Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, CFO LTM is 9.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.1 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -38%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.6%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 19%
  Key risks
LIN key risks include [1] execution challenges and potential cost overruns for its large-scale engineering projects, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Hydrogen Economy, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Advanced Materials, and Water Infrastructure. Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, CFO LTM is 9.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.1 Bil
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 19%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Hydrogen Economy, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Advanced Materials, and Water Infrastructure. Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -38%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.6%
5 Key risks
LIN key risks include [1] execution challenges and potential cost overruns for its large-scale engineering projects, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LIN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Softer-than-expected guidance for 2025. Linde provided adjusted earnings per share guidance for both the first quarter and the full year 2025 that fell below analyst consensus estimates.

2. Revenue shortfall in Q4 2024. The company reported fourth-quarter 2024 revenue of $8.28 billion, which was lower than the anticipated $8.41 billion by analysts.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LIN Return26%33%-4%28%3%3%117%
Peers Return23%15%-9%12%2%-9%34%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LIN Win Rate58%58%42%67%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate65%48%52%45%48%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LIN Max Drawdown-29%-8%-23%-6%-2%-6% 
Peers Max Drawdown-55%-5%-27%-7%-21%-34% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: APD, GTLS, LYB, DOW, DD. See LIN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLINS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-23.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven151 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-32.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-14.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven16.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven99 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-52.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven108.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven854 days1,480 days

Compare to FCX, APD, DD, DOW, HUN


In The Past

Linde's stock fell -23.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -23.7% loss requires a 31.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Linde (LIN)

Better Bets than Linde (LIN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LIN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
LIN_8312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312022LINLindeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
24.1%38.9%-6.2%
LIN_3312020_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312020LINLindeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
37.8%64.6%-7.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
LIN_8312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312022LINLindeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
24.1%38.9%-6.2%
LIN_3312020_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312020LINLindeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
37.8%64.6%-7.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Linde

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LINAPDGTLSLYBDOWDDMedian
NameLinde Air Prod.Chart In.Lyondell.Dow DuPont d. 
Mkt Price422.34246.38205.6143.7623.0740.60124.69
Mkt Cap198.960.79.214.116.417.016.7
Rev LTM33,24512,0374,29135,15440,91313,51823,382
Op Inc LTM8,9362,8896881,5234722,1431,833
FCF LTM5,069-3,766398463-1,1201,316430
FCF 3Y Avg5,107-2,7791852,082903658780
CFO LTM9,9123,2574852,3571,5622,0642,210
CFO 3Y Avg9,2773,3703023,8503,6451,9863,508

Growth & Margins

LINAPDGTLSLYBDOWDDMedian
NameLinde Air Prod.Chart In.Lyondell.Dow DuPont d. 
Rev Chg LTM1.3%-0.5%5.5%-6.3%-5.3%14.0%0.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.6%-1.8%43.7%-12.9%-11.3%1.3%-0.6%
Rev Chg Q2.8%-0.6%3.6%-11.8%-8.3%7.3%1.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.7%-0.2%0.9%-2.8%-2.2%1.6%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM26.9%24.0%16.0%4.3%1.2%15.9%15.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg24.8%23.4%13.9%6.9%3.5%14.9%14.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-0.3%-0.2%-1.8%-0.5%0.1%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM29.8%27.1%11.3%6.7%3.8%15.3%13.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg28.1%27.5%7.5%9.9%8.3%15.9%12.9%
FCF/Rev LTM15.2%-31.3%9.3%1.3%-2.7%9.7%5.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg15.4%-22.9%4.1%5.2%1.9%5.2%4.6%

Valuation

LINAPDGTLSLYBDOWDDMedian
NameLinde Air Prod.Chart In.Lyondell.Dow DuPont d. 
Mkt Cap198.960.79.214.116.417.016.7
P/S6.75.02.10.40.42.42.3
P/EBIT24.0-22.027.5138.346.327.5
P/E33.3-154.0134.960.5-14.4-42.39.5
P/CFO22.618.618.56.710.415.817.2
Total Yield4.2%2.0%0.7%12.7%3.7%-0.3%2.8%
Dividend Yield1.2%2.6%0.0%11.1%10.6%2.1%2.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.4%-2.6%7.2%1.2%1.9%2.4%
D/E0.1-0.40.81.20.30.4
Net D/E0.1-0.40.70.90.20.4

Returns

LINAPDGTLSLYBDOWDDMedian
NameLinde Air Prod.Chart In.Lyondell.Dow DuPont d. 
1M Rtn1.4%-2.7%1.0%3.3%8.0%5.6%2.4%
3M Rtn-11.7%-14.7%2.8%-15.9%-4.6%32.9%-8.1%
6M Rtn-7.3%-9.4%42.7%-21.4%-16.7%53.4%-8.3%
12M Rtn-0.5%-17.1%4.6%-36.3%-38.9%29.4%-8.8%
3Y Rtn33.3%-16.0%76.4%-33.5%-44.6%58.8%8.6%
1M Excs Rtn0.7%-3.4%0.3%2.6%7.3%4.8%1.7%
3M Excs Rtn-12.3%-16.5%1.5%-15.9%-4.2%29.3%-8.3%
6M Excs Rtn-19.7%-21.7%30.3%-33.8%-29.0%41.1%-20.7%
12M Excs Rtn-12.7%-30.2%-7.2%-47.6%-50.4%17.2%-21.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-37.7%-85.3%4.3%-103.8%-114.5%-14.0%-61.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Americas14,30413,87412,10310,45910,989
Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA)8,5428,4437,6436,4496,643
Asia Pacific (APAC)6,5596,4806,1335,6875,779
Engineering2,1602,7622,8672,8512,799
Other1,2891,8052,0471,7971,953
Merger-related divestitures    65
Total32,85433,36430,79327,24328,228


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Americas4,2443,7323,3682,7732,577
Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA)2,4862,0131,8891,4651,367
Asia Pacific (APAC)1,8061,6701,5021,2771,184
Engineering491555473435390
Other43-66-56-153-246
Cost reduction program and other charges-40-1,029-273-506-567
Purchase accounting impacts - Linde AG-1,006-1,506-1,919-1,969-1,952
Merger-related divestitures    16
Net gain on sale of business    164
Total8,0245,3694,9843,3222,933


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,758,131
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520252.1%
Average Daily Volume2,710,250
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.49
Basic Shares Quantity470,865,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/31/2025-2.7%-3.4%-4.9%
8/1/2025-0.2%2.0%3.9%
5/1/2025-1.1%-0.8%3.2%
2/6/20251.5%1.1%3.3%
10/31/2024-3.6%-2.3%-2.6%
8/2/20240.1%-1.3%5.5%
5/2/2024-5.2%-3.4%-1.6%
2/6/20243.7%4.7%15.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161518
# Negative9107
Median Positive2.1%2.0%4.1%
Median Negative-1.1%-1.0%-2.6%
Max Positive6.1%10.3%24.2%
Max Negative-5.2%-3.4%-18.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022502202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021