Vistra (VST)
Market Price (2/10/2026): $154.23 | Market Cap: $52.2 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Electric Utilities
Vistra (VST)
Market Price (2/10/2026): $154.23Market Cap: $52.2 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Electric Utilities
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, CFO LTM is 4.0 Bil | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 23x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 45x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -21% |
| Key risksVST key risks include [1] a significant debt burden that constrains financial flexibility and [2] operational challenges across its large and complex generation portfolio, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, CFO LTM is 4.0 Bil |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 23x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 45x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -21% |
| Key risksVST key risks include [1] a significant debt burden that constrains financial flexibility and [2] operational challenges across its large and complex generation portfolio, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Vistra reported disappointing third-quarter 2025 earnings and revenue, missing analyst expectations. The company announced Q3 2025 revenue of $4.97 billion, significantly below analyst estimates of $6.91 billion on November 6, 2025. Additionally, Vistra reported earnings per share (EPS) of $1.75, narrowly missing the consensus estimate of $1.78. This earnings report also included a narrowed guidance for its 2025 financial outlook, which likely contributed to investor concern.
2. Multiple analyst firms reduced their price targets for Vistra, signaling a more cautious outlook. Following the Q3 earnings report and into early 2026, several investment banks adjusted their price objectives for Vistra. For instance, JPMorgan Chase & Co. lowered its price target from $249.00 to $233.00 in December 2025, and Wells Fargo & Company decreased its target from $238.00 to $236.00 in January 2026. Morgan Stanley also reduced its price target from $228 to $227 around the same time. These revisions, while often maintaining "Buy" or "Overweight" ratings, reflected a tempered view on the stock's near-term potential, leading to selling pressure.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -18.6% change in VST stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -48.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 188.04 | 152.97 | -18.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 18,508 | 17,191 | -7.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.9% | 6.7% | -48.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 26.7 | 45.0 | 68.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 339 | 339 | 0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -18.6% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VST | -18.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.7% | 46.4% |
| Sector (XLU) | -2.4% | 62.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -26.5% change in VST stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -50.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 208.03 | 152.97 | -26.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 18,103 | 17,191 | -5.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 13.4% | 6.7% | -50.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 29.1 | 45.0 | 54.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 340 | 339 | 0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -26.5% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VST | -26.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.1% | 45.3% |
| Sector (XLU) | 2.2% | 56.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -8.5% change in VST stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -46.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 167.12 | 152.97 | -8.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 16,265 | 17,191 | 5.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.5% | 6.7% | -46.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 28.2 | 45.0 | 59.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 343 | 339 | 1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -8.5% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VST | -8.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 61.9% |
| Sector (XLU) | 14.0% | 50.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 592.8% change in VST stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 334.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 22.08 | 152.97 | 592.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 13,173 | 17,191 | 30.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.7 | 3.0 | 334.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 414 | 339 | 22.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 592.8% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VST | 592.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 77.1% | 47.7% |
| Sector (XLU) | 37.0% | 40.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VST Return | 20% | 5% | 71% | 262% | 18% | -7% | 746% |
| Peers Return | 19% | 8% | 16% | 46% | 35% | -2% | 191% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VST Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 67% | 75% | 50% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 58% | 58% | 60% | 63% | 70% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VST Max Drawdown | -18% | -9% | -8% | -1% | -29% | -12% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -19% | -17% | -5% | -9% | -9% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CEG, NRG, NEE, SO, DUK. See VST Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/9/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VST | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 324 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 86.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 343 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -21.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 99 days | 120 days |
Compare to CEG, NRG, NEE, SO, DUK
In The Past
Vistra's stock fell -33.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/24/2021. A -33.2% loss requires a 49.7% gain to breakeven.
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About Vistra (VST)
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Like AT&T or Verizon, but for electricity – they generate power and sell it directly to consumers in competitive markets.
- It's like a major electricity utility (such as Duke Energy or Southern Company) that has to constantly compete for every residential and business customer in open electricity markets.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Vistra (VST) provides the following major products and services:
- Electricity Generation: Vistra operates a diverse portfolio of power generation facilities, producing electricity for wholesale markets and its retail segment.
- Electricity Retail: Vistra sells electricity and various energy solutions directly to residential, commercial, and industrial customers primarily in Texas and other competitive markets.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Vistra (VST) - Major Customers
Vistra (VST) operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company. While it sells power into wholesale markets, its substantial retail segment serves millions of customers directly. Given the large volume of individual residential customers and a diverse base of commercial and industrial retail customers, Vistra can be categorized as primarily serving individuals and related end-user categories through its various retail brands (e.g., TXU Energy, Direct Energy, Ambit Energy). The major categories of customers that Vistra serves through its retail operations include:- Residential Customers: Households and individual consumers who purchase electricity for personal use.
- Commercial Customers: Small to medium-sized businesses, offices, retail establishments, and other non-industrial enterprises.
- Industrial Customers: Large manufacturing facilities, industrial plants, and other major energy consumers that require significant power for their operations.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here is the management team for Vistra (symbol: VST):
Jim Burke, President and Chief Executive Officer
Jim Burke has been with Vistra and its predecessor companies since 2004, serving in various leadership positions. He was appointed President and CEO of Vistra, effective August 1, 2022. Prior to this, he served as president and chief financial officer from December 2020 to July 2022, and as chief operating officer from 2016 to December 2020. Burke also served as chairman and CEO of TXU Energy, a Vistra subsidiary, from August 2005 to October 2016. Before joining TXU Energy, he was president and chief operating officer of Gexa Energy, a Houston-based retailer that was acquired by FPL in 2005. His career also includes roles at Reliant Energy, The Coca-Cola Company, and as a management consultant for Deloitte & Touche Consulting. Vistra's predecessor companies have emerged from Chapter 11 bankruptcy, indicating a history with private equity-backed or restructured entities.
Kris Moldovan, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Kris Moldovan was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Vistra, effective August 1, 2022. He has been with Vistra and its predecessor companies since 2006. From 2017 to 2022, he served as senior vice president and treasurer. Moldovan initially joined the company as senior counsel, with a focus on finance and mergers and acquisitions. Before his tenure at Vistra, he was an attorney for Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher, LLP in Dallas and Wildman, Harrold, Allen & Dixon in Chicago, where he gained extensive experience in M&A, finance, and general corporate advisory.
Stacey Doré, Chief Strategy & Sustainability Officer and Executive Vice President of Public Affairs
Stacey Doré joined Vistra as its first chief strategy and sustainability officer and executive vice president of public affairs, effective August 23, 2022. She previously held the position of president and chief executive officer of Hunt Utility Services and Sharyland Utilities from 2019 to 2021. Prior to that, she was senior vice president and general counsel for InfraREIT, Inc., an electric transmission and distribution company, from 2016 to 2019. Doré originally joined Vistra's predecessor companies in 2008 within the legal team, serving in various leadership capacities including executive vice president, general counsel, and chief restructuring officer. She began her career as an attorney at Vinson & Elkins, LLP in 1997.
Scott A. Hudson, President of Vistra Retail
Scott A. Hudson serves as the head of Vistra's retail business, including his role as president of TXU Energy since March 2011. His career spans over three decades, during which he has held various leadership roles. Prior to his time at Vistra, Hudson held senior leadership positions with MBNA America, ChoicePoint, and LexisNexis. He started his career as a commercial lawyer, working in the energy industry for Troutman Sanders LLP.
Carrie Kirby, Executive Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer
Carrie Kirby is Vistra's Executive Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer. In this role, she is involved in initiatives related to talent pipeline and workforce development.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Vistra (VST) are primarily centered around its financial leverage, operational complexities, and the evolving regulatory landscape of the energy sector.
- High Debt Levels and Financial Flexibility: Vistra carries a significant amount of debt, reported at approximately $18 billion as of December 2024 and $18.4 billion as of December 31, 2024. This substantial indebtedness could constrain the company's financial flexibility, limit its ability to invest in growth initiatives, and make it more vulnerable to rising interest rates. The need to allocate significant cash flow to debt service payments could also impede its strategic maneuvers.
- Operational Risks and Facility Reliability: Vistra operates a large and diverse portfolio of power generation assets, including gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery storage. This complexity exposes the company to various operational risks, such as unplanned outages from events like battery storage fires or coal plant fires, which can disrupt service and incur costs. Additionally, supply chain constraints can increase costs and lead times for essential materials needed for maintaining and upgrading its generation fleet. The inherent vulnerability to extreme weather events can also lead to operational disruptions and financial setbacks. The ownership and operation of nuclear facilities also present specific operational and regulatory challenges.
- Regulatory and Policy Changes Related to Energy Transition: The energy sector is subject to a dynamic regulatory environment and evolving policy priorities, particularly concerning the transition to cleaner energy sources. Changes in government incentives, such as the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) tax credits, or the introduction of stricter emissions mandates, could adversely impact Vistra's project economics and overall profitability. The company must navigate these changes while managing its diverse asset portfolio and investment in renewables.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The rapid decline in costs and increasing deployment of renewable energy sources (solar and wind) combined with grid-scale battery storage is creating significant competitive pressure and accelerating the economic obsolescence of Vistra's conventional fossil fuel generation fleet, particularly natural gas assets. This trend suppresses wholesale power prices and reduces the need for traditional baseload and peaker plants, threatening to devalue existing assets and necessitating a faster, more capital-intensive transition than currently planned, or leading to reduced profitability in their generation segment.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Vistra (VST) operates in two primary addressable markets within the United States: retail electricity services and power generation (including wholesale energy sales and renewable energy generation).
- Retail Electricity Services: The addressable market for retail electricity in the U.S. is projected to reach approximately US$4.376 trillion by 2029. This market encompasses the direct sale of electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers.
- Power Generation (Wholesale Energy Sales): The U.S. power generation market is estimated to be approximately USD 181.94 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 307.89 billion by 2032. Vistra operates a diverse portfolio of power generation assets, including natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities, engaging in wholesale energy sales.
- Renewable Energy Generation: As a component of the broader power generation market, the U.S. renewable energy market reached USD 237.2 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 549.7 billion by 2033. Vistra is actively involved in renewable energy generation, including solar and battery energy storage projects.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Vistra (NYSE: VST) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through a combination of strategic initiatives and favorable market trends. Key drivers include increased power demand, particularly from the data center sector, expansion of its generation capacity through acquisitions and new builds, strategic investments in clean energy and long-term power purchase agreements, the continued strong performance of its retail business, and benefits from realized energy and capacity prices supported by its hedging program.
Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth:
- Increased Power Demand, notably from AI and Data Centers: Vistra anticipates significant revenue growth from the increasing electricity demand, especially driven by the expansion of AI-driven data centers and cloud-computing infrastructure. The company has noted structural tailwinds in power markets, with load growth exceeding forecasts in its primary territories like ERCOT and PJM.
- Strategic Acquisitions and Expansion of Generation Capacity: Vistra recently completed the acquisition of seven natural gas plants from Lotus Infrastructure Partners, adding approximately 2,600 MW of capacity to its portfolio. Furthermore, the company plans to construct two new natural gas power units in West Texas, totaling 860 MW, to address the region's increasing power requirements, particularly from the electrifying oil and gas industry.
- Clean Energy Investments and Long-term Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs): Vistra is actively expanding its zero-carbon resource fleet, focusing on nuclear, solar, and energy storage. This includes advancing construction on new solar and energy storage facilities and securing a 20-year power purchase agreement for 1,200 MW from its Comanche Peak Nuclear Plant, which is expected to support the plant's operations through the middle of the century. The company also foresees multiple opportunities for similar agreements across its diverse generation assets.
- Consistent Strong Performance of the Retail Business: Vistra's retail segment continues to be a reliable contributor, consistently achieving strong margin performance and high levels of free cash flow conversion. The retail business is projected to generate robust earnings across various market conditions and is on track to outperform its 2024 results.
- Realized Energy and Capacity Prices and Hedging Program: Vistra benefits from higher realized energy and capacity prices. The company's extensive hedging program, with significant volumes hedged through 2027, provides substantial earnings visibility and supports its financial guidance ranges for the upcoming years.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Vistra has executed approximately $5.4 billion in share repurchases since November 2021, reducing the number of shares outstanding by about 30%.
- As of August 1, 2025, approximately $1.4 billion of the share repurchase authorization remained available, with completion expected by year-end 2026.
- In Q3 2025, the Board authorized an additional $1.0 billion for share repurchases, expected to be utilized by year-end 2027.
Share Issuance
- In October 2021, Vistra priced a private offering of $1 billion of 8% Series A Fixed-Rate Reset Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Stock, with net proceeds intended for common stock repurchases.
Inbound Investments
- In October 2021, Vistra raised $1 billion through a private offering of 8% Series A Fixed-Rate Reset Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Stock, which was used to fund common stock repurchases.
Outbound Investments
- Vistra completed the acquisition of Energy Harbor Corp. on March 1, 2024, a $3.43 billion deal that added approximately 4,000 megawatts of nuclear generation capacity and about 1 million retail customers.
- Vistra completed the acquisition of seven natural gas facilities, totaling approximately 2,600 megawatts of capacity, from Lotus Infrastructure Partners by October 2025.
- Vistra acquired the remaining 15% minority interest in Vistra Vision, closing on December 31, 2024, consolidating ownership of its carbon-free assets and retail business.
Capital Expenditures
- Vistra continues to strategically grow its fleet of zero-carbon resources, including nuclear, solar, and battery energy storage facilities.
- In 2023, Vistra completed a milestone expansion of its Moss Landing Energy Storage Facility, increasing its total capacity to 750 MW/3,000 MWh.
- Vistra announced plans to develop two new natural gas units totaling 860 MW in West Texas and completed the 200 MW Oak Hill Solar Facility in ERCOT in October 2025.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Is 20.9% Fall In Vistra (VST) Stock A Buying Opportunity? | 02/05/2026 | |
| Forget Timing the Bottom: Earn 8.4% While You Wait for VST on Sale | 01/29/2026 | |
| Southern vs Vistra: Which Is the Stronger Buy Today? | 01/24/2026 | |
| Can Vistra Stock Recover If Markets Fall? | 01/24/2026 | |
| How Vistra Stock Gained 60% | 01/16/2026 | |
| Vistra Stock (+10%): Meta Nuclear Deal Ignites AI Power Play | 01/10/2026 | |
| Vistra Earnings Notes | 12/29/2026 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Buying VST at a Discount? You Are Getting Paid to Do It | 01/29/2026 | |
| Is Southern a Better Buy Than Vistra? | 01/24/2026 | |
| S&P 500 Movers | Winners: SMCI, MU, MRNA | Losers: CEG, VST, AMCR | 01/16/2026 | |
| Vistra Stock Surged 60%, Here’s Why | 01/16/2026 | |
| S&P 500 Movers | Winners: KLAC, VST, BLK | Losers: HOOD, COIN, DVN | 01/15/2026 |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 137.34 |
| Mkt Cap | 89.9 |
| Rev LTM | 27,605 |
| Op Inc LTM | 5,210 |
| FCF LTM | 684 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -450 |
| CFO LTM | 6,684 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 6,480 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 20.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 27.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -1.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 89.9 |
| P/S | 3.2 |
| P/EBIT | 16.5 |
| P/E | 25.3 |
| P/CFO | 12.0 |
| Total Yield | 5.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.0% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -2.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 9.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 136.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -4.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 70.2% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail | 10,572 | 9,455 | 7,871 | 8,270 | 6,872 |
| East | 5,890 | 3,706 | 2,587 | 2,415 | 2,790 |
| Texas | 3,979 | 3,733 | 2,790 | 4,116 | 3,836 |
| West | 914 | 336 | 374 | 282 | 338 |
| Asset Closure | 0 | 384 | 86 | 3 | 341 |
| Corporate and Other | -6,576 | 1 | 0 | ||
| Eliminations | -4,755 | -2,284 | -4,895 | -3,970 | |
| Sunset | 868 | 653 | 1,252 | 1,602 | |
| Total | 14,779 | 13,728 | 12,077 | 11,443 | 11,809 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East | 1,749 | -868 | -567 | 41 | 400 |
| West | 454 | -238 | 1 | 50 | 88 |
| Retail | 424 | 1,158 | 2,196 | 309 | 134 |
| Texas | 398 | -615 | -2,512 | 1,760 | 1,342 |
| Asset Closure | -6 | -147 | -298 | -101 | -109 |
| Corporate and Other | -1,527 | -270 | 53 | -1,021 | -1,204 |
| Eliminations | 0 | 0 | 1 | ||
| Sunset | -230 | -137 | -414 | 274 | |
| Total | 1,492 | -1,210 | -1,264 | 624 | 926 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $152.97 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 51.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/10/2017 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -29.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $163.79 | $179.09 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -6.6% | -14.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 56.0% | 58.7% |
| Downside Capture | 358.48 | 226.18 |
| Upside Capture | 208.78 | 184.57 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 44.0% | 62.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 4.04 | 3.35 | 2.20 | 2.10 | 1.88 | 1.70 |
| Up Beta | 0.32 | 0.90 | -0.38 | 0.27 | 1.51 | 1.51 |
| Down Beta | 1.59 | 2.58 | 1.98 | 2.28 | 2.15 | 2.07 |
| Up Capture | 655% | 386% | 259% | 207% | 302% | 1094% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 18 | 27 | 54 | 122 | 405 |
| Down Capture | 749% | 451% | 298% | 255% | 150% | 108% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 23 | 34 | 71 | 129 | 344 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VST | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VST | -9.5% | 58.5% | 0.05 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLU) | 13.4% | 15.4% | 0.62 | 50.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 19.4% | 0.62 | 62.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 78.8% | 24.9% | 2.30 | 7.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.9% | 16.6% | 0.40 | 30.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 16.5% | 0.11 | 28.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -27.0% | 44.8% | -0.57 | 27.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VST | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VST | 52.3% | 48.3% | 1.05 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLU) | 9.8% | 17.1% | 0.43 | 42.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.2% | 17.0% | 0.67 | 43.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.3% | 16.9% | 1.07 | 13.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.9% | 0.49 | 19.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 18.8% | 0.17 | 26.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 14.7% | 58.0% | 0.47 | 19.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VST | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VST | 28.0% | 42.7% | 0.81 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLU) | 10.0% | 19.1% | 0.45 | 42.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 46.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.8% | 15.5% | 0.85 | 9.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.3% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 24.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.0% | 20.7% | 0.25 | 36.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 69.0% | 66.8% | 1.08 | 17.2% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | -2.5% | -5.9% | -12.3% |
| 8/7/2025 | 2.4% | 2.2% | -6.4% |
| 2/27/2025 | -12.3% | -14.4% | -19.3% |
| 11/7/2024 | 7.6% | 12.7% | 26.9% |
| 8/8/2024 | 6.9% | 7.2% | -0.3% |
| 5/8/2024 | 9.1% | 11.9% | 5.5% |
| 2/28/2024 | 4.0% | 15.5% | 34.4% |
| 11/7/2023 | -1.6% | -2.6% | 2.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| # Negative | 11 | 7 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% |
| Median Negative | -2.7% | -5.9% | -12.3% |
| Max Positive | 9.1% | 20.6% | 34.4% |
| Max Negative | -24.2% | -23.2% | -25.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/28/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/10/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/01/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/06/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/25/2022 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burke, James A | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 12152025 | 162.05 | 22,251 | 3,605,775 | 48,290,576 | Form |
| 2 | Moore, Stephanie Zapata | EVP and General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 11262025 | 173.35 | 8,219 | 1,424,764 | 13,842,691 | Form |
| 3 | Hudson, Scott A | EVP & President Vistra Retail | Direct | Sell | 11182025 | 168.86 | 56,000 | 9,456,160 | 51,772,476 | Form |
| 4 | Kirby, Carrie Lee | EVP and Chief Admin. Officer | Direct | Sell | 11182025 | 174.75 | 58,275 | 10,183,556 | 38,137,265 | Form |
| 5 | Burke, James A | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 11132025 | 186.53 | 21,935 | 4,091,536 | 50,563,433 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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