Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 9.9%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.8%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, Show more.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 9.9%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, Show more.
2 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.8%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FRD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, Friedman Industries (FRD) experienced a stock movement, including a fall of approximately 2.29% in a week, and a decline of 8.98% over a month. Here are key points explaining these movements:

1. Stock Declined Despite Strong Q2 Earnings: Friedman Industries' stock experienced a decline around November 12, 2025, even after the company announced strong second-quarter results for the period ending September 30, 2025. These results included increased net earnings and record sales volume year-over-year, suggesting that market expectations might have been exceptionally high or that a "sell the news" event occurred.

2. Full Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings Decline: While the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 showed strong performance, the overall net earnings for fiscal year 2025 were reported at $6.1 million, a notable decrease from $17.3 million in fiscal year 2024. This year-over-year decline in full fiscal year profitability could have tempered investor optimism despite strong quarterly results.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FRD Return16%38%5%59%-0%24%230%
Peers Return23%44%-19%32%9%53%217%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FRD Win Rate42%50%67%50%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate58%48%42%53%52%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FRD Max Drawdown-37%-2%-24%-2%-12%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-56%-16%-40%-19%-26%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CDE, CENX, IIIN, NX, NUE. See FRD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFRDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-53.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven116.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven382 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven158 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-48.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven93.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven659 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-68.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven215.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven871 days1480 days

Compare to CDE, CENX, IIIN, NX, NUE


In The Past

Friedman Industries's stock fell -53.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/24/2021. A -53.9% loss requires a 116.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Friedman Industries (FRD)

Better Bets than Friedman Industries (FRD)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FRD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Friedman Industries

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FRDCDECENXIIINNXNUEMedian
NameFriedman.Coeur Mi.Century .Insteel .Quanex B.Nucor  
Mkt Price19.5916.1530.9431.4213.70164.7125.27
Mkt Cap0.110.32.90.60.638.01.8
Rev LTM4651,7012,5256481,84030,8061,770
Op Inc LTM1150517454782,143126
FCF LTM11369-381927-38515
FCF 3Y Avg25-13-4257773,11541
CFO LTM175764127823,13061
CFO 3Y Avg3426144761205,84298

Growth & Margins

FRDCDECENXIIINNXNUEMedian
NameFriedman.Coeur Mi.Century .Insteel .Quanex B.Nucor  
Rev Chg LTM-5.8%68.3%20.1%22.4%70.2%-5.8%21.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.6%32.6%-2.9%-5.9%19.9%-10.4%2.9%
Rev Chg Q17.7%76.9%17.3%32.1%76.7%4.7%24.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.5%16.5%3.8%7.1%13.2%1.2%5.8%
Op Mgn LTM2.4%29.7%6.9%8.4%4.3%7.0%6.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.9%14.5%3.5%5.8%7.2%13.9%6.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.8%1.9%-0.5%1.7%0.0%-0.0%0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM3.7%33.9%1.6%4.2%4.5%10.2%4.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.6%18.4%2.0%12.4%9.8%17.0%11.1%
FCF/Rev LTM2.5%21.7%-1.5%2.9%1.5%-1.2%2.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.9%-9.9%-1.9%9.2%6.6%8.7%5.7%

Valuation

FRDCDECENXIIINNXNUEMedian
NameFriedman.Coeur Mi.Century .Insteel .Quanex B.Nucor  
Mkt Cap0.110.32.90.60.638.01.8
P/S0.27.01.11.20.51.01.0
P/EBIT8.226.823.813.9-3.713.713.8
P/E13.529.332.218.2-3.023.120.6
P/CFO6.720.867.127.510.59.515.6
Total Yield7.7%3.4%3.1%8.2%-31.2%6.1%4.7%
Dividend Yield0.2%0.0%0.0%2.8%1.8%1.7%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg26.5%-14.5%-4.4%8.9%8.7%7.7%8.2%
D/E0.30.00.20.01.00.20.2
Net D/E0.30.00.2-0.00.90.10.2

Returns

FRDCDECENXIIINNXNUEMedian
NameFriedman.Coeur Mi.Century .Insteel .Quanex B.Nucor  
1M Rtn-12.4%6.7%0.7%4.1%-2.4%11.2%2.4%
3M Rtn-7.2%15.6%39.6%-14.1%-31.4%13.9%3.3%
6M Rtn17.0%80.2%56.8%-8.7%-19.4%36.3%26.6%
12M Rtn24.5%140.3%29.2%9.4%-52.0%8.2%17.0%
3Y Rtn124.4%364.1%226.7%31.3%-41.4%11.6%77.9%
1M Excs Rtn-12.4%6.7%0.7%4.1%-2.3%11.2%2.4%
3M Excs Rtn-12.5%9.2%35.1%-21.9%-39.5%8.8%-1.9%
6M Excs Rtn2.3%65.5%42.1%-23.5%-34.1%21.6%11.9%
12M Excs Rtn16.3%136.5%22.0%-3.1%-66.8%-5.2%6.6%
3Y Excs Rtn47.3%335.1%213.0%-35.6%-112.1%-56.1%5.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Flat-roll47348623095100
Tubular4362553142
Other0    
Total516548285126142


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Flat-roll332332161
Tubular3923-6
Other-12    
General corporate expenses -11-6-4-3
Interest expense   -0-0
Total25212916-7


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Flat-roll2061801155736
Tubular2016241824
General corporate assets54202018
Total2301991599577


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity140,740
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202534.8%
Average Daily Volume24,266
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.80
Basic Shares Quantity6,965,880
Short % of Basic Shares2.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025612202510-K 3/31/2025
12312024207202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024611202410-K 3/31/2024
12312023214202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023714202310-K 3/31/2023
12312022209202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221202202210-Q 9/30/2022
63020221012202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022802202210-K 3/31/2022
12312021214202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211119202110-Q 9/30/2021