Tearsheet

NAPCO Security Technologies (NSSC)


Market Price (4/30/2026): $45.21 | Market Cap: $1.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Equipment & Instruments

NAPCO Security Technologies (NSSC)


Market Price (4/30/2026): $45.21
Market Cap: $1.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Electronic Equipment & Instruments

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 27%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, Cloud Computing, and Cybersecurity. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Show more.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.0%

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -36%

Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 101%

Key risks
NSSC key risks include [1] an ongoing securities class action lawsuit and investigation stemming from financial misstatements and weak internal controls, Show more.

0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 27%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, Cloud Computing, and Cybersecurity. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.0%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -36%
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 101%
7 Key risks
NSSC key risks include [1] an ongoing securities class action lawsuit and investigation stemming from financial misstatements and weak internal controls, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

NAPCO Security Technologies (NSSC) stock has gained about 10% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Beat.

NAPCO Security Technologies reported robust fiscal second-quarter 2026 results on February 2, 2026, surpassing analyst expectations. The company announced diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.38, exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.32 by 18.75%. Additionally, net revenue grew by 12.2% year-over-year to a record $48.2 million, with recurring service revenue increasing by 12.5% year-over-year to $23.8 million, maintaining an impressive 90.2% gross margin. This strong financial performance, which included a 29% jump in net income to $13.5 million year-over-year, resulted in an 11.20% surge in the stock price on the day the earnings were published.

2. Inclusion in the S&P SmallCap 600 Index.

Effective prior to market open on March 13, 2026, NAPCO Security Technologies was selected for inclusion in the S&P SmallCap 600 Index. This inclusion typically enhances a company's visibility within the market and can lead to increased demand from institutional investors and index funds that track the benchmark.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 8.7% change in NSSC stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 3.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)123120254292026Change
Stock Price ($)41.5545.188.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1871922.8%
Net Income Margin (%)23.8%24.7%3.9%
P/E Multiple33.434.01.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)36360.0%
Cumulative Contribution8.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NSSC8.7% 
Market (SPY)5.2%43.0%
Sector (XLK)10.7%38.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 5.9% change in NSSC stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 5.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)93020254292026Change
Stock Price ($)42.6645.185.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1821925.7%
Net Income Margin (%)23.9%24.7%3.3%
P/E Multiple35.034.0-3.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)36360.0%
Cumulative Contribution5.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NSSC5.9% 
Market (SPY)8.0%41.4%
Sector (XLK)13.2%36.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 99.2% change in NSSC stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 98.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120254292026Change
Stock Price ($)22.6845.1899.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1871922.9%
Net Income Margin (%)25.9%24.7%-4.8%
P/E Multiple17.134.098.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)37362.5%
Cumulative Contribution99.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NSSC99.2% 
Market (SPY)29.3%51.6%
Sector (XLK)55.0%48.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 25.0% change in NSSC stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 123.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)33120234292026Change
Stock Price ($)36.1645.1825.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)16119219.3%
Net Income Margin (%)11.1%24.7%123.0%
P/E Multiple74.634.0-54.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)37363.1%
Cumulative Contribution25.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NSSC25.0% 
Market (SPY)81.5%33.5%
Sector (XLK)115.1%31.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NSSC Return91%10%26%5%19%10%262%
Peers Return6%-18%13%5%16%-3%15%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%4%90%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NSSC Win Rate58%50%58%58%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate52%40%47%43%53%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NSSC Max Drawdown-1%-37%-33%-6%-44%-12% 
Peers Max Drawdown-11%-34%-17%-11%-18%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ALLE, ALRM, ADT, REZI, MSA. See NSSC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/29/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNSSCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven119.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven97 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-58.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven138.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven327 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-29.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven42.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven222 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-88.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven762.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,785 days1,480 days

Compare to ALLE, ALRM, ADT, REZI, MSA

In The Past

NAPCO Security Technologies's stock fell -54.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/12/2023. A -54.3% loss requires a 119.0% gain to breakeven.

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About NAPCO Security Technologies (NSSC)

Napco Security Technologies, Inc. develops, manufactures, and sells electronic security products in the United States and internationally. The company offers access control systems, door-locking products, intrusion and fire alarm systems, and video surveillance systems for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial, and governmental applications. Its access control systems include various types of identification readers, control panels, PC-based computers, and electronically activated door-locking devices; and door locking devices comprise microprocessor-based electronic door locks with push button, card readers and bio-metric operation, door alarms, mechanical door locks, and simple dead bolt locks. The company's alarm systems include automatic communicators, cellular communication devices, control panels, combination control panels/digital communicators and digital keypad systems, fire alarm control panels, and area detectors; and video surveillance systems comprise video cameras, control panels, video monitors, or PCs. It also buys and resells various identification readers, video cameras, PC-based computers, and peripheral equipment for access control and video surveillance systems; offers school security products; and markets peripheral and related equipment manufactured by other companies. The company markets and sells its products primarily to independent distributors, dealers, and installers of security equipment. Napco Security Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Amityville, New York.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe NAPCO Security Technologies (NSSC):

  • Like a focused "Honeywell for electronic security systems."
  • Essentially, a pure-play version of Bosch Security Systems.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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  • Access Control Systems: Comprehensive solutions including identification readers, control panels, and electronic door-locking devices.
  • Door-Locking Products: A range of locks from microprocessor-based electronic door locks with biometric or card reader operation to mechanical deadbolts and door alarms.
  • Intrusion and Fire Alarm Systems: Systems featuring control panels, digital communicators, cellular communication devices, and area detectors for detecting unauthorized entry or fire.
  • Video Surveillance Systems: Comprised of video cameras, control panels, monitors, and associated equipment for visual security monitoring.
  • School Security Products: Specialized security solutions designed to enhance safety and security within educational environments.
  • Resold Security Equipment: Various identification readers, video cameras, and peripheral equipment manufactured by other companies, which NAPCO buys and resells.
```

AI Analysis | Feedback

NAPCO Security Technologies (NSSC) sells its products primarily to other businesses rather than directly to individuals. Based on the provided company description, its major customers fall into the following categories:

  • Independent distributors of security equipment
  • Dealers of security equipment
  • Installers of security equipment

The company's description does not list the specific names of these customer companies or their public symbols.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Richard L. Soloway, Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and Secretary

Richard L. Soloway founded NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc. in 1972 as a public company. He has over 30 years of experience in the international security industry and holds numerous electronic design and manufacturing patents in the security industry. Soloway began his career designing and manufacturing electronic sound and light equipment for rock bands in the late 1960s. He has received awards such as 'Champion for Safety Through Education' and 'Entrepreneur of the Year'.

Andrew J. Vuono, Senior Vice President, Finance, Chief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer

Andrew J. Vuono has over 30 years of public accounting experience, including more than 20 years as a partner at a top 10 Public Accounting Firm.

Kevin S. Buchel, President, Chief Operating Officer and Treasurer

Kevin S. Buchel has been with NAPCO Security Technologies since 1995, holding various finance and operations roles, including Chief Financial Officer from April 1995 to May 2025. He was promoted to President & Chief Operating Officer in May 2024.

Michael Carrieri, Executive Vice President, Engineering and Chief Technology Officer

Michael Carrieri was promoted to Executive Vice President of Engineering & Chief Technology Officer in May 2024, after serving as Senior Vice President of Engineering Development for 24 years.

Judy Jones, Vice President of Marketing

Judy Jones has served as Vice President of Marketing at NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc. since April 1988. Before this role, she was Marketing Manager at Temtron Electronics/OEM CCTV from January 1986 to April 1988. She holds an MBA in Business Administration and Management from Dowling College and a Bachelor's degree from Stony Brook University.

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Key Risks to NAPCO Security Technologies (NSSC)

  1. Intense Competition and Market Consolidation: NAPCO Security Technologies operates in a highly competitive market for electronic security products, characterized by the presence of larger global players such as Johnson Controls, Honeywell, and Bosch Security Systems. These larger competitors possess significant research and development (R&D) capabilities, potentially allowing them to out-innovate smaller firms. Additionally, the increasing availability and adoption of cost-effective, do-it-yourself (DIY) security solutions from brands like Ring and SimpliSafe are disrupting the residential market, creating price pressures and making customer acquisition more challenging for traditional security equipment dealers and installers, who are NAPCO's primary customers.
  2. Product Concentration Risk and Sales Volatility: A significant portion of NAPCO's high-margin recurring service revenue is heavily dependent on its StarLink cellular communicators. This concentration creates a risk that a shift in technology or market adoption could negatively impact performance if demand for StarLink products declines. Furthermore, NAPCO has experienced sales volatility, with equipment sales being negatively impacted by key distributors actively reducing their inventory levels. This destocking by distributors has led to a significant drop in equipment sales in recent fiscal periods.
  3. Tariff and Supply Chain Disruptions: The company faces risks related to tariffs, with management having cited the anticipation of a new 10% universal baseline tariff on imports as a challenge that could impact product margins and supply chain operations. These tariff pressures and increased costs have already weighed on margins. As a manufacturer reliant on various components and global sourcing for its electronic security products, NAPCO is susceptible to broader supply chain disruptions, which can lead to increased operational costs and potential delays in product availability.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The clear emerging threat for NAPCO Security Technologies is the proliferation of consumer-friendly, do-it-yourself (DIY), app-controlled security systems and integrated smart home platforms. These solutions, often sold direct-to-consumer or through mass retail channels, offer easier installation and management, often with subscription-based monitoring, bypassing the traditional independent distributors, dealers, and installers that NAPCO primarily serves. This trend directly threatens NAPCO's market share, particularly in the residential and small commercial segments, by offering alternative products that disrupt the established distribution and service model.

AI Analysis | Feedback

NAPCO Security Technologies operates in several significant addressable markets for its electronic security products. The company's main product categories, including access control systems, door-locking products, intrusion and fire alarm systems, video surveillance systems, and school security products, each represent multi-billion dollar opportunities.

Here are the addressable market sizes for NAPCO Security Technologies' main products and services:

  • Access Control Systems: The global electronic access control systems market was valued at approximately USD 53.92 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 143.71 billion by 2035. The U.S. electronic access control systems market is projected to grow from USD 17.25 billion in 2025 to USD 45.99 billion by 2035. North America held over 38% of the global market share in 2025.
  • Door-Locking Products: The global door locks market was recorded at USD 10.634 billion by the end of 2025 and is expected to reach USD 16.6129 billion by 2033. The global smart door lock market was valued at USD 7.4 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 33.1 billion by 2032. The global digital door lock systems market was valued at USD 2.7 billion in 2024 and is poised to grow to USD 10.43 billion by 2033. North America's smart door lock market held a dominant position with a market size of USD 1.51 billion in 2025.
  • Intrusion Alarm Systems: The global intruder alarm system market size was USD 2.68 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 4.1 billion by 2030. The global intrusion alarm system market is expected to reach USD 4.4 billion by 2035, up from USD 2.5 billion in 2024. North America is the largest market for intruder alarm systems, holding approximately 40% of the global market share.
  • Fire Alarm Systems: The global fire alarm system market was valued at USD 38.19 billion in 2024 and is predicted to reach USD 82.63 billion by 2034. The global fire alarm and detection market size was valued at USD 49.60 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 71.21 billion by 2033. North America dominated the global fire alarm and detection market in 2024.
  • Video Surveillance Systems: The global video surveillance market generated a revenue of USD 73.75 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 147.66 billion by 2030. North America accounted for 32.1% of the global video surveillance market in 2024.
  • School Security Products: The global school and campus security market size reached USD 3.0 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 9.2 billion by 2033. Another estimate indicates the global market size was USD 5.09 billion in 2026 and is projected to reach USD 27.38 billion by 2035. North America is analyzed to hold a significant share in the education security market.

AI Analysis | Feedback

NAPCO Security Technologies (NSSC) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market trends:

  1. Expansion of High-Margin Recurring Revenue: A primary driver for NAPCO is the continued growth in its high-margin recurring monthly revenue (RMR), largely fueled by the strong adoption and deployment of its StarLink cellular communicators. This growth is significantly bolstered by regulatory tailwinds, particularly the ongoing "copper sunset" which mandates the transition from older copper lines to cellular communication for alarm systems. The company's new MVP cloud-based access control platform is also anticipated to become a significant contributor to recurring revenue as its adoption scales.
  2. New Product Development and Innovation: NAPCO is consistently investing in research and development and launching new products and services. Beyond the MVP platform, the company's focus on innovation, including expanded 5G multi-carrier communicators and enhancements to cloud access platforms, aims to accelerate dealer adoption and introduce new revenue streams, many with recurring service components.
  3. Strategic Pricing Actions and Operational Efficiency: The company has implemented strategic price increases to offset costs, such as tariffs, and improve overall margins. Coupled with ongoing operational efficiencies and a favorable product mix, these actions are contributing to both revenue growth and enhanced profitability.
  4. Persistent Demand in the Global Security Market: The overall global electronic security products and services market continues to expand, driven by factors such as crime prevention, mass surveillance, and increasing regulatory compliance requirements. Specific segments, like school security, also demonstrate steady demand. This broad market growth provides a foundational tailwind for NAPCO's diverse product portfolio.

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Share Repurchases

  • NAPCO Security Technologies authorized a new stock repurchase program for up to 500,000 shares in December 2018.
  • As of March 2020, approximately 435,000 shares remained available for repurchase under the 2018 program.
  • The company announced a new share repurchase program to buy back up to 1,000,000 shares on November 4, 2024.
  • During fiscal 2025, NAPCO repurchased $36.8 million in common stock.

Share Issuance

  • The number of shares outstanding for NSSC decreased by 3.03% in one year.

Capital Expenditures

  • In the last 12 months, capital expenditures for NAPCO Security Technologies were -$1.08 million.
  • This contributed to a free cash flow of $53.66 million over the same period, with operating cash flow at $54.74 million.

Better Bets vs. NAPCO Security Technologies (NSSC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

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PANW_3312026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V203312026PANWPalo Alto NetworksInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
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ALKT_3312026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K03312026ALKTAlkami TechnologyInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
0.0%0.0%0.0%
DBX_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026DBXDropboxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.6%2.6%0.0%
DLB_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026DLBDolby LaboratoriesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.5%3.5%0.0%
PTC_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026PTCPTCDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.5%3.5%0.0%
NSSC_8312024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%08312024NSSCNAPCO Security TechnologiesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-46.7%-16.6%-56.8%
NSSC_12312023_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%12312023NSSCNAPCO Security TechnologiesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
52.3%4.4%-5.5%
NSSC_4302023_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%04302023NSSCNAPCO Security TechnologiesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-37.9%40.5%-40.4%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NSSCALLEALRMADTREZIMSAMedian
NameNAPCO Se.Allegion Alarm.comADT Resideo .MSA Safe. 
Mkt Price45.18137.3744.447.1739.94164.1344.81
Mkt Cap1.611.82.25.96.06.45.9
Rev LTM1924,1591,0115,1297,4721,8753,017
Op Inc LTM528581341,309641392516
FCF LTM546831361,312-1,253295216
FCF 3Y Avg486061501,120-185196173
CFO LTM557811531,884-1,137364259
CFO 3Y Avg506971651,809-84251208

Growth & Margins

NSSCALLEALRMADTREZIMSAMedian
NameNAPCO Se.Allegion Alarm.comADT Resideo .MSA Safe. 
Rev Chg LTM2.9%8.9%7.6%4.7%10.5%3.7%6.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.1%6.2%6.3%1.1%5.6%7.3%6.2%
Rev Chg Q12.2%9.7%8.0%1.2%2.0%2.2%5.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.8%2.3%2.0%0.3%0.5%0.6%1.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM0.3%6.6%23.1%8.3%12.1%-1.9%7.5%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg46.0%10.3%38.8%22.5%0.1%13.5%18.0%
Op Mgn LTM26.9%20.6%13.2%25.5%8.6%20.9%20.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg27.1%20.5%10.8%24.8%8.8%21.5%21.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.2%-0.5%0.2%0.5%0.2%-0.1%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM28.5%18.8%15.2%36.7%-15.2%19.4%19.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg26.8%18.0%17.5%36.6%-0.5%13.7%17.7%
FCF/Rev LTM27.9%16.4%13.4%25.6%-16.8%15.8%16.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg25.6%15.6%15.9%22.6%-2.0%10.7%15.8%

Valuation

NSSCALLEALRMADTREZIMSAMedian
NameNAPCO Se.Allegion Alarm.comADT Resideo .MSA Safe. 
Mkt Cap1.611.82.25.96.06.45.9
P/S8.42.82.21.10.83.42.5
P/Op Inc31.213.816.64.59.316.415.1
P/EBIT31.213.712.04.5-18.516.112.9
P/E34.018.716.79.8-11.323.017.7
P/CFO29.415.214.43.1-5.217.614.8
Total Yield4.1%6.9%6.0%13.4%-8.9%4.3%5.2%
Dividend Yield1.2%1.5%0.0%3.2%0.0%0.0%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.5%5.1%5.2%17.7%-0.3%3.1%4.3%
D/E0.00.20.51.30.50.10.3
Net D/E-0.10.10.01.30.40.10.1

Returns

NSSCALLEALRMADTREZIMSAMedian
NameNAPCO Se.Allegion Alarm.comADT Resideo .MSA Safe. 
1M Rtn19.2%-3.9%5.0%10.8%22.4%2.1%7.9%
3M Rtn17.7%-16.4%-8.8%-9.0%19.8%-6.4%-7.6%
6M Rtn3.9%-16.5%-9.5%-15.2%-8.6%-2.6%-9.0%
12M Rtn100.5%0.8%-17.3%-7.6%139.4%7.7%4.2%
3Y Rtn51.5%29.9%-6.8%16.4%124.4%31.1%30.5%
1M Excs Rtn6.7%-16.4%-7.5%-1.7%9.9%-10.3%-4.6%
3M Excs Rtn15.5%-18.6%-11.0%-11.3%17.5%-8.6%-9.8%
6M Excs Rtn-0.6%-22.9%-17.5%-20.5%-13.0%-4.8%-15.3%
12M Excs Rtn72.3%-27.6%-45.9%-36.3%116.1%-20.2%-23.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-36.3%-33.3%-79.8%-58.2%50.1%-42.2%-39.2%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Services7660463424
Door locking devices7463484346
Intrusion and access alarm products3947503731
Total189170144114101


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$45.18 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.6 
First Trading Date03/26/1990 
Distance from 52W High-4.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$43.24$40.17
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA4.5%12.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility43.0%38.0%
Downside Capture0.740.62
Upside Capture166.82159.34
Correlation (SPY)45.5%40.9%
NSSC Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.211.611.431.291.101.23
Up Beta6.260.991.480.981.010.94
Down Beta2.371.931.211.160.981.01
Up Capture118%222%166%144%194%289%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days9192759132383
Down Capture203%111%139%135%106%110%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days13233566118361

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NSSC
NSSC101.9%38.0%1.92-
Sector ETF (XLK)54.0%20.4%2.0136.0%
Equity (SPY)31.5%12.5%1.9340.5%
Gold (GLD)35.2%27.2%1.0911.2%
Commodities (DBC)46.7%18.1%1.99-18.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.8%13.4%0.6516.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-19.6%42.1%-0.4019.6%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NSSC
NSSC23.3%50.4%0.62-
Sector ETF (XLK)18.7%24.8%0.6736.0%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.1%0.6037.1%
Gold (GLD)20.1%17.8%0.922.5%
Commodities (DBC)14.6%19.1%0.633.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.4%18.8%0.0824.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.1%56.2%0.3616.3%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NSSC
NSSC31.7%49.3%0.76-
Sector ETF (XLK)23.1%24.4%0.8634.3%
Equity (SPY)14.9%17.9%0.7135.8%
Gold (GLD)13.4%15.9%0.701.8%
Commodities (DBC)9.6%17.7%0.458.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.5%20.7%0.2326.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.5%66.9%1.0710.3%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3.3 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 3312026-0.9%
Average Daily Volume0.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity35.7 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares9.2%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/2/20266.6%4.9%6.2%
11/3/20251.4%3.9%0.4%
8/25/202511.2%14.4%29.5%
5/5/20250.3%11.2%15.9%
2/3/2025-1.9%-3.3%-9.6%
11/4/20244.1%12.3%18.2%
8/26/2024-2.1%-8.5%-12.2%
5/6/20241.0%-1.9%14.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141415
# Negative776
Median Positive2.6%4.8%14.0%
Median Negative-2.2%-3.0%-8.9%
Max Positive11.2%14.4%39.8%
Max Negative-45.0%-40.9%-40.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/02/202610-Q
09/30/202511/03/202510-Q
06/30/202508/25/202510-K
03/31/202505/05/202510-Q
12/31/202402/03/202510-Q
09/30/202411/04/202410-Q
06/30/202408/29/202410-K
03/31/202405/06/202410-Q
12/31/202302/05/202410-Q
09/30/202311/09/202310-Q
06/30/202309/08/202310-K
03/31/202305/08/202310-Q
12/31/202202/06/202310-Q
09/30/202211/07/202210-Q
06/30/202208/29/202210-K
03/31/202205/17/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 2/2/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2026 Dividends 0.15 7.0% Higher NewActual: 0.14 for Q2 2026

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 11/3/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Recurring Service Revenue Annual Run Rate 95.00 Mil    

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Soloway, RichardCEO, Chairman of Board, SecyDirectSell304202643.2255,3182,390,84447,410,525Form
2Soloway, RichardCEO, Chairman of Board, SecyDirectSell304202644.99129,6825,834,39351,840,897Form
3Soloway, RichardCEO, Chairman of Board, SecyDirectSell206202642.74150,0006,411,00053,681,867Form
4Spinelli, Stephen MSenior Vice president of SalesDirectSell1118202540.2519,000764,75037,352Form
5Spinelli, Stephen MSenior Vice President of SalesDirectSell606202529.165,000145,812581,150Form