Spire (SR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $82.84 | Market Cap: $4.9 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Gas Utilities
Spire (SR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $82.84Market Cap: $4.9 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Gas Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 4.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.6% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -43% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 114% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.6% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 20% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Smart Metering, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 4.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.6% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 20% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Smart Metering, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -43% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 114% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.6% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, Spire (SR) experienced several positive developments that likely contributed to its stock movement.
1. Strong Fiscal 2025 Financial Results: Spire reported consolidated adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $4.44 for fiscal year 2025, marking a 7.5% increase compared to fiscal 2024. This performance was driven by factors such as new rates benefiting gas utility earnings, additional storage capacity and new contracts in midstream earnings, and increased marketing earnings.
2. Increased Common Stock Dividend: The company's board of directors approved a 5.1% increase in the quarterly common stock dividend to $0.825 per share. This marks the 23rd consecutive year that Spire has increased its dividend, reflecting solid performance and a commitment to shareholder returns.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SR Return | -20% | 6% | 10% | -5% | 14% | 29% | 29% |
| Peers Return | -24% | 74% | 17% | -7% | 17% | 21% | 105% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SR Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 67% | 42% | 58% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 65% | 52% | 48% | 60% | 66% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SR Max Drawdown | -36% | -6% | -4% | -18% | -9% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -53% | -3% | -8% | -21% | -8% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SU, MTDR, ATO, UGI, NFG. See SR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -30.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 549 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -41.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1856 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -25.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 412 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -46.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2042 days | 1480 days |
Compare to SU, MTDR, ATO, UGI, NFG
In The Past
Spire's stock fell -30.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/27/2022. A -30.6% loss requires a 44.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -0.9% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.4% | 7.4% | -3.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -0.9% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.4% | 7.4% | -3.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Spire
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 63.62 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.8 |
| Rev LTM | 4,224 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,200 |
| FCF LTM | 242 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 181 |
| CFO LTM | 1,660 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,634 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 27.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 35.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 37.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.8 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/EBIT | 8.6 |
| P/E | 16.9 |
| P/CFO | 6.3 |
| Total Yield | 10.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 8.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 11.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 20.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 40.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 7.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 2.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -3.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 5.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -37.0% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2052025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11202024 | 10-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2012024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11162023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2012023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11162022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2022022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11222021 | 10-K 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |