Evergy (EVRG)


Market Price (11/7/2026): $87.53 | Market Cap: $20.5 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Utilities | Industry: Electric Utilities

Evergy (EVRG)


Market Price (11/7/2026): $87.53
Market Cap: $20.5 Bil
Sector: Utilities
Industry: Electric Utilities

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.4%, Dividend Yield is 3.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.0%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 2.0 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 17%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Wind Energy Development, Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 80%

Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -24%

Key risks
EVRG key risks include [1] execution challenges in its generation fleet transformation from a historic reliance on coal and [2] potential financial strain from its substantial capital expenditure plan if rate recovery is insufficient.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.4%, Dividend Yield is 3.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.0%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 2.0 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 17%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Wind Energy Development, Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 80%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -24%
7 Key risks
EVRG key risks include [1] execution challenges in its generation fleet transformation from a historic reliance on coal and [2] potential financial strain from its substantial capital expenditure plan if rate recovery is insufficient.

EVRG in ETFs

Weight = EVRG's share of each fund

SPY0.03%
VOO0.03%
IVV0.03%
VTI0.02%
ITOT0.03%
IWB0.03%
RSP0.21%
VYM0.08%
+25 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 11/5/2026

Evergy (EVRG) stock has gained about 5% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Beat: Evergy announced on August 6, 2026, that its fiscal Q2 2026 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) reached $0.88, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.81 by $0.07. Additionally, quarterly revenue for the period was reported at $1.50 billion, exceeding analysts' expectations of $1.36 billion.

2. Exceptional Fiscal Q3 2026 Performance and Increased 2026 Guidance: On November 5, 2026, Evergy reported robust fiscal Q3 2026 adjusted EPS of $2.58, beating the analyst consensus of $2.31. Concurrently, the company raised its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance range to $4.35-$4.50, an increase from its original guidance of $4.14-$4.34. This updated guidance reflects strong operational performance and warmer weather during the quarter.

Show more
Updated on 11/5/2026

Evergy (EVRG) stock has gained about 5% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Beat: Evergy announced on August 6, 2026, that its fiscal Q2 2026 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) reached $0.88, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.81 by $0.07. Additionally, quarterly revenue for the period was reported at $1.50 billion, exceeding analysts' expectations of $1.36 billion.

2. Exceptional Fiscal Q3 2026 Performance and Increased 2026 Guidance: On November 5, 2026, Evergy reported robust fiscal Q3 2026 adjusted EPS of $2.58, beating the analyst consensus of $2.31. Concurrently, the company raised its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance range to $4.35-$4.50, an increase from its original guidance of $4.14-$4.34. This updated guidance reflects strong operational performance and warmer weather during the quarter.

3. Significant Growth in Retail Load Driven by Data Centers: Evergy experienced a 4.5% increase in weather-normalized retail electricity demand in fiscal Q3 2026, largely fueled by new data center agreements. The company projects an approximate 7%-8% annual retail demand growth through 2030, based on signed electric service agreements (ESAs) for 3.1 gigawatts (GW) of large load customers, with further potential for additional ESAs to extend this growth profile.

4. Expanded Capital Investment Plan: Driven by the anticipated large customer demand, Evergy increased its five-year capital investment plan through 2030 by approximately $1 billion, raising the total to $22.5 billion from the initial $21.6 billion. This expanded capital plan is expected to boost the projected rate base compound annual growth rate (CAGR) through 2030 from 11.5% to approximately 12%.

5. Quarterly Dividend Increase: Evergy demonstrated confidence in its financial outlook and cash flow by announcing a 4% increase in its quarterly dividend. This raises the annualized dividend to $2.89 per share, signaling a commitment to shareholder returns.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 6.3% change in EVRG stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 14.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)731202611062026Change
Stock Price ($)82.3287.546.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,0316,3815.8%
Net Income Margin (%)14.6%16.7%14.0%
P/E Multiple21.519.0-11.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)231231-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution6.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2026 to 11/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
EVRG6.3% 
Market (SPY)-1.6%-12.6%
Sector (XLU)-2.8%80.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 7.4% change in EVRG stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 16.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)430202611062026Change
Stock Price ($)81.4787.547.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,9626,3817.0%
Net Income Margin (%)14.4%16.7%16.2%
P/E Multiple22.019.0-13.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)231231-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution7.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 11/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
EVRG7.4% 
Market (SPY)2.6%-16.8%
Sector (XLU)-7.4%80.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 17.9% change in EVRG stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 16.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)1031202511062026Change
Stock Price ($)74.2287.5417.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,8806,3818.5%
Net Income Margin (%)14.3%16.7%16.7%
P/E Multiple20.419.0-6.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)230231-0.3%
Cumulative Contribution17.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 11/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
EVRG17.9% 
Market (SPY)8.7%-6.4%
Sector (XLU)-1.2%79.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 101.3% change in EVRG stock from 10/31/2023 to 11/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 43.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202311062026Change
Stock Price ($)43.4887.54101.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,8406,3819.3%
Net Income Margin (%)13.0%16.7%28.5%
P/E Multiple13.219.043.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)230231-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution101.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2023 to 11/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
EVRG101.3% 
Market (SPY)81.9%11.5%
Sector (XLU)56.9%77.7%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
EVRG Return28%-5%-13%23%22%24%98%
Peers Return16%6%-4%28%14%13%96%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EVRG Win Rate58%50%50%50%83%55% 
Peers Win Rate53%58%48%62%58%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%45% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EVRG Max Drawdown-11%-23%-23%-10%-8%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-14%-23%-20%-10%-12%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ETR, FE, PPL, PNW, SO. See EVRG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/6/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventEVRGS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-20.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.6%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven262 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-17.0%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven20.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven702 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-38.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven63.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven738 days140 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-10.2%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven11.4%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven224 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-12.1%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.8%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven41 days62 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-10.9%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.2%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven126 days1 days

Compare to FE, ES, HE, GNE, SO

In The Past

Evergy's stock fell -3.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 3.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventEVRGS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-20.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.6%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven262 days24 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-38.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven63.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven738 days140 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-38.4%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven62.3%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven397 days1085 days

Compare to FE, ES, HE, GNE, SO

In The Past

Evergy's stock fell -3.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 3.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Evergy (EVRG)

Evergy, Inc. (EVRG) operates as an integrated electric utility primarily serving customers across Kansas and Missouri. The company is involved in every stage of electricity provision, from generating power to its transmission, distribution, and eventual sale to end-users. This full-spectrum operation ensures a reliable electricity supply to its service territories.

Evergy generates electricity using a diverse portfolio of sources, including traditional methods like coal, natural gas, hydroelectric, and uranium, alongside a growing emphasis on renewable sources such as solar and wind. With an extensive infrastructure comprising thousands of circuit miles of transmission and distribution lines, Evergy serves a broad base of approximately 1.6 million customers, encompassing residential homes, commercial businesses, industrial clients, municipalities, and other electric utilities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Evergy:

  • It's like the AT&T of electricity for Kansas and Missouri, owning the vast infrastructure and delivering essential power.
  • Think of it as Duke Energy or Southern Company, but focused on generating and distributing power across Kansas and Missouri.
  • It's the essential electric utility for its region, similar to how Con Edison powers New York City.

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  • Electricity Generation: Producing electricity from various sources including coal, hydroelectric, natural gas, nuclear, solar, and wind.
  • Electricity Transmission: Transporting high-voltage electricity through an extensive network of transmission lines.
  • Electricity Distribution: Delivering lower-voltage electricity to homes, businesses, and other end-users via overhead and underground distribution lines.
  • Electricity Sales: Providing retail electricity service and billing to residential, commercial, industrial, municipal, and other electric utility customers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Evergy (EVRG) serves a diverse customer base, with major customer categories including:

  • Residences
  • Commercial firms
  • Industrials

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David Campbell - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

David Campbell joined Evergy in January 2021 as President and CEO, and was appointed Chairman in May 2024. He brings over 25 years of experience in the energy industry, including 15 years in senior leadership roles within the electric power and utility sector. Before his time at Evergy, he served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Vistra Corp. from June 2019 to 2020. From 2014 to 2019, Campbell was the Chief Executive Officer of InfraREIT, Inc., where he led its Initial Public Offering in January 2015 and subsequently its sale to Oncor. He also held the position of CEO of Sharyland Utilities starting in late 2016. Earlier in his career, he was Chief Financial Officer of TXU Corp. from 2004 to 2007, where he was part of the senior leadership team responsible for a financial and operational turnaround. Prior to joining TXU, Campbell was a partner at McKinsey & Company.

W. Bryan Buckler - Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

W. Bryan Buckler was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Evergy, effective October 1, 2024. Before joining Evergy, Buckler served as Chief Financial Officer for Oklahoma City-based OGE Energy Corp. since January 2021. Prior to OGE Energy Corp., he worked at Duke Energy Corporation for over 14 years, holding various finance leadership roles, with his most recent position being Vice President of Investor Relations. He began his career with 11 years at Ernst & Young LLP.

Chuck Caisley - Executive Vice President of Utility Operations and Chief Customer Officer

Chuck Caisley is the Executive Vice President of Utility Operations and Chief Customer Officer for Evergy, Inc. He is responsible for the company's transmission and distribution operations, customer service, and public affairs areas. Caisley joined Evergy's predecessor company, KCP&L, in 2007 as director of government affairs. Before KCP&L, he served as president and chief executive officer of the Missouri Energy Development Association. In 2004, he was chief of staff and top political advisor to Missouri House Speaker Catherine Hanaway.

Heather Humphrey - Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary

Heather Humphrey serves as the Senior Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary at Evergy, a position she has held since July 2018. In this role, she is responsible for all litigation, regulatory, and corporate legal matters, as well as compliance and environmental functions. Prior to joining Evergy, Humphrey was General Counsel and Senior Vice President of Corporate Services at Great Plains Energy/Kansas City Power & Light. Her previous experience also includes being an equity partner with Shughart Thomson & Kilroy, where she focused on business and employment litigation, and serving as a law clerk for the Honorable W. Duane Benton of the Missouri Supreme Court.

Lesley Elwell - Senior Vice President and Chief People Officer

Lesley Elwell is the Senior Vice President and Chief People Officer at Evergy, where she leads the human resources organization, emphasizing talent strategy, employee engagement, organizational development, and performance management. She joined Evergy in August 2021. Elwell brings over 25 years of experience in human resources and operations leadership roles for large, publicly-traded companies in consumer and business-to-business industries. Before her tenure at Evergy, she served as Chief People Officer at JE Dunn from 2017 to 2021. Her prior experience includes leadership roles at Walmart Corporation (2016-2017), DIRECTV (2012-2015), and Sprint (1997-2012; 2015-2016).

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Evergy's business are multifaceted, primarily stemming from its nature as a regulated electric utility and its ongoing transition to cleaner energy sources.
  1. Environmental and Regulatory Risks: Evergy operates within a highly regulated industry, making it susceptible to changes in environmental and regulatory requirements. These changes can lead to increased costs, compliance penalties, or difficulties in recovering investments and operating expenses through approved rates. The company's strategic shift toward renewable energy and the retirement of coal-fired plants necessitate favorable regulatory outcomes to ensure the cost-effective execution of these initiatives and to prevent adverse impacts on profitability and financial health.
  2. Cybersecurity and Operational Risks: Evergy's reliance on extensive technology networks and operational systems exposes it to significant cybersecurity threats and broader operational risks. Potential breaches or disruptions could interfere with electricity generation, transmission, and distribution, leading to data loss, service interruptions, regulatory liabilities, and reputational damage. Maintaining robust security measures and ensuring grid stability are ongoing and critical challenges.
  3. Inflationary Pressures and Cost Recovery: The company faces ongoing inflationary pressures, resulting in higher costs for labor, materials, and services. A substantial risk is the potential inability to fully or timely recover these increased costs from customers through regulated rates. "Regulatory lag," where there's a delay between incurring costs and obtaining approval for rate adjustments, could lead to reduced profitability and financial strain, affecting Evergy's ability to fund necessary capital expenditures.

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The increasing adoption of distributed energy resources, such as rooftop solar panels and battery storage systems, by residential and commercial customers. This trend could reduce demand for Evergy's grid-supplied electricity, potentially impacting revenue and challenging the traditional utility business model.

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Addressable Market Size for Evergy (EVRG) null

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Evergy (EVRG) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market trends:

  1. Transformative Demand from Large Customers, Especially Data Centers: Evergy projects significant growth from new large customers, particularly data centers. The company has already executed electric service agreements for four data center projects, which are expected to add approximately 1.9 gigawatts of steady-state peak demand, representing nearly a 20% increase in total peak system demand. Evergy forecasts about 1,300 megawatts of peak demand from these large load power service (LLPS) customers by 2030, contributing to a projected consolidated retail load growth compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6% through 2030. The company also has a substantial pipeline of over 15 gigawatts in additional large customer opportunities.
  2. Substantial Capital Investment Plan and Rate Base Growth: Evergy has significantly increased its five-year capital investment plan for 2026-2030 to $21.6 billion, which is a $4.1 billion, or 24%, increase over its previous plan. These investments are primarily directed towards grid modernization, transmission and distribution upgrades, and new generation capacity to meet growing customer demand and system reliability requirements, including new natural gas and solar projects. This expanded capital program is expected to drive an 11.5% annualized rate base growth through 2030, a considerable increase from its prior forecast of 8.5%.
  3. Favorable Regulatory Frameworks and Tariffs: The approval of new Large Load Power Service (LLPS) tariffs in both Kansas and Missouri is a crucial driver. These tariffs establish a framework for new large customers, requiring them to pay a premium demand rate, typically 15-20% higher than the standard industrial rate. These regulatory approvals, along with provisions for minimum monthly bills and termination fees, provide a stable and protected revenue stream as Evergy serves these high-demand customers.
  4. Underlying Retail Sales Growth: Beyond the significant impact of large industrial customers, Evergy also anticipates continued, albeit more modest, growth from its established residential and commercial customer base. While weather-related factors have caused some fluctuations, the company has seen growth in weather-normalized demand, particularly in the commercial sector, which contributes to overall margin increases and retail sales growth. Evergy projects retail load growth to be approximately 3-4% in 2026.

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Capital Allocation Decisions (Last 3-5 Years)

Share Repurchases

  • Evergy has not engaged in significant share repurchases over the last 3-5 years. Available data through late 2024 indicates $0.00 in share buybacks for various quarters.

Share Issuance

  • Evergy issued $350 million in aggregate principal amount of 4.250% notes due 2029 in March 2026, as part of efforts to optimize its capital structure.

Outbound Investments

  • Evergy reported realized losses, unrealized losses, and impairment losses from non-regulated investments in early-stage clean energy and energy solution companies in 2024 and 2025.
  • The company initiated a process to dispose of these non-regulated investments in early-stage clean energy and energy solution companies.

Capital Expenditures

  • Evergy significantly increased its capital investment plans, with a new five-year capital spending plan of $21.6 billion for 2026-2030, up from a previous $17.5 billion plan for 2025-2029.
  • Previous capital plans included $17.5 billion of infrastructure investments through 2029, and $12.5 billion through 2028.
  • The primary focus of these capital expenditures is on grid modernization, infrastructure upgrades, and the addition of new generation resources (including nearly 1.9 GW of gas-fired generation and 325 MW of solar) to meet accelerating electricity demand, enhance reliability and resiliency, and support economic development.

Better Bets vs. Evergy (EVRG)

Peer Outperformance in Electric Utilities

EVRG has outperformed 78% of its 23 Electric Utilities peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are VST and ETR. Electric Utilities ranks 2nd of 6 industries in Utilities by median 5Y return. That makes it one of the strongest corners of the sector.
Share of Electric Utilities constituents that EVRG has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
88%
of 25 industry peers · 19.9% return
3Y
88%
of 24 industry peers · 96.6% return
5Y
78%
of 23 industry peers · 64.6% return
Electric Utilities peers with revenue growth within 4pp of EVRG's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
EVRG Evergy 4.5% 19.0x 19.9%96.6%64.6% —
VST Vistra 6.7% 18.9x -32.0%268.4%563.3% +499pp
ETR Entergy 3.7% 25.2x 18.4%149.6%155.1% +90pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Utilities sector, ranked by 5Y. Electric Utilities is EVRG's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders 5 -47.3%88.7%139.1% NRG 177% · OKLO 139% · TAC 26%
Electric Utilities ← 24 5.7%51.9%50.0% VST 563% · ETR 155% · AEP 78%
Multi-Utilities 18 6.3%60.0%49.8% NI 105% · PNW 103% · MDU 101%
Gas Utilities 10 5.9%63.9%41.8% ATO 109% · SR 74% · NJR 67%
Water Utilities 11 13.3%7.5%-5.5% WTRG 12% · AWR 6% · AWK -1%
Renewable Electricity 5 -70.4%-75.1%-90.0% ORA 26% · CWEN 18%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

EVRGETRFEPPLPNWSOMedian
NameEvergy Entergy FirstEne.PPL Pinnacle.Southern  
Mkt Price87.53110.9146.0035.83104.2192.3389.93
Mkt Cap20.252.126.627.012.6106.826.8
Rev LTM6,38114,03516,2349,3985,70631,19811,717
Op Inc LTM1,7453,4672,8182,2651,1797,7112,542
FCF LTM-1,546-4,050-2,159-1,992-932-3,758-2,076
FCF 3Y Avg-789-2,468-1,468-1,150-785-1,714-1,309
CFO LTM2,0336,1753,1942,6541,82910,4772,924
CFO 3Y Avg2,0525,2203,2022,3421,7149,7612,772

Growth & Margins

EVRGETRFEPPLPNWSOMedian
NameEvergy Entergy FirstEne.PPL Pinnacle.Southern  
Rev Chg LTM8.5%10.3%12.2%6.7%7.5%7.9%8.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.5%3.7%8.0%2.9%6.6%6.0%5.2%
Rev Chg Q15.8%14.5%9.9%4.2%8.3%13.0%11.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.7%4.1%2.6%0.9%2.7%3.4%3.1%
Op Inc Chg LTM15.1%4.6%-1.4%19.9%14.3%3.8%9.5%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg12.8%9.2%12.9%15.4%14.8%19.5%13.9%
Op Mgn LTM27.4%24.7%17.4%24.1%20.7%24.7%24.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg26.0%23.6%18.2%22.3%20.0%25.9%22.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.2%1.6%0.2%0.5%0.1%0.5%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM31.9%44.0%19.7%28.2%32.1%33.6%32.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg34.2%40.3%21.8%26.5%32.0%33.9%33.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-24.2%-28.9%-13.3%-21.2%-16.3%-12.0%-18.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-12.8%-18.6%-9.8%-12.7%-14.6%-5.5%-12.8%

Valuation

EVRGETRFEPPLPNWSOMedian
NameEvergy Entergy FirstEne.PPL Pinnacle.Southern  
Mkt Cap20.252.126.627.012.6106.826.8
P/S3.23.71.62.92.23.43.0
P/Op Inc11.615.09.511.910.713.911.7
P/EBIT11.312.49.411.010.011.911.2
P/E19.025.322.221.319.121.421.3
P/CFO9.98.48.310.26.910.29.2
Total Yield8.4%6.2%8.4%7.7%8.7%7.6%8.1%
Dividend Yield3.1%2.3%3.9%3.0%3.5%3.0%3.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.6%-6.0%-5.7%-4.5%-7.3%-1.7%-5.2%
D/E0.80.71.10.81.30.70.8
Net D/E0.80.61.10.71.30.70.8

Returns

EVRGETRFEPPLPNWSOMedian
NameEvergy Entergy FirstEne.PPL Pinnacle.Southern  
1M Rtn9.0%7.9%4.2%5.5%7.8%8.1%7.8%
3M Rtn5.9%4.1%-2.1%1.9%4.1%0.4%3.0%
6M Rtn8.8%-0.0%5.8%1.4%6.9%2.2%4.0%
12M Rtn19.9%18.8%5.4%1.3%23.3%4.9%12.1%
3Y Rtn96.5%150.4%44.1%52.6%63.0%49.0%57.8%
1M Excs Rtn9.7%9.2%4.6%6.1%8.3%8.2%8.2%
3M Excs Rtn8.3%6.4%0.2%4.1%6.8%2.8%5.3%
6M Excs Rtn4.9%-3.9%2.0%-2.5%3.0%-1.7%0.1%
12M Excs Rtn4.9%4.9%-7.2%-11.4%9.0%-8.8%-1.2%
3Y Excs Rtn17.2%68.5%-34.7%-21.3%-25.7%-31.8%-23.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment5,9625,8475,5085,8595,587
Total5,9625,8475,5085,8595,587


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20032002200019991998
Electric Utility375247   
Other-468 -28-102
Monitored Services -370-91-2457
Fossil Generation  203219144
Nuclear Generation  -24-25-21
Power Delivery  172146196
Total371-54259288275


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Single Segment856874731753
Total856874731753


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20072006200320022000
Payroll processing2115   
Animation1817   
Tax credit services77   
Visual effects 5   
post production 9   
Electric Utility  4,9705,033 
Other  764771 
Monitored Services   6392,140
Fossil Generation    1,664
Nuclear Generation    1,068
Power Delivery    1,900
Total46535,7356,4436,772


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$87.54 
Market Cap ($ Bil)20.2 
First Trading Date08/25/1987 
Distance from 52W High0.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$81.80$81.45
DMA Trendindeterminateup
Distance from DMA7.0%7.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility15.4%16.6%
Downside Capture-30.65-20.68
Upside Capture-6.330.25
Correlation (S&P 500)-9.7%-4.3%
EVRG Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.50-0.14-0.07-0.20-0.060.14
Up Beta1.660.450.25-0.150.040.14
Down Beta-0.55-0.89-0.92-0.14-0.060.14
Up Capture20%20%16%-12%0%7%
Bmk +ve Days12182862130427
Stock +ve Days16263868139436
Down Capture-125%-29%-8%-41%-28%4%
Bmk -ve Days10253664121325
Stock -ve Days6172657111312

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with EVRG
EVRG18.1%16.6%0.81-
Sector ETF (XLU)-0.9%15.7%-0.2679.1%
Equity (SPY)9.5%13.6%0.40-6.6%
Gold (GLD)1.6%28.7%0.054.9%
Commodities (DBC)38.4%21.2%1.42-9.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)11.3%14.2%0.5150.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-26.9%43.6%-0.60-8.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with EVRG
EVRG10.9%19.0%0.44-
Sector ETF (XLU)8.3%17.4%0.3282.9%
Equity (SPY)11.3%17.3%0.4829.1%
Gold (GLD)17.5%19.1%0.7415.4%
Commodities (DBC)8.1%19.6%0.306.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.3%18.9%-0.0458.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.1%51.6%0.267.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with EVRG
EVRG7.6%22.8%0.31-
Sector ETF (XLU)9.3%19.3%0.4182.3%
Equity (SPY)15.0%18.0%0.7044.5%
Gold (GLD)11.9%16.5%0.5911.2%
Commodities (DBC)7.5%18.1%0.3311.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.9%20.7%0.2462.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)60.1%66.3%1.007.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020260.3%
Average Daily Volume2.0 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity231.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares8.0%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 11/7/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20261.4%  
8/6/2026-0.0%0.3%-0.5%
5/7/20262.1%1.8%3.7%
2/19/2026-1.1%3.0%1.7%
11/6/2025-1.6%0.7%-3.6%
8/7/2025-0.5%0.0%-1.3%
5/8/2025-4.4%-8.0%-5.4%
2/27/2025-0.8%-3.1%-1.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91612
# Negative16812
Median Positive1.4%1.8%3.6%
Median Negative-0.6%-3.1%-1.7%
Max Positive3.2%3.8%11.4%
Max Negative-4.4%-8.0%-7.2%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20261.4%  
8/6/2026-0.0%0.3%-0.5%
5/7/20262.1%1.8%3.7%
2/19/2026-1.1%3.0%1.7%
11/6/2025-1.6%0.7%-3.6%
8/7/2025-0.5%0.0%-1.3%
5/8/2025-4.4%-8.0%-5.4%
2/27/2025-0.8%-3.1%-1.6%
11/7/20240.6%3.8%4.2%
8/9/2024-0.5%-0.7%3.6%
5/9/20242.1%2.0%-1.8%
2/29/2024-0.5%1.8%8.6%
11/7/2023-1.2%-5.7%3.3%
8/4/2023-1.9%-0.6%-7.2%
5/5/20230.7%0.4%-5.4%
2/24/2023-0.2%-3.2%-1.1%
11/4/20221.7%0.3%-4.5%
8/4/2022-0.2%1.8%2.8%
5/5/2022-0.7%-2.6%2.7%
2/25/20223.2%3.0%11.4%
11/3/2021-0.1%0.3%0.6%
8/5/20211.2%2.0%4.9%
5/6/20210.3%-3.2%-0.4%
2/26/2021-0.1%2.1%11.2%
11/5/2020-1.0%2.7%-0.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91612
# Negative16812
Median Positive1.4%1.8%3.6%
Median Negative-0.6%-3.1%-1.7%
Max Positive3.2%3.8%11.4%
Max Negative-4.4%-8.0%-7.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202611/05/202610-Q
06/30/202608/06/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/19/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/09/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202302/29/202410-K
09/30/202311/07/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q
12/31/202202/24/202310-K
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202611/05/202610-Q
06/30/202608/06/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/19/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/09/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202302/29/202410-K
09/30/202311/07/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q
12/31/202202/24/202310-K
09/30/202211/04/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q
12/31/202102/25/202210-K
09/30/202111/03/202110-Q
06/30/202108/05/202110-Q
03/31/202105/06/202110-Q
12/31/202002/26/202110-K
09/30/202011/05/202010-Q
06/30/202008/05/202010-Q
03/31/202005/06/202010-Q
12/31/201903/02/202010-K

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 11/6/2026

Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 11/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2026 Dividend Per ShareReported 0.72    
2026 Dividend Payout Ratio TargetReported0.50.550.6   
2026 Adjusted EPSReported4.354.434.54.4% RaisedGuidance: 4.24 for 2026
2030 Adjusted EPS GrowthReported6.0%7.0%8.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 7.0% for 2030


Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Adjusted EPSReported4.144.244.340.0% AffirmedGuidance: 4.24 for 2026
2030 Adjusted EPS Annual Growth TargetReported6.0%7.0%8.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 7.0% for 2030

Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Adjusted EPSReported4.144.244.34  AffirmedGuidance: 4.24 for 2026
2030 Adjusted EPS Annual Growth TargetReported6.0%7.0%8.0%   

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/19/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Adjusted EPSReported4.144.244.346.8% Higher NewActual: 3.97 for 2025
2026 Adjusted EPS GrowthReported6.0%7.0%8.0% 1.5%RaisedGuidance: 5.5% for 2026
2028 Adjusted EPS GrowthReported 8.0%    

Insider Activity

Updated 10/9/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Rolph, Jonathan D As Trustee, Gift Trust of DaughterBuy915202681.3767054,52054,520Form
2Rolph, Jonathan D As Trustee, Gift Trust of SonBuy915202681.4677062,72448,876Form
3Rolph, Jonathan D WifeBuy915202681.8320016,36716,367Form
4Caisley, Charles AEVP & CHIEF CUST OFFCRDirectSell616202683.4610,787900,2363,153,704Form
5Lawrence, Sandra AJ DirectSell604202682.6320016,52539,661Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Rolph, Jonathan D As Trustee, Gift Trust of DaughterBuy915202681.3767054,52054,520Form
2Rolph, Jonathan D As Trustee, Gift Trust of SonBuy915202681.4677062,72448,876Form
3Rolph, Jonathan D WifeBuy915202681.8320016,36716,367Form
4Caisley, Charles AEVP & CHIEF CUST OFFCRDirectSell616202683.4610,787900,2363,153,704Form
5Lawrence, Sandra AJ DirectSell604202682.6320016,52539,661Form
6Lawrence, Sandra AJ DirectSell604202681.4160048,84855,361Form
7Lawrence, Sandra AJ DirectSell601202682.0440032,816105,011Form
8Lawrence, Sandra AJ DirectSell601202683.3176163,400139,962Form
9King, Charles LSVP & CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICERDirectSell313202682.192,440200,5331,508,844Form
10Humphrey, Heather ASVP - GEN COUNSEL, CORP SECDirectSell311202682.613,650301,5273,635,430Form
11Murtlow, Ann D DirectSell225202682.342,847234,422190,288Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Nov 7, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Bluescape Energy Partners LLC$217.7 Mil67.6%5Hold13F
Portman Square Capital LLP$27.0 Mil4.1%44Hold13F
Verbena Value LP$12.2 Mil2.0%26TRIM -60.1%13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Angelo Gordon & Co., L.P.$54.8 Mil5.2%46ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Diameter Capital Partners LP$18.8 Mil2.0%36ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Verbena Value LP$12.2 Mil2.0%26TRIM -60.1%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Bluescape Energy Partners LLC$217.7 Mil67.6%5Hold13F
Portman Square Capital LLP$27.0 Mil4.1%44Hold13F
Verbena Value LP$12.2 Mil2.0%26TRIM -60.1%13F

EVRG Trade Sentinel


Stock Conviction

Constructive

CONVICTION RATIONALE

Evergy is in the early stages of a structural growth acceleration, driven by ~2.6 GW of secured, long-term data center contracts. This visibility supports a ~$21.6 billion investment plan and a 6%-8%+ earnings per share growth outlook. While regulatory approval for this plan is the key variable, management's strong execution record provides confidence in a positive outcome.

STOCK ARCHETYPE
Regulated Utility

Revenue ≈ (Regulated Rate Base x Allowed Return on Equity) + Pass-Through Costs. Growth is driven by increasing the rate base through capital investment. Successful and timely execution of the ~$21.6 billion capital plan and receiving favorable regulatory outcomes to earn a return on these new investments serving contractually secured large-load customers.

Looking for high-conviction positions with a better risk/reward profile? See what's currently in the Trefis High Quality Portfolio.
INVESTMENT THESIS
Can Evergy convert contracted data center demand into high-single-digit EPS growth?

Evidence suggests yes. Evergy is executing a transformation, underpinned by ~2.6 GW of long-term contracts, fueling a ~$21.6 billion investment plan and a projected 6%-8%+ earnings growth trajectory through 2030.

Mechanism: The company invests ~$21.6 billion in new generation to serve contractually secured demand. State regulators approve cost recovery and a return on this expanded rate base. This drives projected annual retail load growth of 7%-8% and an adjusted EPS growth target of 6%-8%+, with growth expected to exceed 8% annually starting in 2028.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Projecting 7%-8% annual retail load growth through 2030, a step-change from historical levels.
  • Secured ~2.6 GW of steady state peak load via five long-term Electric Service Agreements (ESAs).
  • Reaffirmed long-term adjusted EPS growth target of 6%-8% plus through 2030.
  • Increased the five-year capital investment plan to approximately $21.6 billion.
  • Latest quarter weather-normalized retail demand grew 4.5%, led by new large customers.
PRIMARY RISK
Regulatory and Financing Execution Risk

The ~$21.6 billion capital plan requires near-perfect regulatory outcomes to support a balance sheet with $16.2 billion in debt and negative free cash flow of $1.5 billion. Any significant delay, cost disallowance, or denial from state commissions in Kansas or Missouri could impair the company's ability to fund its growth and service its debt.

Mechanism: A major negative regulatory order, such as the Kansas generation predetermination case expected by April 2027, disallowing significant capital recovery.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Net debt is $16.2 billion, which is 5.31 times trailing-twelve-month EBITDA.
  • Trailing-twelve-month free cash flow is negative at $-1.5 billion.
  • The capital plan includes approximately $9.3 billion for new generation requiring regulatory approval.
  • A risk exists that regulators could prohibit recovery of investments in new generation facilities.
  • Missouri West customers may see rate increases above inflation over the next 5 years.
Key KPI Watchlist
KPI Status Rationale
Retail Load Growth Forecast (Annual CAGR)Approximately 7%-8% annually through 2030 - AcceleratingThe significant acceleration in expected demand is driven by the successful conversion of a large pipeline of data center projects into signed, long-term Electric Service Agreements (ESAs). The company now has 3.1 GW of peak load from these customers under contract. Actual weather-normalized retail demand grew 4.5% in the latest quarter.
Rate Base Growth Forecast (Annual CAGR)Approximately 12% CAGR through 2030 - Accelerating
Weather-Normalized Retail Demand Growth4.5% (Q3 2026)Measures underlying demand growth, stripping out weather volatility. The current rate signals a "step change in demand growth" driven by new large customers.
Executed Large Load ESAs (Peak Load)~2.6 GW (as of 11/5/2026)Quantifies the amount of future demand contractually secured from new data centers and other large customers, providing high visibility into future growth.
Five-Year Capital Expenditure Plan~$21.6 billion (2026-2030)Represents the scale of investment in new generation and grid modernization required to meet demand, which is the primary driver of future rate base and earnings growth.
Core Investment Debate

Can Regulatory Success De-Risk High Leverage?

BULL VIEW

Yes. A bespoke tariff is already in place, and management has a strong record of execution. A series of constructive regulatory outcomes over the next 6-8 months will provide cash flow certainty for the ~$21.6 billion capital plan.

CORE TENSION

Can successful execution of a dense regulatory calendar offset the risk from $16.2 billion in debt before the ~$21.6 billion capex plan fully ramps?


PREVAILING SENTIMENT
CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH

The latest evidence favors the bulls. Management raised 2026 EPS guidance and has a strong record of delivering on its promises for new customer contracts.

BEAR VIEW

No. The 5.31x Net Debt/EBITDA ratio leaves no room for error. Any unfavorable ruling from Kansas or Missouri regulators on the massive new generation projects could strand assets, jeopardizing the entire funding and growth model.

Next 6 months: Risks and Catalysts
Timeline Event & Metric To Watch
January 2027
Missouri Metro New Rates Effective
Watch: New rates from the Missouri Metro rate case are expected to become effective.
2/10/2027
Entergy Earnings Report
Watch: Peer Entergy (ETR) is scheduled to report earnings.
2/15/2027
FirstEnergy Earnings Report
Watch: Peer FirstEnergy (FE) is scheduled to report earnings.
2/17/2027
Company Earnings Report
Watch: Evergy is scheduled to report its next earnings.
February 2027
Kansas Regulatory Developments
Watch: Outcome of the settlement conference and any KCC orders, which will signal the regulatory climate for the capex plan.
February 2027
Peer Read-Across on Costs
Watch: Peer commentary on capex inflation, project delays, or supply chain constraints for generation and transmission equipment.
by April 2027
Kansas Generation Project Order
Watch: An order is expected in the Kansas natural gas, solar, and battery storage predetermination proceeding.
October 2027
Missouri West New Rates Effective
Watch: New rates from the Missouri West rate review are expected to become effective.
December
Missouri Rate Case Outcome
Watch: The final MPSC order, specifically the allowed ROE and equity ratio, setting a precedent for future cases.
in the first half of next year
Large Customer Agreement Delay
Watch: A company announcement confirming the execution of the ESA, or lack thereof by mid-2027.
Key Events in Last 6 Months
Date Event Stock Impact
2026-11-05
Q3 Earnings Beat and Guidance Raise
Details:
+1.4%
$86.21 -> $87.41
2026-11-05
Missouri West Rate Case Filed
Details: On November 3, the company filed a rate review for its Missouri West utility, driven by new generation and grid modernization investments.
+1.4%
$86.21 -> $87.41
2026-11-05
New Kansas Regulatory Filing
Details: On October 29, the company requested approval of its LLPS Customer Affordability Enhancement Plan in Kansas to add new tools for serving large load customers.
+1.4%
$86.21 -> $87.41
2026-11-05
Missouri Rate Case Settlement
Details: In its Missouri Metro rate review, the company reached a partial revenue requirement settlement in October, though key items like return on capital remain open.
+1.4%
$86.21 -> $87.41
2026-09-02
Analyst Highlights Data Center Growth
Details:
+0.5%
$81.52 -> $81.93
2026-08-06
Q2 Results and Pipeline Update
Details: The company reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $0.69 and reaffirmed its full-year guidance. Management noted the pipeline of expansion opportunities grew to 2.0-2.5 GW.
+0.4%
$82.37 -> $82.69
2026-05-07
Q1 Earnings Beat
Details: The company reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $0.69, beating estimates. It also announced a fifth large customer ESA and reaffirmed its 2026 guidance.
+1.0%
$79.65 -> $80.43
Risk Management
Position Sizing

5% - 7%

NORMAL POSITION

Sizing is volatility-based: EVRG trades at roughly 16% annualized realized (three-month) volatility versus about 10% for the S&P 500 (1.5x the market). A 5% - 7% position keeps a single-name swing of that size within a diversified portfolio's risk budget.

Diversification Alternatives
ETR - a business partner
Similar Growth Profile

a business partner offers exposure to the same data center growth trend but in a different geographic region, with a large pipeline of 7 to 12 gigawatts of potential customer interest.

Core Thesis: A utility capitalizing on strong industrial and data center demand in the Gulf South region.
FE - a business partner
Alternative Regional Exposure

a business partner provides a way to invest in the data center theme with a more established project backlog, having already contracted for 7.9 GW of demand across its footprint.

Core Thesis: A utility driving growth through significant capital deployment to serve a large, contracted base of new data center customers.
How Is The Market Pricing EVRG?

A regulated utility transforming into a high-growth infrastructure company fueled by the AI-driven data center boom, with growth de-risked by long-term contracts.

Evergy is capitalizing on massive electricity demand from data centers by securing long-term, high-visibility contracts under a favorable regulatory tariff. This has triggered a multi-year, multi-billion dollar capital investment cycle to build new power generation. The result is a shift from a slow-growth utility to a company with a projected 6%-8%+ EPS growth trajectory, underpinned by a foundational 7%-8% annual growth in electricity demand through 2030.

What will confirm the thesis

Announcements of new Electric Service Agreements (ESAs), successful and timely regulatory approvals for new power plants, and continued strong weather-normalized load growth.

What will damage the thesis

Significant delays or denials in regulatory proceedings for new generation, cancellation of a major data center project, or a material change in the LLPS tariff that weakens cost recovery.

Noise: Real but irrelevant to thesis

Quarter-to-quarter earnings volatility due to weather, which does not affect the long-term structural demand growth from contracted data centers.

Repricing Catalyst

The conversion of its large customer pipeline into additional signed ESAs and successful outcomes in pending regulatory cases for new generation capacity, which would further de-risk and potentially increase the company's long-term growth outlook.

What EVRG Makes & Who Pays
TTM figures based on the twelve months through fiscal Q2 2026
Electric Utility (Single Segment)
$6.1B TTM (100% of Total)
What It Is

The company generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity to approximately 1.7 million residential, commercial, and industrial customers across Kansas and Missouri.

Who Pays & How

Residential, commercial, and industrial customers pay for reliable electricity. A key new customer class consists of large data center operators (hyperscalers and developers) who require massive, reliable power for their facilities and are choosing Evergy's territory for its development potential and supportive regulatory framework.

Revenue is primarily generated through rates approved by the Kansas Corporation Commission (KCC) and the Missouri Public Service Commission (MPSC). A specific Large Load Power Service (LLPS) tariff applies to new large customers like data centers, featuring premium demand rates, minimum bill requirements, and termination fees.
Competition
As a regulated utility, Evergy operates as a monopoly within its defined service territories for transmission and distribution. In generation, it participates in the Southwest Power Pool (SPP) market.
The company's moat is its status as a regulated monopoly for electricity transmission and distribution in its service areas. For attracting new large load customers, its moat is its established Large Load Power Service (LLPS) tariff, which provides a clear framework for investment and cost recovery.
EVRG Evolution: Price Return by Era
· Pre-2022: Traditional Utility
Prior to the current growth phase, Evergy operated as a traditional, slow-growth regulated utility, as reflected in older segment reporting structures that included various smaller business lines. The focus was on standard grid maintenance and incremental investments.
· 2024-Present: Data Center-Driven Transformation
Beginning around 2024-2025, the company began executing a new strategy centered on attracting large-load data center customers. This involved establishing the Large Load Power Service (LLPS) tariff and signing a series of multi-gigawatt, long-term contracts, triggering a period of "transformational growth" and a massive capital investment cycle to build new generation.
Market Appears To Be Cautiously Supportive
Price structure trend is constructive with some caveats. The regime is supportive but not with full conviction. Relative to SPY: Decisively outperforming and improving. Potential evidence of active institutional rotation. Volume and momentum are strongly confirming. The institutional accumulation is evident and momentum is accelerating. Earnings history is neutral. The market reaction and subsequent drift do not give a clear directional signal.
① Structure
+2
Structural pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by trend regime, SMA cross events, proximity to 52W high, and relative strength vs SPY.
② Volume / Momentum
+4
Volume/Momentum pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by institutional footprint score, OBV divergence, and momentum character.
③ Catalyst
0
Catalyst pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by earnings day reaction, 20D post-earnings drift, and post-earnings volume character.
Combined Score
6 / 12
1 Price Structure & Trend Consolidating · - ▾
2 Momentum Accelerating ▾
3 Relative Strength vs. SPY Strong Outperformance ▾
4 Institutional Footprint & Volume Mild Accumulation ▾
5 Volatility Normal ▾
6 Key Price Levels Range · Vol Rising ▾
7 Earnings Reaction History Inconsistent ▾
8 How the Verdict Is Derived Three Pillars ▾
Core Cache Last Updated: 11/6/2026