NAPCO Security Technologies (NSSC)
Market Price (12/23/2025): $42.17 | Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Security & Alarm Services
NAPCO Security Technologies (NSSC)
Market Price (12/23/2025): $42.17Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Security & Alarm Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.3% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 8.1x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -12% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.3% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% | Key risksNSSC key risks include [1] an ongoing securities class action lawsuit and investigation stemming from financial misstatements and weak internal controls, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, Cloud Computing, and Cybersecurity. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Show more. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, Cloud Computing, and Cybersecurity. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.3% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -12% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 8.1x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.3% |
| Key risksNSSC key risks include [1] an ongoing securities class action lawsuit and investigation stemming from financial misstatements and weak internal controls, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. NAPCO Security Technologies (NSSC) reported strong financial results for Q4 2025 on August 25, 2025, exceeding earnings per share (EPS) and revenue expectations. The company's EPS of $0.33 surpassed the estimated $0.28, and its reported revenue of $50.7 million exceeded expectations of $44.4 million, which contributed to a significant post-earnings stock rally.
2. The company demonstrated sustained growth and high gross margins in its Recurring Service Revenue (RSR) segment. RSR increased by 10% in Q4 2025 and 14% for the full year, maintaining a robust 91% gross margin. This strong performance in RSR continued into Q1 2026, where it represented 48% of total revenue.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 0.2% change in NSSC stock from 9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 2.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 9222025 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 42.29 | 42.37 | 0.18% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 181.62 | 186.79 | 2.84% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 23.90% | 23.76% | -0.57% |
| P/E Multiple | 34.74 | 34.04 | -2.03% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 35.66 | 35.66 | 0.00% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.18% |
Market Drivers
9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NSSC | 0.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.7% | 38.4% |
| Sector (XLI) | 2.6% | 50.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 54.6% change in NSSC stock from 6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 55.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 6232025 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 27.41 | 42.37 | 54.59% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 181.23 | 186.79 | 3.07% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 25.00% | 23.76% | -4.95% |
| P/E Multiple | 21.84 | 34.04 | 55.82% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36.11 | 35.66 | 1.25% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 54.57% |
Market Drivers
6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NSSC | 54.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.4% | 37.3% |
| Sector (XLI) | 9.6% | 41.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 18.7% change in NSSC stock from 12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 30.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12222024 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 35.70 | 42.37 | 18.69% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 191.15 | 186.79 | -2.28% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 26.43% | 23.76% | -10.10% |
| P/E Multiple | 26.05 | 34.04 | 30.69% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36.87 | 35.66 | 3.27% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 18.57% |
Market Drivers
12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NSSC | 18.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.9% | 47.4% |
| Sector (XLI) | 19.2% | 49.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 66.3% change in NSSC stock from 12/23/2022 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 142.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 12232022 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 25.48 | 42.37 | 66.29% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 152.03 | 186.79 | 22.86% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.82% | 23.76% | 141.97% |
| P/E Multiple | 62.73 | 34.04 | -45.74% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36.76 | 35.66 | 3.00% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 66.14% |
Market Drivers
12/23/2023 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NSSC | 25.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 47.7% | 43.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | 42.3% | 45.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NSSC Return | -11% | 91% | 10% | 26% | 5% | 23% | 203% |
| Peers Return | 47% | 6% | -18% | 13% | 5% | 17% | 76% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 113% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NSSC Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 50% | 58% | 58% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 52% | 40% | 47% | 43% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NSSC Max Drawdown | -53% | -1% | -37% | -33% | -6% | -44% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -42% | -11% | -34% | -17% | -11% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ALLE, ALRM, ADT, REZI, MSA. See NSSC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/22/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NSSC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -54.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 119.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 97 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -58.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 138.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 327 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -29.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 222 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -88.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 762.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,785 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to COMM, HLIT, NTGR, AVNW, ADT
In The Past
NAPCO Security Technologies's stock fell -54.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/12/2023. A -54.3% loss requires a 119.0% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Imagine a company like **Honeywell** or **Johnson Controls**, but exclusively focused on manufacturing and supplying security systems (alarms, access control, video surveillance).
2. They are like a specialized division of **Bosch** or **Siemens**, solely dedicated to producing comprehensive security and access control solutions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```html- Alarm Systems: Manufactures and distributes intrusion and fire alarm control panels, communicators, and peripheral devices for various security applications.
- Access Control Systems: Provides hardware and software solutions, including card readers, biometric devices, and door controllers, for managing entry and exit.
- Video Surveillance Systems: Offers IP cameras, network video recorders (NVRs), and video management software for monitoring and recording security events.
- Door Locking Products: Supplies a variety of mechanical and electronic door locks, exit devices, and related hardware for commercial and institutional use.
AI Analysis | Feedback
NAPCO Security Technologies (NSSC) primarily sells its products to other companies (B2B).
Its major customers are a broad network of thousands of independent security companies, professional integrators, and distributors. These companies purchase NAPCO's various security and safety products—including intrusion systems, fire alarm control panels, access control solutions, video surveillance equipment, and locking devices—and then resell, integrate, and install them for a wide range of end-users in commercial, residential, educational, healthcare, and governmental sectors.
According to NAPCO's public filings, no single customer accounted for more than 10% of its net sales in recent fiscal years. This indicates that NAPCO does not have individually named "major customers" that represent a significant concentration of its revenue and thus are not publicly disclosed.
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Richard L. Soloway Chairman of the Board, President, Chief Executive Officer, and Secretary
Richard L. Soloway founded NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc. as a public company in 1972 on Long Island, New York. He has over 30 years of experience in the international security industry and has served as Chairman of the Board since 1981 and CEO since 1998. Soloway holds numerous electronic design and manufacturing patents for security technology. He was recognized with the Ernst & Young "Entrepreneur of the Year" award. Prior to NAPCO, he was involved in pioneering ventures in electric garage door openers and musical equipment manufacturing, having started designing and manufacturing electronic sound and light equipment for rock bands in the late 1960s. His work includes developing a customized security system for New York City schools during the Lindsay administration and providing electronic security for Air Force One.
Kevin S. Buchel President, Chief Operating Officer, Chief Financial Officer, Senior Vice President of Operations and Finance, and Treasurer
Kevin S. Buchel has been with NAPCO Security Technologies for 30 years, serving in various management positions. He became the Chief Financial Officer in 1995 and was promoted to President and Chief Operating Officer in May 2024, while also maintaining his role as CFO.
Michael Carrieri Executive Vice President of Engineering & Chief Technology Officer
Michael Carrieri has served as the Senior Vice President of Engineering Development for 24 years. He has been instrumental in NAPCO's substantial growth through his skills in creating a diverse range of products.
Andrew J. Vuono Senior Vice President of Finance and Chief Accounting Officer
Andrew J. Vuono was appointed as NAPCO's Senior Vice President of Finance and Chief Accounting Officer in June 2024. He brings over 30 years of public accounting experience, including more than 20 years as a partner at a top 10 Public Accounting Firm. In his role, he oversees the day-to-day accounting department and financial reporting activities, reporting directly to Kevin Buchel.
Stephen Spinelli Senior Vice President of Sales
Stephen Spinelli holds the position of Senior Vice President of Sales at NAPCO Security Technologies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to NAPCO Security Technologies (NSSC) include an ongoing securities class action lawsuit and legal investigation, potential prolonged weakness in hardware sales, and the impact of tariffs.
- Securities Class Action Lawsuit and Legal Investigation: NAPCO Security Technologies is currently facing an ongoing securities class action lawsuit and legal investigation. These legal challenges stem from allegations that the company misled investors regarding its ability to accurately forecast hardware demand and maintain margin targets. Furthermore, the company itself disclosed material weaknesses in its internal controls and significant overstatements of financial results. The court recently allowed the lawsuit to proceed, maintaining concerns about governance and transparency in the spotlight.
- Prolonged Hardware Weakness and Macroeconomic Pressures: The company faces risks associated with prolonged weakness in its hardware sales. Past declines in sales have been attributed to factors such as distributor destocking and broader macroeconomic pressures. These conditions can directly impact the company's revenue and profitability, especially for its equipment sales segment.
- Tariff Costs and Concerns: Tariffs have been identified as a factor contributing to past stock declines and reduced margins for NAPCO Security Technologies. These costs directly affect the company's profitability and can present ongoing challenges to its financial performance.
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The increasing market penetration and technological sophistication of cloud-native, AI-driven integrated security platforms. Companies like Verkada, Rhombus Systems, and Openpath are rapidly gaining traction by offering comprehensive security solutions (video, access control, alarms) built from the ground up on cloud infrastructure with advanced AI analytics. These platforms often simplify installation, offer superior remote management, and operate on a subscription (SaaS) model, which challenges NAPCO's traditional hardware-centric, professionally installed model by offering a potentially more scalable, feature-rich, and user-friendly alternative for commercial and institutional clients.
The continued expansion and feature enhancement of integrated DIY and smart home security ecosystems. Companies like Ring (Amazon), SimpliSafe, Google Nest, and Arlo are making sophisticated home security and automation more accessible and affordable to consumers. While NAPCO targets the professional installer market, the increasing reliability, comprehensive features, and lower overall cost (both upfront and recurring) of these DIY/smart home solutions can erode the addressable market for entry-level professional installations, putting pressure on NAPCO's dealer network in the residential and small business sectors.
AI Analysis | Feedback
NAPCO Security Technologies (NSSC) operates within several addressable markets for its main products and services, primarily focused on electronic security solutions. These include intrusion alarms, access control systems, fire alarms, video surveillance, and specialized school security products. The market sizes for these areas are outlined below:
- Physical Security Market (overall): The global physical security market was valued at approximately USD 139.04 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 255.46 billion by 2032, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.90%. North America holds the largest share of this market, accounting for 37.05%. Other estimates place the global market at USD 147.36 billion in 2024, growing to USD 216.43 billion by 2030 at a CAGR of 6.5%.
- Intrusion Detection and Prevention Systems (IDPS) Market: The global intrusion detection and prevention systems market was estimated at USD 6.25 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 12.14 billion by 2030, demonstrating a CAGR of 12.2%. North America held a significant share of over 35% in 2024. The U.S. IDPS market size alone was USD 1.66 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach approximately USD 5.41 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 12.54%.
- Access Control Market: The global access control market size was estimated at USD 10.76 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 17.30 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 8.4%. North America dominated this market with a 32.9% share in 2024. Another report estimates the global market at USD 10.6 billion in 2024, anticipated to grow to USD 18.8 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.5%. North America accounts for over 38% of this market.
- Fire Alarm and Detection Market: The global fire alarm and detection market size was valued at USD 49.60 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 71.21 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 4.1%. North America dominated the global market in 2024. Another source indicates the global market size was approximately USD 35.23 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 57.61 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of roughly 5.6%. North America holds the largest market share, accounting for approximately 38.2% of the global revenue in 2023.
- Smart Home Security Market: The global smart home security market was valued at USD 29.04 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 93.14 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 15.9%. North America held the largest share of 36.16% in 2024. Another estimate places the global market at USD 36.94 billion in 2025, rising to USD 70.54 billion by 2030 at a 13.81% CAGR.
- School and Campus Security Market: The global school and campus security market size was valued at USD 4.221 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 22.71 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of about 20.56%. North America accounted for approximately 40% of the global market share in 2023, with the U.S. market size projected at USD 1.27486 billion in 2025. Other data suggests the global market reached USD 3.0 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 9.2 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 13.35%.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for NAPCO Security Technologies (NSSC) over the next 2-3 years:
- Growth in Recurring Monthly Service Revenue (RMR): NAPCO anticipates continued expansion of its high-margin recurring monthly service revenue, primarily fueled by increased deployments of StarLink fire radios and the anticipated ramp-up of new cloud-based platforms, such as MVP. This shift towards a higher mix of subscription-style revenue is expected to provide more stable and predictable earnings.
- Expansion into New Addressable Markets: The company is positioned to capitalize on broader societal demand for robust security and access control. This is particularly evident in verticals like schools and commercial buildings, which are opening new addressable markets for NAPCO's integrated solutions.
- Launch and Growth of New Cloud-Based Products and Technological Advancements: New product introductions, notably the cloud-based MVP access control system, are expected to drive future revenue. NAPCO is investing in research and development to introduce innovative security solutions that meet evolving customer needs, thereby enhancing its competitive edge and contributing to revenue growth.
- Strategic Price Increases: NAPCO has implemented strategic price adjustments, including those related to tariffs and normal annual increases, which have contributed to equipment revenue growth and are expected to continue to benefit the company in upcoming quarters.
- Strong Performance and Demand for Door Locking Products: The company's door locking products, specifically the Alarm Lock and Marks brands, have demonstrated strong performance and are expected to continue to be significant contributors to equipment sales, driven by ongoing demand in sectors such as schools.
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Share Repurchases
- In November 2024, NAPCO Security Technologies announced a share repurchase program authorizing the company to repurchase up to 1,000,000 shares.
- During fiscal year 2025, the company repurchased $36.8 million of its common stock, which amounted to 1.2 million shares at an average price of $30.40 per share.
- As of November 7, 2025, NAPCO completed the repurchase of 640,259 shares for $16.15 million under the buyback program initiated in November 2024.
Share Issuance
- In March 2024, a secondary public offering of 2,000,000 shares of common stock at $40.75 per share was conducted by a selling stockholder, Richard L. Soloway; NAPCO Security Technologies itself did not issue or sell any shares in this offering and did not receive any proceeds.
Capital Expenditures
- Investments in Research and Development (R&D) increased by 16.9% to $12.6 million in fiscal year 2025, making up 7% of sales, compared to $10.8 million or 6% of sales in the previous year.
- These R&D expenditures are primarily focused on developing innovative security solutions, such as the new cloud-based MVP Access platform, to enhance competitiveness and drive revenue growth.
- For the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 (ended September 30, 2025), R&D costs totaled $3.2 million, representing 6.6% of revenue.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to NSSC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.9% | 18.9% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.5% | 5.5% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.5% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 3.3% | 3.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 6.0% | 6.0% | -0.4% |
| 08312024 | NSSC | NAPCO Security Technologies | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -46.7% | -16.6% | -56.8% |
| 12312023 | NSSC | NAPCO Security Technologies | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 52.3% | 4.4% | -5.5% |
| 04302023 | NSSC | NAPCO Security Technologies | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -37.9% | 40.5% | -40.4% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons for NAPCO Security Technologies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 47.33 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.8 |
| Rev LTM | 2,922 |
| Op Inc LTM | 508 |
| FCF LTM | 218 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 162 |
| CFO LTM | 262 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 196 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 21.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 20.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 16.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.8 |
| P/S | 3.0 |
| P/EBIT | 15.2 |
| P/E | 21.0 |
| P/CFO | 16.6 |
| Total Yield | 4.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.2% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -6.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 6.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 20.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 39.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -7.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 3.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -33.7% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $42.37 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/26/1990 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -4.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $41.83 | $33.02 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | 1.3% | 28.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 37.4% | 46.0% |
| Downside Capture | 134.48 | 141.91 |
| Upside Capture | 118.16 | 137.42 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 39.1% | 47.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.49 | 1.20 | 1.15 | 1.35 | 1.10 | 1.21 |
| Up Beta | 1.69 | 1.30 | 1.24 | 1.47 | 1.01 | 0.97 |
| Down Beta | 2.10 | 1.12 | 1.20 | 1.10 | 0.85 | 1.02 |
| Up Capture | 60% | 82% | 111% | 188% | 156% | 310% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 74 | 142 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 21 | 33 | 69 | 132 | 395 |
| Down Capture | 171% | 142% | 109% | 111% | 123% | 108% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 21 | 30 | 57 | 115 | 350 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of NSSC With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSSC | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 15.9% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 67.3% | 6.8% | -0.5% | -16.6% |
| Annualized Volatility | 45.7% | 19.0% | 19.7% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 35.4% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.47 | 0.69 | 0.57 | 2.54 | 0.23 | -0.18 | -0.25 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 49.0% | 47.1% | 3.1% | 11.2% | 27.4% | 23.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of NSSC With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSSC | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 27.5% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 5.1% | 35.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 50.6% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.9% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.69 | 0.66 | 0.71 | 0.98 | 0.51 | 0.18 | 0.63 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 35.7% | 37.6% | 1.6% | 7.1% | 24.8% | 20.1% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of NSSC With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSSC | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 31.9% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 69.9% |
| Annualized Volatility | 49.0% | 19.9% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.77 | 0.60 | 0.71 | 0.84 | 0.30 | 0.23 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 33.8% | 35.1% | 0.7% | 10.2% | 26.5% | 11.7% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/3/2025 | -7.7% | -4.6% | -7.1% |
| 8/25/2025 | 6.1% | 20.0% | 36.6% |
| 5/5/2025 | 3.7% | 10.9% | 20.4% |
| 2/3/2025 | -26.6% | -29.9% | -35.0% |
| 11/4/2024 | -10.6% | 0.2% | 3.8% |
| 8/26/2024 | -14.6% | -16.4% | -25.1% |
| 5/6/2024 | 1.0% | -1.9% | 14.6% |
| 2/5/2024 | 18.8% | 25.7% | 23.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 13 | 15 |
| # Negative | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 3.8% | 4.6% | 14.6% |
| Median Negative | -7.7% | -3.8% | -17.6% |
| Max Positive | 23.6% | 25.7% | 39.8% |
| Max Negative | -45.0% | -40.9% | -40.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8252025 | 10-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5052025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2032025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8292024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2052024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 9082023 | 10-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2062023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8292022 | 10-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5172022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2092022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Spinelli Stephen M | Senior Vice president of Sales | 11182025 | Sell | 40.25 | 19,000 | 764,750 | 37,352 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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