Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -25%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.6%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.3%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -77%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.0%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include High-Performance Metals, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.4%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -25%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include High-Performance Metals, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.6%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -77%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.3%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.0%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.4%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MTUS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the movement of Metallus (MTUS) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Metallus announced stronger-than-expected Third-Quarter 2025 Earnings Per Share.

The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.28 for the third quarter of 2025, exceeding analyst consensus estimates which ranged from $0.17 to $0.18. This positive earnings surprise likely contributed to an upward movement in the stock price, despite revenue for the quarter missing expectations. 2. A significant increase in institutional investment was observed.

Systematic Financial Management LP boosted its position in Metallus, acquiring an additional 94,455 shares during the second quarter. This increased their total holdings to 1,402,969 shares, valued at approximately $21.62 million, indicating strong institutional confidence in the company.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MTUS Return-41%253%10%29%-40%19%114%
Peers Return3%52%26%37%3%35%278%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MTUS Win Rate42%75%50%50%42%60% 
Peers Win Rate50%58%58%52%60%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MTUS Max Drawdown-71%0%-19%-13%-41%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-47%-12%-17%-8%-15%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HCC, NWPX, FRD, NUE, STLD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMTUSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven83.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-71.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven247.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven307 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-78.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven359.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven926 days120 days

Compare to HCC, NWPX, FRD, NUE, STLD


In The Past

Metallus's stock fell -45.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -45.4% loss requires a 83.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Metallus (MTUS)

Better Bets than Metallus (MTUS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MTUS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Metallus

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MTUSHCCNWPXFRDNUESTLDMedian
NameMetallus Warrior .NWPX Inf.Friedman.Nucor Steel Dy. 
Mkt Price17.5282.9259.4319.59164.71171.5071.17
Mkt Cap0.74.40.60.138.025.22.5
Rev LTM1,1321,22452046530,80617,6351,178
Op Inc LTM9748112,1431,51930
FCF LTM-57-1594811-385311-23
FCF 3Y Avg24922253,1151,01837
CFO LTM3220767173,1301,524137
CFO 3Y Avg6947244345,8422,562271

Growth & Margins

MTUSHCCNWPXFRDNUESTLDMedian
NameMetallus Warrior .NWPX Inf.Friedman.Nucor Steel Dy. 
Rev Chg LTM-3.4%-23.1%7.6%-5.8%-5.8%-1.5%-4.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-7.3%-11.8%4.8%8.6%-10.4%-8.0%-7.6%
Rev Chg Q34.6%0.3%16.0%17.7%4.7%11.2%13.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.5%0.1%4.2%4.5%1.2%2.8%3.5%
Op Mgn LTM0.8%0.6%9.3%2.4%7.0%8.6%4.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.6%19.3%9.0%2.9%13.9%13.7%11.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.0%-1.5%0.3%1.8%-0.0%0.5%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM2.8%16.9%13.0%3.7%10.2%8.6%9.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg5.7%30.4%9.0%6.6%17.0%13.8%11.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-5.0%-13.0%9.3%2.5%-1.2%1.8%0.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.1%1.9%4.4%4.9%8.7%5.4%4.6%

Valuation

MTUSHCCNWPXFRDNUESTLDMedian
NameMetallus Warrior .NWPX Inf.Friedman.Nucor Steel Dy. 
Mkt Cap0.74.40.60.138.025.22.5
P/S0.62.71.00.21.01.21.0
P/EBIT-2,303.2116.910.68.213.713.812.1
P/E-83.295.214.013.523.118.216.1
P/CFO21.716.17.66.79.513.411.5
Total Yield-1.2%1.6%7.2%7.7%6.1%6.9%6.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.5%0.0%0.2%1.7%1.4%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.1%2.1%4.9%26.5%7.7%5.6%5.3%
D/E0.00.10.30.30.20.20.2
Net D/E-0.3-0.00.30.30.10.10.1

Returns

MTUSHCCNWPXFRDNUESTLDMedian
NameMetallus Warrior .NWPX Inf.Friedman.Nucor Steel Dy. 
1M Rtn-1.4%19.3%-7.0%-12.4%11.2%10.0%4.3%
3M Rtn7.2%49.0%15.6%-7.2%13.9%32.8%14.8%
6M Rtn22.0%75.5%49.2%17.0%36.3%28.0%32.1%
12M Rtn4.6%19.5%5.8%24.5%8.2%21.6%13.8%
3Y Rtn-9.0%123.3%60.7%124.4%11.6%63.7%62.2%
1M Excs Rtn-1.4%19.4%-6.9%-12.4%11.2%10.0%4.3%
3M Excs Rtn-0.8%45.2%8.5%-12.5%8.8%26.2%8.6%
6M Excs Rtn7.3%60.8%34.5%2.3%21.6%13.3%17.4%
12M Excs Rtn-8.5%5.0%-7.5%16.3%-5.2%6.4%-0.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-76.6%80.6%-10.6%47.3%-56.1%1.5%-4.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Bar917887864502783
Manufactured components253243224208241
Tube170174164101152
Other2226311933
Total1,3621,3301,2838311,209


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,544,487
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120251.3%
Average Daily Volume324,789
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.76
Basic Shares Quantity41,800,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.7%

Returns Analyses

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021