Pinnacle West Capital (PNW)
Market Price (4/25/2026): $102.32 | Market Cap: $12.3 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Multi-Utilities
Pinnacle West Capital (PNW)
Market Price (4/25/2026): $102.32Market Cap: $12.3 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Multi-Utilities
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.5%, Dividend Yield is 3.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.5% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 16% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Smart Metering, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.1%, Dist 3Y High is -2.1% Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -27% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 116% Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15% Key risksPNW key risks include [1] unpredictable regulatory outcomes from its publicly elected Arizona Corporation Commission and [2] significant grid strain and infrastructure threats from Arizona-specific climate volatility, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.5%, Dividend Yield is 3.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.5% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 16% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Smart Metering, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.1%, Dist 3Y High is -2.1% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -27% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 116% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15% |
| Key risksPNW key risks include [1] unpredictable regulatory outcomes from its publicly elected Arizona Corporation Commission and [2] significant grid strain and infrastructure threats from Arizona-specific climate volatility, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) reported a strong beat on its Q4 2025 earnings, with an EPS of $0.13, significantly exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.05 by $0.08, representing a 160.00% positive surprise. The full-year 2025 results were also positively impacted by increased customer usage and customer growth.
2. The company demonstrated robust customer and sales growth in its Arizona service territory. APS, Pinnacle West's primary subsidiary, experienced 2.4% customer growth in 2025 and projects an average annual growth of 1.5% to 2.5% through 2030. Additionally, weather-normalized retail electricity sales grew by 5.0% in 2025, with expectations for future sales to increase by 5% to 7% annually over the next five years, driven by significant commercial and industrial demand.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 16.5% change in PNW stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 12.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 87.84 | 102.30 | 16.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,307 | 5,340 | 0.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.2% | 11.5% | 3.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 17.7 | 19.9 | 12.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 120 | 120 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 16.5% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PNW | 16.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.2% | -7.6% |
| Sector (XLU) | 8.2% | 74.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 16.4% change in PNW stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 87.88 | 102.30 | 16.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,255 | 5,340 | 1.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.0% | 11.5% | 5.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 18.2 | 19.9 | 9.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 120 | 120 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 16.4% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PNW | 16.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.0% | -11.7% |
| Sector (XLU) | 6.7% | 65.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 11.7% change in PNW stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 15.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 91.55 | 102.30 | 11.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,125 | 5,340 | 4.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.9% | 11.5% | -2.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 17.2 | 19.9 | 15.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 114 | 120 | -4.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 11.7% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PNW | 11.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.1% | 16.9% |
| Sector (XLU) | 19.6% | 72.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 46.8% change in PNW stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 23.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 69.70 | 102.30 | 46.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,324 | 5,340 | 23.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.2% | 11.5% | 3.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 16.3 | 19.9 | 22.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 113 | 120 | -5.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 46.8% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PNW | 46.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 79.8% | 15.5% |
| Sector (XLU) | 48.5% | 73.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PNW Return | -8% | 13% | -1% | 23% | 9% | 18% | 63% |
| Peers Return | 15% | 3% | -2% | 17% | 8% | 14% | 67% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 4% | 89% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PNW Win Rate | 42% | 58% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 55% | 57% | 58% | 67% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PNW Max Drawdown | -18% | -12% | -5% | -6% | -4% | -1% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -10% | -12% | -14% | -12% | -15% | -1% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SRE, EIX, XEL, EVRG, IDA. See PNW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/24/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PNW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 660 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,208 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -19.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 185 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -55.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 124.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,194 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to SRE, EIX, XEL, EVRG, IDA
In The Past
Pinnacle West Capital's stock fell -32.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/10/2021. A -32.2% loss requires a 47.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Pinnacle West Capital (PNW)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Pinnacle West Capital is essentially the Verizon or AT&T of electricity for Arizona residents.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Electricity Generation: Producing electricity using various fuel sources such as coal, nuclear, gas, oil, and solar.
- Electricity Transmission: Operating infrastructure to transport high-voltage electricity from generation sources to distribution networks.
- Electricity Distribution: Managing the network of lines and cables that deliver electricity from substations to end-use customers.
- Retail Electric Sales: Providing generated and transmitted electricity directly to approximately 1.3 million residential and commercial customers.
- Wholesale Electric Sales: Selling bulk electricity to other utilities or large industrial consumers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Pinnacle West Capital (PNW), through its subsidiary Arizona Public Service Company (APS), operates as a regulated electric utility primarily serving a broad base of electricity consumers in Arizona. The company sells electricity directly to a large number of end-users rather than to a few major corporate customers.
The company serves the following categories of customers:
- Residential Customers: Individual households, apartment complexes, and other domestic users for their electricity needs.
- Commercial Customers: Various businesses, including offices, retail establishments, restaurants, and other small to medium-sized enterprises.
- Industrial Customers: Large-scale operations such as manufacturing plants, mining facilities, data centers, and other industrial enterprises that require significant amounts of electricity.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Theodore N. Geisler Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer
Theodore N. Geisler assumed the roles of Chairman of the Board, President, and Chief Executive Officer of Pinnacle West Capital Corporation and Arizona Public Service (APS) effective April 1, 2025. He joined APS in 2001 and has held executive team positions since 2018, including nearly three years as President of APS (May 2022–April 2025) and Chief Financial Officer (2020–2022). His diverse leadership experience includes roles as Chief Information Officer, General Manager of Transmission and Distribution Operations, and Director of Corporate Strategy. Geisler is a third-generation Arizonan and is actively involved in the community, serving as Chairman of the Board of the Arizona Chamber of Commerce and on the boards of the Greater Phoenix Economic Council and Greater Phoenix Leadership. He holds a Bachelor of Science degree from Colorado State University and an MBA from Arizona State University, and is a graduate of the Nuclear Reactor Technology Course at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and the Strategic Financial Leadership Program at Stanford University’s Graduate School of Business.
Andrew Cooper Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Andrew Cooper is the Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for Pinnacle West Capital Corporation and its primary subsidiary, Arizona Public Service Company (APS). He is responsible for the organization's accounting, corporate treasury, financial planning and budgeting, internal audit, investor relations, pension and trust investments, and tax services. Before joining Pinnacle West in 2020, Cooper served as director of corporate finance at Consolidated Edison Company of New York. He began his career as an investment banker, with more than a decade at Barclays, where he served clients in the power and utilities sector. Cooper earned a Bachelor of Arts degree in government with a citation in Spanish from Harvard College and a law degree from Harvard Law School, and is admitted to the New York Bar. He is also a graduate of the Nuclear Reactor Technology Course at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
Shirley A. Baum Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary
Shirley A. Baum was promoted to Senior Vice President and General Counsel on February 19, 2025. She also serves as Corporate Secretary for Pinnacle West Capital Corporation and Arizona Public Service Company.
Elizabeth “Beth” Blankenship Vice President, Controller and Chief Accounting Officer
Elizabeth “Beth” Blankenship is the Vice President, Controller, and Chief Accounting Officer for Pinnacle West Capital Corporation and Arizona Public Service Company.
Chris Bauer Vice President and Treasurer
Chris Bauer serves as the Vice President and Treasurer for Pinnacle West Capital Corporation and Arizona Public Service Company.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Risks to Pinnacle West Capital (PNW)
- Regulatory Risks: As a regulated electric utility in Arizona, Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW), through its subsidiary Arizona Public Service Company (APS), faces significant regulatory risks. These include uncertainties related to changes in regulatory policies by the Arizona Corporation Commission (ACC), the potential for adverse judicial decisions, and "regulatory lag" in rate cases, which can delay the company's ability to recover costs and earn a reasonable return on its investments. Historical and ongoing tensions with the ACC regarding rate increases and clean energy standards further underscore this risk, with past instances of prudency disallowances and penalties. There have also been concerns raised about the stability of the regulatory environment and potential challenges to APS's monopoly status.
- High Capital Intensity and Cost Recovery Amidst Energy Transition and Demand Growth: The utility industry requires substantial ongoing investments in infrastructure. PNW has significant capital requirements for maintaining and upgrading its generation, transmission, and distribution facilities, including substantial investments in clean energy sources and grid modernization to meet environmental standards and increasing demand. A key risk is the ability to timely recover these high capital expenditures through approved rate mechanisms, particularly in the face of regulatory lag and pushback on rate hikes. Additionally, the rapid growth of energy-intensive data centers in Arizona is driving a sharp rise in peak electricity demand, posing challenges regarding who will bear the costs of necessary infrastructure expansion to serve these large industrial loads. The transition from traditional fossil fuels to renewable energy also necessitates investments in backup generating capacity, which can further strain financial resources and potentially lead to higher costs for ratepayers.
- Climate-Related and Operational Risks: Pinnacle West operates in Arizona, a state increasingly susceptible to climate threats such as extreme heat, drought, and wildfires. Extreme heat drives up electricity demand, straining the grid and generation equipment, while increased wildfire risk poses significant financial liability and threats to service reliability. The company also faces inherent operational risks, including the constant threat of cybersecurity attacks and data breaches that could disrupt operations and compromise customer data. Physical assets are vulnerable to catastrophic events like severe storms, pandemics, or other unforeseen occurrences.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Distributed Generation and Storage: The increasing adoption of customer-sited renewable energy generation, primarily rooftop solar, combined with rapidly decreasing costs of battery storage, poses a clear threat. As customers generate and store more of their own electricity, their reliance on the utility's traditional centralized generation and grid services diminishes. This trend can reduce electricity sales volume, impact the utility's ability to recover fixed infrastructure costs, and potentially lead to "grid defection" for some customers, challenging the utility's traditional revenue model and its role as the primary energy provider.
Accelerated Decarbonization and Transition to Renewables: Growing environmental concerns, regulatory pressure, and rapidly falling costs of utility-scale renewable energy (solar, wind) and advanced energy storage solutions represent a threat to utilities with significant investments in traditional fossil fuel generation (coal, natural gas) or nuclear power. This can lead to the premature retirement of existing assets, creating stranded asset risk and requiring substantial capital investment to transition to a cleaner energy portfolio, which may not always be easily recoverable through regulated rates, especially if the pace of change outstrips regulatory adaptation.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW), through its subsidiary Arizona Public Service Company (APS), primarily provides retail and wholesale electric services in the state of Arizona. The addressable market for their main product, electricity services, can be estimated based on the total retail electricity sales within Arizona.
The addressable market size for electricity services in Arizona is approximately $11.57 billion annually. This figure is derived from the total retail sales of electricity in Arizona, which were 90,843,288 megawatthours (MWh) in 2024, and the average retail price of electricity in Arizona, which was 12.74 cents per kilowatt-hour (kWh) in the same year.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) over the next 2-3 years:- Customer Growth: Arizona, Pinnacle West Capital's primary service territory, is experiencing significant population and economic expansion, leading to a consistent increase in its customer base. Arizona Public Service (APS), a subsidiary of Pinnacle West, reported a 2.4% retail customer growth in 2025 and anticipates average annual growth in the range of 1.5% to 2.5% through 2027. This sustained influx of new residents and businesses directly contributes to higher electricity sales.
- Increased Energy Demand from Commercial and Industrial Customers: Beyond general customer growth, there is a substantial increase in energy consumption, particularly from commercial and industrial (C&I) customers. This surge is driven by new large manufacturing facilities, such as semiconductor plants (e.g., TSMC's expanded investments in Arizona), and the proliferation of energy-intensive data centers. These extra high-load factor customers are expected to contribute 3% to 5% of the company's weather-normalized sales growth in 2026, with long-term sales growth guidance of 5% to 7% through 2030.
- Rate Cases and Price Adjustments: Pinnacle West (through APS) regularly undertakes rate cases to adjust its pricing. A significant rate case is in progress and is anticipated to conclude in late 2026. This is expected to materially increase revenues by resetting rates to account for inflation, capital investments, and other operational factors. These rate adjustments are crucial for the company to recover costs and earn a regulated return on its investments.
- Capital Investments and Infrastructure Expansion: The company is making substantial capital investments to expand and modernize its generation, transmission, and distribution infrastructure. Pinnacle West has a capital investment plan totaling approximately $2.6 billion for 2026, and anticipates rate base growth of 7% to 9% through 2028. These investments are necessary to meet the growing energy demand and enhance reliability. As a regulated utility, a larger rate base allows the company to earn a return on these assets, thereby driving future revenue growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Pinnacle West Capital had net common equity repurchases of approximately $3 million in 2022 and $4 million in 2023.
Share Issuance
- Net common equity issued amounted to $0.341 billion in 2024 and $0.338 billion for the twelve months ending September 30, 2025.
- The company plans to fund its 2026-2028 capital program with $1.0-$1.2 billion in parent company equity, having already priced approximately 75% of its 2026 equity needs, equating to $485 million of the planned $650 million.
- Common shares outstanding increased by 0.2% in 2022, 0.34% in 2023, 2.13% in 2024, and 4.13% for the twelve months ending September 30, 2025.
Outbound Investments
- Pinnacle West's subsidiary, El Dorado, committed $25 million to the Energy Impact Partners fund, with approximately $20 million funded as of December 31, 2025.
- El Dorado also committed $25 million to AZ-VC, a fund primarily focused on privately-held early-stage and emerging growth technology companies in Arizona, with approximately $16 million funded by December 31, 2025.
- Other investments include a minority ownership position in the 250 MW Nobles 2 wind farm and an equity investment in SAI, a private corporation manufacturing electrical switchgear equipment for data centers.
Capital Expenditures
- Pinnacle West has outlined a capital plan totaling approximately $10.35 billion for 2025-2028, with annual spending projected to rise from $2.40 billion in 2025 to $2.70 billion by 2028.
- The capital investment plan for 2026 is approximately $2.6 billion.
- These capital expenditures are primarily focused on new gas generation, expanded transmission, distribution upgrades, and additional Palo Verde nuclear investments to support rising demand, maintain grid reliability, and enhance grid resiliency.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to PNW.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03312026 | SRE | Sempra | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 12122025 | CTRI | Centuri | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.9% | 9.9% | -5.5% |
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.2% | 1.2% | -4.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 87.22 |
| Mkt Cap | 22.6 |
| Rev LTM | 9,832 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,209 |
| FCF LTM | -786 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -925 |
| CFO LTM | 3,064 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,343 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 6.7% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 8.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 21.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 19.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 33.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 31.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -23.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -18.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 22.6 |
| P/S | 3.2 |
| P/Op Inc | 14.3 |
| P/EBIT | 13.8 |
| P/E | 22.6 |
| P/CFO | 10.4 |
| Total Yield | 6.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -7.2% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.8 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 10.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 7.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 24.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 35.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -7.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 6.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -0.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -8.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -35.5% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $102.30 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 12.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/19/1984 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -2.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $101.00 | $91.85 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 1.3% | 11.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 17.3% | 16.1% |
| Downside Capture | -0.22 | -0.07 |
| Upside Capture | 18.31 | 5.18 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -11.4% | -4.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.14 | -0.25 | -0.10 | -0.16 | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| Up Beta | 0.05 | -0.62 | -0.51 | -0.27 | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| Down Beta | 0.17 | 0.26 | 0.32 | 0.08 | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| Up Capture | -4% | -22% | 6% | -5% | 7% | 5% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 25 | 36 | 68 | 131 | 401 |
| Down Capture | 16% | -59% | -56% | -53% | 3% | 17% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 17 | 27 | 58 | 121 | 348 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PNW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PNW | 12.8% | 16.0% | 0.57 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLU) | 20.5% | 13.9% | 1.10 | 67.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 34.0% | 12.6% | 2.05 | -4.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 42.9% | 27.2% | 1.29 | 16.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 46.4% | 18.0% | 1.97 | -7.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.2% | 13.3% | 0.74 | 51.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -16.6% | 42.1% | -0.32 | -5.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PNW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PNW | 8.7% | 20.4% | 0.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLU) | 9.8% | 17.2% | 0.43 | 75.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.7% | 17.1% | 0.58 | 28.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.2% | 17.8% | 0.97 | 16.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 14.5% | 19.1% | 0.62 | 5.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.7% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 54.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.0% | 56.3% | 0.34 | 7.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PNW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PNW | 7.4% | 22.6% | 0.31 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLU) | 9.9% | 19.2% | 0.45 | 82.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 43.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.9% | 15.9% | 0.73 | 15.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.1% | 17.8% | 0.47 | 11.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 65.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.3% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 9.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/25/2026 | -0.3% | 1.9% | -2.3% |
| 11/3/2025 | 2.1% | 0.4% | 1.2% |
| 8/6/2025 | 0.2% | 0.1% | -3.3% |
| 2/25/2025 | 1.1% | 2.2% | -0.7% |
| 11/6/2024 | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% |
| 8/1/2024 | 4.0% | 0.7% | 2.9% |
| 2/27/2024 | -0.4% | -0.5% | 3.9% |
| 11/2/2023 | -0.5% | -6.1% | -0.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 16 | 12 |
| # Negative | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.7% |
| Median Negative | -0.5% | -4.0% | -1.9% |
| Max Positive | 6.8% | 8.6% | 16.1% |
| Max Negative | -4.0% | -6.1% | -8.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/25/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/27/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/04/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/25/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 EPS | 4.55 | 4.65 | 4.75 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 4.65 for 2026 | |
| 2030 Customer Growth | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | ||||
| 2030 Sales Growth | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | ||||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/3/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 EPS | 4.9 | 5 | 5.1 | 11.1% | 50.0% | Raised | Guidance: 4.5 for 2025 |
| 2026 EPS | 4.55 | 4.65 | 4.75 | ||||
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.