Tearsheet

Pinnacle West Capital (PNW)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $88.77 | Market Cap: $10.6 Bil
Sector: Utilities | Industry: Multi-Utilities

Pinnacle West Capital (PNW)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $88.77
Market Cap: $10.6 Bil
Sector: Utilities
Industry: Multi-Utilities

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Smart Metering, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Smart Metering, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PNW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points that likely contributed to Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) stock's approximate 0.2% movement from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Mizuho Downgrade in September.

On September 9, 2025, Mizuho downgraded Pinnacle West Capital's stock rating from "Buy" to "Hold" and simultaneously lowered its price target from $102 to $90. This analyst action likely exerted downward pressure on the stock during the period. 2. Varied Analyst Rating Updates Throughout October.

Throughout October 2025, several analyst firms updated their stances on PNW. On October 28, 2025, Wells Fargo initiated a "Hold" rating with a $92 price target, and RBC Capital also initiated a "Hold" with a $99 price target. Other firms like Keybanc and Barclays maintained their "Buy" and "Hold" ratings, respectively, with slight adjustments to their price targets. These mixed and minor adjustments in ratings and price targets contributed to ongoing, small fluctuations rather than a strong directional move.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PNW Return-8%-8%13%-1%23%9%28%
Peers Return0%22%1%-7%23%18%67%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PNW Win Rate58%42%58%50%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%58%55%58%62%64% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PNW Max Drawdown-29%-18%-12%-5%-6%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-8%-15%-20%-7%-4% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DUK, CNP, CMS, NI, NEE. See PNW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPNWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-32.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven660 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-19.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven24.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven185 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-55.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven124.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1194 days1480 days

Compare to DUK, CNP, CMS, NI, NEE


In The Past

Pinnacle West Capital's stock fell -32.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/10/2021. A -32.2% loss requires a 47.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Pinnacle West Capital (PNW)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PNW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.7%-0.7%-0.7%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.5%2.5%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.3%9.3%-3.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.7%-0.7%-0.7%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.5%2.5%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.3%9.3%-3.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Pinnacle West Capital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PNWDUKCNPCMSNINEEMedian
NamePinnacle.Duke Ene.CenterPo.CMS Ener.NiSource NextEra . 
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Growth & Margins

PNWDUKCNPCMSNINEEMedian
NamePinnacle.Duke Ene.CenterPo.CMS Ener.NiSource NextEra . 
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Valuation

PNWDUKCNPCMSNINEEMedian
NamePinnacle.Duke Ene.CenterPo.CMS Ener.NiSource NextEra . 
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Returns

PNWDUKCNPCMSNINEEMedian
NamePinnacle.Duke Ene.CenterPo.CMS Ener.NiSource NextEra . 
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Reulated electricity segment4,696    
Other Sources 11171316
Retail Electric Service 3,8143,5003,4153,271
Transmission Services for Others 117996662
Wholesale Energy Sales 38318893122
Total4,6964,3243,8043,5873,471


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,292,798
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120253.9%
Average Daily Volume1,693,748
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.12
Basic Shares Quantity119,623,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251103202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Tetlow Jacob 8122025Sell92.376,496600,0365,173Form
1Mountain Paul JVP, Finance and Planning5062025Sell93.9191185,552376,861Form
2Tetlow Jacob 3042025Sell93.401,594148,88068,556Form