Evergy (EVRG)


Market Price (10/24/2026): $84.42 | Market Cap: $19.5 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Utilities | Industry: Electric Utilities

Evergy (EVRG)


Market Price (10/24/2026): $84.42
Market Cap: $19.5 Bil
Sector: Utilities
Industry: Electric Utilities

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.9%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 16%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Wind Energy Development, Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.4%, Dist 3Y High is -3.4%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 85%

Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%

Key risks
EVRG key risks include [1] execution challenges in its generation fleet transformation from a historic reliance on coal and [2] potential financial strain from its substantial capital expenditure plan if rate recovery is insufficient.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.9%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 16%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Wind Energy Development, Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.4%, Dist 3Y High is -3.4%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 85%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%
7 Key risks
EVRG key risks include [1] execution challenges in its generation fleet transformation from a historic reliance on coal and [2] potential financial strain from its substantial capital expenditure plan if rate recovery is insufficient.

EVRG in ETFs

Weight = EVRG's share of each fund

SPY0.03%
VOO0.03%
IVV0.03%
VTI0.02%
ITOT0.03%
IWB0.03%
RSP0.20%
VYM0.08%
+25 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 10/16/2026

Evergy (EVRG) stock has remained largely at the same level since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Rising Interest Rates and Reduced Relative Appeal.

The sustained increase in interest rates has negatively impacted the utilities sector, including Evergy, by raising borrowing costs for capital-intensive infrastructure projects and diminishing the relative attractiveness of utility dividends compared to higher-yielding Treasury bonds. The spread between utility dividend yields and Treasury yields reached one of its widest discounts in nearly two decades during this period, prompting a shift in investor focus away from income and stability-oriented utilities.

2. Broader Utilities Sector Underperformance.

Evergy's stock movement mirrored a broader trend within the utilities sector, which has significantly lagged the wider market since June 30, 2026, ending a two-year period of market-beating performance. Despite sector-wide earnings growth expected at 6%-8% annually for the next three years, the sector experienced a pullback during 2026, contributing to Evergy's decline of approximately 5% to 6% in its stock price over the last quarter.

Show more
Updated on 10/16/2026

Evergy (EVRG) stock has remained largely at the same level since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Rising Interest Rates and Reduced Relative Appeal.

The sustained increase in interest rates has negatively impacted the utilities sector, including Evergy, by raising borrowing costs for capital-intensive infrastructure projects and diminishing the relative attractiveness of utility dividends compared to higher-yielding Treasury bonds. The spread between utility dividend yields and Treasury yields reached one of its widest discounts in nearly two decades during this period, prompting a shift in investor focus away from income and stability-oriented utilities.

2. Broader Utilities Sector Underperformance.

Evergy's stock movement mirrored a broader trend within the utilities sector, which has significantly lagged the wider market since June 30, 2026, ending a two-year period of market-beating performance. Despite sector-wide earnings growth expected at 6%-8% annually for the next three years, the sector experienced a pullback during 2026, contributing to Evergy's decline of approximately 5% to 6% in its stock price over the last quarter.

3. Investor Reallocation to Growth-Oriented Sectors.

Higher interest rates have led to investor reallocation of capital toward growth-oriented sectors, diverting attention from traditional utility stocks. This trend has occurred even as analysts noted that utility valuations became more attractive following the sector's recent decline, with sector-wide earnings expected to grow, driven by rising electricity demand and expanding capital investment programs.

4. Ongoing Capital Investment Needs and Regulatory Scrutiny.

The utilities industry faces massive capital investment requirements, with an estimated $1.4 trillion projected between 2026 and 2030, for grid modernization, renewable energy development, and to meet increasing electricity demand, particularly from new data centers. While these investments are crucial for long-term earnings growth, they often lead to rate hike requests (such as the record $4.5 billion requested across the sector in fiscal Q3 2026), which can face heightened regulatory and customer affordability scrutiny, introducing a degree of investor caution.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -1.5% change in EVRG stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/23/2026 was primarily driven by a -6.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)630202610232026Change
Stock Price ($)85.7184.43-1.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,0316,0941.0%
Net Income Margin (%)14.6%15.2%3.9%
P/E Multiple22.421.1-6.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)231231-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution-1.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2026 to 10/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
EVRG-1.5% 
Market (SPY)1.8%-5.4%
Sector (XLU)-6.1%84.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 4.8% change in EVRG stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 5.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)331202610232026Change
Stock Price ($)80.5784.434.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,9626,0942.2%
Net Income Margin (%)14.4%15.2%5.9%
P/E Multiple21.721.1-3.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2312310.0%
Cumulative Contribution4.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 10/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
EVRG4.8% 
Market (SPY)17.2%-10.6%
Sector (XLU)-6.7%82.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 14.9% change in EVRG stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 6.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)930202510232026Change
Stock Price ($)73.4684.4314.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,8806,0943.6%
Net Income Margin (%)14.3%15.2%6.3%
P/E Multiple20.121.14.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)230231-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution14.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 10/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
EVRG14.9% 
Market (SPY)15.0%-4.3%
Sector (XLU)-0.3%77.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 88.2% change in EVRG stock from 9/30/2023 to 10/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 54.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)930202310232026Change
Stock Price ($)44.8684.4388.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,8406,0944.4%
Net Income Margin (%)13.0%15.2%17.1%
P/E Multiple13.621.154.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)230231-0.3%
Cumulative Contribution88.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2023 to 10/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
EVRG88.2% 
Market (SPY)83.9%13.4%
Sector (XLU)56.8%78.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
EVRG Return28%-5%-13%23%22%20%92%
Peers Return13%21%17%-8%13%3%71%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%104%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EVRG Win Rate58%50%50%50%83%50% 
Peers Win Rate57%63%52%48%55%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EVRG Max Drawdown-11%-23%-23%-10%-8%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-18%-23%-36%-28%-22%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FE, ES, HE, GNE, SO. See EVRG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/23/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventEVRGS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-20.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.6%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven262 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-17.0%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven20.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven702 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-38.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven63.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven738 days140 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-10.2%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven11.4%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven224 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-12.1%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.8%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven41 days62 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-10.9%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.2%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven126 days1 days

Compare to FE, ES, HE, GNE, SO

In The Past

Evergy's stock fell -3.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 3.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventEVRGS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-20.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.6%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven262 days24 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-38.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven63.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven738 days140 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-38.4%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven62.3%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven397 days1085 days

Compare to FE, ES, HE, GNE, SO

In The Past

Evergy's stock fell -3.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 3.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Evergy (EVRG)

Evergy, Inc. (EVRG) operates as an integrated electric utility primarily serving customers across Kansas and Missouri. The company is involved in every stage of electricity provision, from generating power to its transmission, distribution, and eventual sale to end-users. This full-spectrum operation ensures a reliable electricity supply to its service territories.

Evergy generates electricity using a diverse portfolio of sources, including traditional methods like coal, natural gas, hydroelectric, and uranium, alongside a growing emphasis on renewable sources such as solar and wind. With an extensive infrastructure comprising thousands of circuit miles of transmission and distribution lines, Evergy serves a broad base of approximately 1.6 million customers, encompassing residential homes, commercial businesses, industrial clients, municipalities, and other electric utilities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Evergy:

  • It's like the AT&T of electricity for Kansas and Missouri, owning the vast infrastructure and delivering essential power.
  • Think of it as Duke Energy or Southern Company, but focused on generating and distributing power across Kansas and Missouri.
  • It's the essential electric utility for its region, similar to how Con Edison powers New York City.

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  • Electricity Generation: Producing electricity from various sources including coal, hydroelectric, natural gas, nuclear, solar, and wind.
  • Electricity Transmission: Transporting high-voltage electricity through an extensive network of transmission lines.
  • Electricity Distribution: Delivering lower-voltage electricity to homes, businesses, and other end-users via overhead and underground distribution lines.
  • Electricity Sales: Providing retail electricity service and billing to residential, commercial, industrial, municipal, and other electric utility customers.

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Evergy (EVRG) serves a diverse customer base, with major customer categories including:

  • Residences
  • Commercial firms
  • Industrials

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David Campbell - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

David Campbell joined Evergy in January 2021 as President and CEO, and was appointed Chairman in May 2024. He brings over 25 years of experience in the energy industry, including 15 years in senior leadership roles within the electric power and utility sector. Before his time at Evergy, he served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Vistra Corp. from June 2019 to 2020. From 2014 to 2019, Campbell was the Chief Executive Officer of InfraREIT, Inc., where he led its Initial Public Offering in January 2015 and subsequently its sale to Oncor. He also held the position of CEO of Sharyland Utilities starting in late 2016. Earlier in his career, he was Chief Financial Officer of TXU Corp. from 2004 to 2007, where he was part of the senior leadership team responsible for a financial and operational turnaround. Prior to joining TXU, Campbell was a partner at McKinsey & Company.

W. Bryan Buckler - Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

W. Bryan Buckler was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Evergy, effective October 1, 2024. Before joining Evergy, Buckler served as Chief Financial Officer for Oklahoma City-based OGE Energy Corp. since January 2021. Prior to OGE Energy Corp., he worked at Duke Energy Corporation for over 14 years, holding various finance leadership roles, with his most recent position being Vice President of Investor Relations. He began his career with 11 years at Ernst & Young LLP.

Chuck Caisley - Executive Vice President of Utility Operations and Chief Customer Officer

Chuck Caisley is the Executive Vice President of Utility Operations and Chief Customer Officer for Evergy, Inc. He is responsible for the company's transmission and distribution operations, customer service, and public affairs areas. Caisley joined Evergy's predecessor company, KCP&L, in 2007 as director of government affairs. Before KCP&L, he served as president and chief executive officer of the Missouri Energy Development Association. In 2004, he was chief of staff and top political advisor to Missouri House Speaker Catherine Hanaway.

Heather Humphrey - Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary

Heather Humphrey serves as the Senior Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary at Evergy, a position she has held since July 2018. In this role, she is responsible for all litigation, regulatory, and corporate legal matters, as well as compliance and environmental functions. Prior to joining Evergy, Humphrey was General Counsel and Senior Vice President of Corporate Services at Great Plains Energy/Kansas City Power & Light. Her previous experience also includes being an equity partner with Shughart Thomson & Kilroy, where she focused on business and employment litigation, and serving as a law clerk for the Honorable W. Duane Benton of the Missouri Supreme Court.

Lesley Elwell - Senior Vice President and Chief People Officer

Lesley Elwell is the Senior Vice President and Chief People Officer at Evergy, where she leads the human resources organization, emphasizing talent strategy, employee engagement, organizational development, and performance management. She joined Evergy in August 2021. Elwell brings over 25 years of experience in human resources and operations leadership roles for large, publicly-traded companies in consumer and business-to-business industries. Before her tenure at Evergy, she served as Chief People Officer at JE Dunn from 2017 to 2021. Her prior experience includes leadership roles at Walmart Corporation (2016-2017), DIRECTV (2012-2015), and Sprint (1997-2012; 2015-2016).

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Evergy's business are multifaceted, primarily stemming from its nature as a regulated electric utility and its ongoing transition to cleaner energy sources.
  1. Environmental and Regulatory Risks: Evergy operates within a highly regulated industry, making it susceptible to changes in environmental and regulatory requirements. These changes can lead to increased costs, compliance penalties, or difficulties in recovering investments and operating expenses through approved rates. The company's strategic shift toward renewable energy and the retirement of coal-fired plants necessitate favorable regulatory outcomes to ensure the cost-effective execution of these initiatives and to prevent adverse impacts on profitability and financial health.
  2. Cybersecurity and Operational Risks: Evergy's reliance on extensive technology networks and operational systems exposes it to significant cybersecurity threats and broader operational risks. Potential breaches or disruptions could interfere with electricity generation, transmission, and distribution, leading to data loss, service interruptions, regulatory liabilities, and reputational damage. Maintaining robust security measures and ensuring grid stability are ongoing and critical challenges.
  3. Inflationary Pressures and Cost Recovery: The company faces ongoing inflationary pressures, resulting in higher costs for labor, materials, and services. A substantial risk is the potential inability to fully or timely recover these increased costs from customers through regulated rates. "Regulatory lag," where there's a delay between incurring costs and obtaining approval for rate adjustments, could lead to reduced profitability and financial strain, affecting Evergy's ability to fund necessary capital expenditures.

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The increasing adoption of distributed energy resources, such as rooftop solar panels and battery storage systems, by residential and commercial customers. This trend could reduce demand for Evergy's grid-supplied electricity, potentially impacting revenue and challenging the traditional utility business model.

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Addressable Market Size for Evergy (EVRG) null

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Evergy (EVRG) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market trends:

  1. Transformative Demand from Large Customers, Especially Data Centers: Evergy projects significant growth from new large customers, particularly data centers. The company has already executed electric service agreements for four data center projects, which are expected to add approximately 1.9 gigawatts of steady-state peak demand, representing nearly a 20% increase in total peak system demand. Evergy forecasts about 1,300 megawatts of peak demand from these large load power service (LLPS) customers by 2030, contributing to a projected consolidated retail load growth compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6% through 2030. The company also has a substantial pipeline of over 15 gigawatts in additional large customer opportunities.
  2. Substantial Capital Investment Plan and Rate Base Growth: Evergy has significantly increased its five-year capital investment plan for 2026-2030 to $21.6 billion, which is a $4.1 billion, or 24%, increase over its previous plan. These investments are primarily directed towards grid modernization, transmission and distribution upgrades, and new generation capacity to meet growing customer demand and system reliability requirements, including new natural gas and solar projects. This expanded capital program is expected to drive an 11.5% annualized rate base growth through 2030, a considerable increase from its prior forecast of 8.5%.
  3. Favorable Regulatory Frameworks and Tariffs: The approval of new Large Load Power Service (LLPS) tariffs in both Kansas and Missouri is a crucial driver. These tariffs establish a framework for new large customers, requiring them to pay a premium demand rate, typically 15-20% higher than the standard industrial rate. These regulatory approvals, along with provisions for minimum monthly bills and termination fees, provide a stable and protected revenue stream as Evergy serves these high-demand customers.
  4. Underlying Retail Sales Growth: Beyond the significant impact of large industrial customers, Evergy also anticipates continued, albeit more modest, growth from its established residential and commercial customer base. While weather-related factors have caused some fluctuations, the company has seen growth in weather-normalized demand, particularly in the commercial sector, which contributes to overall margin increases and retail sales growth. Evergy projects retail load growth to be approximately 3-4% in 2026.

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Capital Allocation Decisions (Last 3-5 Years)

Share Repurchases

  • Evergy has not engaged in significant share repurchases over the last 3-5 years. Available data through late 2024 indicates $0.00 in share buybacks for various quarters.

Share Issuance

  • Evergy issued $350 million in aggregate principal amount of 4.250% notes due 2029 in March 2026, as part of efforts to optimize its capital structure.

Outbound Investments

  • Evergy reported realized losses, unrealized losses, and impairment losses from non-regulated investments in early-stage clean energy and energy solution companies in 2024 and 2025.
  • The company initiated a process to dispose of these non-regulated investments in early-stage clean energy and energy solution companies.

Capital Expenditures

  • Evergy significantly increased its capital investment plans, with a new five-year capital spending plan of $21.6 billion for 2026-2030, up from a previous $17.5 billion plan for 2025-2029.
  • Previous capital plans included $17.5 billion of infrastructure investments through 2029, and $12.5 billion through 2028.
  • The primary focus of these capital expenditures is on grid modernization, infrastructure upgrades, and the addition of new generation resources (including nearly 1.9 GW of gas-fired generation and 325 MW of solar) to meet accelerating electricity demand, enhance reliability and resiliency, and support economic development.

Better Bets vs. Evergy (EVRG)

Peer Outperformance in Electric Utilities

EVRG has outperformed 74% of its 23 Electric Utilities peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are ETR and AEP. Electric Utilities ranks 4th of 6 industries in Utilities by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Electric Utilities constituents that EVRG has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
79%
of 24 industry peers · 12.2% return
3Y
88%
of 24 industry peers · 95.0% return
5Y
74%
of 23 industry peers · 59.4% return
Electric Utilities peers with revenue growth within 4pp of EVRG's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
EVRG Evergy 1.5% 21.1x 12.2%95.0%59.4% —
ETR Entergy 0.7% 27.1x 15.0%156.1%146.8% +87pp
AEP American Electric Power 5.5% 22.5x 15.1%93.4%81.4% +22pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Utilities sector, ranked by 5Y. Electric Utilities is EVRG's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders 5 -43.0%100.6%155.3% OKLO 168% · NRG 155% · TAC 16%
Multi-Utilities 18 1.7%58.1%46.8% NI 103% · PNW 97% · MDU 92%
Gas Utilities 10 3.1%64.0%46.6% ATO 107% · NJR 68% · SR 64%
Electric Utilities ← 24 3.2%51.6%45.7% VST 699% · ETR 147% · AEP 81%
Water Utilities 11 1.4%10.2%-9.3% WTRG 8% · AWR 6% · HTO -2%
Renewable Electricity 6 -67.3%-69.4%-92.3% CWEN 26% · ORA 25%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

EVRGFEESHEGNESOMedian
NameEvergy FirstEne.Eversour.Hawaiian.Genie En.Southern  
Mkt Price84.4246.1667.488.4416.7093.8156.82
Mkt Cap19.526.725.41.50.4106.722.4
Rev LTM6,09415,82513,9333,28350330,17810,014
Op Inc LTM1,5962,7133,138377237,3052,155
FCF LTM-1,406-1,964237-56612-3,269-986
FCF 3Y Avg-723-1,315-1,278-14240-1,668-1,001
CFO LTM1,9833,1184,397-1442010,6512,550
CFO 3Y Avg2,0023,1093,058236509,5082,530

Growth & Margins

EVRGFEESHEGNESOMedian
NameEvergy FirstEne.Eversour.Hawaiian.Genie En.Southern  
Rev Chg LTM3.6%12.6%9.8%5.1%10.0%6.4%8.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.5%7.2%3.8%-2.3%11.9%3.1%3.5%
Rev Chg Q4.4%8.8%9.4%25.9%-4.6%0.1%6.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.0%1.9%2.8%6.3%-1.0%0.0%1.5%
Op Inc Chg LTM7.5%-1.6%12.6%1,773.5%-43.3%1.5%4.5%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg6.7%14.8%11.2%411.2%-29.4%16.2%13.0%
Op Mgn LTM26.2%17.1%22.5%11.5%4.6%24.2%19.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg24.8%18.0%22.1%-12.6%8.2%25.4%20.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-0.9%0.5%4.2%0.9%0.0%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM32.5%19.7%31.6%-4.4%4.0%35.3%25.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg34.1%21.7%23.6%7.7%11.0%33.6%22.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-23.1%-12.4%1.7%-17.2%2.4%-10.8%-11.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-12.2%-9.0%-10.9%-4.3%8.9%-5.7%-7.3%

Valuation

EVRGFEESHEGNESOMedian
NameEvergy FirstEne.Eversour.Hawaiian.Genie En.Southern  
Mkt Cap19.526.725.41.50.4106.722.4
P/S3.21.71.80.40.93.51.8
P/Op Inc12.29.88.13.919.014.611.0
P/EBIT12.19.77.83.412.912.610.9
P/E21.124.614.56.417.622.919.3
P/CFO9.88.65.8-10.121.810.09.2
Total Yield7.9%8.0%11.3%15.6%7.5%7.3%8.0%
Dividend Yield3.2%3.9%4.4%0.0%1.8%2.9%3.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.3%-5.2%-5.2%-5.7%8.7%-1.6%-4.7%
D/E0.81.11.21.90.00.71.0
Net D/E0.81.11.21.8-0.50.71.0

Returns

EVRGFEESHEGNESOMedian
NameEvergy FirstEne.Eversour.Hawaiian.Genie En.Southern  
1M Rtn7.7%5.7%4.0%-8.5%5.4%12.4%5.6%
3M Rtn-2.4%-6.6%-8.9%-37.5%17.2%-2.7%-4.7%
6M Rtn5.7%-4.7%0.6%-44.7%22.1%2.0%1.3%
12M Rtn12.2%3.2%-4.5%-27.6%10.2%0.8%2.0%
3Y Rtn94.9%46.4%43.5%-31.4%-8.8%56.5%45.0%
1M Excs Rtn9.7%7.9%6.8%-6.9%6.8%14.2%7.4%
3M Excs Rtn-3.7%-8.3%-11.4%-39.0%14.3%-4.8%-6.6%
6M Excs Rtn-0.7%-11.1%-5.8%-51.1%15.7%-4.5%-5.1%
12M Excs Rtn-2.8%-12.3%-17.3%-42.3%-3.4%-14.5%-13.4%
3Y Excs Rtn17.2%-30.8%-34.5%-110.4%-86.7%-21.3%-32.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment5,9625,8475,5085,8595,587
Total5,9625,8475,5085,8595,587


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20032002200019991998
Electric Utility375247   
Other-468 -28-102
Monitored Services -370-91-2457
Fossil Generation  203219144
Nuclear Generation  -24-25-21
Power Delivery  172146196
Total371-54259288275


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Single Segment856874731753
Total856874731753


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20072006200320022000
Payroll processing2115   
Animation1817   
Tax credit services77   
Visual effects 5   
post production 9   
Electric Utility  4,9705,033 
Other  764771 
Monitored Services   6392,140
Fossil Generation    1,664
Nuclear Generation    1,068
Power Delivery    1,900
Total46535,7356,4436,772


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$84.43 
Market Cap ($ Bil)19.5 
First Trading Date08/25/1987 
Distance from 52W High-3.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$81.10$80.81
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA4.1%4.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility15.4%16.5%
Downside Capture2.73-16.74
Upside Capture-10.12-1.77
Correlation (S&P 500)0.5%-4.5%
EVRG Betas & Captures as of 9/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.270.230.06-0.09-0.030.16
Up Beta0.140.150.04-0.110.040.13
Down Beta-0.32-0.490.49-0.02-0.060.13
Up Capture21%15%-21%-9%1%8%
Bmk +ve Days6162766132424
Stock +ve Days11223063139431
Down Capture63%69%30%-10%-13%22%
Bmk -ve Days16263760120328
Stock -ve Days11203362112317

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with EVRG
EVRG11.0%16.5%0.45-
Sector ETF (XLU)-3.9%15.7%-0.4578.7%
Equity (SPY)14.8%12.7%0.80-4.6%
Gold (GLD)-2.8%28.5%-0.114.8%
Commodities (DBC)52.1%20.7%1.91-7.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.3%13.9%0.0652.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-24.8%43.5%-0.54-7.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with EVRG
EVRG10.2%18.9%0.41-
Sector ETF (XLU)8.4%17.4%0.3383.0%
Equity (SPY)12.7%17.1%0.5629.9%
Gold (GLD)17.3%18.9%0.7315.5%
Commodities (DBC)9.5%19.5%0.376.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.1%18.9%-0.0558.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)5.7%51.7%0.298.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with EVRG
EVRG7.3%22.8%0.30-
Sector ETF (XLU)9.2%19.3%0.4082.3%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7244.8%
Gold (GLD)11.8%16.4%0.5911.2%
Commodities (DBC)8.4%18.1%0.3811.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.2%20.7%0.2162.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)62.4%66.2%1.027.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18.4 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 9152026-9.0%
Average Daily Volume2.5 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity230.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares8.0%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 9/9/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/6/2026-0.0%0.3%-0.5%
5/7/20262.1%1.8%3.7%
2/19/2026-1.1%3.0%1.7%
11/6/2025-1.6%0.7%-3.6%
8/7/2025-0.5%0.0%-1.3%
5/8/2025-4.4%-8.0%-5.4%
2/27/2025-0.8%-3.1%-1.6%
11/7/20240.6%3.8%4.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive81612
# Negative16812
Median Positive1.5%1.8%3.6%
Median Negative-0.6%-3.1%-1.7%
Max Positive3.2%3.8%11.4%
Max Negative-4.4%-8.0%-7.2%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/6/2026-0.0%0.3%-0.5%
5/7/20262.1%1.8%3.7%
2/19/2026-1.1%3.0%1.7%
11/6/2025-1.6%0.7%-3.6%
8/7/2025-0.5%0.0%-1.3%
5/8/2025-4.4%-8.0%-5.4%
2/27/2025-0.8%-3.1%-1.6%
11/7/20240.6%3.8%4.2%
8/9/2024-0.5%-0.7%3.6%
5/9/20242.1%2.0%-1.8%
2/29/2024-0.5%1.8%8.6%
11/7/2023-1.2%-5.7%3.3%
8/4/2023-1.9%-0.6%-7.2%
5/5/20230.7%0.4%-5.4%
2/24/2023-0.2%-3.2%-1.1%
11/4/20221.7%0.3%-4.5%
8/4/2022-0.2%1.8%2.8%
5/5/2022-0.7%-2.6%2.7%
2/25/20223.2%3.0%11.4%
11/3/2021-0.1%0.3%0.6%
8/5/20211.2%2.0%4.9%
5/6/20210.3%-3.2%-0.4%
2/26/2021-0.1%2.1%11.2%
11/5/2020-1.0%2.7%-0.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive81612
# Negative16812
Median Positive1.5%1.8%3.6%
Median Negative-0.6%-3.1%-1.7%
Max Positive3.2%3.8%11.4%
Max Negative-4.4%-8.0%-7.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/06/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/19/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/09/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202302/29/202410-K
09/30/202311/07/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q
12/31/202202/24/202310-K
09/30/202211/04/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/06/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/19/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/09/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202302/29/202410-K
09/30/202311/07/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q
12/31/202202/24/202310-K
09/30/202211/04/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q
12/31/202102/25/202210-K
09/30/202111/03/202110-Q
06/30/202108/05/202110-Q
03/31/202105/06/202110-Q
12/31/202002/26/202110-K
09/30/202011/05/202010-Q
06/30/202008/05/202010-Q
03/31/202005/06/202010-Q
12/31/201903/02/202010-K
09/30/201911/06/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/7/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Adjusted EPSReported4.144.244.340.0% AffirmedGuidance: 4.24 for 2026
2030 Adjusted EPS Annual Growth TargetReported6.0%7.0%8.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 7.0% for 2030


Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Adjusted EPSReported4.144.244.34  AffirmedGuidance: 4.24 for 2026
2030 Adjusted EPS Annual Growth TargetReported6.0%7.0%8.0%   

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/19/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Adjusted EPSReported4.144.244.346.8% Higher NewActual: 3.97 for 2025
2026 Adjusted EPS GrowthReported6.0%7.0%8.0% 1.5%RaisedGuidance: 5.5% for 2026
2028 Adjusted EPS GrowthReported 8.0%    

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Adjusted EPSReported3.923.974.02-1.2% LoweredGuidance: 4.02 for 2025
2029 Adjusted EPS GrowthReported4.0%5.0%6.0%0.0%0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 5.0% for 2029
2026 Adjusted EPS GrowthReported5.0%5.5%6.0%   

Insider Activity

Updated 10/9/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Rolph, Jonathan D As Trustee, Gift Trust of DaughterBuy915202681.3767054,52054,520Form
2Rolph, Jonathan D As Trustee, Gift Trust of SonBuy915202681.4677062,72448,876Form
3Rolph, Jonathan D WifeBuy915202681.8320016,36716,367Form
4Caisley, Charles AEVP & CHIEF CUST OFFCRDirectSell616202683.4610,787900,2363,153,704Form
5Lawrence, Sandra AJ DirectSell604202682.6320016,52539,661Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Rolph, Jonathan D As Trustee, Gift Trust of DaughterBuy915202681.3767054,52054,520Form
2Rolph, Jonathan D As Trustee, Gift Trust of SonBuy915202681.4677062,72448,876Form
3Rolph, Jonathan D WifeBuy915202681.8320016,36716,367Form
4Caisley, Charles AEVP & CHIEF CUST OFFCRDirectSell616202683.4610,787900,2363,153,704Form
5Lawrence, Sandra AJ DirectSell604202682.6320016,52539,661Form
6Lawrence, Sandra AJ DirectSell604202681.4160048,84855,361Form
7Lawrence, Sandra AJ DirectSell601202682.0440032,816105,011Form
8Lawrence, Sandra AJ DirectSell601202683.3176163,400139,962Form
9King, Charles LSVP & CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICERDirectSell313202682.192,440200,5331,508,844Form
10Humphrey, Heather ASVP - GEN COUNSEL, CORP SECDirectSell311202682.613,650301,5273,635,430Form
11Murtlow, Ann D DirectSell225202682.342,847234,422190,288Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Oct 24, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Bluescape Energy Partners LLC$217.7 Mil67.6%5Hold13F
Portman Square Capital LLP$27.0 Mil4.1%44Hold13F
Verbena Value LP$12.2 Mil2.0%26TRIM -60.1%13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Angelo Gordon & Co., L.P.$54.8 Mil5.2%46ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Diameter Capital Partners LP$18.8 Mil2.0%36ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Verbena Value LP$12.2 Mil2.0%26TRIM -60.1%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Bluescape Energy Partners LLC$217.7 Mil67.6%5Hold13F
Portman Square Capital LLP$27.0 Mil4.1%44Hold13F
Verbena Value LP$12.2 Mil2.0%26TRIM -60.1%13F

EVRG Trade Sentinel


Stock Conviction

Constructive

CONVICTION RATIONALE

Evergy is executing a visible transformation into a high-growth infrastructure company. This is supported by 3 gigawatts of secured, long-term data center contracts fueling a projected 12% annual growth in its asset base. While execution and financing of the $21.6 billion plan carry risk, the contracted nature of the demand provides a clear, multi-year path to earnings acceleration.

STOCK ARCHETYPE
Regulated Utility

Revenue = (Regulated Rate Base x Allowed Rate of Return) + Pass-Through Costs. The key variable is the rapid expansion of the Rate Base through capital investment. Successfully executing the $21.6 billion capital plan to grow the rate base at a ~12% CAGR, and earning the allowed regulatory return on these new investments serving contractually secured, premium-priced load.

Looking for high-conviction positions with a better risk/reward profile? See what's currently in the Trefis High Quality Portfolio.
INVESTMENT THESIS
Can Evergy execute its transformation into a high-growth infrastructure provider?

Evidence suggests Evergy is successfully transitioning from a slow-growth utility to a high-growth business with a visible, multi-year build cycle.

Mechanism: Executing the $21.6 billion capital plan to serve contracted demand is projected to drive the regulated rate base at a 12% compound annual rate, accelerating EPS growth.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Projected 7% to 8% annual retail load growth through 2030.
  • Signed long-term contracts for 3 gigawatts of new large customer demand.
  • A $21.6 billion five-year capital investment plan is underway.
  • New customer contracts feature a 15% to 20% premium demand rate.
  • Company projects adjusted EPS growth to exceed 8% annually starting in 2028.
PRIMARY RISK
Execution and Financing Risk

The primary risk is that the company cannot execute its unprecedented $21.6 billion capital plan on budget or secure necessary financing on acceptable terms, given its 5.75x net debt to EBITDA.

Mechanism: A credit rating downgrade would increase financing costs and signal that the balance sheet cannot support the growth plan.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Net debt is 5.75 times trailing-twelve-month EBITDA.
  • The company plans to issue $12.3 billion in debt through 2030.
  • The company plans to issue $3.3 billion in equity through 2030.
  • Trailing-twelve-month free cash flow is negative $1.4 billion.
  • Capital expenditure is 55.6% of trailing-twelve-month revenue.
Key KPI Watchlist
KPI Status Rationale
Retail Load Growth CAGRapproximately 7% to 8% annual CAGR through 2030 - AcceleratingThe acceleration in expected long-term load growth is driven by the successful execution of multiple large, long-term Electric Service Agreements (ESAs) with data center customers. The forecast was raised from 6% to 7-8% in the first quarter of 2026 and reaffirmed in the second quarter.
Rate Base Growth CAGRapproximately 12% annual CAGR through 2030 - AcceleratingThe significant increase in the rate base growth forecast is a direct result of the company's updated $21.6 billion five-year capital investment plan, which was increased to support the new, higher load growth from data center customers.
Annual Retail Load Growth Forecast (through 2030)7% to 8% (2026-2030 Forecast)Indicates the expected annual increase in electricity demand, a primary driver of revenue growth. This rate is substantially higher than historical utility norms, driven by new data center contracts.
Signed Large Customer ESAs (Steady-State Peak Load)3 gigawatts (as of August 2026)Quantifies the total contracted demand from new large customers, providing a tangible measure of the secured, long-term growth pipeline.
Five-Year Capital Investment Plan$21.6 billion (2026-2030)Represents the scale of infrastructure investment required to meet new demand. This spending directly drives growth in the company's regulated rate base, the primary determinant of its earnings power.
Core Investment Debate

Contracted Growth vs. Execution Risk

BULL VIEW

Bulls believe the 3 GW of secured, long-term contracts de-risks the growth story, providing high visibility into a 12% rate base CAGR and justifying the large, externally-funded capital plan.

CORE TENSION

Can the high-visibility revenue from new contracts, which support 7-8% load growth, offset the financial strain of a $21.6 billion capital plan that has pushed leverage to 5.75x?


PREVAILING SENTIMENT
CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH

The latest evidence favors the bulls. The company has secured the contracts, received regulatory approval for premium pricing, and reaffirmed its 2026 financial targets, indicating the plan is proceeding as scheduled.

BEAR VIEW

Bears focus on the 5.75x leverage and negative free cash flow, arguing the $21.6 billion build-out is too large and creates significant risk of costly delays or value-destructive financing.

Next 6 months: Risks and Catalysts
Timeline Event & Metric To Watch
10/20/2026
Negative Peer Data Center Commentary
Watch: Peer earnings calls for signs of slowing data center demand, rising construction costs, or regulatory pushback in the region.
11/2/2026
Peer Pinnacle West Earnings
Watch: Peer Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) is scheduled to report earnings.
11/3/2026
Peer PPL Earnings Report
Watch: Peer PPL (PPL) is scheduled to report earnings.
11/4/2026
Failure to Announce New ESA
Watch: The company's Q3 earnings report and call on 11/4/2026. Absence of a new ESA announcement could signal slowing momentum.
January 2027
New Missouri Rates Effective
Watch: New rates from the Evergy Metro 2026 Rate Case Proceeding are expected to be effective.
hearings beginning October 5
Adverse Missouri Rate Case Outcome
Watch: News from settlement conferences or the hearings regarding disallowed costs or a lower-than-requested revenue increase.
September 23
Missouri Rate Case Settlement Talks
Watch: Evergy Metro's Missouri rate case has settlement conferences scheduled to commence.
October 5
Missouri Rate Case Hearings
Watch: Evergy Metro's Missouri rate case has hearings scheduled to begin.
Key Events in Last 6 Months
Date Event Stock Impact
2026-09-02
Analyst Assigns Buy Rating
Details: A press report noted an analyst assigned a Buy rating with a $93 target price, citing accelerated growth from data center contracts and a 12% annual regulated asset base expansion.
+0.5%
$81.52 -> $81.93
2026-08-06
Guidance Affirmed for 2026
Details: At the Q2 earnings report, the company affirmed its 2026 Adjusted EPS guidance with a midpoint of $4.24.
+0.4%
$82.37 -> $82.69
2026-08-06
Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates
Details: Evergy reported Q2 adjusted earnings of $0.88 per share, beating estimates, compared to $0.82 per share a year ago. The company reaffirmed its 2026 guidance.
+0.4%
$82.37 -> $82.69
2026-06-29
Grid Investment Plan Highlighted
Details: A news report highlighted Evergy's $21.6 billion grid investment plan, noting it targets rising power demand and that strong Q1 sales and large-load projects are driving growth.
-0.9%
$86.49 -> $85.71
2026-05-07
Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates
Details: The company announced first quarter 2026 adjusted earnings of $0.69 per share, beating estimates, and announced a new large customer electric service agreement.
+1.0%
$79.65 -> $80.43
2026-03-31
Positive Analyst Note on Dividend
Details: A press report noted the company has raised its payout for 23 consecutive years and that recent data center signings would likely accelerate growth.
+0.8%
$80.24 -> $80.92
Risk Management
Position Sizing

5% - 7%

NORMAL POSITION

Sizing is volatility-based: EVRG trades at roughly 18% annualized options-implied volatility versus about 13% for the S&P 500 (1.3x the market), around the 68th percentile of its own trailing year. A 5% - 7% position keeps a single-name swing of that size within a diversified portfolio's risk budget.

Diversification Alternatives
FE - a business partner
Regional Peer Exposure

a business partner offers exposure to similar regional dynamics but with a different capital plan intensity; its capital expenditure is 32.1% of revenue versus Evergy's 55.6%.

Core Thesis: a business partner provides a more traditional utility investment profile with a significant growth driver in its transmission business.
ETR - a business partner
Alternative Data Center Play

a business partner provides exposure to the same data center demand theme but in a different geography with its own regulatory environment. The company has highlighted a large potential hyperscale pipeline.

Core Thesis: a business partner is another utility positioned to benefit from the structural increase in electricity demand from data centers.
How Is The Market Pricing EVRG?

Evergy is no longer a typical slow-growth utility; it is a high-growth infrastructure company with a visible, multi-year build cycle funded by contractually secured demand from the world's largest technology companies.

Evergy is capitalizing on its geography and supportive regulatory environment to become a key power provider for the data center boom. The company has secured 3 GW of long-term, premium-priced contracts, which underpins a $21.6 billion capital plan and a projected 12% rate base CAGR. This transforms its financial profile from a standard utility to a high-growth, regulated infrastructure story with significant earnings acceleration expected after 2028.

What will confirm the thesis

Execution of additional large customer Electric Service Agreements (ESAs), constructive outcomes in upcoming rate cases that approve cost recovery for new investments, and meeting or exceeding capital deployment and load growth targets.

What will damage the thesis

Cancellation or significant delays of contracted data center projects, adverse regulatory decisions disallowing recovery of capital investments, or major cost overruns and schedule delays on new generation projects.

Noise: Real but irrelevant to thesis

Short-term earnings volatility due to weather, as seen in prior periods, which does not affect the long-term infrastructure build-out thesis.

Repricing Catalyst

The market fully digesting the magnitude and predictability of the company's updated long-term growth outlook, including the 12% rate base CAGR and the expectation for EPS growth to exceed 8% annually starting in 2028.

What EVRG Makes & Who Pays
TTM figures based on the twelve months through fiscal Q2 2026
EVRG Evolution: Price Return by Era
2018 - ~2024 · Post-Merger Utility
+48%
Following its formation in 2018, Evergy focused on merger integration, cost discipline, and maintaining affordability, resulting in rate increases well below inflation and historical load growth of only 0.5% to 1% annually.
2025 - Present · Data Center Growth Transformation
+47%
Beginning in 2025, the company secured approvals for its Large Load Power Service (LLPS) tariff, enabling it to sign a series of transformative, long-term contracts with data centers. This has catalyzed a massive $21.6 billion capital plan and shifted the company's trajectory to a high-growth profile, with projected annual load growth of 7-8%.
Market Appears To Be Cautiously Supportive
Price structure is strongly bullish. The regime, trend, and proximity to highs all point towards intact institutional trend. Relative to SPY: Lagging on 63D window but 'relative strength' trend is stabilizing. This is not yet a tailwind, but the 'relative strength' is no longer deteriorating. Volume and momentum show mild positive lean. The accumulation signals present but not yet dominant. Earnings history is mildly cautionary. The reaction or drift are negative, and the market is beginning to push back on the thesis.
① Structure
+3
Structural pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by trend regime, SMA cross events, proximity to 52W high, and relative strength vs SPY.
② Volume / Momentum
+1
Volume/Momentum pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by institutional footprint score, OBV divergence, and momentum character.
③ Catalyst
-1
Catalyst pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by earnings day reaction, 20D post-earnings drift, and post-earnings volume character.
Combined Score
3 / 12
1 Price Structure & Trend Uptrend Cooling · - ▾
2 Momentum Mixed ▾
3 Relative Strength vs. SPY Recovering Relative Strength ▾
4 Institutional Footprint & Volume Neutral / Mixed ▾
5 Volatility Normal ▾
6 Key Price Levels Range · Vol Flat ▾
7 Earnings Reaction History Inconsistent ▾
8 How the Verdict Is Derived Three Pillars ▾
Core Cache Last Updated: 10/23/2026