Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.8%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 79%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.7%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.1%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 18%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.8%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 18%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 79%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.7%
8 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.1%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NJR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the -3.8% movement in New Jersey Resources (NJR) stock from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025: 1. Fiscal Q4 2025 Earnings Miss Analyst Expectations. New Jersey Resources reported fiscal 2025 fourth-quarter earnings per share (EPS) of $0.16, which missed analyst estimates of $0.19.

2. Significant Year-over-Year Decrease in Fourth-Quarter Profitability. The company's fiscal 2025 fourth-quarter consolidated net income was $15.1 million, or $0.15 per share, a substantial decrease compared to $91.1 million, or $0.92 per share, in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024. Similarly, consolidated net financial earnings (NFE) for the fourth quarter also saw a significant decline year-over-year.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NJR Return-17%20%25%-7%9%-1%25%
Peers Return-12%18%1%-6%14%24%38%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NJR Win Rate33%50%58%42%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate38%45%43%32%52%72% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NJR Max Drawdown-44%-5%-7%-19%-11%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-6%-6%-14%-7%-5% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NFG, SWX, BIPC, SR, OGS. See NJR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNJRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-29.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-44.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven715 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-20.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven25.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1157 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-25.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven605 days1480 days

Compare to NFG, SWX, BIPC, SR, OGS


In The Past

New Jersey Resources's stock fell -29.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/11/2023. A -29.1% loss requires a 41.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About New Jersey Resources (NJR)

Better Bets than New Jersey Resources (NJR)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NJR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-0.9%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.9%1.9%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.4%7.4%-3.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-0.9%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.9%1.9%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.4%7.4%-3.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for New Jersey Resources

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NJRNFGSWXBIPCSROGSMedian
NameNew Jers.National.Southwes.Brookfie.Spire ONE Gas  
Mkt Price45.0282.2179.0247.0182.3778.7578.88
Mkt Cap4.57.45.75.64.94.75.2
Rev LTM2,0962,0695,9243,6562,4362,3692,402
Op Inc LTM5588165632,213544442561
FCF LTM-16970-197898-264-125-147
FCF 3Y Avg-111131-64839-196-84-74
CFO LTM4509546761,242666598671
CFO 3Y Avg4601,0558151,536595620717

Growth & Margins

NJRNFGSWXBIPCSROGSMedian
NameNew Jers.National.Southwes.Brookfie.Spire ONE Gas  
Rev Chg LTM21.0%5.9%31.9%0.5%-6.6%15.1%10.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.7%2.0%10.8%30.2%4.6%1.5%3.3%
Rev Chg Q8.5%15.9%-11.8%0.5%1.9%11.4%5.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.1%5.1%-0.7%0.1%0.3%1.7%0.7%
Op Mgn LTM26.6%39.5%9.5%60.5%22.3%18.7%24.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg22.0%37.6%9.3%63.2%19.0%17.2%20.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%1.4%0.4%0.2%1.5%-0.1%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM21.5%46.1%11.4%34.0%27.3%25.3%26.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg22.5%50.2%16.5%47.5%23.3%26.0%24.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-8.1%3.4%-3.3%24.6%-10.8%-5.3%-4.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-5.5%6.1%-0.3%24.7%-7.6%-4.4%-2.3%

Valuation

NJRNFGSWXBIPCSROGSMedian
NameNew Jers.National.Southwes.Brookfie.Spire ONE Gas  
Mkt Cap4.57.45.75.64.94.75.2
P/S2.13.71.01.31.82.11.9
P/EBIT6.841.59.32.17.910.98.6
P/E10.9193.812.2-31.415.119.113.6
P/CFO10.08.08.43.96.58.18.1
Total Yield13.1%2.9%11.4%-3.2%10.8%6.9%8.8%
Dividend Yield3.9%2.4%3.2%0.0%4.2%1.6%2.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.5%2.5%-2.0%--5.3%-1.7%-2.0%
D/E0.80.40.62.81.10.70.7
Net D/E0.80.40.52.71.10.70.7

Returns

NJRNFGSWXBIPCSROGSMedian
NameNew Jers.National.Southwes.Brookfie.Spire ONE Gas  
1M Rtn0.4%2.4%-3.3%3.5%-6.8%-3.0%-1.3%
3M Rtn-2.9%-4.8%0.7%19.4%9.8%5.6%3.2%
6M Rtn2.9%2.0%12.3%17.2%14.3%9.1%10.7%
12M Rtn-6.6%36.2%6.0%-19.7%8.9%8.9%
3Y Rtn3.2%44.2%27.6%-44.7%20.0%27.6%
1M Excs Rtn-0.9%1.2%-4.6%2.2%-8.1%-4.3%-2.6%
3M Excs Rtn-9.1%-10.3%-4.5%13.1%3.2%-1.3%-2.9%
6M Excs Rtn-12.6%-13.5%-3.2%1.7%-1.2%-6.3%-4.8%
12M Excs Rtn-21.6%21.2%-8.9%-5.3%-7.1%-7.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-70.2%-33.2%-43.5%--44.3%-69.9%-44.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Natural Gas Distribution (NJNG)1,0131,129732730711
Energy Services (ES)6921,5291,2281,0301,743
Clean Energy Ventures (CEV)1241289510398
Storage and Transportation (S&T)936851450
Home Services and Other (HSO)5856525151
Elims-16-4-2-5-11
Total1,9632,9062,1571,9542,592


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Natural Gas Distribution (NJNG)4,4154,0313,707 3,064
Clean Energy Ventures (CEV)1,1291,015915 864
Storage and Transportation (S&T)1,0121,000862 241
Home Services and Other (HSO)171159162 104
Energy Services (ES)124333365 291
Intercompany Assets-313-276-290 -192
Total6,5376,2615,722 4,373


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,226,705
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-5.5%
Average Daily Volume534,150
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.17
Basic Shares Quantity100,373,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024204202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241126202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023206202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231121202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022202202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221117202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021203202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211118202110-K 9/30/2021