Linde (LIN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $409.13 | Market Cap: $192.6 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Industrial Gases
Linde (LIN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $409.13Market Cap: $192.6 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Industrial Gases
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Hydrogen Economy, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Advanced Materials, and Water Infrastructure. Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Hydrogen Economy, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Advanced Materials, and Water Infrastructure. Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LIN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining the approximate -13.9% stock movement for Linde (LIN) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Q3 2025 Revenue Miss: Linde reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 31, 2025, with sales of $8.615 billion, which fell below analyst estimates of $8.694 billion. This revenue miss indicated a weaker-than-anticipated top-line performance for the company.
2. Stagnant Industrial Activity and Cautious Outlook: During its Q3 2025 earnings call, Linde's management highlighted "stagnant industrial activity" across key markets and offered a cautious outlook for the near term, assuming base volume contraction. This tempered perspective on the macroeconomic environment likely contributed to investor concern.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LIN Return | 26% | 33% | -4% | 28% | 3% | -1% | 108% |
| Peers Return | 29% | 28% | -8% | 6% | -10% | -7% | 34% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LIN Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 42% | 67% | 58% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 68% | 52% | 48% | 42% | 47% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LIN Max Drawdown | -29% | -8% | -23% | -6% | -2% | -2% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -49% | -4% | -31% | -10% | -21% | -39% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FCX, APD, DD, DOW, HUN. See LIN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LIN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -23.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 151 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -32.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -14.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 99 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -52.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 108.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 854 days | 1480 days |
Compare to FCX, APD, DD, DOW, HUN
In The Past
Linde's stock fell -23.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -23.7% loss requires a 31.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LIN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
| 08312022 | LIN | Linde | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 24.1% | 38.9% | -6.2% |
| 03312020 | LIN | Linde | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 37.8% | 64.6% | -7.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
| 08312022 | LIN | Linde | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 24.1% | 38.9% | -6.2% |
| 03312020 | LIN | Linde | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 37.8% | 64.6% | -7.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Linde
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Valuation
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Americas | 14,304 | 13,874 | 12,103 | 10,459 | 10,989 |
| Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) | 8,542 | 8,443 | 7,643 | 6,449 | 6,643 |
| Asia Pacific (APAC) | 6,559 | 6,480 | 6,133 | 5,687 | 5,779 |
| Engineering | 2,160 | 2,762 | 2,867 | 2,851 | 2,799 |
| Other | 1,289 | 1,805 | 2,047 | 1,797 | 1,953 |
| Merger-related divestitures | 65 | ||||
| Total | 32,854 | 33,364 | 30,793 | 27,243 | 28,228 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Americas | 4,244 | 3,732 | 3,368 | 2,773 | 2,577 |
| Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) | 2,486 | 2,013 | 1,889 | 1,465 | 1,367 |
| Asia Pacific (APAC) | 1,806 | 1,670 | 1,502 | 1,277 | 1,184 |
| Engineering | 491 | 555 | 473 | 435 | 390 |
| Other | 43 | -66 | -56 | -153 | -246 |
| Cost reduction program and other charges | -40 | -1,029 | -273 | -506 | -567 |
| Purchase accounting impacts - Linde AG | -1,006 | -1,506 | -1,919 | -1,969 | -1,952 |
| Merger-related divestitures | 16 | ||||
| Net gain on sale of business | 164 | ||||
| Total | 8,024 | 5,369 | 4,984 | 3,322 | 2,933 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5022022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
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