Hawaiian Electric Industries (HE)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $11.975 | Market Cap: $2.1 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Electric Utilities
Hawaiian Electric Industries (HE)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $11.975Market Cap: $2.1 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Electric Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -138% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 128% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.5% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 111x | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.1% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7% | |
| Key risksHE key risks include [1] massive financial liability from the 2023 Maui wildfire settlement, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.5% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -138% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 128% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 111x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.1% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7% |
| Key risksHE key risks include [1] massive financial liability from the 2023 Maui wildfire settlement, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
HE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Hawaiian Electric Industries (HE) experienced a -7.6% stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025. This period was marked by several significant events impacting the company's stock performance.
1. Q3 2025 Earnings Report Showing Decreased Net Income: Hawaiian Electric Industries reported a net income of $30.7 million or $0.18 per share for Q3 2025, which indicated a decrease in utility core net income compared to Q3 2024. This decline was primarily attributed to higher legal and consulting costs, along with increased wildfire mitigation program expenses.
2. Uncertainty Regarding Rate Rebasing Process: The company faced ongoing uncertainty concerning the timing and outcome of the rate rebasing process. This uncertainty could have implications for future earnings guidance, contributing to investor apprehension.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HE Return | -22% | 21% | 4% | -65% | -31% | 21% | -71% |
| Peers Return | 3% | 15% | 6% | -7% | 20% | 14% | 60% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HE Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 58% | 50% | 33% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 57% | 62% | 55% | 55% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HE Max Drawdown | -29% | -7% | -17% | -76% | -45% | -16% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -30% | -8% | -11% | -20% | -7% | -8% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEE, DUK, SO, AEP, SRE. See HE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -77.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 349.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 374 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -58.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 139.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,096 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to DUK, FE, ES, IDA, GNE
In The Past
Hawaiian Electric Industries's stock fell -77.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/7/2023. A -77.8% loss requires a 349.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to HE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -3.2% |
| 04302024 | HE | Hawaiian Electric Industries | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 0.8% | 6.6% | -21.4% |
| 08312023 | HE | Hawaiian Electric Industries | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -13.1% | -23.5% | -44.8% |
| 07312020 | HE | Hawaiian Electric Industries | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.1% | 23.9% | -9.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -3.2% |
| 04302024 | HE | Hawaiian Electric Industries | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 0.8% | 6.6% | -21.4% |
| 08312023 | HE | Hawaiian Electric Industries | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -13.1% | -23.5% | -44.8% |
| 07312020 | HE | Hawaiian Electric Industries | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.1% | 23.9% | -9.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Hawaiian Electric Industries
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 86.91 |
| Mkt Cap | 76.4 |
| Rev LTM | 23,778 |
| Op Inc LTM | 6,352 |
| FCF LTM | -1,328 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -1,482 |
| CFO LTM | 8,118 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 7,222 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 25.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 22.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 33.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 30.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -4.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -5.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 76.4 |
| P/S | 3.3 |
| P/EBIT | 11.5 |
| P/E | 23.7 |
| P/CFO | 10.0 |
| Total Yield | 6.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.1% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -5.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 14.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 13.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 27.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 2.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 1.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -45.7% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/7/2025 | -3.2% | 0.7% | 3.7% |
| 8/7/2025 | -2.3% | 3.0% | 7.6% |
| 5/9/2025 | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| 2/21/2025 | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% |
| 11/8/2024 | -6.3% | -3.4% | -1.8% |
| 8/9/2024 | -14.5% | -13.7% | -25.2% |
| 5/10/2024 | 10.0% | 15.1% | 2.9% |
| 2/13/2024 | -4.9% | 0.0% | -15.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 15 | 12 |
| # Negative | 13 | 9 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% |
| Median Negative | -2.9% | -3.4% | -7.0% |
| Max Positive | 10.0% | 15.1% | 18.8% |
| Max Negative | -17.1% | -42.6% | -66.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2242025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |