Tearsheet

Pinnacle West Capital (PNW)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $88.99 | Market Cap: $10.6 Bil
Sector: Utilities | Industry: Multi-Utilities

Pinnacle West Capital (PNW)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $88.99
Market Cap: $10.6 Bil
Sector: Utilities
Industry: Multi-Utilities

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.4%, Dividend Yield is 3.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.3%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.2%, Dist 3Y High is -4.2%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 133%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -40%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 17%
  Key risks
PNW key risks include [1] unpredictable regulatory outcomes from its publicly elected Arizona Corporation Commission and [2] significant grid strain and infrastructure threats from Arizona-specific climate volatility, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Smart Metering, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.4%, Dividend Yield is 3.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 17%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Smart Metering, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.2%, Dist 3Y High is -4.2%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -40%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 133%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%
8 Key risks
PNW key risks include [1] unpredictable regulatory outcomes from its publicly elected Arizona Corporation Commission and [2] significant grid strain and infrastructure threats from Arizona-specific climate volatility, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PNW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) stock moved from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Strong Third-Quarter 2025 Earnings and Raised Guidance. Pinnacle West Capital reported third-quarter 2025 earnings that exceeded analyst expectations, with an EPS of $3.39 against a forecast of $3.15. The company also raised its full-year 2025 EPS guidance, signaling a more optimistic financial outlook for the near term.

2. Robust Customer and Sales Growth. The company highlighted increased customer usage and robust customer growth, particularly in Arizona, which contributed to stronger sales and higher transmission service revenues. This growth, alongside weather-related impacts, underpinned the revised 2025 earnings guidance and 2026 outlook.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PNW Return-8%-8%13%-1%23%8%27%
Peers Return-7%15%3%-2%17%7%36%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PNW Win Rate58%42%58%50%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate55%53%55%57%58%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PNW Max Drawdown-29%-18%-12%-5%-6%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-10%-12%-14%-12%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SRE, EIX, XEL, EVRG, IDA. See PNW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPNWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-32.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven660 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-19.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven24.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven185 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-55.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven124.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,194 days1,480 days

Compare to DUK, CNP, CMS, NI, NEE


In The Past

Pinnacle West Capital's stock fell -32.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/10/2021. A -32.2% loss requires a 47.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Pinnacle West Capital (PNW)

Better Bets than Pinnacle West Capital (PNW)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PNW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.9%4.9%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.6%5.6%-3.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.9%4.9%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.6%5.6%-3.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Pinnacle West Capital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PNWSREEIXXELEVRGIDAMedian
NamePinnacle.Sempra Edison I.Xcel Ene.Evergy Idacorp  
Mkt Price88.9186.7859.5473.1473.59126.4680.19
Mkt Cap10.656.722.943.317.06.919.9
Rev LTM5,30713,71118,08814,2285,8791,8069,795
Op Inc LTM1,0313,0865,2272,6371,5223422,079
FCF LTM-719-6,210-722-5,149-340-410-720
FCF 3Y Avg-709-4,947-1,201-2,465-385-388-955
CFO LTM1,7684,8075,3984,5382,1076003,322
CFO 3Y Avg1,4524,0524,5824,8692,0004693,026

Growth & Margins

PNWSREEIXXELEVRGIDAMedian
NamePinnacle.Sempra Edison I.Xcel Ene.Evergy Idacorp  
Rev Chg LTM5.7%6.1%4.4%3.4%1.7%-1.9%3.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.9%-1.3%3.1%-0.8%1.0%5.3%2.0%
Rev Chg Q2.9%13.5%10.6%7.4%-0.1%-0.8%5.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.0%2.8%3.1%1.9%-0.0%-0.2%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM19.4%22.5%28.9%18.5%25.9%18.9%21.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg18.8%21.0%20.5%18.2%24.1%18.4%19.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.5%-0.3%2.1%0.5%0.5%0.7%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM33.3%35.1%29.8%31.9%35.8%33.3%33.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg28.7%27.8%26.3%34.1%34.7%25.9%28.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-13.5%-45.3%-4.0%-36.2%-5.8%-22.7%-18.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-14.2%-35.6%-7.0%-17.4%-6.7%-21.4%-15.8%

Valuation

PNWSREEIXXELEVRGIDAMedian
NamePinnacle.Sempra Edison I.Xcel Ene.Evergy Idacorp  
Mkt Cap10.656.722.943.317.06.919.9
P/S2.04.31.23.43.04.03.2
P/EBIT9.617.83.817.211.715.413.6
P/E18.027.26.724.920.622.521.6
P/CFO6.112.23.910.58.311.99.4
Total Yield9.4%5.8%20.9%6.6%6.6%7.1%6.9%
Dividend Yield3.9%2.2%5.9%2.6%1.8%2.6%2.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-7.4%-9.4%-4.7%-5.7%-2.7%-6.8%-6.2%
D/E1.30.61.90.70.80.50.8
Net D/E1.30.61.80.70.80.50.8

Returns

PNWSREEIXXELEVRGIDAMedian
NamePinnacle.Sempra Edison I.Xcel Ene.Evergy Idacorp  
1M Rtn-0.3%-5.2%3.1%-10.0%-4.6%-1.1%-2.8%
3M Rtn4.3%6.5%8.8%1.5%3.5%1.6%3.9%
6M Rtn2.5%19.4%21.7%11.2%12.2%12.8%12.5%
12M Rtn7.5%3.1%-21.7%11.0%24.4%16.1%9.2%
3Y Rtn30.0%22.4%5.6%15.9%35.2%31.3%26.2%
1M Excs Rtn-1.0%-5.9%2.3%-10.8%-5.3%-1.8%-3.6%
3M Excs Rtn3.3%5.4%7.4%-0.0%2.8%0.0%3.1%
6M Excs Rtn-9.9%7.0%9.3%-1.2%-0.1%0.5%0.2%
12M Excs Rtn-5.4%-10.6%-34.1%-0.1%12.5%4.0%-2.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-40.2%-52.1%-66.5%-55.2%-35.9%-40.7%-46.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Reulated electricity segment4,696    
Other Sources 11171316
Retail Electric Service 3,8143,5003,4153,271
Transmission Services for Others 117996662
Wholesale Energy Sales 38318893122
Total4,6964,3243,8043,5873,471


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,136,007
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202515.9%
Average Daily Volume1,272,255
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.82
Basic Shares Quantity119,623,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/20251.1%-0.6%0.1%
8/6/20250.2%0.1%-3.3%
2/25/20251.1%2.2%-0.7%
11/6/20243.9%4.9%6.6%
8/1/20244.0%0.7%2.9%
2/27/2024-0.4%-0.5%3.9%
11/2/2023-0.5%-6.1%-0.6%
8/3/2023-4.0%-5.6%-6.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141412
# Negative779
Median Positive1.7%2.6%4.7%
Median Negative-1.0%-5.6%-3.3%
Max Positive6.8%8.6%16.1%
Max Negative-4.0%-7.4%-35.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251103202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Tetlow Jacob 8122025Sell92.376,496600,0365,173Form
1Mountain Paul JVP, Finance and Planning5062025Sell93.9191185,552376,861Form
2Tetlow Jacob 3042025Sell93.401,594148,88068,556Form