Eagle Materials (EXP)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $223.84 | Market Cap: $7.2 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Construction Materials
Eagle Materials (EXP)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $223.84Market Cap: $7.2 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Construction Materials
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.2% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -1.3% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.2% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -1.3% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
EXP Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
I have identified several news items and reports related to Eagle Materials (EXP) between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025. Note that some search results for "EXP" may refer to "eXp World Holdings Inc." (EXPI), which is a different company. I have filtered these to focus only on Eagle Materials (EXP). Here are key points that could explain a -2.9% stock movement for Eagle Materials during the specified period: 1. Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Report. Eagle Materials reported its second quarter fiscal 2026 results for the period ended September 30, 2025, on October 30, 2025. While the company achieved record revenue of $638.9 million, net earnings of $137.4 million, and EPS of $4.23, and adjusted EBITDA of $233.3 million, the Light Materials segment (Gypsum Wallboard) experienced a 13% decline in revenue and a 14% decrease in wallboard volume. This decline in a key segment likely contributed to investor concerns. The stock saw an end-of-day decline of -7.94% on the news. 2. Net Profit Margin Contraction. In the report dated October 31, 2025, it was highlighted that Eagle Materials' net profit margin came in at 19.8%, a modest contraction from the previous year's 21.6%. Although analysts expected profit margins to increase in the next three years due to ongoing investments and infrastructure spending, the immediate contraction could have negatively impacted investor sentiment.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EXP Return | 12% | 65% | -20% | 54% | 22% | -10% | 151% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 46% | -28% | 66% | 11% | 3% | 132% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EXP Win Rate | 75% | 75% | 33% | 67% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 73% | 35% | 65% | 58% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EXP Max Drawdown | -52% | -2% | -38% | -1% | -3% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -51% | -3% | -40% | -3% | -7% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CRH, VMC, MLM, JHX, EXP. See EXP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EXP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -38.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 248 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -54.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 118.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 245 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -52.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 109.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 781 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -71.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 253.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1464 days | 1480 days |
Compare to CRH, VMC, MLM, JHX, EXP
In The Past
Eagle Materials's stock fell -38.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/29/2021. A -38.5% loss requires a 62.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to EXP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
| 06302022 | EXP | Eagle Materials | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.3% | 70.8% | -5.9% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
| 06302022 | EXP | Eagle Materials | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.3% | 70.8% | -5.9% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Eagle Materials
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 224.01 |
| Mkt Cap | 37.1 |
| Rev LTM | 7,296 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,585 |
| FCF LTM | 1,007 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 570 |
| CFO LTM | 1,710 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,159 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 21.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 22.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 21.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 37.1 |
| P/S | 3.3 |
| P/EBIT | 20.6 |
| P/E | 33.0 |
| P/CFO | 14.8 |
| Total Yield | 3.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 11.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 2.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 66.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -3.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -11.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -1.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cement | 2,042 | 1,905 | 1,861 | 1,899 | 1,980 |
| Gypsum Wallboard | 432 | 421 | 397 | 366 | 376 |
| Concrete and Aggregates | 225 | 235 | 89 | 88 | 136 |
| Recycled Paperboard | 171 | 164 | 180 | 186 | 183 |
| Other, net | 76 | 56 | 52 | ||
| Corporate and Other | 299 | 272 | |||
| Assets of Discontinued Operations | 14 | ||||
| Total | 2,947 | 2,781 | 2,580 | 2,839 | 2,961 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5202025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1292025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10292024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7302024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5222024 | 10-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1252024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5192023 | 10-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 1262023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10262022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5202022 | 10-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 1272022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |