American States Water (AWR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $72.78 | Market Cap: $2.8 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Water Utilities
American States Water (AWR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $72.78Market Cap: $2.8 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Water Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.2%, Dividend Yield is 2.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.0% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -54%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 21% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.2%, Dividend Yield is 2.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.0% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 21% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -54%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AWR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Shift to "Risk-On" Investor Sentiment
Following the U.S. presidential election, a "risk-on" investor sentiment emerged, causing the S&P 500 Utilities index to underperform the broader market and decline by over 1% as of December 2025, which likely contributed to downward pressure on American States Water shares.
2. Reduced Attractiveness of Utility Dividend Yields
In November 2025, the utility sector's dividend yield of 2.73% was lower than the previous year and less attractive compared to yields from 10-year Treasury notes or short-term Certificates of Deposit (CDs), diminishing the defensive appeal of utility stocks for income-focused investors.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AWR Return | -7% | 32% | -9% | -11% | -1% | -4% | -5% |
| Peers Return | 9% | 5% | -19% | -5% | 10% | -3% | -6% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AWR Win Rate | 33% | 75% | 50% | 42% | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 55% | 52% | 53% | 47% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AWR Max Drawdown | -24% | -11% | -30% | -16% | -17% | -9% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -22% | -19% | -36% | -19% | -15% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CWT, YORW, CDZI, GWRS, AWK. See AWR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AWR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -30.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -30.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 43.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 534 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -15.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 148 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -39.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1494 days | 1480 days |
Compare to CWT, YORW, CDZI, GWRS, AWK
In The Past
American States Water's stock fell -30.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -30.9% loss requires a 44.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AWR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.3% | 9.3% | -3.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.3% | 9.3% | -3.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for American States Water
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 38.47 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.6 |
| Rev LTM | 357 |
| Op Inc LTM | 109 |
| FCF LTM | -31 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -37 |
| CFO LTM | 149 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 97 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 24.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 25.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 36.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 34.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -24.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -24.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.6 |
| P/S | 5.3 |
| P/EBIT | 13.4 |
| P/E | 21.8 |
| P/CFO | 12.0 |
| Total Yield | 6.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -5.1% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -2.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -6.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | -22.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -17.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -22.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -94.7% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water | 433 | 341 | 347 | 331 | 320 |
| Contracted Services | 120 | 111 | 113 | 121 | 114 |
| Electric | 42 | 40 | 38 | 37 | 40 |
| American States Water Company (AWR) Parent | 0 | 0 | |||
| Total | 596 | 492 | 499 | 488 | 474 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water | 159 | 92 | 108 | 98 | 94 |
| Contracted Services | 26 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 22 |
| Electric | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| American States Water Company (AWR) Parent | 0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 |
| Total | 197 | 127 | 141 | 130 | 127 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water | 1,916 | 1,617 | 1,500 | 1,400 | 1,322 |
| American States Water Company (AWR) Parent | 923 | 0 | |||
| Electric | 176 | 120 | 107 | 89 | 73 |
| Contracted Services | 150 | 17 | 20 | 22 | 21 |
| Eliminations | -919 | ||||
| Other assets | 281 | 275 | 280 | 226 | |
| Total | 2,246 | 2,034 | 1,901 | 1,792 | 1,641 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8012022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5022022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2222022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |