Metallus (MTUS)
Market Price (7/6/2026): $17.52 | Market Cap: $730.6 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Steel
Metallus (MTUS)
Market Price (7/6/2026): $17.52Market Cap: $730.6 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Steel
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include High-Performance Metals, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -50%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 84x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 252x Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.7% Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.6% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.8% Key risksMTUS key risks include [1] operational uncertainty stemming from its unionized workforce's failure to ratify a tentative labor agreement. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include High-Performance Metals, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -50%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 84x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 252x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.7% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.6% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.8% |
| Key risksMTUS key risks include [1] operational uncertainty stemming from its unionized workforce's failure to ratify a tentative labor agreement. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Metallus (MTUS) stock has gained about 5% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Performance Exceeding Expectations.
Metallus reported robust financial results for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), announcing adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.18, surpassing consensus estimates of $0.153 by 17.65%. Revenue for the quarter reached $308.3 million, marking a 9.9% increase year-over-year and exceeding analyst estimates by 2.0%. Net income saw a significant jump of 315% from Q1 2025 to $5.4 million, with adjusted EBITDA climbing 39% year-over-year to $24.6 million. This strong performance was driven by robust demand in the aerospace & defense and industrial end-markets.
2. Positive Analyst Revisions and Increased Price Targets.
Following its solid performance and future outlook, Metallus received positive adjustments from financial analysts. The average twelve-month price target increased to $24.00, suggesting a potential upside of 30.40% from the stock's price of $18.41. One analyst firm increased its price target by 25% to $22.50, which was 23% above the then-current closing price of $18.32. Analysts also noted optimistic 2026 guidance from management, projecting steady EPS growth and an 11% revenue growth for the fiscal year.
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Metallus (MTUS) stock has gained about 5% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Performance Exceeding Expectations.
Metallus reported robust financial results for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), announcing adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.18, surpassing consensus estimates of $0.153 by 17.65%. Revenue for the quarter reached $308.3 million, marking a 9.9% increase year-over-year and exceeding analyst estimates by 2.0%. Net income saw a significant jump of 315% from Q1 2025 to $5.4 million, with adjusted EBITDA climbing 39% year-over-year to $24.6 million. This strong performance was driven by robust demand in the aerospace & defense and industrial end-markets.
2. Positive Analyst Revisions and Increased Price Targets.
Following its solid performance and future outlook, Metallus received positive adjustments from financial analysts. The average twelve-month price target increased to $24.00, suggesting a potential upside of 30.40% from the stock's price of $18.41. One analyst firm increased its price target by 25% to $22.50, which was 23% above the then-current closing price of $18.32. Analysts also noted optimistic 2026 guidance from management, projecting steady EPS growth and an 11% revenue growth for the fiscal year.
3. Secured New Long-Term $300 Million Credit Facility.
On June 30, 2026, Metallus announced it had secured a new $300 million asset-based revolving credit facility, which replaces its previous secured agreement. This new facility is set to mature on June 30, 2031, and includes options for expansion, significantly enhancing Metallus's liquidity profile. This long-dated liquidity is intended to support working capital needs, capital expenditures, and potential acquisitions, demonstrating strengthened financial flexibility.
4. Resolution of Labor Uncertainty with New Collective Bargaining Agreement.
A new four-year collective bargaining agreement with United Steelworkers Local 1123 became effective on February 5, 2026, and extends through September 30, 2029. This agreement, ratified after previous rejections, provides annual base wage increases, competitive healthcare, and retirement benefits. The resolution of labor negotiations prior to the analysis period provides operational stability and mitigates potential disruptions, which is viewed positively by investors.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 7.1% change in MTUS stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 4.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 16.34 | 17.50 | 7.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,158 | 1,186 | 2.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.6 | 0.6 | 4.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 42 | 42 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 7.1% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MTUS | 7.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.5% | 39.8% |
| Sector (XLB) | 4.1% | 60.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 2.0% change in MTUS stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 4.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 17.16 | 17.50 | 2.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,132 | 1,186 | 4.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.6 | 0.6 | -2.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 42 | 42 | 0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 2.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MTUS | 2.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.5% | 29.7% |
| Sector (XLB) | 15.2% | 46.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 13.6% change in MTUS stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 13.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 15.41 | 17.50 | 13.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,043 | 1,186 | 13.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.6 | 0.6 | -1.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 42 | 42 | 1.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 13.6% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MTUS | 13.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 21.6% | 33.6% |
| Sector (XLB) | 20.2% | 50.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -18.9% change in MTUS stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -92.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.57 | 17.50 | -18.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,301 | 1,186 | -8.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.3% | 0.2% | -92.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 22.4 | 251.6 | 1024.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 44 | 42 | 5.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -18.9% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MTUS | -18.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.0% | 45.0% |
| Sector (XLB) | 32.5% | 55.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MTUS Return | 253% | 10% | 29% | -40% | 21% | 5% | 286% |
| Peers Return | 52% | 26% | 37% | 3% | 44% | 52% | 495% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 99% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MTUS Win Rate | 75% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 58% | 43% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 52% | 60% | 63% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MTUS Max Drawdown | -28% | -45% | -24% | -43% | -28% | -32% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -34% | -33% | -29% | -26% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HCC, NWPX, FRD, NUE, STLD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/2/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MTUS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.9% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 85 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -18.3% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.4% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 520 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -17.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.1% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 55 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -18.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.4% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 82 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -21.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.0% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 35 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -60.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 154.9% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 226 days | 140 days |
In The Past
Metallus's stock fell -28.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 38.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | MTUS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.9% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 85 days | 79 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -21.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.0% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 35 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -60.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 154.9% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 226 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -44.8% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.1% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 875 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -78.4% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 362.7% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 403 days | 62 days |
In The Past
Metallus's stock fell -28.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 38.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Metallus (MTUS)
Metallus (MTUS), formerly TimkenSteel Corporation, is a specialized manufacturer of high-quality steel products. The company primarily produces alloy steel, carbon steel, and micro-alloy steel in various forms, including ingots, bars, tubes, and billets. In addition to material production, Metallus provides value-added services such as custom machining and thermal treatment, enhancing the functionality and precision of its steel components.
The company's products are integral to the functionality of numerous mechanical systems and components. These steel materials are commonly found in critical applications such as gears, hubs, axles, crankshafts, connecting rods, and oil country drill pipes. They are also essential for bearing races, rolling elements, bushings, fuel injectors, and wind energy shafts, showcasing the precision and durability required of Metallus's offerings.
Metallus serves a wide range of industrial markets, providing essential materials to sectors including automotive, oil and gas, industrial equipment, mining, and construction. Its products are also vital for the rail, defense, heavy truck, agriculture, and power generation industries, as well as the oil country tubular goods sector. This diverse customer base highlights Metallus's foundational role in supporting heavy industry and specialized engineering applications.
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Here are a few brief analogies for Metallus:
- The Intel for industrial steel components.
- Corning, but for specialized industrial steel instead of glass.
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- Steel Ingots: Blocks of steel, often the first solid form after casting.
- Steel Bars: Long, solid lengths of alloy, carbon, and micro-alloy steel with various cross-sections.
- Steel Tubes: Hollow lengths of alloy, carbon, and micro-alloy steel used in various applications.
- Steel Billets: Semi-finished products of alloy, carbon, and micro-alloy steel, typically used for further processing.
- Machining Services: Processes that remove material from steel products to create desired shapes or finishes.
- Thermal Treatment Services: Processes involving heating and cooling steel to alter its microstructure and properties.
- Custom Precision Steel Components: Specially manufactured steel parts designed to specific customer requirements with high accuracy.
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Metallus (symbol: MTUS) sells primarily to other companies (B2B). Based on the provided background information, specific major customer company names are not listed. However, the company serves a wide array of industries, which represent its major customer categories. Among these, the most prominent include:
- Automotive: This sector includes applications for components such as gears, hubs, axles, crankshafts, connecting rods, and also covers heavy trucks.
- Oil and Gas: Customers in this industry utilize Metallus's products for oil country drill pipes, bits, collars, and other oil country tubular goods.
- Industrial Equipment: This broad category covers a variety of applications and sectors including general industrial machinery, mining, construction, rail, agriculture, and power generation.
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Mike Williams, Chief Executive Officer
Mike Williams joined Metallus (formerly TimkenSteel Corporation) as Chief Executive Officer on January 1, 2021. Prior to his role at Metallus, he served as the Chief Executive Officer of Bayou Steel Group, a U.S. producer of structural steel and merchant bar. Before Bayou, Mr. Williams was the President of Outokumpu Americas for Outokumpu Oyj, a global leader in the stainless steel industry. His earlier career included various leadership positions at U.S. Steel Corporation, where he was Senior Vice President North American Flat Rolled, and later Senior Vice President, Strategic Planning, and Business Development.
John M. Zaranec III, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
John M. Zaranec III will assume the role of Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for Metallus, effective June 16, 2025. Mr. Zaranec brings over two decades of financial experience in the manufacturing and industrial sectors. Most recently, he served as Division Chief Financial Officer at Materion Corporation, where he led the finance strategy and function for the Performance Materials segment. His previous roles at Materion also included Chief Accounting Officer, Corporate Controller, and Head of Investor Relations. Before joining Materion, Mr. Zaranec held finance and accounting roles of increasing responsibility at The Timken Company.
Kristopher R. Westbrooks, President and Chief Operating Officer
Kristopher R. Westbrooks was promoted to the newly created role of President and Chief Operating Officer for Metallus, effective June 16, 2025. He initially joined the company in September 2018 as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. In his current role as President and COO, Mr. Westbrooks oversees Metallus' safety, manufacturing operations and excellence, and supply chain organizations. Prior to joining Metallus, he served as Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer, and Corporate Controller at A. Schulman, Inc., an international supplier of high-performance plastic formulations, resins, and services, where he was responsible for leading the integration of the company's merger with LyondellBasell.
Kevin Raketich, Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer
Kevin Raketich serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer for Metallus.
Kris Syrvalin, Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Chief Human Resources Officer
Kris Syrvalin is the Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Chief Human Resources Officer for Metallus. She joined Metallus in September 2014, having previously held the position of Vice President – Assistant General Counsel and Corporate Secretary at OMNOVA Solutions Inc. Ms. Syrvalin has extensive experience advising corporations, senior management, and boards of directors on matters including corporate and securities law, corporate finance, corporate governance, executive compensation, employee benefits, employment law, and mergers and acquisitions.
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The key risks to Metallus's business, formerly TimkenSteel Corporation, stem from its market dynamics, customer concentration, and operational costs. Metallus officially adopted its new name on February 27, 2024, continuing its legacy as a high-performance specialty metals manufacturer.
- Reliance on Key Customers: Metallus faces a significant risk due to its reliance on key customers, with a single customer representing over 10% of its sales. The loss of this customer or a substantial portion of their business would have a major adverse impact on the company.
- Cyclical Nature of End Markets and Global Economic Conditions: The company's performance is highly sensitive to global economic conditions and the cyclical nature of the industries it serves, particularly the automotive and industrial sectors. Downturns in these markets can lead to reduced demand and significant pressure on profit margins.
- Volatility of Raw Material and Energy Costs: Metallus is exposed to the volatility of raw material costs, such as scrap metal, and energy prices, which can fluctuate wildly based on global demand and supply. While the company utilizes surcharges to pass on some of these costs, there can be a lag, and these measures may not always fully offset price fluctuations, directly impacting the company's profitability.
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- Emerging Additive Manufacturing (3D Printing) of Metal Components: As metal additive manufacturing technologies continue to advance in terms of material capabilities, production speed, and cost-effectiveness, they present a clear emerging threat. This technology enables the direct creation of complex metal parts from digital designs, potentially bypassing traditional manufacturing processes such as forging, machining, and casting that TimkenSteel (Metallus) currently employs. This could particularly impact the demand for their "custom-make precision steel components" and specialized industrial parts, as customers may increasingly turn to additive manufacturing for agile, on-demand, and complex part production.
- Decarbonization of the Steel Industry and the Rise of "Green Steel": The global push for sustainability and carbon emission reduction is driving the emergence of new "green steel" production methods (e.g., using hydrogen as a reducing agent, carbon capture technologies). As these processes mature and become economically viable, steel producers utilizing them will gain a significant competitive advantage due to lower carbon footprints, potentially preferential market access, and reduced exposure to carbon taxes. If TimkenSteel (Metallus) does not rapidly invest in and adopt these emerging cleaner production technologies, its traditionally produced steel could face declining demand, increased regulatory pressure, and reduced competitiveness against "green steel" alternatives.
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Metallus (NYSE: MTUS) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives and market trends:
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Expansion in the Aerospace & Defense Sector: Metallus anticipates significant growth from its aerospace and defense segment. The company nearly doubled its Vacuum Arc Remelt (VAR) steel sales in 2025 to approximately $28 million and aims to achieve or exceed a $250 million run rate for aerospace and defense sales by mid-2026. This growth is supported by an increasing global demand for munitions and other defense-related applications, where Metallus is strategically positioned to meet these needs.
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Stronger Order Book and Increased Shipments: The company experienced a commercial recovery in 2025, with shipments increasing by approximately 14% year-over-year. Metallus has a materially higher order book, which was up over 50% year-over-year at the end of 2025, with lead times for some products extending into mid-2026 and mid-2027. This strong demand is expected to lead to a sequential increase in first-quarter 2026 shipments by about 10%.
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Favorable Pricing Environment: Metallus expects to benefit from pricing momentum. Average base prices per ton for annual agreements are anticipated to increase slightly year-over-year, and recent spot price increases for bar and seamless mechanical tubing products are taking effect through the second and early third quarters of 2026 for uncovered products.
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Strategic Capital Investments and Operational Enhancements: The company has planned a $125 million capital expenditure program, with a substantial portion funded by U.S. government grants, specifically targeting capacity expansion and defense-related projects. For 2026, approximately $70 million in capital expenditures are planned, with about $35 million allocated to government-funded projects. These investments are intended to support higher production, enhance operational performance, including increased melt utilization through automation and new furnaces, and capitalize on pricing benefits.
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Advancement of Multi-Metal Growth Strategy: Metallus is actively pursuing a multi-metal growth strategy. This involves leveraging its metallurgical expertise, downstream assets, and a customer-centric approach to innovate solutions and expand its offerings, thereby driving revenue growth across various high-performance specialty metal solutions.
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Share Repurchases
- Metallus repurchased 0.9 million shares of common stock for $13.1 million in 2025.
- As of December 31, 2025, Metallus had $89.7 million remaining under its authorized share repurchase program.
- Since the inception of its share repurchase program in early 2022, combined with convertible note settlement activities, Metallus has reduced diluted shares outstanding by approximately 25% or 13.5 million shares.
Share Issuance
- For the six months ended June 30, 2025, there was an issuance of treasury shares valued at $0.6 million.
Inbound Investments
- Metallus has a nearly $100 million ($99.75 million) capacity expansion funding agreement with the U.S. Army to support increased munitions production.
- In 2025, Metallus received $32.1 million in government funding, bringing the total received through December 2025 to $85.6 million.
- An additional $17 million in government funding is expected in the first half of 2026, contingent on achieving mutually agreed upon milestones, primarily for the new bloom reheat furnace at the Faircrest facility and the new roller furnace at the Gambrinus facility.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures totaled $109.0 million in 2025, which included $81.3 million for projects funded by the U.S. government.
- For 2026, planned capital expenditures are expected to be approximately $70 million, with about $35 million tied to government-funded projects and $15 million to $20 million funded by Metallus.
- These investments are focused on critical assets, reliability improvements, automation, sustainability, and expanding capacity for aerospace and defense products, particularly for increasing munitions production.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Metallus Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Would You Still Hold Metallus Stock If It Fell 30%? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Metallus (MTUS) Debt Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Metallus (MTUS) Revenue Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Metallus (MTUS) Operating Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Metallus (MTUS) EBITDA Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Metallus (MTUS) Tax Expense Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Metallus (MTUS) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Metallus (MTUS) Net Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Why Metallus Stock Moved: MTUS Stock Has Gained 24% Since 2024 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Price To Sales Multiple (P/S) | 08/08/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 108.88 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.8 |
| Rev LTM | 1,327 |
| Op Inc LTM | 100 |
| FCF LTM | 37 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 19 |
| CFO LTM | 149 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 212 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 11.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 20.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.9% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 61.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -0.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 0.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.3% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $17.50 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.7 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -18.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $15.36 | $16.27 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 13.9% | 7.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 37.2% | 40.0% |
| Downside Capture | 185.48 | 128.47 |
| Upside Capture | 127.96 | 109.23 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 39.7% | 33.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.39 | 0.91 | 0.92 | 0.93 | 1.07 | 1.21 |
| Up Beta | -1.67 | -1.09 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.59 | 1.15 |
| Down Beta | 1.51 | 0.81 | 1.12 | 1.31 | 1.25 | 1.15 |
| Up Capture | 27% | 123% | 114% | 102% | 118% | 131% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 17 | 33 | 62 | 124 | 365 |
| Down Capture | 77% | 173% | 139% | 106% | 112% | 108% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 14 | 24 | 30 | 60 | 122 | 371 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MTUS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTUS | 14.5% | 40.3% | 0.44 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 17.2% | 17.5% | 0.75 | 50.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.7% | 12.5% | 1.29 | 33.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.1% | 27.7% | 0.73 | 8.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 21.3% | 18.6% | 0.90 | -8.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.6% | 13.8% | 0.68 | 23.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -42.0% | 42.7% | -1.15 | 13.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MTUS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTUS | 3.7% | 48.7% | 0.24 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 6.9% | 19.0% | 0.25 | 60.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.3% | 17.1% | 0.60 | 48.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.9% | 18.3% | 0.79 | 9.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.9% | 19.5% | 0.25 | 22.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.1% | 18.9% | 0.06 | 35.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.2% | 53.8% | 0.41 | 22.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MTUS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTUS | 6.6% | 59.8% | 0.36 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 10.3% | 20.7% | 0.44 | 52.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 43.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.1% | 0.61 | 5.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.7% | 18.0% | 0.25 | 27.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.5% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 31.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 59.0% | 66.2% | 0.99 | 13.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/5/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/4/2026 | 3.5% | -1.7% | 6.5% |
| 2/19/2026 | -16.0% | -17.3% | -29.2% |
| 11/6/2025 | -1.4% | -7.4% | -0.1% |
| 8/7/2025 | 3.2% | 5.7% | 11.5% |
| 5/8/2025 | -11.3% | 2.8% | 11.2% |
| 2/27/2025 | -8.0% | -11.5% | -13.4% |
| 11/7/2024 | -1.6% | -7.3% | 6.5% |
| 8/8/2024 | -11.4% | -15.4% | -24.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| # Negative | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 5.1% | 12.0% | 11.4% |
| Median Negative | -7.1% | -7.4% | -8.2% |
| Max Positive | 16.3% | 34.9% | 59.0% |
| Max Negative | -16.0% | -17.3% | -29.2% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/4/2026 | 3.5% | -1.7% | 6.5% |
| 2/19/2026 | -16.0% | -17.3% | -29.2% |
| 11/6/2025 | -1.4% | -7.4% | -0.1% |
| 8/7/2025 | 3.2% | 5.7% | 11.5% |
| 5/8/2025 | -11.3% | 2.8% | 11.2% |
| 2/27/2025 | -8.0% | -11.5% | -13.4% |
| 11/7/2024 | -1.6% | -7.3% | 6.5% |
| 8/8/2024 | -11.4% | -15.4% | -24.9% |
| 5/9/2024 | 9.2% | 12.7% | 6.3% |
| 2/27/2024 | 2.7% | 0.8% | 11.9% |
| 11/2/2023 | -5.5% | -6.1% | 1.2% |
| 8/3/2023 | -6.2% | -1.8% | 0.3% |
| 5/4/2023 | 8.7% | 5.6% | 14.2% |
| 2/23/2023 | 2.3% | 6.6% | -0.4% |
| 11/3/2022 | 13.8% | 17.1% | 10.7% |
| 8/4/2022 | -4.0% | 0.5% | -13.2% |
| 5/4/2022 | -11.3% | -13.2% | 16.2% |
| 2/24/2022 | 16.3% | 34.9% | 59.0% |
| 11/4/2021 | 5.0% | 8.7% | -0.6% |
| 8/5/2021 | 11.0% | 31.4% | 3.2% |
| 5/6/2021 | 3.2% | 12.2% | 20.1% |
| 2/25/2021 | 5.1% | 12.4% | 41.1% |
| 10/29/2020 | 0.8% | 12.0% | 22.7% |
| 8/6/2020 | 8.9% | 15.5% | -3.1% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| # Negative | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 5.1% | 12.0% | 11.4% |
| Median Negative | -7.1% | -7.4% | -8.2% |
| Max Positive | 16.3% | 34.9% | 59.0% |
| Max Negative | -16.0% | -17.3% | -29.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/20/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/24/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/20/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/24/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/24/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/04/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/05/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/06/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/25/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 10/29/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/06/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/07/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/25/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/06/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/01/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 6/1/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/4/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Manufacturing Cost Improvement | 2.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 70.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 70.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Government Funding | 2.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2026 Pension Contributions | 5.00 Mil | -81.5% | Lowered | Guidance: 27.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Adjusted Effective Income Tax Rate | 27.0% | 28.5% | 30.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 28.5% for 2026 |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/19/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Shipments Growth | 10.0% | ||||||
| Q1 2026 Manufacturing Cost Improvement | 10.00 Mil | ||||||
| Q1 2026 Pension Contributions | 15.00 Mil | 16.50 Mil | 18.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 70.00 Mil | -41.7% | Lower New | Actual: 120.00 Mil for 2025 | |||
| 2026 Pension Contributions | 27.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2026 Effective Income Tax Rate | 27.0% | 28.5% | 30.0% | ||||
Insider Activity
Updated 6/17/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Williams, Michael S | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 2042026 | 21.28 | 13,713 | 291,813 | 14,130,771 | Form |
| 2 | Westbrooks, Kristopher R | President & COO | Direct | Sell | 2042026 | 21.28 | 2,128 | 45,284 | 4,023,537 | Form |
| 3 | Williams, Michael S | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 2042026 | 21.03 | 19,017 | 399,928 | 14,253,146 | Form |
| 4 | Westbrooks, Kristopher R | President & COO | Direct | Sell | 2042026 | 21.03 | 2,951 | 62,060 | 3,976,268 | Form |
| 5 | Westbrooks, Kristopher R | President & COO | Direct | Sell | 1162026 | 21.00 | 93 | 1,953 | 3,970,596 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Williams, Michael S | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 2042026 | 21.28 | 13,713 | 291,813 | 14,130,771 | Form |
| 2 | Westbrooks, Kristopher R | President & COO | Direct | Sell | 2042026 | 21.28 | 2,128 | 45,284 | 4,023,537 | Form |
| 3 | Williams, Michael S | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 2042026 | 21.03 | 19,017 | 399,928 | 14,253,146 | Form |
| 4 | Westbrooks, Kristopher R | President & COO | Direct | Sell | 2042026 | 21.03 | 2,951 | 62,060 | 3,976,268 | Form |
| 5 | Westbrooks, Kristopher R | President & COO | Direct | Sell | 1162026 | 21.00 | 93 | 1,953 | 3,970,596 | Form |
| 6 | Williams, Michael S | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 1162026 | 21.00 | 603 | 12,663 | 14,632,170 | Form |
| 7 | Westbrooks, Kristopher R | President & COO | Direct | Sell | 1142026 | 20.06 | 10,932 | 219,296 | 3,792,865 | Form |
| 8 | Williams, Michael S | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 1092026 | 19.11 | 4,835 | 92,397 | 13,326,798 | Form |
| 9 | Williams, Michael S | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 1092026 | 19.10 | 14,462 | 276,224 | 13,412,173 | Form |
| 10 | Williams, Michael S | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 12182025 | 19.07 | 5,609 | 106,964 | 13,666,897 | Form |
| 11 | Williams, Michael S | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 12182025 | 19.04 | 8,428 | 160,469 | 13,752,192 | Form |
| 12 | Yacobozzi, Nicholas A | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 7232025 | 18.00 | 21,974 | 395,532 | 880,002 | Form |
| 13 | Westbrooks, Kristopher R | President & COO | Direct | Sell | 7232025 | 18.00 | 4,000 | 72,000 | 3,475,368 | Form |
| 14 | Syrvalin, Kristine C | EVP General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 7232025 | 18.00 | 7,500 | 135,000 | 1,618,380 | Form |
| 15 | Syrvalin, Kristine C | EVP General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 7022025 | 16.00 | 7,500 | 120,000 | 1,558,560 | Form |
| 16 | Westbrooks, Kristopher R | President & COO | Direct | Sell | 7022025 | 16.00 | 4,000 | 64,000 | 3,153,216 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Materials Resources |
| Chemical & Engineering News (C&EN) |
| Mining.com |
| Plastics News |
| Steel Resources |
| SteelOrbis |
| World Steel Association |
| Kallanish Commodities |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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