FirstEnergy (FE)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $44.51 | Market Cap: $25.7 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Electric Utilities
FirstEnergy (FE)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $44.51Market Cap: $25.7 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Electric Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.8%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.7% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 99% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, CFO LTM is 3.6 Bil | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 20% | Key risksFE key risks include [1] substantial legal, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Electrification of Everything, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.8%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.7% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, CFO LTM is 3.6 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 20% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Electrification of Everything, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 99% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5% |
| Key risksFE key risks include [1] substantial legal, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. FirstEnergy reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results, with operating earnings of $0.83 per share, surpassing analysts' expectations of $0.77 per share. This 9.2% beat, coupled with an 11.2% increase in revenue to $4.14 billion, indicated robust financial performance.
2. The company increased its 2025 capital expenditure plan by 10% to $5.5 billion and reaffirmed its long-term annual operating earnings growth target of 6-8% for the 2025-2029 period. This significant commitment to investment and consistent growth outlook likely instilled investor confidence.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FE Return | -34% | 42% | 5% | -9% | 13% | 15% | 16% |
| Peers Return | -3% | 19% | 2% | -9% | 17% | 17% | 48% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FE Win Rate | 50% | 75% | 67% | 42% | 67% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 55% | 62% | 53% | 62% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FE Max Drawdown | -43% | -4% | -12% | -20% | -2% | -4% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -8% | -13% | -20% | -6% | -3% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AEP, EXC, D, DUK, SO. See FE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -48.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 92.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 88 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 132.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to EXC, ETR, PPL, EIX, PNW
In The Past
FirstEnergy's stock fell -32.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -32.7% loss requires a 48.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -3.2% |
| 10312020 | FE | FirstEnergy | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 30.9% | 35.8% | -9.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -3.2% |
| 10312020 | FE | FirstEnergy | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 30.9% | 35.8% | -9.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for FirstEnergy
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 73.57 |
| Mkt Cap | 56.3 |
| Rev LTM | 22,787 |
| Op Inc LTM | 5,180 |
| FCF LTM | -1,665 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -2,027 |
| CFO LTM | 6,647 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,755 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 25.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 22.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 31.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 30.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -7.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -9.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 56.3 |
| P/S | 2.9 |
| P/EBIT | 10.3 |
| P/E | 19.6 |
| P/CFO | 8.4 |
| Total Yield | 8.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -4.9% |
| D/E | 0.9 |
| Net D/E | 0.9 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 9.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 16.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 27.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -5.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -2.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 4.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -44.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Distribution | 19,235 | ||||
| Integrated | 17,466 | ||||
| Stand-Alone Transmission | 12,142 | ||||
| Corporate/ Other | 2,372 | 524 | 1,383 | 1,017 | 1,015 |
| Reconciling Adjustments | -2,448 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 |
| Regulated Distribution | 31,749 | 30,812 | 30,855 | 29,642 | |
| Regulated Transmission | 13,835 | 13,237 | 12,592 | 11,611 | |
| Total | 48,767 | 46,108 | 45,432 | 44,464 | 42,301 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/22/2025 | -1.6% | -3.2% | -0.6% |
| 7/30/2025 | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% |
| 2/26/2025 | -10.5% | -10.5% | -8.4% |
| 10/29/2024 | -1.5% | -2.2% | 0.5% |
| 7/30/2024 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 5.8% |
| 4/25/2024 | -1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% |
| 2/8/2024 | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.7% |
| 10/26/2023 | -2.6% | 1.4% | 5.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 12 | 13 |
| # Negative | 14 | 11 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 0.7% | 1.9% | 5.2% |
| Median Negative | -1.6% | -3.2% | -6.6% |
| Max Positive | 7.6% | 5.4% | 10.2% |
| Max Negative | -10.5% | -10.5% | -16.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10282025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10292024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7302024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2132024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2132023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10252022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7262022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4212022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2162022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |