Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.8%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.7%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 99%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, CFO LTM is 3.6 Bil
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%
  Key risks
FE key risks include [1] substantial legal, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Electrification of Everything, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.8%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.7%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, CFO LTM is 3.6 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Electrification of Everything, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 99%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5%
7 Key risks
FE key risks include [1] substantial legal, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. FirstEnergy reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results, with operating earnings of $0.83 per share, surpassing analysts' expectations of $0.77 per share. This 9.2% beat, coupled with an 11.2% increase in revenue to $4.14 billion, indicated robust financial performance.

2. The company increased its 2025 capital expenditure plan by 10% to $5.5 billion and reaffirmed its long-term annual operating earnings growth target of 6-8% for the 2025-2029 period. This significant commitment to investment and consistent growth outlook likely instilled investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FE Return-34%42%5%-9%13%15%16%
Peers Return-3%19%2%-9%17%17%48%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FE Win Rate50%75%67%42%67%67% 
Peers Win Rate55%55%62%53%62%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FE Max Drawdown-43%-4%-12%-20%-2%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-8%-13%-20%-6%-3% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AEP, EXC, D, DUK, SO. See FE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-32.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven48.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven92.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-16.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven88 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-57.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven132.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to EXC, ETR, PPL, EIX, PNW


In The Past

FirstEnergy's stock fell -32.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -32.7% loss requires a 48.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About FirstEnergy (FE)

Better Bets than FirstEnergy (FE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%
FE_10312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312020FEFirstEnergyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
30.9%35.8%-9.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%
FE_10312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312020FEFirstEnergyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
30.9%35.8%-9.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for FirstEnergy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FEAEPEXCDDUKSOMedian
NameFirstEne.American.Exelon Dominion.Duke Ene.Southern  
Mkt Price44.50114.7144.2260.11117.4387.0373.57
Mkt Cap25.761.444.751.391.495.956.3
Rev LTM14,46921,25724,31715,22731,65928,91222,787
Op Inc LTM2,7445,3005,0604,5288,5837,4265,180
FCF LTM-1,225-1,736-1,595-8,071-921-1,823-1,665
FCF 3Y Avg-1,411-1,932-2,186-5,691-2,122-1,031-2,027
CFO LTM3,6086,8586,4364,60912,0499,3786,647
CFO 3Y Avg2,5635,8345,3375,67710,5398,6105,755

Growth & Margins

FEAEPEXCDDUKSOMedian
NameFirstEne.American.Exelon Dominion.Duke Ene.Southern  
Rev Chg LTM7.6%8.4%6.1%5.3%4.8%9.4%6.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.6%4.2%8.9%7.5%5.2%1.3%5.9%
Rev Chg Q11.2%10.9%9.0%9.3%4.8%7.5%9.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.0%2.9%2.3%2.2%1.2%1.9%2.2%
Op Mgn LTM19.0%24.9%20.8%29.7%27.1%25.7%25.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg17.2%21.6%19.0%27.0%25.1%23.7%22.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%0.1%0.8%1.2%0.3%0.3%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM24.9%32.3%26.5%30.3%38.1%32.4%31.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg18.6%29.0%23.3%38.4%34.6%31.6%30.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-8.5%-8.2%-6.6%-53.0%-2.9%-6.3%-7.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-10.5%-9.7%-9.9%-38.2%-7.1%-3.7%-9.8%

Valuation

FEAEPEXCDDUKSOMedian
NameFirstEne.American.Exelon Dominion.Duke Ene.Southern  
Mkt Cap25.761.444.751.391.495.956.3
P/S1.82.81.93.43.03.62.9
P/EBIT9.010.68.610.110.412.510.3
P/E19.916.416.122.819.323.419.6
P/CFO7.38.87.111.38.011.18.4
Total Yield8.8%9.4%9.7%8.7%6.0%7.1%8.8%
Dividend Yield3.8%3.3%3.5%4.3%0.8%2.9%3.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.3%-4.3%-5.5%-12.2%-2.9%-1.3%-4.9%
D/E1.00.81.10.90.90.70.9
Net D/E1.00.81.10.90.90.70.9

Returns

FEAEPEXCDDUKSOMedian
NameFirstEne.American.Exelon Dominion.Duke Ene.Southern  
1M Rtn-4.4%-7.3%-5.1%-1.2%-6.2%-3.9%-4.8%
3M Rtn3.4%7.5%3.2%2.0%-2.2%-4.2%2.6%
6M Rtn14.2%15.2%6.2%13.5%4.3%-0.2%9.9%
12M Rtn16.4%29.1%25.5%17.5%12.8%8.0%16.9%
3Y Rtn23.3%36.0%18.0%19.1%31.8%41.3%27.5%
1M Excs Rtn-5.2%-8.0%-5.8%-1.9%-6.9%-4.7%-5.5%
3M Excs Rtn2.1%7.3%2.1%0.4%-3.0%-5.4%1.3%
6M Excs Rtn1.9%2.8%-6.2%1.1%-8.1%-12.6%-2.5%
12M Excs Rtn4.1%17.0%13.2%5.5%0.7%-3.0%4.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-49.0%-38.0%-52.1%-52.0%-39.2%-30.3%-44.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Distribution19,235    
Integrated17,466    
Stand-Alone Transmission12,142    
Corporate/ Other2,3725241,3831,0171,015
Reconciling Adjustments-2,44800033
Regulated Distribution 31,74930,81230,85529,642
Regulated Transmission 13,83513,23712,59211,611
Total48,76746,10845,43244,46442,301


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity26,297,871
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-6.0%
Average Daily Volume5,198,231
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.06
Basic Shares Quantity577,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/22/2025-1.6%-3.2%-0.6%
7/30/20252.2%3.9%5.3%
2/26/2025-10.5%-10.5%-8.4%
10/29/2024-1.5%-2.2%0.5%
7/30/20240.3%0.8%5.8%
4/25/2024-1.1%1.3%2.1%
2/8/20244.2%4.2%7.7%
10/26/2023-2.6%1.4%5.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91213
# Negative141110
Median Positive0.7%1.9%5.2%
Median Negative-1.6%-3.2%-6.6%
Max Positive7.6%5.4%10.2%
Max Negative-10.5%-10.5%-16.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023213202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022213202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221025202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022726202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022421202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021216202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Lisowski JasonVP, Controller & CAO5272025Sell41.9712,000503,6527,685Form
1K. Jon TaylorSVP, CFO and Strategy5092025Sell43.0312,000516,3604,299,515Form