FirstEnergy (FE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $45.13 | Market Cap: $26.0 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Electric Utilities
FirstEnergy (FE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $45.13Market Cap: $26.0 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Electric Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Electrification of Everything, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Electrification of Everything, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. FirstEnergy reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 22, 2025, surpassing both GAAP and Core Earnings per share (non-GAAP) estimates, with Core Earnings increasing 9% compared to the same period in 2024.
2. The company narrowed its full-year 2025 Core Earnings guidance to the upper half of its original range and significantly increased its planned capital investments for 2025 to $5.5 billion, while also affirming a 6-8% compounded annual Core Earnings growth rate through 2029 supported by a $28 billion capital plan.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FE Return | -34% | 42% | 5% | -9% | 13% | 20% | 21% |
| Peers Return | -11% | 15% | 5% | -2% | 26% | 9% | 45% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FE Win Rate | 50% | 75% | 67% | 42% | 67% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 52% | 55% | 50% | 63% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FE Max Drawdown | -43% | -4% | -12% | -20% | -2% | -4% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -12% | -14% | -13% | -7% | -9% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EXC, ETR, PPL, EIX, PNW. See FE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -48.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 92.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 88 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 132.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to EXC, ETR, PPL, EIX, PNW
In The Past
FirstEnergy's stock fell -32.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -32.7% loss requires a 48.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.3% | 9.3% | -3.2% |
| 10312020 | FE | FirstEnergy | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 30.9% | 35.8% | -9.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.3% | 9.3% | -3.2% |
| 10312020 | FE | FirstEnergy | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 30.9% | 35.8% | -9.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for FirstEnergy
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Growth & Margins
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Valuation
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Distribution | 19,235 | ||||
| Integrated | 17,466 | ||||
| Stand-Alone Transmission | 12,142 | ||||
| Corporate/ Other | 2,372 | 524 | 1,383 | 1,017 | 1,015 |
| Reconciling Adjustments | -2,448 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 |
| Regulated Distribution | 31,749 | 30,812 | 30,855 | 29,642 | |
| Regulated Transmission | 13,835 | 13,237 | 12,592 | 11,611 | |
| Total | 48,767 | 46,108 | 45,432 | 44,464 | 42,301 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10282025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10292024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7302024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2132024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2132023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10252022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7262022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4212022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2162022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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