American Electric Power (AEP)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $118.02 | Market Cap: $63.1 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Electric Utilities
American Electric Power (AEP)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $118.02Market Cap: $63.1 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Electric Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AEP Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. AEP's Third-Quarter 2025 Earnings Report and Reaffirmed Guidance. On October 29, 2025, American Electric Power reported third-quarter 2025 operating earnings of $1.80 per share, which was slightly below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.81. However, the company reaffirmed its full-year 2025 operating earnings guidance in the upper half of its $5.75 to $5.95 per share range. This report led to an immediate 5.25% jump in the stock at market open.
2. Announcement of an Updated and Robust Capital Plan. Concurrently with its Q3 earnings, AEP unveiled an updated five-year capital plan of $72 billion through 2030, an increase from previous plans. This significant investment is aimed at enhancing service, supporting growing energy needs, and is expected to drive a new 7-9% long-term operating earnings growth rate through 2030.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AEP Return | -9% | 11% | 10% | -11% | 18% | 34% | 56% |
| Peers Return | -1% | 8% | 0% | 7% | 27% | 18% | 73% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AEP Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 67% | 58% | 58% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 23% | 22% | 38% | 35% | 35% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AEP Max Drawdown | -25% | -9% | -6% | -23% | -5% | -2% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -12% | -3% | -6% | -8% | -3% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LNT, IMSR, ONE, CEG, SO. See AEP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AEP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 505 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -32.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 744 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -18.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 285 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -52.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 109.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1512 days | 1480 days |
Compare to LNT, IMSR, ONE, CEG, SO
In The Past
American Electric Power's stock fell -32.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/12/2022. A -32.2% loss requires a 47.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AEP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.3% | 9.3% | -3.2% |
| 09302022 | AEP | American Electric Power | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 7.2% | -9.6% | -10.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.3% | 9.3% | -3.2% |
| 09302022 | AEP | American Electric Power | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 7.2% | -9.6% | -10.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for American Electric Power
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vertically Integrated Utilities (VIU) | 51,802 | 49,762 | 46,974 | 42,753 | 41,229 |
| Transmission and Distribution Utilities (T&D) | 24,838 | 22,920 | 21,120 | 19,766 | 18,758 |
| American Electric Power Transmission Holdco (AEPTHCo) | 16,576 | 15,216 | 13,873 | 12,627 | 11,144 |
| Corporate and Other | 5,194 | 6,768 | 5,846 | 5,987 | 5,440 |
| Generation & Marketing (G&M) | 2,598 | 4,520 | 4,264 | 3,586 | 3,124 |
| Reconciling Adjustments | -4,325 | -5,783 | -4,409 | -3,962 | -3,801 |
| Total | 96,684 | 93,403 | 87,669 | 80,757 | 75,892 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7302024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4302024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2262024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7272022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
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