2.4%2.3%7.5%1.3%1.8%
Dividend Yield0.1%0.0%0.0%0.7%2.2%0.1%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.0%1.1%-6.8%2.0%5.9%1.5%1.8%
D/E0.00.00.10.00.10.00.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.00.00.00.00.00.0

Returns

NVDAAMDINTCAVGOQCOMMRVLMedian
NameNVIDIA Advanced.Intel Broadcom Qualcomm Marvell . 
1M Rtn15.7%4.9%6.7%-2.5%1.2%38.4%5.8%
3M Rtn6.5%-8.0%-23.8%-12.8%-32.0%17.9%-10.4%
6M Rtn23.5%134.0%102.6%15.9%14.3%204.7%63.0%
12M Rtn25.7%185.2%270.6%24.7%5.3%223.5%105.5%
3Y Rtn387.7%364.5%178.5%347.3%57.5%341.7%344.5%
1M Excs Rtn14.3%5.3%6.8%-5.3%0.2%42.1%6.0%
3M Excs Rtn4.3%-10.2%-26.0%-15.0%-34.2%15.7%-12.6%
6M Excs Rtn11.6%122.1%90.7%4.0%2.4%192.8%51.1%
12M Excs Rtn6.0%166.5%258.6%6.0%-13.9%206.3%86.3%
3Y Excs Rtn324.0%274.9%108.5%273.9%-15.5%232.8%253.3%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Compute & Networking193,479116,19347,40515,06811,046
Graphics22,45914,30413,51711,90615,868
All Other   00
Total215,938130,49760,92226,97426,914


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Compute & Networking130,14182,87532,0165,0834,598
Graphics9,1565,0855,8464,5528,492
Acquisition-related and other costs-527-599-613  
Unallocated operating expenses-1,997-1,171-728  
Stock-based compensation expense-6,386-4,737-3,549  
All Other   -5,411-3,049
Total130,38781,45332,9724,22410,041


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$227.98 
Market Cap ($ Bil)5,536.7 
First Trading Date01/22/1999 
Distance from 52W High-3.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$208.16$195.57
DMA Trendupindeterminate
Distance from DMA9.5%16.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility43.6%37.9%
Downside Capture206.98204.37
Upside Capture217.09188.20
Correlation (SPY)68.0%65.7%
NVDA Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.912.092.131.911.882.05
Up Beta2.361.482.081.811.612.01
Down Beta2.852.572.612.062.111.93
Up Capture151%216%196%220%259%2967%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days12213165129409
Down Capture143%197%191%168%151%111%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days10223261123343

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NVDA
NVDA25.7%37.8%0.68-
Sector ETF (XLK)44.2%26.2%1.3671.9%
Equity (SPY)20.6%12.8%1.1964.9%
Gold (GLD)35.6%28.8%1.0521.4%
Commodities (DBC)40.3%20.3%1.55-1.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)11.0%13.7%0.52-5.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-29.7%43.6%-0.6933.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NVDA
NVDA63.2%52.0%1.13-
Sector ETF (XLK)20.6%25.9%0.7180.1%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.2%0.6070.7%
Gold (GLD)20.5%18.7%0.898.3%
Commodities (DBC)11.0%19.6%0.4410.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.2%18.9%0.0128.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)11.0%52.7%0.3932.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NVDA
NVDA65.3%50.0%1.20-
Sector ETF (XLK)24.5%25.0%0.8976.2%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7265.9%
Gold (GLD)12.6%16.3%0.645.9%
Commodities (DBC)7.5%18.1%0.3315.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.2032.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.6%66.1%1.0321.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8142026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity286.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 7312026-2.3%
Average Daily Volume113.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity24,190.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.2%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/26/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/20/2026-1.8%-4.1%-6.5%
2/25/2026-5.5%-6.4%-12.4%
11/19/2025-3.2%-3.4%-1.5%
8/27/2025-0.8%-5.5%-1.9%
5/28/20253.2%5.3%17.0%
2/26/2025-8.5%-10.6%-15.1%
11/20/20240.5%-7.2%-7.7%
8/28/2024-6.4%-14.6%-3.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive12129
# Negative121215
Median Positive4.6%10.5%21.2%
Median Negative-4.3%-5.9%-5.0%
Max Positive24.4%30.2%35.5%
Max Negative-8.5%-14.6%-29.1%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/20/2026-1.8%-4.1%-6.5%
2/25/2026-5.5%-6.4%-12.4%
11/19/2025-3.2%-3.4%-1.5%
8/27/2025-0.8%-5.5%-1.9%
5/28/20253.2%5.3%17.0%
2/26/2025-8.5%-10.6%-15.1%
11/20/20240.5%-7.2%-7.7%
8/28/2024-6.4%-14.6%-3.3%
5/22/20249.3%16.4%24.4%
2/21/202416.4%15.1%35.5%
11/21/2023-2.5%-3.6%-1.9%
8/23/20230.1%4.6%-11.7%
5/24/202324.4%30.2%33.1%
2/22/202314.0%9.4%31.0%
11/16/2022-1.5%3.8%4.2%
8/8/2022-6.3%-1.5%-29.1%
5/25/20225.2%15.4%-0.6%
2/16/2022-7.6%-10.4%-0.2%
11/17/20218.2%11.7%-5.0%
8/18/20214.0%16.7%15.0%
5/26/2021-1.4%8.1%21.2%
2/24/2021-8.2%-11.7%-13.5%
11/18/20200.1%-1.4%-1.1%
8/19/20200.0%5.2%0.4%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive12129
# Negative121215
Median Positive4.6%10.5%21.2%
Median Negative-4.3%-5.9%-5.0%
Max Positive24.4%30.2%35.5%
Max Negative-8.5%-14.6%-29.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
07/31/202608/26/202610-Q
04/30/202605/20/202610-Q
01/31/202602/25/202610-K
10/31/202511/19/202510-Q
07/31/202508/27/202510-Q
04/30/202505/28/202510-Q
01/31/202502/26/202510-K
10/31/202411/20/202410-Q
07/31/202408/28/202410-Q
04/30/202405/29/202410-Q
01/31/202402/21/202410-K
10/31/202311/21/202310-Q
07/31/202308/28/202310-Q
04/30/202305/26/202310-Q
01/31/202302/24/202310-K
10/31/202211/18/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
07/31/202608/26/202610-Q
04/30/202605/20/202610-Q
01/31/202602/25/202610-K
10/31/202511/19/202510-Q
07/31/202508/27/202510-Q
04/30/202505/28/202510-Q
01/31/202502/26/202510-K
10/31/202411/20/202410-Q
07/31/202408/28/202410-Q
04/30/202405/29/202410-Q
01/31/202402/21/202410-K
10/31/202311/21/202310-Q
07/31/202308/28/202310-Q
04/30/202305/26/202310-Q
01/31/202302/24/202310-K
10/31/202211/18/202210-Q
07/31/202208/31/202210-Q
04/30/202205/27/202210-Q
01/31/202203/18/202210-K
10/31/202111/22/202110-Q
07/31/202108/20/202110-Q
04/30/202105/26/202110-Q
01/31/202102/26/202110-K
10/31/202011/18/202010-Q
07/31/202008/19/202010-Q
04/30/202005/21/202010-Q
01/31/202002/20/202010-K
10/31/201911/14/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/27/2026

Latest: Q2 2027 Earnings Reported 8/26/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2027 Revenue105.84 Bil108.00 Bil 18.7% Higher NewGuidance: 91.00 Bil for Q2 2027
Q3 2027 Gross Margin73.5%74.0%74.5% -0.9%Lower NewGuidance: 74.9% for Q2 2027
Q3 2027 GAAP Operating Expenses 9.20 Bil 8.2% Higher NewGuidance: 8.50 Bil for Q2 2027
Q3 2027 Non-GAAP Operating Expenses 9.00 Bil 8.4% Higher NewGuidance: 8.30 Bil for Q2 2027
2027 Tax Rate16.0%17.0%18.0% 0AffirmedGuidance: 17.0% for 2027

Prior: Q1 2027 Earnings Reported 5/20/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2027 Revenue89.18 Bil91.00 Bil92.82 Bil16.7% Higher NewGuidance: 78.00 Bil for Q1 2027
Q2 2027 GAAP Gross Margin74.4%74.9%75.4% 0.0%Same NewGuidance: 74.9% for Q1 2027
Q2 2027 Non-GAAP Gross Margin74.5%75.0%75.5% 0.0%Same NewGuidance: 75.0% for Q1 2027
Q2 2027 GAAP Operating Expenses 8.50 Bil 10.4% Higher NewGuidance: 7.70 Bil for Q1 2027
Q2 2027 Non-GAAP Operating Expenses 8.30 Bil 10.7% Higher NewGuidance: 7.50 Bil for Q1 2027
2027 Tax Rate16.0%17.0%18.0% -1.0%LoweredGuidance: 18.0% for 2027

Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 2/25/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2027 Revenue76.44 Bil78.00 Bil79.56 Bil20.0% Higher NewGuidance: 65.00 Bil for Q4 2026
Q1 2027 GAAP Gross Margin74.4%74.9%75.4% 0.1%Higher NewGuidance: 74.8% for Q4 2026
Q1 2027 Non-GAAP Gross Margin74.5%75.0%75.5% 0.0%Same NewGuidance: 75.0% for Q4 2026
Q1 2027 GAAP Operating Expenses 7.70 Bil 14.9% Higher NewGuidance: 6.70 Bil for Q4 2026
Q1 2027 Non-GAAP Operating Expenses 7.50 Bil 50.0% Higher NewGuidance: 5.00 Bil for Q4 2026
2027 GAAP Tax Rate17.0%18.0%19.0%   
2027 Non-GAAP Tax Rate17.0%18.0%19.0%   

Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 11/19/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2026 Revenue 65.00 Bil 20.4% Higher NewActual: 54.00 Bil for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 GAAP Gross Margin 74.8%  1.5%Higher NewActual: 73.3% for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 Non-GAAP Gross Margin 75.0%  1.5%Higher NewActual: 73.5% for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 GAAP Operating Expenses 6.70 Bil 13.6% Higher NewActual: 5.90 Bil for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 Non-GAAP Operating Expenses 5.00 Bil 19.0% Higher NewActual: 4.20 Bil for Q3 2026

Insider Activity

Updated 8/24/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Stevens, Mark ATrustSell6232026210.17885,000185,999,9381,094,409,135Form
2Neal, Stephen CThe Neal/Rhyu Revocable Trust dated 5/2/2017Sell6052026215.7315,5003,343,86325,054,164Form
3Stevens, Mark ATrustSell6042026219.83500,000109,913,9001,406,847,579Form
4Stevens, Mark ATrustSell6042026222.38500,000111,188,7001,534,353,136Form
5Dabiri, JohnDirectSell5292026214.00625133,7503,030,882Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Stevens, Mark ATrustSell6232026210.17885,000185,999,9381,094,409,135Form
2Neal, Stephen CThe Neal/Rhyu Revocable Trust dated 5/2/2017Sell6052026215.7315,5003,343,86325,054,164Form
3Stevens, Mark ATrustSell6042026219.83500,000109,913,9001,406,847,579Form
4Stevens, Mark ATrustSell6042026222.38500,000111,188,7001,534,353,136Form
5Dabiri, JohnDirectSell5292026214.00625133,7503,030,882Form
6Stevens, Mark ATrustSell3242026173.68221,68238,502,5241,285,218,746Form
7Robertson, Donald F JRPrincipal Accounting OfficerDirectSell3202026174.755,396942,94458,911,286Form
8Kress, ColetteEVP & Chief Financial OfficerDirectSell3202026174.8942,6507,458,954154,143,618Form
9Kress, ColetteEVP & Chief Financial OfficerTrustSell3202026174.8910,0001,748,87614,526,164Form
10Kress, ColetteEVP & Chief Financial OfficerLimited Liability CompanySell3202026174.8910,0001,748,876124,683,295Form
11Shah, Aarti SDirectSell3202026176.7119,0003,357,5496,362,909Form
12Puri, Ajay KEVP, Worldwide Field OpsTrustSell3202026182.25300,00054,676,140550,141,658Form
13Dabiri, JohnDirectSell3172026184.903,004555,4402,734,301Form
14Puri, Ajay KEVP, Worldwide Field OpsTrustSell3112026182.52300,00054,756,044605,701,681Form
15Kress, ColetteEVP & Chief Financial OfficerDirectSell2062026175.7227,6404,856,861148,793,566Form
16Kress, ColetteEVP & Chief Financial OfficerTrustSell2062026175.7210,0001,757,18616,352,372Form
17Kress, ColetteEVP & Chief Financial OfficerLimited Liability CompanySell2062026175.7210,0001,757,186127,032,942Form
18Puri, Ajay KEVP, Worldwide Field OpsTrustSell1232026180.04200,00036,007,160651,468,004Form
19Kress, ColetteEVP & Chief Financial OfficerDirectSell1152026184.9227,6405,111,185161,696,145Form
20Kress, ColetteEVP & Chief Financial OfficerTrustSell1152026184.9210,0001,849,19919,057,842Form
21Kress, ColetteEVP & Chief Financial OfficerLimited Liability CompanySell1152026184.9210,0001,849,198135,534,045Form
22Puri, Ajay KEVP, Worldwide Field OpsTrustSell1092026187.82200,00037,563,619717,192,230Form
23Robertson, Donald F JRPrincipal Accounting OfficerDirectSell1062026189.8580,00015,187,74265,850,253Form
24Stevens, Mark ATrustSell12222025180.17222,50040,087,3801,373,141,944Form
25Robertson, Donald F JRPrincipal Accounting OfficerDirectSell12222025179.9824,5904,425,72776,826,583Form
26Jones, Harvey CH.C. Jones Living TrustSell12172025177.33250,00044,333,4501,229,504,889Form
27Shoquist, DeboraEVP, OperationsTrustSell12122025177.8569,84012,420,972253,364,165Form
28Kress, ColetteEVP & Chief Financial OfficerDirectSell12122025178.1130,5005,432,499229,202,640Form
29Kress, ColetteEVP & Chief Financial OfficerTrustSell12122025178.1110,0001,781,14720,137,647Form
30Kress, ColetteEVP & Chief Financial OfficerLimited Liability CompanySell12122025178.1110,0001,781,147132,327,462Form
31Shoquist, DeboraEVP, OperationsTrustSell12122025178.9080,00014,311,661267,349,523Form
32Shoquist, DeboraEVP, OperationsTrustSell12122025183.5280,00014,681,882288,947,330Form
33Shoquist, DeboraEVP, OperationsTrustSell12102025184.6580,00014,771,657305,485,807Form
34Stevens, Mark ATrustSell12092025181.73350,00063,604,0651,281,131,795Form
35Seawell, A BrookeAdministrative TrustSell12042025183.9312,728  Form
36Dabiri, JohnDirectSell11262025179.42626112,3173,192,241Form
37Kress, ColetteEVP & Chief Financial OfficerDirectSell11052025208.3327,6405,758,257589,184,237Form
38Kress, ColetteEVP & Chief Financial OfficerTrustSell11052025208.3310,0002,083,30725,637,172Form
39Kress, ColetteEVP & Chief Financial OfficerLimited Liability CompanySell11052025208.3310,0002,083,306156,859,158Form
40Huang, Jen HsunPresident and CEODirectSell10312025207.9125,0005,197,79014,498,342,411Form
41Huang, Jen HsunPresident and CEODirectSell10282025195.5425,0004,888,53513,640,617,644Form
42Huang, Jen HsunPresident and CEODirectSell10282025190.7325,0004,768,18213,309,561,796Form
43Huang, Jen HsunPresident and CEODirectSell10282025185.3575,00013,901,54412,939,224,349Form
44Huang, Jen HsunPresident and CEODirectSell10232025181.8075,00013,635,06312,704,825,415Form
45Huang, Jen HsunPresident and CEODirectSell10232025179.9175,00013,493,28812,586,215,469Form
46Kress, ColetteEVP & Chief Financial OfficerDirectSell10232025181.4227,6405,014,328518,079,827Form
47Kress, ColetteEVP & Chief Financial OfficerTrustSell10232025181.4210,0001,814,15724,139,172Form
48Kress, ColetteEVP & Chief Financial OfficerLimited Liability CompanySell10232025181.4210,0001,814,156138,408,121Form
49Huang, Jen HsunPresident and CEODirectSell10232025181.4175,00013,606,04912,705,002,559Form
50Huang, Jen HsunPresident and CEODirectSell10202025183.3875,00013,753,15112,856,116,475Form
51Huang, Jen HsunPresident and CEODirectSell10202025182.3175,00013,673,24012,795,090,611Form
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Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 28, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Golden Unicorn (BVI) Ltd$413.1 Mil59.3%4Hold13F
M & L Capital Management Ltd$204.2 Mil50.2%19Hold13F
Palidye Holdings (Caymans) Ltd$257.9 Mil47.8%15ADD +73.8%13F
Ketron Financial$124.0 Mil44.4%55Hold13F
Mindset Wealth Management, LLC$165.0 Mil44.3%176Hold13F
Westwood Wealth Management$98.3 Mil38.6%42New13F
Nelson Capital Management, LLC$284.3 Mil34.7%108Hold13F
Hoey Investments, Inc$232.9 Mil34.4%416Hold13F
Lynch Asset Management, Inc.$93.9 Mil31.5%51Hold13F
Clear Street Group Inc.$5.5 Bil31.1%1065Hold13F
Trybe Capital Management LP$136.2 Mil30.8%6Hold13F
IronBridge Private Wealth, LLC$94.0 Mil30.3%78Hold13F
Builder Investment Group Inc /Adv$137.0 Mil29.7%101Hold13F
Altimeter Capital Management, LP$1.6 Bil28.6%13ADD +15.3%13F
Voyager Global Management LP$819.7 Mil27.9%8ADD +22.1%13F
Once Capital Management, LLC$98.0 Mil26.2%22Hold13F
KLCM Advisors, Inc.$261.5 Mil22.8%256Hold13F
Belvedere Trading LLC$163.8 Mil21.9%227New13F
BSN CAPITAL PARTNERS Ltd$463.5 Mil21.8%41New13F
Matthew 25 Management Corp$65.6 Mil21.8%20TRIM -11.5%13F
Dragoneer Investment Group, LLC $650.2 Mil21.7%17New13F
Franchise GP Ltd$56.9 Mil20.9%36ADD +158.3%13F
Yarbrough Capital, LLC$569.0 Mil19.9%85Hold13F
MayTech Global Investments, LLC$162.6 Mil19.8%23Hold13F
Oriental Harbor Investment Master Fund$224.2 Mil19.8%12Hold13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Dragoneer Investment Group, LLC $650.2 Mil21.7%17New13F
Scge Management, L.P.$529.1 Mil16.0%21New13F
BSN CAPITAL PARTNERS Ltd$463.5 Mil21.8%41New13F
Quintet Private Bank (Europe) S.A.$222.0 Mil14.9%187New13F
Belvedere Trading LLC$163.8 Mil21.9%227New13F
Westwood Wealth Management$98.3 Mil38.6%42New13F
Towarzystwo Funduszy Inwestycyjnych Pzu SA$49.2 Mil16.5%687New13F
Franchise GP Ltd$56.9 Mil20.9%36ADD +158.3%13F
Palidye Holdings (Caymans) Ltd$257.9 Mil47.8%15ADD +73.8%13F
Voyager Global Management LP$819.7 Mil27.9%8ADD +22.1%13F
Altimeter Capital Management, LP$1.6 Bil28.6%13ADD +15.3%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
RK Capital Management, LLC/FL$829.5 Mil51.4%20ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Cantor Fitzgerald, L. P.$559.6 Mil16.7%159ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Cable Car Capital, LP$414.0 Mil25.7%107ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Himension Capital (Singapore) PTE. LTD.$282.4 Mil17.4%95ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Traynor Capital Management, Inc.$266.8 Mil14.7%327ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Harbour Trust & Investment Management Co$151.8 Mil15.5%286ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Institute for Wealth Management, LLC.$140.5 Mil14.9%538ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Marathon Trading Investment Management LLC$131.6 Mil15.7%233ExitedDec 31, 202513F
CFM Wealth Partners LLC$101.9 Mil14.7%144ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Quarry LP$93.6 Mil15.3%2064ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Austin Asset Management Co Inc$91.9 Mil15.1%76ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Oak Grove Capital LLC$81.1 Mil16.1%74ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Berkshire Capital Holdings Inc$73.1 Mil24.2%109ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Ariose Capital Management Ltd$60.7 Mil20.3%14ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Proem Advisors LLC$43.8 Mil14.8%28ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Weiss Asset Management LP$973.4 Mil17.9%472TRIM -16.0%Mar 31, 202613F
Matthew 25 Management Corp$65.6 Mil21.8%20TRIM -11.5%Mar 31, 202613F
Bender Robert & Associates$77.7 Mil18.6%45TRIM -6.2%Mar 31, 202613F
DSM Capital Partners LLC$908.3 Mil16.1%44TRIM -5.7%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Clear Street Group Inc.$5.5 Bil31.1%1065Hold13F
Altimeter Capital Management, LP$1.6 Bil28.6%13ADD +15.3%13F
Weiss Asset Management LP$973.4 Mil17.9%472TRIM -16.0%13F
DSM Capital Partners LLC$908.3 Mil16.1%44TRIM -5.7%13F
Voyager Global Management LP$819.7 Mil27.9%8ADD +22.1%13F
Dragoneer Investment Group, LLC $650.2 Mil21.7%17New13F
Yarbrough Capital, LLC$569.0 Mil19.9%85Hold13F
Scge Management, L.P.$529.1 Mil16.0%21New13F
BSN CAPITAL PARTNERS Ltd$463.5 Mil21.8%41New13F
Golden Unicorn (BVI) Ltd$413.1 Mil59.3%4Hold13F
Nelson Capital Management, LLC$284.3 Mil34.7%108Hold13F
KLCM Advisors, Inc.$261.5 Mil22.8%256Hold13F
Palidye Holdings (Caymans) Ltd$257.9 Mil47.8%15ADD +73.8%13F
Hoey Investments, Inc$232.9 Mil34.4%416Hold13F
Oriental Harbor Investment Master Fund$224.2 Mil19.8%12Hold13F
Quintet Private Bank (Europe) S.A.$222.0 Mil14.9%187New13F
M & L Capital Management Ltd$204.2 Mil50.2%19Hold13F
Dock Street Asset Management Inc$176.6 Mil18.6%58Hold13F
Mindset Wealth Management, LLC$165.0 Mil44.3%176Hold13F
Belvedere Trading LLC$163.8 Mil21.9%227New13F
MayTech Global Investments, LLC$162.6 Mil19.8%23Hold13F
Prime Capital Management Co Ltd$154.2 Mil17.3%7Hold13F
Builder Investment Group Inc /Adv$137.0 Mil29.7%101Hold13F
Trybe Capital Management LP$136.2 Mil30.8%6Hold13F
Ketron Financial$124.0 Mil44.4%55Hold13F

NVDA Trade Sentinel


Stock Conviction

High Conviction

CONVICTION RATIONALE

Conviction is high due to unprecedented forward visibility. Management's preliminary outlook for 70% revenue growth in fiscal 2028 is explicitly supply-constrained, indicating demand is even stronger. The company is expanding its value capture with each product cycle, with the Vera Rubin platform targeting a $40 billion revenue opportunity per gigawatt of data center capacity.

STOCK ARCHETYPE
Capital Equipment / Infrastructure Provider

(Number of AI systems sold) x (Average Selling Price per system) Mix shift towards higher-value, full-stack data center solutions and maintaining a technological lead that supports premium pricing and high gross margins.

Looking for high-conviction positions with a better risk/reward profile? See what's currently in the Trefis High Quality Portfolio.
INVESTMENT THESIS
Can NVIDIA's 'AI Factory' model sustain platform-level economics at scale?

Evidence suggests yes. The business is successfully transitioning from selling chips to selling integrated, data-center-scale systems.

Mechanism: This shift increases value capture, with revenue opportunity per gigawatt growing from $25 billion with Blackwell to $40 billion with Vera Rubin, driving hyper-growth.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Company issued preliminary guidance for ~70% revenue growth in fiscal 2028.
  • Data Center revenue grew 117% YoY to $89.0 billion in Q2 FY27.
  • Supply and capacity commitments increased to $279 billion as of July 2026.
  • The CUDA software ecosystem now has over 7.5 million developers worldwide.
PRIMARY RISK
Peak Pricing Power

Intensifying competition and cyclical component costs could erode NVIDIA's industry-leading margins, suggesting its pricing power has peaked and cannot absorb further shocks.

Mechanism: A failure to pass on rising memory costs, leading to gross margins falling below the guided 71% to 72% trough in Q4.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Management guided gross margins to bottom in the 71% to 72% range in Q4.
  • Competitor AMD has secured multi-generation deployments with OpenAI and Meta.
  • U.S. export controls have foreclosed the company from China's data center market.
  • The company incurred a $4.5 billion charge for excess inventory due to regulations.
Key KPI Watchlist
KPI Status Rationale
Data Center Revenue Growth$89.0 billion for Q2 FY2027 - AcceleratingYear-over-year growth has accelerated for the fourth consecutive quarter, from 75% two quarters ago to 92% last quarter and 117% in the most recent period. Sequential growth remains robust at 18% on a large base, driven by the ramp of the company's Blackwell Ultra infrastructure.
ACIE (AI Clouds, Industrial, & Enterprise) Revenue GrowthThis segment, which includes AI clouds, industrial, and enterprise customers, is a key growth engine. While a multi-quarter year-over-year trend cannot be established from the available sources due to recent re-segmentation, the latest quarter's 138% YoY growth and 25% sequential growth are exceptionally strong. Management's Q3 guidance highlights that sequential growth is expected to be 'driven primarily by ACIE'.
Revenue Opportunity per Gigawatt$40 billion for the Vera Rubin platform (Q2 FY2027 Earnings Call (8/26/2026))This metric, articulated by management, signals the company's increasing value capture within the data center. It reflects the growing content per installation, from just GPUs to full systems including CPUs, networking, and software.
Supply and Capacity Commitments$279 billion (As of July 26, 2026)This represents long-term commitments for manufacturing and components, primarily memory. Its massive scale provides a strong forward indicator of management's confidence in future demand and planned production levels.
Core Investment Debate

Growth Visibility vs. Margin Pressure

BULL VIEW

The unprecedented, supply-constrained 70% revenue growth outlook for fiscal 2028 provides a multi-quarter line of sight that makes the near-term, guided margin dip entirely manageable.

CORE TENSION

Can the 70% forward revenue growth guidance overwhelm concerns about gross margins contracting to a 71-72% trough due to rising memory costs?


PREVAILING SENTIMENT
BULLISH

The latest evidence favors the bulls. The market reacted with a 7.0% gain to the earnings report that contained both the strong guidance and the weaker margin outlook.

BEAR VIEW

The guided gross margin decline to a 71-72% trough is the first crack in the armor, signaling that extreme component costs and competition are beginning to erode pricing power.

Next 6 months: Risks and Catalysts
Timeline Event & Metric To Watch
later this quarter
Groq LPU Volume Shipments
Watch: Company expects to ship Groq 3 LPX, its first rack scale LPU system, in volume to early adopters.
10/21/2026
Peer Earnings Read-Through
Watch: Commentary from INTC or AMD on AI accelerator demand, server CPU strength, or supply chain tightness.
11/2/2026
AMD Earnings Report
Watch: Peer Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is scheduled to report earnings, offering insights into competitive dynamics in AI accelerators.
11/17/2026
Gross Margin Contraction
Watch: Q3 reported gross margin and Q4 gross margin guidance relative to the 71%-72% trough expectation.
Q4
Gross Margin Trough
Watch: Company expects gross margins to bottom in the 71% to 72% range, providing a key test of pricing power.
third quarter of fiscal year 2027
Vera Rubin Production Ramp
Watch: The company's next-generation Data Center architecture, Vera Rubin, began production shipments.
No set date
New Export Controls
Watch: Announcements from the U.S. Department of Commerce regarding semiconductor export rules, particularly concerning performance thresholds or geographic scope.
Key Events in Last 6 Months
Date Event Stock Impact
2026-08-27
Massive OpenAI Data Center Guarantee
Details: In August 2026, the company entered into guarantees with SB Energy to provide credit support capped at $105 billion for a data center buildout to be exclusively used by OpenAI.
+8.7%
$209.66 -> $227.98
2026-08-26
Q2 FY27 Earnings and Guidance Update
Details: Reported record Q2 revenue and guided for fiscal year '28 revenue growth of 70%, but also guided Q3 gross margin lower due to rising memory costs.
+7.0%
$213.05 -> $227.98
2026-07-23
US Advanced Packaging Partnership
Details: Announced a multi-year strategic partnership with Amkor Technology to expand advanced semiconductor packaging and test in the U.S., supported by a prepayment from NVIDIA.
-2.5%
$212.06 -> $206.84
2026-05-20
Q1 FY27 Earnings and Dividend Hike
Details: On May 20, 2026, the company reported Q1 results and increased its quarterly cash dividend from $0.01 per share to $0.25 per share.
-0.5%
$220.35 -> $219.25
2026-04-19
Vera Rubin Supply Chain Milestone
Details: Key supplier SK hynix announced it began mass production of 192GB SOCAMM2 memory products designed for the NVIDIA Vera Rubin platform, a critical step for the next-generation architecture.
+1.9%
$198.12 -> $201.82
2026-03-16
Physical AI Ecosystem Expansion
Details: The company announced a partnership with a business partner to integrate its solutions with NVIDIA's robotics ecosystem to help developers design and deploy humanoid robots and other physical AI systems.
+0.9%
$180.04 -> $181.72
2026-02-25
Q4 FY26 Earnings Report
Details: The company reported Q4 results on February 25, 2026. The stock had a two-day negative reaction of -4.0% following the announcement.
-4.1%
$192.62 -> $184.66
Risk Management
Position Sizing

4% - 6%

NORMAL POSITION

Sizing is volatility-based: NVDA trades at roughly 36% annualized options-implied volatility versus about 13% for the S&P 500 (2.9x the market), around the 28th percentile of its own trailing year. A 4% - 6% position keeps a single-name swing of that size within a diversified portfolio's risk budget.

Diversification Alternatives
AMD - Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
Pure-Play Competitor

AMD provides direct exposure to the AI accelerator market as a credible second source, having secured significant deployments with major AI labs and cloud providers.

Core Thesis: AMD is positioned to capture share from customers seeking to diversify their supply chain and manage costs in the AI buildout.
INTC - Intel Corporation
Integrated Turnaround

Intel offers a different business model as an integrated device manufacturer with its own fabrication facilities, representing a turnaround story in the data center space.

Core Thesis: Intel's strategy to build out its foundry services could capture a portion of the massive capital investment flowing into the semiconductor ecosystem.
How Is The Market Pricing NVDA?

NVIDIA is not a chip seller but a vertically integrated 'AI factory' provider, capturing an increasing share of the total data center build-out cost per gigawatt.

The company provides a full-stack, data-center-scale platform that is the engine for the AI revolution. Its value is not in individual chips but in the co-designed system of hardware and software (CUDA) that delivers superior performance-per-watt and total cost of ownership. For customers like cloud providers and AI labs, more NVIDIA compute directly translates to more revenue, creating a powerful, self-reinforcing demand cycle. The company's moat is the deep, hard-to-replicate integration of its software ecosystem with its hardware roadmap.

What will confirm the thesis

Announcements of new, large-scale sovereign AI or enterprise AI factory deployments; performance benchmarks showing continued multi-generational leaps in performance-per-watt; expansion of the CUDA ecosystem into new domains like physical AI.

What will damage the thesis

A major competitor achieving performance-per-watt parity on a mainstream AI workload; a significant, sustained downturn in cloud provider capex; or evidence that open-source software is commoditizing the hardware layer faster than NVIDIA can innovate.

Noise: Real but irrelevant to thesis

Short-term stock price fluctuations; announcements of competitor chips without independent, at-scale performance benchmarks; minor shifts in quarterly gaming revenue.

Repricing Catalyst

The company's ability to deliver on its supply-constrained 70% revenue growth guidance for fiscal 2028, driven by the ramp of its next-generation Vera Rubin platform, which promises another significant leap in performance and TCO for customers.

What NVDA Makes & Who Pays
TTM figures based on the twelve months through fiscal Q2 2027
Compute & Networking
$275.4B TTM (91% of Total) · 71% Margin
What It Is

This segment sells Data Center accelerated computing platforms, networking solutions (InfiniBand, Ethernet), and Automotive platforms to all major public and private cloud providers, AI model makers, enterprises, startups, public sector entities, and automotive OEMs.

Who Pays & How

Cloud providers, enterprises, and AI labs write the checks to build 'AI factories' that can train and run complex AI models. They choose NVIDIA because its integrated hardware and software platform delivers the industry's lowest cost per token and highest performance per watt, which translates directly into higher revenue and ROI for them.

Unit sales of rack-scale systems, subsystems, modules, and individual components like GPUs, CPUs, and networking hardware, as well as paid software licenses.
Competition
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Huawei, and Intel, as well as large cloud service companies (Alibaba, Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft) with internal chip design teams.
Some competitors have their own fabrication facilities, longer operating histories, or greater financial and marketing resources.
A unified, programmable architecture and the CUDA software ecosystem, which allows for leveraged R&D across multiple markets. The company's 'extreme co-design' approach across the full stack (chips, systems, networking, software) delivers order-of-magnitude performance gains that are difficult to replicate.
Graphics
$27.6B TTM (9% of Total) · 44% Margin
What It Is

This segment sells GeForce GPUs for gaming PCs and laptops, and NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstations to gamers, creators, artists, architects, and designers through a partner network of OEMs, add-in board manufacturers, and distributors.

Who Pays & How

Consumers and professionals pay for GPUs to get high-performance graphics for gaming and professional visualization workflows like 3D design and digital content creation. They choose NVIDIA for technologies like RTX ray tracing and DLSS AI-powered performance boosting.

Unit sales of GPU hardware.
Competition
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Intel.
Competitors may offer lower-priced products or have different feature sets.
The company's technology leadership in real-time ray tracing (RTX) and AI-based graphics enhancement (DLSS), along with the broad adoption of its CUDA platform for AI applications running locally on PCs.
NVDA Evolution: Price Return by Era
Through FY2023 · Graphics & Early Data Center
+246%
The company was primarily known for its Graphics segment (GeForce GPUs), which often generated revenue comparable to its emerging Data Center business. The business mix was more balanced between consumer-facing and enterprise segments.
FY2024 - Present · The AI Factory Inflection
+336%
Driven by the explosion in generative AI, the Compute & Networking segment's revenue and profit grew exponentially, dwarfing the Graphics business. This shift redefined NVIDIA as a data center-scale AI infrastructure company, with its fortunes tied to the global build-out of AI compute capacity.
Market Is In Wait-and-See Mode
Price structure is mildly positive. The trend shows early signs of health but hasn't fully committed. Relative to SPY: Mildly outperforming the market and improving; positive 'relative strength' trend building. Volume and momentum show mild positive lean. The accumulation signals present but not yet dominant. Earnings history is mildly cautionary. The reaction or drift are negative, and the market is beginning to push back on the thesis.
① Structure
+1
Structural pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by trend regime, SMA cross events, proximity to 52W high, and relative strength vs SPY.
② Volume / Momentum
+1
Volume/Momentum pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by institutional footprint score, OBV divergence, and momentum character.
③ Catalyst
-1
Catalyst pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by earnings day reaction, 20D post-earnings drift, and post-earnings volume character.
Combined Score
1 / 12
1 Price Structure & Trend Consolidating · -
2 Momentum Mixed
3 Relative Strength vs. SPY Strong Outperformance
4 Institutional Footprint & Volume Mild Accumulation
5 Volatility Normal
6 Key Price Levels Range · Vol Rising
7 Earnings Reaction History Inconsistent
8 How the Verdict Is Derived Three Pillars
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/27/2026