Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 9.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -6.7%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 233%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
  Key risks
CWEN key risks include [1] its substantial consolidated indebtedness, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, and Battery Storage & Grid Modernization.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 9.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 11%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, and Battery Storage & Grid Modernization.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -6.7%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 233%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12%
7 Key risks
CWEN key risks include [1] its substantial consolidated indebtedness, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CWEN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Clearway Energy (CWEN) experienced a significant stock movement of approximately 12.5% between early November 2025 and late November 2025. This surge can be attributed to several key factors.

1. Clearway Energy's Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Report. The company reported third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 4, 2025, with an earnings per share (EPS) of $2.00, substantially beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.32 by 525%. Total revenues of $429 million also surpassed the consensus estimate. This strong financial performance likely provided a significant boost to investor confidence.

2. Raised Financial Guidance for 2025 and 2026. Following the impressive Q3 results, Clearway Energy narrowed its full-year 2025 Cash Available for Distribution (CAFD) guidance to a higher range of $420 million to $440 million, shifting it towards the upper end of its initial outlook. The company also established a robust 2026 full-year CAFD guidance range of $470 million to $510 million, signaling strong future growth prospects.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CWEN Return67%18%-8%-9%1%32%120%
Peers Return43%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CWEN Win Rate92%50%50%33%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CWEN Max Drawdown-16%-21%-16%-39%-22%-5% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEE, BEPC, CEG, VST, NRG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCWENS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven121.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven84 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-33.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven252 days120 days

Compare to PNW, IDA, ALE, HE, EE


In The Past

Clearway Energy's stock fell -54.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/18/2022. A -54.9% loss requires a 121.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Clearway Energy (CWEN)

Better Bets than Clearway Energy (CWEN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CWEN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.8%-0.8%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.3%5.3%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.0%6.0%-3.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.8%-0.8%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.3%5.3%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.0%6.0%-3.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Clearway Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CWENNEEBEPCCEGVSTNRGMedian
NameClearway.NextEra .Brookfie.Constell.Vistra NRG Ener. 
Mkt Price32.6479.5438.13355.40163.03156.20117.87
Mkt Cap3.9164.26.8111.255.230.142.7
Rev LTM1,37526,2983,77724,84117,19129,77921,016
Op Inc LTM1727,4048883,0172,1042,5982,351
FCF LTM4403,073-749-2761,6451,6991,042
FCF 3Y Avg4512,42130-4,7682,328130290
CFO LTM70311,9673522,4163,9912,7422,579
CFO 3Y Avg72111,8471,027-2,2524,349826926

Growth & Margins

CWENNEEBEPCCEGVSTNRGMedian
NameClearway.NextEra .Brookfie.Constell.Vistra NRG Ener. 
Rev Chg LTM0.8%0.2%-10.5%3.6%5.7%5.9%2.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.5%11.4%0.8%3.7%9.5%-0.9%3.6%
Rev Chg Q-11.7%5.3%-10.6%0.3%-20.9%5.7%-5.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-4.0%1.5%-2.8%0.1%-7.1%1.4%-1.4%
Op Mgn LTM12.5%28.2%23.5%12.1%12.2%8.7%12.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg17.7%31.5%25.8%11.1%17.0%1.8%17.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.9%-1.4%-1.2%-1.7%-7.5%4.8%-1.5%
CFO/Rev LTM51.1%45.5%9.3%9.7%23.2%9.2%16.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg53.1%44.6%25.8%-8.9%26.8%2.9%26.3%
FCF/Rev LTM32.0%11.7%-19.8%-1.1%9.6%5.7%7.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg33.2%9.3%0.6%-19.0%14.4%0.5%5.0%

Valuation

CWENNEEBEPCCEGVSTNRGMedian
NameClearway.NextEra .Brookfie.Constell.Vistra NRG Ener. 
Mkt Cap3.9164.26.8111.255.230.142.7
P/S2.86.21.84.53.21.03.0
P/EBIT18.021.85.526.725.012.519.9
P/E14.025.3-7.840.647.920.923.1
P/CFO5.513.719.546.013.811.013.8
Total Yield16.3%6.7%-12.8%2.9%2.6%4.8%3.8%
Dividend Yield9.1%2.8%0.0%0.4%0.6%0.0%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg15.0%1.3%--9.5%11.6%-5.5%1.3%
D/E2.40.65.20.10.30.40.5
Net D/E2.30.65.00.00.30.40.5

Returns

CWENNEEBEPCCEGVSTNRGMedian
NameClearway.NextEra .Brookfie.Constell.Vistra NRG Ener. 
1M Rtn-8.2%-5.0%-8.3%-0.6%-9.0%-7.5%-7.8%
3M Rtn17.7%12.7%14.0%7.5%-22.8%-4.7%10.1%
6M Rtn5.9%12.8%23.8%16.8%-11.8%3.4%9.3%
12M Rtn33.4%17.6%-58.7%19.5%77.4%33.4%
3Y Rtn20.4%3.9%-316.0%613.8%433.4%316.0%
1M Excs Rtn-11.1%-7.9%-11.2%-3.5%-11.9%-10.4%-10.7%
3M Excs Rtn13.8%8.6%10.5%0.4%-27.3%-10.5%4.5%
6M Excs Rtn-7.2%0.7%7.9%-0.4%-25.9%-10.2%-3.8%
12M Excs Rtn19.5%0.5%-39.6%4.4%60.2%19.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-55.9%-71.4%-229.9%532.8%349.1%229.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Renewables & Storage894696641569485
Flexible Generation420417441437346
Corporate00   
Thermal 77204193201
Total1,3141,1901,2861,1991,032


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Renewables & Storage16415213456
Flexible Generation137197219215183
Corporate-381,249-43-38-28
Thermal 23392213
Total2631,470267333224


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Renewables & Storage150491093-33
Flexible Generation109161172140135
Corporate-180355-252-121-108
Thermal 17223-5
Total795825125-11


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Renewables & Storage12,2059,5159,6037,1576,186
Flexible Generation2,0582,2512,4422,5752,753
Corporate438546137233128
Thermal 0631627633
Total14,70112,31212,81310,5929,700


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,322,580
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202524.0%
Average Daily Volume1,118,541
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.76
Basic Shares Quantity118,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/20256.7%9.3%6.0%
8/5/2025-4.4%-7.1%-7.9%
2/24/20252.5%3.6%15.7%
10/30/20248.0%11.9%14.7%
8/1/20244.8%6.6%7.0%
5/9/20246.4%10.4%9.8%
2/22/2024-4.6%-6.6%-8.6%
11/2/20232.9%-0.1%15.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121515
# Negative966
Median Positive4.2%4.0%7.0%
Median Negative-1.6%-2.1%-7.9%
Max Positive8.0%11.9%16.7%
Max Negative-4.6%-7.1%-9.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021