Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -60%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -101%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 133%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -62%
  
3 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 2.8%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and Advanced Drilling Automation.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -62%
3 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 2.8%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and Advanced Drilling Automation.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -60%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -101%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 133%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Based on the available information for Helmerich & Payne (HP) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, the stock did not move by 46.4% in a positive direction. Instead, the data indicates a significant *decline* in the stock price during this period, particularly around the company's fiscal fourth-quarter 2025 earnings announcement. Therefore, I am unable to highlight key points explaining a 46.4% increase as this movement is not supported by the factual information.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HP Return-44%6%115%-23%-8%-5%-15%
Peers Return-35%24%79%-2%-32%2%-1%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HP Win Rate42%58%67%25%42%40% 
Peers Win Rate25%51%58%35%42%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HP Max Drawdown-71%-5%0%-37%-15%-52% 
Peers Max Drawdown-53%-0%-3%-25%-38%-42% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PTEN, NBR, NE, VAL, RIG. See HP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-42.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-72.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven268.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven755 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-55.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven123.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-76.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven325.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1789 days1480 days

Compare to PTEN, NBR, NE, VAL, RIG


In The Past

Helmerich & Payne's stock fell -42.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/22/2022. A -42.6% loss requires a 74.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Helmerich & Payne (HP)

Better Bets than Helmerich & Payne (HP)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Helmerich & Payne

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HPPTENNBRNEVALRIGMedian
NameHelmeric.Patterso.Nabors I.Noble Valaris Transoce. 
Mkt Price30.316.2854.9333.1260.424.4531.71
Mkt Cap3.02.40.85.34.34.33.6
Rev LTM3,4284,8383,1173,4482,4163,8743,438
Op Inc LTM312-67265636548601430
FCF LTM37289-166392250482269
FCF 3Y Avg21339534249-641124
CFO LTM505880596901599606602
CFO 3Y Avg6571,016622722417396640

Growth & Margins

HPPTENNBRNEVALRIGMedian
NameHelmeric.Patterso.Nabors I.Noble Valaris Transoce. 
Rev Chg LTM25.9%-16.6%6.5%24.3%6.8%16.9%11.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg27.4%33.5%9.2%59.6%-14.6%27.4%
Rev Chg Q49.2%-13.4%11.8%-0.3%-7.4%8.4%4.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM11.1%-3.6%2.9%-0.1%-1.9%2.1%1.0%
Op Mgn LTM9.1%-1.4%8.5%18.5%22.7%15.5%12.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg14.2%4.9%8.6%21.8%12.6%5.9%10.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.0%1.4%0.2%-2.2%0.7%2.0%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM14.7%18.2%19.1%26.1%24.8%15.6%18.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg22.5%22.1%20.6%24.3%19.3%11.6%21.3%
FCF/Rev LTM1.1%6.0%-5.3%11.4%10.3%12.4%8.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.5%8.5%1.2%8.2%-2.9%-1.5%4.4%

Valuation

HPPTENNBRNEVALRIGMedian
NameHelmeric.Patterso.Nabors I.Noble Valaris Transoce. 
Mkt Cap3.02.40.85.34.34.33.6
P/S0.40.40.21.31.40.80.6
P/EBIT7.5-29.70.88.14.7-1.22.7
P/E-48.8-14.62.619.88.6-1.00.8
P/CFO3.02.31.05.05.84.94.0
Total Yield0.7%-3.8%38.6%8.6%11.6%-97.8%4.7%
Dividend Yield2.8%3.1%0.0%3.6%0.0%0.0%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.4%14.0%1.6%4.9%-1.3%2.5%3.7%
D/E1.50.64.10.40.32.11.1
Net D/E1.30.63.40.30.11.80.9

Returns

HPPTENNBRNEVALRIGMedian
NameHelmeric.Patterso.Nabors I.Noble Valaris Transoce. 
1M Rtn13.7%-0.5%1.9%11.0%6.0%12.4%8.5%
3M Rtn52.4%15.4%55.5%16.9%23.3%48.8%36.1%
6M Rtn88.9%15.1%90.1%27.9%51.5%68.6%60.0%
12M Rtn-10.0%-19.3%-23.6%5.2%30.0%0.9%-4.6%
3Y Rtn-31.5%-60.2%-64.7%-0.7%-8.8%6.2%-20.1%
1M Excs Rtn13.7%-0.5%1.9%11.1%6.1%12.4%8.6%
3M Excs Rtn41.6%3.9%40.0%9.6%14.9%38.2%26.5%
6M Excs Rtn74.1%0.4%75.3%13.2%36.7%53.8%45.3%
12M Excs Rtn-22.0%-34.0%-38.7%-7.0%17.3%-12.4%-17.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-101.4%-131.6%-135.5%-68.0%-76.7%-58.1%-89.1%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,843,856
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-17.1%
Average Daily Volume1,509,739
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.87
Basic Shares Quantity99,422,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024205202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024424202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023129202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022130202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221117202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021131202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211118202110-K 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Momper Sara MarieVP, CAO8192025Sell17.836,700119,461390,620Form
1Foutch Randy A2192025Buy26.253,80099,750803,880Form
2Chariag Belgacem2112025Buy27.0837,3561,011,6001,478,730Form
3LINDSAY JOHN WPRESIDENT AND CEO2112025Buy27.5520,000551,00019,042,946Form