Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.6%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5%

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 8.1 Bil

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 2.5 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Hydrogen Economy, Advanced Materials, and Electrification of Everything. Show more.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 32x

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.1%

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 51%

Key risks
PSX key risks include [1] lower-than-expected financial performance in its refining segment due to margin compression and operational challenges, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.6%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5%
1 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 8.1 Bil
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 2.5 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Hydrogen Economy, Advanced Materials, and Electrification of Everything. Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 32x
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.1%
8 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 51%
9 Key risks
PSX key risks include [1] lower-than-expected financial performance in its refining segment due to margin compression and operational challenges, Show more.

PSX in ETFs

Weight = PSX's share of each fund

SPY0.11%
VOO0.11%
IVV0.12%
VTI0.10%
ITOT0.10%
IWB0.11%
RSP0.20%
VTV0.27%
+31 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/13/2026

Phillips 66 (PSX) stock has gained about 10% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Anticipated Strong Second Quarter 2026 Financial Performance and Analyst Confidence.

Phillips 66's stock gained amid strong analyst expectations for its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings. Morgan Stanley, for instance, maintained a "Buy" rating and a $196 price target on July 9, 2026, anticipating a "sharp rebound" in the company's Q2 results. This outlook was driven by expectations of a more than threefold quarter-over-quarter improvement in refining indicators, significant expansion in chemicals profitability, and a notable uplift in renewable diesel economics. Morgan Stanley's above-consensus EPS estimate for Phillips 66 in fiscal Q2 2026 was $7.56, compared to a consensus estimate of $6.94. UBS also reiterated a "Buy" rating with a $212 price target for the company.

2. Sustained Elevated Refining Margins.

The company benefited from robust refining margins throughout fiscal Q2 2026, a key macroeconomic factor. Despite some fluctuation in crude oil prices, global fuel supplies remained low, and demand for refined products outpaced available supply. This dynamic, coupled with persistent supply chain constraints and reduced Russian fuel production, kept refining margins strong. For example, Shell's Q2 2026 outlook indicated refining margins of approximately $20 per barrel, an increase from $17 per barrel in fiscal Q1 2026, reflecting a favorable environment for refiners like Phillips 66.

Show more
Updated on 7/13/2026

Phillips 66 (PSX) stock has gained about 10% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Anticipated Strong Second Quarter 2026 Financial Performance and Analyst Confidence.

Phillips 66's stock gained amid strong analyst expectations for its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings. Morgan Stanley, for instance, maintained a "Buy" rating and a $196 price target on July 9, 2026, anticipating a "sharp rebound" in the company's Q2 results. This outlook was driven by expectations of a more than threefold quarter-over-quarter improvement in refining indicators, significant expansion in chemicals profitability, and a notable uplift in renewable diesel economics. Morgan Stanley's above-consensus EPS estimate for Phillips 66 in fiscal Q2 2026 was $7.56, compared to a consensus estimate of $6.94. UBS also reiterated a "Buy" rating with a $212 price target for the company.

2. Sustained Elevated Refining Margins.

The company benefited from robust refining margins throughout fiscal Q2 2026, a key macroeconomic factor. Despite some fluctuation in crude oil prices, global fuel supplies remained low, and demand for refined products outpaced available supply. This dynamic, coupled with persistent supply chain constraints and reduced Russian fuel production, kept refining margins strong. For example, Shell's Q2 2026 outlook indicated refining margins of approximately $20 per barrel, an increase from $17 per barrel in fiscal Q1 2026, reflecting a favorable environment for refiners like Phillips 66.

3. Strategic Midstream and Renewable Fuels Project Advancements.

Phillips 66's strategic investments in its midstream and renewable fuels segments contributed to positive sentiment. The company announced plans in May 2026 to advance key infrastructure projects, including the construction of the Zeus Gas Plant in the Permian Basin, designed to process 300 million cubic feet per day of natural gas, and a third Coastal Bend Fractionator on the Gulf Coast. Additionally, Phillips 66's integration investments have allowed it to strategically shift North American crude to East Coast refineries and supply California with refined products. Its renewable fuels performance is projected to move from a loss to healthy profits as the Rodeo facility runs near full capacity.

4. Commitment to Shareholder Returns.

The company's consistent return of capital to shareholders through dividends reinforced investor confidence. Phillips 66 declared a quarterly dividend of $1.27 per share in April 2026, payable in June 2026, and again in July 2026, payable in September 2026. This dividend represents a 2.7% annualized yield and continues the company's track record of increasing its dividend for 14 consecutive years.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 9.6% change in PSX stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 16.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267132026Change
Stock Price ($)180.87198.299.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)132,376134,4861.6%
Net Income Margin (%)3.3%3.1%-7.8%
P/E Multiple16.619.316.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4044020.4%
Cumulative Contribution9.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PSX9.6% 
Market (SPY)15.2%-32.8%
Sector (XLE)-7.4%78.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 56.1% change in PSX stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 168.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)123120257132026Change
Stock Price ($)127.07198.2956.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)131,953134,4861.9%
Net Income Margin (%)1.1%3.1%168.8%
P/E Multiple34.219.3-43.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4054020.6%
Cumulative Contribution56.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PSX56.1% 
Market (SPY)10.2%-21.7%
Sector (XLE)27.7%77.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 71.9% change in PSX stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 127.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)63020257132026Change
Stock Price ($)115.35198.2971.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)137,772134,486-2.4%
Net Income Margin (%)1.3%3.1%127.6%
P/E Multiple25.419.3-24.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4094021.8%
Cumulative Contribution71.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PSX71.9% 
Market (SPY)22.3%-4.5%
Sector (XLE)37.0%77.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 130.4% change in PSX stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 499.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020237132026Change
Stock Price ($)86.05198.29130.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)168,207134,486-20.0%
Net Income Margin (%)7.4%3.1%-58.4%
P/E Multiple3.219.3499.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)46540215.6%
Cumulative Contribution130.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PSX130.4% 
Market (SPY)75.0%34.1%
Sector (XLE)52.8%77.7%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
PSX Return9%50%33%-12%18%48%233%
Peers Return47%74%5%-6%24%52%376%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%11%102%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PSX Win Rate42%75%58%42%75%57% 
Peers Win Rate65%68%50%48%67%74% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%57% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PSX Max Drawdown-30%-32%-17%-34%-29%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-27%-25%-30%-24%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VLO, MPC, XOM, CVX, DINO. See PSX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/13/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventPSXS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-27.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven91 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-14.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven16.7%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven32 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-52.4%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven109.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven74 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-33.2%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.7%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven305 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-15.1%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.7%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven43 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-31.6%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.3%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven286 days15 days

Compare to VLO, MPC, XOM, CVX, DINO

In The Past

Phillips 66's stock fell -27.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 38.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventPSXS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-27.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven91 days79 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-52.4%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven109.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven74 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-33.2%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.7%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven305 days105 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-31.6%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.3%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven286 days15 days

Compare to VLO, MPC, XOM, CVX, DINO

In The Past

Phillips 66's stock fell -27.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 38.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Phillips 66 (PSX)

Phillips 66 (PSX) is an integrated energy manufacturing and logistics company. At its core, the company refines crude oil and other feedstocks into essential petroleum products like gasolines, distillates, and aviation fuels. These fuels are then marketed and sold primarily across the United States and Europe. Beyond traditional refining, Phillips 66 also manufactures and markets specialized products such as base oils and lubricants.

The company plays a crucial role in the energy supply chain through its Midstream operations, which involve transporting crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). This segment also provides vital storage and terminaling services, and processes NGLs for various markets. Additionally, Phillips 66's Chemicals segment produces a diverse portfolio of petrochemicals, including ethylene, aromatics, and specialty chemicals, serving a wide array of industrial manufacturers.

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  • Think of it as a combination of a major oil refiner (like Valero Energy), a large chemical manufacturer (like Dow Chemical), and an extensive energy pipeline operator (like Kinder Morgan).
  • It's similar to the refining, chemicals, and logistics divisions of an integrated oil giant such as ExxonMobil or Shell, but without the business of drilling for oil and gas.

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  • Crude Oil and Refined Product Midstream Services: These services encompass the transportation, terminaling, and storage of crude oil, other feedstocks, and refined petroleum products.
  • Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs) Services: The company provides comprehensive services including the transportation, storage, fractionation, export, and marketing of natural gas liquids.
  • Natural Gas Midstream Services: This involves the gathering, processing, transportation, and marketing of natural gas.
  • Petrochemicals: Phillips 66 produces and markets a range of chemical products, including ethylene, olefins, aromatics, styrenics, and various specialty chemicals.
  • Refined Petroleum Products: The company refines crude oil into various fuels such as gasolines, distillates, aviation fuels, and renewable fuels.
  • Specialty Lubricants and Base Oils: Phillips 66 manufactures and markets specialty products, including base oils and lubricants.

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Major Customers of Phillips 66 (PSX)

Phillips 66 primarily sells its products and services to other companies (B2B) rather than directly to individual consumers. Given the diversified nature of its operations across Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, and Marketing and Specialties segments, its major customers span various industrial and commercial sectors. The company does not publicly disclose specific major customer names due to the broad and varied nature of its sales relationships. Instead, its customer base can be categorized as follows:

  • Fuel Distributors, Marketers, and Commercial End-Users: This category includes companies that purchase refined petroleum products (such as gasolines, distillates, and aviation fuels) in bulk for distribution to retail stations (both branded and independent), as well as direct commercial and industrial users like airlines, trucking companies, and industrial operations.
  • Petrochemical and Industrial Manufacturers: These are companies across various industries (e.g., plastics, automotive, packaging, construction, agriculture) that purchase Phillips 66's chemical products (like ethylene, olefins, aromatics, styrenics, and specialty chemicals) and base oils as feedstocks and raw materials for their own manufacturing processes.
  • Other Energy Companies: This category encompasses oil and natural gas producers, other refiners, and petrochemical companies that utilize Phillips 66's Midstream services for the transportation, storage, fractionation, and processing of crude oil, natural gas liquids, natural gas, and refined petroleum products.

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Mark Lashier
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Mark Lashier is the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Phillips 66. He has over 30 years of experience in executive leadership roles within the energy and petrochemical industries. Lashier became Chairman and CEO of Phillips 66 in July 2022, following his role as President and CEO. Before joining Phillips 66, he served as President and CEO of Chevron Phillips Chemical Company LLC (CPChem), a joint venture between Phillips 66 and Chevron, from 2017 to 2021. His tenure at CPChem also included leadership positions such as Executive Vice President of Olefins and Polyolefins, Senior Vice President of Specialties, Aromatics and Styrenics, Vice President of Corporate Planning and Development, Project Director for Saudi Arabia, and Regional Manager in Asia. Lashier began his career at Phillips Petroleum as an Associate Research Engineer and holds 13 U.S. patents.

Kevin J. Mitchell
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Kevin J. Mitchell is the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for Phillips 66. He is responsible for investor relations, treasury, financial planning & analysis, accounting, auditing, tax, commercial risk, business transformation, and corporate strategy & development functions. Mitchell brings over 30 years of experience in finance roles within the oil and gas industry. He joined Phillips 66 in September 2014 as Vice President, Investor Relations. Prior to Phillips 66, he held positions at ConocoPhillips, including General Auditor and Vice President, Exploration and Production — Strategy, Administration and Technical Services. Mitchell joined Conoco in 1991, where he gained experience in various finance and accounting roles, such as General Manager of Upstream Finance, Strategy and Planning; Vice President of Finance and Administration for ConocoPhillips Alaska; and Manager of Treasury Services. He is a certified internal auditor and a fellow with the Chartered Institute of Management Accountants. Mitchell also serves on the board of directors for Phillips 66 Partners, Chevron Phillips Chemical Company, and DCP Midstream, LLC.

Don Baldridge
Executive Vice President, Midstream and Chemicals

Don Baldridge is Executive Vice President of Midstream and Chemicals for Phillips 66. He has more than 25 years of experience in areas such as strategy, operations, commercial, and acquisition assessment. Baldridge joined Phillips 66 in 2023 as part of the acquisition of DCP Midstream.

Brian Mandell
Executive Vice President, Marketing and Commercial

Brian Mandell is Executive Vice President of Marketing and Commercial for Phillips 66. He possesses over 30 years of experience across various Marketing, Commercial, and Midstream roles. His previous roles at Phillips 66 include Senior Vice President, Commercial; President, Global Marketing; and Global Trading Lead, Clean Products, Commercial. Before joining Phillips 66 in May 2012, Mandell worked for ConocoPhillips.

Tandra Perkins
Executive Vice President, Chief Digital and Administrative Officer

Tandra Perkins is Executive Vice President, Chief Digital and Administrative Officer for Phillips 66. She has 30 years of professional experience spanning multiple industries, including energy and chemicals, industrial manufacturing, and health care. At Phillips 66, Perkins oversees enabling services that support the enterprise, such as Digital Transformation and IT, Energy Research and Innovation, Procurement, Real Estate and Facilities, Agile Enterprise Services, and Executive Services.

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The public company Phillips 66 (PSX) faces several key risks inherent to the energy manufacturing and logistics industry.

  1. Global Energy Transition and Decarbonization Efforts

    Phillips 66's core business, particularly its Refining and Marketing & Specialties segments, faces a significant long-term risk from the accelerating global energy transition. This includes the potential for declining demand for fossil fuels due to the increasing adoption of electric vehicles (EVs), advancements in renewable energy, and stricter environmental regulations aimed at reducing carbon emissions. This trend could lead to "long-term gasoline demand erosion from EV adoption" and "potential carbon pricing that could raise operating costs and reduce refining margins". The company is adapting by diversifying into lower-carbon fuels like renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel.

  2. Commodity Price Volatility

    The profitability of Phillips 66 is highly sensitive to fluctuations in commodity prices. "Refining margins and commodity prices are subject to significant fluctuations", impacting its Refining, Midstream, Chemicals, and Marketing & Specialties segments. Volatility in crude oil prices (input costs), natural gas prices (feedstock for chemicals and operational fuel), and refined product prices can compress margins and affect earnings across the business. "Crack spread volatility" and "cyclical chemical demand swings" are specific concerns that can affect the company's financial stability.

  3. Regulatory and Environmental Pressures

    Operating in the energy and chemical sectors subjects Phillips 66 to extensive and evolving regulatory and environmental pressures. The company "is subject to stringent environmental regulations and potential litigation related to climate change". Compliance with these regulations can result in increased operational costs, while litigation can lead to financial liabilities and reputational damage. "Evolving environmental policies and regulatory changes pose ongoing threats" to its operations and financial performance.

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The accelerated global transition to renewable energy sources and electric vehicles poses a clear emerging threat by progressively reducing demand for traditional refined petroleum products, aviation fuels, and associated midstream services.

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Phillips 66 (PSX) operates within several significant addressable markets for its main products and services:

  • Refined Petroleum Products: The global refined petroleum products market size was estimated at approximately USD 3.13 trillion in 2025. In the United States, the petroleum refining market was valued at USD 793.3 billion in 2024. These products include gasolines, distillates, aviation fuels, and renewable fuels.
  • Petrochemicals: The global petrochemicals market size was estimated at USD 700.53 billion in 2025. For the United States specifically, the petrochemicals market size was approximately USD 114.44 billion in 2025. This market encompasses products such as ethylene, olefins, aromatics, and styrenics.
  • Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs): The global natural gas liquids market size was estimated at USD 25.19 billion in 2025. In the United States, the natural gas liquid market size was estimated at USD 5.9 billion in 2024. NGLs are transported, stored, fractionated, exported, and marketed by the company.
  • Base Oils: The global base oil market size was valued at USD 44.20 billion in 2025. The U.S. base oil market generated USD 8.7 billion in revenue in 2023.
  • Lubricants: The global lubricants market size was USD 178.14 billion in 2025. The U.S. lubricants market size was valued at USD 41.71 billion in 2024.

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Phillips 66 (PSX) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several strategic initiatives across its segments:

  1. Midstream Segment Expansion and Integration: Phillips 66 is significantly expanding its Midstream operations through strategic acquisitions and organic projects. Key initiatives include increased interest in DCP Midstream and the acquisition of Pinnacle Midstream, with an adjacent processing plant commencing operations in mid-2025. The acquisition of EPIC NGL, completed in January 2025, and expansion projects such as the Dos Picos II NGL fractionator, expected online in Q3 2025, are projected to boost Midstream adjusted EBITDA to $4.5 billion by 2027. The company has allocated $1.1 billion for its Midstream segment, including $700 million for growth projects like the Iron Mesa gas processing plant and the Coastal Bend NGL pipeline expansion. These expansions and integrations are anticipated to increase volumes and diversify earnings, contributing to a targeted $1 billion mid-cycle adjusted EBITDA growth from Midstream and Chemicals by 2027.
  2. Renewable Fuels Production Growth: The company is strategically shifting towards renewable fuels, with its Rodeo Renewable Energy Complex serving as a key growth driver. Projects like "Rodeo Renewed" are focused on new product lines, specifically renewable diesel and other renewable products, which are expected to contribute to top-line revenue as production scales up. The Rodeo renewable energy complex has reached full operating rates, processing approximately 50,000 barrels per day of renewable feedstocks. Additionally, Phillips 66 is investing in renewable energy, as exemplified by its Rodeo Renewable Energy Complex, which includes its first solar project commissioned in 2025.
  3. Optimized Refining Operations and Higher-Value Product Yields: Phillips 66 is enhancing its refining performance by focusing on increased reliability, improved market capture, and cost reduction, alongside an emphasis on higher clean product yields. The company has achieved high utilization rates in its refining segment, reaching 99% in Q3 2024, the highest since 2018. An improved clean product yield, which stands at 87% year-to-date from 84% three years ago, signifies the production of more valuable products from each barrel of crude processed, thereby increasing revenue. Refining capacity increased by about 35,000 barrels per day across the system, and clean product yields reached record levels in 2025, with controllable costs trending toward the $5.50 per barrel target.
  4. Growth in Chemicals Segment: The Chemicals segment is expected to be a contributor to future revenue growth, forming part of the combined Midstream and Chemicals segment's target of $1 billion in mid-cycle adjusted EBITDA growth by 2027. Joint venture petrochemical projects are slated for 2026 startups, which will further enhance integrated operations. Strategic capital investments are being directed towards the Chemicals segment to support these growth initiatives.

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<h3>Capital Allocation Decisions (Last 3-5 Years)</h3> <ul> <li><strong>Share Repurchases</strong></li> <ul> <li>Phillips 66 executed share repurchases of $4.014 billion in 2023 and $3.451 billion in 2024.</li> <li>The company reported $267 million in share buybacks for the quarter ending September 30, 2025.</li> <li>Since July 2022, Phillips 66 has returned over $14 billion to shareholders, which includes share repurchases.</li> </ul> <li><strong>Share Issuance</strong></li> <ul> <li>Phillips 66 has consistently reduced its outstanding shares, with declines of 4.33% in 2023, 6.91% in 2024, and 3.28% in 2025, indicating no significant share issuances during this period.</li> </ul> <li><strong>Outbound Investments</strong></li> <ul> <li>In FY 2025, Phillips 66 completed $3.5 billion in acquisitions (net of cash acquired), which included a $2.2 billion Coastal Bend midstream acquisition.</li> <li>The company acquired an additional 50% interest in WRB Refining LP from Cenovus Energy Inc for $1.4 billion in Q3 2025, gaining full ownership of the Wood River and Borger refineries.</li> <li>Phillips 66's proportionate share of capital spending for its Chevron Phillips Chemical Company LLC (CPChem) joint venture is expected to be $680 million in 2026, funding world-scale petrochemical facilities.</li> </ul> <li><strong>Capital Expenditures</strong></li> <ul> <li>Capital expenditures averaged $1.999 billion annually from 2021 to 2025, peaking at $2.233 billion in 2025.</li> <li>For 2026, Phillips 66 announced a capital budget of $2.4 billion, comprising $1.1 billion for sustaining capital and $1.3 billion for growth capital.</li> <li>The 2026 growth capital is primarily focused on the NGL value chain within the Midstream segment and high-return refining projects, including expanding processing plants and pipelines, and improvements at the Humber refinery.</li> </ul> </ul>

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

PSXVLOMPCXOMCVXDINOMedian
NamePhillips.Valero E.Marathon.ExxonMob.Chevron HF Sincl. 
Mkt Price198.29295.79296.88144.51182.2081.70190.25
Mkt Cap79.788.187.6607.2360.814.887.9
Rev LTM134,486124,810135,382326,008185,88727,622134,934
Op Inc LTM3,8905,8126,45029,43915,5991,6936,131
FCF LTM1195,5525,70218,79213,7811,3245,627
FCF 3Y Avg2,0895,8156,57826,36115,2331,2086,196
CFO LTM2,5116,2649,43847,72231,2641,8617,851
CFO 3Y Avg4,2406,6539,36651,57532,1161,6678,010

Growth & Margins

PSXVLOMPCXOMCVXDINOMedian
NamePhillips.Valero E.Marathon.ExxonMob.Chevron HF Sincl. 
Rev Chg LTM-2.4%-2.8%-1.7%-4.1%-3.7%-1.1%-2.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-7.1%-10.3%-7.9%-5.8%-6.9%-10.1%-7.5%
Rev Chg Q6.9%7.0%8.5%2.6%3.2%11.8%7.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.6%1.7%2.0%0.6%0.8%2.8%1.7%
Op Inc Chg LTM544.0%151.9%49.2%-25.6%-9.6%2,553.6%100.6%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg136.8%9.3%-20.3%-23.8%-26.2%799.7%-5.5%
Op Mgn LTM2.9%4.7%4.8%9.0%8.4%6.1%5.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.6%4.4%4.9%10.9%10.0%4.2%4.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%1.1%0.4%-1.4%-0.6%2.7%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM1.9%5.0%7.0%14.6%16.8%6.7%6.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg3.0%5.1%6.7%15.5%16.8%5.7%6.2%
FCF/Rev LTM0.1%4.4%4.2%5.8%7.4%4.8%4.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.5%4.4%4.7%7.9%8.0%4.1%4.5%

Valuation

PSXVLOMPCXOMCVXDINOMedian
NamePhillips.Valero E.Marathon.ExxonMob.Chevron HF Sincl. 
Mkt Cap79.788.187.6607.2360.814.887.9
P/S0.60.70.61.91.90.50.7
P/Op Inc20.515.213.620.623.18.717.8
P/EBIT12.914.29.616.318.58.313.6
P/E19.321.018.924.032.812.020.1
P/CFO31.714.19.312.711.57.912.1
Total Yield7.6%6.4%6.6%7.0%6.7%10.9%6.9%
Dividend Yield2.5%1.6%1.3%2.8%3.7%2.5%2.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.5%10.6%10.3%5.0%4.8%10.9%7.6%
D/E0.30.10.40.10.10.20.2
Net D/E0.30.10.40.10.10.10.1

Returns

PSXVLOMPCXOMCVXDINOMedian
NamePhillips.Valero E.Marathon.ExxonMob.Chevron HF Sincl. 
1M Rtn10.5%14.4%12.6%-1.7%-2.7%14.7%11.6%
3M Rtn24.5%22.8%32.3%-4.7%-4.1%40.5%23.6%
6M Rtn45.0%66.5%70.6%18.1%14.4%67.8%55.7%
12M Rtn55.7%98.2%68.3%29.2%22.2%87.6%62.0%
3Y Rtn118.8%184.2%166.6%58.3%34.6%99.9%109.3%
1M Excs Rtn5.7%11.2%9.3%-7.5%-7.4%12.0%7.5%
3M Excs Rtn15.2%14.2%23.6%-14.8%-12.7%32.8%14.7%
6M Excs Rtn31.0%47.7%60.6%10.6%8.0%55.6%39.4%
12M Excs Rtn32.9%76.3%46.4%10.1%3.5%64.5%39.7%
3Y Excs Rtn60.0%113.9%108.2%-15.1%-35.1%36.4%48.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Marketing and Specialties (M&S)85,89792,44798,769112,16973,933
Refining74,89984,96496,01141,59828,695
Midstream21,17518,78718,60516,1898,813
Renewable Fuels6,1785,562   
Corporate and Other4750363432
Chemicals0 0 3
Consolidating Adjustments-55,820-58,657   
Intersegment eliminations  -66,022  
Total132,376143,153147,399169,990111,476


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20172016201520142013
Corporate and Other2,169-484-490-393-431
Refining1,4043742,5551,7711,747
Marketing and Specialties (M&S)6868911,1871,034894
Chemicals5255839621,137986
Midstream46428013507469
Discontinued Operations  070661
Total5,2481,6444,2274,7623,726


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Midstream30,17228,33429,10730,27315,932
Refining19,43519,59922,43221,58119,952
Marketing and Specialties (M&S)10,0599,79911,4119,9398,505
Chemicals7,8997,8427,3576,7856,453
Renewable Fuels3,1973,142   
Corporate and Other2,9183,8665,1947,8644,752
Total73,68072,58275,50176,44255,594


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$198.29 
Market Cap ($ Bil)79.7 
First Trading Date04/12/2012 
Distance from 52W High0.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$176.71$153.36
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA12.2%29.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility33.7%30.4%
Downside Capture-164.30-74.97
Upside Capture-16.51-5.47
Correlation (SPY)-22.4%-3.7%
PSX Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.31-0.58-0.68-0.47-0.070.69
Up Beta-1.79-1.77-1.25-0.90-0.250.78
Down Beta-0.26-0.030.150.460.601.16
Up Capture-17%-50%-45%-19%1%19%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days10213365135405
Down Capture27%-36%-77%-158%-94%54%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days11203060117345

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PSX
PSX52.9%30.4%1.40-
Sector ETF (XLE)31.1%21.0%1.1977.0%
Equity (SPY)20.8%12.6%1.23-5.1%
Gold (GLD)20.0%27.9%0.64-0.9%
Commodities (DBC)27.6%18.9%1.1649.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.3%13.9%0.664.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-44.8%42.7%-1.281.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PSX
PSX22.2%33.2%0.66-
Sector ETF (XLE)19.9%26.0%0.6980.6%
Equity (SPY)13.0%17.1%0.5935.6%
Gold (GLD)17.0%18.3%0.755.4%
Commodities (DBC)7.8%19.5%0.2950.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.9%18.9%0.0625.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)13.6%53.5%0.4411.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PSX
PSX13.8%35.4%0.46-
Sector ETF (XLE)9.5%29.6%0.3682.4%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7350.1%
Gold (GLD)11.3%16.1%0.571.2%
Commodities (DBC)6.3%18.0%0.2847.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%20.7%0.2142.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)57.7%66.2%0.9811.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 6152026-1.6%
Average Daily Volume3.4 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity402.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.0%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/2/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/6/2026-1.5%-9.5%1.7%
2/4/20264.5%6.2%13.3%
10/29/20253.2%1.6%1.8%
7/25/20250.5%-0.6%5.6%
4/25/2025-0.7%-1.2%9.1%
1/31/2025-2.5%-0.0%4.4%
10/29/2024-4.4%-6.1%5.1%
7/30/20244.8%-6.2%-3.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101016
# Negative13137
Median Positive2.2%1.6%5.3%
Median Negative-2.5%-5.4%-2.0%
Max Positive4.8%8.4%33.8%
Max Negative-5.8%-9.5%-8.5%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/6/2026-1.5%-9.5%1.7%
2/4/20264.5%6.2%13.3%
10/29/20253.2%1.6%1.8%
7/25/20250.5%-0.6%5.6%
4/25/2025-0.7%-1.2%9.1%
1/31/2025-2.5%-0.0%4.4%
10/29/2024-4.4%-6.1%5.1%
7/30/20244.8%-6.2%-3.5%
4/26/2024-3.7%-8.5%-8.5%
10/27/20230.8%7.3%8.5%
8/2/2023-2.8%0.5%2.3%
5/3/20231.3%-0.8%-0.7%
1/31/2023-5.8%-7.8%1.8%
11/1/20223.0%1.1%4.9%
7/29/20221.1%-6.1%5.9%
4/29/2022-0.5%8.4%17.8%
1/28/2022-1.8%1.6%-0.8%
10/29/2021-2.6%0.2%-7.9%
8/3/20213.5%-0.6%-2.0%
4/5/2021-1.5%-5.4%1.2%
1/29/2021-5.1%0.7%19.9%
10/30/20201.5%4.8%33.8%
7/31/2020-1.7%-3.4%-0.7%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101016
# Negative13137
Median Positive2.2%1.6%5.3%
Median Negative-2.5%-5.4%-2.0%
Max Positive4.8%8.4%33.8%
Max Negative-5.8%-9.5%-8.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/29/202610-Q
12/31/202502/20/202610-K
09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
06/30/202507/28/202510-Q
03/31/202504/25/202510-Q
12/31/202402/21/202510-K
09/30/202410/29/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202404/29/202410-Q
12/31/202302/21/202410-K
09/30/202311/03/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/22/202310-K
09/30/202211/09/202210-Q
06/30/202207/29/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/29/202610-Q
12/31/202502/20/202610-K
09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
06/30/202507/28/202510-Q
03/31/202504/25/202510-Q
12/31/202402/21/202510-K
09/30/202410/29/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202404/29/202410-Q
12/31/202302/21/202410-K
09/30/202311/03/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/22/202310-K
09/30/202211/09/202210-Q
06/30/202207/29/202210-Q
03/31/202204/29/202210-Q
12/31/202102/18/202210-K
09/30/202110/29/202110-Q
06/30/202108/03/202110-Q
03/31/202104/30/202110-Q
12/31/202002/24/202110-K
09/30/202010/30/202010-Q
06/30/202007/31/202010-Q
03/31/202005/01/202010-Q
12/31/201902/21/202010-K
09/30/201910/25/201910-Q
06/30/201907/26/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/8/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2027 Total Debt Target 17.00 Bil    

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/4/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Capital Budget 2.40 Bil    
2026 Sustaining Capital 1.10 Bil    
2026 Organic Growth Capital 1.3E11%    

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/29/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Golden Triangle Polymers Project Startup      
2027 Ras Laffan Polymers Project Startup      

Insider Activity

Updated 7/13/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Mitchell, Kevin JExec. VP and CFODirectSell7132026190.0311,0212,094,28518,504,050Form
2Mitchell, Kevin JExec. VP and CFODirectSell5122026171.56600102,93616,705,827Form
3Mitchell, Kevin JExec. VP and CFODirectSell5122026170.0029,4004,998,14716,554,407Form
4Meyers, Kevin Omar DirectBuy5072026173.1217530,2972,908,327Form
5Mitchell, Kevin JExec. VP and CFODirectSell4012026190.0715,6292,970,54618,507,896Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Mitchell, Kevin JExec. VP and CFODirectSell7132026190.0311,0212,094,28518,504,050Form
2Mitchell, Kevin JExec. VP and CFODirectSell5122026171.56600102,93616,705,827Form
3Mitchell, Kevin JExec. VP and CFODirectSell5122026170.0029,4004,998,14716,554,407Form
4Meyers, Kevin Omar DirectBuy5072026173.1217530,2972,908,327Form
5Mitchell, Kevin JExec. VP and CFODirectSell4012026190.0715,6292,970,54618,507,896Form
6Meyers, Kevin Omar DirectBuy3172026173.2017530,3102,879,277Form
7Davis, Lisa Ann DirectSell3162026174.373,800662,6171,517,250Form
8Mandell, BrianExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell3162026169.5342,8007,255,75610,442,002Form
9Mitchell, Kevin JExec. VP and CFODirectSell3062026168.2216,8562,835,56916,380,893Form
10Mitchell, Kevin JExec. VP and CFODirectSell3062026165.034,944815,89916,069,776Form
11Baldridge, DonExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell2192026160.007,5001,200,0006,158,080Form
12Sutherland, Vanessa AllenEVP, GC and SecretaryDirectSell2052026150.004,394659,1003,869,850Form
13Mandell, BrianExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell12012025140.0425,5003,571,0207,959,582Form
14Mandell, BrianExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell11202025137.6826,2003,607,1657,825,335Form
15Mitchell, Kevin JExec. VP and CFODirectSell11122025138.0030,0004,140,00012,388,398Form
16Sutherland, Vanessa AllenEVP, GC and SecretaryDirectSell9292025140.004,393615,0204,842,180Form
17Sutherland, Vanessa AllenEVP, GC and SecretaryDirectSell9092025135.004,393593,0555,262,300Form
18Hayes, Gregory DirectBuy8142025119.908,3501,001,1653,527,834Form
19Cornelius, Sigmund L DirectBuy8012025123.5550061,7752,661,638Form
20Heim, Michael A DirectBuy8012025125.971,000125,9701,517,057Form
21Sutherland, Vanessa AllenEVP, GC and SecretaryDirectSell7092025130.004,393571,0905,638,490Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Jul 14, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank and community-bank filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Elliott Investment Management L.P.$3.5 Bil22.0%19Hold13F
Eldred Rock Partners, LLC$16.7 Mil4.3%31Hold13F
Corigliano Investment Advisers, LLC$5.8 Mil2.3%37New13F
Schwerin Boyle Capital Management Inc$16.7 Mil2.1%47Hold13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Corigliano Investment Advisers, LLC$5.8 Mil2.3%37New13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Elliott Investment Management L.P.$3.5 Bil22.0%19Hold13F
Eldred Rock Partners, LLC$16.7 Mil4.3%31Hold13F
Schwerin Boyle Capital Management Inc$16.7 Mil2.1%47Hold13F
Corigliano Investment Advisers, LLC$5.8 Mil2.3%37New13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/13/2026