American States Water (AWR)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $74.17 | Market Cap: $2.9 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Water Utilities
American States Water (AWR)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $74.17Market Cap: $2.9 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Water Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.2%, Dividend Yield is 2.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.0% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -50%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -87% | Key risksAWR key risks include [1] its heavy operational concentration in California, Show more. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 31% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 21% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.2%, Dividend Yield is 2.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.0% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 31% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 21% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -50%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -87% |
| Key risksAWR key risks include [1] its heavy operational concentration in California, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AWR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested period for American States Water (AWR) stock movement, from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, specific factual key points explaining a 0.1% stock movement within this future timeframe are not available. However, based on recent announcements and reports, here are some general factors that have influenced AWR's performance and are likely to continue to be relevant:
1. Regulatory Approvals and Rate Increases: American States Water's regulated water and electric utilities have seen increased diluted earnings per share due to the implementation of new rates. These rates support continued growth in capital investments. For instance, the company received final decisions from the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) in January 2025 for its regulated water and electric utilities' general rate cases, authorizing new water rates for 2025 to 2027 and new electric rates for 2023 to 2026.
2. Capital Investments and Infrastructure: The company continues to invest in its water and electric utility systems, with plans to spend between $170 million and $210 million on infrastructure investments in 2025. Such investments support long-term growth objectives and benefit customers. The regulated utilities received CPUC decisions in early 2025, authorizing nearly $650 million in capital investments.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AWR Return | -7% | 32% | -9% | -11% | -1% | -3% | -4% |
| Peers Return | 11% | 31% | -16% | -14% | -9% | 5% | -0% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AWR Win Rate | 33% | 75% | 50% | 42% | 42% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 63% | 45% | 47% | 45% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AWR Max Drawdown | -24% | -11% | -30% | -16% | -17% | -9% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -23% | -9% | -30% | -23% | -16% | -7% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AWK, WTRG, CWT, MSEX, YORW. See AWR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AWR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -30.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -30.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 43.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 534 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -15.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 148 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -39.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1494 days | 1480 days |
Compare to CWT, YORW, CDZI, GWRS, AWK
In The Past
American States Water's stock fell -30.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -30.9% loss requires a 44.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AWR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -3.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -3.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for American States Water
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 48.69 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.7 |
| Rev LTM | 820 |
| Op Inc LTM | 193 |
| FCF LTM | -106 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -110 |
| CFO LTM | 295 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 217 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 33.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 33.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 40.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 35.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -18.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -19.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.7 |
| P/S | 4.9 |
| P/EBIT | 13.4 |
| P/E | 21.8 |
| P/CFO | 12.6 |
| Total Yield | 7.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -3.9% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 3.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -3.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -3.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -17.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -15.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -14.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -88.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water | 433 | 341 | 347 | 331 | 320 |
| Contracted Services | 120 | 111 | 113 | 121 | 114 |
| Electric | 42 | 40 | 38 | 37 | 40 |
| American States Water Company (AWR) Parent | 0 | 0 | |||
| Total | 596 | 492 | 499 | 488 | 474 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water | 159 | 92 | 108 | 98 | 94 |
| Contracted Services | 26 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 22 |
| Electric | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| American States Water Company (AWR) Parent | 0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 |
| Total | 197 | 127 | 141 | 130 | 127 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water | 1,916 | 1,617 | 1,500 | 1,400 | 1,322 |
| American States Water Company (AWR) Parent | 923 | 0 | |||
| Electric | 176 | 120 | 107 | 89 | 73 |
| Contracted Services | 150 | 17 | 20 | 22 | 21 |
| Eliminations | -919 | ||||
| Other assets | 281 | 275 | 280 | 226 | |
| Total | 2,246 | 2,034 | 1,901 | 1,792 | 1,641 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | 1.2% | 2.2% | -2.4% |
| 8/6/2025 | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| 5/7/2025 | 0.9% | -5.5% | -3.1% |
| 2/19/2025 | 1.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| 11/6/2024 | -1.2% | -0.3% | -3.6% |
| 8/6/2024 | 0.3% | -1.5% | -0.9% |
| 5/7/2024 | 3.7% | 6.0% | -0.7% |
| 2/21/2024 | -3.1% | -6.9% | -6.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 9 | 8 |
| # Negative | 10 | 14 | 15 |
| Median Positive | 1.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% |
| Median Negative | -2.0% | -1.3% | -2.4% |
| Max Positive | 3.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% |
| Max Negative | -3.1% | -9.9% | -10.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8012022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5022022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2222022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |