Metallus (MTUS)


Market Price (8/20/2026): $20.8 | Market Cap: $865.3 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Steel

Metallus (MTUS)


Market Price (8/20/2026): $20.8
Market Cap: $865.3 Mil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Steel

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include High-Performance Metals, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -80%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 69x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 140x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 104x

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.4%

Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.0%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5%

Key risks
MTUS key risks include [1] operational uncertainty stemming from its unionized workforce's failure to ratify a tentative labor agreement.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include High-Performance Metals, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -80%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 69x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 140x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 104x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.4%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.0%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5%
8 Key risks
MTUS key risks include [1] operational uncertainty stemming from its unionized workforce's failure to ratify a tentative labor agreement.

MTUS in ETFs

Weight = MTUS's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWM0.02%
IJR0.04%
AVUV0.10%
SLYV0.08%
IJS0.08%
VIOV0.08%
+10 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Updated on 8/4/2026

Metallus (MTUS) stock has gained about 5% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Beat: Metallus reported adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.26 for fiscal Q2 2026, which ended in June 2026, surpassing analyst consensus estimates of $0.24 by $0.02. Concurrently, net sales reached $341.0 million, exceeding the analysts' estimate of $330.85 million.

2. Double-Digit Revenue Growth and Improved Profitability: The company demonstrated robust financial performance in fiscal Q2 2026, with net sales increasing by 12% year-over-year and 11% sequentially from fiscal Q1 2026. Adjusted EBITDA improved by 18% sequentially to $29.0 million, and operating cash flow turned positive at $12.8 million for the quarter.

Show more
Updated on 8/4/2026

Metallus (MTUS) stock has gained about 5% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Beat: Metallus reported adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.26 for fiscal Q2 2026, which ended in June 2026, surpassing analyst consensus estimates of $0.24 by $0.02. Concurrently, net sales reached $341.0 million, exceeding the analysts' estimate of $330.85 million.

2. Double-Digit Revenue Growth and Improved Profitability: The company demonstrated robust financial performance in fiscal Q2 2026, with net sales increasing by 12% year-over-year and 11% sequentially from fiscal Q1 2026. Adjusted EBITDA improved by 18% sequentially to $29.0 million, and operating cash flow turned positive at $12.8 million for the quarter.

3. Strong Demand in Key End Markets: Metallus experienced strong demand across key end markets during fiscal Q2 2026, particularly in the aerospace and defense sectors, where the company achieved record shipment volumes.

4. Enhanced Balance Sheet and Shareholder Returns: The company bolstered its financial flexibility by refinancing its asset-based revolving credit facility, extending its maturity to June 2031, with $300.0 million remaining undrawn. Furthermore, Metallus actively returned capital to shareholders by repurchasing 0.2 million common shares for $3.6 million in fiscal Q2 2026.

5. Positive Shift in Analyst Sentiment: Analyst sentiment surrounding Metallus improved significantly during the period. Zacks Research upgraded the stock from a "strong sell" to a "hold" rating on April 27th, and Weiss Ratings further upgraded Metallus from a "hold (c-)" to a "hold (c)" rating on June 8th.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 5.1% change in MTUS stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 5.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020268192026Change
Stock Price ($)19.2420.235.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,1541,2165.4%
P/S Multiple0.70.7-0.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)42420.0%
Cumulative Contribution5.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MTUS5.1% 
Market (SPY)7.0%35.6%
Sector (XLB)2.0%39.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 1.4% change in MTUS stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 7.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120268192026Change
Stock Price ($)19.9520.231.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,1271,2167.9%
P/S Multiple0.70.7-6.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)42420.5%
Cumulative Contribution1.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MTUS1.4% 
Market (SPY)11.4%31.6%
Sector (XLB)7.1%38.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 28.0% change in MTUS stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 16.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)73120258192026Change
Stock Price ($)15.8020.2328.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,0431,21616.6%
P/S Multiple0.60.78.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)42421.2%
Cumulative Contribution28.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MTUS28.0% 
Market (SPY)22.7%33.2%
Sector (XLB)21.5%44.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -13.2% change in MTUS stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -79.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)73120238192026Change
Stock Price ($)23.3020.23-13.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,3011,216-6.6%
Net Income Margin (%)3.3%0.7%-79.6%
P/E Multiple24.2103.9329.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)44425.8%
Cumulative Contribution-13.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MTUS-13.2% 
Market (SPY)73.9%44.8%
Sector (XLB)29.3%53.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
MTUS Return253%10%29%-40%21%24%355%
Peers Return52%26%37%3%44%66%551%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MTUS Win Rate75%50%50%42%58%62% 
Peers Win Rate58%58%52%60%63%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MTUS Max Drawdown-28%-45%-24%-43%-28%-32% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-34%-33%-29%-26%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HCC, NWPX, FRD, NUE, STLD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/19/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventMTUSS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-28.0%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven85 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-18.3%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.4%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven520 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-17.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven21.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven55 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-18.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.4%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven82 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-21.3%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.0%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven35 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-60.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven154.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven226 days140 days

Compare to HCC, NWPX, FRD, NUE, STLD

In The Past

Metallus's stock fell -28.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 38.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventMTUSS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-28.0%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven85 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-21.3%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.0%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven35 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-60.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven154.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven226 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-44.8%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven81.1%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven875 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-78.4%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven362.7%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven403 days62 days

Compare to HCC, NWPX, FRD, NUE, STLD

In The Past

Metallus's stock fell -28.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 38.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Metallus (MTUS)

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Metallus (MTUS), formerly TimkenSteel Corporation, is a specialized manufacturer of high-quality steel products. The company primarily produces alloy steel, carbon steel, and micro-alloy steel in various forms, including ingots, bars, tubes, and billets. In addition to material production, Metallus provides value-added services such as custom machining and thermal treatment, enhancing the functionality and precision of its steel components.

The company's products are integral to the functionality of numerous mechanical systems and components. These steel materials are commonly found in critical applications such as gears, hubs, axles, crankshafts, connecting rods, and oil country drill pipes. They are also essential for bearing races, rolling elements, bushings, fuel injectors, and wind energy shafts, showcasing the precision and durability required of Metallus's offerings.

Metallus serves a wide range of industrial markets, providing essential materials to sectors including automotive, oil and gas, industrial equipment, mining, and construction. Its products are also vital for the rail, defense, heavy truck, agriculture, and power generation industries, as well as the oil country tubular goods sector. This diverse customer base highlights Metallus's foundational role in supporting heavy industry and specialized engineering applications.

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Here are a few brief analogies for Metallus:

  • The Intel for industrial steel components.
  • Corning, but for specialized industrial steel instead of glass.

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  • Steel Ingots: Blocks of steel, often the first solid form after casting.
  • Steel Bars: Long, solid lengths of alloy, carbon, and micro-alloy steel with various cross-sections.
  • Steel Tubes: Hollow lengths of alloy, carbon, and micro-alloy steel used in various applications.
  • Steel Billets: Semi-finished products of alloy, carbon, and micro-alloy steel, typically used for further processing.
  • Machining Services: Processes that remove material from steel products to create desired shapes or finishes.
  • Thermal Treatment Services: Processes involving heating and cooling steel to alter its microstructure and properties.
  • Custom Precision Steel Components: Specially manufactured steel parts designed to specific customer requirements with high accuracy.

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Metallus (symbol: MTUS) sells primarily to other companies (B2B). Based on the provided background information, specific major customer company names are not listed. However, the company serves a wide array of industries, which represent its major customer categories. Among these, the most prominent include:

  • Automotive: This sector includes applications for components such as gears, hubs, axles, crankshafts, connecting rods, and also covers heavy trucks.
  • Oil and Gas: Customers in this industry utilize Metallus's products for oil country drill pipes, bits, collars, and other oil country tubular goods.
  • Industrial Equipment: This broad category covers a variety of applications and sectors including general industrial machinery, mining, construction, rail, agriculture, and power generation.

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Mike Williams, Chief Executive Officer

Mike Williams joined Metallus (formerly TimkenSteel Corporation) as Chief Executive Officer on January 1, 2021. Prior to his role at Metallus, he served as the Chief Executive Officer of Bayou Steel Group, a U.S. producer of structural steel and merchant bar. Before Bayou, Mr. Williams was the President of Outokumpu Americas for Outokumpu Oyj, a global leader in the stainless steel industry. His earlier career included various leadership positions at U.S. Steel Corporation, where he was Senior Vice President North American Flat Rolled, and later Senior Vice President, Strategic Planning, and Business Development.

John M. Zaranec III, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

John M. Zaranec III will assume the role of Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for Metallus, effective June 16, 2025. Mr. Zaranec brings over two decades of financial experience in the manufacturing and industrial sectors. Most recently, he served as Division Chief Financial Officer at Materion Corporation, where he led the finance strategy and function for the Performance Materials segment. His previous roles at Materion also included Chief Accounting Officer, Corporate Controller, and Head of Investor Relations. Before joining Materion, Mr. Zaranec held finance and accounting roles of increasing responsibility at The Timken Company.

Kristopher R. Westbrooks, President and Chief Operating Officer

Kristopher R. Westbrooks was promoted to the newly created role of President and Chief Operating Officer for Metallus, effective June 16, 2025. He initially joined the company in September 2018 as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. In his current role as President and COO, Mr. Westbrooks oversees Metallus' safety, manufacturing operations and excellence, and supply chain organizations. Prior to joining Metallus, he served as Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer, and Corporate Controller at A. Schulman, Inc., an international supplier of high-performance plastic formulations, resins, and services, where he was responsible for leading the integration of the company's merger with LyondellBasell.

Kevin Raketich, Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer

Kevin Raketich serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer for Metallus.

Kris Syrvalin, Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Chief Human Resources Officer

Kris Syrvalin is the Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Chief Human Resources Officer for Metallus. She joined Metallus in September 2014, having previously held the position of Vice President – Assistant General Counsel and Corporate Secretary at OMNOVA Solutions Inc. Ms. Syrvalin has extensive experience advising corporations, senior management, and boards of directors on matters including corporate and securities law, corporate finance, corporate governance, executive compensation, employee benefits, employment law, and mergers and acquisitions.

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The key risks to Metallus's business, formerly TimkenSteel Corporation, stem from its market dynamics, customer concentration, and operational costs. Metallus officially adopted its new name on February 27, 2024, continuing its legacy as a high-performance specialty metals manufacturer.

  1. Reliance on Key Customers: Metallus faces a significant risk due to its reliance on key customers, with a single customer representing over 10% of its sales. The loss of this customer or a substantial portion of their business would have a major adverse impact on the company.
  2. Cyclical Nature of End Markets and Global Economic Conditions: The company's performance is highly sensitive to global economic conditions and the cyclical nature of the industries it serves, particularly the automotive and industrial sectors. Downturns in these markets can lead to reduced demand and significant pressure on profit margins.
  3. Volatility of Raw Material and Energy Costs: Metallus is exposed to the volatility of raw material costs, such as scrap metal, and energy prices, which can fluctuate wildly based on global demand and supply. While the company utilizes surcharges to pass on some of these costs, there can be a lag, and these measures may not always fully offset price fluctuations, directly impacting the company's profitability.

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  • Emerging Additive Manufacturing (3D Printing) of Metal Components: As metal additive manufacturing technologies continue to advance in terms of material capabilities, production speed, and cost-effectiveness, they present a clear emerging threat. This technology enables the direct creation of complex metal parts from digital designs, potentially bypassing traditional manufacturing processes such as forging, machining, and casting that TimkenSteel (Metallus) currently employs. This could particularly impact the demand for their "custom-make precision steel components" and specialized industrial parts, as customers may increasingly turn to additive manufacturing for agile, on-demand, and complex part production.
  • Decarbonization of the Steel Industry and the Rise of "Green Steel": The global push for sustainability and carbon emission reduction is driving the emergence of new "green steel" production methods (e.g., using hydrogen as a reducing agent, carbon capture technologies). As these processes mature and become economically viable, steel producers utilizing them will gain a significant competitive advantage due to lower carbon footprints, potentially preferential market access, and reduced exposure to carbon taxes. If TimkenSteel (Metallus) does not rapidly invest in and adopt these emerging cleaner production technologies, its traditionally produced steel could face declining demand, increased regulatory pressure, and reduced competitiveness against "green steel" alternatives.

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Metallus (symbol: MTUS), formerly known as TimkenSteel Corporation, operates in several addressable markets for its main products and services, which include alloy steel, carbon and micro-alloy steel products, and custom-made precision steel components. The addressable markets for Metallus's key products and services are: * **Alloy Steel Market**: The global alloy steel market was valued at approximately USD 86.18 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 202.34 billion by 2034, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.2% from 2025 to 2034. Another estimate places the global alloy steel market size at USD 89.83 billion in 2025, with a projection to grow to USD 169.23 billion by 2034, at a CAGR of 7.29%. Asia-Pacific is noted as the largest and fastest-growing region in the alloy steel market, while North America also accounts for a significant share. * **Carbon Steel Market**: The global carbon steel market was estimated at USD 1,017.52 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 1,370.43 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 5.3% from 2025 to 2030. Another report valued the global carbon steel market at USD 987.00 billion in 2025, with a projection to reach USD 1,484.10 billion by 2034, at a CAGR of 4.5%. Asia-Pacific held the largest share of the global carbon steel market (66.98% in 2024, 59.60% in 2025), with the U.S. market also showing significant growth. * **Hot Rolled or Cold Finished Alloy Steel Bars Market**: This global market is estimated to be valued at USD 30.1 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 53.9 billion by 2035, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.0%. * **Steel Billet Market**: The global steel billet market size is estimated at USD 13,750.50 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 26,500.75 million by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 8.3% from 2025 to 2032. Asia-Pacific is the leading region in this market. * **Precision Steel Fabrication Market**: The global precision steel fabrication market size was valued at USD 42.6 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 75.1 billion by the end of 2035, growing at a CAGR of 5.7% from 2026 to 2035. North America is identified as the largest region (35.7% share by 2035). * **Precision Turned Product Manufacturing Market**: The global precision turned product manufacturing market size is calculated at USD 115.39 billion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to approximately USD 196.11 billion by 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 6.07% from 2025 to 2034. North America is expected to be the fastest-growing region in this market.

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Metallus (NYSE: MTUS) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives and market trends:

  1. Expansion in the Aerospace & Defense Sector: Metallus anticipates significant growth from its aerospace and defense segment. The company nearly doubled its Vacuum Arc Remelt (VAR) steel sales in 2025 to approximately $28 million and aims to achieve or exceed a $250 million run rate for aerospace and defense sales by mid-2026. This growth is supported by an increasing global demand for munitions and other defense-related applications, where Metallus is strategically positioned to meet these needs.

  2. Stronger Order Book and Increased Shipments: The company experienced a commercial recovery in 2025, with shipments increasing by approximately 14% year-over-year. Metallus has a materially higher order book, which was up over 50% year-over-year at the end of 2025, with lead times for some products extending into mid-2026 and mid-2027. This strong demand is expected to lead to a sequential increase in first-quarter 2026 shipments by about 10%.

  3. Favorable Pricing Environment: Metallus expects to benefit from pricing momentum. Average base prices per ton for annual agreements are anticipated to increase slightly year-over-year, and recent spot price increases for bar and seamless mechanical tubing products are taking effect through the second and early third quarters of 2026 for uncovered products.

  4. Strategic Capital Investments and Operational Enhancements: The company has planned a $125 million capital expenditure program, with a substantial portion funded by U.S. government grants, specifically targeting capacity expansion and defense-related projects. For 2026, approximately $70 million in capital expenditures are planned, with about $35 million allocated to government-funded projects. These investments are intended to support higher production, enhance operational performance, including increased melt utilization through automation and new furnaces, and capitalize on pricing benefits.

  5. Advancement of Multi-Metal Growth Strategy: Metallus is actively pursuing a multi-metal growth strategy. This involves leveraging its metallurgical expertise, downstream assets, and a customer-centric approach to innovate solutions and expand its offerings, thereby driving revenue growth across various high-performance specialty metal solutions.

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Share Repurchases

  • Metallus repurchased 0.9 million shares of common stock for $13.1 million in 2025.
  • As of December 31, 2025, Metallus had $89.7 million remaining under its authorized share repurchase program.
  • Since the inception of its share repurchase program in early 2022, combined with convertible note settlement activities, Metallus has reduced diluted shares outstanding by approximately 25% or 13.5 million shares.

Share Issuance

  • For the six months ended June 30, 2025, there was an issuance of treasury shares valued at $0.6 million.

Inbound Investments

  • Metallus has a nearly $100 million ($99.75 million) capacity expansion funding agreement with the U.S. Army to support increased munitions production.
  • In 2025, Metallus received $32.1 million in government funding, bringing the total received through December 2025 to $85.6 million.
  • An additional $17 million in government funding is expected in the first half of 2026, contingent on achieving mutually agreed upon milestones, primarily for the new bloom reheat furnace at the Faircrest facility and the new roller furnace at the Gambrinus facility.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures totaled $109.0 million in 2025, which included $81.3 million for projects funded by the U.S. government.
  • For 2026, planned capital expenditures are expected to be approximately $70 million, with about $35 million tied to government-funded projects and $15 million to $20 million funded by Metallus.
  • These investments are focused on critical assets, reliability improvements, automation, sustainability, and expanding capacity for aerospace and defense products, particularly for increasing munitions production.

Better Bets vs. Metallus (MTUS)

Peer Outperformance in Steel

MTUS has trailed 83% of its 12 Steel peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are STLD, RS and NUE. Steel ranks 4th of 15 industries in Materials by median 5Y return.
Share of Steel constituents that MTUS has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
47%
of 15 industry peers · 25.0% return
3Y
15%
of 13 industry peers · -9.6% return
5Y
17%
of 12 industry peers · 46.5% return
Steel peers with revenue growth within 4pp of MTUS's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
MTUS Metallus 0.4% 103.9x 25.0%-9.6%46.5%
STLD Steel Dynamics 1.0% 20.7x 82.3%128.9%271.9% +225pp
RS Reliance 0.8% 22.8x 41.1%50.1%188.5% +142pp
NUE Nucor -0.4% 19.7x 72.8%54.2%130.1% +84pp
CMC Commercial Metals -2.6% 15.0x 19.8%26.7%125.3% +79pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Materials sector, ranked by 5Y. Steel is MTUS's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Copper 7 111.4%85.6%294.8% COPR 1038% · TGB 454% · HBM 416%
Silver 6 185.2%323.4%196.5% HL 280% · SVM 228% · AYA 223%
Gold 32 65.8%219.2%164.8% IAG 800% · OGC 505% · CNL 498%
Steel ← 13 29.1%52.2%130.1% HCC 519% · AMR 501% · NWPX 341%
Diversified Metals & Mining 24 19.4%-9.8%57.5% ATLX 227757% · USAR 60605% · FMST 1167%
Aluminum 3 98.5%128.6%55.3% CENX 306% · KALU 55% · AA 44%
Construction Materials 7 -12.8%34.4%49.1% USLM 322% · CRH 97% · VMC 57%
Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers 10 9.1%15.9%6.6% KRT 157% · MYE 71% · GEF 67%
Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials 7 17.9%17.7%-5.2% PKG 98% · CCK 14% · SON 8%
Specialty Chemicals 40 16.7%3.1%-5.6% LWLG 875% · ODC 499% · NEU 201%
Precious Metals & Minerals 9 53.8%159.6%-10.4% ASM 714% · PPTA 391% · ELE 123%
Commodity Chemicals 13 32.3%10.2%-17.6% HWKN 246% · MEOH 101% · LXU 61%
Diversified Chemicals 4 9.0%-27.5%-22.2% CBT 82% · ASH -4% · CC -40%
Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals 10 0.5%-4.8%-35.8% CF 197% · CTVA 98% · NTR 41%
Paper Products 3 -13.0%-51.9%-95.4% CLW -33% · MERC -95% · ITP -96%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

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Financials

MTUSHCCNWPXFRDNUESTLDMedian
NameMetallus Warrior .NWPX Inf.Friedman.Nucor Steel Dy. 
Mkt Price20.23105.05111.4844.53248.74231.01108.27
Mkt Cap0.85.61.10.356.833.33.3
Rev LTM1,2161,68157475236,10120,5391,448
Op Inc LTM822966404,1682,226148
FCF LTM-98680-71,58395643
FCF 3Y Avg-34-274401,50056622
CFO LTM630110004,4241,572201
CFO 3Y Avg483676474,4941,950215

Growth & Margins

MTUSHCCNWPXFRDNUESTLDMedian
NameMetallus Warrior .NWPX Inf.Friedman.Nucor Steel Dy. 
Rev Chg LTM16.0%37.5%15.1%61.8%17.2%19.8%18.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.4%4.6%8.9%16.8%-0.4%1.0%2.8%
Rev Chg Q11.5%71.3%19.7%78.1%23.0%33.4%28.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.9%14.4%4.8%16.3%5.7%8.0%6.9%
Op Inc Chg LTM163.9%789.7%47.2%253.1%94.4%59.1%129.2%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg592.8%225.5%18.4%69.3%0.3%-8.2%43.8%
Op Mgn LTM0.6%13.6%11.5%5.3%11.5%10.8%11.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg1.9%14.4%9.6%3.4%10.9%11.4%10.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%3.9%0.9%1.3%1.4%0.9%1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM0.5%17.9%17.5%0.0%12.3%7.7%10.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg3.7%23.0%12.0%1.5%13.5%10.6%11.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-8.0%0.4%13.9%-1.0%4.4%4.7%2.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3.3%-3.3%8.2%0.3%4.4%2.9%1.6%

Valuation

MTUSHCCNWPXFRDNUESTLDMedian
NameMetallus Warrior .NWPX Inf.Friedman.Nucor Steel Dy. 
Mkt Cap0.85.61.10.356.833.33.3
P/S0.73.31.90.41.61.61.6
P/Op Inc107.924.216.37.813.614.915.6
P/EBIT69.022.916.57.513.415.616.1
P/E103.925.322.011.419.720.721.4
P/CFO140.318.410.7851.912.821.219.8
Total Yield1.0%4.3%4.5%9.1%6.0%5.7%5.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.3%0.0%0.4%0.9%0.9%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5.5%-1.7%6.3%1.3%3.5%2.2%1.7%
D/E0.00.00.10.30.10.10.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.00.10.30.10.10.1

Returns

MTUSHCCNWPXFRDNUESTLDMedian
NameMetallus Warrior .NWPX Inf.Friedman.Nucor Steel Dy. 
1M Rtn5.8%33.1%-18.1%31.1%7.8%0.2%6.8%
3M Rtn10.8%24.2%1.8%114.3%10.5%1.4%10.6%
6M Rtn-3.6%21.0%53.4%140.4%35.6%20.5%28.3%
12M Rtn25.0%82.3%115.9%161.8%72.8%82.3%82.3%
3Y Rtn-9.6%174.0%253.8%208.1%54.2%128.9%151.5%
1M Excs Rtn-1.3%29.2%-20.3%33.1%4.0%-3.7%1.3%
3M Excs Rtn10.9%18.9%-0.8%110.2%7.6%-1.2%9.3%
6M Excs Rtn-15.6%8.9%41.4%128.4%23.6%8.5%16.3%
12M Excs Rtn8.1%60.7%98.3%136.8%54.7%66.1%63.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-79.8%92.2%182.8%94.2%-20.7%52.1%72.1%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Bar703642917887864
Manufactured components312284253243224
Tube126139170174164
Other1719222631
Total1,1581,0841,3621,3301,283


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20152014
Energy & Distribution617751
Industrial & Mobile576700
Unallocated-51-87
Total1,1421,364


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$20.23 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.8 
Distance from 52W High-8.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$19.98$18.54
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA1.2%9.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility37.8%39.8%
Downside Capture88.16103.18
Upside Capture120.32105.99
Correlation (SPY)34.4%32.3%
MTUS Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.980.590.910.921.001.20
Up Beta0.07-1.19-0.800.140.491.15
Down Beta-0.150.940.641.281.201.14
Up Capture226%112%157%98%119%131%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days12192962126364
Down Capture104%88%148%111%105%107%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days10243461121374

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MTUS
MTUS27.8%39.8%0.71-
Sector ETF (XLB)19.1%17.7%0.8343.0%
Equity (SPY)20.7%12.8%1.1931.8%
Gold (GLD)35.0%28.8%1.047.0%
Commodities (DBC)41.4%20.2%1.60-8.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)15.3%13.9%0.7818.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-44.7%42.7%-1.2711.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MTUS
MTUS3.8%47.7%0.24-
Sector ETF (XLB)6.0%19.1%0.2059.0%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.2%0.5948.9%
Gold (GLD)20.4%18.6%0.899.9%
Commodities (DBC)9.8%19.6%0.3921.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.4%18.9%0.0336.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.2%52.6%0.3222.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MTUS
MTUS9.0%59.1%0.39-
Sector ETF (XLB)10.1%20.7%0.4352.2%
Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7243.3%
Gold (GLD)12.5%16.2%0.636.0%
Commodities (DBC)7.9%18.1%0.3526.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%20.7%0.2032.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)60.0%66.0%1.0013.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 7152026-8.8%
Average Daily Volume0.4 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity41.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/12/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/3/20265.4%6.2% 
5/4/20263.5%-1.7%6.5%
2/19/2026-16.0%-17.3%-29.2%
11/6/2025-1.4%-7.4%-0.1%
8/7/20253.2%5.7%11.5%
5/8/2025-11.3%2.8%11.2%
2/27/2025-8.0%-11.5%-13.4%
11/7/2024-1.6%-7.3%6.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151616
# Negative1098
Median Positive5.1%10.3%11.4%
Median Negative-7.1%-7.4%-8.2%
Max Positive16.3%34.9%59.0%
Max Negative-16.0%-17.3%-29.2%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/3/20265.4%6.2% 
5/4/20263.5%-1.7%6.5%
2/19/2026-16.0%-17.3%-29.2%
11/6/2025-1.4%-7.4%-0.1%
8/7/20253.2%5.7%11.5%
5/8/2025-11.3%2.8%11.2%
2/27/2025-8.0%-11.5%-13.4%
11/7/2024-1.6%-7.3%6.5%
8/8/2024-11.4%-15.4%-24.9%
5/9/20249.2%12.7%6.3%
2/27/20242.7%0.8%11.9%
11/2/2023-5.5%-6.1%1.2%
8/3/2023-6.2%-1.8%0.3%
5/4/20238.7%5.6%14.2%
2/23/20232.3%6.6%-0.4%
11/3/202213.8%17.1%10.7%
8/4/2022-4.0%0.5%-13.2%
5/4/2022-11.3%-13.2%16.2%
2/24/202216.3%34.9%59.0%
11/4/20215.0%8.7%-0.6%
8/5/202111.0%31.4%3.2%
5/6/20213.2%12.2%20.1%
2/25/20215.1%12.4%41.1%
10/29/20200.8%12.0%22.7%
8/6/20208.9%15.5%-3.1%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151616
# Negative1098
Median Positive5.1%10.3%11.4%
Median Negative-7.1%-7.4%-8.2%
Max Positive16.3%34.9%59.0%
Max Negative-16.0%-17.3%-29.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/04/202610-Q
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202502/20/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202302/28/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/24/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/04/202610-Q
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202502/20/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202302/28/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/24/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/04/202210-Q
12/31/202102/24/202210-K
09/30/202111/04/202110-Q
06/30/202108/05/202110-Q
03/31/202105/06/202110-Q
12/31/202002/25/202110-K
09/30/202010/29/202010-Q
06/30/202008/06/202010-Q
03/31/202005/07/202010-Q
12/31/201902/25/202010-K
09/30/201911/06/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/4/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/3/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Capital Expenditures 70.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 70.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted Effective Income Tax Rate27.0%28.5%30.0% 0AffirmedGuidance: 28.5% for 2026

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/4/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Manufacturing Cost Improvement 2.00 Mil -80.0% Lower NewGuidance: 10.00 Mil for Q1 2026
2026 Capital Expenditures 70.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 70.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Government Funding 2.00 Mil    
2026 Pension Contributions 5.00 Mil -81.5% LoweredGuidance: 27.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted Effective Income Tax Rate27.0%28.5%30.0% 0AffirmedGuidance: 28.5% for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/19/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Shipments Growth 10.0%    
Q1 2026 Manufacturing Cost Improvement 10.00 Mil    
Q1 2026 Pension Contributions15.00 Mil16.50 Mil18.00 Mil   
2026 Capital Expenditures 70.00 Mil -41.7% Lower NewActual: 120.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Pension Contributions 27.00 Mil    
2026 Effective Income Tax Rate27.0%28.5%30.0%   

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA      
Q4 2025 Shutdown Costs 11.00 Mil    
2025 Capital Expenditures 120.00 Mil -4.0% LoweredGuidance: 125.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Aerospace and Defense Total Sales Run Rate 250.00 Mil    

Insider Activity

Updated 6/17/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Williams, Michael SChief Executive OfficerDirectSell204202621.2813,713291,81314,130,771Form
2Westbrooks, Kristopher RPresident & COODirectSell204202621.282,12845,2844,023,537Form
3Williams, Michael SChief Executive OfficerDirectSell204202621.0319,017399,92814,253,146Form
4Westbrooks, Kristopher RPresident & COODirectSell204202621.032,95162,0603,976,268Form
5Westbrooks, Kristopher RPresident & COODirectSell116202621.00931,9533,970,596Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Williams, Michael SChief Executive OfficerDirectSell204202621.2813,713291,81314,130,771Form
2Westbrooks, Kristopher RPresident & COODirectSell204202621.282,12845,2844,023,537Form
3Williams, Michael SChief Executive OfficerDirectSell204202621.0319,017399,92814,253,146Form
4Westbrooks, Kristopher RPresident & COODirectSell204202621.032,95162,0603,976,268Form
5Westbrooks, Kristopher RPresident & COODirectSell116202621.00931,9533,970,596Form
6Williams, Michael SChief Executive OfficerDirectSell116202621.0060312,66314,632,170Form
7Westbrooks, Kristopher RPresident & COODirectSell114202620.0610,932219,2963,792,865Form
8Williams, Michael SChief Executive OfficerDirectSell109202619.114,83592,39713,326,798Form
9Williams, Michael SChief Executive OfficerDirectSell109202619.1014,462276,22413,412,173Form
10Williams, Michael SChief Executive OfficerDirectSell1218202519.075,609106,96413,666,897Form
11Williams, Michael SChief Executive OfficerDirectSell1218202519.048,428160,46913,752,192Form
12Yacobozzi, Nicholas AChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell723202518.0021,974395,532880,002Form
13Westbrooks, Kristopher RPresident & COODirectSell723202518.004,00072,0003,475,368Form
14Syrvalin, Kristine CEVP General CounselDirectSell723202518.007,500135,0001,618,380Form
15Syrvalin, Kristine CEVP General CounselDirectSell702202516.007,500120,0001,558,560Form
16Westbrooks, Kristopher RPresident & COODirectSell702202516.004,00064,0003,153,216Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/19/2026