NiSource (NI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $42.15 | Market Cap: $19.9 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Multi-Utilities
NiSource (NI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $42.15Market Cap: $19.9 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Multi-Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, and Battery Storage & Grid Modernization. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, and Battery Storage & Grid Modernization. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. NiSource reported its third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.19, which slightly missed the consensus estimate of $0.20. However, the company's quarterly revenue of $1.27 billion exceeded analyst estimates of $983.25 million.
2. NiSource's NIPSCO affiliate announced a significant agreement on November 24, 2025, to supply power to a $15 billion Amazon data center campus in northern Indiana. This deal involves substantial capital investment in new generation and battery storage, and is projected to contribute incrementally to EPS from 2026 through 2033.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NI Return | -15% | 25% | 3% | 0% | 43% | 18% | 86% |
| Peers Return | 6% | 11% | 6% | -10% | 21% | 7% | 45% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NI Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 50% | 67% | 75% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 55% | 58% | 55% | 57% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NI Max Drawdown | -25% | -7% | -10% | -13% | -5% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -14% | -17% | -22% | -9% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PCG, AEE, NEE, SRE, D. See NI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 325 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -31.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 711 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -18.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 190 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -69.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 222.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1195 days | 1480 days |
Compare to PCG, AEE, NEE, SRE, D
In The Past
NiSource's stock fell -28.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/6/2022. A -28.6% loss requires a 40.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| How Low Can NiSource Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| Day 6 of Gains Streak for NiSource Stock with 7.6% Return (vs. 18% YTD) [9/24/2025] | Notification | ||
| NiSource vs Newmont: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| NiSource vs Chesapeake Utilities: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| How Does NiSource Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | |||
| Better Bet Than NI Stock: Pay Less Than NiSource To Get More From OKE, PR | |||
| Better Bet Than NI Stock: Pay Less Than NiSource To Get More From CPK | |||
| NiSource Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 46.0% in 2024 and 17.2% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average) | |||
| NiSource (NI) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| NiSource (NI) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| S&P 500 Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | October 6th, 2025 | ||
| NI Stock Up 7.6% after 6-Day Win Streak | September 25th, 2025 | ||
| S&P 500 Movers | Winners: TROW, WSM, WDC | Losers: EL, CRM, NI | September 4th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.3% | 9.3% | -3.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.3% | 9.3% | -3.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for NiSource
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Valuation
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Returns
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Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Indiana Public Service Company LLC (NIPSCO) Operations | 13,963 | ||||
| Columbia Operations | 13,664 | ||||
| Corporate and Other | 3,450 | 1,758 | 1,824 | 2,164 | 2,408 |
| Electric Operations | 7,993 | 7,179 | 6,443 | 6,028 | |
| Gas Distribution Operations | 16,986 | 15,154 | 13,433 | 14,224 | |
| Total | 31,077 | 26,737 | 24,157 | 22,040 | 22,660 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2122025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |