Eversource Energy (ES)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $67.55 | Market Cap: $25.1 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Electric Utilities
Eversource Energy (ES)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $67.55Market Cap: $25.1 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Electric Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.7%, Dividend Yield is 4.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.5% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -81% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 118% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.0% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, CFO LTM is 3.8 Bil | Key risksES key risks include [1] adverse regulatory actions, Show more. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Offshore Wind Development, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Offshore Wind Project Development, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.7%, Dividend Yield is 4.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.5% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, CFO LTM is 3.8 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Offshore Wind Development, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Offshore Wind Project Development, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -81% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 118% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.0% |
| Key risksES key risks include [1] adverse regulatory actions, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ES Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points highlighting the stock movement for Eversource Energy (ES) from August 31, 2025, to December 22, 2025:
1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat: Eversource Energy reported its third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings of $1.19 per share on November 4, 2025, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.12 by 6.3%. This marked a significant return to profitability compared to a loss in the third quarter of 2024.
2. Narrowed and Reaffirmed 2025 EPS Guidance: The company narrowed its full-year non-GAAP recurring earnings guidance for 2025 to a range of $4.72-$4.80 per share. This updated guidance, reaffirmed during the Q3 earnings, demonstrated management's confidence in its financial outlook.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ES Return | 4% | 8% | -5% | -23% | -2% | 24% | -1% |
| Peers Return | -3% | 23% | 5% | -6% | 16% | 10% | 50% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ES Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 58% | 55% | 50% | 58% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ES Max Drawdown | -26% | -10% | -19% | -36% | -14% | -4% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -9% | -13% | -19% | -7% | -7% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ED, PEG, EXC, UTL, NEE. See ES Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ES | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -44.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -36.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 58.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -19.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 157 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -42.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 75.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 844 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to CEG, DTE, AEE, CNP, CMS
In The Past
Eversource Energy's stock fell -44.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/18/2022. A -44.2% loss requires a 79.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ES. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.8% | -0.8% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.3% | 5.3% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.0% | 6.0% | -3.2% |
| 03312020 | ES | Eversource Energy | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 7.6% | 13.9% | -4.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.8% | -0.8% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.3% | 5.3% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.0% | 6.0% | -3.2% |
| 03312020 | ES | Eversource Energy | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 7.6% | 13.9% | -4.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Eversource Energy
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 73.35 |
| Mkt Cap | 37.6 |
| Rev LTM | 14,870 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,971 |
| FCF LTM | -122 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -627 |
| CFO LTM | 4,235 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,288 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 21.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 20.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 27.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -2.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -7.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 37.6 |
| P/S | 2.0 |
| P/EBIT | 9.3 |
| P/E | 18.0 |
| P/CFO | 7.2 |
| Total Yield | 8.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -4.3% |
| D/E | 0.9 |
| Net D/E | 0.9 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 1.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 13.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 9.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -12.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -0.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -64.9% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electric Distribution | 29,426 | 27,365 | 25,411 | 24,982 | 22,542 |
| Other | 26,338 | 26,365 | 22,675 | 22,089 | 18,844 |
| Electric Transmission | 14,806 | 13,370 | 12,378 | 11,695 | 10,904 |
| Natural Gas Distribution | 8,775 | 8,085 | 7,216 | 6,450 | 4,346 |
| Water Distribution | 2,945 | 2,784 | 2,551 | 2,375 | 2,352 |
| Eliminations | -26,678 | -24,738 | -21,739 | -21,492 | -17,863 |
| Total | 55,612 | 53,231 | 48,492 | 46,100 | 41,124 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/14/2025 | -0.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% |
| 7/31/2025 | -0.8% | -0.3% | -3.1% |
| 5/1/2025 | -0.4% | 6.1% | 11.2% |
| 2/11/2025 | -2.8% | 2.0% | -1.0% |
| 11/4/2024 | -2.1% | -3.6% | -2.5% |
| 7/31/2024 | 1.8% | 0.7% | 2.7% |
| 5/1/2024 | -1.4% | -0.9% | -2.7% |
| 1/24/2024 | 3.2% | 2.0% | 10.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| # Negative | 15 | 13 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.7% |
| Median Negative | -0.8% | -2.4% | -3.1% |
| Max Positive | 3.2% | 6.1% | 14.3% |
| Max Negative | -2.8% | -7.3% | -17.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5052025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2142024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2152023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2172022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |