MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI)
Market Price (5/29/2026): $391.7 | Market Cap: $29.5 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI)
Market Price (5/29/2026): $391.7Market Cap: $29.5 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, and Telecom Infrastructure. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.5%, Dist 3Y High is -4.5% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 27x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 138x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 117x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 167x Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 133%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 219% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 118% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.6% Key risksMTSI key risks include [1] a premium valuation that demands flawless execution on growth initiatives, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, and Telecom Infrastructure. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.5%, Dist 3Y High is -4.5% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 27x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 138x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 117x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 167x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 133%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 219% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 118% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.6% |
| Key risksMTSI key risks include [1] a premium valuation that demands flawless execution on growth initiatives, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) stock has gained about 80% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. MACOM Technology Solutions reported strong fiscal second-quarter 2026 financial results, surpassing analyst expectations and issuing robust guidance for the third quarter. The company announced an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.09, beating the consensus estimate of $1.07, with revenue reaching $288.96 million, exceeding the $285.20 million forecast and representing a 22.5% year-over-year increase. Additionally, MACOM provided optimistic Q3 2026 guidance, projecting an EPS range of $1.31 to $1.37 against a consensus of $1.08, and revenue between $331 million and $339 million, significantly above the $299.3 million consensus. The company also reported a record-high book-to-bill ratio of 1.5 to 1 in Q2, indicating strong demand.
2. The stock benefited significantly from surging demand for optical networking components driven by the robust growth in AI and data center infrastructure. MACOM is recognized as a key beneficiary of the escalating demand for components critical to artificial intelligence (AI) data centers. The company's Data Center segment achieved record revenue levels and is projected for substantial sequential growth of approximately 35% in Q3 2026, with the full fiscal year 2026 outlook for data center revenue raised to over 60% year-over-year. This growth aligns with a broader semiconductor market upturn, where global sales increased by 25% quarter-over-quarter in Q1 2026, propelled by AI and high-performance computing applications.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 78.5% change in MTSI stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 62.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 219.06 | 391.09 | 78.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 967 | 1,074 | 11.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 16.9 | 27.4 | 62.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 74 | 75 | -1.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 78.5% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 78.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.3% | 47.3% |
| Sector (XLK) | 30.0% | 54.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 164.0% change in MTSI stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 125.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 148.13 | 391.09 | 164.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 907 | 1,074 | 18.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 12.2 | 27.4 | 125.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 74 | 75 | -1.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 164.0% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 164.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 11.3% | 42.9% |
| Sector (XLK) | 24.6% | 50.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 277.0% change in MTSI stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 187.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 103.75 | 391.09 | 277.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 791 | 1,074 | 35.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 9.6 | 27.4 | 187.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 73 | 75 | -3.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 277.0% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 277.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 37.6% | 45.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 79.0% | 53.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 570.4% change in MTSI stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 1239.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 58.34 | 391.09 | 570.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 696 | 1,074 | 54.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 47.5% | 16.5% | -65.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.4 | 166.6 | 1239.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 70 | 75 | -6.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 570.4% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 570.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 88.5% | 60.2% |
| Sector (XLK) | 152.9% | 65.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MTSI Return | 42% | -20% | 48% | 40% | 32% | 134% | 628% |
| Peers Return | 17% | -30% | 36% | 25% | 83% | 54% | 290% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 100% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MTSI Win Rate | 67% | 33% | 75% | 67% | 50% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 35% | 63% | 55% | 58% | 64% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MTSI Max Drawdown | -28% | -45% | -26% | -19% | -41% | -20% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -23% | -43% | -26% | -31% | -43% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ADI, SWKS, QRVO, AVGO, LITE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/28/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MTSI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -29.2% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.2% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 55 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -17.1% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.6% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 65 days | 18 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -20.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.9% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 65 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -44.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 80.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 414 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -47.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 89.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 41 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -31.4% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.7% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 275 days | 105 days |
In The Past
MACOM Technology Solutions's stock fell -29.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 41.2% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | MTSI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -29.2% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.2% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 55 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -20.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.9% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 65 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -44.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 80.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 414 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -47.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 89.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 41 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -31.4% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.7% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 275 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -20.5% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.7% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 59 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -20.8% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.2% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 40 days | 15 days |
In The Past
MACOM Technology Solutions's stock fell -29.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 41.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI)
AI Analysis | Feedback
MACOM is like a specialized Analog Devices or Texas Instruments, providing crucial high-frequency chips for 5G networks, data centers, and radar systems.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Integrated Circuits (ICs): Semiconductor devices that combine many electronic components into a single device.
- Multi-chip Modules: Packages that contain multiple integrated circuits, often used for higher integration or performance.
- Diodes: Two-terminal electronic components that primarily conduct current in one direction.
- Amplifiers: Electronic devices designed to increase the power or amplitude of an electrical signal.
- Switches and Switch Limiters: Components that control the flow of electrical current or signals, and those that limit signal levels.
- Passive and Active Components: Electronic components that either dissipate, store, and process energy (passive) or can control the flow of current (active).
- Subsystems: Assemblies of multiple components designed to perform a specific function within a larger electronic system.
AI Analysis | Feedback
MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) primarily sells its analog semiconductor solutions and electronic components to other companies for incorporation into their electronic systems. The provided background description does not list specific major customer companies by name or their stock symbols. However, it clearly identifies the major market segments and types of applications where its customer companies operate:
- Telecommunication: This segment includes companies involved in carrier infrastructure, such as those developing and deploying long-haul/metro networks, 5G infrastructure, and fiber-to-the-X/passive optical network solutions.
- Industrial and Defense: This broad category encompasses companies engaged in various applications, including military and commercial radar, RF jammers, electronic countermeasures, communication data links, as well as those serving general industrial, medical, test and measurement, and scientific applications.
- Data Centers: Companies operating within the data center ecosystem, requiring high-capacity optical networks and other advanced electronic components, are also major customers.
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Stephen G. Daly President, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman
Mr. Daly has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. since May 2019, and as a director since March 2015. He was appointed Chairman of the board of directors in November 2023. Prior to joining MACOM, Mr. Daly held various leadership roles at Hittite Microwave Corporation, a provider of analog and mixed-signal integrated circuits, modules, and subsystems for commercial and military RF, microwave, and millimeterwave applications. He served as President of Hittite from January 2004 through March 2013 and as its Chief Executive Officer from December 2004 through March 2013. Hittite Microwave Corporation was later acquired by Analog Devices in July 2014, after Mr. Daly's tenure as CEO concluded. He received a B.S. in Electrical Engineering from Northeastern University.
John F. Kober Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Kober has served as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer since May 2019. Before this role, he was the Vice President, Finance, Corporate Controller at MACOM from August 2015. Prior to joining MACOM, Mr. Kober served as Vice President, Corporate Controller and Treasurer at CIRCOR International Inc., a manufacturer of highly engineered products, from September 2005 to August 2015. He earned his B.S.B.A. in Accounting from the University of Rhode Island and an MBA in Finance from Seton Hall University.
Robert Dennehy Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Dennehy has served as Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer since November 2025. Prior to this, he was Senior Vice President, Operations, since October 2013, and Vice President, Operations, since March 2011. He previously held the position of Managing Director of MACOM's Cork, Ireland subsidiary from 2006 to March 2011 and served in various product management roles with increasing responsibility within the company. Mr. Dennehy holds an Associate's degree in Electronic Engineering and a Diploma in Business Administration from Henley Business School, London.
Donghyun Thomas Hwang Senior Vice President of Global Sales
Mr. Hwang serves as the Senior Vice President of Global Sales for MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.
Ambra Roth Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary
Ms. Roth holds the position of Senior Vice President, General Counsel, and Secretary at MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) are:
- Geopolitical Tensions and Supply Chain Vulnerabilities: A substantial portion of MACOM's manufacturing, particularly 55% in Taiwan and 20% in China, relies on external foundry partners in Asia. This concentration exposes the company to significant disruptions stemming from geopolitical tensions, such as those impacting global semiconductor production. Furthermore, U.S. government reviews and potential delays or restrictions on export licenses for high-end AI chip shipments to China introduce material uncertainty, affecting Chinese customer orders and MACOM's global sales operations.
- Cyclical Nature of the Semiconductor Industry and Intense Competition: MACOM operates in the highly competitive and inherently cyclical semiconductor industry. This means that economic downturns, shifts in overall market demand, and intense competition from rivals (including larger companies with greater financial and technical resources) can directly and significantly impact MACOM's revenue and profitability.
- Dependency on Key End Markets and Rapid Technology Transitions: MACOM's business performance is closely tied to the performance and spending cycles of its key end markets, including telecommunications (e.g., 5G deployments), data centers, and industrial and defense sectors. Slower-than-anticipated deployments of new technologies, such as 5G, or volatility in demand from data centers and telecom customers, pose risks to revenue growth. Additionally, the company faces ongoing threats from rapid technological advancements, requiring continuous investment in research and development and successful execution on design wins to maintain its competitive position.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The acceleration of domestic semiconductor production capabilities and preferences in key global markets, particularly China, driven by national self-sufficiency initiatives and significant government investment. This trend threatens to increase competition, reduce market access, and erode pricing power for foreign component suppliers like MACOM in these strategically important regions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) provides analog semiconductor solutions for various high-growth markets, including telecommunications, data centers, and industrial and defense applications. The addressable market sizes for their main products and services are as follows:
-
5G Infrastructure and Telecommunication:
- The global 5G infrastructure market was valued at approximately USD 47.44 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 739.04 billion by 2034, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 34.70% from 2026 to 2034. Other estimates place the market at USD 41.39 billion in 2025, growing to USD 133.19 billion by 2033 with a CAGR of 13.1% from 2026 to 2033.
- The global Radio Frequency (RF) components market, which includes components for 5G, was valued at USD 44.84 billion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to approximately USD 140.54 billion by 2035, expanding at a CAGR of 12.10% from 2026 to 2035. Another source estimates the RF components market size at USD 44.34 billion in 2025, reaching USD 90.42 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 12.61% from 2026 to 2031.
- The global microwave devices market was valued at USD 8.31 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 5.5% from 2025 to 2034.
-
Optical Networks and Data Centers:
- The global optical transport network market is estimated to be valued at USD 34.14 billion in 2026 and is expected to reach USD 74.06 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 11.7% from 2026 to 2033.
- The global data center interconnect (DCI) market is projected to reach USD 14.6 billion in 2025 and grow at a 20.7% CAGR through 2034, ultimately hitting USD 79.4 billion. Other estimates for the DCI market include USD 16.31 billion in 2025, predicted to attain around USD 64.96 billion by 2035 with a CAGR of 14.82%.
-
Industrial and Defense:
- The global military radar market size was valued at USD 57.30 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 263.40 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 18.10% during the forecast period. Another assessment puts the market at USD 17.5 billion in 2025, reaching USD 24.1 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 3.48% from 2026-2034.
- The global Radio Frequency (RF) Processing Market, which includes industrial and healthcare applications, was valued at USD 23.06 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 52.31 billion by the end of 2030, growing at a CAGR of 17.8% over the forecast period of 2025-2030.
- The global medical RF module market was valued at USD 404 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 910 million by 2031, exhibiting a CAGR of 12.5% during the forecast period.
- The global industrial RF heating equipment market size was valued at USD 405.90 million in 2024, growing at a CAGR of 3.67% from 2025 to 2034.
AI Analysis | Feedback
MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors:
- Expansion in the Data Center Market and High-Speed Optical Solutions: MACOM anticipates significant growth from its Data Center segment, propelled by the increasing demand for high-speed optical components crucial for 800G and 1.6T Ethernet deployments. The company has raised its 2026 data center growth outlook to 35-40% year-over-year, benefiting from hyperscaler investments and the proliferation of AI-driven cloud computing. MACOM is actively expanding its photonics portfolio, including new 200G-per-lane photodetectors and continuous wave (CW) lasers, which are essential for these advanced data center infrastructures.
- Robust Demand in the Industrial & Defense Sector: The Industrial & Defense market remains a strong growth driver for MACOM. The company is experiencing sustained demand for its RF and microwave components in applications such as military and commercial radar, electronic warfare, RF jammers, and communication data links. MACOM has reported record revenue levels in this segment and expects it to lead sequential growth. The adoption of GaN-based components in these critical defense applications further contributes to this growth.
- Opportunities in 5G Infrastructure and Satellite Communications (SATCOM): While the broader telecommunications market faces a flat outlook, MACOM is strategically positioned to capitalize on specific growth areas within 5G infrastructure. This includes providing components for wireless base stations, massive MIMO radios, and open RAN radios. Additionally, the company is seeing increased orders for its DOCSIS 4.0 products and is involved in SATCOM programs, which are expected to contribute to revenue growth in its telecom segment. The superior performance of GaN in high-frequency 5G applications is a key advantage.
- Strategic Product Innovation and Acquisitions: MACOM's commitment to continuous product innovation and strategic acquisitions is a significant catalyst for future revenue. The company consistently introduces new products, such as advanced GaN power amplifiers and GaN-on-SiC RF amplifiers, which enhance its product portfolio and competitive edge. The acquisition of companies like ENGIN-IC, which boosted GaN MMIC design capabilities, enables MACOM to capture more market share in rapidly expanding technological domains. New product introductions have historically outpaced overall revenue growth and improved gross margins.
- Internal Capacity Expansion and Operational Efficiency: To support growing market demand and improve profitability, MACOM is increasing its RF fab capacity by 30%. This internal growth initiative aims to scale operations and meet future production needs efficiently. The integration of the RTP fab, acquired from Wolfspeed, is also expected to enhance manufacturing cycle times and contribute to higher long-term gross margins, thereby positively impacting future revenue and profitability.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- MACOM Technology Solutions authorized a share repurchase program with an initial amount of $5 million, and an additional amount of $2 million was authorized, totaling $7 million in authorized repurchases.
Share Issuance
- In March 2026, directors Bryan Ingram and Geoffrey G. Ribar each received an equity grant of 776 restricted stock units (RSUs) under the company's 2021 Omnibus Incentive Plan.
- In November 2025, Robert Dennehy received promotion-related equity grants, including restricted stock units valued at approximately $200,000, performance-based restricted stock units (PRSUs) with a target value of approximately $300,000, and relative total shareholder return (rTSR) restricted stock units with a target value of approximately $400,000.
Outbound Investments
- MACOM has completed 9 acquisitions with an average acquisition amount of $276 million.
- In February 2023, MACOM acquired the assets and operations of OMMIC SAS, a semiconductor manufacturer, for €38.5 million.
- In August 2023, MACOM entered into a definitive agreement to acquire the RF business of Wolfspeed.
- In November 2024, MACOM acquired ENGIN-IC for $14.2 million, specifically to enhance capabilities in Gallium Nitride (GaN) monolithic microwave integrated circuits (MMICs) and integrated microwave assemblies.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for the fiscal first quarter ended January 2, 2026, were $12.9 million.
- For the full fiscal year 2025, capital expenditures were projected to be approximately $30 million, with $8.2 million incurred in fiscal Q2 2025, primarily driven by upgrades to wafer foundry and R&D facilities.
- Capital expenditures are focused on expanding its photonics portfolio and manufacturing capacity, particularly for 200G-per-lane photodetectors and new CW lasers, and integrating its RTP fab to improve cycle times and long-term gross margins.
- The company also has plans to increase its RF fab capacity by 30%.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to MTSI.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302026 | PLTR | Palantir Technologies | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | ADSK | Autodesk | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.5% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | BSY | Bentley Systems | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.7% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | BL | BlackLine | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.2% | 3.2% | -3.0% |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 405.05 |
| Mkt Cap | 45.5 |
| Rev LTM | 3,861 |
| Op Inc LTM | 443 |
| FCF LTM | 676 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 906 |
| CFO LTM | 884 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,084 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 26.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 26.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 6.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 71.7% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 17.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 23.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 45.5 |
| P/S | 20.4 |
| P/Op Inc | 60.1 |
| P/EBIT | 59.4 |
| P/E | 71.3 |
| P/CFO | 54.1 |
| Total Yield | 1.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.8% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 17.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 31.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 45.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 88.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 297.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 11.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 21.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 41.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 61.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 262.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Designs, develops, manufactures and markets semiconductors and modules | 730 | 648 | 675 | 607 | 530 |
| Total | 730 | 648 | 675 | 607 | 530 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Designs, develops, manufactures and markets semiconductors and modules | 74 | ||||
| Total | 74 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Designs, develops, manufactures and markets semiconductors and modules | 77 | ||||
| Total | 77 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $391.09 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 29.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/15/2012 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -4.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $292.22 | $203.02 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 33.8% | 92.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 59.6% | 48.3% |
| Downside Capture | 140.66 | 132.58 |
| Upside Capture | 264.58 | 230.38 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.01 | 2.14 | 1.80 | 1.73 | 1.72 | 1.80 |
| Up Beta | 1.88 | 1.71 | 1.59 | 1.47 | 1.57 | 1.85 |
| Down Beta | 2.98 | 3.91 | 2.17 | 2.11 | 1.85 | 1.70 |
| Up Capture | 142% | 224% | 246% | 332% | 374% | 1327% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 17 | 27 | 41 | 77 | 154 | 418 |
| Down Capture | -795% | 172% | 138% | 105% | 124% | 111% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 5 | 16 | 23 | 48 | 96 | 332 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MTSI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 221.8% | 48.3% | 2.59 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 62.2% | 20.6% | 2.24 | 52.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 29.2% | 11.8% | 1.86 | 44.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 35.7% | 26.7% | 1.12 | 15.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 40.2% | 18.8% | 1.66 | -9.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.3% | 13.0% | 0.70 | 11.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -31.9% | 41.6% | -0.81 | 23.5% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MTSI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 48.4% | 43.1% | 1.05 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 23.2% | 24.8% | 0.82 | 68.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.2% | 17.0% | 0.66 | 62.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.6% | 18.0% | 0.84 | 12.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.6% | 19.4% | 0.43 | 14.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.6% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 36.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.8% | 54.7% | 0.43 | 25.4% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MTSI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 27.0% | 52.2% | 0.67 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 25.7% | 24.4% | 0.94 | 58.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.8% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 54.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.1% | 16.0% | 0.68 | 8.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.3% | 17.9% | 0.33 | 18.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.7% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 35.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.5% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 15.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/14/2025 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/28/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q3 2026 Revenue | 331.00 Mil | 335.00 Mil | 339.00 Mil | 17.5% | Higher New | Guidance: 285.00 Mil for Q2 2026 | |
| Q3 2026 Adjusted Gross Margin | 59.0% | 59.5% | 60.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | Higher New | Guidance: 58.0% for Q2 2026 |
| Q3 2026 Adjusted EPS | 1.31 | 1.34 | 1.37 | 25.2% | Higher New | Guidance: 1.07 for Q2 2026 | |
Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 2/5/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Revenue | 281.00 Mil | 285.00 Mil | 289.00 Mil | 5.9% | Raised | Guidance: 269.00 Mil for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Adjusted Gross Margin | 57.0% | 58.0% | 59.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | Raised | Guidance: 57.5% for Q1 2026 |
| Q2 2026 Adjusted EPS | 1.05 | 1.07 | 1.09 | 7.0% | Raised | Guidance: 1 for Q1 2026 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for MoreUpdated on 5202026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kober, John | Senior VP and CFO | Direct | Sell | 5202026 | 359.25 | 7,644 | 2,746,143 | 14,719,386 | Form |
| 2 | Hwang, Donghyun Thomas | SVP, Global Sales | Direct | Sell | 5202026 | 360.64 | 2,595 | 935,871 | 11,676,206 | Form |
| 3 | Chung, Peter Y | See Remarks | Sell | 5182026 | 378.20 | 43,268 | 16,363,923 | 2,564,569 | Form | |
| 4 | Bland, Charles R | Direct | Sell | 5152026 | 380.00 | 800 | 304,000 | 5,448,440 | Form | |
| 5 | Ribar, Geoffrey G | Direct | Sell | 5132026 | 361.84 | 1,623 | 587,266 | 4,545,796 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why. Last Updated: 5282026